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Prediction tool shows how forest thinning may increase Sierra Nevada snowpack

Thinning the Sierra Nevada forest by removing trees by hand or using heavy machinery is one of the few tools available to manage forests. However, finding the best way to thin forests by removing select trees to maximize the forest's benefits for water quantity, water quality, wildfire risk and wildlife habitat remains a challenge for resource managers.




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Cars could ‘talk’ to each other to warn of dangers using 5G, experts predict

Researchers said a vehicle-generated early warning system that alerts drivers is feasible within the next few years using 5G.




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Trump ditches Easter goal, as US expert predicts up to 200,000 deaths

Donald Trump's announcement to extend coronavirus controls came as his infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci predicted up to 200,000 Americans could die of the coronavirus.




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UN predicts extreme weather after hottest decade on record

The United Nations is warning hotter temperatures will influence extreme weather conditions this year and into the future.




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Grattan Institute projects 3.4 million Australians will lose jobs, and predicts which industries will be hit hardest

The think tank predicts between 14 and 26 per cent of the entire Australian workforce will lose their job, if they haven't already, as a result of government shutdowns and physical distancing rules.




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Solskjaer sets sights on Chelsea in Man Utd Champions League prediction

Manchester United are three points behind Chelsea with nine games of the season still to play when football resumes after the coronavirus pandemic




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Over 60,000 lives claimed by COVID-19 in U.S. — a tally some models predicted for late summer

New York sees a dip in deaths, and Louisiana governor meets Trump, as each state in the union thinks about how to move forward amid coronavirus.




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New Model Predicts Sudden Rogue Waves

Unified theory describes formation of huge, mysterious waves

-- Read more on ScientificAmerican.com




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10 Predictions for healthcare



  • in the news

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First coronavirus, now 'murder hornets'? 'The Simpsons' predicts the future again

Bill Oakley, a writer on "The Simpsons," admitted on Twitter that perhaps the animated TV show did forecast some of our troubling current events.




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Endostatin and ST2 are predictors of pulmonary hypertension disease course in infants




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Nine-factor-based immunohistochemistry classifier predicts recurrence for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection




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Evaluating the impact of trauma and PTSD on epigenetic prediction of lifespan and neural integrity




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Does the presenting phenotype predict survival in ALS–FTD?




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Predicting brain-disorder risk genes




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Cutoff point estimation for serum vitamin D concentrations to predict cardiometabolic risk in Brazilian children




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Bioinformatic prediction of potential T cell epitopes for SARS-Cov-2




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Tooth loss in Periodontitis: how valuable are the predictors?




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Predictors of weight loss after bariatric surgery—a cross-disciplinary approach combining physiological, social, and psychological measures




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Unpredictable and uninsured: The challenging labor market experiences of nontraditional workers

As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. labor market has deteriorated from a position of relative strength into an extraordinarily weak condition in just a matter of weeks. Yet even in times of relative strength, millions of Americans struggle in the labor market, and although it is still early in the current downturn,…

       




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Unpredictable and uninsured: The challenging labor market experiences of nontraditional workers

As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. labor market has deteriorated from a position of relative strength into an extraordinarily weak condition in just a matter of weeks. Yet even in times of relative strength, millions of Americans struggle in the labor market, and although it is still early in the current downturn,…

       




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Unpredictable and uninsured: The challenging labor market experiences of nontraditional workers

As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. labor market has deteriorated from a position of relative strength into an extraordinarily weak condition in just a matter of weeks. Yet even in times of relative strength, millions of Americans struggle in the labor market, and although it is still early in the current downturn,…

       




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The Senate Trial Will Be Totally Predictable—With One Potential for Surprise

       




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AI, predictive analytics, and criminal justice

As technology becomes more sophisticated, artificial intelligence (AI) is permeating into new parts of society and being used in criminal justice to assess risks for those in pre-trial or on probation. Predictive analytics raise several questions concerning bias, accuracy, and fairness. Observers worry that these tools replicate injustice and lead to unfair outcomes in pre-trial…

       




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Despite Predictions, BCRA Has Not Been a Democratic 'Suicide Bill'

During debates in Congress and in the legal battles testing its constitutionality, critics of the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act of 2002 imagined a host of unanticipated and debilitating consequences. The law's ban on party soft money and the regulation of electioneering advertising would, they warned, produce a parade of horribles: A decline in political speech protected by the First Amendment, the demise of political parties, and the dominance of interest groups in federal election campaigns.

