tropic

Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone ONE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.

 
 000
 FOPZ11 KNHC 262034
 PWSEP1
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6     
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012020               
 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020                                            
                                                                     
 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR 
 LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
 WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
 




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone PABLO ICAO Advisory Number 12 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191028/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: PABLO NR: 012 PSN: N4648 W01742 MOV: N 04KT C: 0995HPA MAX WIND: 035KT FCS

 
 000
 FKNT23 KNHC 281439
 TCANT3
  
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER  12
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182019
 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019
  
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191028/1500Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       PABLO
 NR:                       012
 PSN:                      N4648 W01742
 MOV:                      N 04KT
 C:                        0995HPA
 MAX WIND:                 035KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           28/2100Z N4712 W01750
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      035KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          29/0300Z N4740 W01800
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     035KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          29/0900Z N4813 W01811
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     035KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          29/1500Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     ///KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
  
 $$
 




tropic

Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga Advertencia Numero 3 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL172019 Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 1000 PM CDT viernes 25 de 2019 ...OLGA SE CONVIERTE POS-Tropical... ...SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA LLU


000
WTCA42 TJSJ 260313 RRA
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga Advertencia Numero 3
Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL172019
Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
1000 PM CDT viernes 25 de 2019

...OLGA SE CONVIERTE POS-TROPICAL...
...SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA LLUVIA FUERTE Y CONDICIONES SEVERIAS A
TRAVES DE LA COSTA CENTRO DEL GOLFO Y EL LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALEY
EL SABADO...


RESUMEN DE LAS 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION....27.8 NORTE 92.2 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 170 MI...275 KM AL SSE DE LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NE O 40 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS


RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:
------------------------------------------
No hay vigilancias o aviso costeros de ciclon tropical
en efecto.

Favor referirse a Pronosticos de Alto Oleaje emitidos por el
Servicio Nacional y los productos emitidos por el Servicio
Nacional de Meteorologa para informacion sobre vigilancias y
avisos no-tropical asociados a este sistema.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO
-----------------------
A las 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), el centro de Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga
estaba localizada en la latitud 27.8 norte, longitud 92.2 oeste. La
pos-tropical ciclon esta moviendose hacia el noreste a cerca de 17
mph (28 km/h) Se pronostica que Olga se mueva rapidamente hacia el
norte a norte-noreste el sabado y despues girarse hacia el noreste
tarde el sabado o doming. En la trayectoria pronosticada, el centro
del ciclon pos-tropical debe moverse a traves del Mississippi Valley
manana y hacis los Great Lakes mas tarde el fin de semana.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph (85 km/h) con
rafagas mas fuertes. Se espera que Olga se debilite despues que el
sistema se mueva sobre tierra el sabado por la manana.

Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 140
millas (220 km) del centro.

La presion minima central estimada basado sobre los datos anteriores
reportado por el Avion Cazahuracan y observaciones de la superficie
sobre el norte del Golfo de Mexico es de 999 mb (29.50 pulgadas).


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO: Vientos con fuerza de galerna asociado con Olga y sus remenantes
deben extenderse sobre sectores de la costa norte del Golfo esta noche y
sabado.

LLUVIA: El ciclon pos-tropical, y lluvia frente al sistema a lo
largo y al norte de la zona frontal a traves de la costa del Golfo
Central deben producir acumulaciones totales de lluvia de 3 a 6
pulgadas con totales maximos de 8 pulgadas a traves de la costa del
Golfo Central hasta sectores del Lower Mississippi Valley y el oeste
del Tennessee Valley hasta el sabado en la manana. Estas lluvias
pudieran producir inundaciones repentinas a traves de la costa del
Golfo Central hacia Lower Mississippi Valley y y el oeste del
Tennessee Valley.

INUNDACIONES COSTERAS: Mareas sobre lo normal e inundaciones costeras
asociadas son posibles a traves de sectores de la costa norte del
Golfo. Favor ver los productos emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia local para mayor informacion.

