oil prices

Cooking oil prices surge 13% in a month, no post-Diwali reprieve

Cooking oil prices in India rose significantly. Palm and sunflower oil prices increased. International prices surged due to production issues. India's demand for cooking oil remained high. The situation surprised the industry. FMCG companies faced pressure to increase prices.




oil prices

Oil Prices Recover After Israel Retaliates Against Hezbollah

Oil prices saw a partial recovery on Tuesday following Israel’s military response to Hezbollah’s recent attacks. The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have once again highlighted the region’s critical role in global energy markets, causing fluctuations in oil prices. The latest conflict began when Hezbollah launched a series of rocket attacks into northern Israel, prompting a swift and decisive retaliation from the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF). The IDF targeted key Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon, aiming to neutralize the threat and prevent further escalation. This exchange of hostilities has raised concerns about potential disruptions to oil supplies from the region, which is a significant factor in the global energy market. In response to these developments, Brent crude futures rose by 2.5%, settling at $82.30 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures increased by 2.7%, closing at $78.50 per barrel. Analysts attribute this rebound to fears of supply chain disruptions and the market’s sensitivity to geopolitical instability in the Middle East. Energy market experts have noted that while the immediate impact on oil production and supply routes remains limited, the situation underscores the vulnerability of global oil markets to regional conflicts. The Middle East accounts for a substantial...




oil prices

Oil Prices Change the Face of Geopolitics

The plunge in oil prices has had a significant effect on Russia, Iran and Venezuela, and is changing those countries' geopolitical calculus.




oil prices

Malawi: Tithawire Kuti? Malawians Struggling to Make Ends Meet Amid Soaring Cooking Oil Prices

[Nyasa Times] Malawians across the country are feeling the weight of soaring cooking oil prices, with many struggling to make ends meet as the cost of living continues to rise. Over the past month, the price of cooking oil has surged by an average of 12%, forcing consumers to dig deeper into their pockets to purchase essential household items.




oil prices

Global Cues, Low Oil Prices Subdue Indian Equities

Weak global cues, lower crude oil prices and political bickering over the government's demonetisation move pulled the Indian equity markets lower on Thursday.




oil prices

EIA expects oil prices to increase despite concerns over economic growth and petroleum demand

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects that Brent crude oil prices will return to above $80 per barrel this month, after dipping to $73 per barrel on September 6. In its September Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA forecasts that the Brent crude oil spot price will average $82 per barrel in the fourth quarter of the year.




oil prices

India says oil prices would have rocketed without its Russian imports

India, the world's third largest oil importer and consumer, has become the top buyer of discounted Russian sea-borne oil shunned by Western countries since Ukraine's invasion began in early 2022




oil prices

Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts [electronic journal].




oil prices

Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Interest Rates [electronic journal].




oil prices

Does Drawing Down the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve Help Stabilize Oil Prices? [electronic journal].




oil prices

Global oil prices should hopefully come down, says Oil Minister Puri

One thing that is very clear is there is no shortage of oil in the world, said Puri




oil prices

Oil prices likely to fall after Israel shows restraint in strikes on Iran

Scores of Israeli jets completed three waves of strikes before dawn on Saturday against missile factories and other sites near Tehran and in western Iran, in the latest exchange in the escalating conflict between the Middle East rivals




oil prices

Copra shortage lifts coconut oil prices to over ₹200 a kg

Inadequate supply in growing regions and demand for coconut as an alternative in many industries have lifted prices, say traders




oil prices

Rupee drops to lowest value ever against U.S. dollar due to equity outflows, oil prices

The currency's decline past the 84 handle is significant as the RBI had been defending that level.




oil prices

Rupee tumbles 14 paise to close at 83.96 against the US dollar as crude oil prices surge

Rupee weighed down by strong dollar, outflow of foreign funds




oil prices

What India should do when oil prices have crashed

With crude price low, the govt should think of moving completely to DBT for food, fertiliser and power.




oil prices

Will Lower Oil Prices Dampen the Mining Industry’s Appetite for Renewables?

