California Literary Review: What coronavirus costs to the Italian cultural heritage.. “Given that Italy’s is generally considered the world’s richest cultural heritage, maintenance of its historic monuments and museum, with exhibits dating from the early Neolithic era through today’s avantgarde, is costly. But with international tourism virtually at the end for an indefinite period because … Continue reading California Literary Review: What coronavirus costs to the Italian cultural heritage.

Vice: The Ghanaian Pallbearers Lean Into Their Role as Pandemic Grim Reapers. “The Ghanaian pallbearers have become the most explicit cultural icons of this pandemic. They are cultural icons of death and dying. In a new video, they warn you to stay inside, lest you wish to dance with them in death.”

Jory D. Wiebrand remains a suspect in a 2013 assault and robbery in Bunker Hills Park in Andover.

Michael Wrona, the announcer at Los Alamitos Race Course and a great friend and mentor since I was a teenager and started broadcasting horse races 20 years ago, once told me, “The trouble with racehorses is they can't read scripts!” That line has stuck with me years later. It's a shame that horses don't always […]

The post Thoroughbred Makeover Diaries Presented By Excel Equine: Horses Don’t Read The Script appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

The national attention focused on Fonner Park over the past month hasn't encouraged the Nebraska racetrack's perennial leading rider Jake Olesiak to quit his day job. Olesiak works 40 hours per week as a supervisor at an ethanol plant, E. Energy Adams, located near his home in Firth, nearly two hours away from Fonner in […]

The post Breeders’ Cup Presents Connections: ‘Lucky’ Jake Olesiak Working Overtime At Fonner appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

The mayor said he would like to see the complex town down and replaced with a development akin to Prince George's County's National Harbor.

Citing urgent public health concerns, Metro Transit authorities are moving to contain the spread of a large and growing homeless encampment near the light-rail line in south Minneapolis.

In my opinion the most amazing part of this story is wagering on horse racing in Pennsylvania is up. I guess people don't read all the stories about how crooked the Pennsylvania Racing Commission is and all the under handed goings on at the racetracks in the state. Anybody that would bet on racing in Pa. deserves what they get.

The state labor secretary says her department has made great strides in ironing out problems with the unemployment website and is trouble shooting errors.

The state labor secretary says her department has made great strides in ironing out problems with the unemployment website and is trouble shooting errors.

The talk will be sometime the morning of Wed 6 May in this seminar. Title: Some statistical issues in the fight against coronavirus. Abstract: To be a good citizen, you sometimes have to be a bit of a scientist. To be a good scientist, you sometimes have to be a bit of a statistician. And […]

Seth Flaxman et al. have an updated version of their model of coronavirus progression. Flaxman writes: Countries with successful control strategies (for example, Greece) never got above small numbers thanks to early, drastic action. Or put another way: if we did China and showed % of population infected (or death rate), we’d erroneously conclude that […]

tl;dr: Their 95% interval for the infection rate, given the data available, is [0.7%, 1.8%]. My Bayesian interval is [0.3%, 2.4%]. Most of what makes my interval wider is the possibility that the specificity and sensitivity of the tests can vary across labs. To get a narrower interval, you’d need additional assumptions regarding the specificity […]

We’ve had lots of discussions here and elsewhere online about fundamental flaws in statistics culture: the whole p-value thing, statistics used for confirmation rather than falsification, corruption of the pizzagate variety, soft corruption in which statistics is used in the service of country-club-style backslapping, junk science routinely getting the imprimatur of the National Academy of […]

1. The news! Zad’s cat, pictured above, is not impressed by this bit of cargo-cult science that two people sent to me: No vaccine or effective treatment has yet been found for people suffering from COVID-19. Under the circumstances, a physician in Kansas City wonders whether prayer might make a difference, and he has launched […]

Anthony Fowler wrote a wonderful op-ed. You have to read the whole thing, but let me start with his most important point, about “the temptation to overclaim” in social science: One study estimated the economic value of the people spared through social-distancing efforts. Essentially, the authors took estimates from epidemiologists about the number of lives […]

The other day we posted some Stan models of coronavirus infection rate from the Stanford study in Santa Clara county. The Bayesian setup worked well because it allowed us to directly incorporate uncertainty in the specificity, sensitivity, and underlying infection rate. Mitzi Morris put all this in a Google Collab notebook so you can run […]

See here. Please share your reactions and suggestions in comments. I’ll be talking with Seth Flaxman tomorrow, and we’d appreciate all your criticisms and suggestions. All this is important not just for Italy but for making sensible models to inform policy all over the world, including here.

The University of Washington in Seattle is a big place. It includes the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), which has produced a widely-circulated and widely-criticized coronavirus model. As we’ve discussed, the IHME model is essentially a curve-fitting exercise that makes projections using the second derivative of the time trend on the log scale. […]

David Rohde points us to this new seminar series that has the following description: Machine learning is changing the world we live in at a break neck pace. From image recognition and generation, to the deployment of recommender systems, it seems to be breaking new ground constantly and influencing almost every aspect of our lives. […]

Ivan Oransky points us to this amusing retraction of a meta-analysis. The problem: “Standard errors were used instead of standard deviations when using data from one of the studies”! Actually, I saw something similar happen in a consulting case once. The other side had a report with estimates and standard errors . . . the […]

The decision to shelve detailed advice from the nation's top disease control experts for reopening communities during the coronavirus pandemic came from the highest levels of the White House, according to internal government e-mails.

