ess Necessary and sufficient conditions for the convergence of the consistent maximal displacement of the branching random walk By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 04 Mar 2019 04:00 EST Bastien Mallein. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 356--373.Abstract: Consider a supercritical branching random walk on the real line. The consistent maximal displacement is the smallest of the distances between the trajectories followed by individuals at the $n$th generation and the boundary of the process. Fang and Zeitouni, and Faraud, Hu and Shi proved that under some integrability conditions, the consistent maximal displacement grows almost surely at rate $lambda^{*}n^{1/3}$ for some explicit constant $lambda^{*}$. We obtain here a necessary and sufficient condition for this asymptotic behaviour to hold. Full Article
ess A new log-linear bimodal Birnbaum–Saunders regression model with application to survival data By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 04 Mar 2019 04:00 EST Francisco Cribari-Neto, Rodney V. Fonseca. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 329--355.Abstract: The log-linear Birnbaum–Saunders model has been widely used in empirical applications. We introduce an extension of this model based on a recently proposed version of the Birnbaum–Saunders distribution which is more flexible than the standard Birnbaum–Saunders law since its density may assume both unimodal and bimodal shapes. We show how to perform point estimation, interval estimation and hypothesis testing inferences on the parameters that index the regression model we propose. We also present a number of diagnostic tools, such as residual analysis, local influence, generalized leverage, generalized Cook’s distance and model misspecification tests. We investigate the usefulness of model selection criteria and the accuracy of prediction intervals for the proposed model. Results of Monte Carlo simulations are presented. Finally, we also present and discuss an empirical application. Full Article
ess Failure rate of Birnbaum–Saunders distributions: Shape, change-point, estimation and robustness By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 04 Mar 2019 04:00 EST Emilia Athayde, Assis Azevedo, Michelli Barros, Víctor Leiva. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 301--328.Abstract: The Birnbaum–Saunders (BS) distribution has been largely studied and applied. A random variable with BS distribution is a transformation of another random variable with standard normal distribution. Generalized BS distributions are obtained when the normally distributed random variable is replaced by another symmetrically distributed random variable. This allows us to obtain a wide class of positively skewed models with lighter and heavier tails than the BS model. Its failure rate admits several shapes, including the unimodal case, with its change-point being able to be used for different purposes. For example, to establish the reduction in a dose, and then in the cost of the medical treatment. We analyze the failure rates of generalized BS distributions obtained by the logistic, normal and Student-t distributions, considering their shape and change-point, estimating them, evaluating their robustness, assessing their performance by simulations, and applying the results to real data from different areas. Full Article
ess Bayesian robustness to outliers in linear regression and ratio estimation By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 04 Mar 2019 04:00 EST Alain Desgagné, Philippe Gagnon. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 205--221.Abstract: Whole robustness is a nice property to have for statistical models. It implies that the impact of outliers gradually vanishes as they approach plus or minus infinity. So far, the Bayesian literature provides results that ensure whole robustness for the location-scale model. In this paper, we make two contributions. First, we generalise the results to attain whole robustness in simple linear regression through the origin, which is a necessary step towards results for general linear regression models. We allow the variance of the error term to depend on the explanatory variable. This flexibility leads to the second contribution: we provide a simple Bayesian approach to robustly estimate finite population means and ratios. The strategy to attain whole robustness is simple since it lies in replacing the traditional normal assumption on the error term by a super heavy-tailed distribution assumption. As a result, users can estimate the parameters as usual, using the posterior distribution. Full Article
ess The equivalence of dynamic and static asset allocations under the uncertainty caused by Poisson processes By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 14 Jan 2019 04:01 EST Yong-Chao Zhang, Na Zhang. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 1, 184--191.Abstract: We investigate the equivalence of dynamic and static asset allocations in the case where the price process of a risky asset is driven by a Poisson process. Under some mild conditions, we obtain a necessary and sufficient condition for the equivalence of dynamic and static asset allocations. In addition, we provide a simple sufficient condition for the equivalence. Full Article
