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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Discussion Number 10


000
WTNT41 KNHC 192041
TCDAT1

Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Discussion Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162019
500 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019

The center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor made landfall along on
St. Vincent Island, Florida, around 1730 UTC. Since then, that
center has moved inland over the Florida Panhandle between
Apalachicola and Tallahassee. However, during the past hour, a new
center appears to have formed farther west along a quasi-occluded
frontal boundary. The earlier 40-45 kt winds over water have moved
inland and weakened, and the initial intensity of 35 kt is based on
a recent wind report of a sustained wind of 33 kt at 5-meters
elevation from NOAA buoy 41008/Gray's Reef, Georgia.

The initial motion estimate is now northeastward or 055/20 kt.
Nestor is forecast to move northeastward over the next 36 hours or
so, followed by a turn toward the east once the cyclone reaches the
North Carolina Outer Banks. On days 2 an 3, upper-level support is
expected to weaken and lift out to the northeast, leaving a
weakening extratropical cyclone Nestor behind. The cyclone should
then dissipate or merge with another frontal system by 96 h offshore
of the U.S. east coast. The new official forecast track is similar
to the previous advisory, and lies close to the center of the
tightly packed model guidance envelope.

Some slight strengthening is expected on Sunday, mainly due to the
robust circulation moving out over the warm waters of the far
western Atlantic where less friction will affect the cyclone. The
official intensity foreast closely follows an average of the 1200
UTC GFS, UKMET, and ECMWF global model intensity forecasts.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on
Nestor. Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

Key Messages:

1. Gale-force winds will gradually develop over the Atlantic waters
and along the coasts northeastern Florida and Georgia tonight, and
spread northward to the Carolinas on Sunday.

2. Isolated flash flooding is possible across the southeastern
United States into Sunday.

3. Wind and coastal flooding hazards along the U.S. East Coast will
be covered by non-tropical watches and warnings issued by local NWS
offices, since the system is expected to lose its tropical
characteristics after it moves inland along the Gulf Coast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/2100Z 30.4N 84.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
12H 20/0600Z 32.3N 81.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 20/1800Z 35.0N 76.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 21/0600Z 36.8N 72.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 21/1800Z 36.8N 68.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 22/1800Z 36.5N 65.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart




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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone OLGA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WIT

 
 000
 FONT12 KNHC 260251
 PWSAT2
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3      
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172019               
 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR  
 LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
 WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 JACKSON MS     34 21  13(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
  
 NEW ORLEANS LA 34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
  
 BATON ROUGE LA 34 83   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
  
 MORGAN CITY LA 34 81   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
  
 ALEXANDRIA LA  34 17   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
  
 LAFAYETTE LA   34 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
  
 NEW IBERIA LA  34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
  
 GFMX 280N 930W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
  
 LAKE CHARLES   34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
  
 CAMERON LA     34 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
  
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER ZELINSKY                                                 
 




tla

NHC HF Voice Broadcast (Caribbean/SW Atlantic)


000
FZNT31 KNHC 091514
OFFN20

Marine Weather HF Voice Broadcast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1114 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

Marine Weather HF Voice Broadcast for the Tropical N Atlantic
from 07N to 22N between 55W and 64W, the SW N Atlantic S of
31N W of 65W including Bahamas, and the Caribbean Sea.

Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.

Synopsis for Caribbean Sea and Tropical N Atlantic from
07N to 19N between 55W and 64W

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure N of the area will support fresh to
strong trade winds across the central Caribbean, and gentle to
moderate winds over most of the remainder of the basin through
Sun night. The aerial extent of the strong trades will diminish
and reduce to the south-central Caribbean for the remainder
period.

