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Understanding splines in the EFFECT statement

This SAS Usage Note illustrates fitting a model containing a spline effect in PROC GLIMMIX. It discusses the spline basis output, the interpretation of the output, how to use the spline model to make predictions, and how to use the LSMEANS and ESTIMATE statements to compute quantities of interest.




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Pakistan limits outdoor activities, market hours to curb air pollution-related illness

LAHORE — Pakistan's Punjab province banned most outdoor activities and ordered shops, markets and malls in some areas to close early from Monday (Nov 11) to curb illnesses caused by intense air pollution. The province has closed educational institutions and public spaces like parks and zoos until Nov. 17 in places including Lahore, the world's most polluted city in terms of air quality, according to Swiss group IQAir's live ratings. The districts of Lahore, Multan, Faisalabad and Gujranwala have seen an unprecedented rise in patients with respiratory diseases, eye and throat irritation, and pink eye disease, the Punjab government said in an order issued late on Sunday. The new restrictions will also remain in force until Nov. 17. "The spread of conjunctivitis/ pink eye disease due to bacterial or viral infection, smoke, dust or chemical exposure is posing a serious and imminent threat to public health," the Punjab government said.




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IMF holds unusual talks with Pakistan over $9.4 billion bailout

ISLAMABAD — The International Monetary Fund's Pakistan mission chief Nathan Porter on Tuesday (Nov 12) opened unusual talks with Pakistan over a US$7 billion (S$9.4 billion) bailout approved by its board in September, the finance ministry and sources said. The unscheduled visit of the IMF mission and talks beginning with meeting the country's finance team are too early for first review of the IMF's Extended Fund Facility (EFF), which is due in the first quarter of 2025. The chiefs of Pakistan's central bank and federal board of revenue also attended the meeting besides other officials from both the sides, the statement said. The ministry and the IMF have not officially released details of the visit. Sources in the finance ministry said the Nov 11-15 visit will discuss recent developments and programme performance to date, adding the mission was not part of the first review. The sources declined to be identified as they were not authorised to speak with the media. Pakistan has been struggling with boom-and-bust economic cycles for decades, leading to 23 IMF bailouts since 1958.




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Bus falls into Indus river in Pakistan, killing 14

ISLAMABAD — A bus carrying 27 passengers fell into the Indus river in northern Pakistan on Nov 12, killing 14 people, according to a statement from the Gilgit Baltistan authorities. Twelve of the remaining passengers are missing, and one passenger has survived the accident with injuries, the statement from the authorities said. The accident occurred due to speeding, and the driver losing control of the vehicle, according to the authorities. According to local broadcaster Geo, the bus was part of a wedding procession headed towards Pakistan's Chakwal district when it fell into the river from Telchi bridge at the limits of Diamer district. Fatal road accidents are common in Pakistan, where traffic rules are rarely followed and roads in many rural areas are in poor condition. Earlier in August, two bus accidents in north-east and south-west Pakistan killed at least 34 people.




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Beijing pushes to join security efforts for citizens in Pakistan, sources say

ISLAMABAD — Beijing is pushing Pakistan to allow its own security staff to provide protection to thousands of Chinese citizens working in the South Asian nation, during talks after a car bombing in Karachi that was seen as a major security breach, sources said. Last month's airport bombing in the southern port city that killed two Chinese engineers returning to work on a project after a holiday in Thailand was the latest in a string of attacks on Beijing's interests in Pakistan. The attacks, and Islamabad's failure to deter them, have angered China, which has pushed Pakistan to begin formal negotiations for a joint security management system. Reuters spoke to five Pakistani security and government sources with direct knowledge of the previously unreported negotiations and demands on condition of anonymity, as the talks are sensitive, and reviewed a written proposal sent by Beijing to Islamabad. "They (Chinese) want to bring in their own security," said one official, who sat in on a recent meeting, adding that Pakistan had not so far agreed to such a step.




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A US Ambassador Working for Cuba? Charges Against Former Diplomat Victor Manuel Rocha Spotlight Havana's Importance in the World of Spying

Calder Walton writes that if proved, Victor Manuel Rocha's espionage would place him among the longest-serving spies in modern times. Allowing him to operate as a spy in the senior echelons of the U.S. government for so long would represent a staggering U.S. security failure.




