Peng Shi, Zifeng Zhao.

Source: The Annals of Applied Statistics, Volume 14, Number 1, 357--380.

Abstract:
In actuarial research a task of particular interest and importance is to predict the loss cost for individual risks so that informative decisions are made in various insurance operations such as underwriting, ratemaking and capital management. The loss cost is typically viewed to follow a compound distribution where the summation of the severity variables is stopped by the frequency variable. A challenging issue in modeling such outcomes is to accommodate the potential dependence between the number of claims and the size of each individual claim. In this article we introduce a novel regression framework for compound distributions that uses a copula to accommodate the association between the frequency and the severity variables and, thus, allows for arbitrary dependence between the two components. We further show that the new model is very flexible and is easily modified to account for incomplete data due to censoring or truncation. The flexibility of the proposed model is illustrated using both simulated and real data sets. In the analysis of granular claims data from property insurance, we find substantive negative relationship between the number and the size of insurance claims. In addition, we demonstrate that ignoring the frequency-severity association could lead to biased decision-making in insurance operations.

Yi Shen, Yizao Wang.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 1, 500--530.

Abstract:
We propose an aggregated random-field model, and investigate the scaling limits of the aggregated partial-sum random fields. In this model, each copy in the aggregation is a $pm 1$-valued random field built from two correlated one-dimensional random walks, the law of each determined by a random persistence parameter. A flexible joint distribution of the two parameters is introduced, and given the parameters the two correlated random walks are conditionally independent. For the aggregated random field, when the persistence parameters are independent, the scaling limit is a fractional Brownian sheet. When the persistence parameters are tail-dependent, characterized in the framework of multivariate regular variation, the scaling limit is more delicate, and in particular depends on the growth rates of the underlying rectangular region along two directions: at different rates different operator-scaling Gaussian random fields appear as the region area tends to infinity. In particular, at the so-called critical speed, a large family of Gaussian random fields with long-range dependence arise in the limit. We also identify four different regimes at non-critical speed where fractional Brownian sheets arise in the limit.

Peter M. Atkinson, Jorge Mateu.

Source: Statistical Science, Volume 34, Number 3, 504--521.

Abstract:
Peter John Diggle was born on February 24, 1950, in Lancashire, England. Peter went to school in Scotland, and it was at the end of his school years that he found that he was good at maths and actually enjoyed it. Peter went to Edinburgh to do a maths degree, but transferred halfway through to Liverpool where he completed his degree. Peter studied for a year at Oxford and was then appointed in 1974 as a lecturer in statistics at the University of Newcastle-upon-Tyne where he gained his PhD, and was promoted to Reader in 1983. A sabbatical at the Swedish Royal College of Forestry gave him his first exposure to real scientific data and problems, prompting a move to CSIRO, Australia. After five years with CSIRO where he was Senior, then Principal, then Chief Research Scientist and Chief of the Division of Mathematics and Statistics, he returned to the UK in 1988, to a Chair at Lancaster University. Since 2011 Peter has held appointments at Lancaster and Liverpool, together with honorary appointments at Johns Hopkins, Columbia and Yale. At Lancaster, Peter was the founder and Director of the Medical Statistics Unit (1995–2001), University Dean for Research (1998–2001), EPSRC Senior Fellow (2004–2008), Associate Dean for Research at the School of Health and Medicine (2007–2011), Distinguished University Professor, and leader of the CHICAS Research Group (2007–2017). A Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society since 1974, he was a Member of Council (1983–1985), Joint Editor of JRSSB (1984–1987), Honorary Secretary (1990–1996), awarded the Guy Medal in Silver (1997) and the Barnett Award (2018), Associate Editor of Applied Statistics (1998–2000), Chair of the Research Section Committee (1998–2000), and President (2014–2016). Away from work, Peter enjoys music, playing folk-blues guitar and tenor recorder, and listening to jazz. His running days are behind him, but he can just about hold his own in mixed-doubles badminton with his family. His boyhoood hero was Stirling Moss, and he retains an enthusiasm for classic cars, not least his 1988 Porsche 924S. His favorite authors are George Orwell, Primo Levi and Nigel Slater. This interview was done prior to the fourth Spatial Statistics conference held in Lancaster, July 2017 where a session was dedicated to Peter celebrating his contributions to statistics.

