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Huracan Humberto Advertencia Numero 18 CENTRO NACIONAL DE HuracanES MIAMI FL AL092019 TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 1100 PM EDT lunes 16 de septiembre de 2019 ...SE ESPERA QUE HUMBERTO SE FORTALEZCA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DI


000
WTCA44 TJSJ 170242
TCPSP4

BOLETIN
Huracan Humberto Advertencia Numero 18
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL092019
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM EDT lunes 16 de septiembre de 2019

...SE ESPERA QUE HUMBERTO SE FORTALEZCA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA
O MAS...


RESUMEN DE LAS 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...30.3 NORTE 75.1 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 625 MI...1000 KM O DE BERMUDA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...ENE O 75 GRADOS A 8 MPH...13 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...966 MB...28.53 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

Ninguno.

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:

Una vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Bermuda

Una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical significa que se esperan
condiciones de tormenta tropical dentro del area bajo vigilancia,
generalmente dentro de 48 horas.

Para informacion especifica para su area, favor monitorear los producots
emitidos por su oficina de servicio nacional meteorologico.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO
----------------------
A las 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), el ojo del Huracan Humberto
estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 30.3 norte, longitud 75.1 oeste.
Humberto se mueve hacia el este-noreste a cerca de 8 mph (13 km/h).
Se espera este movimiento general con un aumento en la velocidad de
traslacion hasta temprano el jueves. En el pronostico de
trayectoria, se espera que el centro de Humberto se acerque a
Bermuda tarde el miercoles en la noche.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos han aumentado a cerca de 90 mph (150
km/h) con rafagas mas altas. Se pronostica fortalecimiento adicional
durante las proximas 48 horas, y Humberto pudiera convertirse en
huracan mayor en la noche del martes o miercoles en la manana.

Los vientos con fuerza de huracan se extienden hasta 30 millas (45
km) del centro y los vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se
extienden a 150 millas (240 km).

La presion minima central estimada por el Avion Caza huracanes de
la Fuerza Aerea es de 966 mb (28.53 pulgadas).


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO: Condiciones de tormenta tropical son posibles sobre Bermuda
tarde el miercoles.

LLUVIA: Humberto puede resultar en lluvia fuerte sobre Bermuda comenzando
tarde el martes.

RESACAS: Las marejadas grandes generadas por Humberto aumentaran a lo
largo de la costa de Bermuda en la noche del martes.

Las marejadas afectaran el noroeste de las Bahamas y la costa
sureste de Estados Unidos desde el este central de Florida hasta
Carolina del Norte durante los proximos dias.

Estas marejadas pudieran causar resacas fuertes amenazantes a vida y
corrientes marinas peligrosas. Favor referirse a los productos
emitidos por su oficina local de meteorologia en Bermuda.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
Proxima advertencia intermedia a las 200 AM EDT.
Proxima advertencia completa a las 500 AM EDT.

$$

Pronosticador Pasch
Traduccion RVazquez




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The PR Week, 1.10.2020: Paul Gennaro, Voya Financial

Voya Financial SVP and chief brand and communications officer Paul Gennaro joins The PR Week to discuss his vast role and the latest industry news.




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Tormenta Tropical Sebastien Advertencia Numero 12 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL202019 Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 500 AM AST viernes 22 de noviembre de 2019 ...NO SE ESPERA QUE SEBASTIEN SE FORTALEZCA... RES


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 221030
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
Tormenta Tropical Sebastien Advertencia Numero 12
Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL202019
Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
500 AM AST viernes 22 de noviembre de 2019

...NO SE ESPERA QUE SEBASTIEN SE FORTALEZCA...


RESUMEN DE LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...24.8 NORTE 57.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 600 MILLAS...965 KM NE DEL NORTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...ENE O 65 GRADOS A 15 MPH...24 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
----------------------
No existen vigilancias o avisos costers en efecto.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVA
------------------------
A las 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), el centro de la Tormenta Tropical
Sebastien estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 24.8 norte, longitud
57.0 oeste. Sebastien esta moviendose hacia el este-noreste a cerca de
15 mph (24 km/h). Se espera un movimiento hacia el este-noreste a noreste
durante los proximos dias.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 60 mph (95 km/h) con
rafagas mas fuertes. Algo de fortalecimiento se espera durante las
proximas 24 horas y Sebastien pudiera convertirse en ciclon post-
tropical este fin de semana.

