Wiesbaden : C. Limbarth, 1882.

Leipzig : T.O. Weigel, 1859.

Edinburgi : Excudebant Balfour et Smellie, 1782.

Boston : Wright & Potter Printing Co, 1898.

Paris : Ancelle, 1812.

Paris : V.A. Delahaye, 1878.

Weiping Zhang, Jiangli Wang, Fang Qian, Yu Chen.

Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 34, Number 1, 35--50.

Abstract:
Longitudinal zero-inflated count data are widely encountered in many fields, while modeling the correlation between measurements for the same subject is more challenge due to the lack of suitable multivariate joint distributions. This paper studies a novel mean-correlation modeling approach for longitudinal zero-inflated regression model, solving both problems of specifying joint distribution and parsimoniously modeling correlations with no constraint. The joint distribution of zero-inflated discrete longitudinal responses is modeled by a copula model whose correlation parameters are innovatively represented in hyper-spherical coordinates. To overcome the computational intractability in maximizing the full likelihood function of the model, we further propose a computationally efficient pairwise likelihood approach. We then propose separated mean and correlation regression models to model these key quantities, such modeling approach can also handle irregularly and possibly subject-specific times points. The resulting estimators are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. Data example and simulations support the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

John J. Dziak, Donna L. Coffman, Matthew Reimherr, Justin Petrovich, Runze Li, Saul Shiffman, Mariya P. Shiyko.

Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 13, 150--180.

Abstract:
Researchers are sometimes interested in predicting a distal or external outcome (such as smoking cessation at follow-up) from the trajectory of an intensively recorded longitudinal variable (such as urge to smoke). This can be done in a semiparametric way via scalar-on-function regression. However, the resulting fitted coefficient regression function requires special care for correct interpretation, as it represents the joint relationship of time points to the outcome, rather than a marginal or cross-sectional relationship. We provide practical guidelines, based on experience with scientific applications, for helping practitioners interpret their results and illustrate these ideas using data from a smoking cessation study.

This paper is devoted to the R package JSM which performs joint statistical modeling of survival and longitudinal data. In biomedical studies it has been increasingly common to collect both baseline and longitudinal covariates along with a possibly censored survival time. Instead of analyzing the survival and longitudinal outcomes separately, joint modeling approaches have attracted substantive attention in the recent literature and have been shown to correct biases from separate modeling approaches and enhance information. Most existing approaches adopt a linear mixed effects model for the longitudinal component and the Cox proportional hazards model for the survival component. We extend the Cox model to a more general class of transformation models for the survival process, where the baseline hazard function is completely unspecified leading to semiparametric survival models. We also offer a non-parametric multiplicative random effects model for the longitudinal process in JSM in addition to the linear mixed effects model. In this paper, we present the joint modeling framework that is implemented in JSM, as well as the standard error estimation methods, and illustrate the package with two real data examples: a liver cirrhosis data and a Mayo Clinic primary biliary cirrhosis data.

The Round Rock Independent School District in Texas is looking for a digital curriculum and blended learning program. Baltimore is looking for a comprehensive high school literacy program.

The post Austin-Area District Looks for Digital/Blended Learning Program; Baltimore Seeks High School Literacy Program appeared first on Market Brief.

Rajarshi Guhaniyogi, Abel Rodriguez.

Source: Bayesian Analysis, Volume 15, Number 2, 477--503.

Abstract:
This article proposes a framework based on shared, time varying stochastic latent factor models for modeling relational data in which network and node-attributes co-evolve over time. Our proposed framework is flexible enough to handle both categorical and continuous attributes, allows us to estimate the dimension of the latent social space, and automatically yields Bayesian hypothesis tests for the association between network structure and nodal attributes. Additionally, the model is easy to compute and readily yields inference and prediction for missing link between nodes. We employ our model framework to study co-evolution of international relations between 22 countries and the country specific indicators over a period of 11 years.