NW Caribbean W of 85W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to less than 10 kt
after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON...Variable winds less than 10 kt, becoming NE less than
10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...E winds less than 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

Caribbean N of 15N between 72W and 85W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft S of 18N,
and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 25 kt S of 18N, and E 10 to 15 kt
elsewhere. Seas 6 to 9 ft S of 18N, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 25 kt S of 18N, and SE 10 to 15 kt
elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft S of 18N, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft S of 18N, and
4 to 6 ft elsewhere.
.MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

Caribbean from 11N to 15N W of 72W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 15 to 25 kt within 90 nm of coast of
Colombia, and E 10 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia,
and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 9 to 12 ft within 90 nm of
coast of Colombia, and 7 to 10 ft elsewhere.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt within 90 nm of coast of
Colombia, and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

SW Caribbean S of 11N

.THIS AFTERNOON...NE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...N winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N winds less than 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to less than
10 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

Caribbean between 64W and 72W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of
Venezuela, and 6 to 9 ft elsewhere.
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 15 to
25 kt elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 6 to 9 ft
elsewhere.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 15 to 25 kt
elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 7 to 10 ft
elsewhere.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 15 to
25 kt elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 6 to 9 ft
elsewhere.
.MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

Offshore Leeward Islands and adjacent ATLC waters from 15N to
19N W of 55W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

Offshore Windward Islands and adjacent ATLC waters from 07N to
15N W of 55W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.

Synopsis for the the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas

.SYNOPSIS...A cold front extending from 31N77W to 29N81W will
move across the waters N of the Bahamas through Sun. Weak low
pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will track NE across south
Florida into the Bahamas Sun through Mon night enhancing winds
and generating numerous showers and thunderstorms. In the wake of
the low, a cold front will move across the northern and central
waters through Mon night, then stall from near 29N65W to central
Cuba late Tue.

ATLC waters from 27N to 31N W of 77W

.THIS AFTERNOON...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...N winds less than 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

ATLC waters from 27N to 31N between 65W and 77W

.THIS AFTERNOON...SW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.

Bahamas N of 22N

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

ATLC waters from 22N to 27N between 65W and the Bahamas

.THIS AFTERNOON...S winds less than 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W of 70W, NE winds less than 10 kt, increasing to
10 to 15 kt after midnight. Elsewhere, SE winds less than 10 kt.
Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

ATLC waters S of 22N W of 65W

.THIS AFTERNOON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...SE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

ATLC waters from 19N to 22N between 55W and 65W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.




tla

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR ICAO Advisory Number 10 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: NESTOR NR: 010 PSN: N3024 W08406 MOV: NE 20KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 035KT

 
 000
 FKNT21 KNHC 192041
 TCANT1
 
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER  10
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162019
 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019
 
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191019/2100Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       NESTOR
 NR:                       010
 PSN:                      N3024 W08406
 MOV:                      NE 20KT
 C:                        0999HPA
 MAX WIND:                 035KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           20/0300Z N3139 W08218
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      040KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          20/0900Z N3258 W08013
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     040KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          20/1500Z N3419 W07752
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     040KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          20/2100Z N3527 W07531
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     040KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
 
 ..
 
 




tla

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone PABLO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone PABLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 17.7 WEST

 
 000
 FONT13 KNHC 281439
 PWSAT3
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12     
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182019               
 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO WAS LOCATED NEAR 
 LATITUDE 46.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 17.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
 WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER LATTO                                                    
 




tla

Atlanta cat has her own address and mailbox

Piper, a black cat that's made her home in a drainage pipe along Atlanta's Beltline, has become the trail's unofficial mascot and even has a mailbox.




tla

Famous Atlanta cat sells house, moves to forever home

BeltLine Piper sold her prime real estate along the Eastside Trail and is now enjoying life as an indoor cat a couple blocks away.




tla

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone SEBASTIEN ICAO Advisory Number 23 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191125/0300Z TCAC: KNHC TC: SEBASTIEN NR: 023 PSN: N4100 W02854 MOV: NE 35KT C: 0993HPA MAX WIND:

 
 000
 FKNT25 KNHC 250232
 TCANT5
  
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER  23
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202019
 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019
  