ess Unlikeness is us : fourteen from the Exeter book By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Author: Exeter book. Selections. EnglishCallnumber: PS 8631 A8489 E94 2018ISBN: 9781554471751 (softcover) Full Article
ess Fully grown : why a stagnant economy is a sign of success By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Author: Vollrath, Dietrich, author.Callnumber: HC 110 E44 V65 2020ISBN: 9780226666006 hardcover Full Article
ess Scalar-on-function regression for predicting distal outcomes from intensively gathered longitudinal data: Interpretability for applied scientists By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Tue, 05 Nov 2019 22:03 EST John J. Dziak, Donna L. Coffman, Matthew Reimherr, Justin Petrovich, Runze Li, Saul Shiffman, Mariya P. Shiyko. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 13, 150--180.Abstract: Researchers are sometimes interested in predicting a distal or external outcome (such as smoking cessation at follow-up) from the trajectory of an intensively recorded longitudinal variable (such as urge to smoke). This can be done in a semiparametric way via scalar-on-function regression. However, the resulting fitted coefficient regression function requires special care for correct interpretation, as it represents the joint relationship of time points to the outcome, rather than a marginal or cross-sectional relationship. We provide practical guidelines, based on experience with scientific applications, for helping practitioners interpret their results and illustrate these ideas using data from a smoking cessation study. Full Article
ess Additive monotone regression in high and lower dimensions By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Wed, 19 Jun 2019 22:00 EDT Solveig Engebretsen, Ingrid K. Glad. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 13, 1--51.Abstract: In numerous problems where the aim is to estimate the effect of a predictor variable on a response, one can assume a monotone relationship. For example, dose-effect models in medicine are of this type. In a multiple regression setting, additive monotone regression models assume that each predictor has a monotone effect on the response. In this paper, we present an overview and comparison of very recent frequentist methods for fitting additive monotone regression models. Three of the methods we present can be used both in the high dimensional setting, where the number of parameters $p$ exceeds the number of observations $n$, and in the classical multiple setting where $1<pleq n$. However, many of the most recent methods only apply to the classical setting. The methods are compared through simulation experiments in terms of efficiency, prediction error and variable selection properties in both settings, and they are applied to the Boston housing data. We conclude with some recommendations on when the various methods perform best. Full Article
ess A design-sensitive approach to fitting regression models with complex survey data By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Wed, 17 Jan 2018 04:00 EST Phillip S. Kott. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 12, 1--17.Abstract: Fitting complex survey data to regression equations is explored under a design-sensitive model-based framework. A robust version of the standard model assumes that the expected value of the difference between the dependent variable and its model-based prediction is zero no matter what the values of the explanatory variables. The extended model assumes only that the difference is uncorrelated with the covariates. Little is assumed about the error structure of this difference under either model other than independence across primary sampling units. The standard model often fails in practice, but the extended model very rarely does. Under this framework some of the methods developed in the conventional design-based, pseudo-maximum-likelihood framework, such as fitting weighted estimating equations and sandwich mean-squared-error estimation, are retained but their interpretations change. Few of the ideas here are new to the refereed literature. The goal instead is to collect those ideas and put them into a unified conceptual framework. Full Article
ess Fundamentals of cone regression By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Thu, 19 May 2016 09:04 EDT Mariella Dimiccoli. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 10, 53--99.Abstract: Cone regression is a particular case of quadratic programming that minimizes a weighted sum of squared residuals under a set of linear inequality constraints. Several important statistical problems such as isotonic, concave regression or ANOVA under partial orderings, just to name a few, can be considered as particular instances of the cone regression problem. Given its relevance in Statistics, this paper aims to address the fundamentals of cone regression from a theoretical and practical point of view. Several formulations of the cone regression problem are considered and, focusing on the particular case of concave regression as an example, several algorithms are analyzed and compared both qualitatively and quantitatively through numerical simulations. Several improvements to enhance numerical stability and bound the computational cost are proposed. For each analyzed algorithm, the pseudo-code and its corresponding code in Matlab are provided. The results from this study demonstrate that the choice of the optimization approach strongly impacts the numerical performances. It is also shown that methods are not currently available to solve efficiently cone regression problems with large dimension (more than many thousands of points). We suggest further research to fill this gap by exploiting and adapting classical multi-scale strategy to compute an approximate solution. Full Article
