A rising spike in West Nile virus is taking health officials across the country by surprise as this year more than 2,600 people in 45 states and the District of Columbia, have been stricken with severe symptoms of this mosquito-transmitted disease.

The post As robins disperse, West Nile mosquitoes switch diet to humans: Q&A with Smithsonian ornithologist Peter Marra appeared first on Smithsonian Insider.

A new DNA study of ancient corn kernels and cobs from archaeological sites across North America has settled a long debate as to exactly where […]

The post Corn entered Southwest U.S. first along highland route, DNA shows appeared first on Smithsonian Insider.

If you were dumped into the middle of a desert, your first instinct would be to look for water—it is, after all, the stuff of […]

The post In Western China’s deserts an ancient competition for water resumes appeared first on Smithsonian Insider.

“Somber” is the adjective Smithsonian beetle expert Terry Erwin uses to describe the insects he collects on the forest floor in Peru and Ecuador. “They […]

The post Meet the newest New World canopy beetle species. ‘Gazillions’ await discovery. appeared first on Smithsonian Insider.

William Fitzhugh - Edward Nelson's 1877-1881 Western Alaskan Expedition

The post Smithsonian anthropologist William Fitzhugh speaks about Edward Nelson’s 1877-1881 Western Alaskan Expedition appeared first on Smithsonian Insider.

The post Studying lionfish’s impact in Western Atlantic appeared first on Smithsonian Insider.

Full Text:

A new study shows that the West Antarctic Peninsula is experiencing some of the most rapid climate change on Earth, featuring dramatic increases in temperatures, retreats in glaciers and declines in sea ice. The Southern Ocean absorbs nearly half of the carbon dioxide -- the key greenhouse gas linked to climate change -- that is absorbed by all the world's oceans. The study tapped an unprecedented 25 years of oceanographic measurements in the Southern Ocean and highlights the need for more monitoring in the region. The research revealed that carbon dioxide absorption by surface waters off the West Antarctic Peninsula is linked to the stability of the upper ocean, along with the amount and type of algae present. A stable upper ocean provides algae with ideal growing conditions. During photosynthesis, algae remove carbon dioxide from the surface ocean, which in turn draws carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere. From 1993 to 2017, changes in sea ice dynamics off the West Antarctic Peninsula stabilized the upper ocean, resulting in greater algal concentrations and a shift in the mix of algal species. That's led to a nearly five-fold increase in carbon dioxide absorption during the summertime. The research also found a strong north-south difference in the trend of carbon dioxide absorption. The southern portion of the peninsula, which to date has been less impacted by climate change, experienced the most dramatic increase in carbon dioxide absorption, demonstrating the poleward progression of climate change in the region.

Image credit: Drew Spacht/The Ohio State University

The U.S. lacks icebreaking capability in the Arctic and Antarctic and should build four polar icebreakers with heavy icebreaking capability to help minimize the life-cycle costs of icebreaker acquisition and operations, says a new congressionally mandated letter report from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.

The Asian Garden Mall in Westminster, where voters will make a choice about whether to recall city leaders.; Credit: Dorian Merina/KPCC

Voters in Westminster will decide this spring whether to recall its mayor and two city councilmembers. The Orange County Registrar of Voters has signed off on petitions for a recall election.  

This content is from Southern California Public Radio. View the original story at SCPR.org.

Full Text:

A new study shows that the West Antarctic Peninsula is experiencing some of the most rapid climate change on Earth, featuring dramatic increases in temperatures, retreats in glaciers and declines in sea ice. The Southern Ocean absorbs nearly half of the carbon dioxide -- the key greenhouse gas linked to climate change -- that is absorbed by all the world's oceans. The study tapped an unprecedented 25 years of oceanographic measurements in the Southern Ocean and highlights the need for more monitoring in the region. The research revealed that carbon dioxide absorption by surface waters off the West Antarctic Peninsula is linked to the stability of the upper ocean, along with the amount and type of algae present. A stable upper ocean provides algae with ideal growing conditions. During photosynthesis, algae remove carbon dioxide from the surface ocean, which in turn draws carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere. From 1993 to 2017, changes in sea ice dynamics off the West Antarctic Peninsula stabilized the upper ocean, resulting in greater algal concentrations and a shift in the mix of algal species. That's led to a nearly five-fold increase in carbon dioxide absorption during the summertime. The research also found a strong north-south difference in the trend of carbon dioxide absorption. The southern portion of the peninsula, which to date has been less impacted by climate change, experienced the most dramatic increase in carbon dioxide absorption, demonstrating the poleward progression of climate change in the region.

