aci Huracan Humberto Advertencia Numero 18 CENTRO NACIONAL DE HuracanES MIAMI FL AL092019 TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 1100 PM EDT lunes 16 de septiembre de 2019 ...SE ESPERA QUE HUMBERTO SE FORTALEZCA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DI By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Tue, 17 Sep 2019 02:42:24 +0000 000 WTCA44 TJSJ 170242 TCPSP4 BOLETIN Huracan Humberto Advertencia Numero 18 CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL092019 TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 1100 PM EDT lunes 16 de septiembre de 2019 ...SE ESPERA QUE HUMBERTO SE FORTALEZCA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O MAS... RESUMEN DE LAS 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMACION --------------------------------------------------- LOCALIZACION...30.3 NORTE 75.1 OESTE ALREDEDOR DE 625 MI...1000 KM O DE BERMUDA VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...90 MPH...150 KM/H MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...ENE O 75 GRADOS A 8 MPH...13 KM/H PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...966 MB...28.53 PULGADAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS -------------------- CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA: Ninguno. RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO: Una vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para... * Bermuda Una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical significa que se esperan condiciones de tormenta tropical dentro del area bajo vigilancia, generalmente dentro de 48 horas. Para informacion especifica para su area, favor monitorear los producots emitidos por su oficina de servicio nacional meteorologico. DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO ---------------------- A las 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), el ojo del Huracan Humberto estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 30.3 norte, longitud 75.1 oeste. Humberto se mueve hacia el este-noreste a cerca de 8 mph (13 km/h). Se espera este movimiento general con un aumento en la velocidad de traslacion hasta temprano el jueves. En el pronostico de trayectoria, se espera que el centro de Humberto se acerque a Bermuda tarde el miercoles en la noche. Los vientos maximos sostenidos han aumentado a cerca de 90 mph (150 km/h) con rafagas mas altas. Se pronostica fortalecimiento adicional durante las proximas 48 horas, y Humberto pudiera convertirse en huracan mayor en la noche del martes o miercoles en la manana. Los vientos con fuerza de huracan se extienden hasta 30 millas (45 km) del centro y los vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden a 150 millas (240 km). La presion minima central estimada por el Avion Caza huracanes de la Fuerza Aerea es de 966 mb (28.53 pulgadas). PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ------------------------- VIENTO: Condiciones de tormenta tropical son posibles sobre Bermuda tarde el miercoles. LLUVIA: Humberto puede resultar en lluvia fuerte sobre Bermuda comenzando tarde el martes. RESACAS: Las marejadas grandes generadas por Humberto aumentaran a lo largo de la costa de Bermuda en la noche del martes. Las marejadas afectaran el noroeste de las Bahamas y la costa sureste de Estados Unidos desde el este central de Florida hasta Carolina del Norte durante los proximos dias. Estas marejadas pudieran causar resacas fuertes amenazantes a vida y corrientes marinas peligrosas. Favor referirse a los productos emitidos por su oficina local de meteorologia en Bermuda. PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA ------------------- Proxima advertencia intermedia a las 200 AM EDT. Proxima advertencia completa a las 500 AM EDT. $$ Pronosticador Pasch Traduccion RVazquez Full Article
aci Tormenta Tropical Sebastien Advertencia Numero 12 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL202019 Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 500 AM AST viernes 22 de noviembre de 2019 ...NO SE ESPERA QUE SEBASTIEN SE FORTALEZCA... RES By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Fri, 22 Nov 2019 10:30:27 +0000 000 WTCA45 TJSJ 221030 TCPSP5 BOLETIN Tormenta Tropical Sebastien Advertencia Numero 12 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL202019 Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 500 AM AST viernes 22 de noviembre de 2019 ...NO SE ESPERA QUE SEBASTIEN SE FORTALEZCA... RESUMEN DE LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMACION ------------------------------------------------------- LOCALIZACION...24.8 NORTE 57.0 OESTE CERCA DE 600 MILLAS...965 KM NE DEL NORTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...60 MPH...95 KM/H MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...ENE O 65 GRADOS A 15 MPH...24 KM/H PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ---------------------- No existen vigilancias o avisos costers en efecto. DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVA ------------------------ A las 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), el centro de la Tormenta Tropical Sebastien estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 24.8 norte, longitud 57.0 oeste. Sebastien esta moviendose hacia el este-noreste a cerca de 15 mph (24 km/h). Se espera un movimiento hacia el este-noreste a noreste durante los proximos dias. Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 60 mph (95 km/h) con rafagas mas fuertes. Algo de fortalecimiento se espera durante las proximas 24 horas y Sebastien pudiera convertirse en ciclon post- tropical este fin de semana. Los vientos de Tormenta Tropical se extienden hasta 160 millas (260 km) del centro. La presion minima central estimada es de 999 mb (29.50 pulgadas) PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ------------------------- NINGUNO PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA ------------------- Proxima advertencia completa a las 1100 AM AST. $$ Pronosticador Cangialosi Traduccion RVazquez Full Article