ess Errata: A survey of Bayesian predictive methods for model assessment, selection and comparison By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Wed, 26 Feb 2014 09:10 EST Aki Vehtari, Janne Ojanen. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 8, , 1--1.Abstract: Errata for “A survey of Bayesian predictive methods for model assessment, selection and comparison” by A. Vehtari and J. Ojanen, Statistics Surveys , 6 (2012), 142–228. doi:10.1214/12-SS102. Full Article
ess A survey of Bayesian predictive methods for model assessment, selection and comparison By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Thu, 27 Dec 2012 12:22 EST Aki Vehtari, Janne OjanenSource: Statist. Surv., Volume 6, 142--228.Abstract: To date, several methods exist in the statistical literature for model assessment, which purport themselves specifically as Bayesian predictive methods. The decision theoretic assumptions on which these methods are based are not always clearly stated in the original articles, however. The aim of this survey is to provide a unified review of Bayesian predictive model assessment and selection methods, and of methods closely related to them. We review the various assumptions that are made in this context and discuss the connections between different approaches, with an emphasis on how each method approximates the expected utility of using a Bayesian model for the purpose of predicting future data. Full Article
ess Curse of dimensionality and related issues in nonparametric functional regression By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Thu, 14 Apr 2011 08:17 EDT Gery GeenensSource: Statist. Surv., Volume 5, 30--43.Abstract: Recently, some nonparametric regression ideas have been extended to the case of functional regression. Within that framework, the main concern arises from the infinite dimensional nature of the explanatory objects. Specifically, in the classical multivariate regression context, it is well-known that any nonparametric method is affected by the so-called “curse of dimensionality”, caused by the sparsity of data in high-dimensional spaces, resulting in a decrease in fastest achievable rates of convergence of regression function estimators toward their target curve as the dimension of the regressor vector increases. Therefore, it is not surprising to find dramatically bad theoretical properties for the nonparametric functional regression estimators, leading many authors to condemn the methodology. Nevertheless, a closer look at the meaning of the functional data under study and on the conclusions that the statistician would like to draw from it allows to consider the problem from another point-of-view, and to justify the use of slightly modified estimators. In most cases, it can be entirely legitimate to measure the proximity between two elements of the infinite dimensional functional space via a semi-metric, which could prevent those estimators suffering from what we will call the “curse of infinite dimensionality”. References:[1] Ait-Saïdi, A., Ferraty, F., Kassa, K. and Vieu, P. (2008). Cross-validated estimations in the single-functional index model, Statistics, 42, 475–494.[2] Aneiros-Perez, G. and Vieu, P. (2008). 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ess Data confidentiality: A review of methods for statistical disclosure limitation and methods for assessing privacy By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Fri, 04 Feb 2011 09:16 EST Gregory J. Matthews, Ofer HarelSource: Statist. Surv., Volume 5, 1--29.Abstract: There is an ever increasing demand from researchers for access to useful microdata files. However, there are also growing concerns regarding the privacy of the individuals contained in the microdata. Ideally, microdata could be released in such a way that a balance between usefulness of the data and privacy is struck. This paper presents a review of proposed methods of statistical disclosure control and techniques for assessing the privacy of such methods under different definitions of disclosure. References:Abowd, J., Woodcock, S., 2001. Disclosure limitation in longitudinal linked data. 