Wesley Bertoli, Katiane S. Conceição, Marinho G. Andrade, Francisco Louzada.

Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 4, 826--860.

Abstract:
The primary goal of this paper is to introduce the zero-modified Poisson–Lindley regression model as an alternative to model overdispersed count data exhibiting inflation or deflation of zeros in the presence of covariates. The zero-modification is incorporated by considering that a zero-truncated process produces positive observations and consequently, the proposed model can be fitted without any previous information about the zero-modification present in a given dataset. A fully Bayesian approach based on the g-prior method has been considered for inference concerns. An intensive Monte Carlo simulation study has been conducted to evaluate the performance of the developed methodology and the maximum likelihood estimators. The proposed model was considered for the analysis of a real dataset on the number of bids received by $126$ U.S. firms between 1978–1985, and the impact of choosing different prior distributions for the regression coefficients has been studied. A sensitivity analysis to detect influential points has been performed based on the Kullback–Leibler divergence. A general comparison with some well-known regression models for discrete data has been presented.

Khamis K. Said, Wei Ning, Yubin Tian.

Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 280--300.

Abstract:
In this paper, we study the change point problem for the skew normal distribution model from the view of model selection problem. The detection procedure based on the modified information criterion (MIC) for change problem is proposed. Such a procedure has advantage in detecting the changes in early and late stage of a data comparing to the one based on the traditional Schwarz information criterion which is well known as Bayesian information criterion (BIC) by considering the complexity of the models. Due to the difficulty in deriving the analytic asymptotic distribution of the test statistic based on the MIC procedure, the bootstrap simulation is provided to obtain the critical values at the different significance levels. Simulations are conducted to illustrate the comparisons of performance between MIC, BIC and likelihood ratio test (LRT). Such an approach is applied on two stock market data sets to indicate the detection procedure.

We study the problem of parameter estimation for a non-ergodic Gaussian Vasicek-type model defined as $dX_t=(mu+ heta X_t)dt+dG_t, tgeq0$ with unknown parameters $ heta>0$ and $muinR$, where $G$ is a Gaussian process. We provide least square-type estimators $widetilde{ heta}_T$ and $widetilde{mu}_T$ respectively for the drift parameters $ heta$ and $mu$ based on continuous-time observations ${X_t, tin[0,T]}$ as $T ightarrowinfty$.

Our aim is to derive some sufficient conditions on the driving Gaussian process $G$ in order to ensure that $widetilde{ heta}_T$ and $widetilde{mu}_T$ are strongly consistent, the limit distribution of $widetilde{ heta}_T$ is a Cauchy-type distribution and $widetilde{mu}_T$ is asymptotically normal. We apply our result to fractional Vasicek, subfractional Vasicek and bifractional Vasicek processes. In addition, this work extends the result of cite{EEO} studied in the case where $mu=0$.

The ability of intelligent agents to learn and remember multiple tasks sequentially is crucial to achieving artificial general intelligence. Many continual learning (CL) methods have been proposed to overcome catastrophic forgetting. Catastrophic forgetting notoriously impedes the sequential learning of neural networks as the data of previous tasks are unavailable. In this paper we focus on class incremental learning, a challenging CL scenario, in which classes of each task are disjoint and task identity is unknown during test. For this scenario, generative replay is an effective strategy which generates and replays pseudo data for previous tasks to alleviate catastrophic forgetting. However, it is not trivial to learn a generative model continually for relatively complex data. Based on recently proposed orthogonal weight modification (OWM) algorithm which can keep previously learned input-output mappings invariant approximately when learning new tasks, we propose to directly generate and replay feature. Empirical results on image and text datasets show our method can improve OWM consistently by a significant margin while conventional generative replay always results in a negative effect. Our method also beats a state-of-the-art generative replay method and is competitive with a strong baseline based on real data storage.

Kerstin Spitzer, Marta Pelizzola, Andreas Futschik.

Source: The Annals of Applied Statistics, Volume 14, Number 1, 202--220.

