The future of the Russia-China relationship 9 February 2023 — 6:00PM TO 7:00PM Anonymous (not verified) 26 January 2023 Chatham House and Online

What lies ahead for the ‘unlimited friendship’ between Moscow and Beijing?

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has raised new questions about the nature of the relationship between Russia and China, with the war seen as having the potential to shift Russia from a close ally to a liability in the eyes of the Chinese government.

This event explores the latest developments in extent of the relationship and interactions between the two: new convergences and divergences, energy links and limitations, declared alliances and private disagreements.

Experts on the panel explore:

• How has the relationship changed since Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine?
• What do the Russian and Chinese people make of the relationship?
• How could a war-weakened Russia be viewed by China?

As with all members events, questions from the audience drive the conversation.

Read the transcript.

Is China's economy on the rebound? 5 April 2023 — 6:00PM TO 7:00PM Anonymous (not verified) 28 February 2023 Chatham House and Online

Exploring the domestic and international signals from the first annual session of the 14th National People’s Congress.

2022 proved to be a difficult year for China. War, COVID-19 and economic turbulence presented a cocktail of significant challenges for the ruling CCP in China. Having dispensed of the infamous zero-COVID-19 policy, China is apparently back open for business.

On the international front, continued tensions with the West, war in Europe and climate change are just some of the obstacles standing in the way of Chinese economic recovery. 

Domestically, China must find ways to reinvigorate demand and move on from a low of 3 per cent GDP growth in 2022. With a frustrated population, people are also keen to be freed from the shackles of a stream of lockdowns and quarantining.

The in-tray for the 14th National People’s Congress, as it begins its first session, is substantial. The implications, at home and abroad, from its recent summit in Beijing reverberate around the world.

The experts on the panel discuss:

• What has been the true extent of COVID-related damage to China’s economy and wider society?
• What economic scars are visible post-recovery?
• Will there be longer-term implications for China’s economic and diplomatic footprint globally post-COVID? 

As with all member events, questions from the audience drive the conversation.

Central and Eastern Europe become hawkish on China Expert comment LJefferson 16 September 2022

The recent withdrawal of the Baltic countries from the ‘17+1’ format displays changing perceptions of China due to its ambiguity towards the war in Ukraine.

While the Russian invasion of Ukraine only confirmed Central and Eastern Europe’s views of Russia, it is also affecting their relations with China. Although the relationship was already complicated due to unfulfilled Chinese economic promises to CEE countries and growing indications of efforts to influence their domestic politics, China’s support for Russia is pushing Central and Eastern Europeans even further away.

This shift was highlighted, and formalized, recently by several countries in the region leaving the ‘17+1’ format, through which China cooperates with a group of countries from the region. The shifting attitudes towards China will also influence the relationship between the European Union as a whole and China.

A Trojan Horse that never was

When the format was launched in 2012 between 16 CEE countries at the time and China, the countries jumping on board expected a wave of Chinese investment and an opportunity to diversify mostly west-bound trade.

These hopes never fully materialized as Chinese foreign direct investment (FDI) in CEE has been generally lower compared to the rest of Europe and China never became an important export destination for any of the countries. The growing disillusionment and concern about Chinese security threats has led to some of the countries speaking up about the perceived perils of closer cooperation.

The first to withdraw from what had become ‘17+1’ by 2021 was Lithuania, which also took an interest in strengthening ties with Taiwan and allowed it to open a Taiwanese representative office in Vilnius. This triggered a breakdown in the bilateral relations with China. As a retaliatory response, China blocked Lithuanian imports and imports from other EU states containing inputs from Lithuania, leading the EU to launch an official dispute at the WTO.

War in Ukraine

Since the invasion started, CEE countries have been dealing with large numbers of Ukrainian refugees, organizing shipments of military equipment to Ukraine, and at the same time worrying whether they could be next on Russia’s list.

However, the concerns and security environment that these countries face seems to be almost entirely disregarded by China. On the sidelines of the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing, Xi and Putin signed the joint communiqué in which China backed Moscow’s demands to reverse NATO borders to the pre-1997 situation, completely disregarding CEE’s security interests.