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ess Arctic Amplification of Anthropogenic Forcing: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis. (arXiv:2005.02535v1 [econ.EM] CROSS LISTED) By arxiv.org Published On :: Arctic sea ice extent (SIE) in September 2019 ranked second-to-lowest in history and is trending downward. The understanding of how internal variability amplifies the effects of external $ ext{CO}_2$ forcing is still limited. We propose the VARCTIC, which is a Vector Autoregression (VAR) designed to capture and extrapolate Arctic feedback loops. VARs are dynamic simultaneous systems of equations, routinely estimated to predict and understand the interactions of multiple macroeconomic time series. Hence, the VARCTIC is a parsimonious compromise between fullblown climate models and purely statistical approaches that usually offer little explanation of the underlying mechanism. Our "business as usual" completely unconditional forecast has SIE hitting 0 in September by the 2060s. Impulse response functions reveal that anthropogenic $ ext{CO}_2$ emission shocks have a permanent effect on SIE - a property shared by no other shock. Further, we find Albedo- and Thickness-based feedbacks to be the main amplification channels through which $ ext{CO}_2$ anomalies impact SIE in the short/medium run. Conditional forecast analyses reveal that the future path of SIE crucially depends on the evolution of $ ext{CO}_2$ emissions, with outcomes ranging from recovering SIE to it reaching 0 in the 2050s. Finally, Albedo and Thickness feedbacks are shown to play an important role in accelerating the speed at which predicted SIE is heading towards 0. Full Article
ess A bimodal gamma distribution: Properties, regression model and applications. (arXiv:2004.12491v2 [stat.ME] UPDATED) By arxiv.org Published On :: In this paper we propose a bimodal gamma distribution using a quadratic transformation based on the alpha-skew-normal model. We discuss several properties of this distribution such as mean, variance, moments, hazard rate and entropy measures. Further, we propose a new regression model with censored data based on the bimodal gamma distribution. This regression model can be very useful to the analysis of real data and could give more realistic fits than other special regression models. Monte Carlo simulations were performed to check the bias in the maximum likelihood estimation. The proposed models are applied to two real data sets found in literature. Full Article
ess Excess registered deaths in England and Wales during the COVID-19 pandemic, March 2020 and April 2020. (arXiv:2004.11355v4 [stat.AP] UPDATED) By arxiv.org Published On :: Official counts of COVID-19 deaths have been criticized for potentially including people who did not die of COVID-19 but merely died with COVID-19. I address that critique by fitting a generalized additive model to weekly counts of all registered deaths in England and Wales during the 2010s. The model produces baseline rates of death registrations expected in the absence of the COVID-19 pandemic, and comparing those baselines to recent counts of registered deaths exposes the emergence of excess deaths late in March 2020. Among adults aged 45+, about 38,700 excess deaths were registered in the 5 weeks comprising 21 March through 24 April (612 $pm$ 416 from 21$-$27 March, 5675 $pm$ 439 from 28 March through 3 April, then 9183 $pm$ 468, 12,712 $pm$ 589, and 10,511 $pm$ 567 in April's next 3 weeks). Both the Office for National Statistics's respective count of 26,891 death certificates which mention COVID-19, and the Department of Health and Social Care's hospital-focused count of 21,222 deaths, are appreciably less, implying that their counting methods have underestimated rather than overestimated the pandemic's true death toll. If underreporting rates have held steady, about 45,900 direct and indirect COVID-19 deaths might have been registered by April's end but not yet publicly reported in full. Full Article
ess On a phase transition in general order spline regression. (arXiv:2004.10922v2 [math.ST] UPDATED) By arxiv.org Published On :: In the Gaussian sequence model $Y= heta_0 + varepsilon$ in $mathbb{R}^n$, we study the fundamental limit of approximating the signal $ heta_0$ by a class $Theta(d,d_0,k)$ of (generalized) splines with free knots. Here $d$ is the degree of the spline, $d_0$ is the order of differentiability at each inner knot, and $k$ is the maximal number of pieces. We show that, given any integer $dgeq 0$ and $d_0in{-1,0,ldots,d-1}$, the minimax rate of estimation over $Theta(d,d_0,k)$ exhibits the following phase transition: egin{equation*} egin{aligned} inf_{widetilde{ heta}}sup_{ hetainTheta(d,d_0, k)}mathbb{E}_ heta|widetilde{ heta} - heta|^2 asymp_d egin{cases} kloglog(16n/k), & 2leq kleq k_0,\ klog(en/k), & k geq k_0+1. end{cases} end{aligned} end{equation*} The transition boundary $k_0$, which takes the form $lfloor{(d+1)/(d-d_0) floor} + 1$, demonstrates the critical role of the regularity parameter $d_0$ in the separation between a faster $log log(16n)$ and a slower $log(en)$ rate. We further show that, once encouraging an additional '$d$-monotonicity' shape constraint (including monotonicity for $d = 0$ and convexity for $d=1$), the above phase transition is eliminated and the faster $kloglog(16n/k)$ rate can be achieved for all $k$. These results provide theoretical support for developing $ell_0$-penalized (shape-constrained) spline regression procedures as useful alternatives to $ell_1$- and $ell_2$-penalized ones. Full Article
