A recent study has evaluated the economic and environmental merits of different designs of coal-fired power plants, all with carbon capture and storage (CCS), to replace an old power station in Germany. An integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) plant with pre-combustion CO2 capture was found to offer the best profit for plant operators and significantly lower the life cycle emissions of CO2.

Coral and mollusc species with an outer layer of protective tissue are more able to withstand acidic seawater than some other species, according to a recent study. However, higher temperatures projected under climate change are likely to worsen the impact of ocean acidification on coral and molluscs, even affecting those that are otherwise resistant to higher levels of acidity.

Coral reef formation is already decreasing worldwide. A new study predicts that formation will drop to 60% of its natural rate if anthropogenic CO2 emissions continue to rise over the next century and keep acidifying the oceans.

Researchers have found that ocean acidification leads to changes in the ways that clownfish normally respond to sound. As many species rely on hearing for orientation, habitat selection, avoiding predators and communication, ocean acidification could compromise auditory behaviour crucial for survival.

Greenland’s four major glaciers could contribute 19 to 30 mm to sea level rise by 2200, according to a new study. The researchers developed a sophisticated model which provides new insight into the effects of climate change on Greenland’s glaciers, by capturing the complex processes involved in their movement and melt.

Ocean acidification may affect sharks’ sense of smell, causing them to avoid food, reports new research. In lab tests, the study found that sharks exhibited less feeding behaviour when they were kept in tanks of acidified seawater. These changes could pose a risk to the health of sharks, with knock-on effects for whole marine ecosystems.

Ocean acidification could damage the organs of Atlantic herring, as well as slow their growth and development, recent experiments show. It adds to the list of pressures currently threatening this commercially important species, including over-fishing and marine pollution.

Glaciers are sensitive indicators of climate change. This study focused on hanging glaciers in the French Alps, where warming is increasing the risk of glaciers collapsing. The authors applied a state-of-the-art numerical model to a particularly hazardous glacier in Mont Blanc to simulate how it will respond to climate change. The results suggest the glacier may become unstable in the current century, posing a risk to the inhabitants of the valley below.

Fishing in most of Norway’s counties is at ‘moderate’ to ‘high’ risk from ocean acidification, concludes a new study. The researchers reached this conclusion with the use of an integrated risk-assessment method that accounts for environmental, economic and social factors within the 19 counties. They call for immediate action to protect the fishing industry against the effects of ocean acidification.

Since the industrial revolution, the ocean has absorbed increased levels of carbon dioxide, leading to the ocean’s pH becoming more acidic. Effects of these pH changes on marine and estuarine biota is the focus of much research effort worldwide and the authors of this study focus on the larval habitat-choice process of a commercially important tropical marine fish species, Lates calcarifer, barramundi.

A recent study has investigated how waste disposal sites in southern Italy have affected residents living nearby. Villagers reported being annoyed by odours, but the perceptions of residents living in the village closest to the facilities were possibly influenced by receiving financial compensation for the presence of the facilities.

Ocean acidification threatens marine ecosystems worldwide, but economic assessments of its impact are lacking. A recent study has predicted the future cost of ocean acidification on mollusc production in Europe and showed that the highest economic impacts would be in France, Italy and Spain. For Europe overall, the annual damage could be in the region of €0.9 billion by 2100.

Industry executives say most plants will work at low capacity at least until the festive season

Researchers have found that ocean acidification leads to changes in the ways that clownfish normally respond to sound. As many species rely on hearing for orientation, habitat selection, avoiding predators and communication, ocean acidification could compromise auditory behaviour crucial for survival.

Green Infrastructure (GI), or networks of areas with high ecosystem values, has an increasing presence on the environmental policy agenda. New research has investigated GI policy in urban fringe areas in Northern England and its relationship with the existing green belt policy. The shift towards an 'environmental economy', which values the role of ecosystem services, was found to have helped encourage the uptake of GI.

Public participation is an essential part of integrated water management. In a recent study, researchers following the development of a UK catchment management plan found greater cooperation between land managers and environmental regulatory bodies as a result of a participatory process.

Marine diesel contains sulphur compounds, which generate sulphur oxide (SOx) pollution and acid rain. Ships can use mitigating technologies to reduce their SOx emissions, but these can also have a negative environmental impact. The International Maritime Organization (IMO) introduced stringent legislation to control these, aspects of which are incorporated into EU policy. This study examined the implications of the IMO’s policy and recommends a number of design solutions to help ships comply.

Both the companies said privacy and preventing governments from using the system to compile data on citizens was a primary goal

The data centre market, currently pegged at around $4 billion, is likely to grow to $7 billion by 2020 or 2022, say industry players.

This expansion adds up to 15 data centres under STT GDC India’s ownership and management, and increases the power capacity to more than 90 megawatt of critical IT load across eight cities, further strengthening its market-leading position, said the company.