aci NHC East Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 09 May 2020 15:44:06 +0000 000 AXPZ20 KNHC 091543 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1503 UTC Sat May 9 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1500 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from Panama near 08N78W to 07N122W. The ITCZ extends from there to 06N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted north of 05N east of 90W, from 03N to 11N between 94W and 114W, and from 05N to 07W west of 138W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A weak ridge of high pressure extends from 30N128W through the Revillagigedo Islands to 14N96W. As a result, winds this morning off of Mexico and in the Gulf of California were only moderate breeze or weaker. High pressure building over the Gulf of Mexico will promote strong N gap winds across the Tehuantepec region late tonight and continue through Mon night. Peak seas should reach 10-12 ft due to N wind waves and SW swell. Elsewhere tranquil conditions are expected across the area through at least Wed night. Long period SW swell will impact the waters through Monday. An altimeter pass showed peak seas of 8 to 9 ft south of Mexico late last night. Haze and areas of smoke from agricultural fires in Mexico may reduce visibilities near the coast from the Tehuantepec region to near Cabo Corrientes. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... A flat pressure gradient over the waters is forcing winds of only fresh breeze or weaker. Winds will remain tranquil during the next several days. Large, long period SW swell will continue to impact the offshore waters of Central America, Ecuador and Colombia through the weekend before gradually fading. Peak seas observed by an altimeter pass last night were around 10 ft between the Galapagos and Ecuador. Haze and areas of smoke may reduce visibilities near the coasts of Costa Rica, El Salvador and Guatemala during the next few days. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A weak ridge of high pressure extends from 30N128W through the Revillagigedo Islands to 14N96W. The relatively flat pressure gradient from the ridge to the ITCZ is causing NE trades of generally moderate breeze or weaker this morning. Peak seas are 8 to 10 ft east of 120W and south of 15N, primarily due to long- period SW swell. A weak cold front will reach our NW corner of 30N140W Sun morning and progress to 30N132W to 24N140W Mon morning, before dissipating by Tue morning. SW winds ahead and NW winds behind the front should remain fresh breeze or weaker. A NW swell of 8 to 10 ft will impact the waters north of 25N west of 130W Sun night through Tue morning. Elsewhere winds should remain tranquil through at least Wed night. Large, long period SW swell will continue to impact the high seas waters south of 15N and east of 125W through the weekend before gradually fading. Peak seas observed by an altimeter pass last night were around 10 ft well west of the Galapagos. $$ Landsea Full Article
aci Huracan Lorenzo Advertencia Numero 29 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL132019 Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 1100 AM AST domingo 29 de septiembre de 2019 ...INTERESES EN AZORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE LOREN By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 29 Sep 2019 15:21:32 +0000 000 WTCA43 TJSJ 291521 TCPSP3 Huracan Lorenzo Advertencia Numero 29 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL132019 Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 1100 AM AST domingo 29 de septiembre de 2019 ...INTERESES EN AZORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE LORENZO... ...VIGILANCIAS PUDIERAN SER EMITIDAS PARA ESAS ISLAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY O ESTA NOCHE... RESUMEN DE LAS 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMACION ------------------------------------------------------- LOCALIZACION...25.9 N 44.4 O ALREDEDOR DE 1315 MI...2115 KM AL SO DE LOS AZORES VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...145 MPH...230 KM/H MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NNE O 15 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...938 MILIBARES...27.70 PULGADAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS -------------------- No hay vigilancias o avisos costeros en efecto. Intereses en los Azores deben monitorear el progres de Lorenzo. DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO ---------------------- A las 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), el centro del Huracan Lorenzo estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 25.9 norte, longitud 44.4 oeste. Lorenzo se esta moviendo hacia el norte-noreste a cerca de 10 mph (17 km/h) y se espera que este movimiento continue hasta esta noche. Un giro hacia el noreste, en conjunto con un aumento en su velicidad de traslacion deben ocurrir el lunes y continuar hasta el miercoles. Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 145 mph (260 km/h) con rafagas mas fuertes. Lorenzo es un huracan categoria 4 en la escala de vientos de huracan Saffir-Simpson. Se espera un debilitamiento constante durante los proximos dias, pero se sigue esperando que Lorenzo siga siendo un huracan potente para los proximos par de dias. Lorenzo es un huracan grande, con vientos con fuerza de huracan extendiendose hasta 80 millas (135 km) del centro y los vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 275 millas (445 km) del centro. La presion central minima estimada es de 938 mb (27.70 pulgadas). PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO --------------------------------- LLUVIA: Se espera que Lorenzo produzca un total de acumulacion de lluvia de 3 a 6 pulgadas sobre la mayoria del oeste de Azores y de 1 a 2 pulgadas sobre el centro de Azores el martes y miercoles. Esta lluvia pudiera causar inundaciones repentinas que amenacen la vida en el oeste de Azores. RESACAS: Marejadas generada por Lorenzo se estan desplazando a traves de la mayoria de la cuenca del Atlantico. Estas marejadas son muy probables que caucen condiciones de resacas y corrientes marinas que amenacen la vida. Favor de consultar los productos de su oficina local de meteorologia. PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA ------------------- Proxima advertencia completa a las 500 PM AST. $$ Pronosticador Latto Traduccion FRamos Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone Octave Discussion Number 9 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:39:43 +0000 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 192039 TCDEP3 Post-Tropical Cyclone Octave Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182019 200 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 2019 Deep convection has not returned, now being absent for at least 12 hours. The environment around Octave is dry and stable, and it is unlikely that significant convection will come back any time soon. Octave has therefore become a remnant low, and its maximum winds are estimated to be 30 kt based on recent scatterometer data. The remnant low is expected to linger for at least the next 5 days with its intensity holding steady or decreasing due to moderate southeasterly shear and mid-level relative humidities of 30-40 percent. The initial motion remains very slowly east-northeastward, or 070/2 kt. The remnant low is trapped in a weak steering regime, and it is expected to meander for the next 5 days, only moving a net distance of 50-100 n mi during that period. A slight westward adjustment was made to this last NHC official forecast to account for the latest multi-model consensus aids and the ECMWF, which lies along the western edge of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 11.6N 125.