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Advisory #003A Cone of Uncertainty [kmz] - Tropical Depression Nineteen (AT4/AL192024)

KMZ last updated Thu, 14 Nov 2024 11:49:39 GMT




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NextStar 'full speed ahead' with Windsor EV battery production amid Trump tariff uncertainty

Windsor, Ont.,'s massive electric vehicle battery plant expects to start producing cells by July — amid uncertainty surrounding possible automotive-related tariffs imposed by the U.S., as threatened by Donald Trump during his election campaign.



  • News/Canada/Windsor

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Businesses try to keep calm amid uncertainty of Brexit vote

Britains vote to leave the European Union is already taking a toll on some small U.S. businesses, with canceled tour bookings in New York and U.K. retailers cutting back their orders from American suppliers.

The plunge in the pound against the U.S. dollar after the vote three weeks ago makes goods and services more expensive for those in the U.K. and means British tourists get less for their money while traveling elsewhere.

Many of the companies are trying to plot a course without clarity on exactly when or how a split may occur.

complete article




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Small Business Grapples with Uncertainty

Small business challenges for 2020 will not be easy as more than eight of ten owners indicate attracting new customers is their biggest problem, and nearly six out of ten report hiring or trying to hire qualified applicants has become frustrating. Overall, small business optimism during 2019 was a roller coaster ride for many, as potential threats, such as the on-again off-again trade war with China, potential trade wars with India and Europe, has made it nearly impossible to set long-term plans. Compounding the frustration is the potential impact of the upcoming national elections.

While the Republicans have loosened regulations for small businesses, the consequences of the ill advised 2017 corporate and wealthy tax cuts are beginning to bite, thus producing a walk back in 2020.

complete article




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Love in a World of Uncertainty

Today we live in a time of uncertainty; but really, today is no more uncertain than yesterday nor the day or year or century before. Certainty is a kind of delusion. It is a delusion that conveniently forgets that there is much, much more going on in the world than we know and can see. How, then, can we live in peace when our life is enveloped in uncertainty? How do we escape the fear of uncertainty?




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Certainty in a Time of Uncertainty: Living with the Virus




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A method for selecting multiple logistics sites in cross-border e-commerce based on return uncertainty

To reduce the location cost of cross-border e-commerce logistics sites, this article proposes a multi-logistics site location method based on return uncertainty. Firstly, a site selection model is established with the objective function of minimising site construction costs, transportation costs, return costs, and operating costs, and the constraint conditions of return recovery costs and delayed pick-up time; Then, using the Monte Carlo method to simulate the number of returned items, and using an improved chicken swarm algorithm based on simulated annealing, the cross-border e-commerce multi-logistics site location model is solved to complete the location selection. Experimental results show that this method can effectively reduce the related costs of cross-border e-commerce multi-logistics site selection. After applying this method, the total cost of multi-logistics site selection is 19.4 million yuan, while the total cost of the five comparative methods exceeds 20 million yuan.




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Good Intuition or Fear and Uncertainty: The Effects of Bias on Information Systems Selection Decisions




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Does Uncertainty Play a Vicious Role in IOS Adoption Decisions by Small Business Managers?

Aim/Purpose: Explores the interrelationships between uncertainty, motivation, and IT readiness when predicting IOS adoption among small businesses. Background: Small business IOS adoption is proportionally low in most countries worldwide. Methodology: Uses a sample of small businesses and PLS structural-equations path modelling approach. Contribution: Uncertainty is an underexplored construct in information systems research, and our research shows that it plays a significant role in IOS adoption among small businesses Findings: The findings support that uncertainty has a negative effect on intent to adopt IOS and that motivation and IT readiness have a positive effect. Recommendation for Researchers: To alleviate uncertainty, an effort to win over small business managers to IOS over the internet must encompass accessible information, security provisions, low-cost product, simple interfaces, and system adaptability to existing provisions in the IOS network. The uncertainty perspective has not been tested extensively empirically, especially not in the context of technology adoption, and needs further investigation. Future Research: Future research could explore the uncertainty construct in the context of IOS among different size businesses