For many mining companies, the rallying cry for investigating solar or wind energy options has been that the price of oil and other conventional fuels is too high — and will almost certainly rise over time. Now, though, with oil prices having taken a dramatic nosedive, this argument no longer packs quite the same punch that it once did.




oil prices

Global Cues, Low Oil Prices Subdue Indian Equities

Weak global cues, lower crude oil prices and political bickering over the government's demonetisation move pulled the Indian equity markets lower on Thursday.




oil prices

Low oil prices and monetary easing triggering modest acceleration of global recovery

Low oil prices and monetary easing are boosting growth in the world’s major economies, but the near-term pace of expansion remains modest, withabnormally low inflation and interest rates pointing to risks of financial instability, according to the OECD’s latest Interim Economic Assessment.





oil prices

Libya's turmoil brings big questions for American oil prices

New problem in the Middle East is likely to raise old political arguments in Washington.




oil prices

As oil prices drop, will it be so easy to be green?

Now that oil is trading for half of what it was last summer, will investors want to put their money into alternative energy sources? We look at the data.




oil prices

Crude oil prices have dropped, so why is gasoline still so expensive?

If there's plenty of product on the market, gas prices should be falling. Here's some reasons why they aren't.




oil prices

In oil-producing countries, low oil prices can be a boost to renewable energy

Do the math: If you're making less money on exports, you need to export more and use less oil close to home.




oil prices

Plunging oil prices, coronavirus fuel budget crisis in petroleum-rich Alaska




oil prices

Oil prices hit highest level in years

Oil prices hit highest level in years





oil prices

Trump slams Opec as crude oil prices near $80 a barrel

Trump slams Opec as crude oil prices near $80 a barrel





oil prices

How will the sudden plunge in US oil prices impact India: WTI crash explained

How will the sudden plunge in US oil prices impact India: WTI crash explained





oil prices

Don’t expect oil prices to go beyond $30 this year: Manish Singh

Don’t expect oil prices to go beyond $30 this year: Manish Singh





oil prices

Crude oil prices rise on Saudi crude price increase, China export bounce

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $1.78, or 7.4 per cent, to $25.77, on track for its highest close since April 6 and up more than 30 per cent this week.




oil prices

Worries About Crude Oil Prices May Weigh On Wall Street

The major U.S. index futures are currently pointing to a sharply lower open on Tuesday, with stocks likely to extend the pullback seen in the previous session.




oil prices

Oil prices; Russian insights; Robert Hope and Australian intelligence

In the last few years, the renewable industry has been going from strength to strength. However 2020 might see that end. So what needs to be done to sustain the industry and protect Australia's electricity prices from the whims of the oil controllers?




oil prices

“It’s like a doomsday scenario” as oil prices drop below zero for the first time ever

Analysts and industry officials were searching for new adjectives Monday to describe the cataclysmic fall of oil prices into sub-zero territory for the first time ever, prompting analysts to predict the idling of wells and bankruptcies.





oil prices

Webinar: OPEC, Falling Oil Prices and COVID-19

Corporate Members Event Webinar

7 April 2020 - 1:00pm to 2:00pm

Online

Event participants

Julian Lee, Oil Strategist, Bloomberg LP London
Dr John Sfakianakis, Associate Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House; Chief Economist and Head of Research, Gulf Research Center
Professor Paul Stevens, Distinguished Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources Programme, Chatham House
Emily Stromquist, Director, Castlereagh Associates
Chair: Dr Sanam Vakil, Deputy Director and Senior Research Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House

In early March, global oil prices fell sharply, hitting lows of under $30 a barrel. Two factors explain this collapse: firstly the decrease in global demand for oil as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and, secondly, the breakdown in OPEC-Russian relations and the subsequent Saudi-Russian price war which has seen both countries move to flood the market with cheap oil.
 
Against this backdrop, the panellists will reflect on the challenges currently facing OPEC as well as the oil industry as a whole. How are OPEC countries affected by the ever-evolving Covid-19 pandemic? What are the underlying causes behind the Saudi-Russian price war? Is the conflict likely to be resolved soon? And what are the implications of these challenges for the oil industry?

This event is part of a fortnightly series of 'Business in Focus' webinars reflecting on the impact of COVID-19 on areas of particular professional interest for our corporate members and giving circles.