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‘If Mumbai attack suspects in Pakistan are freed, India is at fault'

‘If Mumbai attack suspects arrested in Pakistan are freed, India is at fault'



  • The India Cables

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U.S. feared LeT attack in India in mid-2009; warned Pakistan

U.S. feared another LeT attack in India in mid-2009, and sought Pakistan's help to ‘disrupt and prevent' it



  • The India Cables

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237503: The President's announcement on the way forward in Afghanistan and Pakistan

This cable contains information which we hope will be useful to you in engaging host governments, media, and the public after the President's address.




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‘Many Pakistans, so we need many Pakistan policies'

‘India does not want to play into the hands of terrorists by shunning dialogue.'



  • The India Cables

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185384: Menon says India to decide on information-sharing with Pakistan

Menon emphasized that India had been tough on Pakistan with regard to accountability, but restrained in its rhetoric and actions.




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236332: US saw "additional opportunities" to embed own troops in Pakistan military’s FATA operations




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226157: Pakistan accepted U.S. military role in counter-insurgency operations




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207373: U.S. Special Forces embedded with Pakistan Special Services Group and Frontier Corps for operations in NWFP




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204652: US. "boots on the ground" were to accompany Pakistan Frontier Corps for a joint operation, but were "denied deployment" at the last minute




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204260: U.S. special forces were embedded with Pakistan troops in 2009 anti-Taliban operations in the North-West Frontier Province




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Pakistan's Punjab turning into hotbed of extremism, U.S. had warned




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833: Pakistan, Islamic terror and HUA

Benazir Bhutto said she was picking up disturbing intelligence of the existence of religious madrassas and other institutions, including youth training camps which could be spawning terrorism.




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126768: Bhutto asks Ambassador for security assessment assistance

Embassy strongly recommends against providing a U.S. Government evaluation, saying it will inevitably expose performance gaps that would not meet American standards of training and equipment.




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136099: Pakistan elections and Bhutto assasination investigation

Complicating the PPP decision-making are growing indications of a leadership struggle.




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153464: Pakistan campaigning for seat on UN Human Rights Council

Pakistan concern that freedom of expression be balanced with respect for religion as "we are not as advanced as you are" in terms of respect for freedom of religion and could not always control the reactions of sometimes ignorant crowds.




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Don't leave Afghanistan, India told U.S.



  • India & Neighbours

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‘Pakistan's actions at the UN may embolden other member states to oppose U.S. positions'

U.S. Mission in New York raised concerns about Pakistan's voting on key issues such as counterterrorism and human rights




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We are not as advanced as you are in respect for freedom of religion, Pakistan told U.S.




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150415: Pakistani leaders deny intent to release A.Q. Khan

Benazir Bhutto's public comments that she would grant the IAEA access to Khan were highly controversial in Pakistan. Zardari's options for delivering on Benazir's promise is limited.




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153436: Training Pakistan's next generation of military leaders

Pakistan's National Defense University's curriculum is designed to foster national pride, but many of its students and instructors have an anti-American bias.




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114010: monitoring Pakistan's coalition support funds

Pending post verification are claims that total $279 million for the March-May 2007 period. The areas of greatest concern to us include costs for helicopter operations ($83 million annually), radar maintenance ($65 million annually) and Joint Staff operations ($5 million annually).




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223755: Finance minister on Pakistan's budget woes, Tokyo pledges, and U.S. assistance

In a September 3 meeting with the Ambassador, Finance Minister Shaukat Tarin said the GOP had included $2 billion in Tokyo Pledges in its budget but was grappling with a shortfall in actual donor assistance.




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233602: Finance minister Tarin on budgets, CSF dollar fund, and Pakistan's improving economic outlook

Tarin requested that an additional $500 million of U.S. assistance flow through the GOP - in addition to the $174 million already committed - to bolster GOP credibility and allow the GOP to more adequately support its priorities.




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134295: fixing coalition support funding to Pakistan

Between August 2006 and July 2007, we received a claim for 26 million USD in barbed wire and pickets. While these items are no doubt helpful in protecting outposts, the claim figures are highly suspect.




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151227: Pakistan's F-16 program — at risk of failure?