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 20/0600Z 11.4N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 20/1800Z 11.1N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 21/0600Z 10.8N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 21/1800Z 10.9N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 22/1800Z 11.7N 125.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 23/1800Z 12.4N 125.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 24/1800Z 12.0N 124.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Berg Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 01 Dec 2019 05:12:55 +0000 000 ABPZ30 KNHC 010512 TWSEP Monthly Tropical Weather Summary NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM PST Sun Dec 1 2019 For the eastern North Pacific, east of 140 degrees west longitude: One tropical storm (Raymond) and one tropical depression (Twenty One-E) formed in the basin in November. Although the long-term average is one tropical storm forms in the basin every second or third year, this is the second straight November with at least one named storm forming. In fact, named storms have formed in November in five of the past six years. Overall, the 2019 eastern Pacific hurricane season featured near average activity. There were seventeen named storms, of which seven became hurricanes and four became major hurricanes - category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. This compares to the long-term averages of fifteen named storms, eight hurricanes, and four major hurricanes. There were also two tropical depressions that did not reach tropical storm strength. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes, activity in the basin in 2019 was a little below the long-term mean. Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the National Hurricane Center website at: www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2019&basin=epac Summary Table Name Dates Max Wind (mph) --------------------------------------------------- H Alvin 25-29 Jun 75* MH Barbara 30 Jun- 5 Jul 155* TS Cosme 6- 7 Jul 50* TD Four-E 12-13 Jul 35* TS Dalila 22-25 Jul 45* MH Erick 27 Jul- 4 Aug 130*/** H Flossie 28 Jul- 5 Aug 80 TS Gil 3- 4 Aug 40 TS Henriette 12-13 Aug 45* TS Ivo 21-25 Aug 70* MH Juliette 1- 7 Sep 125 TS Akoni 4- 6 Sep 45**/*** MH Kiko 12-24 Sep 130 H Lorena 17-22 Sep 85* TS Mario 17-23 Sep 65 TS Narda Sep 29- 1 Oct 50 TS Octave 18-19 Oct 45 TS Priscilla 20-21 Oct 40 TS Raymond 15-17 Nov 55 TD Twenty-One-E 16-18 Nov 35 --------------------------------------------------- * Denotes a storm for which NHC's post-storm analysis is complete. ** Maximum winds occurred in the central Pacific basin. *** First became a tropical depression in the eastern Pacific $$ Hurricane Specialist Unit Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Hurricane Kiko Tropical Cyclone Update...Corrected By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 15 Sep 2019 00:37:11 +0000 000 WTPZ63 KNHC 150036 CCA TCUEP3 Hurricane Kiko Tropical Cyclone Update...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 530 PM PDT Sat Sep 14 2019 Corrected location coordinates ...HURRICANE KIKO NEAR MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH... Recent satellite-based intensity estimates indicate that Hurricane Kiko has rapidly strengthened since the last advisory. The maximum sustained winds have increased to 110 mph (175 km/h). The higher intensity will be reflected in the next forecast advisory, which will be issued before 800 PM PDT. SUMMARY OF 530 PM AST...0030 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 119.7W ABOUT 760 MI...1225 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES $$ Forecaster Zelinsky Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Remnants of PRISCILLA Forecast/Advisory Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP192019 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 104.7W AT 21/0300Z POSITION By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 21 Oct 2019 02:34:00 +0000 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 210233 TCMEP4 REMNANTS OF PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192019 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 104.7W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 104.7W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 104.5W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 104.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON PRISCILLA. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone OCTAVE Forecast/Advisory Number 9 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 125.7W AT By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:37:46 +0000 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 192037 TCMEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 125.7W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 125.7W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 125.8W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 11.4N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.1N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 10.8N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 10.9N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 11.7N 125.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 12.4N 125.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 12.0N 124.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 125.