TORNADOS: Tornados aislados son posible esta noche hasta el sabado
por la manana a traves de sectores del sureste de Louisiana, sur de
Mississippi, y el oeste de Alabama.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
Este es la ultima advertencia publico emitado por el Servicio
Nacional Huracanes sobre este sistema. Para mas informacion
adicional sobre este sistema se puede ser encontrados en los
pronosticos de alta mar emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia, debajo del encabezado NFDHSFAT1 de AWIPS, encabezado
FZNT01 KWBC, y en la web a ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Informacion adicional sobre lluvias fuertes y vientos en rafgas
pudiera ser encontrados en los productos de los resumens de
tormentas emitidos por el Centro de Prediccion de Meteorologia en
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc3.html

$$

Pronosticador Zelinsky
Traduccion JPena




tropic

Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond Advisory Number 11


056
WTPZ35 KNHC 171432
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202019
800 AM MST Sun Nov 17 2019

...RAYMOND DEGENERATED INTO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW...
...RAINS ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 111.1W
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Raymond was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 111.1 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 16 mph (26
km/h) and a turn toward the north-northwest is expected tonight or
Monday. On the forecast track, Raymond's remnants are expected to
move near the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula on
Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The system is forecast to dissipate late Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja
California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This
rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. For additional information on this
system please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on
the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Avila





tropic

Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Discussion Number 4


000
WTPZ42 KNHC 161752
TCDEP2

Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172019
100 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019

Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that the
disturbance has become less organized, and there is no sign of a
new center forming offshore at this time. So, while there is still
a small chance that the system could form into a tropical cyclone,
the system no longer poses a threat of bringing tropical-storm
conditions to the coast of Mexico, and this special advisory is
being issued to discontinue the tropical storm watch for the coast
of Mexico. The disturbance should continue to interact with the
mountains of southern Mexico during the next day or so, which should
most likely cause its dissipation after 12 h.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center
on this system unless the threat of tropical storm conditions
increases along the coast of Mexico. However, the heavy rainfall
threat, as well as the potential for flash flooding and mudslides
in southern Mexico, should continue for the next day or two.
Please refer to forecasts and warnings from the Meteorological
Service of Mexico for more information on this ongoing threat.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 16/1800Z 16.6N 96.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 17/0000Z 17.3N 97.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
24H 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone SEBASTIEN Forecast/Advisory Number 23 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POST-T


000
WTNT25 KNHC 250231
TCMAT5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019
0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 28.9W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 35 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 170SE 190SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 240SE 420SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 28.9W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 30.8W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 43.6N 22.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 170SE 190SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 48.1N 14.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 190SE 190SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.0N 28.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON SEBASTIEN. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE UNDER WMO HEADER
FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
FORECASTER LATTO





tropic

Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone ONE-E ICAO Advisory Number 6 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20200426/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: ONE-E NR: 006 PSN: N1612 W11924 MOV: NW 08KT C: 1007HPA MAX WIND: 02

 
 000
 FKPZ21 KNHC 262034
 TCAPZ1
 
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER   6
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012020
 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020
 
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20200426/2100Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       ONE-E
 NR:                       006
 PSN:                      N1612 W11924
 MOV:                      NW 08KT
 C:                        1007HPA
 MAX WIND:                 025KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           27/0300Z N1632 W12024
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      020KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          27/0900Z N1648 W12124
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     020KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          27/1500Z N1700 W12224
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     020KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          27/2100Z N1709 W12327
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     020KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
 
 ..
 
 




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone REBEKAH Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone REBEKAH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.0 WE

 
 000
 FONT14 KNHC 010832
 PWSAT4
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7   
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192019               
 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH WAS LOCATED    
 NEAR LATITUDE 40.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
 SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                     
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
 




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone OLGA ICAO Advisory Number 3 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191026/0300Z TCAC: KNHC TC: OLGA NR: 003 PSN: N2748 W09212 MOV: NE 15KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 045KT FCST

 
 000
 FKNT22 KNHC 260251
 TCANT2
  
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER   3
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172019
 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019
  
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191026/0300Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       OLGA
 NR:                       003
 PSN:                      N2748 W09212
 MOV:                      NE 15KT
 C:                        0999HPA
 MAX WIND:                 045KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           26/0900Z N3027 W09100
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      040KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          26/1500Z N3321 W08955
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     035KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          26/2100Z N3627 W08858
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     030KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          27/0300Z N3922 W08715
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     030KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
  
 $$
 




tropic

Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE

 
 000
 FOPZ15 KNHC 171432
 PWSEP5
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11   
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202019               
 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND WAS LOCATED    
 NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
 SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                     
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
 




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Discussion Number 3


000
WTNT42 KNHC 260253
TCDAT2

Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172019
1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019

Earlier this evening, the last 2 passes through Olga made by an Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft showed that the cyclone
becoming embedded within a cold front. Strong northwesterly flow was
observed within 10 n mi northwest of Olga's center and a sharp
temperature and dew point gradient was measured across the cyclone.
It does not appear that Olga has separated from the front in any
significant way since the plane left. In fact, recent surface
observations suggest that either the front passes through the center
of the cyclone or its circulation has become poorly defined. Based
on all these data, Olga is now classified as post-tropical and this
is the last NHC advisory.

