nirmala sitharaman

The first money lesson a child should learn is the habit of saving, says Nirmala Sitharaman

The government is focussing on four “I”s infrastructure, investment, innovation and inclusivity to realise the goal set for 2047




nirmala sitharaman

Budget 2025: Nirmala Sitharaman to meet state FMs for pre-Budget, GST Council meet on Dec 21-22

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is set to meet with state counterparts on December 21-22 for pre-budget discussions and a GST Council meeting. Key agenda items include potential GST exemptions for certain insurance policies and rate reductions on various goods. The Council may also consider raising GST on luxury items like high-value shoes and watches.




nirmala sitharaman

PM KISAN Yojana | FM Nirmala Sitharaman says 11.8 crore farmers receive financial assistance

“The government under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi is addressing systematic inequalities, which have plagued the society,” Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said.




nirmala sitharaman

Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman meets AIIB Board of Directors in Delhi




nirmala sitharaman

Nirmala Sitharaman introduces Banking Laws (Amendment) Bill in Lok Sabha

The Bill seeks to give customers an option to increase the number of nominees per bank account to four, from existing one, among others




nirmala sitharaman

Nirmala Sitharaman to meet State FMs for pre-Budget, GST Council meet on Dec 21-22

The meeting assumes significance as State Finance Ministers will present their recommendations for the 2025-26 Budget to be unveiled on February 1, 2025




nirmala sitharaman

India to see steepest rise in living standard of common man in coming decades: FM Nirmala Sitharaman

Addressing the 3rd edition of Kautiliya Economic Conclave here, the Minister said, India's critical economic performance in the recent decade was underscored by its leapfrog from the 10th to the fifth largest economy in five years.




nirmala sitharaman

India well positioned to capitalise on new growth opportunities: Nirmala Sitharaman

Nirmala Sitharaman said that India is looking towards boosting domestic capacities, and building resilience against external shocks




nirmala sitharaman

India wouldn't be fastest-growing economy if people hadn't utilized digital infrastructure: Nirmala Sitharaman

Nirmala Sitharaman highlighted that providing free digital access to the public, coupled with extensive campaigns and awareness programs in local languages, helped people across the country embrace technology




nirmala sitharaman

FM Nirmala Sitharaman to meet PSU bank chiefs on Monday; to review credit flow

The meeting, to be held via video-conferencing, will also take stock of interest rate transmission to borrowers by banks and progress on moratorium on loan repayments, sources said.




nirmala sitharaman

FM Nirmala Sitharaman to meet PSU bank chiefs on May 11 to review credit flow

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will hold a review meeting with CEOs of public sector banks (PSBs) on Monday to discuss various issues, including credit offtake, as part of efforts to prop up the economy hit by the COVID-19 crisis. The meeting, to be held via video-conferencing, will also take stock of interest rate transmission to borrowers by banks and progress on moratorium on loan repayments, sources said. The RBI had on March 27 slashed the benchmark interest rate by a massive 75 basis points and also announced a three-month moratorium to be given by banks to provide relief to borrowers whose income has been hit due to the lockdown. Earlier this month, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das held a meeting with heads of both public and private sector banks to take stock of the economic situation




nirmala sitharaman

Nirmala Sitharaman to meet PSU bank chiefs on Monday; to review credit flow

New Delhi, May 10: Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will hold a review meeting with CEOs of public sector banks (PSBs) on Monday to discuss various issues, including credit offtake, as part of efforts to prop up the economy hit by




nirmala sitharaman

FM Nirmala Sitharaman sets Rs 15 lakh income cap to tax NRIs

Govt has decided to tax only the income generated by NRIs from the biz in India, leaving their global incomes.




nirmala sitharaman

Nirmala Sitharaman Launches Rupee-Dollar F&O Contracts On BSE, NSE

INR-USD future contracts will be available for 22 hours across all time zones for all global participants from GIFT IFSC.




nirmala sitharaman

PM Modi holds key meeting with Amit Shah, Nirmala Sitharaman on steps for financial sector

Prime Minister Narendra Modi held a crucial meeting with home minister Amit Shah and finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman to firm up strategies for the financial sector in the aftermath of the Covid-19 outbreak.




nirmala sitharaman

FM Nirmala Sitharaman to meet PSB chiefs on Monday; to review credit flow, support to NBFCs

The meeting, to be held via video conference, will also dwell on credit disbursement since March, with the focus on Covid-19-related credit sanction and offtake.




nirmala sitharaman

FM Nirmala Sitharaman Inherits an Economy Facing a Number of Headwinds

Posted by Equitymaster
      

A former defense and trade minister, Nirmala Sitharaman became the first woman finance minister of India after Indira Gandhi.

