Cheesecake: 1/4 cups chocolate or coconut biscuit crumbs 80g butter, melted 500g cream cheese, softened 1/4 cup caster sugar 2 teaspoons gelatine dissolved in 1/4 cup boiling water 200g dark chocolate melted and cooled slightly 2 splashes of rum 1 cup Baffle Creek Cream, softly whipped Salted Caramel Popcorn: 1 1/2 cup caster sugar 1/2 cup water 2/3 cup brown sugar 300ml thickened cream 1/2 - 1 tablespoon sea salt flakes 200g popcorn, popped

This MPI webinar brought together public health and migration experts to analyze the impact that COVID-19 preventative measures will have on vulnerable immigrants and refugees in Latin America, with a particular look at Colombia as a case study. Speakers also discussed how policymakers and international organizations can include migrant populations in their emergency response plans.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether high glucose levels in the normoglycemic range and higher have a causal genetic effect on risk of retinopathy, neuropathy, nephropathy, chronic kidney disease (CKD), peripheral arterial disease (PAD), and myocardial infarction (MI; positive control) in the general population.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to reveal the associations between the risk of new-onset type 2 diabetes and the duration of antidepressant use and the antidepressant dose, and between antidepressant use after diabetes onset and clinical outcomes.

Hey, it’s been quite some time without updates on this front, but our latest updates to our Android and iOS…

This MPI webinar brought together public health and migration experts to analyze the impact that COVID-19 preventative measures will have on vulnerable immigrants and refugees in Colombia and Latin America. Speakers also discussed how policymakers and international organizations can include migrant populations in their emergency response plans.

As long-simmering passions related to federal immigration policies have come to a full boil, less noted but no less important debates are taking place at state and local levels with regards to policies affecting immigrants and their children. As states are increasingly diverging in their responses, this report examines how some of the key policies and programs that support long-term integration success are faring in this volatile era.

Wilfred Fujimoto
Apr 1, 2013; 31:90-94
Diabetes Advocacy

Edward A. Chow
Jul 1, 2012; 30:130-133
Diabetes Advocacy

Two-thirds of children report eating this food weekly.

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In five northern U.S. states, black students comprise more than a fifth of ELL enrollment.

Popular Medicine in America presents materials from the Library Company of Philadelphia’s extensive collection. The resource documents the history of ‘popular’ medicine in America during the nineteenth century, featuring a wide variety of material that was aimed at the general public rather than medical professionals, and which enabled the ordinary person to treat himself and his family at home using an array of inventive methods and fashionable techniques

Londres : Paris, 1860.

In five northern U.S. states, black students comprise more than a fifth of ELL enrollment.

Erlandson F. Saraiva, Adriano K. Suzuki, Luís A. Milan.

Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 34, Number 2, 323--344.

Abstract:
In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian approach for clustering data using a sparse finite mixture model (SFMM). The SFMM is a finite mixture model with a large number of components $k$ previously fixed where many components can be empty. In this model, the number of components $k$ can be interpreted as the maximum number of distinct mixture components. Then, we explore the use of a prior distribution for the weights of the mixture model that take into account the possibility that the number of clusters $k_{mathbf{c}}$ (e.g., nonempty components) can be random and smaller than the number of components $k$ of the finite mixture model. In order to determine clusters we develop a MCMC algorithm denominated Split-Merge allocation sampler. In this algorithm, the split-merge strategy is data-driven and was inserted within the algorithm in order to increase the mixing of the Markov chain in relation to the number of clusters. The performance of the method is verified using simulated datasets and three real datasets. The first real data set is the benchmark galaxy data, while second and third are the publicly available data set on Enzyme and Acidity, respectively.

Mohd Arshad, Omer Abdalghani.

Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 34, Number 1, 167--182.

Abstract:
Suppose that $pi_{1},pi_{2},ldots ,pi_{k}$ be $k(geq2)$ independent exponential populations having unknown location parameters $mu_{1},mu_{2},ldots,mu_{k}$ and known scale parameters $sigma_{1},ldots,sigma_{k}$. Let $mu_{[k]}=max {mu_{1},ldots,mu_{k}}$. For selecting the population associated with $mu_{[k]}$, a class of selection rules (proposed by Arshad and Misra [ Statistical Papers 57 (2016) 605–621]) is considered. We consider the problem of estimating the location parameter $mu_{S}$ of the selected population under the criterion of the LINEX loss function. We consider three natural estimators $delta_{N,1},delta_{N,2}$ and $delta_{N,3}$ of $mu_{S}$, based on the maximum likelihood estimators, uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator (UMVUE) and minimum risk equivariant estimator (MREE) of $mu_{i}$’s, respectively. The uniformly minimum risk unbiased estimator (UMRUE) and the generalized Bayes estimator of $mu_{S}$ are derived. Under the LINEX loss function, a general result for improving a location-equivariant estimator of $mu_{S}$ is derived. Using this result, estimator better than the natural estimator $delta_{N,1}$ is obtained. We also shown that the estimator $delta_{N,1}$ is dominated by the natural estimator $delta_{N,3}$. Finally, we perform a simulation study to evaluate and compare risk functions among various competing estimators of $mu_{S}$.