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM $$ FORECASTER BERG Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Advisory Number 4 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Wed, 16 Oct 2019 17:52:30 +0000 000 WTPZ32 KNHC 161752 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172019 100 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...DISTURBANCE NOW UNLIKELY TO BRING TROPICAL-STORM CONDITIONS TO THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.6N 96.6W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM WNW OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM N OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch for the coast of southeastern Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches of warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 96.6 West. The system is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. On this track, the disturbance is expected to move farther inland over southeastern Mexico during the next several hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. While the chances that the disturbance will become a tropical cyclone are decreasing, there is still a small chance that a tropical depression could develop if the center can re-form along the coast later today or tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches along the southwest coast of Mexico from Chiapas to Jalisco, and 2 to 4 inches over southern Guatemala. Isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible in Mexico. Rainfall in both Guatemala and Mexico could produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: A few wind gusts to tropical-storm force may occur along portions of the coast of southeastern Mexico today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Please refer to forecasts and warnings from the Meteorological Service of Mexico for more information on the ongoing rainfall threat. $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone Octave Advisory Number 9 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:38:43 +0000 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 192038 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Octave Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182019 200 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 2019 ...OCTAVE BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.6N 125.7W ABOUT 1300 MI...2090 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Octave was located near latitude 11.6 North, longitude 125.7 West. Octave is moving toward the east-northeast near 2 mph. A slow and erratic motion is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Berg Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Tue, 02 Jul 2019 12:30:51 +0000 000 WTPZ62 KNHC 021230 TCUEP2 Hurricane Barbara Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022019 230 AM HST Tue Jul 02 2019 ...BARBARA STRENGTHENING RAPIDLY... Satellite images show that Barbara has continued to strengthen faster than previously indicated and the maximum winds have reached 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. This increase in intensity will be reflected in the next advisory package. SUMMARY OF 230 AM HST...1230 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.3N 121.6W ABOUT 1060 MI...1705 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES $$ Forecaster Avila Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Narda Tropical Cyclone Update By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 29 Sep 2019 13:17:02 +0000 000 WTPZ61 KNHC 291316 TCUEP1 Tropical Storm Narda Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162019 915 AM CDT Sun Sep 29 2019 ...CENTER OF NARDA NOW NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO... Satellite imagery and data from coastal stations in Mexico indicate that the center of Narda is northwest of the previous advisory position and it is now located close to the coast of Mexico near Zihuatanejo. The Mexican Navy station at Puerto Vicente recently reported sustained winds of 38 mph (62 km/h) and a wind gust of 52 mph (84 km/h). SUMMARY OF 915 AM CDT...1315 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.6N 101.7W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM W OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
aci NHC Southeast Pacific High Seas Forecast By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Tue, 04 Nov 2014 10:15:48 +0000 000 FZPN04 KNHC 041015 HSFEP3 CCODE/1:31:16:01:00/AOW/NWS/CCODE HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XVI NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1115 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM 03.4S TO 18.5S E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE NOV 04. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED NOV 05. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 06. .WARNINGS. .NONE. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .ENTIRE AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. $$ .FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond Discussion Number 11 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 17 Nov 2019 14:32:57 +0000 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 171432 TCDEP5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202019 800 AM MST Sun Nov 17 2019 Raymond has degenerated into a remnant low with 25-kt winds. Satellite images indicate that the circulation is elongated and that the thunderstorm activity is well removed from the area of minimum pressure due to very strong wind shear. In addition, observations from the Mexican Navy automatic station at Isla Socorro which is located near Raymond indicate that winds are between 15 and 20 kt. The low is moving northward around 14 kt, but this motion is uncertain since the circulation is elongated and poorly defined. Raymond's remnants are expected to move northward and then north-northwestward and eventually become absorbed by a large developing trough west of the Baja California peninsula in about 24 to 36 hours. The combination of the remnants of Raymond and the developing trough west of the peninsula will bring heavy rains into southern portions of the Baja California peninsula over the next day or two. These rains could cause life-threatening flash flooding. This is the last NHC advisory on Raymond. For additional information about the remnant low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/1500Z 19.1N 111.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 18/0000Z 21.0N 111.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 18/1200Z 23.5N 112.