See here. Please share your reactions and suggestions in comments. I’ll be talking with Seth Flaxman tomorrow, and we’d appreciate all your criticisms and suggestions. All this is important not just for Italy but for making sensible models to inform policy all over the world, including here.

What’s new? The new and shiny reduce_sum facility released with Stan 2.23 is far more user-friendly and makes it easier to scale Stan programs with more CPU cores than it was before. While Stan is awesome for writing models, as the size of the data or complexity of the model increases it can become impractical […]

The University of Washington in Seattle is a big place. It includes the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), which has produced a widely-circulated and widely-criticized coronavirus model. As we’ve discussed, the IHME model is essentially a curve-fitting exercise that makes projections using the second derivative of the time trend on the log scale. […]

John Fund writes: [Imperial College epidemiologist Neil] Ferguson was behind the disputed research that sparked the mass culling of eleven million sheep and cattle during the 2001 outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease. He also predicted that up to 150,000 people could die. There were fewer than 200 deaths. . . . In 2002, Ferguson predicted that […]

After getting 80 zillion comments on that last post with all that political content, I wanted to share something that’s purely technical. It’s something Bob Carpenter wrote in a conversation regarding implementing algorithms in Stan: One thing we are doing is having the matrix library return more expression templates rather than copying on return as […]

Proposal to temporarily loosen restrictions on on-site sales faces uncertain prospect in session's final days.

After closing amid the coronavirus pandemic, the National Park Service is testing public access at several parks across the nation, including two in Utah, with limited offerings and services. Visitor centers and campgrounds remain largely shuttered at Bryce Canyon and Capitol Reef, but visitors are welcome at some of the sites.

Bruising convention battle calls into question party unity behind the Peterson challenger.

Bank runs should not be a concern, thanks to the system that protects your deposits.

The Orioles outfielder was open with reporters after publishing an emotional essay.

Blanchette, Roger Francis Jul 21, 1935 - Mar 29, 2020 Roger Francis Blanchette, age 84, died at his home in North Port, Florida from .....

Beaudoin, Christopher Jan. 31, 1970 - May 5, 2020 Christopher Beaudoin, 50, of Sarasota, FL, died on May 5, 2020. Funeral arrangements by: Maloney .....

The team at I am Horse Racing would like to introduce our newest endeavor, a series entitled “Vet's Corner.” This new arm of our video and social media installments will focus on delving into many of the most common ailments, issues, and physical aspects associated with horses, sport horses, and racehorses. We will gather the nation's top minds to speak […]

The post I Am Horse Racing Helps Answer The Common Question: What Is Colic? appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

By all accounts, the second division of Saturday's Grade 1 Arkansas Derby from Oaklawn in Hot Springs, Ark., going as the 13th race on the 14-race closing-day program, is much deeper in quality than the first division, which is dominated by the Speightstown colt Charlatan, likely an odds-on favorite. Nadal, who like Charlatan is an […]

The post Triple Crown News Minute Presented By Kentucky Equine Research: Arkansas Derby’s Deeper Division appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

Starting November 1 the University of Michigan Library has access to the new version of chemistry database SciFinder — SciFinder-n. In fact, both will be accessible to our users with the same login and password information.

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/nps-to-offer-pilot-shuttle-bus-service-from-grca-to-tusayan-again-this-year.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/implementation-of-south-rim-visitor-transportation-plan.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-school-rediological-study.htm

The National Park Service (NPS), with the assistance of the Department Public Safety, searched today for three individuals last seen earlier today in the Colorado River near Phantom Ranch. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-missing-4-30.htm

Construction began this week on visitor improvements outlined in Grand Canyon National Park's South Rim Visitor Transportation Plan.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-05-01-phase-i.htm

At approximately 12:30 p.m. today, National Park Service (NPS) search and rescue personnel found the body of a young man in the Colorado River near Phantom Ranch. The body has been identified as one of three young men missing since yesterday. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-05-01a-missing.htm

Search continues for two still missing in the Colorado River https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/search-continues-for-two-still-missing.htm

Two young men still missing in Colorado River https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/two-still-missing.htm

Grand Canyon National Park (GRCA) search and rescue personnel are currently searching for a man last seen outside of the park's Backcountry Information Center on Saturday, May 23, 2009. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-05-28-search.htm