Image credit: Drew Spacht/The Ohio State University

Source: Streetwise Reports   04/23/2020

Global healthcare packaging components manufacturer company West Pharmaceutical Services Inc. (WST:NYSE) today announced financial results for its first quarter ending March 31, 2020 and provided updated full-year 2020 financial guidance.

The company reported that net sales in Q1/20 increased to $491.5 million, a 10.8% increase from $443.5 million in Q1/19. During the same corresponding period, the firm stated that non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 36% to $0.99 and non-GAAP adjusted-diluted EPS increased by 36% to $1.01.

West Pharmaceutical Services advised that it is maintaining its FY/20 net sales guidance, which is expected to be in a range of $1.95-1.97 billion. The company stated that it is updating FY/20 adjusted-diluted EPS guidance to a new range of $3.52-3.62, compared to the prior estimated range of $3.45-3.55.

The company's President and CEO Eric M. Green commented, "During these unprecedented times, our priorities are focused on the well-being and safety of our team members as well as ensuring the supply of critical, high-quality components and solutions to our customers...I am extremely pleased that we delivered a strong performance in the first quarter given the challenging environment that the COVID-19 pandemic has had on our customers, our suppliers and our team members. In particular, we continued to deliver strong sales growth in high-value products, as demand trends from our worldwide customer base were similar to trends we saw last year. Our teams are partnering with a broad range of customers working to support efforts to develop solutions that address the global COVID-19 pandemic such as diagnostics, anti-viral therapeutics and vaccines."

The firm outlined sales in the most recent quarter by product line. The company reported that in Q1/20, net sales in its Proprietary Products segment grew by 9.7% to $373.5 million and that this segment "saw good demand for Westar^®, Daikyo^®, NovaPure^® and FluroTec^® components as well as for devices such as Daikyo Crystal Zenith^® syringes and cartridges and our self-injection platforms."

The firm noted that net sales from its Contract-Manufactured Products segment grew by 14.5% to $118.1 million led by sales of components for diagnostic devices and drug-injection delivery devices.

The company added that the Biologics market unit enjoyed double-digit organic sales growth, the Generics market unit achieved high-single digit organic sales growth and the Pharma market unit registered mid-single digit organic sales growth.

The firm additionally noted that during Q1/20 under its share repurchase program, it repurchased 761,500 shares for $115.5 million at an average share price of $151.65.

West Pharmaceutical Services is headquartered in Exton, Pa., roughly 35 miles west of Philadelphia, and is a designer and manufacturer of injectable pharmaceutical packaging and delivery systems.

West Pharmaceutical has market capitalization of around $13.5 billion with approximately 73.84 million shares outstanding. WST shares opened 5.25% higher today at $179.05 (+$8.93, +5.25%) over yesterday's $170.12 closing price and reached a new 52-week high price this morning of $190.27. The stock has traded today between $177.13 and $190.27 per share and is currently trading at $187.04 (+$17.17, +10.11%).

Disclosure:
1) Stephen Hytha compiled this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an independent contractor. He or members of his household own securities of the following companies mentioned in the article: None. He or members of his household are paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.
2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees.
3) Comments and opinions expressed are those of the specific experts and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
4) The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.
5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the interview or the decision to write an article until three business days after the publication of the interview or article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases.
6) This article does not constitute medical advice. Officers, employees and contributors to Streetwise Reports are not licensed medical professionals. Readers should always contact their healthcare professionals for medical advice.

( Companies Mentioned: WST:NYSE, )

An extensive field investigation discovered that 38% of soils in southwest England show signs of enhanced surface water runoff due to soil degradation. The study also revealed which types of fields and soils are linked to the most or least degradation.

Solar-powered irrigation that delivers water directly to plant roots could help ensure food security in Africa, say researchers. Their study in the Sudano-Sahel region of West Africa indicated that this irrigation method could increase both household income and nutritional intake, particularly during the dry season.

Increasing population, overconsumption and technological development have depleted many of the world’s natural resources, with profound impacts on the environment. This study applies the concept of criticality, which determines whether a resource may become a limiting factor to future development, to water.