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E Special ICAO Advisory Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191016/1800Z TCAC: KNHC TC: SEVENTEEN-E NR: 004 PSN: N1636 W09636 MOV: NW 12K By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Wed, 16 Oct 2019 17:54:36 +0000 000 FKPZ22 KNHC 161752 TCAPZ2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E SPECIAL ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191016/1800Z TCAC: KNHC TC: SEVENTEEN-E NR: 004 PSN: N1636 W09636 MOV: NW 12KT C: 1007HPA MAX WIND: 025KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 16/2100Z N1657 W09706 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 025KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 17/0300Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: ///KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 17/0900Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: ///KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 17/1500Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: ///KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
aci Ciclon post-tropical Nestor Advertencia Numero 10 SNM Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL162019 Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 500 PM CDT sabado 19 de octubre de 2019 ...CICLON POST-Tropical NESTOR SOBRE TIERRA EN L By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:59:54 +0000 000 WTCA41 TJSJ 192059 TCPSP1 BOLETIN Ciclon post-tropical Nestor Advertencia Numero 10 SNM Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL162019 Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 500 PM CDT sabado 19 de octubre de 2019 ...CICLON POST-TROPICAL NESTOR SOBRE TIERRA EN LA PENINSULA DE LA FLORIDA... ...ESTA ES LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA... RESUMEN DE LAS 500 PM CDT...2100 UTC... INFORMACION ----------------------------------------------------------- LOCALIZACION...30.4 N 84.1 O CERCA DE 70 MI...115 KM NE DE APALACHICOLA FLORIDA CERCA DE 10 MI...20 KM E DE TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM/H MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NE O 55 GRADOS A 23 MPH...37 KM/H PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS -------------------- RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO: El Aviso de Tormenta Tropical ha sido descontinuado para las costas golfo, Florida. RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO: No existen avisos ni vigilancias tropicales. DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO ---------------------- A las 500 PM CDT (2100 UTC), imagenes satelitales, data del Radar Doppler de la NOAA y observaciones de superficies indicaron que el centro del ciclon post-tropical Nestor estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 30.4 norte, longitud 84.6 oeste. El ciclon post-tropical se esta moviendo hacia el noreste cerca de 23 mph (37 km/h), y este movimiento se espera que continue esta domingo en la noche. En el pronostico de trayectoria, el ciclon post-tropical Nestor se movera sobre tierra sobre el Panhandle de la Florida esta tarde y el domingo. se espera que el cilon se mueva fuera de la costa a Carolina del Norte al oeste de aguas del Atlantico tarde el domingo. Los vientos maximos sostenidosestan han disminuido a cerca de 40 mph (65 km) con rafagas mas altas. Se anticipa un poco de cambio en la intensidad posible el domingo en la noche y el lunes cuando el ciclon post-tropical se mueva sobre el oeste del Atlantico. La presion minima central estimada por observaciones en la superficie es de 999 mb (29.50 pulgadas). PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ------------------------- LLUVIA: Se espera que el ciclon post-tropical Nestor produzca lluvia adiconal de hasta 1 a 3 pulgadas este fin de semana a traves de sectores del sureste de los Estados Unidos. VIENTOS: Vientos de fuerza galerna se desarrollaran a traves de sectores de las costas del Atlantico y sureste de los Estados unidos mas tarde hoy y esta noche. TORNADOS: Algunos tornados son posibles durante mitad del dia en la Peninsula norte y central de Florida y tarde hoy y esta noche sobre areas costeras de Georgia y las Carolinas. MAREJADA CICLONICA: Los niveles de marejada ciclonica continuaran disminuyendo durante esta noche a lo largo de la costa del Golfo de la Florida. PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA ------------------- Esta es la ultima advertencia emitida por el Centro nacional de Huracanes sobre Nestor. Informacion adicional sobre este sistema puede ser encontrada en High Seas Forecasts emitido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia... bajo AWIPS encabezado NFDHSFAT1 y WMO encabezado FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Pronosticador Stewart Traduccion Ingles Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Remnants Of Priscilla Discussion Number 4 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 21 Oct 2019 02:35:00 +0000 807 WTPZ44 KNHC 210234 TCDEP4 Remnants Of Priscilla Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192019 1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 The rugged terrain of Mexico has taken a toll on Priscilla. Surface observations indicate that the system no longer has a closed surface circulation, and therefore this is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Even though the surface circulation has dissipated, there is still a fair amount of deep convection associated with the remnant trough over portions of southwestern and west-central Mexico. Since the surface trough is expected to linger for another couple of days over southwestern Mexico, there remains a significant threat of heavy rains and flash flooding over that region. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/0300Z 20.0N 104.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS 12H 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND Forecast/Advisory Number 11 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 111.1W A By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 17 Nov 2019 14:32:28 +0000 055 WTPZ25 KNHC 171432 TCMEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 111.1W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 111.1W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 111.3W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.0N 111.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.5N 112.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 111.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC, AND ON THE WEB AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP $$ FORECASTER AVILA Full Article