Not a corporate member? Find out more.




oil prices

Webinar: OPEC, Falling Oil Prices and COVID-19

Corporate Members Event Webinar

7 April 2020 - 1:00pm to 2:00pm

Online

Event participants

Julian Lee, Oil Strategist, Bloomberg LP London
Dr John Sfakianakis, Associate Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House; Chief Economist and Head of Research, Gulf Research Center
Professor Paul Stevens, Distinguished Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources Programme, Chatham House
Emily Stromquist, Director, Castlereagh Associates
Chair: Dr Sanam Vakil, Deputy Director and Senior Research Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House

In early March, global oil prices fell sharply, hitting lows of under $30 a barrel. Two factors explain this collapse: firstly the decrease in global demand for oil as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and, secondly, the breakdown in OPEC-Russian relations and the subsequent Saudi-Russian price war which has seen both countries move to flood the market with cheap oil.
 
Against this backdrop, the panellists will reflect on the challenges currently facing OPEC as well as the oil industry as a whole. How are OPEC countries affected by the ever-evolving Covid-19 pandemic? What are the underlying causes behind the Saudi-Russian price war? Is the conflict likely to be resolved soon? And what are the implications of these challenges for the oil industry?

This event is part of a fortnightly series of 'Business in Focus' webinars reflecting on the impact of COVID-19 on areas of particular professional interest for our corporate members and giving circles.

Not a corporate member? Find out more.




oil prices

Webinar: OPEC, Falling Oil Prices and COVID-19

Corporate Members Event Webinar

7 April 2020 - 1:00pm to 2:00pm

Online

Event participants

Julian Lee, Oil Strategist, Bloomberg LP London
Dr John Sfakianakis, Associate Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House; Chief Economist and Head of Research, Gulf Research Center
Professor Paul Stevens, Distinguished Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources Programme, Chatham House
Emily Stromquist, Director, Castlereagh Associates
Chair: Dr Sanam Vakil, Deputy Director and Senior Research Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House

In early March, global oil prices fell sharply, hitting lows of under $30 a barrel. Two factors explain this collapse: firstly the decrease in global demand for oil as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and, secondly, the breakdown in OPEC-Russian relations and the subsequent Saudi-Russian price war which has seen both countries move to flood the market with cheap oil.
 
Against this backdrop, the panellists will reflect on the challenges currently facing OPEC as well as the oil industry as a whole. How are OPEC countries affected by the ever-evolving Covid-19 pandemic? What are the underlying causes behind the Saudi-Russian price war? Is the conflict likely to be resolved soon? And what are the implications of these challenges for the oil industry?

This event is part of a fortnightly series of 'Business in Focus' webinars reflecting on the impact of COVID-19 on areas of particular professional interest for our corporate members and giving circles.

Not a corporate member? Find out more.




oil prices

Deja Vu for OPEC as Oil Prices Tumble

1 December 2014

Professor Paul Stevens

Distinguished Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources Programme
OPEC is making the same fundamental mistakes it made during the 1980s oil price collapse.

20141201KuwaitOPEC.jpg

Traders follow the stock market activity at the Kuwait Stock Exchange on 30 November 2014. Gulf stocks plunged on their first trading day since OPEC decided to maintain oil output. Photo by Getty Images.

At the end of November amidst much speculation, OPEC kept its formal production level of 30 million barrels per day in what appears to be an oversupplied market. This controversial decision was taken because cutting production would cede market share to the growing production flooding out of the US. The immediate result was a significant fall in oil prices.

The 'official' logic behind the decision was twofold. First, it was contended that weak demand was temporary because of slow economic growth and would recover next year. Second, the argument went, lower prices would close high-cost production from the shale technology revolution. In other words, current prices were too low and the market, allowed to operate, would rectify this.  Many (rightly) saw this decision as a significant landmark in global oil markets. In effect, OPEC had ceded any semblance of control over the market and prices, instead launching the oil price onto a sea governed by market forces.

Those with knowledge of oil market history will see this as a very dangerous gamble based on two serious misconceptions. After the oil shocks of the 1970s, the market was in a similar position as now. Demand was falling and non-OPEC supply was rising. In response, to defend prices, OPEC (but effectively Saudi Arabia) cut production because the fall in demand was seen as temporary as a result of global recession and would shortly recover. It did not. Then when the oil price eventually collapsed in 1986, the OPEC view was that lower prices would quickly reverse as they would shut in high-cost production, specifically in the North Sea. These views in the 1980s were conceptual mistakes, still relevant today and likely to undermine OPEC’s current strategy. The mistakes are a failure to understand the difference between an income effect and a price effect on demand and the failure to understand the difference between a break-even price (what investors consider when deciding whether to invest in new producing capacity) and a shut-in price (what existing operators consider will cover variable costs and if not, will stop production from existing wells.).