Los vientos de Tormenta Tropical se extienden hasta 160 millas (260
km) del centro.

La presion minima central estimada es de 999 mb (29.50 pulgadas)


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
Proxima advertencia completa a las 1100 AM AST.

$$

Pronosticador Cangialosi
Traduccion RVazquez




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Huracan Lorenzo Advertencia Numero 29 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL132019 Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 1100 AM AST domingo 29 de septiembre de 2019 ...INTERESES EN AZORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE LOREN


000
WTCA43 TJSJ 291521
TCPSP3

Huracan Lorenzo Advertencia Numero 29
Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL132019
Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
1100 AM AST domingo 29 de septiembre de 2019

...INTERESES EN AZORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE LORENZO...
...VIGILANCIAS PUDIERAN SER EMITIDAS PARA ESAS ISLAS TARDE EN EL
DIA DE HOY O ESTA NOCHE...


RESUMEN DE LAS 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMACION
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...25.9 N 44.4 O
ALREDEDOR DE 1315 MI...2115 KM AL SO DE LOS AZORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NNE O 15 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...938 MILIBARES...27.70 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
No hay vigilancias o avisos costeros en efecto.

Intereses en los Azores deben monitorear el progres de Lorenzo.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO
----------------------
A las 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), el centro del Huracan Lorenzo estaba
localizado cerca de la latitud 25.9 norte, longitud 44.4 oeste.
Lorenzo se esta moviendo hacia el norte-noreste a cerca de 10 mph
(17 km/h) y se espera que este movimiento continue hasta esta noche.
Un giro hacia el noreste, en conjunto con un aumento en su velicidad
de traslacion deben ocurrir el lunes y continuar hasta el miercoles.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 145 mph (260 km/h) con
rafagas mas fuertes. Lorenzo es un huracan categoria 4 en la escala
de vientos de huracan Saffir-Simpson. Se espera un debilitamiento
constante durante los proximos dias, pero se sigue esperando que
Lorenzo siga siendo un huracan potente para los proximos par de dias.

Lorenzo es un huracan grande, con vientos con fuerza de huracan
extendiendose hasta 80 millas (135 km) del centro y los vientos con
fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 275 millas (445 km)
del centro.

La presion central minima estimada es de 938 mb (27.70 pulgadas).


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: Se espera que Lorenzo produzca un total de acumulacion de
lluvia de 3 a 6 pulgadas sobre la mayoria del oeste de Azores y de 1
a 2 pulgadas sobre el centro de Azores el martes y miercoles. Esta
lluvia pudiera causar inundaciones repentinas que amenacen la vida
en el oeste de Azores.

RESACAS: Marejadas generada por Lorenzo se estan desplazando a
traves de la mayoria de la cuenca del Atlantico. Estas marejadas son
muy probables que caucen condiciones de resacas y corrientes marinas
que amenacen la vida. Favor de consultar los productos de su oficina
local de meteorologia.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
Proxima advertencia completa a las 500 PM AST.

$$

Pronosticador Latto
Traduccion FRamos




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Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Advisory Number 4


000
WTPZ32 KNHC 161752
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172019
100 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...DISTURBANCE NOW UNLIKELY TO BRING TROPICAL-STORM CONDITIONS TO
THE COAST OF MEXICO...
...RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 96.6W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM WNW OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM N OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
for the coast of southeastern Mexico.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches of warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
16.6 North, longitude 96.6 West. The system is moving toward the
northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight. On this track, the disturbance is
expected to move farther inland over southeastern Mexico during the
next several hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
While the chances that the disturbance will become a tropical
cyclone are decreasing, there is still a small chance that a
tropical depression could develop if the center can re-form along
the coast later today or tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches along the southwest coast of Mexico
from Chiapas to Jalisco, and 2 to 4 inches over southern Guatemala.
Isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible in Mexico.
Rainfall in both Guatemala and Mexico could produce life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: A few wind gusts to tropical-storm force may occur along
portions of the coast of southeastern Mexico today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Please refer to forecasts and warnings from
the Meteorological Service of Mexico for more information on the
ongoing rainfall threat.

$$
Forecaster Beven




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​Official opening of the HP-NTU Digital Manufacturing Corporate Lab

Manufacturing companies will get more help in adopting digital technology with the HP-NTU Digital Manufacturing Corporate Lab officially opened at NTU. The facility, created through a collaboration between NTU and global technology giant HP, showcases digital manufacturing technologies that can make manufacturing and supply chain operations more efficient, cost-effective and sustainable....