ess FNNC: Achieving Fairness through Neural Networks. (arXiv:1811.00247v3 [cs.LG] UPDATED) By arxiv.org Published On :: In classification models fairness can be ensured by solving a constrained optimization problem. We focus on fairness constraints like Disparate Impact, Demographic Parity, and Equalized Odds, which are non-decomposable and non-convex. Researchers define convex surrogates of the constraints and then apply convex optimization frameworks to obtain fair classifiers. Surrogates serve only as an upper bound to the actual constraints, and convexifying fairness constraints might be challenging. We propose a neural network-based framework, emph{FNNC}, to achieve fairness while maintaining high accuracy in classification. The above fairness constraints are included in the loss using Lagrangian multipliers. We prove bounds on generalization errors for the constrained losses which asymptotically go to zero. The network is optimized using two-step mini-batch stochastic gradient descent. Our experiments show that FNNC performs as good as the state of the art, if not better. The experimental evidence supplements our theoretical guarantees. In summary, we have an automated solution to achieve fairness in classification, which is easily extendable to many fairness constraints. Full Article
ess Deep Learning on Point Clouds for False Positive Reduction at Nodule Detection in Chest CT Scans. (arXiv:2005.03654v1 [eess.IV]) By arxiv.org Published On :: The paper focuses on a novel approach for false-positive reduction (FPR) of nodule candidates in Computer-aided detection (CADe) system after suspicious lesions proposing stage. Unlike common decisions in medical image analysis, the proposed approach considers input data not as 2d or 3d image, but as a point cloud and uses deep learning models for point clouds. We found out that models for point clouds require less memory and are faster on both training and inference than traditional CNN 3D, achieves better performance and does not impose restrictions on the size of the input image, thereby the size of the nodule candidate. We propose an algorithm for transforming 3d CT scan data to point cloud. In some cases, the volume of the nodule candidate can be much smaller than the surrounding context, for example, in the case of subpleural localization of the nodule. Therefore, we developed an algorithm for sampling points from a point cloud constructed from a 3D image of the candidate region. The algorithm guarantees to capture both context and candidate information as part of the point cloud of the nodule candidate. An experiment with creating a dataset from an open LIDC-IDRI database for a feature of the FPR task was accurately designed, set up and described in detail. The data augmentation technique was applied to avoid overfitting and as an upsampling method. Experiments are conducted with PointNet, PointNet++ and DGCNN. We show that the proposed approach outperforms baseline CNN 3D models and demonstrates 85.98 FROC versus 77.26 FROC for baseline models. Full Article
ess A simulation study of disaggregation regression for spatial disease mapping. (arXiv:2005.03604v1 [stat.AP]) By arxiv.org Published On :: Disaggregation regression has become an important tool in spatial disease mapping for making fine-scale predictions of disease risk from aggregated response data. By including high resolution covariate information and modelling the data generating process on a fine scale, it is hoped that these models can accurately learn the relationships between covariates and response at a fine spatial scale. However, validating these high resolution predictions can be a challenge, as often there is no data observed at this spatial scale. In this study, disaggregation regression was performed on simulated data in various settings and the resulting fine-scale predictions are compared to the simulated ground truth. Performance was investigated with varying numbers of data points, sizes of aggregated areas and levels of model misspecification. The effectiveness of cross validation on the aggregate level as a measure of fine-scale predictive performance was also investigated. Predictive performance improved as the number of observations increased and as the size of the aggregated areas decreased. When the model was well-specified, fine-scale predictions were accurate even with small numbers of observations and large aggregated areas. Under model misspecification predictive performance was significantly worse for large aggregated areas but remained high when response data was aggregated over smaller regions. Cross-validation correlation on the aggregate level was a moderately good predictor of fine-scale predictive performance. While the simulations are unlikely to capture the nuances of real-life response data, this study gives insight into the effectiveness of disaggregation regression in different contexts. Full Article