Conserving West African coastal waters is also important for conserving European seabirds, suggests new research. The study shows that both adult and juvenile northern gannets and Scopoli’s shearwaters migrate to coastal waters of West Africa for winter. However, they are at risk of death from unsustainable and illegal fishing activities in this region.

Insect numbers in west German nature reserves have fallen by more than 76% in just 27 years, according to a new study. The fall was even higher in the summer months, with 82% on average fewer insects being recorded. The reasons for this dramatic fall are unclear. The researchers ruled out changes in weather, plant cover and local landscape playing a significant role in the observed decline, but suggest that intensive agriculture and pesticides in fields near to the reserves could be responsible. Whatever the cause, the catastrophic fall in insect numbers will inevitably lead to knock-on effects on ecosystems in the long term, particularly due to their essential role as pollinators and their position in the food web. The researchers say that preserving and protecting insects should now be a priority for conservation policies.

Several pollutants that are not covered by UN regulations could be harmful to humans, according to new research in the Balkans. By sampling air at various urban sites, the research showed that polycyclic aromatic compounds (PAHs) have the potential to be a major health risk.

Above: Powhatan in the water at VT Halter Marine following a successful launch on August 11, 2018 PASCAGOULA, MISSISSIPPI – The Virginia...

It’s the same story whether you’re a celeb or a pleb - we’re all getting on each other’s nerves in lockdown. And it’s the same story for Kim and Kanye.

There cannot have been many successful run chases in the history of the Watford Observer Fourteen14 Shield that started and ended with a six, less so with both shots being struck by members of the same family. But that was what happened on Tuesday as Watford Haidery capitalised on a blistering early onslaught to secure their place in Wednesday’s final against Abbots Langley with a five-wicket victory over West Herts A.

Watford Ladies will face West Bromwich Albion in the final of the FA Women's National League Plate after beating Middlesbrough 2-0 in the semi-final on Sunday.

The post Oz Minerals study confirms West Musgrave copper potential appeared first on The Lead SA.

Promotion back to the National League was secured for West Herts Mens’ First XI after they comfortably won 5-2 at home to Saffron Walden.

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SALEM – The gusty winds and heavy rains from the remnants of Hurricane Michael yesterday created flooded roads, downed trees and power lines in western Virginia. As of 11 a.m., approximately 140 roads are closed or affected in the 12 counties of VDOT’s Salem District.   Crews are currently clearing debris and assessing roads throughout the region, coordinating with emergency and utility crews and making or scheduling repairs where possible. In some areas, water will need to recede before a road can be investigated or repaired. Their focus today will be to make roads safe and passable for traffic. If extensive repairs are needed, they will be coordinated and scheduled at a later date.  Drivers are encouraged to continue to monitor road conditions in your area prior to traveling.   The most up-to-date information about flooded roads is available at www.511Virginia.org . For information on specific roads, citizens can access the Road Table under the text views section of the site.  To report downed trees or debris on state maintained roads, citizens can contact VDOT’s customer service center at 1-800-FOR-ROAD.  Drivers who are traveling today are reminded of the following: Turn Around, Don’t Drown! Never drive through water flowing across a road. It takes only six to 12 inches of water to float a small vehicle. Never drive around barricades. Remember, the road has been closed for your safety. Avoid flood-prone areas, especially along creeks and other low-lying areas. Be alert for tree limbs and other debris in the roadway. Even small branches and other debris can damage a car or cause the driver to lose control. If you come across a downed power line, do not try to move it. Contact your local authorities. For updates throughout the day, follow us on Twitter at @VaDOTSalem and @511southwestva  for the latest updates on road conditions.

This week motorists should expect delays in the vicinity of Interstate 64 exit 87 westbound at Interstate 81 exit 221 southbound in Augusta County. There will be bridge deck work on the southbound ramp bridge from I-64 westbound to I-81 southbound. The right lane will be closed.   

 
 000
 TCCA23 KNHC 251546
 STDWCA
 SATELLITE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE RAINFALL ESTIMATES
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
 1545 UTC SAT APR 25 2020
  
 SYSTEM NAME                       DATE/TIME          LOCATION
 -----------                       ---------          --------
 INVEST [90E]                      25/1200 UTC          14N 116W 
 
 RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA QMORPH...
 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-12 UTC- 130MM AT 13N 119W
 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-12 UTC- 30MM AT 13N 119W
 RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 06-12 UTC...
  
 LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE......................
 .......119W-118W 118W-117W 117W-116W 116W-115W 115W-114W 114W-113W
 16N-17N   0- 10     0- 10     0-  0     0-  0     0-  0     0-  0
 15N-16N   0-  0     0- 10     0-  0     0-  0     0-  0     0-  0
 14N-15N   0-  0     0-  0     0-  0     0-  0     0-  0     0-  0
 13N-14N   0- 20     0- 20     0-  0     0-  0     0-  0     0-  0
 12N-13N  10- 30     0- 10     0- 10     0- 20     0- 30     0-  0
 11N-12N   0- 20     0- 10     0- 10     0- 20     0- 20     0- 10
 ...................................................................
 
 RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA NRL-BLEND...
 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-12 UTC- 0MM AT 0N 0W
 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-12 UTC- 0MM AT 0N 0W
 RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 06-12 UTC...
  
 LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE......................
 .......119W-118W 118W-117W 117W-116W 116W-115W 115W-114W 114W-113W
 16N-17N 999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999
 15N-16N 999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999
 14N-15N 999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999
 13N-14N 999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999
 12N-13N 999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999
 11N-12N 999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999   999-999
 ...................................................................
 
 RAINFALL ESTIMATED FROM 06 UTC 25 APR GFS MODEL RUN...
 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-12 UTC- 260MM AT 13N 116W
 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-12 UTC- 50MM AT 13N 116W
 RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 06-12 UTC...
  
 LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE......................
 .......119W-118W 118W-117W 117W-116W 116W-115W 115W-114W 114W-113W
 16N-17N   0-  0     0-  0     0-  0     0-  0     0-  0     0-  0
 15N-16N   0-  0     0-  0     0-  0     0- 10     0-  0     0-  0
 14N-15N   0-  0     0-  0     0- 10     0- 10     0- 10     0- 10
 13N-14N   0-  0     0-  0     0- 50     0- 30     0-  0     0- 10
 12N-13N   0-  0     0-  0     0- 10     0- 10     0-  0    10- 10
 11N-12N   0-  0     0-  0     0-  0     0-  0     0- 10     0- 10
 ...................................................................
 
 
 DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE SATELLITE AND MODEL-DERIVED RAINFALL
 ESTIMATES INDICATE UNCERTAINTY IN THE AMOUNT OF RAIN RECEIVED
 
 RAINFALL MAY BE UNDERESTIMATED ON THE WINDWARD SIDE OF TERRAIN
 
 PLEASE SEE THE LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR THE
 OFFICIAL RAINFALL FORECAST FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES
 
 FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
 HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE/RAINFALL
 
 FORECASTER TAFB
 
 $$
  
  
  
 NNNN
 

Neptune Energy has revealed that two 'important' hydrocarbon discoveries have been made northwestern Germany.

000
FZNT23 KNHC 091513
OFFNT3

Offshore Waters Forecast for the SW and Tropical N Atlantic and
Caribbean Sea
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to
22N between 55W and 64W, the SW N Atlantic S of 31N W of 65W
including Bahamas, and the Caribbean Sea.

Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.

AMZ001-100315-
Synopsis for Caribbean Sea and Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to
19N between 55W and 64W
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure N of the area will support fresh to
strong trade winds across the central Caribbean, and gentle to
moderate winds over most of the remainder of the basin through Sun
night. The aerial extent of the strong trades will diminish and
reduce to the south-central Caribbean for the remainder period.

$$

AMZ011-100315-
Caribbean N of 18N W of 85W including Yucatan Basin-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to
4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Numerous showers and
scattered tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ013-100315-
Caribbean N of 18N between 76W and 85W including Cayman Basin-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to
6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous showers and
scattered tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ015-100315-
Caribbean Approaches to the Windward Passage-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to
8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E to SE
swell.
.SUN...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E to SE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N to NE late. Seas
2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less.
.WED...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less.