Abstract:
Evolve and resequence studies provide a popular approach to simulate evolution in the lab and explore its genetic basis. In this context, Pearson’s chi-square test, Fisher’s exact test as well as the Cochran–Mantel–Haenszel test are commonly used to infer genomic positions affected by selection from temporal changes in allele frequency. However, the null model associated with these tests does not match the null hypothesis of actual interest. Indeed, due to genetic drift and possibly other additional noise components such as pool sequencing, the null variance in the data can be substantially larger than accounted for by these common test statistics. This leads to $p$-values that are systematically too small and, therefore, a huge number of false positive results. Even, if the ranking rather than the actual $p$-values is of interest, a naive application of the mentioned tests will give misleading results, as the amount of overdispersion varies from locus to locus. We therefore propose adjusted statistics that take the overdispersion into account while keeping the formulas simple. This is particularly useful in genome-wide applications, where millions of SNPs can be handled with little computational effort. We then apply the adapted test statistics to real data from Drosophila and investigate how information from intermediate generations can be included when available. We also discuss further applications such as genome-wide association studies based on pool sequencing data and tests for local adaptation.

Stanislav Minsker, Xiaohan Wei.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 1, 694--727.

Abstract:
Let $Y$ be a $d$-dimensional random vector with unknown mean $mu $ and covariance matrix $Sigma $. This paper is motivated by the problem of designing an estimator of $Sigma $ that admits exponential deviation bounds in the operator norm under minimal assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of only 4th moments of the coordinates of $Y$. To address this problem, we propose robust modifications of the operator-valued U-statistics, obtain non-asymptotic guarantees for their performance, and demonstrate the implications of these results to the covariance estimation problem under various structural assumptions.

Régis Trapeau
Mar 28, 2018; 38:3252-3264
BehavioralSystemsCognitive

Guo-qiang Bi
Dec 15, 1998; 18:10464-10472
Articles

Michael N. Shadlen
May 15, 1998; 18:3870-3896
Articles

French translation of the press release about the Basel Committee publishing a discussion paper on "The regulatory treatment of sovereign exposures" (7 December 2017)

Spanish translation of the BIS press release about the BIS Quarterly Review, March 2018

02020-02-06: Flooding in Louisiana and Mississippi

A prominent theory claims that the right temporoparietal junction (rTPJ) is especially associated with embodied processes relevant to perspective-taking. In the present study, we use high-definition transcranial direct current stimulation to provide evidence that the rTPJ is causally associated with the embodied processes underpinning perspective-taking. Eighty-eight young human adults were stratified to receive either rTPJ or dorsomedial PFC anodal high-definition transcranial direct current stimulation in a sham-controlled, double-blind, repeated-measures design. Perspective-tracking (line-of-sight) and perspective-taking (embodied rotation) were assessed using a visuo-spatial perspective-taking task that required understanding what another person could see or how they see it, respectively. Embodied processing was manipulated by positioning the participant in a manner congruent or incongruent with the orientation of an avatar on the screen. As perspective-taking, but not perspective-tracking, is influenced by bodily position, this allows the investigation of the specific causal role for the rTPJ in embodied processing. Crucially, anodal stimulation to the rTPJ increased the effect of bodily position during perspective-taking, whereas no such effects were identified during perspective-tracking, thereby providing evidence for a causal role for the rTPJ in the embodied component of perspective-taking. Stimulation to the dorsomedial PFC had no effect on perspective-tracking or taking. Therefore, the present study provides support for theories postulating that the rTPJ is causally involved in embodied cognitive processing relevant to social functioning.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT The ability to understand another's perspective is a fundamental component of social functioning. Adopting another perspective is thought to involve both embodied and nonembodied processes. The present study used high-definition transcranial direct current stimulation (HD-tDCS) and provided causal evidence that the right temporoparietal junction is involved specifically in the embodied component of perspective-taking. Specifically, HD-tDCS to the right temporoparietal junction, but not another hub of the social brain (dorsomedial PFC), increased the effect of body position during perspective-taking, but not tracking. This is the first causal evidence that HD-tDCS can modulate social embodied processing in a site-specific and task-specific manner.

Hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) is a multifunctional protein that signals through the MET receptor. HGF stimulates cell proliferation, cell dispersion, neuronal survival, and wound healing. In the inner ear, levels of HGF must be fine-tuned for normal hearing. In mice, a deficiency of HGF expression limited to the auditory system, or an overexpression of HGF, causes neurosensory deafness. In humans, noncoding variants in HGF are associated with nonsyndromic deafness DFNB39. However, the mechanism by which these noncoding variants causes deafness was unknown. Here, we reveal the cause of this deafness using a mouse model engineered with a noncoding intronic 10 bp deletion (del10) in Hgf. Male and female mice homozygous for del10 exhibit moderate-to-profound hearing loss at 4 weeks of age as measured by tone burst auditory brainstem responses. The wild type (WT) 80 mV endocochlear potential was significantly reduced in homozygous del10 mice compared with WT littermates. In normal cochlea, endocochlear potentials are dependent on ion homeostasis mediated by the stria vascularis (SV). Previous studies showed that developmental incorporation of neural crest cells into the SV depends on signaling from HGF/MET. We show by immunohistochemistry that, in del10 homozygotes, neural crest cells fail to infiltrate the developing SV intermediate layer. Phenotyping and RNAseq analyses reveal no other significant abnormalities in other tissues. We conclude that, in the inner ear, the noncoding del10 mutation in Hgf leads to developmental defects of the SV and consequently dysfunctional ion homeostasis and a reduction in the EP, recapitulating human DFNB39 nonsyndromic deafness.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT Hereditary deafness is a common, clinically and genetically heterogeneous neurosensory disorder. Previously, we reported that human deafness DFNB39 is associated with noncoding variants in the 3'UTR of a short isoform of HGF encoding hepatocyte growth factor. For normal hearing, HGF levels must be fine-tuned as an excess or deficiency of HGF cause deafness in mouse. Using a Hgf mutant mouse with a small 10 bp deletion recapitulating a human DFNB39 noncoding variant, we demonstrate that neural crest cells fail to migrate into the stria vascularis intermediate layer, resulting in a significantly reduced endocochlear potential, the driving force for sound transduction by inner ear hair cells. HGF-associated deafness is a neurocristopathy but, unlike many other neurocristopathies, it is not syndromic.

Adaptive coding of stimuli is well documented in perception, where it supports efficient encoding over a broad range of possible percepts. Recently, a similar neural mechanism has been reported also in value-based decision, where it allows optimal encoding of vast ranges of values in PFC: neuronal response to value depends on the choice context (relative coding), rather than being invariant across contexts (absolute coding). Additionally, value learning is sensitive to the amount of feedback information: providing complete feedback (both obtained and forgone outcomes) instead of partial feedback (only obtained outcome) improves learning. However, it is unclear whether relative coding occurs in all PFC regions and how it is affected by feedback information. We systematically investigated univariate and multivariate feedback encoding in various mPFC regions and compared three modes of neural coding: absolute, partially-adaptive and fully-adaptive.

Twenty-eight human participants (both sexes) performed a learning task while undergoing fMRI scanning. On each trial, they chose between two symbols associated with a certain outcome. Then, the decision outcome was revealed. Notably, in one-half of the trials participants received partial feedback, whereas in the other half they got complete feedback. We used univariate and multivariate analysis to explore value encoding in different feedback conditions.

We found that both obtained and forgone outcomes were encoded in mPFC, but with opposite sign in its ventral and dorsal subdivisions. Moreover, we showed that increasing feedback information induced a switch from absolute to relative coding. Our results suggest that complete feedback information enhances context-dependent outcome encoding.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT This study offers a systematic investigation of the effect of the amount of feedback information (partial vs complete) on univariate and multivariate outcome value encoding, within multiple regions in mPFC and cingulate cortex that are critical for value-based decisions and behavioral adaptation. Moreover, we provide the first comparison of three possible models of neural coding (i.e., absolute, partially-adaptive, and fully-adaptive coding) of value signal in these regions, by using commensurable measures of prediction accuracy. Taken together, our results help build a more comprehensive picture of how the human brain encodes and processes outcome value. In particular, our results suggest that simultaneous presentation of obtained and foregone outcomes promotes relative value representation.