Since Olga is entangled with the front, the winds and seas
associated the front are now considered to be representative of the
overall system. The intensity of the post-tropical cyclone is set at
45 kt based on SFMR winds of 48 kt and flight-level winds of 54 kt
found by the plane behind the front. No substantial change in Olga's
strength is anticipated before it reaches the coast Saturday
morning, and the winds should decrease quickly thereafter. The
post-tropical cyclone is forecast to move quickly up the Mississippi
Valley on Saturday, before turning northeastward toward the Great
Lakes late Saturday or early Sunday. Dissipation is anticipated
before the end of the weekend.

Severe weather, including heavy rain, gusty winds, and isolated
tornadoes will be the primary hazard associated with post-tropical
Olga as it races northward. Coastal flooding is also possible
tonight along portions of the Louisiana coast. For more information
specific to your area, please see products from your local weather
service office at weather.gov.

Key messages:

1. Olga is now a post-tropical cyclone. Detailed information about
hazards related to wind, rainfall, coastal flooding, and tornadoes
can be found in products issued by local National Weather Service
forecast offices, available at weather.gov


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 27.8N 92.2W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 26/1200Z 31.8N 90.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 27/0000Z 38.0N 88.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 27/1200Z 43.5N 83.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Discussion Number 12


000
WTNT43 KNHC 281440
TCDAT3

Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019
1100 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019

Cold waters of 16C and increasing shear caused the deep convection
near Pablo's center to dissipate early this morning, and the
cyclone now consists of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds and
showers. This lack of deep convection has caused Pablo to now
become post-tropical. A recent ASCAT pass showed an area of 30 to
35 kt winds northwest of the center of Pablo, and the initial
intensity is set to 35 kt based on those data. In addition, the
scatterometer data showed a much larger area of gale-force
winds well to the north of, but not directly associated with
Pablo.

The post-tropical cyclone will move slowly north to northwest over
the next day or so, until it is absorbed by a much larger
mid-latitude low to its west. The gales occurring north of the
Pablo are expected to persist at least until it is absorbed.

Additional information on this system can be found in:

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50
LFPW and on the web at
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/
metarea2.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO header
FQNT21 EGRR and on the web at
metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high-
seas-forecast/.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/1500Z 46.8N 17.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 29/0000Z 47.4N 17.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 29/1200Z 48.5N 18.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Latto




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone NESTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WES

 
 000
 FONT11 KNHC 192041
 PWSAT1
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10    
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162019               
 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR
 LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
 WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 WALLOPS CDA    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 NORFOLK NAS    34  X   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
  
 NORFOLK VA     34  X   9( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
  
 OCEANA NAS VA  34  X  11(11)   7(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
  
 ELIZABETH CTY  34  X  26(26)   5(31)   X(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)
  
 RALEIGH NC     34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  
 ROCKY MT NC    34  X  15(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
  
 CAPE HATTERAS  34  X  44(44)  15(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
  
 FAYETTEVILLE   34  X  31(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
  
 CHERRY PT NC   34  X  61(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 CHERRY PT NC   50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 NEW RIVER NC   34  X  56(56)   1(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 NEW RIVER NC   50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
  
 MOREHEAD CITY  34  X  60(60)   1(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
  
 SURF CITY NC   34  X  66(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 SURF CITY NC   50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 WILMINGTON NC  34  X  68(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 WILMINGTON NC  50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 BALD HEAD ISL  34  X  64(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 FLORENCE SC    34 23  29(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
  
 COLUMBIA SC    34 27   2(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
  
 LITTLE RIVER   34  5  67(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 LITTLE RIVER   50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  
 MYRTLE BEACH   34 15  59(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 GEORGETOWN SC  34 32  41(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 GEORGETOWN SC  50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  
 CHARLESTON SC  34 66  11(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
 CHARLESTON SC  50  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 BEAUFORT MCAS  34 83   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
 BEAUFORT MCAS  50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 AUGUSTA GA     34 27   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
  
 SAVANNAH GA    34 89   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 SAVANNAH GA    50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 KINGS BAY GA   34  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
  
 WAYCROSS GA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
  
 TALLAHASSEE FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
  
 ST MARKS FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
  
 BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
 




tropic

Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND ICAO Advisory Number 11 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191117/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: RAYMOND NR: 011 PSN: N1906 W11106 MOV: N 14KT C: 1001HPA MAX WIND

 
 000
 FKPZ25 KNHC 171432
 TCAPZ5
 
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER  11
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202019
 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019
 
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191117/1500Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       RAYMOND
 NR:                       011
 PSN:                      N1906 W11106
 MOV:                      N 14KT
 C:                        1001HPA
 MAX WIND:                 025KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           17/2100Z N2022 W11102
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      020KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          18/0300Z N2137 W11115
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     020KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          18/0900Z N2252 W11145
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     020KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          18/1500Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     ///KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
 
 ..
 