The forecast that attracted the most believers — among politicians, journalists, political consultants, election-law attorneys and scholars — was the claim that Democrats would be unable to compete against Republicans under the new rules, primarily because the Democrats' relative ability to raise funds would be severely crippled. One year ago, Seth Gitell in The Atlantic Monthly summarized this view and went so far as to call the new law "The Democratic Party Suicide Bill." Gitell quoted a leading Democratic Party attorney, who expressed his private view of the law as "a fascist monstrosity." He continued, "It is grossly offensive ... and on a fundamental level it's horrible public policy, because it emasculates the parties to the benefit of narrow-focus special-interest groups. And it's a disaster for the Democrats. Other than that, it's great."

The core argument was straightforward. Democratic Party committees were more dependent on soft money — unlimited contributions from corporations, unions and individuals — than were the Republicans. While they managed to match Republicans in soft-money contributions, they trailed badly in federally limited hard-money contributions. Hence, the abolition of soft money would put the Democrats at a severe disadvantage in presidential and Congressional elections.

In addition, the argument went, by increasing the amount an individual could give to a candidate from $1,000 to $2,000, the law would provide a big financial boost to President Bush, who would double the $100 million he raised in 2000 and vastly outspend his Democratic challenger. Finally, the ban on soft money would weaken the Democratic Party's get-out-the-vote efforts, particularly in minority communities, while the regulation of "issue ads" would remove a potent electoral weapon from the arsenal of labor unions, the party's most critical supporter.

After 18 months of experience under the law, the fundraising patterns in this year's election suggest that these concerns were greatly exaggerated. Money is flowing freely in the campaign, and many voices are being heard. The political parties have adapted well to an all-hard-money world and have suffered no decline in total revenues. And interest groups are playing a secondary role to that of the candidates and parties.

The financial position of the Democratic party is strikingly improved from what was imagined a year ago. Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.), who opted out of public funding before the Iowa caucuses, will raise more than $200 million before he accepts his party's nomination in Boston. The unusual unity and energy in Democrats' ranks have fueled an extraordinary flood of small donations to the Kerry campaign, mainly over the Internet. These have been complemented by a series of successful events courting $1,000 and $2,000 donors.

Indeed, since Kerry emerged as the prospective nominee in March, he has raised more than twice as much as Bush and has matched the Bush campaign's unprecedented media buys in battleground states, while also profiting from tens of millions of dollars in broadcast ads run by independent groups that are operating largely outside the strictures of federal election law.

The Democratic national party committees have adjusted to the ban on soft money much more successfully than insiders had thought possible. Instead of relying on large soft-money gifts for half of their funding, Democrats have shown a renewed commitment to small donors and have relied on grassroots supporters to fill their campaign coffers. After the 2000 election, the Democratic National Committee had 400,000 direct-mail donors; today the committee has more than 1.5 million, and hundreds of thousands more who contribute over the Internet.

By the end of June, the three Democratic committees had already raised $230 million in hard money alone, compared to $227 million in hard and soft money combined at this point in the 2000 election cycle. They have demonstrated their ability to replace the soft money they received in previous elections with new contributions from individual donors.

Democrats are also showing financial momentum as the election nears, and thus have been gradually reducing the Republican financial advantage in both receipts and cash on hand. In 2003, Democrats trailed Republicans by a large margin, raising only $95 million, compared to $206 million for the GOP. But in the first quarter of this year, Democrats began to close the gap, raising $50 million, compared to $82 million for Republicans. In the most recent quarter, they narrowed the gap even further, raising $85 million, compared to the Republicans' $96 million.

Democrats are now certain to have ample funds for the fall campaigns. Although they had less than $20 million in the bank (minus debts) at the beginning of this year, they have now banked $92 million. In the past three months, Democrats actually beat Republicans in generating cash — $47 million, compared to $31 million for the GOP.

The party, therefore, has the means to finance a strong coordinated and/or independent-spending campaign on behalf of the presidential ticket, while Congressional committees have the resources they need to play in every competitive Senate and House race, thanks in part to the fundraising support they have received from Members of Congress.

Moreover, FEC reports through June confirm that Democratic candidates in those competitive Senate and House races are more than holding their own in fundraising. They will be aided by a number of Democratic-leaning groups that have committed substantial resources to identify and turn out Democratic voters on Election Day.

Democrats are highly motivated to defeat Bush and regain control of one or both houses of Congress. BCRA has not frustrated these efforts. Democrats are financially competitive with Republicans, which means the outcome will not be determined by a disparity of resources. Put simply, the doomsday scenario conjured up by critics of the new campaign finance law has not come to pass.