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Local Partnering in Foreign Ventures: Uncertainty, Experiential Learning, and Syndication in Cross-Border Venture Capital Investments

If partnering with local firms is an intuitive strategy with which to mitigate uncertainty in foreign ventures, then why don't organizations always partner with local firms, especially in uncertain settings? We address this question by unbundling the effects of uncertainty in foreign ventures at the venture and country levels. We contend that, while both levels increase the need for partnering with local firms in foreign ventures, country-level uncertainty increases the difficulty of partnering with local firms and decreases the likelihood of such partnerships. We also posit that experiential learning helps firms manage the two types of uncertainty, and thereby reduces the need for partnering—yet, experience in the host country makes partnering more feasible and increases the likelihood of such partnerships. To test our hypotheses, we conceptualize the decision to partner with a local firm in a foreign venture as a multilayered decision, and model it accordingly. Using a global sample of venture capital investments made between 1984 and 2011, we find support for the distinct effects of venture- and country-level uncertainty as well as for corresponding levels of experiential learning. These findings have implications for the literature on cross-border venture capital investment and international business in general.




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Felix Prangenberg - world of uncertainty





Our bro Felix Prangenberg went to California and filmed with Grant Castelluzzo an awesome video for his sponsor eclat. The style and creativity from Felix is something you're not going to be seeing from anyone else so sit back and enjoy.

Have fun to watch, your kunstform BMX Shop Team!

Video: Grant Castelluzzo




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'Stable uncertainty': Election season barely changed, but voters want a break

"Presidential election polling this fall can best be characterized as stable uncertainty," said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. "Major events like an assassination attempt [on former President Donald Trump] and a high-profile debate barely caused the needle to stutter. Shifts of a single point can be consequential to the outcome but are beyond the ability of most polls to capture with any precision. The bottom line is this race is a toss-up and has been since August."




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Uncertainty analysis of crowd-sourced and professionally collected field data used in species distribution models of Taiwanese Moths





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Towards a different attitude to uncertainty




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Cartograms tool to represent spatial uncertainty in species distribution




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D4.3 Quantification on sources of uncertainty in previous analyses




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Trump’s win brings uncertainty to borrowers hoping for student loan forgiveness

Student loan cancellation was not a focus of the campaign for either Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris, who steered clear of the issue at her political events.

The post Trump’s win brings uncertainty to borrowers hoping for student loan forgiveness appeared first on Boston.com.




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Analysis looks at uncertainty’s role in worker injuries and mental health

Montreal — A work-related injury followed by a mental health issue, or the other way around: Which is more likely? Two Canadian researchers wanted to find out.






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Research Needed to Reduce Scientific Uncertainty About Effects of Hormonally Active Agents in the Environment

Although there is evidence of harmful health and ecological effects associated with exposure to high doses of chemicals known as hormonally active agents – or endocrine disrupters – little is understood about the harm posed by exposure to the substances at low concentrations, such as those that typically exist in the environment, says a new report from a National Research Council committee.




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Reducing Climate Uncertainty, Improving Weather Forecasts, and Understanding Sea-Level Rise Are Among Top Science Priorities for Space-Based Earth Observation Over Next Decade

NASA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and the United States Geological Survey (USGS) should implement a coordinated approach for their space-based environmental observations to further advance Earth science and applications for the next decade, says a new report by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.




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118: Season of Uncertainty

Grey has never been more wrong, Myke is wondering about his dream office, and they both consider how motivated they are.




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Government Shutdown Averted for 45 Days, Immigration Services Still Face Uncertainty, Notes California Immigration Lawyer

In a hurry, the Senate approved a bipartisan bill 88-9 to prevent a government shutdown just hours before the deadline on September 30. The bill offers a lifeline to fund the U.S. federal government for an additional 45 days to November 17, 2023.