 




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone REBEKAH ICAO Advisory Number 7 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191101/0900Z TCAC: KNHC TC: REBEKAH NR: 007 PSN: N4036 W02900 MOV: E 17KT C: 1005HPA MAX WIND: 030KT

 
 000
 FKNT24 KNHC 010832
 TCANT4
 
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER   7
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192019
 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019
 
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191101/0900Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       REBEKAH
 NR:                       007
 PSN:                      N4036 W02900
 MOV:                      E 17KT
 C:                        1005HPA
 MAX WIND:                 030KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           01/1500Z N4019 W02604
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      025KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          01/2100Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     ///KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          02/0300Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     ///KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          02/0900Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     ///KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
 
 ..
 
 




tropic

Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Discussion Number 6


000
WTPZ41 KNHC 262035
TCDEP1

Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020
200 PM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020

The cyclone has lacked significant organized deep convection for at
least 10 hours, and the system is moving into increasingly more
stable air and over sub-25C deg C SSTs. Therefore, the depression
has been downgraded to a post-tropical remnant low. The initial
intensity is 25 kt is based on several 23-25 kt wind vectors located
n-e of the low-level center in a 1718 UTC ASCAT-A overpass. Although
the system may still produce some sporadic convection late tonight
during the convective maximum period, dry and stable air along with
strong westerly shear will likely prevent any appreciable convection
from persisting over the next day or so. This should cause the
remnant low to weaken and then open up into a trough in 36-48 hours.

The initial motion remains 305/08 kt. A substantial low- to
mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone is expected to gradually
nudge the shallow low toward the west-northwest later this
afternoon, followed by a westward motion tonight, with that motion
continuing until the system dissipates Monday night. The new NHC
track forecast is essentially just an update of the previous
advisory track.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on
this system. For additional information on the remnant low, please
see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php .


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/2100Z 16.2N 119.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 27/0600Z 16.7N 120.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 27/1800Z 17.1N 122.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 28/0600Z 17.3N 125.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Discussion Number 7


000
WTNT44 KNHC 010832
TCDAT4

Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192019
500 AM AST Fri Nov 01 2019

Satellite imagery indicates that Rebekah has degenerated to a
remnant low as the circulation remains void of deep convection. In
addition, the system is starting to merge with a weak frontal system
over the northeastern Atlantic. Re-development of deep convection
appears unlikely, and the remnants of Rebekah are expected to
weaken to a trough between 12-24 h.

The initial motion is 095/17, and a slightly faster eastward motion
is expected until the system dissipates.

This is the last advisory issued on Rebekah by the National
Hurricane Center. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header
FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/
metarea2. Hazard information for the Azores can be found in regular
products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and
Atmosphere (IPMA) for those islands at
https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/0900Z 40.6N 29.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 01/1800Z 40.2N 24.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Discussion Number 10


000
WTNT41 KNHC 192041
TCDAT1

Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Discussion Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162019
500 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019

The center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor made landfall along on
St. Vincent Island, Florida, around 1730 UTC. Since then, that
center has moved inland over the Florida Panhandle between
Apalachicola and Tallahassee. However, during the past hour, a new
center appears to have formed farther west along a quasi-occluded
frontal boundary. The earlier 40-45 kt winds over water have moved
inland and weakened, and the initial intensity of 35 kt is based on
a recent wind report of a sustained wind of 33 kt at 5-meters
elevation from NOAA buoy 41008/Gray's Reef, Georgia.

The initial motion estimate is now northeastward or 055/20 kt.
Nestor is forecast to move northeastward over the next 36 hours or
so, followed by a turn toward the east once the cyclone reaches the
North Carolina Outer Banks. On days 2 an 3, upper-level support is
expected to weaken and lift out to the northeast, leaving a
weakening extratropical cyclone Nestor behind. The cyclone should
then dissipate or merge with another frontal system by 96 h offshore
of the U.S. east coast. The new official forecast track is similar
to the previous advisory, and lies close to the center of the
tightly packed model guidance envelope.