Phillips, William "Bill" May 18, 1928 - May 6, 2020 William "Bill" Phillips (age 91) passed away peacefully to be with his Lord and .....

Karvelas, William Jul 19, 1931 - Apr 29, 2020 William Karvelas, 88, of Venice, Florida, died on Apr 29, 2020. .....

Crandall, William Feb 24, 1921 - May 7, 2020 William Crandall, 99, of Punta Gorda, FL, died on May 7, 2020. Funeral arrangements by: .....

Benedict, William Oct 1, 1942 - Apr 28, 2020 William Benedict, 77, of Bradenton, FL, died on Apr 28, 2020. Funeral arrangements by: Shannon .....

It doesn’t matter if you are a newcomer or you are in the path of becoming a Developers for Plugin Development, WordPress widgets are those magical powers that provide with the right spell to everyone for creating a website in WordPress. “WordPress Widgets comes in the form of a handy tool that tends to make...

Join us on Monday, Feb. 24th at noon in the Materials Collection (AAEL 2nd Floor) to hear about the research of Prof. Brian Love (MSE). He will speak about his research on extracting fibrous plant residues from agricultural biomasses, such as coffee, to make other continuous fibers.

Grand Canyon National Park fire managers will be implementing up to three prescribed fires on the South Rim this spring: the Picnic Prescribed Fire, the Quarry Prescribed Fire and the Moqui Prescribed Fire.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-04-23-rx.htm

Grand Canyon National Park expects to implement the Moqui prescribed fire project within the next 48 hours. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-fire-managers-to-initiate-prescribed-burn-on-south-rim.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-07-22_search.htm

The National Park Service (NPS) and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) will hold a meeting on Tuesday, July 28 to update an advisory panel on the agencies’ efforts to restore natural quiet in Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-and-federal-aviation-administration-to-hold-meeting-on-grand-canyon-overflights.htm

This year National Public Lands Day at Grand Canyon National Park will be commemorated with more than free admission and volunteer opportunities. Park staff and friends will also be celebrating the park’s first Dia de la Familia. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-09-01_npld-dia.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-national-park-to-celebrate-dia-de-la-familia-on-national-public-lands-day.htm

A new exhibit is on display at Williams’ historic train depot; and the eye-catching photographs were all taken by Arizona youth.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2009-12-18_photos.htm

Grand Canyon National Park Superintendent Steve Martin today announced that the park will begin accepting applications for a commercial use authorization (CUA) for bicycle rental operations on Grand Canyon National Park’s South Rim.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-national-park-accepting-applications-for-bicycle-rental-operation-commercial-use-authorization.htm

The National Park Service is now accepting applications for noncommercial river trip permits to raft the Colorado River through Grand Canyon National Park. The permits are for specific launch dates within calendar year 2011. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-accepting-applications-for-noncommercial-colorado-river-rafting-permits-for-2011-calendar-year.htm

The National Park Service (NPS) is developing an Environmental Assessment (EA) under the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) to analyze potential changes to concession operations at Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-seeking-comments-on-potential-changes-to-concessions-operations-at-grand-canyon-national-park.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2010-03-01_rehab.htm

Grand Canyon National Park Superintendent Steve Martin today announced the issuance of a commercial use authorization (CUA) for bicycle rental operations located at the Grand Canyon Visitor Center on the park’s South Rim.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-nation-park-announces-issuance-of-commercial-use-authorization-for-south-rim-bicycle-rental-operations-beginning-may-1.htm

The National Park Service is now accepting applications for noncommercial river trip permits to raft the Colorado River through Grand Canyon National Park. The permits are for specific launch dates within calendar year 2012. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2011-02-01_lottery.htm

Grand Canyon fire managers are making plans to initiate the Walla Valley Prescribed Fire within the next few weeks on the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2011-05-26_walla.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2011-11-08_greengov.htm

In honor of the historic event of Arizona's centennial, Grand Canyon National Park will offer fee-free entry on Tuesday, February 14. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2012-01-31_centennial.htm

The National Park Service is now accepting applications for noncommercial river trip permits to raft the Colorado River through Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2012-02-01_lottery.htm

Although Grand Canyon National Park received below-average precipitation this winter, the warm spring caused vegetation in the park to thrive. Now, fine fuels are quickly drying out as winds and temperatures rise, increasing the risk of wildfire. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2012-05-24_fire.htm

Grand Canyon National Park rangers will be setting up sobriety safety checkpoints, over the Memorial Day weekend, in an effort to assure the safety of park visitors and residents. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-national-park-taking-steps-to-ensure-public-safety-over-the-memorial-day-weekend.htm

A review of the 2007-2011 period of the California condor reintroduction program in northern Arizona and southern Utah is complete. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2012-08-27_condors.htm

On Friday, February 1, 2013 the National Park Service will begin accepting applications for noncommercial river trip permits to raft the Colorado River through Grand Canyon National Park. The permits will be for specific launch dates within calendar year 2014. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2012-01-31_lottery.htm

On Saturday, February 1, 2014 the National Park Service will begin accepting applications for noncommercial river trip permits to raft the Colorado River through Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-lottery-for-2015-noncommercial-river-trip-permits-opens-february-1.htm