Sixty-nine year old Robert A. Williams of Surprise, Arizona has not been located, and search efforts have yielded no additional clues as to his whereabouts. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-05-30-search.htm

A body, presumptively identified as 69 year old Robert (Bob) A. Williams, was found today by park search and rescue personnel in the Hermit Basin area of Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-06-02-search.htm

Propane line break causes short-term closure of Grand Canyon Visitor Center https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/propane-line-break-causes-short-term-closure-of-grand-canyon-visitor-center.htm

An opinion was filed by the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit today, affirming the United States District Court’s entry of summary judgment for the National Park Service in a lawsuit titled “River Runners for Wilderness, et al v. Stephen P. Martin, et al. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/united-states-court-of-appeals-for-the-ninth-circuit-rules-in-favor-of-national-park-service-in-lawsuit-challenging-grand-canyon-national-parks-colorado-river-management-plan.htm

The National Park Service (NPS) and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) will hold a meeting on Tuesday, July 28 to update an advisory panel on the agencies’ efforts to restore natural quiet in Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-and-federal-aviation-administration-to-hold-meeting-on-grand-canyon-overflights.htm

Four historic fire lookout towers in Grand Canyon National Park, two on the North Rim and two on the South Rim, have been listed on the National Historic Lookout Register. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/four-grand-canyon-national-park-lookout-towers-have-been-listed-on-the-national-historic-lookout-register.htm

Grand Canyon National Park search and rescue personnel are intensifying their search efforts as they re-asses who they are looking for. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-07-23_search.htm

At approximately 9:30 a.m. on Saturday, July 25, search teams found a body believed to be that of overdue backpacker Bryce Gillies in the Bonita Creek drainage on the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-07-25_search.htm

Investigators are looking for a young man last seen on August 9, exiting a commercial shuttle in Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-08-16_missing.htm

Klaus Lauterbach, the 20 year-old German-national that the Flagstaff Police Department and Grand Canyon National Park rangers have been attempting to locate since August 14, reported in to his family last night.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-08-17_missing.htm

Construction on Phase I of the improvements called for in Grand Canyon National Park’s South Rim Visitor Transportation Plan (SRVTP) continues to progress.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-08-24_phase_i.htm

As the first phase of improvements called for in Grand Canyon National Park's South Rim Visitor Transportation Plan nears completion, the transition to the new South Entrance Road alignment will begin on Tuesday, September 8.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-09-02_phasei.htm

Grand Canyon National Park rangers are searching the Grandview-Hance area for a man who has been missing for at least two days. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-09-06_search.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-hiker-discovered-deceased-below-north-rim-near-toroweap-valley.htm

Grand Canyon National Park’s North and South Rim Artist-in-Residence programs are pleased to announce the artists selected for the October 2009 – September 2010 season. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-10-22_air.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-11-12_phase_i.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-announces-award-of-contract-to-operate-grand-canyon-visitor-transportation-system.htm

  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2009-12-14_train.htm

A new exhibit is on display at Williams’ historic train depot; and the eye-catching photographs were all taken by Arizona youth.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2009-12-18_photos.htm

Grand Canyon National Park rangers and road crews continue to work on clearing Desert View Drive of multiple accidents after light snow fell on wet roads just as evening temperatures dropped below freezing on Tuesday, December 29. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2009-12-29_accidents.htm

Grand Canyon National Park Superintendent Steve Martin has announced that a revised environmental assessment (EA) for the construction of a new Science and Resource Management Facility in the park is now available for public review and comment. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-announces-availability-of-revised-environmental-assessment-for-new-science-and-resource-management-facility-in-grand-canyon-national-park.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2010-03-05_fmp_rod.htm

Grand Canyon Announces Public Meeting Schedule for Mule Operations and Stock Use Environmental Assessment https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-announces-public-meetings-to-discuss-mule-operations-and-stock-use-environmental-assessment.htm

Grand Canyon National Park rangers are currently searching the South Bass and Royal Arch areas west of the Hermits Rest area on the park’s south rim for two overdue hikers, Isaac Rabicoff and Michael Wu, both from Kansas.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/rangers-in-grand-canyon-national-park-search-for-two-missing-men-in-south-bass-royal-arch-area.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-national-park-will-offer-free-shuttle-service-between-the-gateway-community-of-tusayan-and-the-grand-canyon-visitor-center-again-this-year.htm