ess Robust location estimators in regression models with covariates and responses missing at random. (arXiv:2005.03511v1 [stat.ME]) By arxiv.org Published On :: This paper deals with robust marginal estimation under a general regression model when missing data occur in the response and also in some of covariates. The target is a marginal location parameter which is given through an $M-$functional. To obtain robust Fisher--consistent estimators, properly defined marginal distribution function estimators are considered. These estimators avoid the bias due to missing values by assuming a missing at random condition. Three methods are considered to estimate the marginal distribution function which allows to obtain the $M-$location of interest: the well-known inverse probability weighting, a convolution--based method that makes use of the regression model and an augmented inverse probability weighting procedure that prevents against misspecification. The robust proposed estimators and the classical ones are compared through a numerical study under different missing models including clean and contaminated samples. We illustrate the estimators behaviour under a nonlinear model. A real data set is also analysed. Full Article
ess Transfer Learning for sEMG-based Hand Gesture Classification using Deep Learning in a Master-Slave Architecture. (arXiv:2005.03460v1 [eess.SP]) By arxiv.org Published On :: Recent advancements in diagnostic learning and development of gesture-based human machine interfaces have driven surface electromyography (sEMG) towards significant importance. Analysis of hand gestures requires an accurate assessment of sEMG signals. The proposed work presents a novel sequential master-slave architecture consisting of deep neural networks (DNNs) for classification of signs from the Indian sign language using signals recorded from multiple sEMG channels. The performance of the master-slave network is augmented by leveraging additional synthetic feature data generated by long short term memory networks. Performance of the proposed network is compared to that of a conventional DNN prior to and after the addition of synthetic data. Up to 14% improvement is observed in the conventional DNN and up to 9% improvement in master-slave network on addition of synthetic data with an average accuracy value of 93.5% asserting the suitability of the proposed approach. Full Article
ess SmartExchange: Trading Higher-cost Memory Storage/Access for Lower-cost Computation. (arXiv:2005.03403v1 [cs.LG]) By arxiv.org Published On :: We present SmartExchange, an algorithm-hardware co-design framework to trade higher-cost memory storage/access for lower-cost computation, for energy-efficient inference of deep neural networks (DNNs). We develop a novel algorithm to enforce a specially favorable DNN weight structure, where each layerwise weight matrix can be stored as the product of a small basis matrix and a large sparse coefficient matrix whose non-zero elements are all power-of-2. To our best knowledge, this algorithm is the first formulation that integrates three mainstream model compression ideas: sparsification or pruning, decomposition, and quantization, into one unified framework. The resulting sparse and readily-quantized DNN thus enjoys greatly reduced energy consumption in data movement as well as weight storage. On top of that, we further design a dedicated accelerator to fully utilize the SmartExchange-enforced weights to improve both energy efficiency and latency performance. Extensive experiments show that 1) on the algorithm level, SmartExchange outperforms state-of-the-art compression techniques, including merely sparsification or pruning, decomposition, and quantization, in various ablation studies based on nine DNN models and four datasets; and 2) on the hardware level, the proposed SmartExchange based accelerator can improve the energy efficiency by up to 6.7$ imes$ and the speedup by up to 19.2$ imes$ over four state-of-the-art DNN accelerators, when benchmarked on seven DNN models (including four standard DNNs, two compact DNN models, and one segmentation model) and three datasets. Full Article
ess Distributional Robustness of K-class Estimators and the PULSE. (arXiv:2005.03353v1 [econ.EM]) By arxiv.org Published On :: In causal settings, such as instrumental variable settings, it is well known that estimators based on ordinary least squares (OLS) can yield biased and non-consistent estimates of the causal parameters. This is partially overcome by two-stage least squares (TSLS) estimators. These are, under weak assumptions, consistent but do not have desirable finite sample properties: in many models, for example, they do not have finite moments. The set of K-class estimators can be seen as a non-linear interpolation between OLS and TSLS and are known to have improved finite sample properties. Recently, in causal discovery, invariance properties such as the moment criterion which TSLS estimators leverage have been exploited for causal structure learning: e.g., in cases, where the causal parameter is not identifiable, some structure of the non-zero components may be identified, and coverage guarantees are available. Subsequently, anchor regression has been proposed to trade-off invariance and predictability. The resulting estimator is shown to have optimal predictive performance under bounded shift interventions. In this paper, we show that the concepts of anchor regression and K-class estimators are closely related. Establishing this connection comes with two benefits: (1) It enables us to prove robustness properties for existing K-class estimators when considering distributional shifts. And, (2), we propose a novel estimator in instrumental variable settings by minimizing the mean squared prediction error subject to the constraint that the estimator lies in an asymptotically valid confidence region of the causal parameter. We call this estimator PULSE (p-uncorrelated least squares estimator) and show that it can be computed efficiently, even though the underlying optimization problem is non-convex. We further prove that it is consistent. Full Article