Jong Hee Park, Yunkyu Sohn.

Source: Bayesian Analysis, Volume 15, Number 1, 133--157.

Abstract:
Dynamic modeling of longitudinal networks has been an increasingly important topic in applied research. While longitudinal network data commonly exhibit dramatic changes in its structures, existing methods have largely focused on modeling smooth topological changes over time. In this paper, we develop a hidden Markov network change-point model (HNC) that combines the multilinear tensor regression model (Hoff, 2011) with a hidden Markov model using Bayesian inference. We model changes in network structure as shifts in discrete states yielding particular sets of network generating parameters. Our simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method correctly detects the number, locations, and types of changes in latent node characteristics. We apply the proposed method to international military alliance networks to find structural changes in the coalition structure among nations.

Spanish version of executive summary of report on Central bank digital currencies published by the Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures (CPMI) and the Markets Committee, March 2018.

Spanish version of Press release about CPMI and the Markets Committee issuing a report on "Central bank digital currencies" (12 March 2018)

The Linux Foundation will host ToIP, a cross-industry effort to ensure more secure data handling over the Internet. This new foundation is an independent project enabling trustworthy exchange and verification of data between any two parties on the Internet. The ToIP Foundation will provide a robust common standard to instill confidence that data is coming from a trusted source.

Based on remarks by Mr Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva, Deputy General Manager of the BIS, with Jon Frost and Leonardo Gambacorta at the Santander International Banking Conference on "Banking on trust: Building confidence in the future", Madrid, 5 November 2019.

Youth around the world are increasingly turning away from agriculture. Traditionally requiring tough manual labour and offering low wages, agriculture does not often appeal to new generations who generally prefer to try their luck finding jobs in cities.  

Architects and designers restored royal ruins across Europe to their former glory

New scans suggest unhatched dinosaurs reabsorbed a set of teeth during development

Press release: CPMI report sets out considerations for developers of wholesale digital tokens, 12 December 2019

The Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Sveriges Riksbank and the Swiss National Bank, together with the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), have created a group to share experiences as they assess the potential case for central bank digital currency (CBDC) in their home jurisdictions. (Press release, 21 January 2020)

Despite having no ice on which to perform, more than 40 figure skaters from nine countries will take part in a fundraiser Friday to help health care workers on the front lines battling the new coronavirus.

Netherlands Bank DNB Occasional Studies by Peter Wierts and Harro Boven

OBJECTIVES:

Our goals for this study were to characterize the frequency of agitation in patients with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) admitted to an inpatient pediatric medical unit and to identify risk factors associated with agitation.

I’m not sure it was wise for Nicola Sturgeon to invoke Nelson Mandela in her speech on the next steps (sic) to independence. He was a revolutionary who pursued a campaign of non-violent direct action, including strikes, boycotts and other acts of civil disobedience. That’s what many ardent Yessers were hoping against hope she might authorise.

The social media giant, which is facing withering scrutiny over its data-collection practices, has announced a partnership with the National Urban League.

Several correlational studies documented that participants who would be classified as "pathological" video gamers demonstrate a pattern of correlations with other variables that are comorbid (eg, depression) or occur with (eg, poorer grades and increased hostility) other addictions.

Following a large sample across 2 years, this study provides needed data on risk factors for becoming a pathological gamer, how long pathological gaming lasts, outcomes, and whether it is a primary problem or is a symptom of comorbid problems. (Read the full article)

Available clinical prediction rules to identify children with cerebrospinal fluid pleocytosis at low risk for Lyme meningitis include headache duration, cranial nerve palsy, and percent cerebrospinal fluid mononuclear cells. These rules require independent validation.

These clinical prediction rules accurately identify patients at low risk for Lyme meningitis in our large multicenter cohort. Children at low risk may be considered for outpatient management while awaiting Lyme serology. (Read the full article)

Adolescence is a time of risk taking, with poor inner-city youth at greater risk than the general population for drug use, school failure, adjudication, and teen parenthood. Little is known regarding these youths’ perceptions and intentions in early childhood.