$$

AMZ017-100315-
Gulf of Honduras-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 17N W of 87W, and E to
SE 15 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Isolated tstms.
.SUN...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...S of 17N W of 87W, NE to E winds 10 kt in the
evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, E winds
10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated
tstms.
.MON...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ019-100315-
Caribbean from 15N to 18N between 80W and 85W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E
swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ021-100315-
Caribbean from 15N to 18N between 72W and 80W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft in
N to NE swell.
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE swell.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ023-100315-
Caribbean N of 15N between 64W and 72W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft in
NE swell.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE
swell.
.MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ025-100315-
Offshore Waters Leeward Islands-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ027-100315-
Tropical N Atlantic from 15N to 19N between 55W and 60W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N
swell.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N
swell.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE swell.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

AMZ029-100315-
W Central Caribbean from 11N to 15N W of 80W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to
7 ft in NE swell.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE
swell.
.MON...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ031-100315-
Caribbean from 11N to 15N between 72W and 80W including Colombia
Basin-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 to 12 ft in
N to NE swell.
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia,
and NE to E 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE
swell.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and
E 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE
swell.
.MON...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE
swell.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ033-100315-
Caribbean S of 15N between 64W and 72W including Venezuela Basin-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft in
N to NE swell.
.TONIGHT...E winds 25 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 20 to
25 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE
swell.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ035-100315-
Offshore Waters Windward Islands including Trinidad and Tobago-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

AMZ037-100315-
Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 15N between 55W and 60W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...NE to E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in
N to NE swell.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE
swell.
.WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N swell.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

AMZ039-100315-
SW Caribbean S of 11N including Approaches to Panama Canal-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...NE winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE
swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE
swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell.
.MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ101-100315-
Synopsis for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.SYNOPSIS...A cold front extending from 31N77W to 29N81W will move
across the waters N of the Bahamas through Sun. Weak low pressure
in the Gulf of Mexico will track NE across south Florida into the
Bahamas Sun through Mon night enhancing winds and generating
numerous showers and thunderstorms. In the wake of the low, a
cold front will move across the northern and central waters
through Mon night, then stall from near 29N65W to central Cuba
late Tue.

$$

AMZ111-100315-
Atlantic from 27N to 31N W of 77W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...N winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and
isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E
swell. Scattered tstms.
.MON...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ113-100315-
Atlantic from 27N to 31N between 70W and 77W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...W winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.SUN...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NW to N late. Seas
3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ115-100315-
Atlantic from 27N to 31N between 65W and 70W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...N of 29N, SW to W winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Elsewhere, SW to W winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N of 29N, W winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NW to N
15 to 20 kt late. Elsewhere, N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to
7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.MON...SE winds 15 to 20 kt, shifting to S to SW in the
afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to W to NW in the
afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ117-100315-
Bahamas including Cay Sal Bank-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Numerous showers and
scattered tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ119-100315-
Atlantic from 22N to 27N E of Bahamas to 70W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...N of 25N, variable winds less than 5 kt in the
afternoon. Elsewhere, SE to S winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N to NE
swell. Numerous showers and scattered tstms.
.MON...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

AMZ121-100315-
Atlantic from 22N to 27N between 65W and 70W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...S winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers
and isolated tstms.
.SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers
and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ123-100315-
Atlantic S of 22N W of 70W including Approaches to the Windward
Passage-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to
5 ft. Isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ125-100315-
Atlantic S of 22N between 65W and 70W including Puerto Rico
Trench-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ127-100315-
Atlantic from 19N to 22N between 55W and 65W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N
swell.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE
swell.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

Forecaster Ramos

 
 000
 FONT12 KNHC 260251
 PWSAT2
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3      
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172019               
 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR  
 LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
 WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 JACKSON MS     34 21  13(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
  
 NEW ORLEANS LA 34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
  
 BATON ROUGE LA 34 83   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
  
 MORGAN CITY LA 34 81   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
  
 ALEXANDRIA LA  34 17   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
  
 LAFAYETTE LA   34 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
  
 NEW IBERIA LA  34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
  
 GFMX 280N 930W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
  
 LAKE CHARLES   34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
  
 CAMERON LA     34 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
  
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER ZELINSKY                                                 
 

 
 000
 FONT13 KNHC 281439
 PWSAT3
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12     
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182019               
 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO WAS LOCATED NEAR 
 LATITUDE 46.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 17.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
 WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER LATTO                                                    
 

 
 000
 FOPZ14 KNHC 210234
 PWSEP4
                                                                     
 REMNANTS OF PRISCILLA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4           
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192019               
 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF PRISCILLA WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0  
 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25   
 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                                             
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               
 

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