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Undone: The Unprocrastination Challenge

By Leo Babauta This month, I’m issuing a challenge to all of you procrastinators … and no, you can’t make the joke that you’ll do it later! The challenge is called Undone: The Unprocrastination Challenge, and it’s a part of my Sea Change Program. The challenge is to set aside an “unprocrastination session” every day […]



  • Productivity & Organization

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Marine veteran converts a school bus into a nonprofit traveling art studio

It's safe to say that Marine veteran Jessica Rambo is not one to rest on her laurels. After 10 years of service in the Marine Corps, the mom of two worked day in and day out for two years in order to convert a 1997 Blue Bird school bus into a full-time tiny house on wheels that also serves as a roaming art studio. Now, Rambo and her two kids are about to embark on a long road trip to bring her nonprofit art organization, The Painted Buffalo Studio, to veterans around the country.[...]




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As Chicago’s building boom continues, new nonprofit aims to train women and minorities for construction trades

Major players in commercial real estate, construction and organized labor are teaming up with the United Way to try to place thousands of and minorities into trade careers in Chicago, where there is both a shortage of skilled labor and a dearth of jobs in swaths of the city.




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How USC and Mike Bohn managed an unprecedented situation with coronavirus outbreak

Athletic director Mike Bohn's steady hand and guiding principle, according to administrators and coaches, helped USC through trying times this week.




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Elliott: NHL season 'pause' because of the coronavirus has an unpredictable aura

The NHL hopes to complete its season after suspending play because of the coronavirus, but playing into the middle of the summer creates complications.




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Fiona Apple's stunningly intimate new album makes a bold show of unprettiness

Fiona Apple's fifth album, five years in the making, is a rich text to scour in quarantine.




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The $440 million nonprofit arts industry expects major damage. Here's how to help.

Indianapolis' nonprofit arts sector supports about 30,000 jobs. The closures forced by coronavirus are causing damage to theaters, artists and more.

      




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VE Day: Berlin marks end of WW2 in Europe with unprecedented holiday

It is a one-off holiday in the German capital, but some think it should be marked nationally each year.




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It’s an unprecedented crisis: 8 things to do right now

Even with a stellar crisis plan, the COVID-19 pandemic presents a set of challenges unprecedented in our lifetimes. We don’t know what’s going to happen, and we’re dealing with something growing exponentially, creating uncertainty on a global scale. I managed a team of 40 in Singapore during SARS. That crisis was different, hitting Singapore and […]




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The Future of NATO: A Strong Alliance in an Unpredictable World

Members Event

19 June 2014 - 11:00am to 12:00pm

Chatham House, London

Event participants

Anders Fogh Rasmussen, Secretary-General, North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
Chair: Robin Niblett, Director, Chatham House 

In September, the UK will host a summit on the future of NATO. The Wales Summit will chart the course of the alliance as it deals with the long-term implications of Russia’s policy towards Ukraine and prepares to complete its longest combat mission in Afghanistan. The secretary-general will outline the decisions that need to be taken to ensure that the alliance remains fit to face the future. He will set out NATO’s readiness action plan, address the debate on declining defence budgets, and explain how NATO intends to turn a new page in Afghanistan. 

Members Events Team




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Why Britain’s 2019 Election Is Its Most Unpredictable in Recent History

7 November 2019

Professor Matthew Goodwin

Visiting Senior Fellow, Europe Programme
Leadership concerns and a collapse of traditional party loyalties make the December vote uncommonly volatile.

On 12 December, Britain will hold the most consequential election in its postwar history. The outcome of the election will influence not only the fate of Brexit but also the likelihood of a second referendum on EU membership, a second independence referendum in Scotland, the most economically radical Labour Party for a generation, Britain’s foreign and security policy and, ultimately, its position in the wider international order.

If you look only at the latest polls, then the outcome looks fairly certain. Ever since a majority of MPs voted to hold the election, the incumbent Conservative Party has averaged 38%, the opposition Labour Party 27%, the Liberal Democrats 16%, Brexit Party 10%, Greens 4% and Scottish National Party 3%. Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his party continue to average an 11-point lead which, if this holds until the election, would likely deliver a comfortable majority.

Johnson can also point to other favourable metrics. When voters are asked who would make the ‘best prime minister’, a clear plurality (43%) say Johnson while only a small minority (20%) choose the Labour Party leader, Jeremy Corbyn. Polls also suggest that, on the whole, Johnson is more trusted by voters than Corbyn to deal with Brexit, the economy and crime, while Jeremy Corbyn only tends to enjoy leads on health. All of this lends credence to the claim that Britain could be set for a Conservative majority and, in turn, the passing of a withdrawal agreement bill in early 2020.