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Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E Special ICAO Advisory Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191016/1800Z TCAC: KNHC TC: SEVENTEEN-E NR: 004 PSN: N1636 W09636 MOV: NW 12K

 
 000
 FKPZ22 KNHC 161752
 TCAPZ2
 
 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E
 SPECIAL ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER   4
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172019
 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019
 
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191016/1800Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       SEVENTEEN-E
 NR:                       004
 PSN:                      N1636 W09636
 MOV:                      NW 12KT
 C:                        1007HPA
 MAX WIND:                 025KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           16/2100Z N1657 W09706
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      025KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          17/0300Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     ///KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          17/0900Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     ///KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          17/1500Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     ///KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
 
 ..
 
 




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Ciclon post-tropical Nestor Advertencia Numero 10 SNM Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL162019 Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 500 PM CDT sabado 19 de octubre de 2019 ...CICLON POST-Tropical NESTOR SOBRE TIERRA EN L


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 192059
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
Ciclon post-tropical Nestor Advertencia Numero 10
SNM Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL162019
Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
500 PM CDT sabado 19 de octubre de 2019

...CICLON POST-TROPICAL NESTOR SOBRE TIERRA EN LA PENINSULA DE LA
FLORIDA...
...ESTA ES LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA...


RESUMEN DE LAS 500 PM CDT...2100 UTC... INFORMACION
-----------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...30.4 N 84.1 O
CERCA DE 70 MI...115 KM NE DE APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
CERCA DE 10 MI...20 KM E DE TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NE O 55 GRADOS A 23 MPH...37 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:

El Aviso de Tormenta Tropical ha sido descontinuado para las
costas golfo, Florida.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

No existen avisos ni vigilancias tropicales.

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO
----------------------

A las 500 PM CDT (2100 UTC), imagenes satelitales, data del Radar
Doppler de la NOAA y observaciones de superficies indicaron que el
centro del ciclon post-tropical Nestor estaba localizado cerca de la
latitud 30.4 norte, longitud 84.6 oeste. El ciclon post-tropical se
esta moviendo hacia el noreste cerca de 23 mph (37 km/h), y este
movimiento se espera que continue esta domingo en la noche. En el
pronostico de trayectoria, el ciclon post-tropical Nestor se movera
sobre tierra sobre el Panhandle de la Florida esta tarde y el
domingo. se espera que el cilon se mueva fuera de la costa a
Carolina del Norte al oeste de aguas del Atlantico tarde el domingo.

Los vientos maximos sostenidosestan han disminuido a cerca de 40 mph
(65 km) con rafagas mas altas. Se anticipa un poco de cambio en la
intensidad posible el domingo en la noche y el lunes cuando el
ciclon post-tropical se mueva sobre el oeste del Atlantico.

La presion minima central estimada por observaciones en la
superficie es de 999 mb (29.50 pulgadas).


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------

LLUVIA: Se espera que el ciclon post-tropical Nestor produzca lluvia
adiconal de hasta 1 a 3 pulgadas este fin de semana a traves de
sectores del sureste de los Estados Unidos.

VIENTOS: Vientos de fuerza galerna se desarrollaran a traves de
sectores de las costas del Atlantico y sureste de los Estados unidos
mas tarde hoy y esta noche.

TORNADOS: Algunos tornados son posibles durante mitad del dia en la
Peninsula norte y central de Florida y tarde hoy y esta noche sobre
areas costeras de Georgia y las Carolinas.