Some slight strengthening is expected on Sunday, mainly due to the
robust circulation moving out over the warm waters of the far
western Atlantic where less friction will affect the cyclone. The
official intensity foreast closely follows an average of the 1200
UTC GFS, UKMET, and ECMWF global model intensity forecasts.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on
Nestor. Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

Key Messages:

1. Gale-force winds will gradually develop over the Atlantic waters
and along the coasts northeastern Florida and Georgia tonight, and
spread northward to the Carolinas on Sunday.

2. Isolated flash flooding is possible across the southeastern
United States into Sunday.

3. Wind and coastal flooding hazards along the U.S. East Coast will
be covered by non-tropical watches and warnings issued by local NWS
offices, since the system is expected to lose its tropical
characteristics after it moves inland along the Gulf Coast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/2100Z 30.4N 84.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
12H 20/0600Z 32.3N 81.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 20/1800Z 35.0N 76.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 21/0600Z 36.8N 72.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 21/1800Z 36.8N 68.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 22/1800Z 36.5N 65.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone OLGA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WIT

 
 000
 FONT12 KNHC 260251
 PWSAT2
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3      
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172019               
 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR  
 LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
 WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 JACKSON MS     34 21  13(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
  
 NEW ORLEANS LA 34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
  
 BATON ROUGE LA 34 83   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
  
 MORGAN CITY LA 34 81   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
  
 ALEXANDRIA LA  34 17   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
  
 LAFAYETTE LA   34 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
  
 NEW IBERIA LA  34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
  
 GFMX 280N 930W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
  
 LAKE CHARLES   34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
  
 CAMERON LA     34 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
  
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER ZELINSKY                                                 
 




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR ICAO Advisory Number 10 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: NESTOR NR: 010 PSN: N3024 W08406 MOV: NE 20KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 035KT

 
 000
 FKNT21 KNHC 192041
 TCANT1
 
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER  10
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162019
 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019
 
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191019/2100Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       NESTOR
 NR:                       010
 PSN:                      N3024 W08406
 MOV:                      NE 20KT
 C:                        0999HPA
 MAX WIND:                 035KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           20/0300Z N3139 W08218
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      040KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          20/0900Z N3258 W08013
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     040KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          20/1500Z N3419 W07752
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     040KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          20/2100Z N3527 W07531
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     040KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
 
 ..
 
 




tropic

NHC Central Caribbean Satellite Tropical Disturbance Rainfall Estimates

 
 000
 TCCA22 KNHC 220036
 STDCCA
 
 SATELLITE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE RAINFALL ESTIMATES
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
 0015 UTC WED JUL 22 2009
  
  
 SYSTEM NAME/IDENTIFIER...CARIBBEAN DIST
  
                                              MAX RAINFALL
   DATE/TIME      LOCATION       MOTION      MEAN      LAST
  -----------   ------------     ------     -------   -------
  22/0015 UTC   17.2N  69.0W     280/22      2.5 IN    5.0 IN
  
  
 LAST RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION...
  
      DISTANCE          LEFT OF CENTER      RIGHT OF CENTER
    -------------      ---------------      ---------------
    0 TO 1 DEGREE       0.4 TO  2.1 IN       0.5 TO  2.2 IN
    1 TO 2 DEGREE       0.0 TO  0.6 IN       0.4 TO  1.7 IN
    2 TO 3 DEGREE       0.0 TO  0.1 IN       0.6 TO  2.0 IN
    3 TO 4 DEGREE       0.0 TO  0.1 IN       2.1 TO  5.0 IN
  
  
                         ...LEGEND...
  
 SYSTEM NAME/IDENTIFIER...NAME OR NUMBER ASSIGNED TO SYSTEM
                          (E.G. TROPICAL STORM ALPHA, TROPICAL
                          DISTURBANCE 01, SURFACE TROUGH)
  
 DATE/TIME...             DAY OF MONTH AND TIME IN UNIVERSAL TIME
                          COORDINATES (UTC) IN A DY/HRMN FORMAT
  
 LOCATION...              ESTIMATED CENTER OF SYSTEM OR ADVISORY
                          POSITION FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE IN TENTHS
                          OF DEGREES OF LATITUDE AND LONGITUDE
  