ess A Locally Adaptive Interpretable Regression. (arXiv:2005.03350v1 [stat.ML]) By arxiv.org Published On :: Machine learning models with both good predictability and high interpretability are crucial for decision support systems. Linear regression is one of the most interpretable prediction models. However, the linearity in a simple linear regression worsens its predictability. In this work, we introduce a locally adaptive interpretable regression (LoAIR). In LoAIR, a metamodel parameterized by neural networks predicts percentile of a Gaussian distribution for the regression coefficients for a rapid adaptation. Our experimental results on public benchmark datasets show that our model not only achieves comparable or better predictive performance than the other state-of-the-art baselines but also discovers some interesting relationships between input and target variables such as a parabolic relationship between CO2 emissions and Gross National Product (GNP). Therefore, LoAIR is a step towards bridging the gap between econometrics, statistics, and machine learning by improving the predictive ability of linear regression without depreciating its interpretability. Full Article
ess Classification of pediatric pneumonia using chest X-rays by functional regression. (arXiv:2005.03243v1 [stat.AP]) By arxiv.org Published On :: An accurate and prompt diagnosis of pediatric pneumonia is imperative for successful treatment intervention. One approach to diagnose pneumonia cases is using radiographic data. In this article, we propose a novel parsimonious scalar-on-image classification model adopting the ideas of functional data analysis. Our main idea is to treat images as functional measurements and exploit underlying covariance structures to select basis functions; these bases are then used in approximating both image profiles and corresponding regression coefficient. We re-express the regression model into a standard generalized linear model where the functional principal component scores are treated as covariates. We apply the method to (1) classify pneumonia against healthy and viral against bacterial pneumonia patients, and (2) test the null effect about the association between images and responses. Extensive simulation studies show excellent numerical performance in terms of classification, hypothesis testing, and efficient computation. Full Article
ess Fractional ridge regression: a fast, interpretable reparameterization of ridge regression. (arXiv:2005.03220v1 [stat.ME]) By arxiv.org Published On :: Ridge regression (RR) is a regularization technique that penalizes the L2-norm of the coefficients in linear regression. One of the challenges of using RR is the need to set a hyperparameter ($alpha$) that controls the amount of regularization. Cross-validation is typically used to select the best $alpha$ from a set of candidates. However, efficient and appropriate selection of $alpha$ can be challenging, particularly where large amounts of data are analyzed. Because the selected $alpha$ depends on the scale of the data and predictors, it is not straightforwardly interpretable. Here, we propose to reparameterize RR in terms of the ratio $gamma$ between the L2-norms of the regularized and unregularized coefficients. This approach, called fractional RR (FRR), has several benefits: the solutions obtained for different $gamma$ are guaranteed to vary, guarding against wasted calculations, and automatically span the relevant range of regularization, avoiding the need for arduous manual exploration. We provide an algorithm to solve FRR, as well as open-source software implementations in Python and MATLAB (https://github.com/nrdg/fracridge). We show that the proposed method is fast and scalable for large-scale data problems, and delivers results that are straightforward to interpret and compare across models and datasets. Full Article
ess mvord: An R Package for Fitting Multivariate Ordinal Regression Models By www.jstatsoft.org Published On :: Sat, 18 Apr 2020 03:35:08 +0000 The R package mvord implements composite likelihood estimation in the class of multivariate ordinal regression models with a multivariate probit and a multivariate logit link. A flexible modeling framework for multiple ordinal measurements on the same subject is set up, which takes into consideration the dependence among the multiple observations by employing different error structures. Heterogeneity in the error structure across the subjects can be accounted for by the package, which allows for covariate dependent error structures. In addition, different regression coefficients and threshold parameters for each response are supported. If a reduction of the parameter space is desired, constraints on the threshold as well as on the regression coefficients can be specified by the user. The proposed multivariate framework is illustrated by means of a credit risk application. Full Article