Here’s where you can snag their Alo Yoga Moto leggings for less.

And they're on sale for Black Friday. 

They’re already going out of stock.

And they’re available in 19 fun prints.

Sandra Manninen
Jun 21, 2017; 37:6125-6131
BehavioralSystemsCognitive

Hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) is a multifunctional protein that signals through the MET receptor. HGF stimulates cell proliferation, cell dispersion, neuronal survival, and wound healing. In the inner ear, levels of HGF must be fine-tuned for normal hearing. In mice, a deficiency of HGF expression limited to the auditory system, or an overexpression of HGF, causes neurosensory deafness. In humans, noncoding variants in HGF are associated with nonsyndromic deafness DFNB39. However, the mechanism by which these noncoding variants causes deafness was unknown. Here, we reveal the cause of this deafness using a mouse model engineered with a noncoding intronic 10 bp deletion (del10) in Hgf. Male and female mice homozygous for del10 exhibit moderate-to-profound hearing loss at 4 weeks of age as measured by tone burst auditory brainstem responses. The wild type (WT) 80 mV endocochlear potential was significantly reduced in homozygous del10 mice compared with WT littermates. In normal cochlea, endocochlear potentials are dependent on ion homeostasis mediated by the stria vascularis (SV). Previous studies showed that developmental incorporation of neural crest cells into the SV depends on signaling from HGF/MET. We show by immunohistochemistry that, in del10 homozygotes, neural crest cells fail to infiltrate the developing SV intermediate layer. Phenotyping and RNAseq analyses reveal no other significant abnormalities in other tissues. We conclude that, in the inner ear, the noncoding del10 mutation in Hgf leads to developmental defects of the SV and consequently dysfunctional ion homeostasis and a reduction in the EP, recapitulating human DFNB39 nonsyndromic deafness.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT Hereditary deafness is a common, clinically and genetically heterogeneous neurosensory disorder. Previously, we reported that human deafness DFNB39 is associated with noncoding variants in the 3'UTR of a short isoform of HGF encoding hepatocyte growth factor. For normal hearing, HGF levels must be fine-tuned as an excess or deficiency of HGF cause deafness in mouse. Using a Hgf mutant mouse with a small 10 bp deletion recapitulating a human DFNB39 noncoding variant, we demonstrate that neural crest cells fail to migrate into the stria vascularis intermediate layer, resulting in a significantly reduced endocochlear potential, the driving force for sound transduction by inner ear hair cells. HGF-associated deafness is a neurocristopathy but, unlike many other neurocristopathies, it is not syndromic.

Persistent alterations in neuronal activity elicit homeostatic plastic changes in synaptic transmission and/or intrinsic excitability. However, it is unknown whether these homeostatic processes operate in concert or at different temporal scales to maintain network activity around a set-point value. Here we show that chronic neuronal hyperactivity, induced by M-channel inhibition, triggered intrinsic and synaptic homeostatic plasticity at different timescales in cultured hippocampal pyramidal neurons from mice of either sex. Homeostatic changes of intrinsic excitability occurred at a fast timescale (1–4 h) and depended on ongoing spiking activity. This fast intrinsic adaptation included plastic changes in the threshold current and a distal relocation of FGF14, a protein physically bridging Na_v1.6 and K_v7.2 channels along the axon initial segment. In contrast, synaptic adaptations occurred at a slower timescale (~2 d) and involved decreases in miniature EPSC amplitude. To examine how these temporally distinct homeostatic responses influenced hippocampal network activity, we quantified the rate of spontaneous spiking measured by multielectrode arrays at extended timescales. M-Channel blockade triggered slow homeostatic renormalization of the mean firing rate (MFR), concomitantly accompanied by a slow synaptic adaptation. Thus, the fast intrinsic adaptation of excitatory neurons is not sufficient to account for the homeostatic normalization of the MFR. In striking contrast, homeostatic adaptations of intrinsic excitability and spontaneous MFR failed in hippocampal GABAergic inhibitory neurons, which remained hyperexcitable following chronic M-channel blockage. Our results indicate that a single perturbation such as M-channel inhibition triggers multiple homeostatic mechanisms that operate at different timescales to maintain network mean firing rate.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT Persistent alterations in synaptic input elicit homeostatic plastic changes in neuronal activity. Here we show that chronic neuronal hyperexcitability, induced by M-type potassium channel inhibition, triggered intrinsic and synaptic homeostatic plasticity at different timescales in hippocampal excitatory neurons. The data indicate that the fast adaptation of intrinsic excitability depends on ongoing spiking activity but is not sufficient to provide homeostasis of the mean firing rate. Our results show that a single perturbation such as M-channel inhibition can trigger multiple homeostatic processes that operate at different timescales to maintain network mean firing rate.