aci CPHC Central North Pacific Outlook By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 02 Dec 2019 17:27:09 GMT The Central North Pacific hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. Full Article
aci NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 27 Apr 2020 03:22:35 GMT The Eastern North Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15th through November 30th. Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone ONE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119. By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 26 Apr 2020 20:34:57 +0000 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 262034 PWSEP1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART Full Article
aci Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga Advertencia Numero 3 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL172019 Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 1000 PM CDT viernes 25 de 2019 ...OLGA SE CONVIERTE POS-Tropical... ...SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA LLU By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 26 Oct 2019 03:13:26 +0000 000 WTCA42 TJSJ 260313 RRA TCPSP2 BOLETIN Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga Advertencia Numero 3 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL172019 Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 1000 PM CDT viernes 25 de 2019 ...OLGA SE CONVIERTE POS-TROPICAL... ...SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA LLUVIA FUERTE Y CONDICIONES SEVERIAS A TRAVES DE LA COSTA CENTRO DEL GOLFO Y EL LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALEY EL SABADO... RESUMEN DE LAS 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMACION --------------------------------------------------- LOCALIZACION....27.8 NORTE 92.2 OESTE ALREDEDOR DE 170 MI...275 KM AL SSE DE LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NE O 40 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO: ------------------------------------------ No hay vigilancias o aviso costeros de ciclon tropical en efecto. Favor referirse a Pronosticos de Alto Oleaje emitidos por el Servicio Nacional y los productos emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologa para informacion sobre vigilancias y avisos no-tropical asociados a este sistema. DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO ----------------------- A las 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), el centro de Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga estaba localizada en la latitud 27.8 norte, longitud 92.2 oeste. La pos-tropical ciclon esta moviendose hacia el noreste a cerca de 17 mph (28 km/h) Se pronostica que Olga se mueva rapidamente hacia el norte a norte-noreste el sabado y despues girarse hacia el noreste tarde el sabado o doming. En la trayectoria pronosticada, el centro del ciclon pos-tropical debe moverse a traves del Mississippi Valley manana y hacis los Great Lakes mas tarde el fin de semana. Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph (85 km/h) con rafagas mas fuertes. Se espera que Olga se debilite despues que el sistema se mueva sobre tierra el sabado por la manana. Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 140 millas (220 km) del centro. La presion minima central estimada basado sobre los datos anteriores reportado por el Avion Cazahuracan y observaciones de la superficie sobre el norte del Golfo de Mexico es de 999 mb (29.50 pulgadas). PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ------------------------- VIENTO: Vientos con fuerza de galerna asociado con Olga y sus remenantes deben extenderse sobre sectores de la costa norte del Golfo esta noche y sabado. LLUVIA: El ciclon pos-tropical, y lluvia frente al sistema a lo largo y al norte de la zona frontal a traves de la costa del Golfo Central deben producir acumulaciones totales de lluvia de 3 a 6 pulgadas con totales maximos de 8 pulgadas a traves de la costa del Golfo Central hasta sectores del Lower Mississippi Valley y el oeste del Tennessee Valley hasta el sabado en la manana. Estas lluvias pudieran producir inundaciones repentinas a traves de la costa del Golfo Central hacia Lower Mississippi Valley y y el oeste del Tennessee Valley. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS: Mareas sobre lo normal e inundaciones costeras asociadas son posibles a traves de sectores de la costa norte del Golfo. Favor ver los productos emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia local para mayor informacion. TORNADOS: Tornados aislados son posible esta noche hasta el sabado por la manana a traves de sectores del sureste de Louisiana, sur de Mississippi, y el oeste de Alabama. PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA ------------------- Este es la ultima advertencia publico emitado por el Servicio Nacional Huracanes sobre este sistema. Para mas informacion adicional sobre este sistema se puede ser encontrados en los pronosticos de alta mar emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia, debajo del encabezado NFDHSFAT1 de AWIPS, encabezado FZNT01 KWBC, y en la web a ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Informacion adicional sobre lluvias fuertes y vientos en rafgas pudiera ser encontrados en los productos de los resumens de tormentas emitidos por el Centro de Prediccion de Meteorologia en www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc3.html $$ Pronosticador Zelinsky Traduccion JPena Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond Advisory Number 11 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 17 Nov 2019 14:32:28 +0000 056 WTPZ35 KNHC 171432 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202019 800 AM MST Sun Nov 17 2019 ...RAYMOND DEGENERATED INTO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW... ...RAINS ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 111.1W ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 111.1 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 16 mph (26 km/h) and a turn toward the north-northwest is expected tonight or Monday. On the forecast track, Raymond's remnants are expected to move near the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is forecast to dissipate late Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on