 MOTION...                ESTIMATED DIRECTION AND SPEED OF SYSTEM
                          IN DEGREES AND KNOTS
  
 MEAN MAXIMUM RAINFALL... THE 24-HOUR MEAN MAXIMUM ACCUMULATION OF
                          RAINFALL FOR THE SYSTEM IN INCHES BASED
                          ON FOUR SATELLITE IMAGES SIX HOURS APART
  
 LAST MAXIMUM RAINFALL... THE MAXIMUM ACCUMULATION OF RAINFALL FOR
                          THE SYSTEM IN INCHES BASED ON THE MOST
                          RECENT SATELLITE IMAGE
  
 RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION... THE DISTRIBUTION OF RAINFALL WITHIN FOUR
                          DEGREES (240 NM) LEFT AND RIGHT OF THE
                          SYSTEM CENTER IN ONE DEGREE (60NM)
                          INCREMENTS...LOOKING DOWNSTREAM
                          (1 IN = 25.4 MM)
  
 NELSON 
  
 NNNN
 
 
 
 
 




tropic

Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E Special Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019 AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITU

 
 000
 FOPZ12 KNHC 161752
 PWSEP2
                                                                     
 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E                              
 SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4                         
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172019               
 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E WAS   
 LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM 
 SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                     
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
 




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone PABLO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone PABLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 17.7 WEST

 
 000
 FONT13 KNHC 281439
 PWSAT3
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12     
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182019               
 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO WAS LOCATED NEAR 
 LATITUDE 46.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 17.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
 WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER LATTO                                                    
 




tropic

Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone OCTAVE ICAO Advisory Number 9 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: OCTAVE NR: 009 PSN: N1136 W12542 MOV: ENE 02KT C: 1009HPA MAX WIND:

 
 000
 FKPZ23 KNHC 192039
 TCAPZ3
 
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER   9
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182019
 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019
 
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191019/2100Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       OCTAVE
 NR:                       009
 PSN:                      N1136 W12542
 MOV:                      ENE 02KT
 C:                        1009HPA
 MAX WIND:                 030KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           20/0300Z N1127 W12542
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      025KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          20/0900Z N1119 W12542
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     025KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          20/1500Z N1110 W12542
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     025KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          20/2100Z N1101 W12542
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     025KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
 
 ..
 
 




tropic

Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone OCTAVE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 12

 
 000
 FOPZ13 KNHC 192039
 PWSEP3
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9    
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182019               
 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR
 LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
 WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 10N 125W       34  1   2( 3)   4( 7)   7(14)   1(15)   1(16)   2(18)
  
 15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)
  
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER BERG                                                     
 




tropic

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone SEBASTIEN ICAO Advisory Number 23 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191125/0300Z TCAC: KNHC TC: SEBASTIEN NR: 023 PSN: N4100 W02854 MOV: NE 35KT C: 0993HPA MAX WIND:

 
 000
 FKNT25 KNHC 250232
 TCANT5
  
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER  23
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202019
 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019
  
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191125/0300Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       SEBASTIEN
 NR:                       023
 PSN:                      N4100 W02854
 MOV:                      NE 35KT
 C:                        0993HPA
 MAX WIND:                 050KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           25/0900Z N4244 W02445
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      050KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          25/1500Z N4443 W02034
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     050KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          25/2100Z N4658 W01619
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     050KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          26/0300Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     ///KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
  
 $$
 




tropic

5 nootropic foods to boost brain function

You can get all the brain-boosting benefits from these nootropic foods instead of taking supplements, which aren't regulated.




tropic

Forget polar bears: Global warming will hit the tropics first

In the next decade, the tropics will suffer unprecedented climate change effects, long before the Arctic and its polar bears see big shifts.



  • Climate & Weather

tropic

At Oregon Zoo, waste heat to be transferred from the tundra to the tropics

A geothermal loop will keep a fancy new elephant house toasty with the captured heat generated by the cooling system in the polar bear habitat.




tropic

Tropical forest management improving

A new report suggests that while many countries are getting better at managing their tropical forests, deforestation remains a very real danger.



  • Wilderness & Resources

tropic

​Tropical Island Cocktail: Almost like being there

Try this pretty pineapple-orange and vodka cocktail.




tropic

Tropical cocktails made healthy

Zhena's Gypsy Tea is out with a new line of organic and fair trade green teas -- in enticing flavors like Coconut Rum and Berry Bellini.




tropic

The tropics are losing trees at a troubling rate

Earth lost 39 million acres of tropical tree cover in 2017. That's like losing 40 football fields full of trees every minute for a year.