MAREJADA CICLONICA: Los niveles de marejada ciclonica continuaran
disminuyendo durante esta noche a lo largo de la costa del Golfo de
la Florida.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
------------------- Esta es la ultima advertencia emitida por el
Centro nacional de Huracanes sobre Nestor. Informacion adicional
sobre este sistema puede ser encontrada en High Seas Forecasts
emitido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia... bajo AWIPS
encabezado NFDHSFAT1 y WMO encabezado FZNT01 KWBC.
$$

Pronosticador Stewart
Traduccion Ingles




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Oil Downturn Looks A Bit Like 2008 Financial Meltdown

Oil and gas industry-focused cloud software firm exec observes similarities and differences between two historic episodes.




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Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga Advertencia Numero 3 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL172019 Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 1000 PM CDT viernes 25 de 2019 ...OLGA SE CONVIERTE POS-Tropical... ...SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA LLU


000
WTCA42 TJSJ 260313 RRA
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga Advertencia Numero 3
Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL172019
Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
1000 PM CDT viernes 25 de 2019

...OLGA SE CONVIERTE POS-TROPICAL...
...SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA LLUVIA FUERTE Y CONDICIONES SEVERIAS A
TRAVES DE LA COSTA CENTRO DEL GOLFO Y EL LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALEY
EL SABADO...


RESUMEN DE LAS 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION....27.8 NORTE 92.2 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 170 MI...275 KM AL SSE DE LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NE O 40 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS


RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:
------------------------------------------
No hay vigilancias o aviso costeros de ciclon tropical
en efecto.

Favor referirse a Pronosticos de Alto Oleaje emitidos por el
Servicio Nacional y los productos emitidos por el Servicio
Nacional de Meteorologa para informacion sobre vigilancias y
avisos no-tropical asociados a este sistema.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO
-----------------------
A las 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), el centro de Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga
estaba localizada en la latitud 27.8 norte, longitud 92.2 oeste. La
pos-tropical ciclon esta moviendose hacia el noreste a cerca de 17
mph (28 km/h) Se pronostica que Olga se mueva rapidamente hacia el
norte a norte-noreste el sabado y despues girarse hacia el noreste
tarde el sabado o doming. En la trayectoria pronosticada, el centro
del ciclon pos-tropical debe moverse a traves del Mississippi Valley
manana y hacis los Great Lakes mas tarde el fin de semana.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph (85 km/h) con
rafagas mas fuertes. Se espera que Olga se debilite despues que el
sistema se mueva sobre tierra el sabado por la manana.

Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 140
millas (220 km) del centro.

La presion minima central estimada basado sobre los datos anteriores
reportado por el Avion Cazahuracan y observaciones de la superficie
sobre el norte del Golfo de Mexico es de 999 mb (29.50 pulgadas).


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO: Vientos con fuerza de galerna asociado con Olga y sus remenantes
deben extenderse sobre sectores de la costa norte del Golfo esta noche y
sabado.

LLUVIA: El ciclon pos-tropical, y lluvia frente al sistema a lo
largo y al norte de la zona frontal a traves de la costa del Golfo
Central deben producir acumulaciones totales de lluvia de 3 a 6
pulgadas con totales maximos de 8 pulgadas a traves de la costa del
Golfo Central hasta sectores del Lower Mississippi Valley y el oeste
del Tennessee Valley hasta el sabado en la manana. Estas lluvias
pudieran producir inundaciones repentinas a traves de la costa del
Golfo Central hacia Lower Mississippi Valley y y el oeste del
Tennessee Valley.

INUNDACIONES COSTERAS: Mareas sobre lo normal e inundaciones costeras
asociadas son posibles a traves de sectores de la costa norte del
Golfo. Favor ver los productos emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia local para mayor informacion.