Poor inner-city children were surprisingly idealistic regarding their future. Despite this, by late adolescence most experienced 1 or more trajectory-altering events. Early childhood experiences, exposure to violence and poor home environment, were factors most strongly associated with these outcomes. (Read the full article)

There is a perception among clinicians that methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) bacteremia and/or meningitis result in a greater burden of disease than invasive infections attributed to methicillin-susceptible Staphylococcus aureus (MSSA) among very low birth weight (VLBW) infants.

VLBW infants with MRSA and MSSA bacteremia and/or meningitis have equivalent morbidity and mortality. These findings suggest that allocation of resources for prevention and treatment of both MRSA and MSSA infections among VLBW infants should be comparable. (Read the full article)

Group B Streptococcus (GBS) is a common cause of meningitis in young infants. Studies from the 1980s revealed that GBS meningitis resulted in substantial mortality and reported that survivors of the infection had a high likelihood of adverse neurodevelopmental outcome.

Contemporary long-term outcomes for children surviving GBS meningitis reveal that 56% are functioning normally. The remainder sustained mild-to-moderate (25%) or severe (19%) neurodevelopmental impairment, highlighting the need for GBS prevention and for ongoing developmental follow-up for GBS meningitis survivors. (Read the full article)

Maternal obesity is an increasingly important public health concern and may adversely affect central nervous system development in offspring. However, few studies have explored the relationship between maternal prepregnancy BMI and neurodevelopmental outcomes in children, with conflicting results.

Using data from a large and contemporary UK birth cohort, we found that maternal prepregnancy BMI is negatively associated with children’s cognitive performance. The relationship appears to become stronger as children get older, although the overall effect size is modest. (Read the full article)

Although a number of cross-sectional studies have documented associations between teen dating violence victimization and adverse health outcomes, including sexual risk behaviors, suicidality, substance use, and depression, longitudinal work examining the relationship between victimization and outcomes is limited.

This study is the first to demonstrate the longitudinal associations between teen dating violence victimization and multiple young adult health outcomes in a nationally representative sample. Findings emphasize the need for screening and intervention for both male and female victims. (Read the full article)

Research indicates that adolescents who perceive their school to have a positive socioeducational environment are at reduced risk of developing depressive symptoms. However, there is limited evidence that school environments can influence adolescent emotional health independently from individual perceptions.

This multilevel longitudinal study shows that better school socioeducational environments, as assessed at the school level, reduce the prospective risk of depressive symptoms in adolescents. This association is shown to be independent from confounders and stronger in girls than boys. (Read the full article)

In the era of widespread conjugate vaccine use, the prevalence of bacterial meningitis has declined. However, the impact of this decline on the rate of emergency department visits for viral meningitis and cost of caring for these children is unknown.

There was a decline in the rate of diagnosis of viral meningitis in US children’s hospitals between 2005 and 2011. Most children diagnosed with viral meningitis are treated with antibiotics and are hospitalized, accounting for considerable health care costs. (Read the full article)

Internet, smartphones, and online social media offer new platforms for health promotion and disease management. Few studies have evaluated the use of digital technology among families receiving care in an urban pediatric primary care setting.

Caregivers in an urban pediatric primary care setting have access to and frequently use the Internet, smartphones, and online social media. These technologies may help reach a traditionally hard-to-reach population. (Read the full article)

Adolescents are likely to smoke if their parent(s) smoke. Little research uses prospective longitudinal data from parents and children to more confidently document these intergenerational associations, alongside potential confounders (parental education) and mediators (school achievement, mental health, older sibling smoking).