  • Wilderness & Resources

tropic

Meet the durian, a tropical fruit you love or hate

Durian is known for its strong odor. Despite being banned in some hotels and subways, lovers of this unusual fruit go to great lengths for a taste.



  • Arts & Culture

tropic

This critically endangered skink is getting its own tropical island

The blue-tailed skink of Christmas Island may be extinct in the wild, but scientists have a plan to bring it back.




tropic

Tropical Relaxation, NEW ALBUM RELEASE by Renowned Flautist and Sound Healing Pioneer Dean Evenson & International Harpist d'Rachael, Now Available Worldwide

Contains Earth Resonance Frequency (ERF) for deeper relaxation and a heightened state of peacefulness. Excellent listening tool for relaxation, mindfulness, yoga, sleep support and meditation.




tropic

Record-Low 2016 Antarctic Sea Ice Due to ‘Perfect Storm’ of Tropical, Polar Conditions

By Hannah Hickey UWNEWS While winter sea ice in the Arctic is declining so dramatically that ships can now navigate those waters without any icebreaker escort, the scene in the Southern Hemisphere is very different. Sea ice area around Antarctica … Continue reading




tropic

Compact manifolds of dimension $ngeq 12$ with positive isotropic curvature. (arXiv:1909.12265v4 [math.DG] UPDATED)

We prove the following result: Let $(M,g_0)$ be a compact manifold of dimension $ngeq 12$ with positive isotropic curvature. Then $M$ is diffeomorphic to a spherical space form, or a compact quotient manifold of $mathbb{S}^{n-1} imes mathbb{R}$ by diffeomorphisms, or a connected sum of a finite number of such manifolds. This extends a recent work of Brendle, and implies a conjecture of Schoen in dimensions $ngeq 12$. The proof uses Ricci flow with surgery on compact orbifolds with isolated singularities.




tropic

Minimal acceleration for the multi-dimensional isentropic Euler equations. (arXiv:2005.03570v1 [math.AP])

Among all dissipative solutions of the multi-dimensional isentropic Euler equations there exists at least one that minimizes the acceleration, which implies that the solution is as close to being a weak solution as possible. The argument is based on a suitable selection procedure.




tropic

Processes for separation of fluoroolefins from hydrogen fluoride by azeotropic distillation

The present disclosure relates to a process for separating a fluoroolefin from a mixture comprising hydrogen fluoride and fluoroolefin, comprising azeotropic distillation both with and without an entrainer. In particular are disclosed processes for separating any of HFC-1225ye, HFC-1234ze, HFC-1234yf or HFC-1243zf from HF.




tropic

Azeotropic or azeotrope-like composition, and method for producing 2,3,3,3-tetrafluoropropene or chloromethane

To provide a method for efficiently separating 2,3,3,3-tetrafluoropropene (HFO-1234yf) and chloromethane (R40) from a composition comprising HFO-1234yf and R40. An azeotrope-like composition comprising from 58 to 78 mol % of HFO-1234yf and from 22 to 42 mol % of R40, and a method for producing HFO-1234yf, which comprises steps of distilling an initial mixture containing HFO-1234yf in a content exceeding 63 mol % in the total amount of HFO-1234yf and R40, thereby to separate the initial mixture into a first fraction in which the content of HFO-1234yf in the total amount of HFO-1234yf and R40 is lower than the content of HFO-1234yf in the total amount of HFO-1234yf and R40 in the initial mixture, and a second fraction in which the content of HFO-1234yf in the total amount of HFO-1234yf and R40 is higher than the content of HFO-1234yf in the total amount of HFO-1234yf and R40 in the initial mixture, and then obtaining HFO-1234yf having a reduced R40 concentration, from the second fraction.




tropic

Polycyclic organic compound, optically anisotropic film and method of production thereof

The polycyclic organic compounds which are substantially transparent for an electromagnetic radiation in the visible spectral range, an anisotropic optical film comprising at least one polycyclic organic compound and a method of producing thereof are disclosed. The polycyclic organic compounds have a general formula (I) wherein A and B are acid groups, n is the number of phenyl rings in the range from 3 to 10; m is 0, 1, 2 or 3; l is 1, 2, or 3, p is 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6, C is a counterion from a list comprising H+, NH+4, Na+, K+, Li+, Cs+, Ca2+, Mg2+, Sr2+, La3+, Zn2+, Zr4+, Ce3+, Y3+, Yb3+, Gd3+, and any combination thereof; k is the number of counterions necessary for compensation of the negative electric charge equal to (−p).




