esp Portland’s Ranked Choice Voting Was a Success (Despite What the Oregonian Claims) By www.portlandmercury.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 09:48:00 -0800 The newspaper asserts that Ranked Choice Voting "cratered" voter engagement. That's bullshit. by Wm. Steven Humphrey Starting in January 2025, Portland will have the most diverse, and politically balanced City Council in the history of our city. Full stop. The reason why we’re able to celebrate this indisputable fact is thanks to charter reform and ranked choice voting, which allowed citizens from every demographic and Portland neighborhood the opportunity to serve their city (and the rest of us to vote for them). But despite those two objectively correct statements, local media continues to platform the dishonest cynics who have been fighting charter reform and ranked choice voting from the beginning. The Oregonian, who loves writing intellectually dishonest headlines like this, really outdid themselves with this recent post-election article: Portland’s ranked-choice debut causes voter engagement to crater; 1 in 5 who cast ballots chose no one for City Council. Let’s break it down, shall we? Using the word “crater” to describe Portland’s voter engagement, and attempting to lay the blame on the doorstep of ranked choice voting, is not only an unethical choice, it’s factually incorrect. While overall voter turnout wasn’t what it was in 2020 (79%), Portland engagement still reached 74.5%—that’s still three-quarters of our total population. Does that sound like overall engagement “cratered” to you? And perhaps it’s true that one-out-of-five voters chose not to rank any candidates for City Council and mayor—though, as a reasonable person, I might wait until that number got a little bit higher before labeling it as “cratering.” And yes, it is absolutely correct that a historically large group of candidates ran for City Council this year, which probably stunned some voters who aren’t used to doing a lot of research. BUT! And let me say this loud and proud so everyone in the back can hear it: Having a lot of candidates who love their community and want to serve it is A VERY GOOD THING. (And it’s even better for democracy.) And while we can definitely do more as a city to make sure minority and low-income communities have the information they need in future races, according to the Oregonian’s own numbers, four out of five Portlanders successfully filled out their ballots without their brains exploding. So actually, I’d call that a big win. And that’s my problem with this poorly headlined article: The main thesis seems to be that just because one-in-five Portland voters chose not to cast votes in two races, this is somehow the fault of ranked choice voting. That’s bullshit. And here’s why: Let’s imagine ranked choice voting never existed, and Portlanders were still choosing just a single candidate for every office. Thanks to the general ineptitude of the current City Council—which inspired so many people to run against them—a huge number of candidates would’ve still been on that ballot. And if that had occurred, voters would have been confronted with the exact same conundrum. Oh, and if you do happen to dip into the O’s article, here’s a little media studies trick: While most news outlets claim objectivity as their guiding star, if you want to spot potential bias, head to the final paragraph of just about any article, and see who gets the last word. In the case of this Oregonian story, the last word was given to a failed conservative Council candidate, Bob Weinstein, who freely admits he was never in favor of charter reform in the first place, and issued this damning indictment of ranked choice voting: “It’s very anti-democratic, to me, to have a result like this.” I’m curious: Which of the following results is the most “anti-democratic”? Was it three-quarters of the population voting? Was it the large number of candidates who, after 100 years of being shut out of elections, were finally given a chance to fairly compete? Was it the actual result, which was getting (as mentioned before) the most diverse and politically balanced City Council we’ve had in the history of our city? Or was it “anti-democratic” simply because he lost? Unfortunately, we’ll probably be reading a lot more thoughtless headlines and hearing a lot more anti-Charter Reform language from Portland’s conservative business class. Frankly, the old system worked GREAT for them, giving the wealthy an outsized voice and control over policy in City Hall. And even though the new council will have conservative voices who will fight valiantly to ensure the rich continue getting richer, that’s not good enough for those who want absolute power. In short, if you like what conservatives did to Measure 110, keep an eye out on what they’re planning to do to Charter Reform. For the rest of us, there’s an old saying: “Progress, not perfection.” We’re sorry to break the hearts of the Oregonian headline writers and the bad actors who have dominated Portland politics for over a century, but new, vital forms of government—like any new plan or system that regular folks like you put into action every single day—will NEVER be perfect from the start, and need time and grace in order to operate at top proficiency. That said, if one-in-five voters refusing to choose a candidate in two races is the worst thing to happen in an election where we make sweeping changes for the very first time? I’d say democracy continues to be in pretty good shape. But that’s just my opinion—from deep in the “crater.” Full Article Opinion