Analyses of long-term multigenerational data show how diverse parental smoking trajectories influence child smoking, controlling for measured confounders. The risk of smoking is especially high among children residing with a persistent heavy smoking parent and an older sibling who smokes. (Read the full article)

The incidence of pediatric pneumococcal meningitis has declined after introduction of the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7). It is unknown whether the frequency of severe neurologic sequelae and adverse outcomes has changed in the era of widespread PCV7 use.

Pneumococcal meningitis continues to be associated with substantial mortality and long-term morbidity. Sixty-three percent of survivors had neurologic sequelae. More than one-half of the children who were eligible for PCV7 were unimmunized at the time that they developed pneumococcal meningitis. (Read the full article)

Cross-sectional estimates suggest that one-third of children are enrolled in Medicaid or other public insurance programs. The percentage of children enrolled in Medicaid at any point during childhood, and which children use Medicaid as a longer-term insurance source, is unknown.

Over a 5-year period, 41% of children were enrolled in Medicaid at some point. Of those children, 51.5% were enrolled during all 5 years. Children with sociodemographic risk factors are more often enrolled for longer periods of childhood. (Read the full article)

Several studies have documented earlier onset of pubertal maturation in girls, with several potential factors attributed to the earlier onset.

This study demonstrates earlier maturation in white non-Hispanic girls, with greater BMI linked as a major factor. The entire distribution of pubertal timing has shifted to a younger age, suggesting redefinition of ages for both early and late maturation. (Read the full article)

To prevent asthma exacerbations, asthma guidelines recommend ongoing monitoring of patients’ asthma symptoms to promote timely adjustments of therapy to achieve and maintain optimal control. Existing tools, validated for ongoing monitoring, have significant limitations in children.

Our study established longitudinal validation of the Asthma Symptom Tracker, a novel tool designed for use by children or their parents to facilitate ongoing monitoring of patients’ asthma symptoms and proactive medical decision-making to prevent acute exacerbations. (Read the full article)

Childhood obesity poses a serious threat to human health. Obesity is caused by genetic and environmental factors and linked to type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. Pediatric obesity cohorts aim at understanding early events in the pathophysiology of obesity-related complications.

Cohort subjects are examined at consecutive visits, including measurements of glucose tolerance and hormones regulating nutrient handling (enhanced glucose tolerance tests) and body composition (MRI and bioimpedance). Mechanisms causing obese children to progress to type 2 diabetes are delineated. (Read the full article)

There is growing understanding of the detrimental effect of paternal depression on children. The transition to fatherhood is a unique time for men. Identifying which fathers are at-risk and when will inform effective methods to help men and their families.

Nonresident fathers have the highest depression symptom scores, peaking before entering fatherhood. Although resident fathers’ scores decrease preceding entry into fatherhood, there is a significant increase from 0 to 5 years of their child’s life when key parent–infant attachment occurs. (Read the full article)

After neonatal extracorporeal membrane oxygenation treatment, children are at risk for neurodevelopmental problems including delayed motor function. So far this has only been studied cross-sectionally until age 7 years.

We describe, in a nationwide evaluation, the longitudinal course of motor function development after neonatal extracorporeal membrane oxygenation with persisting problems up to 12 years. At risk are children with congenital diaphragmatic hernia and those with chronic lung disease. (Read the full article)

To date, studies of adaptive behavior in fragile X syndrome have focused on particular age points, either longitudinally or cross-sectionally across a broad age spectrum. Studies have shown variable patterns in adaptive behavior among people with fragile X syndrome.

This study fills a critical gap in knowledge about the profile of adaptive behavior across childhood, adolescence, and young adulthood in fragile X syndrome. This study is the first to incorporate longitudinal data from an age-matched typically developing group. (Read the full article)

Stimulant medications are indicated for treatment of childhood attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), but there is concern that stimulants may negatively affect growth. However, no longitudinal, population-based studies have examined height into adulthood for childhood ADHD cases.

This longitudinal, population-based study shows that neither childhood ADHD itself nor treatment with stimulants is associated with significant deficits in height into adulthood. (Read the full article)