this system please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Avila Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Discussion Number 4 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Wed, 16 Oct 2019 17:52:59 +0000 000 WTPZ42 KNHC 161752 TCDEP2 Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172019 100 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019 Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that the disturbance has become less organized, and there is no sign of a new center forming offshore at this time. So, while there is still a small chance that the system could form into a tropical cyclone, the system no longer poses a threat of bringing tropical-storm conditions to the coast of Mexico, and this special advisory is being issued to discontinue the tropical storm watch for the coast of Mexico. The disturbance should continue to interact with the mountains of southern Mexico during the next day or so, which should most likely cause its dissipation after 12 h. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system unless the threat of tropical storm conditions increases along the coast of Mexico. However, the heavy rainfall threat, as well as the potential for flash flooding and mudslides in southern Mexico, should continue for the next day or two. Please refer to forecasts and warnings from the Meteorological Service of Mexico for more information on this ongoing threat. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/1800Z 16.6N 96.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE 12H 17/0000Z 17.3N 97.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND 24H 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone ONE-E ICAO Advisory Number 6 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20200426/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: ONE-E NR: 006 PSN: N1612 W11924 MOV: NW 08KT C: 1007HPA MAX WIND: 02 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 26 Apr 2020 20:36:45 +0000 000 FKPZ21 KNHC 262034 TCAPZ1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20200426/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: ONE-E NR: 006 PSN: N1612 W11924 MOV: NW 08KT C: 1007HPA MAX WIND: 025KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 27/0300Z N1632 W12024 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 27/0900Z N1648 W12124 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 27/1500Z N1700 W12224 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 27/2100Z N1709 W12327 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 020KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 17 Nov 2019 14:32:57 +0000 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 171432 PWSEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND ICAO Advisory Number 11 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191117/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: RAYMOND NR: 011 PSN: N1906 W11106 MOV: N 14KT C: 1001HPA MAX WIND By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 17 Nov 2019 14:34:43 +0000 000 FKPZ25 KNHC 171432 TCAPZ5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191117/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: RAYMOND NR: 011 PSN: N1906 W11106 MOV: N 14KT C: 1001HPA MAX WIND: 025KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 17/2100Z N2022 W11102 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 18/0300Z N2137 W11115 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 18/0900Z N2252 W11145 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 18/1500Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: ///KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Discussion Number 6 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 26 Apr 2020 20:35:34 +0000 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 262035 TCDEP1 Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020 200 PM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020 The cyclone has lacked significant organized deep convection for at least 10 hours, and the system is moving into increasingly more stable air and over sub-25C deg C SSTs. Therefore, the depression has been downgraded to a post-tropical remnant low. The initial intensity is 25 kt is based on several 23-25 kt wind vectors located n-e of the low-level center in a 1718 UTC ASCAT-A overpass. Although the system may still produce some sporadic convection late tonight during the convective maximum period, dry and stable air along with strong westerly shear will likely prevent any appreciable convection from persisting over the next day or so. This should cause the remnant low to weaken and then open up into a trough in 36-48 hours. The initial motion remains 305/08 kt. A substantial low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone is expected to gradually nudge the shallow low toward the west-northwest later this afternoon, followed by a westward motion tonight, with that motion continuing until the system dissipates Monday night. The new NHC track forecast is essentially just an update of the previous advisory track. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php . FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/2100Z 16.2N 119.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 27/0600Z 16.7N 120.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 27/1800Z 17.1N 122.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 28/0600Z 17.3N 125.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E Special Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019 AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITU By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Wed, 16 Oct 2019 17:52:30 +0000 000 FOPZ12 KNHC 161752 PWSEP2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019 AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone OCTAVE ICAO Advisory Number 9 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: OCTAVE NR: 009 PSN: N1136 W12542 MOV: ENE 02KT C: 1009HPA MAX WIND: By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:41:46 +0000 000 FKPZ23 KNHC 192039 TCAPZ3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: OCTAVE NR: 009 PSN: N1136 W12542 MOV: ENE 02KT C: 1009HPA MAX WIND: 030KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 20/0300Z N1127 W12542 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 025KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 20/0900Z N1119 W12542 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 025KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 20/1500Z N1110 W12542 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 025KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 20/2100Z N1101 W12542 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 025KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone OCTAVE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 12 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:39:13 +0000 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 192039 PWSEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 125W 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 1(15) 1(16) 2(18) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) $$ FORECASTER BERG Full Article