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Valley Deck & Patio Has Created a Way to Make Outdoor Living a Reality for Families Amidst Economic Uncertainty

Maryland families have a new opportunity to enhance their outdoor living spaces without causing financial strain with new financing options from Valley Deck & Patio




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Everflow Publishes Comprehensive White Paper As Roadmap To Sustainable Growth During Economic Uncertainty

Leading partner marketing platform releases a white paper detailing how the Everflow team achieved a 120% increase in quality leads through referral partnerships and a step-by-step guide on how other businesses can replicate their success.




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The Case for Embracing Uncertainty

For many of us, uncertainty is nerve-wracking. However, many of our best achievements and meaningful experiences come from a trying time of ambiguity. INSEAD professor Nathan Furr and entrepreneur Susannah Harmon Furr argue that uncertainty and possibility are two sides of the same coin. By learning to welcome and cope with the gray area, an individual can reach better outcomes. They reviewed research and interviewed innovators and changemakers to share best practices of stepping proactively into the unknown. They wrote the new book "The Upside of Uncertainty: A Guide to Finding Possibility in the Unknown" and the HBR article "How to Overcome Your Fear of the Unknown."




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Ruling in the Braidwood Case Continues Uncertainty Over Access to No-Cost Preventive Screenings

WASHINGTON, D.C., June 21, 2024 – Today, the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals limited a lower court ruling that many health insurance plans would no longer be required to provide cost-free coverage of preventive services recommended by the United States...




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Littler Survey: Economic Uncertainty Creates New Workforce Challenges for Employers

Survey of more than 450 employers reveals critical insights on layoffs, hiring practices and more

(March 8, 2023) – Littler, the world’s largest employment and labor law practice representing management, has released the results of its latest Employer Pulse Survey Report: 2023 Economic Outlook, based on responses from more than 450 in-house lawyers, C-suite executives and human resources professionals across the United States.




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Labor & Employment Firms Expect Demand Surge as Bosses Face Uncertainty Over Rules Changes

Amidst question marks with the NLRB and workplace regulations because of the new administration, Michael Lotito says employers should consult their counsel about preventative steps.

The American Lawyer

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Coping with Anxiety and Uncertainty at Work

We often try to push away stress, fear, and anxiety. But success doesn't depend on rejecting these emotions — we can thrive because of them.




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Podcast: Measurement Uncertainty

Michelle Banger, Managing Editor of Quality, talks with Matt Noonan. He's the Quality Manager of Pratt & Whitney Measurement Systems, Inc.




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Measurement Uncertainty 101: Automation, Bias and Advanced Management

Automation requires precise data and careful attention to uncertainty, especially in longer processes with less human involvement, according to Chris Gordon from Optronic Laboratories.






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Bias in Measurement Uncertainty…And Horror Movies

I kept waking up at 7:47 and also noticed the same time on the clock in the evenings. When I mentioned it to my niece, she said it happens to her too, at a different time of the day.




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German economy ministry says US election result presents renewed uncertainty

The economy ministry notes that in light of the US election result, renewed uncertainty among German households and firms cannot be ruled out. It goes without saying that Trump tariffs on German exports is of course the big risk to watch out for. But indirectly, Trump's tariffs on China will also have some impact on the EU market. If China finds it tough to export goods to the US, they might look to flood the market in Europe instead. That's some other form of risk to be mindful about.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.




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Sequestration’s head pops up, for a peek at continuing budget uncertainty

CBO advised Congress that unless full-year appropriations for 2024 is enacted by April 30, the White House might be obligated to initiate sequestration.

The post Sequestration’s head pops up, for a peek at continuing budget uncertainty first appeared on Federal News Network.




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Commercial aerospace sector faces immediate uncertainty following pandemic but expected to recover strongly, reveals Kroll

The global impact of the COVID pandemic has been dramatically felt by the global aerospace sector, which almost overnight suffered a catastrophic collapse in demand, which resulted in an 80 percent decline in air traffic and over 60 percent of the global airline fleet grounded. The impact on the airlines and its key component supply chain has been immediate and is expected to remain in place for some time.