For visually guided navigation, the use of environmental cues is essential. Particularly, detecting local boundaries that impose limits to locomotion and estimating their location is crucial. In a series of three fMRI experiments, we investigated whether there is a neural coding of navigational distance in the human visual cortex (both female and male). We used virtual reality software to systematically manipulate the distance from a viewer perspective to different types of a boundary. Using a multivoxel pattern classification employing a linear support vector machine, we found that the occipital place area (OPA) is sensitive to the navigational distance restricted by the transparent glass wall. Further, the OPA was sensitive to a non-crossable boundary only, suggesting an importance of the functional constraint of a boundary. Together, we propose the OPA as a perceptual source of external environmental features relevant for navigation.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT One of major goals in cognitive neuroscience has been to understand the nature of visual scene representation in human ventral visual cortex. An aspect of scene perception that has been overlooked despite its ecological importance is the analysis of space for navigation. One of critical computation necessary for navigation is coding of distance to environmental boundaries that impose limit on navigator's movements. This paper reports the first empirical evidence for coding of navigational distance in the human visual cortex and its striking sensitivity to functional constraint of environmental boundaries. Such finding links the paper to previous neurological and behavioral works that emphasized the distance to boundaries as a crucial geometric property for reorientation behavior of children and other animal species.

June 18 was the world’s first Sustainable Gastronomy Day. This begs the questions: 1) What in the world is sustainable gastronomy? 2) Why is it important enough to have a “day” dedicated to it? and 3) Even so, why should I care? What is Sustainable Gastronomy?  Gastronomy is sometimes called the art of food. It can also refer to a style of [...]

Biodiversity may sound complicated, but it’s a fairly simple concept: the existence of many different types of plants and animals makes the world a healthier and more productive place. A mix of genetics, species and habitats allows Earth’s ecosystems to keep up with challenges like population growth and climate change. Biodiversity is important to us because it plays a crucial [...]

Four years into the 2030 Agenda and there is a pressing need to understand where the world stands in eradicating hunger and food insecurity, as well as ensuring sustainable [...]

Since the adoption of the 2030 Agenda, FAO has produced a wealth of materials aimed at promoting knowledge and understanding related to the SDG Indicators under FAO custodianship.

As the custodian [...]

Buy fresh and seasonal produce at the Farmers’ Market on
Wednesday 26 February from 12.00 – 16.00 hours, and be sure to visit the [...]

Researchers tracked changes in the crocodilian creatures’ inner ears to learn how they moved into the sea

Expelled by animals as a waste product, the gas appears to play a crucial role in keeping these bizarre, burrowing rodents safe

A trio of teenage lions are desperate to cross the shallows of the Luangwa River, in order to reunite with their pride. One problem: The river is infested with crocodiles, waiting for an easy meal.

This rapid and efficient method to prepare highly purified recombinant adeno-associated viruses (rAAVs) is based on binding of negatively charged rAAV capsids to an anion-exchange resin that is pH dependent.

This is a simple method for rapid preparation of recombinant adeno-associated virus (rAAV) stocks, which can be used for in vivo gene delivery. The purity of these vectors is considerably lower than that obtained by either CsCl gradient centrifugation or by combination of iodixanol gradient ultracentrifugation followed by column chromatography.

Colloidal gold–antibody conjugates are easy to prepare and are an excellent choice for microscopic applications. Colloidal gold is an aqueous suspension of nanometer-sized particles of gold. Typically, chloroauric acid, HAuCl₄, is reduced with dilute solutions of sodium citrate, as described here. This will cause the gold to form small aggregates that will associate with proteins. Gold particles of specific sizes can be isolated and differentiated microscopically, allowing these particles to be used for multiple-label experiments. Colloidal gold-labeled antibodies are widely used in electron microscopy (EM), and can be used for light microscopy but require additional steps (silver enhancement).

There are many uses for antibodies labeled with metal ions. Most of these methods involve first attaching a metal chelator to the antibody molecule. This is achieved using standard cross-linking chemistry and then adding the desired metal at appropriate concentration and pH. The method described here outlines a basic procedure for creating a lanthanide conjugate. Lanthanide conjugates are used for proximity assays, as MRI contrast agents, or for mass cytometry experiments. Different metals and chelators can be substituted, but the basic procedures are similar.

Canada's Joseph Phan was eighth after a highly competitive men's short program Wednesday at the world junior figure skating championships.

1. Bharat Biotech to lead human monoclonal antibodies project  The Hindu
2. Bharat Biotech leads CSIR project to develop antibodies against Covid-19  Times of India
3. Bharat Biotech To Lead CSIR’s Project To Develop Human Monoclonal Antibodies For Covid-19 Therapy  Swarajya
4. Bharat Biotech to develop human antibodies for COVID-19 therapy  Telangana Today
5. Bharat Biotech vows human monoclonal antibodies to neutralise COVID-19 in 6 months  Mumbai Mirror
6. View Full coverage on Google News

Ten properties, including homes and businesses, have already been evacuated as the community braces against rising water levels.

