In the field of numerical weather prediction (NWP), the probabilistic distribution of the future state of the atmosphere is sampled with Monte-Carlo-like simulations, called ensembles. These ensembles have deficiencies (such as conditional biases) that can be corrected thanks to statistical post-processing methods. Several ensembles exist and may be corrected with different statistiscal methods. A further step is to combine these raw or post-processed ensembles. The theory of prediction with expert advice allows us to build combination algorithms with theoretical guarantees on the forecast performance. This article adapts this theory to the case of probabilistic forecasts issued as step-wise cumulative distribution functions (CDF). The theory is applied to wind speed forecasting, by combining several raw or post-processed ensembles, considered as CDFs. The second goal of this study is to explore the use of two forecast performance criteria: the Continous ranked probability score (CRPS) and the Jolliffe-Primo test. Comparing the results obtained with both criteria leads to reconsidering the usual way to build skillful probabilistic forecasts, based on the minimization of the CRPS. Minimizing the CRPS does not necessarily produce reliable forecasts according to the Jolliffe-Primo test. The Jolliffe-Primo test generally selects reliable forecasts, but could lead to issuing suboptimal forecasts in terms of CRPS. It is proposed to use both criterion to achieve reliable and skillful probabilistic forecasts.

Blending marshmallows with scientific rigor, the contest offers levity during a difficult time

The sport is considering radical rule changes as it tries to balance centuries of tradition with the modern need to move things along.

This SOLIDWORKS tutorial is for a Wooden Canvas Teepee, the tutorial focuses on the use of Circular Patterns of part bodies and the use of 3D sketch for extrusions between guide points, and profile sweeps along a path. This is a fun tutorial that if you follow, you can create you own Teepee model, and apply a range of designs to with decals. The decal swatches seen in the video are available to download in the description below.

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The school funding group EdBuild finds neighborhood attempts to secede popping up in more school districts, with racial and economic isolation increasing in their wake.

A new nonprofit that will convene technology experts from across business, nonprofit, government, and education sectors will begin its big-picture problem solving in the educational arena.

New Contemporaries is in its 12th year now, an annual showing of the Royal Scottish Academy’s pick of graduates from the previous year’s degree shows. A wonderful opportunity for the young artists themselves – this is a prestigious exhibition and a prestigious venue to put on one’s CV – it is also a handy shortcut for anyone who wants to get a snapshot of the kind of work coming out of our art colleges at the moment.

Teaching via combined languages is important, as multiple races and immigrants from different countries live in the United States.

The prevalence of asthma and smoking among adolescents in Jordan is high. Well-designed, school-based, peer-led education programs can have a positive impact on asthma self-management in adolescents. Student peer leaders can be useful and responsible partners in health promotion programs.

A peer-led asthma education program —Adolescent Asthma Action—for adolescents developed in Australia was adapted to suit non–English-speaking cultures in the Middle East. Peer-led education led to improved self-management of asthma and motivated students to avoid smoking. (Read the full article)

Youth violence and alcohol misuse are a preventable public health problem. Previous studies have demonstrated the efficacy of brief interventions in the emergency department (ED) in reducing alcohol misuse and related consequences among older adolescents and adults.

This study supports the efficacy of brief interventions in the ED in reducing peer aggression and victimization 12 months after ED visit. The previous reductions in alcohol consequences noted at 6 months follow-up were not sustained at 12 months. (Read the full article)

Peer victimization predicts numerous health risks. Lesbian, gay, and bisexual (LGB)-identified youth report greater peer victimization than do heterosexual-identified youth. No longitudinal studies have been conducted on developmental trends of peer victimization and emotional distress among LGB and heterosexual youth.

We provide the first longitudinal evidence on developmental trends of peer victimization and emotional distress for LGB- and heterosexual-identified youth. The findings suggest peer victimization of LGB-identified youth decreases in absolute, but not necessarily relative, terms and contributes to later emotional distress disparities. (Read the full article)

Autism is a disorder that significantly affects language/communication skills, with many children not developing fluent language. The rate of spoken language acquisition after severe language delay and predictors of functional language, beyond comorbid intellectual disability, is less clear.

This study uses the largest sample to date to examine the relationship between key deficits associated with autism and attainment of phrase and/or fluent speech after a severe language delay, providing information to guide therapeutic targets and developmental expectations. (Read the full article)

Early timing of puberty and affiliation with deviant friends are associated with higher levels of delinquent and aggressive behavior. Early-maturing adolescents tend to affiliate with more-deviant peers and appear more susceptible to negative peer influences.

