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How do policies influence GDP tail risks?

This paper explores the relationship between policy settings and extreme positive and negative growth events, what we call GDP tail risks, using quantile regression methods.




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Can reforms promoting growth increase financial fragility? An empirical assessment

Certain growth-promoting policies can have negative side-effects by increasing the vulnerability of economies to financial crises. Typical examples are greater openness to financial flows or more liberalised financial markets.




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The effect of the size and mix of public spending on growth and inequality

The effect of the size and mix of public spending on growth and inequality




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Make better use of fiscal initiatives to escape low-growth trap, OECD says in latest Global Economic Outlook

Expansionary fiscal initiatives and maintaining trade openness are needed to push the global economy out of today’s low-growth trap, according to the OECD’s latest Global Economic Outlook.




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Enhancing Economic Flexibility: What Is in It for Workers?

Reforms that boost growth by enhancing economic flexibility often meet strong opposition related to concerns that they may imply adverse consequences for categories of workers. This study investigates how making product or labour market regulation more flexible changes workers’ risks of moving out of employment and jobless people’s chances of becoming employed.




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Consumer Prices, OECD - Updated: 6 December 2016

OECD annual inflation picks up to 1.4% in October 2016, driven by energy prices




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, December 2016

Growth momentum picking-up in several advanced economies and strengthening in major emerging economies




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The quantification of structural reforms in OECD countries: a new framework

This document describes and discusses a new supply side framework that quantifies the impact of structural reforms on per capita income in OECD countries.




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The quantification of structural reforms in OECD countries: a new framework

This document describes and discusses a new supply side framework that quantifies the impact of structural reforms on per capita income in OECD countries.




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Fostering productivity for income convergence in the Czech Republic

Over the past two decades, the income level of the Czech Republic has converged considerably towards the OECD average.




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Enhancing public sector efficiency and effectiveness in the Czech Republic

Spending on public administration itself is relatively low and so are indicators of its performance.




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Fostering productivity for income convergence in the Czech Republic

Over the past two decades, the income level of the Czech Republic has converged considerably towards the OECD average.




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Mexico: Reforms are starting to bear fruit, but further action is needed to boost productivity and ensure more inclusive growth, OECD says

Ambitious structural reforms and sound macroeconomic policies have strengthened the resilience of the Mexican economy despite a complex national scenario and challenging global conditions, but more can be done to boost productivity and ensure that growth is inclusive enough to achieve better living conditions for all, according to a new report from the OECD.




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Malaysia’s economic success story and challenges

Malaysia has sustained over four decades of rapid, inclusive growth, reducing its dependence on agriculture and commodity exports to become a more diversified, modern and open economy.




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, January 2017

Stronger signals of growth momentum picking-up in several major OECD economies




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Mexico’s reforms are paying off, but there is much left to do

The government has rolled out major structural reforms since 2012 aimed at improving growth, well-being and income distribution. The initial wave of reforms, kicked-off by the multi-partisan political commitments in the Pacto por México, led to notable progress across a range of areas and put Mexico at the forefront of reformers among OECD countries.




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Consumer Prices, OECD - Updated: 2 February 2017

Rising energy prices push OECD annual inflation to 1.8% in December 2016




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Strengthening economic resilience: What lessons to draw from the post-1970s record of severe recessions and financial crises

Major global crises such as the 2008-09 episode are mercifully rare, but severe recessions have been quite frequent among OECD countries over the past four decades.




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Portugal: Successful reforms have underpinned economic recovery

The Portuguese economy is gradually recovering from a deep recession thanks to a broad structural reform agenda that has led to rising economic growth, falling unemployment and remarkable progress in export performance.




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Pollution havens? Energy prices are not key drivers of offshoring

New evidence on the effect of energy prices on outward FDI can provide some reassurance in light of concerns about Pollution Havens.




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, February 2017

Composite leading indicators continue to point to growth gaining momentum in several advanced economies




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Economic Survey of Australia 2017

Further structural reform is required to raise productivity growth through a better climate for business and stronger R&D outcomes.




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Deconstructing income inequality in Costa Rica: an income source decomposition approach

Despite an improvement in overall macroeconomic performance in Costa Rica, income inequality has risen and is currently at its maximum historical value.




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Boosting productivity in Mexico through integration into Global Value Chains

Mexico’s structural reforms are already boosting productivity, but more can be done.




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Consumer Prices, OECD - Updated: 7 March 2017

Sharp rise in energy prices pushes OECD annual inflation up to 2.3% in January 2017




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Modest pick-up in global growth but risks and vulnerabilities could derail recovery

Global economic growth is expected to pick up modestly next year to around 3.6 % from a projected 3.3% in 2017 but risks of rising protectionism, financial vulnerabilities, potential volatility from divergent interest rate paths and disconnects between market valuations and real activity hang over the outlook, according to the OECD.




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Economic resilience

Economic resilience can be strengthened implementing policies aimed at mitigating both the risks and consequences of severe crises.




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Efficient, Equitable and Enforceable: three "Es" for reforming India's tax system and better finance public services

Promoting inclusive growth in India requires improving social and physical infrastructure.