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191125/0300Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       SEBASTIEN
 NR:                       023
 PSN:                      N4100 W02854
 MOV:                      NE 35KT
 C:                        0993HPA
 MAX WIND:                 050KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           25/0900Z N4244 W02445
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      050KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          25/1500Z N4443 W02034
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     050KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          25/2100Z N4658 W01619
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     050KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          26/0300Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     ///KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
  
 $$
 




tla

Portland to fuel city vehicles with sewage fumes

Diesel trucks and other municipal vehicles in Portland, Oregon, will soon start filling up at a wastewater treatment plant.




tla

Respected architect proposes bridge linking Scotland and Ireland (and no one laughs)

Following the repudiation of a proposed English Channel bridge, a less costly 'Celtic Connection' between Scotland and Northern Ireland gains traction.




tla

Jindal's photo album of wetlands oil

Louisiana Gov. Jindal puts up Flickr album of gruesome oil creeping into Louisiana wetlands.




tla

Rising seas are swallowing Scotland's Stone Age ruins

Stone Age villages on the Orkney Islands are older than Stonehenge, but archaeologists fear that they won't be around for much longer.



  • Climate & Weather

tla

Rise, fall and rebirth: The mission to save Atlanta's largest building

Photographer Blake Burton chronicles the extensive work of restoring a historic Sears, Roebuck & Co. building.




tla

Portland flushes 38 million gallons of water after teen tinkles in reservoir

Portland authorities faced a tough decision this week: Drain a reservoir or provide residents with tap water that a teen peed into?



  • Wilderness & Resources

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10 cooking staples that can outlast you

You may be surprised how many of your kitchen staples have a shelf life of decades — even after they've been opened.




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Why restoring Atlanta's urban forest matters

An inside look at the 4-year effort to restore Atlanta's Fernbank Forest, a 65-acre forest within the city.



  • Wilderness & Resources

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In Portland, a triple-decker tiny house for a family of 3 [Video]

By keeping things compact, Matt Kirkpatrick and Katherine Bovee were able to splurge and have some fun when designing their boxy, prefab abode.



  • Remodeling & Design

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Trash-atlantic flights: British Airways announces waste-to-jet fuel scheme

British Airways partners with an American biofuel firm to build a massive facility outside of London that will produce garbage-based jet fuel.




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Can Scotland lead the way on offshore wind power?

Scotland is hoping to leverage its extensive experience in North Sea oil and gas drilling to become the leader in the offshore wind industry.




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Despite threats from big bad Trump, Scotland okays offshore wind farm

In approving an offshore wind farm, the Scottish government handles Donald Trump in a manner in which everyone should handle Donald Trump: They ignore him.




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Blown away: Wind turbines generate enough energy to power every home in Scotland

With new data published by the WWF, Scotland once again proves itself as the renewable energy-generating powerhouse of the United Kingdom.




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To protect bees, Portland bans insecticide

The Oregon city suspended the use of any insecticide containing neonicotinoids, but not everyone is happy.



  • Organic Farming & Gardening

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Kennedy Space Center unveils shrink-wrapped shuttle Atlantis

How do you un-shrink-wrap a space shuttle?




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How the Clean Air Act helped it rain in Atlanta

New study finds that air pollution limits led to 10 percent more rainfall for Atlanta in the 1970s and 1980s.



  • Climate & Weather

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What's in that smoke from the Atlanta highway fire?

PVC puts out a lot of nasty stuff when it burns, and it's probably still in the soot.




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Wildlife corridor is a road to survival for animals in Brazil's Atlantic Forest

A wildlife corridor in Brazil's Atlantic Forest will help animals like the golden lion tamarin thrive in its preferred environment.



  • Wilderness & Resources

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Atlanta gets a fresh idea: Home-delivered organic produce

ColdLife organics grows its own food, keeps it cold, and delivers it to your door.



  • Sustainable Business Practices

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Atlantic City restaurant goes sustainable and local

Nero's Grill at Caesars is changing the gambling town's image by sourcing sustainably.