Young early-maturing girls do not yet associate with deviant friends but are more susceptible to negative peer influences. Early puberty effects are stable over time for delinquency but dissipate for aggression. Most of these relationships are invariant across race/ethnicity. (Read the full article)

Research indicates that bullying, a type of peer victimization, is related to worse mental and physical health. Most previous studies have been cross-sectional and have not examined effects of bullying over time.

This analysis examined longitudinal effects of bullying on mental and physical health from middle school to high school. Experiencing chronic bullying, especially in both the past and present, was associated with worse psychological and physical health. (Read the full article)

Type 2 diabetes mellitus is one of the fastest growing pediatric chronic illnesses worldwide and disproportionately affects indigenous people from all continents.

These data support the growing body of evidence that peer mentoring is an attractive strategy for teaching health behaviors and improving health outcomes in children. (Read the full article)

In-person peer counseling to pregnant and new mothers has been shown to improve breastfeeding modestly in three US RCTs. But this level of support for WIC is unlikely to be scaled up nationally in the current fiscal environment.

We randomly assigned WIC clients to a telephone peer counseling program relative to standard WIC support for breastfeeding. Nonexclusive breastfeeding among Spanish-speakers increased at 1, 3, and 6 months, but the program had much less of an effect on English-speaking clients. (Read the full article)

Overweight and peer victimization are common in childhood and negatively affect health and well-being. Overweight may predispose children to peer victimization, but whether adiposity also increases the risk of bullying perpetration is unclear.

A high BMI at school entry predicts bullying involvement, according to reports of teachers and children themselves. Although trends were visible across the whole BMI spectrum, particularly obese children were victimized and likely to be bully perpetrators. (Read the full article)

Don't take your ISP's word for it, put your connection to the test. The easiest way is to use Ookla Speedtest, but options abound. Here's how to see if you're getting what you pay for.

Fin24's Matthew le Cordeur spoke with Finance Minister Malusi Gigaba after his maiden mini budget speech in Parliament on Wednesday. Watch.

The Cape Town metro scooped the highest prices paid for residential property in South Africa this year, says the MD of Seeff Atlantic Seaboard and City Bowl.

With 1.6 million customers and 850 000 active accounts and counting, TymeBank's growth in the first year of its launch surpassed its own projections. But can the bank maintain this momentum as the novelty of trying new things wears off for digitally savvy early adopters?

The latest results from the Program for International Student Assessment show American teenagers gaining ground against other nations in reading, math, and science, but it’s not because their performance is improving.

The rupee started the session at 75.36 and appreciated to as high as 75.26 paise against the US currency during the four-hour session, amid sharp gains in domestic equities and weakness in the dollar...

INR-USD future contracts will be available for 22 hours across all time zones for all global participants from GIFT IFSC.

Such studies, which pose significant potential dangers to subjects, may be considered in dire situations and with certain disclosures and protections, a working group of the United Nations health agency said in a report posted Wednesday on its website.

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It also passed a string of directions on safe passage for the bodies of the victims, their proper burial/cremation, adequate number of helplines and help desks, besides rehabilitation of those affected.

Unlike Wednesday, when Justices Muralidhar and Talwant Singh questioned the Solicitor General repeatedly over the delay in lodging FIRs and had video clips of the hate speeches played in open court with proceedings lasting through the day, the hearing Thursday was over in less than an hour.

This comes in the backdrop of the Uttarakhand government contemplating a change in the traditions of the opening of the famed Himalayan temples. 

Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman inaugurated the rupee-dollar derivatives trading on the two exchanges on Friday.

RBI allows non-resident foreign banks to lend in Indian rupees

Answers To Indian Rupee Demonetization Of Rs 500, 1000 currency Notes

1 Seychellois Rupee = 69.3146 Iraqi Dinar

1 Seychellois Rupee = 302.2757 Zambian Kwacha

1 Seychellois Rupee = 1.0689 South African Rand

1 Seychellois Rupee = 14.5837 Yemeni Rial

1 Seychellois Rupee = 35.2398 CFA Franc BCEAO

1 Seychellois Rupee = 1363.0221 Vietnamese Dong

1 Seychellois Rupee = 0.5817 Venezuelan Bolivar Fuerte

1 Seychellois Rupee = 588.8246 Uzbekistan Som

1 Seychellois Rupee = 2.5128 Uruguayan Peso