Publication: Roll Call
     
 
 




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Predicting the impact of college subsidy programs on college enrollment

There is currently a great deal of interest in the potential of college subsidy programs to increase equitable access to higher education and to reduce the financial burden on college attendees. While colleges may be subsidized in a variety of ways, such as through grants to institutions, in our latest Brookings report, we focus on college subsidy programs that directly…

       




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Our 3 favorite food trend predictions for 2018

Whole Foods published a list of all the food trends it predicts for next year, and several of them fit right in on TreeHugger.




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Washington, DC predicted to sink 6 inches or more by 2100

A detailed geological-drilling study warns of threats to the region's monuments, roads, wildlife refuges, and military installations.




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What Are Your Hopes, Dreams and Predictions for 2013?

We asked the question on Facebook and got all kinds of interesting responses.




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Sooner than you think? A prediction that electric cars will cause the next oil crisis

It actually won't take that much to reduce oil demand enough to cause serious trouble.




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Drones help to predict volcanic eruptions

Drones can continually monitor active volcanoes to help with advanced warnings of eruptions.




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Earth Advantage Institute Makes Earth Day Predictions For Housing Ten Years From Now

The Earth Advantage Institute promotes a green building standard from the Northwest that combines the energy requirements of Energy Star with healthy home attributes like air quality, environmental responsibility and and resource efficiency. I thought




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Investors predict "start of the end" of coal in Asia

And it couldn't come a moment too soon.




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NOAA predicts dead zone size of New Jersey in Gulf of Mexico

This year, NOAA predicts a massive "dead zone" the size of New Jersey will bloom in the Gulf of Mexico. Brian Merchant reports on the cause and consequences of dead zones.




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Tesla CEO Predicts More Than Half of New Cars to be Electric in 20 Years

It usually doesn't pay to bet against Elon Musk. He's not only brilliant and he never gives up, but he's also shown great insight into technological trends.




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Over 50% of department stores in malls predicted to close by 2021, real estate services firm says

Department stores still represent about 60% of the anchor space within malls across the U.S. today, according to Green Street Advisors.




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Nucor CEO sticks by dividend, predicts steel price bottom in second quarter

"We are optimistic that we'll see the bottom in Q2 and move out of that as we enter the third and fourth quarters," Nucor CEO




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Why ordering from Amazon has been so unpredictable during the coronavirus crisis

Amazon has been combating coronavirus-related issues on multiple fronts for the past several months.




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AT&T will likely be broken up and will move on from WarnerMedia, analyst Craig Moffett predicts

Craig Moffett said on CNBC's "Squawk Box" that AT&T will eventually separate its telecom business from its media business.




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Even if the Fed cuts rates to zero, market bear David Rosenberg predicts a recession is less than 12 months away

Gluskin Sheff's David Rosenberg reinforces his recession forecast following the Federal Reserve's September meeting.




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EU predicts region will contract 7.4% this year in worst economic shock since 1930s

In February, the European Commission estimated a 1.4% rise in GDP for the EU this year.




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Trump 'very confident' of Covid-19 vaccine in 2020 and predicts up to 100,000 US deaths

US president again criticises Beijing as European countries prepare to ease lockdown

Donald Trump has said he is “very confident” there will be a vaccine for coronavirus by the end of the year, revising up his estimate of the final US death toll as several European countries prepare for a cautious easing of lockdowns.

The president used a Fox News “virtual town hall” on Sunday night to repeat his regular virus talking points, including that a vaccine was not far away, Covid-19 was China’s fault and the economy would not only recover but “grow like crazy”.

Related: Mike Pompeo: 'enormous evidence' coronavirus came from Chinese lab

Global coronavirus cases have surpassed 3.5 million with more than 247,000 deaths.

In New York, the centre of the US outbreak, an emergency field hospital erected in Central Park is set to close. Dozens of New Yorkers were fined for violating social distancing guidelines as they flocked to beaches and parks in balmy weekend weather.

China reported three new coronavirus cases, versus two the day before.

Japan’s state of emergency is expected to be extended until the end of the month.

France will not quarantine anyone arriving from the EU, the Schengen area or Britain due to the coronavirus.

New Zealand has reported no new coronavirus cases for the first time.

South Korea plans to ease a ban on some gatherings and events as long as they “follow disinfection measures”.

Brazil has become the first country in Latin America to report more than 100,000 cases.

The Iranian president, Hassan Rouhani, announced mosques will reopen across large parts of the Islamic republic after they were closed in early March.

Continue reading...





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It’s impossible to predict if crucial Antarctic glacier will collapse

The Pine Island glacier has three tipping points that could lead to the collapse of the entire West Antarctic ice sheet, potentially raising sea levels by 3 metres over centuries




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Football greats make EURO 2016 predictions

Marcel Desailly, Luis Figo and Fabio Capello discuss which teams they think are favoured to win UEFA EURO 2016.