She has inherited an economy facing a number of risks.

She faces immense challenges as finance minister. India's economy is starting to splutter on the back of a slow-down in consumption and private investment.

Fixing this and jump-starting the economy are the first order of business.

The data released on Friday was disappointing at different levels.

Lower growth in GDP, stagnant growth in core sector in April 2019, and the government just about managing the 3.4% deficit number in FY19 pose puzzles for the new Cabinet which assumes responsibility of kick-starting the economy.

A look at key macroeconomic indicators presents a gloomy picture.

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Sinking GDP Growth Means FM Nirmala Sitharaman has to Push for Sweeping Reforms

According to the data released by the Central Statistics Office on Friday, gross domestic product (GDP) grew by only 5.8% in the last quarter of financial year 2019 (FY19), between January and March.

GDP Growth Slips to 5-Year Low


The data demonstrates GDP growth slowing steadily, from 8 to 7 to 6.6% in the first three quarters of FY19.

The signs of slowdown are visible throughout the economy.

Growth of Core Sector Industries Remained Flat

India's core economy grew at 4.3% in FY19, its second slowest pace in the past 5 years, down from 4.9% in FY15, according to latest data by the ministry of commerce and industry.

The 8 core industries include Coal, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Refinery, Fertilisers, Steel, Cement, and Electricity.

8 Core Sectors Report Flat Growth in FY19


The growth rate is also flat since fiscal FY18 which had also recorded a 4.3% growth.

Manufacturing and Services Sector Activity Decelerates

Core sector growth will have a direct impact on the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) as these sectors account for a major chunk of total factory output.

Worries Rise as Factory Output Shrinks in March


The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) and the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) are used to gauge the level of activity in the manufacturing sector.

What Does the PMI Say?


The country's manufacturing sector performance fell to an eight-month low in April as new business growth moderated, curbed by the elections and a challenging economic environment.

The Nikkei India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index declined from 52.6 in March to 51.8 in April, reflecting weakest improvement in business conditions since August 2018.

However, this was the 21st consecutive month that the manufacturing PMI remained above the 50-point mark.

In PMI parlance, a number above 50 means expansion, while a score below that denotes contraction.

The April PMI data indicated a softer increase in new orders had restricted growth of output, employment, and business sentiment.

Further, the Indian service sector lost momentum in April, with rates of new business and output growth both cooling to seven-month lows.

Indian Service Sector Loses Momentum Too


Falling from 52.0 in March to 51.0 at the start of FY19, the seasonally adjusted Nikkei India Services Business Activity Index pointed to the weakest upturn in output since last September.

Besides these, there are many other indicators of a slowdown.

A decline in consumer demand, a slowdown in government spending, and weak private investment have likely impacted India's growth in the fourth quarter.

One such high frequency indicator is automobile sales.

What do these numbers indicate?

Vehicle sales are a very important economic indicator about how the people of India feel about their economic prospects.

After all, no one is forcing anyone to buy a car and given that if a consumer buys a car, he chooses to make a down payment and/or take on an EMI.

This is only possible if the consumer is feeling positive about his future economic prospects.

Automobile Sales Skid as Demand Remains Sluggish


On Saturday, India's largest carmaker, Maruti Suzuki, reported a 22% decline in sales in May, the lowest in seven years.

Other auto-makers such as Tata Motors, Eicher Motors, and Hero Moto Corp reported declines in sales too.

All these economic indicators basically provide evidence of the Indian economy slowing down further since January 2019.

Another major area that needs immediate attention by the government, is job creation.

According to a CMIE survey, the unemployment number stands at 41 million people. That is too big a number to be ignored.

Now, job creation at such a mass level won't be a walk in the park. To set the wheels in motion, the government will have to look at infrastructure spending.

Capacity expansion in new projects has seen a gradual slowdown in the past few years.

Infra Capacity Expansion Likely to Be the Key Focus of the Modi Government


From Rs 3.3 trillion in June 2018, the number has come down sharply to Rs 2.1 trillion as of March 2019.