For the Pakistani military, the F-16 sale is tangible proof of the post-9/11 bilateral relationship, and we seriously doubt they will allow it to fail.




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189129: The way forward for Pakistan's F-16 program

The bottom line is that Pakistan cannot afford the $2 billion required to complete this F-16 program.




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122429: Reassuring Pakistan on the F-16 sale

It is hard to exaggerate the effect the failure of the F-16 sale would have on U.S. relations with Pakistan and on our allies in the Pakistani military.




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Behind the Pakistan F-16 deal, a tale of many wheels

The sale was considered only ‘symbolically important' by the U.S., but had many strings attached




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State Department cable cited ISI links with militants




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221726: Indian information inadequate to warrant listing of three Pakistan-based individuals

Chinese officials had approached the Indian government for more information but had since been reportedly told by the Indian government that the information presented was sufficient to justify the listing.




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213853: China thanked for support of nominations of 3 Pakistan-based individuals for UNSCR 1267 designation

Deputy Director Shen acknowledged the message but offered no further comment.




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Pakistan raised Mujahideen and now they are terrorists, says Pakistan Interior Minister in National Assembly

The Pakistani Taliban on Monday claimed responsibility for the January 30 mosque attack in Peshawar which left 100 people dead and over 220 injured




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Pest-resistant Maize Variety Opens Way for Technological Advancement

"It is estimated that the spotted stem borer and the African stem borer reduce Kenya's maize crop by 13 per cent or 400,000 tonnes annually. Controlling the pest using biotechnology will not only reduce Kenya's food imports, it will also equip the country with new techniques that can be redeployed for other sectors such as drug and vaccine development."




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Important Wins Were Notched Up for African Agriculture in 2016

"2016 was a big year for agriculture in Africa with some notable 'wins' across the continent. One of the most important gains was the increased use of emerging technologies beyond the traditional use of mobile phones in agriculture. The range includes precision agriculture, sensors, satellites and drones."




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Amb. Djerejian Analyzes Sen. Schumer's Comments on Netanyahu

MEI Senior Fellow Edward Djerejian discusses Sen. Schumer’s call for Israeli elections, what a ground operation in Rafah could mean for US policy, and whether a two-state solution is still viable on ABC News Live.




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Kuwait’s Suspended Parliament: Where Does the Public Stand?

MEI Fellow Yuree Noh assesses public opinion in Kuwait following the suspension of its parliament.




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Lattice-Based Cryptosystems and Quantum Cryptanalysis

Quantum computers are probably coming—and when they arrive, they will, most likely, be able to break our standard public-key cryptography algorithms.




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Cop: Negotiators agree on carbon credit standards





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Kyrgyzstan in Crisis: A Geopolitical Juncture

Kyrgyzstan is currently at a critical geopolitical juncture in which it is forced to
confront its longstanding ties with Russia against a backdrop of internal and external
pressures towards autocracy. Once celebrated as the ‘island of democracy’ in Central
Asia, the small nation faces significant challenges in light of internal authoritarian
tendencies and external pressure following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in
February 2022. This report, therefore, examines the role of Kyrgyzstan within the
global democracy versus autocracy debate that has intensified in the past two years
and assesses President Japarov’s neutrality with regards to Russia’s invasion and
Bishkek’s shifting allegiances.

This report relies on a qualitative methodology that builds on field research conducted
in Kyrgyzstan in August 2023. As such, this report incorporates interviews with
Kyrgyz civil society organizations and other stakeholders working on issues
including, but not limited to, democratization, corruption, human rights, media, and
the rule of law. The report presents an in-depth analysis of the Russian influence with
regards to the Kyrgyz political system, civil society, and strategic relationship with
Moscow, underpinned by the historical context of Kyrgyz-Russian relations.




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To Enhance National Security, the Biden Administration Will Have to Trim an Exorbitant Defense Wish List

David Kearn argues that even in the absence of restrictive resource and budgetary constraints, a focus on identifying and achieving concrete objectives that will position the United States and its allies to effectively deter aggression in critical regional flashpoints should be the priority given the stressed nature of the defense industrial base and the nuclear enterprise.





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Pakistan's Wasil Foundation Wins Islamic Microfinance Challenge - Islamic Microfinance Challenge

Watch this video highlighting Wasil Foundation's work.