China’s implicit support for Russia after the invasion has sowed deep mistrust of its respect for the sovereignty of other nations. The Chinese diplomatic apparatus clearly noticed this changing mood among CEE governments and sent a special envoy to eight capitals in April-May tasked with ‘eliminating misunderstandings regarding Russia-Ukraine conflict’.

However, the trip was not particularly successful. The delegation failed to secure high-level meetings, with the most prominent case being the Polish minister of foreign affairs declining to meet Huo Yuzhen, the Chinese Special Councilor for CEEC cooperation. Given that Andrzej Duda, President of Poland, was the only head of an EU state who attended the Beijing Olympics opening ceremony just before the Russian invasion in February, the change in attitudes is clear.

Following the envoy’s visit to the Czech Republic, the Czech parliament’s foreign affairs committee unanimously approved a resolution calling for the country to quit the ‘16+1’ format and the government is expected to act upon it in the near future. Meanwhile, Latvia and Estonia recently jointly announced that they would no longer be participating in the cooperation framework, turning it into ‘14+1’.

Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall said the branch is looking toward confronting China, as well as unity in its ranks, and added that the service needs to retire older aircraft and programs -- and focus on ones that work.

The Biden administration is reportedly considering capping sales of advanced artificial intelligence (AI) chips from US-based manufacturers like AMD and Nvidia to certain countries, including those in the Middle East.  The […]

The post White House Mulls Expanding AI Chip Export Bans Beyond China appeared first on HPCwire.

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In leaning on hawks Marco Rubio and Mike Waltz, Donald Trump is setting the stage for an existential battle against China -- although, as always, the president-elect's knack for dealmaking may intervene.

This November, the engineering and simulation community is set to converge in China for an event that promises to be nothing short of revolutionary. The 2024 BETA CAE Systems China Open Meeting, taking place in the vibrant cities of Beijing and Shanghai on November 5 and 7 , respectively, is a must-attend for anyone looking to stay at the forefront of technological innovation in simulation solutions. Prepare to be inspired by Ben Gu , the visionary Corporate VP of Research and Development at Cadence. He will lead both meetings in Beijing and Shanghai with his keynote on " A New Millennium in Multiphysics System Analysis ." This thought-provoking keynote is expected to provide attendees with a glimpse into the future of engineering simulation and analysis. What sets the BETA CAE Systems Open Meetings apart is not just the high caliber of speakers but also the hands-on training sessions designed to enhance your technical expertise with the BETA CAE software suite. Whether you are an inexperienced individual seeking to acquire fundamental knowledge or an accomplished professional endeavoring to hone your expertise, these training sessions following the open meetings are meticulously tailored to meet your needs. Join Us at the BETA CAE Systems Open Meeting in Beijing The BETA CAE Systems Open Meeting in Beijing will feature a keynote speech by Peng Qiao , Senior Engineer at Great Wall Motors Co., Ltd, on Multidisciplinary Optimization Techniques for Automotive Control Arms . ( View detailed agenda for Beijing. ) When: November 5, 2024 Where: Grand Metropark Hotel Beijing If this sounds interesting, register today for the BETA CAE Systems Beijing Open Meeting by clicking the button below. Don't Miss Out on the BETA CAE Systems Open Meeting in Shanghai After the BETA CAE Systems Open Meeting in Beijing, the next meeting in China will be in Shanghai. During this event, Liu Deping, CAE Engineer from Zhejiang Geely Automobile Research Institute Co., Ltd, will deliver a keynote speech on the Application of ANSA in the Simulation Development Cycle . ( View detailed agenda for Shanghai. ) When: November 7, 2024 Where: InterContinental Shanghai Jing'an Following the open meeting on November 7 will be an exclusive training day on November 8. This session will provide attendees with practical experience using the BETA CAE software to improve their technical skills and provide hands-on knowledge of the software. If you find this intriguing, register now for the BETA CAE Systems Shanghai Open Meeting by clicking the button below. Why Attend? Gain firsthand insights into the latest developments in simulation technology Learn from real-world applications and success stories from various industries Connect and exchange ideas with experts in a collaborative environment Mark your calendars for this unparalleled opportunity to explore the forefront of simulation technology. Whether you're aiming to broaden your knowledge, enhance your technical skills, or connect with industry leaders, the BETA CAE Systems Open Meetings are your gateway to the future of engineering. Join us and be part of shaping the next wave of innovation in the simulation world.

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