Caio L. N. Azevedo, Dalton F. Andrade

Source: Braz. J. Probab. Stat., Volume 24, Number 3, 415--433.

Abstract:
The nominal response model (NRM) was proposed by Bock [ Psychometrika 37 (1972) 29–51] in order to improve the latent trait (ability) estimation in multiple choice tests with nominal items. When the item parameters are known, expectation a posteriori or maximum a posteriori methods are commonly employed to estimate the latent traits, considering a standard symmetric normal distribution as the latent traits prior density. However, when this item set is presented to a new group of examinees, it is not only necessary to estimate their latent traits but also the population parameters of this group. This article has two main purposes: first, to develop a Monte Carlo Markov Chain algorithm to estimate both latent traits and population parameters concurrently. This algorithm comprises the Metropolis–Hastings within Gibbs sampling algorithm (MHWGS) proposed by Patz and Junker [ Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics 24 (1999b) 346–366]. Second, to compare, in the latent trait recovering, the performance of this method with three other methods: maximum likelihood, expectation a posteriori and maximum a posteriori. The comparisons were performed by varying the total number of items (NI), the number of categories and the values of the mean and the variance of the latent trait distribution. The results showed that MHWGS outperforms the other methods concerning the latent traits estimation as well as it recoveries properly the population parameters. Furthermore, we found that NI accounts for the highest percentage of the variability in the accuracy of latent trait estimation.

Zeinab Mashreghi, David Haziza, Christian Léger.

Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 10, 1--52.

Abstract:
We review bootstrap methods in the context of survey data where the effect of the sampling design on the variability of estimators has to be taken into account. We present the methods in a unified way by classifying them in three classes: pseudo-population, direct, and survey weights methods. We cover variance estimation and the construction of confidence intervals for stratified simple random sampling as well as some unequal probability sampling designs. We also address the problem of variance estimation in presence of imputation to compensate for item non-response.

Trang Quynh Nguyen, Elizabeth A. Stuart.

Source: The Annals of Applied Statistics, Volume 14, Number 1, 518--520.

Kerstin Spitzer, Marta Pelizzola, Andreas Futschik.

Source: The Annals of Applied Statistics, Volume 14, Number 1, 202--220.

Abstract:
Evolve and resequence studies provide a popular approach to simulate evolution in the lab and explore its genetic basis. In this context, Pearson’s chi-square test, Fisher’s exact test as well as the Cochran–Mantel–Haenszel test are commonly used to infer genomic positions affected by selection from temporal changes in allele frequency. However, the null model associated with these tests does not match the null hypothesis of actual interest. Indeed, due to genetic drift and possibly other additional noise components such as pool sequencing, the null variance in the data can be substantially larger than accounted for by these common test statistics. This leads to $p$-values that are systematically too small and, therefore, a huge number of false positive results. Even, if the ranking rather than the actual $p$-values is of interest, a naive application of the mentioned tests will give misleading results, as the amount of overdispersion varies from locus to locus. We therefore propose adjusted statistics that take the overdispersion into account while keeping the formulas simple. This is particularly useful in genome-wide applications, where millions of SNPs can be handled with little computational effort. We then apply the adapted test statistics to real data from Drosophila and investigate how information from intermediate generations can be included when available. We also discuss further applications such as genome-wide association studies based on pool sequencing data and tests for local adaptation.

Pier Luigi Conti, Daniela Marella, Fulvia Mecatti, Federico Andreis.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 2, 1044--1069.

Abstract:
In this paper, a class of resampling techniques for finite populations under $pi $ps sampling design is introduced. The basic idea on which they rest is a two-step procedure consisting in: (i) constructing a “pseudo-population” on the basis of sample data; (ii) drawing a sample from the predicted population according to an appropriate resampling design. From a logical point of view, this approach is essentially based on the plug-in principle by Efron, at the “sampling design level”. Theoretical justifications based on large sample theory are provided. New approaches to construct pseudo populations based on various forms of calibrations are proposed. Finally, a simulation study is performed.

Jie Yen Fan, Kais Hamza, Peter Jagers, Fima Klebaner.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 2, 893--926.

Abstract:
We consider a family of general branching processes with reproduction parameters depending on the age of the individual as well as the population age structure and a parameter $K$, which may represent the carrying capacity. These processes are Markovian in the age structure. In a previous paper ( Proc. Steklov Inst. Math. 282 (2013) 90–105), the Law of Large Numbers as $K o infty $ was derived. Here we prove the central limit theorem, namely the weak convergence of the fluctuation processes in an appropriate Skorokhod space. We also show that the limit is driven by a stochastic partial differential equation.