Acidification of water bodies can have substantial impacts on aquatic wildlife, and even after chemical conditions improve, biological recovery may lag behind. A study of Swedish lakes shows that, although their chemical quality has improved as a result of international reductions of acidifying emissions, biological recovery has been much slower in some lakes.

Increasing temperatures and rising ocean acidification could reduce the health and survival of young sharks, new research has shown. Bamboo shark embryos incubated under ocean temperatures and acidity predicted for 2100 showed survival rates of 80% compared to 100% survival under present-day conditions. Once hatched, survival measured at 30 days was only 44% for those under predicted climate change conditions, again compared to 100% for those experiencing current temperature and acidity.

The impact of ocean acidification — caused by increased carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions dissolving in sea water — on Atlantic cod larvae has been assessed in a new study. The researchers estimate that, under scenarios which might be reached at the end of the century, ocean acidification could double the mortality rate of cod larvae, reducing replenishment of juvenile fish into cod fisheries to 24% of previous recruitment.

Natural wetlands can provide effective long-term remediation of contamination from abandoned mines, new research suggests. The study examined a natural wetland receiving water from a copper mine in the UK, and showed that the water’s acidity and levels of toxic metals were significantly reduced once it had passed through the wetland.

Ocean acidification and eutrophication may affect the growth of microscopic algae - phytoplankton - with knock-on impacts for marine food chains and fisheries, warns a new study. By growing phytoplankton under different scenarios the researchers found that phytoplankton species are affected differently according to the acidity and nutrient content of the water.

Long-chain perfluoroalkyl acids (PFAAs) are persistent chemicals with proven toxic effects. This study estimated the emissions and concentrations of two such chemicals, perfluorooctane sulfonic acid (PFOS) and perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA), in 11 of Europe's most populated river catchments. Estimated emissions were lowest in the Thames and highest in the Rhine, while the EU environmental quality standard for PFOS was exceeded in all rivers. This study provides a picture of PFAAs contamination in rivers across Europe, and makes recommendations for achieving reductions.

Contamination of the aquatic environment by pharmaceutical drugs used in human and veterinary medicine is an emerging issue, as it can cause toxic effects in biological systems. This study explored how the marine organism Hediste diversicolor, a polychaete worm, responded to exposure to salicylic acid, a key component of aspirin. They found the species to adapt and respond in a way that minimised the effects of metabolising the contaminating compound, suggesting that the acid does not currently pose a threat to marine polychaetes.

Assessing the impact of large urban areas on air quality and climate change needs an integrated approach with a range of spatial and temporal scales, according to researchers. The EU-funded MEGAPOLI project considers time scales from seconds to decades and spatial scales from local to global.

Sulphur and nitrogen emissions have been significantly reduced across Europe in recent decades, but a recent study from Sweden finds that some forest soils are still struggling to recover from the acidifying effects of the pollutants. Some areas are also at risk of nitrogen leaching from soils into surface waters.

Strong acids formed from shipping emissions can produce seasonal ‘hot spots’ of ocean acidification, a recent study finds. These hot spots, in ocean areas close to busy shipping lanes, could have negative effects on local marine ecology and commercially farmed seafood species.

Industrial emissions of black carbon were responsible for the retreat of the glaciers in the European Alps that marked the end of the so-called ‘Little Ice Age’, according to a new study. The researchers explain how black carbon deposits could have caused glaciers to melt more rapidly from the mid-19th century and suggest that human activities were already having a visible influence on the climate before the effects of carbon dioxide were evident.

Air pollution from the world’s megacities not only has local impacts, but can spread to remote regions of the world. Recent research has highlighted, for example, that megacities are a source of black carbon pollution in lowest kilometre of atmosphere in the Arctic, with European megacities contributing more than others.

Back in 1999, a group of scientists predicted how changing air pollution levels would affect the acidity of lakes and rivers in Europe in 2010 using a computer model. A follow up study has now gathered actual measurements of these waters to see if the predictions came true. The observations show that most of the rivers and lakes did recover from acidification, as forecast by the model, and demonstrate the model’s value in predicting future water chemistry, the authors say.

Myke holds an event, Grey experiences open offices, and they both had a VR experience.

SUFFOLK– As Hurricane Florence approaches the coast, the Virginia Department of Transportation (VDOT) Hampton Roads District continues to monitor...

The post Penny Wong biographer’s tale of tenacity appeared first on The Lead SA.

Having a facial in a department store might not sound the most relaxing experience. However, once the door slides shut on Dior’s private spa room in Debenhams’ flagship store in intu Watford, it only takes a moment to tune out the voices from outside and tap into your inner zen.

Former Watford head coach Javi Gracia has signed up to support Woking with a fundraising initiative by paying to put his name on the non-league club's shirt next season.