Co-head of research, Tanushree Banerjee believes this is first area the government will look to focus on.

Apart from creating jobs in the infrastructure sector, it opens a lot of other avenues.

Here's an excerpt of what she wrote in The 5Minute WrapUp:

  • Better infrastructure will mean better connectivity to non-metros. This will attract manufacturing companies to set shop in these towns. It will give a boost to the urbanisation of the population.

    This is a trend I see clearly playing out in the coming years.

    Infrastructure spending -> Improved roads -> Increased two-wheeler sales.

    It is just one of the 50 irreversible trends I believe will carry the Sensex to 1,00,000.

Typically, when the capacity utilisation rises, it prompts companies to expand their capacities. If this gradual pick-up sustains, it could lead to a pick-up in private sector investment.

Thus, a revival in the investment cycle could be underway despite the current economic slowdown.

And, as far as equity markets are concerned, participants were expecting a weak fourth quarter growth data.

As such, the now published data may not weigh on the market but will raise expectations from the government and the RBI.

The pressure points in the form of finance, tax rates, infra expenditure, specific sector-related policies etc, must be addressed.

While the weak GDP data will be an important input for the Union Budget.

Most investors are now keen to know what's in store in the first week of July.

Warm regards,
Rini Mehta



This article (FM Nirmala Sitharaman Inherits an Economy Facing a Number of Headwinds) is authored by Equitymaster.

Equitymaster is a leading 'independent' equity research initiative focused on providing well-researched and unbiased opinions on stocks listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange.




nirmala sitharaman

FM Nirmala Sitharaman chairs 39th GST Council meeting

FM Nirmala Sitharaman chairs 39th GST Council meeting





nirmala sitharaman

GST rate on MRO services of aircraft reduced from 18% to 5%: FM Nirmala Sitharaman

GST rate on MRO services of aircraft reduced from 18% to 5%: FM Nirmala Sitharaman





nirmala sitharaman

Single 12% GST for both hand-made and machine-made matchsticks: FM Nirmala Sitharaman

Single 12% GST for both hand-made and machine-made matchsticks: FM Nirmala Sitharaman





nirmala sitharaman

Public Sector Banks Sanctioned Rs 5.66 Lakh Crore Loans during March-April: Nirmala Sitharaman

She further said that state-owned banks implemented the moratorium announced by the RBI on repayment of loans.




nirmala sitharaman

PSBs sanctioned loans worth Rs 5.66 lakh crore in March-April, economy poised to recover: FM Nirmala Sitharaman

he noted that these borrowers hail from a variety of sectors like micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs), retail, agriculture and corporate, waiting for disbursal soon after the lockdown is lifted.




nirmala sitharaman

In 13-tweet retort, Nirmala Sitharaman debunks Congress' claims over corporate loan write-off

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman insisted that the Indian National Congress and Rahul Gandhi should introspect why they "fail to play a constructive role in cleaning up the system".




nirmala sitharaman

Working capital loan sanctions doubled in 2 days: Nirmala Sitharaman

A day after suggesting that Indian economy is "poised to recover" as indicated by high levels of loan sanctions by banks over last two months, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Saturday pointed out that banks are leaving no stone unturned to ensure that the current coronavirus situation does not result in liquidity crisis for businesses.




nirmala sitharaman

Decoding Budget 2020: Nirmala Sitharaman's fiscal maths gone awry

Slowdown in economic growth has taken a clear toll on revenue growth




nirmala sitharaman

FM Nirmala Sitharaman's Budget goal: Lower rates, simple structure

The FM disagreed with experts who termed the new tax regime complex and unavailing saying it would benefit some taxpayers, if not all




nirmala sitharaman

Nirmala Sitharaman's Budget proposals to stimulate economic growth

The tax proposals are aimed at stimulating growth, simplifying tax structure, bringing ease of compliance and reducing litigation




nirmala sitharaman

No timeline to remove income tax exemptions, says Nirmala Sitharaman

"We have not made up our minds as yet (on the removal of all exemptions)... We are trying step by step, move forward and no particular timeline given," she said




nirmala sitharaman

This govt has faced tonnes of questions, we’re continuously put on test: Nirmala Sitharaman at Express Adda




nirmala sitharaman

Express Adda with Nirmala Sitharaman: ‘Difficulty is not in taking a call on reforms, it’s in moving forward’