TORNADOS: Tornados aislados son posible esta noche hasta el sabado
por la manana a traves de sectores del sureste de Louisiana, sur de
Mississippi, y el oeste de Alabama.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
Este es la ultima advertencia publico emitado por el Servicio
Nacional Huracanes sobre este sistema. Para mas informacion
adicional sobre este sistema se puede ser encontrados en los
pronosticos de alta mar emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia, debajo del encabezado NFDHSFAT1 de AWIPS, encabezado
FZNT01 KWBC, y en la web a ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Informacion adicional sobre lluvias fuertes y vientos en rafgas
pudiera ser encontrados en los productos de los resumens de
tormentas emitidos por el Centro de Prediccion de Meteorologia en
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc3.html

$$

Pronosticador Zelinsky
Traduccion JPena




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Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Discussion Number 4


000
WTPZ42 KNHC 161752
TCDEP2

Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172019
100 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019

Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that the
disturbance has become less organized, and there is no sign of a
new center forming offshore at this time. So, while there is still
a small chance that the system could form into a tropical cyclone,
the system no longer poses a threat of bringing tropical-storm
conditions to the coast of Mexico, and this special advisory is
being issued to discontinue the tropical storm watch for the coast
of Mexico. The disturbance should continue to interact with the
mountains of southern Mexico during the next day or so, which should
most likely cause its dissipation after 12 h.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center
on this system unless the threat of tropical storm conditions
increases along the coast of Mexico. However, the heavy rainfall
threat, as well as the potential for flash flooding and mudslides
in southern Mexico, should continue for the next day or two.
Please refer to forecasts and warnings from the Meteorological
Service of Mexico for more information on this ongoing threat.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 16/1800Z 16.6N 96.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 17/0000Z 17.3N 97.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
24H 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven




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Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E Special Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019 AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITU

 
 000
 FOPZ12 KNHC 161752
 PWSEP2
                                                                     
 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E                              
 SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4                         
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172019               
 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E WAS   
 LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM 
 SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                     
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
 




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How teachers use social media in the classroom to beef up instruction

Classroom management gets social with sites like Twitter, Facebook and Pinterest helping teachers and students communicate and share knowledge.



  • Research & Innovations

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Does your communication style depend on the social media site you're on?

How you use Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn and other social media sites may change depending on the format — and who you're talking to.




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Vaccination decisions strongly influenced by social networks

A new study finds that the decision to vaccinate a child is as much social and cultural as it is science-based.



  • Babies & Pregnancy

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Fact: Social media is good for business

Survey data reveals that 90% of customers would recommend a brand after a positive social media interaction.



  • Sustainable Business Practices

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School pays service to monitor students' social media accounts

Will social media monitoring protect kids online or is it just plain spying?



  • Protection & Safety

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Sarah Palin: Raising a special needs child

How we as a community can help to support the parents and celebrate the beauty of special needs children.




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New York's Tappan Zee Bridge to live on as artificial reef

The Tappan Zee Bridge over the Hudson River will at long last sleep with the fishes, thanks to the largest expansion of artificial reefs in N.Y. history.




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The USDA is embarrassingly under beef's power, and other evidence special interest groups have influence over our government

Looks like the USDA forgot its 'A' stands for all agriculture and not just beef this week, and Monsanto might have more power than the federal court system. It'




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Greenland's ice slips away as 'superglacial' lakes drain to the sea

As the Arctic warms, meltwater lakes on the Greenland ice sheet are draining to sea more frequently — potentially lubricating the slide of the ice sheet into



  • Wilderness & Resources

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Alicia Silverstone welcomes baby boy

Actress names new addition Bear Blu Jarecki. Alicia Silverstone has become the latest mother in the current Hollywood baby boom, giving birth to a baby boy on M



  • Arts & Culture

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Alicia Silverstone baby-feeding video goes viral

Actress comes under fire after she reveals that she chews her toddler's food before feeding it to him.



  • Babies & Pregnancy

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Alicia Silverstone seeks vegan pregnancy input for next book

Actress and healthy living author is sourcing stories from other mothers for her new book "The Kind Mama."




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Alicia Silverstone launches vegan breastmilk co-op

Silverstone hopes to connect vegan moms who have extra breastmilk to share with others in need.



  • Babies & Pregnancy

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Pregnant women, infants shouldn't drink raw milk, pediatricians say

Pregnant women, infants and children who drink raw milk are at particularly high risk of developing serious, life-threatening illnesses.