LYNCHBURG —Administrative oversight of maintenance and land use services for the counties of Buckingham, Charlotte, Cumberland, and Prince Edward has started to relocate from the old Dillwyn Residency site on Rosney Road in the Town of Dillwyn to the newly constructed Farmville site on Commerce Road in the Town of Farmville.

000
WTPZ65 KNHC 210437
TCUEP5

Hurricane Lorena Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152019
1035 PM MDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...LORENA MAKES LANDFALL NEAR LA VENTANA MEXICO IN SOUTHEASTERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR...

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that Hurricane
Lorena made landfall near La Ventana, Mexico, in the state of Baja
California Sur around 0400 UTC (10 pm MDT) with maximum winds of 80
mph (130 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 1035 PM MDT...0435 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 110.0W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF LA PAZ MEXICO
ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM N OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 210234
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Priscilla Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192019
1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

...PRISCILLA DISSIPATES OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 104.7W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM ESE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the remnants of Priscilla were located
near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 104.7 West. The remnants are
moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The remnants of Priscilla are expected to produce
rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with local amounts to 15
inches, across portions of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, and Michoacan
in southwestern Mexico through Tuesday night. This rainfall could
produce flash flooding and mudslides within steep terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Priscilla.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 262034
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020
200 PM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020

...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 119.4W
ABOUT 770 MI...1240 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E
was located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 119.4 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h). A motion toward the west-northwest is expected by late
afternoon, followed by a turn toward the west tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased near 30 mph (45 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48
hours, and the system is expected to dissipate by Monday tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant
low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Stewart

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 161752
TCMEP2

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E
SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019
1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OF WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 96.6W AT 16/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 96.6W AT 16/1800Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 95.7W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.3N 97.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 96.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

 
 000
 FKPZ24 KNHC 210234
 TCAPZ4
 
 REMNANTS OF PRISCILLA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER   4
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192019
 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2019
 
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191021/0300Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       PRISCILLA
 NR:                       004
 PSN:                      N2000 W10442
 MOV:                      NNW 09KT
 C:                        1005HPA
 MAX WIND:                 025KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           21/0900Z N2036 W10450
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      020KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          21/1500Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     ///KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          21/2100Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     ///KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          22/0300Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     ///KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
 
 ..
 
 

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 262034
TCMEP1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 119.4W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 119.4W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 119.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.7N 120.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.1N 122.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.3N 125.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 119.4W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT
LOW...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

000
FZPN03 KNHC 040942
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE NOV 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED NOV 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 18.4N 110.0W 970 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 04
MOVING N-NE OR 025 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...AND 210 NM SE AND
NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...300 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...EXCEPT AS
DESCRIBED WITH LOW PRES NEAR 11N129W IN SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
SECTION...FROM 08N TO 25W BETWEEN 105W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 22.0N 108.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...180
NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA BOUNDED BY 22N104W TO 10N106W TO
10N130W TO 24N130W TO 30N120W TO 22N104W...EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED
OFF W COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN SYNOPSIS AND
FORECAST SECTION...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE NEAR 24.1N 107.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW VANCE INLAND NEAR
26.0N 107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE
FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13.5N96W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W
AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 14.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 14.5N
BETWEEN 94W AND 98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY
IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N105W 1008 MB MOVING NW AT 10 KT. WITHIN 180
NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE
FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N106W 1007 MB. WITHIN 90 NM E
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N129W 1008 MB MOVING W AT 10 KT. WITHIN 90 NM N
QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO
12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 21N W OF A LINE FROM 21N114W TO
18N114W TO 10N132W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
PRIMARILY IN NE WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N133W 1008 MB. WITHIN 270 NM N
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED
NE WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 24N W OF 130W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NE WIND WAVES
AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10N137W 1008 MB. WITHIN 210 NM N
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.
ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 21N W OF 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO
9 FT IN NE SWELL.

.WITHIN FROM 09.5N TO 11.5N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FROM 07N TO 11N
BETWEEN 92W AND 95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED
NE AND SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS MERGED WITH AREA
DESCRIBED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 26N NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 27N NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST OFF W COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM 24N TO 28N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0815 UTC TUE NOV 04...
.HURRICANE VANCE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH
SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM N QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 07N77W TO 09N84W TO 07N94W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 11.5N105W 1008 MB...THEN CONTINUES FROM 13N115W TO 19N119W
TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N129W 1008 MB TO 10N132W. ITCZ AXIS FROM
10N132W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 02N TO
7.5N E OF 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO
09N BETWEEN 93W AND 99W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 210
NM N AND NE QUADRANTS OF LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N105W WITH SCATTERED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 270 NM E QUADRANT OF LOW PRES NEAR
11N129W.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.