But these polls also hide a lot of other shifts that are taking place and which, combined, make the 2019 general election unpredictable. One concerns leadership. While Boris Johnson enjoys stronger leadership ratings than Jeremy Corbyn, it should be remembered that what unites Britain’s current generation of party leaders is that they are all unpopular. Data compiled by Ipsos-MORI reveals that while Johnson has the lowest ratings of any new prime minister, Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn has the lowest ratings of any opposition leader since records began.

Another deeper shift is fragmentation. One irony of Britain’s Brexit moment is that ever since the country voted to leave the European Union its politics have looked more ‘European’. Over the past year, one of the world’s most stable two-party systems has imploded into a four-party race, with the anti-Brexit Liberal Democrats and Nigel Farage’s strongly Eurosceptic Brexit Party both presenting a serious challenge to the two mainstream parties.

In the latest polls, for example, Labour and the Conservatives are attracting only 61 per cent of the overall vote, well down on the 80 per cent they polled in 2017. Labour is weakened by the fact that it is only currently attracting 53 per cent of people who voted Labour at the last election, in 2017. A large number of these 2017 Labour voters, nearly one in four, have left for the Liberal Democrats, who are promising to revoke Article 50 and ‘cancel Brexit’. This divide in the Remain vote will produce unpredictable outcomes at the constituency level.

At the other end of the spectrum, the Conservatives are grappling with a similar but less severe threat. Nigel Farage and the Brexit Party are attracting around one in ten people who voted Conservative in 2017, which will make Boris Johnson’s task of capturing the crucial ‘Labour Leave’ seats harder. There is clear evidence that Johnson has been curbing Farage’s appeal, but it remains unclear how this rivalry on the right will play out from one seat to the next.

One clue as to what happens next can be found in those leadership ratings. While 80 per cent of Brexit Party voters back Johnson over Corbyn, only 25 per cent of Liberal Democrat voters back Corbyn over Johnson. Johnson may find it easier to consolidate the Leave vote than Corbyn will find the task of consolidating the Remain vote.

All of this reflects another reason why the election is unpredictable: volatility. This election is already Britain’s fifth nationwide election in only four years. After the 2015 general election, 2016 EU referendum, 2017 general election and 2019 European parliament elections, Britain’s political system and electorate have been in a state of almost continual flux. Along the way, a large number of voters have reassessed their loyalties.

As the British Election Study makes clear, the current rate of ‘vote-switching’ in British politics, where people switch their vote from one election to the next, is largely unprecedented in the post-war era. Across the three elections held in 2010, 2015 and 2017, a striking 49 per cent of people switched their vote.

This is not all about Brexit. Attachment to the main parties has been weakening since the 1960s. But Brexit is now accelerating this process as tribal identities as ‘Remainers’ or ‘Leavers’ cut across traditional party loyalties. All this volatility not only gives good reason to expect further shifts in support during the campaign but to also meet any confident predictions about the election result with a healthy dose of scepticism.




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Ukraine's Unpredictable Presidential Elections




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CBD News: Statement by Ahmed Djoghlaf, Executive Secretary, at the G8 Dialogue Series convened by the Institute of Advanced Studies of the United Nations University (UNU-IAS): "Climate Change and Biodiversity or the Unprecedented Planetary Environmen




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CBD News: Increasing urbanization over the next decades presents not only unprecedented challenges for humanity, but also opportunities to curb climate change, reduce water scarcity and improve food security, according to the world's first global asse




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CBD News: Healthy communities rely on well-functioning ecosystems. They provide clean air, fresh water, medicines and food security. They also limit disease and stabilize the climate. But biodiversity loss is happening at unprecedented rates, impacting hu




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CBD News: Following a summer of dramatic heat waves and forest fires, and close on the heels of a landmark scientific report charting an unprecedented decline in nature, the global community came together from 27-30 August in Nairobi to deliberate over an




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HKTDC helps SMEs amid unprecedented challenges

With the novel coronavirus expected to further impact Hong Kong’s already slowing economy, the Hong Kong Trade Development Council (HKTDC) is working hand in hand with local small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to brave the...




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How nonprofits can boost donations using the marketing mix

(American Marketing Association) Nonprofits may better meet their missions by learning to effectively employ the entirety of the marketing mix to attract individuals to available donation opportunities.




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Centrelink debt debacle shows government is unprepared for digital revolution

The public service needs to embrace partnerships if it's to harvest big data's massive yields.