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Spain: Maintain reform momentum to enhance economic recovery and boost inclusive growth

The Spanish economy is enjoying a robust recovery from a deep recession, with structural reforms contributing to high growth rates and a gradual decline in unemployment.




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Growth-oriented policy agenda needed to ensure stronger economic recovery with benefits for all workers and households

Governments must deploy policy packages that take advantage of the synergies between labour, product and financial market reforms to escape the low-growth trap and ensure that benefits are broadly shared by the vast majority of citizens, according to the OECD’s annual Going for Growth report.




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, April 2017

Stable growth momentum in the OECD area




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Towards a Better Globalisation: How Germany can respond to the critics

Citizens in many countries are expressing dissatisfaction with how they believe trade, technology and immigration are affecting their daily lives. While much of this discontent can be traced back to the global economic crisis, its root causes are more complex. What can be done at the Global, European and German level?




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Japan: Boost employment and productivity to promote inclusive growth and meet demographic challenges

The Japanese economy has gained momentum and is creating jobs, according to a new OECD report. The latest OECD Economic Survey of Japan, presented in Tokyo by OECD Secretary-General Angel Gurría, says that per capita growth rates in recent years have matched those across the OECD – a major improvement. The Survey underlines the key role Abenomics has played in the economic revival.




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OECD Technical Report on Progress on Structural Reform Under the G20 ESRA

This OECD technical report to G-20 Finance Ministers and Governors provides an assessment of progress on structural reform to achieve strong, sustainable and balanced growth under the G-20 Enhanced Structural Reform Agenda (ESRA) agreed at the Hangzhou summit.




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Doing well by doing good: The role of Mexico's firms in achieving sustainable and inclusive growth

The private sector can be a strategic partner in the pursuit of sustainable and inclusive growth, with the ability to have a profound impact, particularly in areas such as climate change, inclusiveness, equality and good governance.




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Japan needs policies to boost productivity for inclusive growth

Labour productivity in Japan is about a quarter below the average of the top half of OECD countries, which is surprising given Japan's outstanding performance in education and skills and high level of R&D spending.




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The Economics Department is recruiting its Deputy Director!

The Economics Department is recruiting its Deputy Director. We provide flexible work options, which respects diverse working styles. If you want to join a co-operative, collaborative and respectful work environment where professional development is recognised and encouraged, please visit the job opening.




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Does everybody enjoy Pura Vida? Decomposing income inequality in Costa Rica

Despite strong economic growth, Costa Rica’s income inequality has increased in the past decade, in stark contrast with other Latin American countries.




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Consumer Prices, OECD - Updated: 4 May 2017

OECD annual inflation slows to 2.3% in March 2017, driven by energy prices




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, May 2017

Composite leading indicators point to stable growth momentum in the OECD area going forward




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Taking action on climate change will boost economic growth

Integrating measures to tackle climate change into regular economic policy will have a positive impact on economic growth over the medium and long term, according to a new OECD report prepared in the context of the German Presidency of the G20.




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Consumer Prices, OECD - Updated: 6 June 2017

OECD annual inflation nudges up to 2.4% in April 2017




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Better but not good enough: New approaches are needed to make globalisation work for all, OECD says in latest Economic Outlook

The global economy is expected to pick up moderately but greater efforts are needed to ensure that the benefits from growth and globalisation are more widely shared, according to the OECD’s latest Economic Outlook.




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Regulation, institutions and productivity: new macroeconomic evidence from OECD countries

Empirical research on the drivers of multi-factor productivity (MFP) is abundant at the firm- and industry level but surprisingly little research has been conducted on the determinants of MFP at the macroeconomic level.




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, June 2017

Composite leading indicators continue to point to stable growth momentum in the OECD area




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Economic Survey of New Zealand 2017

New Zealand has experienced robust economic growth since 2012, buoyed by record levels of inward migration and strong terms of trade. Employment has expanded vigorously, reversing much of the increase in unemployment since the onset of the global financial crisis.




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Public investment, tax and education reforms will help bolster inclusive growth in Belgium

A combination of market-based policies and a redistributive welfare state have boosted Belgium’s per-capita GDP to well above the average of OECD countries and raised well-being, according to a new OECD report.




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Slovak Republic: Strong economy offers opportunity to invest in the future

The Slovak Republic continues exhibiting robust economic performance, with strong growth backed by a sound financial sector, low public debt and high international competitiveness drawing on large inward investment.




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OECD Economic Survey of Iceland launches Tuesday 27 June 2017

The latest OECD Economic Survey of Iceland, to be published on Tuesday 27 June, analyses the factors behind the country’s remarkable economic turnaround as well as steps that can be taken to preserve sustainable and inclusive growth.




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New Zealand has recently enjoyed strong economic growth, but housing and population ageing pose challenges

New Zealand enjoyed strong economic growth during 2016, driven by high net inward migration, solid construction activity, booming tourism and supportive monetary policy, although in per capita terms growth has been more in line with that in other advanced economies.