ess lmSubsets: Exact Variable-Subset Selection in Linear Regression for R By www.jstatsoft.org Published On :: Tue, 28 Apr 2020 00:00:00 +0000 An R package for computing the all-subsets regression problem is presented. The proposed algorithms are based on computational strategies recently developed. A novel algorithm for the best-subset regression problem selects subset models based on a predetermined criterion. The package user can choose from exact and from approximation algorithms. The core of the package is written in C++ and provides an efficient implementation of all the underlying numerical computations. A case study and benchmark results illustrate the usage and the computational efficiency of the package. Full Article
ess Wilderness EMS By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9781496349453 Full Article
ess The public policy primer : managing the policy process By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Author: Wu, Xun, author.Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9781315624754 (electronic bk.) Full Article
ess Science and practice of pressure ulcer management By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9781447174134 (electronic bk.) Full Article
ess QoS routing algorithms for wireless sensor networks By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Author: Venugopal, K. R., Dr., authorCallnumber: OnlineISBN: 9789811527203 (electronic bk.) Full Article
ess Progress in botany. By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9783030363277 (electronic bk.) Full Article
ess Priming-mediated stress and cross-stress tolerance in crop plants By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9780128178935 (electronic bk.) Full Article
ess Milk proteins : from expression to food By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9780128152522 (electronic bk.) Full Article
ess LGBTQ cultures : what health care professionals need to know about sexual and gender diversity By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Author: Eliason, Michele J., author.Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9781496394606 paperback Full Article
ess Ketamine : from abused drug to rapid-acting antidepressant By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9789811529023 Full Article
ess Green food processing techniques : preservation, transformation and extraction By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9780128153536 Full Article
ess Essential current concepts in stem cell biology By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9783030339234 (electronic bk.) Full Article
ess Computational processing of the Portuguese language : 14th International Conference, PROPOR 2020, Evora, Portugal, March 2-4, 2020, Proceedings By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Author: PROPOR (Conference) (14th : 2020 : Evora, Portugal)Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9783030415051 (electronic bk.) Full Article
ess Compression and chronic wound management By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9783030011956 (electronic book) Full Article
ess Carotenoids : properties, processing and applications By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9780128173145 (electronic bk.) Full Article
ess Breakfast cereals and how they are made : raw materials, processing, and production By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Callnumber: OnlineISBN: 9780128120446 (electronic bk.) Full Article
ess Biscuit, cookie and cracker process and recipes By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Author: Sykes, Glyn, authorCallnumber: OnlineISBN: 9780128206133 (electronic bk.) Full Article
ess Arctic plants of Svalbard : what we learn from the green in the treeless white world By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:44:43 -0300 Author: Lee, Yoo Kyung, authorCallnumber: OnlineISBN: 9783030345600 (electronic bk.) Full Article
ess Domestic Gag Rule Reduces Contraceptive Access For Nearly 370,000... By www.prweb.com Published On :: According to data released by Power to Decide, an estimated 369,960 New Jersey women of reproductive age (13-44) in need of publicly funded contraception live in counties impacted by the...(PRWeb April 09, 2020)Read the full story at https://www.prweb.com/releases/domestic_gag_rule_reduces_contraceptive_access_for_nearly_370_000_women_living_in_new_jersey/prweb17040987.htm Full Article
ess Viable Policy Pathways Expand Access to Renewable Energy for... By www.prweb.com Published On :: Newly launched REBA Institute shares research suggesting multiple policy pathways increase access, lower costs and drive decarbonization of the electricity sector.(PRWeb May 05, 2020)Read the full story at https://www.prweb.com/releases/viable_policy_pathways_expand_access_to_renewable_energy_for_commercial_industrial_sector/prweb17099869.htm Full Article