The post SOLIDWORKS Electrical Formula SAE Tutorial: Assigning, Creating and Modifying Manufacturer Part appeared first on SOLIDWORKS Education Blog.

Amendments to the Price Increments of the 3-Year U.S. Treasury Note Futures Contract

Click here for the full text of the advisory

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OM Ships partners with Christian ministries and celebrates four years of service for Logos Hope.

A Ukrainian pastor responds to nearly 100 per cent unemployment in his village by starting biofuel and cash crop business enterprises.

A Fin24 set to retire this year is looking to invest his R1.2m savings in order to receive a monthly payout.

Quiet, crisp and clear winter days are perfect for exploring Scotland’s most spectacular coast and countryside scenery – especially with the promise of a wholesome, heart-warming meal and a cosy room after a day exploring. While Munro-bagging at this time of year might be a little too ambitious, Scotland has no shortage of shorter and more gentle winter walks, all within a stone’s throw of some of Scotland’s best foodie destinations. Here is a selection of Scotland’s top 10 winter walk

I’ve been longing to eat Korean food ever since seeing Bong Joon-Ho’s phenomenal Oscar-winning film, Parasite, his interrogation of class and wealth on the plate. The wealthy mother tells her housekeeper to prepare jjapaguri, essentially an everyday dish, commonly made with two sorts of instant noodles. What makes this one exclusive and upper class is its topping of steak, from indigenous, highly prized Hanwoo cattle, which is way more expensive than Waygu beef would be here. Only the Korean

A Dutch couple quit their jobs and change the lives of youth on the other side of the world.

Treatment of adolescent migraine remains a significant unmet medical need. In adults, the combination of sumatriptan and naproxen sodium has demonstrated superior efficacy, with similar tolerability, to its components in the acute treatment of migraine.

This study constitutes the first large-scale, placebo-controlled evidence for the acute relief of adolescent migraine pain and associated symptoms with an oral medication. (Read the full article)

Adolescents living in lower-poverty neighborhoods have better mental health than youth in high-poverty contexts, but it is unclear if associations are causal. Furthermore, it is unknown why some youth benefit more than others from moving to more advantaged neighborhoods.

Using an experimental study that randomly assigned families to receive vouchers to move to lower-poverty neighborhoods, we found that recent violent crime victimization adversely modified the mental health effects of moving to better neighborhoods. (Read the full article)

High blood pressure in childhood predisposes people to hypertension in adulthood and is associated with early development of cardiovascular disease and risk for premature death. High sodium intake and overweight/obesity are recognized as risk factors for hypertension in children.

These results show that usual sodium intake was positively associated with systolic blood pressure and risk for pre-high blood pressure and high blood pressure among US children. The data indicate a synergistic interaction between sodium intake and weight status on risk for high blood pressure. (Read the full article)

Children have been shown to imitate behaviors they see on screen.

Modifying what children watch can improve their observed behavior. (Read the full article)

Early detection for children with autism leads to better outcomes; early screening is critical. The Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers (M-CHAT) is a widely used instrument for early autism screening and is recommended by the American Academy of Pediatrics.

This large study provides empirical support for population screening for autism spectrum disorders and the use of the M-CHAT in primary care settings. This study provides updated results to facilitate use and scoring of the M-CHAT by clinical providers. (Read the full article)

Perforation in the setting of retained esophageal foreign body is rare, but can be catastrophic. The role of imaging in screening for injury after removal has not previously been studied.

The rate of esophageal injury among children with retained esophageal foreign body is 1.3%. Intraoperative findings suggestive of injury are predictive of perforation. Routine chest radiography is not warranted in those who do not meet this criterion. (Read the full article)

Screening for autism spectrum disorders (ASDs) using the Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers (M-CHAT) improves early detection and long-term prognosis of ASD. Reducing the false-positive rate may increase implementation of screening for ASDs.

The Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers, Revised with Follow-up (M-CHAT-R/F), simplifies wording of the original M-CHAT. The current validation study indicates that the M-CHAT-R/F improves the ability to detect autism spectrum disorders in toddlers screened during well-child care visits. (Read the full article)