Names, Personal -- England.

Names, Personal -- Welsh.

Names, Personal -- Scottish.

Lutz F. Gruber, Erica F. Stuber, Lyndsie S. Wszola, Joseph J. Fontaine.

Source: Bayesian Analysis, Volume 14, Number 4, 1173--1199.

Abstract:
We present an integrated open population model where the population dynamics are defined by a differential equation, and the related statistical model utilizes a Poisson binomial convolution likelihood. Key advantages of the proposed approach over existing open population models include the flexibility to predict related, but unobserved quantities such as total immigration or emigration over a specified time period, and more computationally efficient posterior simulation by elimination of the need to explicitly simulate latent immigration and emigration. The viability of the proposed method is shown in an in-depth analysis of outdoor recreation participation on public lands, where the surveyed populations changed rapidly and demographic population closure cannot be assumed even within a single day.

Lloyd T. Elliott, Maria De Iorio, Stefano Favaro, Kaustubh Adhikari, Yee Whye Teh.

Source: Bayesian Analysis, Volume 14, Number 2, 313--339.

Abstract:
We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model to infer population admixture, extending the hierarchical Dirichlet process to allow for correlation between loci due to linkage disequilibrium. Given multilocus genotype data from a sample of individuals, the proposed model allows inferring and classifying individuals as unadmixed or admixed, inferring the number of subpopulations ancestral to an admixed population and the population of origin of chromosomal regions. Our model does not assume any specific mutation process, and can be applied to most of the commonly used genetic markers. We present a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to perform posterior inference from the model and we discuss some methods to summarize the MCMC output for the analysis of population admixture. Finally, we demonstrate the performance of the proposed model in a real application, using genetic data from the ectodysplasin-A receptor (EDAR) gene, which is considered to be ancestry-informative due to well-known variations in allele frequency as well as phenotypic effects across ancestry. The structure analysis of this dataset leads to the identification of a rare haplotype in Europeans. We also conduct a simulated experiment and show that our algorithm outperforms parametric methods.

Steven Poser
Jun 1, 2003; 23:4420-4427
Cellular

Chang-Jin Jeon
Nov 1, 1998; 18:8936-8946
Articles

The detection and segmentation of meaningful figures from their background is one of the primary functions of vision. While work in nonhuman primates has implicated early visual mechanisms in this figure–ground modulation, neuroimaging in humans has instead largely ascribed the processing of figures and objects to higher stages of the visual hierarchy. Here, we used high-field fMRI at 7 Tesla to measure BOLD responses to task-irrelevant orientation-defined figures in human early visual cortex (N = 6, four females). We used a novel population receptive field mapping-based approach to resolve the spatial profiles of two constituent mechanisms of figure–ground modulation: a local boundary response, and a further enhancement spanning the full extent of the figure region that is driven by global differences in features. Reconstructing the distinct spatial profiles of these effects reveals that figure enhancement modulates responses in human early visual cortex in a manner consistent with a mechanism of automatic, contextually driven feedback from higher visual areas.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT A core function of the visual system is to parse complex 2D input into meaningful figures. We do so constantly and seamlessly, both by processing information about visible edges and by analyzing large-scale differences between figure and background. While influential neurophysiology work has characterized an intriguing mechanism that enhances V1 responses to perceptual figures, we have a poor understanding of how the early visual system contributes to figure–ground processing in humans. Here, we use advanced computational analysis methods and high-field human fMRI data to resolve the distinct spatial profiles of local edge and global figure enhancement in the early visual system (V1 and LGN); the latter is distinct and consistent with a mechanism of automatic, stimulus-driven feedback from higher-level visual areas.

FAO email newsletters have sparked great interest across the Organization in the last few years, with over 2 million emails sent out in 2018 and over 3 million last year.

Corporate newsletters cover approximately 100 [...]

In its first year, the class attracted more than 1,200 students. The online version is abbreviated, but free

No SARS-CoV-2 infections have yet been detected in our closest living relatives. But there is precedent for viruses jumping from people to other great apes

Female dolphins, it seems, aren’t immune to the allure of a harmonizing boy band

The Catholic Church's actions during World War II have long been a matter of historical debate

The rankings stay much the same from year to year, but in 2019, Pembroke Welsh corgis broke the top ten for the first time

Stay-at-home orders have inspired those with ample free time to pick up hands-on projects

The Heritage neighbourhood's free little libraries are being transformed.

The following is a guest post from Music Reference Specialist James Wintle. Let me begin with a personal anecdote. My parents are or were both musicians – my father was a composer – and so my appreciation for classical music was probably equal parts nature and nurture. So, when I entered graduate school as a […]