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Unprofessionalism - "blaming other people, I put that at the top of the impact list"

That’s Jo Shapiro is a surgeon and manager in Brigham and Women’s hospital, she’s also director of the Center for Professionalism and Peer Support, and has written an editorial for The BMJ on tackling unprofessional behaviour. In this discussion, she and I talked about what she thinks (beyond the illegal) are the most damaging behaviours seen...




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Webinar: The UK's Unpredictable General Election?

Members Event Webinar

19 November 2019 - 11:30am to 12:00pm

Chatham House | 10 St James's Square | London | SW1Y 4LE

Event participants

Professor Matthew Goodwin, Visiting Senior Fellow, Europe Programme, Chatham House
Professor David Cutts, Associate Fellow, Europe Programme, Chatham House

On 12 December 2019, the United Kingdom will go to the polls in a fifth nationwide vote in only four years. This is expected to be one of the most unpredictable general elections in the nation’s post-war history with the anti-Brexit Liberal Democrats and Nigel Farage’s Eurosceptic Brexit Party both presenting a serious challenge to the UK’s established two-party system.

This webinar will discuss the UK general election and will unpack some of the reasons behind its supposed unpredictability. To what extent will this be a Brexit election and what are the other issues at the forefront of voters’ minds? And will the outcome of the election give us a clear indication of the UK’s domestic, European and wider international political trajectory?

Please note, this event is online only. Members can watch webinars from a computer or another internet-ready device and do not need to come to Chatham House to attend.




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Nonprofit recruiting dentists to volunteer in Puerto Rico

The U.S.-based International Medical Relief is sponsoring outreach trips to Puerto Rico in response to the earthquakes that have devastated the region.




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ADA, others ask lawmakers to include nonprofits in COVID-19 legislation

As Congress works on the next coronavirus-related relief package, the ADA and 37 other health care organizations are asking lawmakers to support nonprofit groups in those efforts.




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Rhode Island to Promote Blended Learning Through Nonprofit Partnership

The Rhode Island Department of Education and the nonprofit Learning Accelerator are teaming to develop a strategic plan and a communications strategy aimed at expanding blended learning.




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Documents sur l'hystérectomie abdominale totale pour fibromyomes utérins / Fr Guermonprez.

Paris : Bailliere, 1896.




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On the eigenproblem for Gaussian bridges

Pavel Chigansky, Marina Kleptsyna, Dmytro Marushkevych.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 3, 1706--1726.

Abstract:
Spectral decomposition of the covariance operator is one of the main building blocks in the theory and applications of Gaussian processes. Unfortunately, it is notoriously hard to derive in a closed form. In this paper, we consider the eigenproblem for Gaussian bridges. Given a base process, its bridge is obtained by conditioning the trajectories to start and terminate at the given points. What can be said about the spectrum of a bridge, given the spectrum of its base process? We show how this question can be answered asymptotically for a family of processes, including the fractional Brownian motion.




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Madagascar ships unproven herbal remedy for COVID-19 to several African nations

Madagascar is putting its self-proclaimed, plant-based "cure" for COVID-19 on sale and several countries in Africa have already put in orders for purchase, despite warnings from the World Health Organization that its efficacy is unproven.




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McMaster University plans for virtual student residences amid 'unprecedented' challenge

McMaster University is planning for fewer international students, more deferred acceptance offers and online teaching for the thousands who are attending as the start of a new school year looms in the near future and in the middle of the COVID-19 pandemic.



  • News/Canada/Hamilton

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Tim Henman: Andy Murray's comeback attempt is unprecedented

ANDY MURRAY has had a bumpy ride over the past couple of years, undergoing hip surgery, staging a comeback which saw him win his first title in two years before another injury setback has seen him sidelined since the tail-end of last year.




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Unprovoked Status Epilepticus: The Prognosis for Otherwise Normal Children With Focal Epilepsy

The outcome of status epilepticus in children depends on the etiology. In otherwise normal children who have ≥1 episodes of unprovoked status epilepticus as part of the evolution of their epilepsy, the seizure and intellectual outcome is unclear.

Based on population-based data and 20 to 30 years’ follow-up of normal children with focal epilepsy, one-third with status epilepticus had recurrence of status. Reassuringly, intelligence, seizure control, and rate of remission were not altered compared with those without status epilepticus. (Read the full article)




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Effectiveness of Preventive Dental Visits in Reducing Nonpreventive Dental Visits and Expenditures

Early preventive pediatric dental visits are widely recommended. However, the effectiveness of pediatric preventive dental visits in reducing the need for subsequent, more expensive oral health treatment has not been well established.