We took a look around and put together a list of  Twitter accounts to keep you informed about what is happening in the world of soils.  Here are, in alphabetical order, ten voices on twitter you should follow for the latest on soils: @agriculturesnet The AgriCultures Network shares knowledge on small-scale family farming and agroecology. With agroecology we can build soils for life! http://t.co/pN62odtLt9 [...]

Bees pollinate a third of what we eat and play a vital role in sustaining the planet’s ecosystems. Some 84% of the crops grown for human consumption need bees or other insects to pollinate them to increase their yields and quality. Bee pollination not only results in a higher number of fruits, berries or seeds, it may also give a [...]

Bisti Badlands’ bizarre eggs bring a bit of Easter to the New Mexico desert

A new simulation points to a previously untold chapter in Titan’s history

A new analysis of ancient ostrich eggs at the British Museum underscores the interconnectedness of the ancient world

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The controversial series stems from the museum's desire to reach a younger generation by telling history in new ways

The city's residents sorted waste materials for reuse in future projects, according to new research

New study extends previous results limited to just two islands to 188 species of lizard across Caribbean as well as Central and South America

Its paddle-like tail, unearthed in Morocco, suggests the Cretaceous carnivore ventured into the water to hunt

Buried in a mass grave in Mexico City, the trio may have been part of the first generation abducted from their homeland and brought to the New World

Alcohol industry groups were successful in getting the Yukon government to pull labels warning of the connection between alcohol and cancer from liquor store shelves, but the strategy may have ultimately backfired, researchers suggest.

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Much like a prehistoric pest trapped in amber, our summer plans remain in suspended animation.

BCBS Press release "Basel Committee issues progress report on banks' implementation of the 'Principles for effective risk data aggregation and reporting'", 29 April 2020

"Recovery is not for the faint-hearted," says recovering addict Jeremy Raven. And sometimes, something as simple as a kind word may be the hand up that someone who is struggling needs, he says.

Officials with Maritime Pride Eggs say their Summerside, P.E.I., egg facility will cease processing operations on June 5.

On Patriots' Day, we celebrate musician, publisher, and patriot Josiah Flagg (1737-1794), a friend of Paul Revere and major figure in Early American music.

"I have tied up with several NGO’s like Parivartan the change who donate food to over 500 people every day as well with welfare organisations like 4dogsakeindia where we feed over 200 street dogs."

Acclaimed jigger Ryan Richard, from Sandy Bay First Nation, is calling all dancers to showcase their skills in an online jigging competition.

Taking mom out for Mother's Day brunch is a tradition for many. But with people staying home and restaurants closed except for delivery or pick-up, this year's Mother's Day will be a little bit different. Food columnist Andrew Coppolino looks at options.

There's a wonderfully quirky — and little known — information archive in downtown Winnipeg that predates Google and probably has more hidden secrets than the search engine giant.

As British Columbians maintain physical distancing recommendations during the COVID-19 pandemic, this year’s Easter celebrations will have to change. In Kamloops, B.C., organizations are working to make sure Easter is as fun and social as it can be. 

Terry Roggensack, The Hightower Report

Terry Roggensack, The Hightower Report

Terry Roggensack, The Hightower Report