aci Eastern Pacific Remnants of PRISCILLA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP192019 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2019 AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF PRISCILLA WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM S By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 21 Oct 2019 02:34:32 +0000 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 210234 PWSEP4 REMNANTS OF PRISCILLA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192019 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2019 AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF PRISCILLA WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI Full Article
aci Greenland's ice slips away as 'superglacial' lakes drain to the sea By www.mnn.com Published On :: Mon, 16 Apr 2012 20:18:41 +0000 As the Arctic warms, meltwater lakes on the Greenland ice sheet are draining to sea more frequently — potentially lubricating the slide of the ice sheet into Full Article Wilderness & Resources
aci Antarctica glacier's retreat 'unprecedented' By www.mnn.com Published On :: Tue, 15 Jan 2013 20:50:01 +0000 Pine Island Glacier holds back part of the massive West Antarctic Ice Sheet, whose thinning ice is contributing to sea level rise. Full Article Climate & Weather
aci Leaf-cutter ants are farmers, pharmacists and energy experts By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Mon, 15 Nov 2010 16:59:48 +0000 Researchers study ants and their complex, productive societies to help address some of human society's most pressing challenges. Full Article Research & Innovations
aci Is Japan facing a Chernobyl-like crisis? By www.mnn.com Published On :: Mon, 14 Mar 2011 13:58:13 +0000 Robert Alvarez, a senior scholar at the Institute for Policy Studies, says the operators of the stricken Japanese nuclear plants are using a “hail Mary” met Full Article Wilderness & Resources
aci Use the power of pineapple for a homemade facial scrub By www.mnn.com Published On :: Mon, 29 Feb 2016 19:42:19 +0000 This homemade facial scrub with pineapple and sugar is an anti-inflammatory beauty option with anti-aging properties. Full Article Natural Beauty & Fashion
aci Lab, sweet lab: NIST Net Zero Energy Residential Test Facility opens By www.mnn.com Published On :: Mon, 17 Sep 2012 12:00:03 +0000 Inside a rather humdrum-looking suburban Washington, D.C., home, the typical family of 4 is replaced by a virtual clan as part of a $2.5M effort to test energy- Full Article At Home
aci Peruvian glacier breaks apart causing tsunami By www.mnn.com Published On :: Tue, 13 Apr 2010 05:55:51 +0000 More evidence of global warming in Peru, as Huacan glacier collapses into lake. Full Article Research & Innovations
aci Cable across Pacific seafloor could transform tsunami warning system By www.mnn.com Published On :: Tue, 28 Feb 2012 16:54:07 +0000 Scientists, engineers and telecommunications officials are in the early planning stages for a seafloor fiber-optic cable that would span the Pacific Ocean, and Full Article Wilderness & Resources
aci Georgia-Pacific unit launches new sustainability campaign By www.mnn.com Published On :: Tue, 19 Jan 2010 17:45:44 +0000 Georgia-Pacific Wood Products, which recently received SFI chain-of-custody certification, has launched a new sustainability campaign. Full Article Green Workplace
aci Frozen remains of missing couple emerge from Swiss glacier By www.mnn.com Published On :: Wed, 19 Jul 2017 15:58:15 +0000 Frozen remains found in Swiss glacier of couple who disappeared 75 years ago while hiking in the Alps. Full Article Arts & Culture
aci Mystery of why the bottom of the Pacific Ocean is getting colder might finally be solved By www.mnn.com Published On :: Sat, 05 Jan 2019 02:47:44 +0000 The bottom of the Pacific Ocean is actually cooling down. How is this possible? The answer is proof that Earth's systems operate on long timescales. Full Article Climate & Weather
aci Study: Ocean acidification disrupts food web By www.mnn.com Published On :: Mon, 06 Aug 2012 18:24:27 +0000 As acidic seawater forces shellfish to grow thinner shells, scientists warn of a ripple effect that could alter marine ecosystems around the planet. Full Article Wilderness & Resources
aci He may not have conquered the Pacific, but he sure did get our attention By www.mnn.com Published On :: Fri, 14 Dec 2018 19:17:42 +0000 Endurance athlete Ben Lecomte attempted to swim across the Pacific Ocean to bring attention to the state of our oceans. Full Article Wilderness & Resources
aci Renewables outpacing natural gas, IEA says By www.mnn.com Published On :: Thu, 27 Jun 2013 17:45:58 +0000 Renewable energy will surpass natural gas as the planet's No. 2 electricity source by 2016, according to a new report from the International Energy Agency. Full Article Energy
aci How ocean racers are helping solve the Great Pacific Garbage Patch problem By www.mnn.com Published On :: Mon, 25 Jun 2018 14:41:26 +0000 The Ocean Cleanup is ready to launch plastic-eating System 001 to the Great Pacific Garbage Patch. Full Article Wilderness & Resources
aci How does the Great Pacific Garbage Patch affect marine life? By www.mnn.com Published On :: Thu, 13 Sep 2018 14:07:37 +0000 This infographic breaks down how plastic pollution is killing marine life and what you can do to prevent it. Full Article Wilderness & Resources
aci This 51-year-old is swimming across the Pacific By www.mnn.com Published On :: Thu, 04 Oct 2018 14:23:35 +0000 Benôit 'Ben' Lecomte hopes his attempt to swim across the Pacific will bring awareness to the plastic pollution creating 'an ocean in peril.' Full Article Wilderness & Resources