Using an econometric method that accounts for time-invariant differences between children, and thus helps mitigate selection bias, we found a positive impact of preventive dental visits on oral health. However, there is less evidence regarding the cost-effectiveness of preventive visits. (Read the full article)




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Prevalence of and Risk Factors for Intracranial Abnormalities in Unprovoked Seizures

Weak recommendations exist to guide emergent neuroimaging decisions in children with first, unprovoked seizures. The prevalence of and risk factors associated with clinically relevant abnormalities on neuroimaging have not been well defined in prospective studies.

Clinically relevant intracranial abnormalities on neuroimaging occur in 11% of children with first, unprovoked seizures. Emergent/urgent abnormalities, however, occur in <1%, suggesting that most of these children do not require emergent neuroimaging. Specific clinical findings identify patients at higher risk. (Read the full article)




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Delaware Nonprofits Share in Grant Funds to Promote Financial Literacy

A wide-ranging group of community organizations serving Delawareans from all walks of life have been selected to receive this year’s round of grant funds from the Financial Literacy Education Fund (FLEF.)




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Governor Carney Urges Delawareans, Businesses, Nonprofits to Support COVID-19 Response

Community call-to-action issued for emergency materials, supplies WILMINGTON, Del. – Governor John Carney issued a community call-to-action on Thursday, urging all Delaware citizens, businesses and nonprofits to offer their assistance in Delaware’s fight against coronavirus disease (COVID-19). The State of Delaware launched an online tool at de.gov/coronavirus to connect Delawareans offering materials and supplies with organizations, medical […]




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Security Grant Funds Available for Nonprofits

  Smyrna, DE – Do you know a nonprofit organization in Delaware that may be interested in grant funding for security enhancements?  Organizations with 501(c)(3) status may be eligible to receive funding from the Nonprofit Security Grant Program (NSGP) which supports organizations that may be at high risk of a terrorist attack.  Nonprofits that may […]




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PM Modi trying to divide country through CAA, NPR, NRC: Asaduddin Owaisi

AIMIM chief said Muslims gave their testimony of being patriots by choosing to remain in India but the prime minister is asking for proof of citizenship from that very community.




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Not sure if states resolutions on CAA, NPR can stand scrutiny: Jairam Ramesh

Congress Rajya Sabha MP Jairam Ramesh on why he chose to write about Indira Gandhi and Nehru, and the reason NDA govt’s NPR is different from UPA’s; says there is no vacancy for Cong president as of now; and warns against the lack of political outreach in Kashmir.




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NPR secular under Congress, communal when BJP introduced it: Shahnawaz Hussain

BJP spokesperson Shahnawaz Hussain asserts the protest in Shaheen Bagh is backed by the Opposition, says the Centre has given citizenship to more than 500 Muslims from Pakistan since 2014, and argues it is wrong to say that there are no Muslims with the BJP




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Uddhav Thackeray backs NPR, says will personally check questionnaire

He said the CAA and the NRC were two different issues and his government will not allow the NRC to be implemented in the state.




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Stick to 2010 NPR, no NRC; hurts Muslims, Hindus more: Delhi CM Kejriwal

Observing that NPR will be followed by NRC which has “agitated” the country like no other issue “since Independence”, the AAP-dominated Delhi Assembly passed a resolution on Friday.




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Unprecedented since World War II! Coronavirus pandemic deals ‘staggering’ blow to Europe’s tourism

Making things worse is that some countries that are specifically hard-hit by the coronavirus are also heavily dependent on tourism, like Italy and Spain.




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Seychellois Rupee(SCR)/Nepalese Rupee(NPR)

1 Seychellois Rupee = 7.0442 Nepalese Rupee




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Trinidad and Tobago Dollar(TTD)/Nepalese Rupee(NPR)

1 Trinidad and Tobago Dollar = 17.8964 Nepalese Rupee



  • Trinidad and Tobago Dollar

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Swedish Krona(SEK)/Nepalese Rupee(NPR)

1 Swedish Krona = 12.3759 Nepalese Rupee




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Slovak Koruna(SKK)/Nepalese Rupee(NPR)

1 Slovak Koruna = 5.4461 Nepalese Rupee




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Serbian Dinar(RSD)/Nepalese Rupee(NPR)

1 Serbian Dinar = 1.1151 Nepalese Rupee




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Polish Zloty(PLN)/Nepalese Rupee(NPR)

1 Polish Zloty = 28.7618 Nepalese Rupee




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Qatari Rial(QAR)/Nepalese Rupee(NPR)

1 Qatari Rial = 33.2147 Nepalese Rupee




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Indian Rupee(INR)/Nepalese Rupee(NPR)

1 Indian Rupee = 1.6017 Nepalese Rupee




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Pakistani Rupee(PKR)/Nepalese Rupee(NPR)

1 Pakistani Rupee = 0.7575 Nepalese Rupee