tropic

Light absorption anisotropic film, polarizing film, process for producing the polarizing film and display device using the polarizing film

A light absorption anisotropic film, wherein content of a liquid crystalline non-colorable low molecular weight compound is 30% by mass or less; and which is obtained by fixing the alignment of a dichroic dye composition comprising at least one type of azo-based dichroic dye having nematic liquid crystallinity; and shows a diffraction peak derived from a periodic structure in a direction parallel to the alignment axis on measurement of X-ray diffraction. The light absorption anisotropic film is high in dichroism.




tropic

Dichroic dye composition, light absorption anisotropic film, and polarizing element

A light absorption anisotropic film, having at least one dichroic dye, in which the light absorption anisotropic film shows a diffraction peak derived from a periodic structure in a direction in a plane of the light absorption anisotropic film in X-ray diffraction measurement and the diffraction peak has a half width of 1.0 Å or less.




tropic

Liquid-crystal compound, liquid-crystal composition, light absorption anisotropic film, and liquid-crystal display device

A liquid-crystal compound denoted by general formula (I) below wherein each of the groups is defined and Dye denotes an azo dye residue denoted by general formula (II) with X and n also being defined. The azo liquid-crystal compound is capable of orientation with a high degree of orientation order.




tropic

Primate T-lymphotropic viruses

Disclosed are compositions and methods related to the isolation and identification of the primate T-lymphotropic viruses, HTLV-3 and HTLV-4. The diversity of HTLVs was investigated among central Africans reporting contact with NHP blood and body fluids through hunting, butchering, and keeping primate pets. Herein it is shown that this population is infected with a variety of HTLVs, including two retroviruses; HTLV-4 is the first member of a novel phylogenetic lineage that is distinct from all known HTLVs and STLVs; HTLV-3 falls within the genetic diversity of STLV-3, a group that has not previously been seen in humans. The present disclosure also relates to vectors and vaccines for use in humans against infection and disease. The disclosure further relates to a variety of bioassays and kits for the detection and diagnosis of infection with and diseases caused by HTLV-3 and HTLV-4 and related viruses.




tropic

Polymerizable compound, polymerizable composition, polymer, and optically anisotropic body

The present invention provides a polymerizable compound represented by the following formula (I), a polymerizable composition that includes the polymerizable compound and an initiator, a polymer obtained by polymerizing the polymerizable compound or the polymerizable composition, and an optically anisotropic article that includes the polymer. The polymerizable compound, polymerizable composition, and polymer have a practical low melting point, exhibit an excellent solubility in a general-purpose solvent, can be produced at low cost, and may produce an optical film that achieves uniform conversion of polarized light over a wide wavelength band, and an optically anisotropic article.




tropic

Thixotropic concrete forming system

The present invention discloses a method and a forming system that reduces the hydrostatic pressure caused by casting freshly mixed concrete or other cementicious material into vertical forms. Reducing the hydrostatic pressure in forms enables relatively weak materials to be used as form boards and minimizes the amount of bracing necessary to support the form boards—both of which lead to lower construction costs. The method uses the highly thixotropic properties of no-slump or low-slump concrete which enable the concrete to be quickly changed from a semi-solid state to a liquid and back to a semi-solid state numerous times before it hardens and without affecting the concrete's quality. Since hydrostatic pressure is only present when a liquid state exists, minimizing the amount of liquid concrete in vertical forms will also minimize the hydrostatic pressure present.




tropic

Fiber reinforced elastomer anisotropic annular blowout preventer

A packer unit for an annular blowout preventer including an annular elastomer body including an elastomer having a unidirectional grain and a quantity of fiber longitudinally aligned with the grain of the elastomer. A method of forming a packing unit for a blowout preventer including forming a fiber reinforced elastomer by aligning fibers with a grain of an elastomer; cutting a portion from the fiber reinforced elastomer in the direction of the grain; loading the cut portion in a packing unit mold such that the grain of the fiber reinforced elastomer of the cut portion is parallel to a packing unit axis; and heating the loaded packing unit mold.




tropic

Irrigation method using thixotropic materials

The steps of the irrigation method include: flowing a stream of water having input and output and intermediate location; interposing a feeding device into the stream of water at the intermediate location, the feeding device having input and output ends; inserting a quantity of nutrient fertilizer into the feeding device; converting the nutrient fertilizer from the viscous state to the less viscous state through the flow of water through the feeding device; and intermixing the viscous nutrient fertilizer with the water entering the feeding device whereby the water leaving the device to plants and soil will include a fertilizer.