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Atlanta's The Ellis: Sustainable food and more

The Ellis Hotel in Atlanta has a sustainable restaurant, a green certification, and a reasonable price tag.




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Australian officials outlaw Katy Perry's seed-embedded 'Prism' packaging

Officials in Australia quarantine imported versions of the pop singer Katy Perry's latest album due to its seed-paper packaging.



  • Organic Farming & Gardening

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Atlanta, Seattle named first winners in American Cities Climate Challenge

The two cities will receive substantial financial and technical assistance from Bloomberg Philanthropies to help combat combat climate change.



  • Climate & Weather

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Tour Atlantic Canada's first LEED Silver certified home

The Salmon Cove home was built with the environment in mind.



  • Sustainable Business Practices

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Perkins+Will's Atlanta office earns 95 LEED-NC points

The office is the highest scoring LEED-NC version 2009 project in the Northern Hemisphere.



  • Sustainable Business Practices

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Atlanta Hawks purchase green energy for arena

The Hawks and Philips Arena have purchased enough clean energy to power the facility for the 2012-2013 basketball season.



  • Sustainable Business Practices

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Supportive housing community in Portland recognized on AIA Top Green list

Holst Architecture's Bud Clark Commons project joins an eclectic assortment of notable green buildings on the 2014 AIA COTE annual top 10 list.




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Urban treehouse triplex in Atlanta offers shady sanctuary

Environmentalist Peter Bahouth shares the inspiration behind Atlanta's most leafy and lovely Airbnb listing.



  • Remodeling & Design

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Communal living slashes energy use at super-efficient Portland building

University of Cincinnati students score big in the 2015 perFORM Building Design Competition.



  • Remodeling & Design

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The North Atlantic right whale could be extinct in 20 years

19 of the 450 remaining whales died from 2017-2018, pushing the species even closer to the edge of extinction.




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5.44% of Portland workers bike to work

Bloomberg Rankings has released a list of bike-to-work rates in 25 major U.S. cities and Portland, Ore., came out on top. In 2010, nearly 16,000 workers biked t




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Can Scotland's feisty wildcats be brought back from the brink?

The Scottish wildcat, an adorable yet fierce native cat species, may disappear within the next few years.




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Bizarre plants delightfully come to life in 'Atlas of Botanic Poetry'

Botanist and biologist Francis Hallé introduces a new world of rainforest flora in his latest art-driven book.



  • Wilderness & Resources

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Destination of the week: Portland, Maine

Get out your walking shoes and check out this city by the sea.




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More green jobs coming to Atlanta

HydroPhi Technology will base its hydrogen energy company in Atlanta, bringing 300 green jobs to the region.




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Offshore wind power: Feds announce $50.5 million in funding for mid-Atlantic project

Turbine sites in Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey and Virginia identified as prime parcels for projects.




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Scotland is winning the plastic shopping bag war

Meanwhile in England, shopping basket theft is on the rise.




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Take a walk through Atlanta's Doll's Head Trail

Constitution Lakes Nature Preserve is home to a unique art walk dotted with visitor-made pieces constructed entirely from found objects.



  • Wilderness & Resources

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Why approaching comet ATLAS is so bright (and how you can see it)

The celestial object C/2019 Y4 or ATLAS may be visible to the naked eye by May. It was only just discovered in 2019.




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Live out your Atlantean fantasies in this bonkers undersea eco-city proposed for Japan

WIth room for 5,000 residents, the $26 billion Ocean Spiral scheme offers a subaqueous alternative to overcrowded and costly terrestrial living.



  • Arts & Culture

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Atlanta to Appalachia: My unlikely journey from urban gridlock to country living

How embracing a serene, rural lifestyle has taught me to use a chainsaw, ride a pickup and get off my blood pressure medication.




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Atlanta to Appalachia: My wife has decided we're going to be chicken farmers

Atlanta to Appalachia columnist Benyamin Cohen and his wife prepare for the arrival of their first chicks — and the wide new world of raising chickens.