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McConnell successor shrouded in uncertainty ahead of monumental Senate vote

Republican senators emerged Tuesday night from a candidate forum largely tight-lipped on which of their colleagues they would support to replace Senate GOP Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) on the eve of a secret ballot vote and President-elect Donald Trump’s visit to Washington. Two hours of huddling behind closed doors with the trio of contenders fielding […]




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'We Still Face Much Uncertainty': Pandemic Hammers Big Banks

Updated at 12:45 p.m. ET The dramatic collapse of the U.S. economy from the coronavirus is pummeling America's largest banks, raising new concerns about how much growth is slowing. Wells Fargo lost $2.4 billion in the second quarter — its first quarterly loss since 2008 during the financial crisis — and said it expects to cut its dividend to shareholders by 80%. Citigroup saw its profit drop 73% in the quarter. And JPMorgan Chase, the nation's biggest bank, was forced to set aside billions of dollars more to cover bad loans during the second quarter, although money it made from trading in the frothy financial markets assured it made a profit anyway. The results underscore the toll that the recession is taking on big banks, which serve as a barometer of how the broader U.S. economy is faring. Hopes that the economy will rebound as fast as it declined — a so-called V-shaped recovery — seem increasingly unlikely. "We still face much uncertainty regarding the future path of the economy,"




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Trump’s deportation threats bring “so much uncertainty” to immigrant-friendly Colorado, advocates say

Trump, who has referred to immigrants “poisoning the blood” of the United States, promised to carry out mass deportations of people who are here illegally.




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Optimism and uncertainty at summit as Middle East awaits Trump’s return

As heads of Arab and Islamic states meet in Riyadh, Trump's victory raises questions for the region.





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Boy who survived life support withdrawal confirms “medicine is a science of uncertainty,” says judge




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The role of think tanks amid political uncertainty

The role of think tanks amid political uncertainty 9 May 2023 — 6:00PM TO 7:00PM Anonymous (not verified) 13 April 2023 Chatham House and Online

Think tank leaders discuss how persistent and new forms of political uncertainty impact on their work and what can they do to counter it.  

Think tanks play a crucial role in supporting better public policy to address the most pressing global and local challenges. However, the recent rise in political turbulence poses a significant challenge to this work. Not only must the work of think tanks help counter political uncertainty but that uncertainty often threatens their ability to work effectively, and in some cases, their survival.

Polarized elections, regional instability, the rise of populism, shrinking civic space, eroding democracies, weakened institutions and public distrust are just some of the tricky contexts and issues raised by think tank leaders in the latest think tank state of the sector report. 

This event is being held in collaboration with On Think Tanks ahead of the On Think Tanks Conference.

Join us for a thought-provoking discussion at Chatham House on the major sources and consequences of political uncertainty in the world today and the critical role of think tanks in responding to and countering it. 

Key questions to be addressed during this discussion include:

  • How does political uncertainty look like today?
  • What can think tanks do to operate within uncertain contexts? 
  • What are their roles: should they build the middle ground, support political parties, rally behind social demands?  
  • Will think tanks be able to maintain their reliability and credibility in an increasingly polarized political environment?
  • What can think tanks do to contribute to greater political stability?

As with all member events, questions from the audience drive the conversation.

A drinks reception will immediately follow this event.




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Starmer, Macron reaffirm 'ironclad' support for Ukraine amid uncertainty around Trump

French President Emmanuel Macron was joined in Paris on Monday by British Prime Minister Keir Starmer for Armistice Day commemorations after a meeting at which both leaders reaffirmed "unwavering" support for Ukraine.




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Trump's return to White House spells uncertainty for U.S.-China relationship

The impact of Donald Trump's election win on Nov. 5 will be felt globally, especially in China — one of the world's emerging superpowers and one of the United States' biggest trading partners. The relationship could also affect Canada.




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Autism Amid Uncertainty: Expert Advice for Parents and Teachers

A leading autism researcher and former special education teacher offers advice to help students cope with the abrupt changes brought on by the novel coronavirus outbreak.




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Brexit uncertainty drives auto industry towards Germany

Tesla's decision part of broader trend of investment into Germany at UK's expense.




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A Certain Uncertainty (Phil Johnson) (Selected Scriptures)

Check here each week to keep up with the latest from John MacArthur's pulpit at Grace Community Church.