  • Babies & Pregnancy

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8 reasons to appreciate nutrition-packed strawberries

Strawberry nutrition facts. You probably know these berries pack a vitamin C wallop, but there's a wealth of other good stuff inside including fiber, manganese,




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Norwegian politicians propose housing refugees on remote Arctic archipelago

Could an influx of Syrian asylum seekers upset Svalbard's human to polar bear ratio?



  • Wilderness & Resources

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Babies prefer to interact with pro-social individuals

Babies are oriented towards pro-social individuals. They prefer interacting with a pro-social individual over an anti-social individual.



  • Babies & Pregnancy

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Politicians: Want to get elected? Using swear words could help

A recent study featuring blog posts from fictitious Italian politicians found the use of swear words made candidates sound more relatable.




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Behind-the-scenes of Nissan's polar bear commercial

Automaker pulls back the curtain to reveal the magic behind its latest ad for the all-electric Leaf.



  • Arts & Culture

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Nissan Leaf, Chipotle make AdWeek's list of best commercials

AdWeek ranks its top 10 favorites for 2011, including Chipotle's sustainable food initiative and Nissan Leaf's all-electric world.



  • Arts & Culture

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Use the power of pineapple for a homemade facial scrub

This homemade facial scrub with pineapple and sugar is an anti-inflammatory beauty option with anti-aging properties.



  • Natural Beauty & Fashion

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Australian wildlife officials air-drop carrots, sweet potatoes to help struggling wallabies

The Australian government uses helicopters to drop thousands of pounds of carrots and sweet potatoes to hungry animals in areas affected by the bushfires.




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Was Discovery 'too soon' on disaster special promo?

'Anatomy of a Disaster' announced only hours after disaster hits Japan.



  • Arts & Culture

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Politician apologizes for saying bike riders pollute the environment

Cyclists have "increased heart rate and respiration," resulting in more CO2 emissions, said state Rep. Ed Orcutt.




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Winter gardens require special knowledge

Potters Fields in England is a perfect example of how to use design elements to make the landscape shine in the colder months.



  • Organic Farming & Gardening

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Why saving this Texas golf course is so crucial

Austin's Lions Municipal Golf Course is one of 10 at-risk sites featured in a new report from The Cultural Landscape Foundation.



  • Arts & Culture

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Hawaiian lawmaker wants physicians to prescribe housing to homeless patients

Is a bill that treats homelessness as a medical condition flawed? Or is it just what the doctor ordered?




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Lubanzi, a wine label with a social conscience

Some of the proceeds from Lubanzi wines, which are imported South Africa, goes to help the vineyard workers and their families.



  • Sustainable Business Practices

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What are natural flavors vs. artificial flavors?

Are natural flavors better and safer than artificial flavors? The answer may surprise you. Here's everything you need to know about flavor engineering.




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Why asteroid mining is a smart financial move

Science fiction dreams of mining riches from asteroids only make sense if humans can make it worth their time and effort. The new Planetary Resources group back




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10 elements crucial to modern life that you've probably never heard of

Buried deep in your cellphone, laptop, and flat-screen television are a bevy of obscure elements that make our modern lives possible.



  • Wilderness & Resources

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This solar-powered Dutch poultry farm specializes in 'carbon-neutral' eggs

Eco-conscious Dutch poultry company Kipster wants to revolutionize the egg industry.



  • Organic Farming & Gardening

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Oil spill continues to haunt politicians

Hindsight is 20/20 and there will be a lot of 20/20 analysis as the oil spill commission continues to drop bombshells from the behind-the-scenes reports of what




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Green job of the week: YouthBuild green building specialist

The Eagle Ridge Institute is searching for a green building specialist as part of the AmeriCorps VISTA YouthBuild USA program.




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These shelter pup moms are all dressed up, waiting for that special visitor

Mother's Day may be the perfect time for Duchess and Buttercup to find a family.




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World Cup barbecuing prompts Chilean officials to declare smog emergency

Chilean soccer fans are urged do the unthinkable and kindly step away from their grills due to worsening air quality levels in Santiago.




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Artificial photosynthesis achieved in device that also cleans the air

It's a breakthrough that scientists around the world have been pursuing for years.



  • Research & Innovations

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The Eastern cougar has officially been declared extinct

The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service declared the eastern cougar extinct after it not being seen for over 80 years.