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STAY IN-TERTAINED | Rakul Preet Singh: Watchmen was delightfully unpredictable

On a regular day, Rakul Preet Singh's Instagram posts could well double-up as tutorials for the average Joe to make the most of the ongoing period of isolation. But when she isn't using her furniture as workout props, busting diet myths, and indulging in play with her family members, Singh recedes to her couch to become more like us — indolent consumers of web shows.

"I have been binge-watching shows that have been recommended by friends. I saw one called Watchmen, which was [beautifully] written and unpredictable. It was Arjun [Kapoor] who had suggested it," says the actor, also adding that the Apple TV series, Loudest Voice, is another noteworthy addition here.

"It is not an over-the-top drama. It has been created interestingly and is based on the manner in which the #MeToo campaign kick-started. I also loved The Morning Show, and another gripping Netflix drama called Caliphate."


American superhero drama series Watchmen (left) continues the 1987 DC Comics series by the same name; Loudest Voice (right) attempts to trace the origins of the #MeToo campaign 

A career as a South Indian film actor implies Singh is also spoilt for choice when it comes to shows in regional languages. "There's a Malayalam film called Charlie starring Dulquer [Salmaan] that I'd recommend. Finally, Super Deluxe is another brilliant offering," she concludes.

Catch up on all the latest entertainment news and gossip here. Also, download the new mid-day Android and iOS apps.

Mid-Day is now on Telegram. Click here to join our channel (@middayinfomedialtd) and stay updated with the latest news




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Valentine's Day: Five not-so-predictable ideas to make the day special

For mid-air thrills
If you love the rush of adrenaline, sign up for Sky Waltz Balloon Safari near Pune (also available at Kamshet). Spend an hour in the air in a hot air balloon, where organisers can also make special arrangements for a planned marriage proposal or birthday celebration. It's run by licensed commercial hot air balloon operators authorised by the Directorate General of Civil Aviation.
On: date as per choice meet
At: Hotel Orritel, Talegaon.
Log on to: insider.in
Cost: Rs 6,800 onwards

For an aerial view
If your partner is bored of exploring the same old sights in the city, book a view from the top in a helicopter joyride. On offer are 10- to one-hour rides with routes that will cover the Bandra-Worli Sea Link, Dadar, Mahalaxmi, Haji Ali, Girgaum Chowpatty, airport, Filmcity, Pagoda, Marine Drive and other attractions.
On: date as per choice
Meet at: Juhu
Log on to: accretionaviation.com
Cost: Rs 8,250 onwards

For lilting tunes
If you are a music buff, take your beloved to scout for old records at The Revolver Club, which has a vast library of vinyls from various genres. You can also head to the chaotic Chor Bazaar to scour for rare music finds. With your musical gift sorted, head to the historic Royal Opera House and attend a jazz performance by Karim Ellaboudi on piano, Adrian D'Souza on drums, Dee Wood on bass, and Shreya Bhattacharya on vocals.
At: The Revolver Club, Mahim; Chor Bazar, near Bhendi Bazaar; Opera House, Girgaum.

For a brush with the sea
Pick a day to explore the harbour of the city in an open sail boat by Small Steps Adventures. The weather makes it the perfect time to set sail before the summer starts. Pack a picnic basket and make it the perfect date with goodies cooked by you for your other half.
On: date as per choice
Meet at: Jetty no 5, Colaba.
Log on to: eventshigh.com
Cost: Rs 4,500 onwards

For a heritage class
If you dig the past and want to learn more about the city's ancient history, hike to Kanheri Caves in the heart of Sanjay Gandhi National Park. These rock-cut Buddhist monuments date back to 1st century BCE - 10th century CE. Another option is a ferry ride to the Elephanta Caves, a UNESCO World Heritage Site off the harbour, that house Hindu and Buddhist relics, the Trimurti relief (in pic) being the most popular sight.
How to reach: Take a train to Borivali (East, for the National Park); hail a taxi to the Gateway of India from CSMT or Churchgate (for a ferry ride to Elephanta Island).

Catch up on all the latest Mumbai, National and International news here

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Software Predicts Likelihood of Normal Delivery

French scientists have developed a software program called Predibirth' that can identify potential problems with delivery of the baby in high-risk pregnancies.




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New Model Helps Predict Dengue Fever Epidemic in Urban Areas

SIR-Network Model - new mathematical model offers a simplified approach to studying the spread of dengue fever in urban areas. The model is




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Identifying Dengue 'Hot Spots' can Predict Chikungunya, Zika Outbreaks

Outbreaks of chikungunya and Zika viral diseases can now be predicted by identifying dengue fever "hot spots". Dengue, chikungunya and Zika viral disease