While some of the fall in demand in the 1980s was because of the recession (an income effect), some was due to genuine demand destruction as the result of much higher prices (a price effect). Recession-induced lower demand reverses itself when the global economy recovers, but demand destruction is permanent. Today, part of the fall in oil demand is because oil prices have inexorably risen (from $32.40 in 2002 to $108.66 in constant 2013 dollars). Furthermore, many sources of recent oil demand growth, notably China and India, have been moving from subsidized domestic oil prices to higher border-based prices. OPEC’s expectations of quickly recovering demand may be optimistic as they were in the early 1980s.

OPEC is hoping lower break-even prices will reduce shale production.  Various estimates for the US shale break-even price have been bandied around (usually in the realm of $60-$80 per barrel). Most are far too high, because they ignore the fact that the recent boom in shale operations has grossly inflated project costs. If investment in new capacity slows, then project costs − and hence the break-even price − will fall.

However, in terms of OPEC’s current strategy, the break-even price is the wrong metric. What matters in the next few years is the shut-in price.  After the 1986 price collapse, a number of stripper wells in US (with high variable costs) did close, but the loss of production was minimal. North Sea production, which had been OPEC’s prime target, was hardly affected and actually increased in 1987. The current level of shut-in price for shale oil is again debatable, but almost certainly is well below $40 per barrel. Thus it will be some time before existing shale oil production falls, even if prices stay low.

Should the oil price fall towards variable costs, threatening shale supply, it will be the OPEC producers who must blink first. They will then try to take back control of the market, if they can.

To comment on this article, please contact Chatham House Feedback 




oil prices

Oil prices ease on renewed concern about a weaker economy

Crude oil prices fell Monday amid renewed concerns about potentially declining crude oil demand resulting from weaker economic outlook.




oil prices

Crude oil prices drop after API reported lower-than-expected draw

Oil prices fell early Wednesday, likely a result of lower-than-expected draws in an API with traders awaiting official EIA inventory data later in the day.




oil prices

Oil prices led lower by rising U.S. production, inventories

Oil prices fell early Thursday despite an OPEC report confirming a sizable cut due to bearishness related to rising United States production and inventories.




oil prices

Oil prices fall on rising U.S. rigs, fading Venezuelan risk

Oil prices fell Monday as the number of rigs in the United States saw a weekly rise, analysts said




oil prices

Crude oil prices rise amid renewed Venezuela concerns

Oil prices were higher early Tuesday amid renewed concern about Venezuelan supplies but market worries about China-U.S. trade issues prevented higher gains.




oil prices

Oil prices rise amid ongoing concern about Venezuela

Oil prices rose Wednesday amid expectations that Venezuelan oil shipments would see some disruption following U.S. sanctions.




oil prices

Crude oil prices rise early Friday amid supply concerns

Oil prices rose early Friday amid supply concerns following reports of smaller-than-expected stocks, and amid reduced expectation of interest rate hikes.




oil prices

Fin24.com | Oil prices roar back on US-Iran tensions

Oil prices made a spectacular comeback Thursday as fresh US-Iran tensions erupted, also helping equities advance after US labour market figures provided a glimmer of hope for the world's top economy.




oil prices

ONGC, OIL earnings to decline, credit metrics weaken due to lower oil prices: Moody’s

Oil prices in the international markets last month slumped to a two-decade low of USD 18 per barrel before rebounding by some measure.




oil prices

Dharmendra Pradhan hints at new gas policy, says low oil prices no answer

Pradhan did not elaborate on the policy reforms planned. The BJP-led government had in October 2014 evolved a new pricing formula using rates prevalent in gas surplus nations like the US, Canada and Russia to determine the price in a net importing country. Prices using this formula are calculated semi-annually.




oil prices

Crude oil prices: How low oil prices can impact your investments

Low oil prices will have a positive impact on glass manufacturing, transport, industrial power, plastics, lubricants, petrochemical, , FMCG, paint, rubber & tyre manufacturing companies




oil prices

Falling oil prices pose a challenge for Airbus, Boeing

Sharply falling oil prices are a boon to airlines, saving billions of dollars in monthly fuel bills...