esp Russia responds to NATO's call to continue Ukraine conflict By english.pravda.ru Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 16:32:00 +0300 US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said following a meeting with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte that the allies would continue helping Ukraine to prepare the country for the continuation of the conflict with Russia in 2025. The North Atlantic Alliance should adjust itself to "changes in Ukraine's needs" and the situation on the battlefield. The US Secretary of State made such statements amid reports about North Korean troops fighting Ukrainian forces on the front lines. Blinken also called on the allies to "respond harshly". NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, who supports the idea of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, calls for the continuation of the "bloody massacre," Maria Zakharova, an official representative for the Russian Foreign Ministry said, RIA Novosti reports. Full Article World
esp NJ Becomes First State to Have Statewide Law Enforcement & Mental Health Alternative Response Program in Nation By www.newswise.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 16:50:42 EST ARRIVE Together of Middlesex County, NJ, run by University Behavioral Health Care (UBHC) at Rutgers Health, has expanded its partnerships to include the East Brunswick, South River and Cranbury police departments, making New Jersey the first state in the nation to have a statewide law enforcement and mental health alternative response program. Full Article
esp NJ Becomes First State to Have Statewide Law Enforcement & Mental Health Alternative Response Program in Nation By www.newswise.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 16:50:42 EST ARRIVE Together of Middlesex County, NJ, run by University Behavioral Health Care (UBHC) at Rutgers Health, has expanded its partnerships to include the East Brunswick, South River and Cranbury police departments, making New Jersey the first state in the nation to have a statewide law enforcement and mental health alternative response program. Full Article
esp How Taurus and Aquarius Compatibility Can Thrive Despite Differences By entertainment.howstuffworks.com Published On :: Thu, 14 Nov 2024 05:30:03 -0500 Discover Taurus and Aquarius compatibility in love, friendship, and more. Uncover their unique strengths, challenges, and potential for a balanced relationship Full Article
esp "What is deceptive, especially in the West, is our assumption that repetitive and mindless jobs are..." By blog.kylemeyer.com Published On :: Wed, 12 Oct 2011 12:30:00 -0700 “What is deceptive, especially in the West, is our assumption that repetitive and mindless jobs are dehumanizing. On the other hand, the jobs that require us to use the abilities that are uniquely human, we assume to be humanizing. This is not necessarily true. The determining factor is not so much the nature of our jobs, but for whom they serve. ‘Burnout’ is a result of consuming yourself for something other than yourself. You could be burnt out for an abstract concept, ideal, or even nothing (predicament). You end up burning yourself as fuel for something or someone else. This is what feels dehumanizing. In repetitive physical jobs, you could burn out your body for something other than yourself. In creative jobs, you could burn out your soul. Either way, it would be dehumanizing. Completely mindless jobs and incessantly mindful jobs could both be harmful to us.” - Dsyke Suematsu from his white paper discussed at Why Ad People Burn Out. Full Article Dsyke Suematsu
esp Institutional Responses to Emergent Technologies - What JISC is Doing By www.ukoln.ac.uk Published On :: Wed, 23 Jul 2008 11:00:00 GMT Rob Bristow, JISC as Programme Manager for e-Administration gives a plenary talk on Institutional Responses to Emergent Technologies - What JISC is Doing. As users of all sorts become more familiar with new technologies (including both Web 2.0 type software tools and user-owned devices) and become used to, and expectant of, managing their own data through 'self-service' applications and systems, questions are asked of institutions as to how they will respond to these new demands. JISC has been investigating this area through strands within its e-Learning and Users and Innovation programmes which have been focussed in the main on the learners' and users' experience. JISC has recently funded a further series of projects that address the way that institutions are responding to these new challenges, looking at organisational policies, practice and strategies, as well as funding pilot projects that demonstrate actual institutional responses. This work is in its early stages but the scope of the responses to the call for projects and some of the early results of the landscape study will provide some interesting real life information about institutional responses from across the sector. This talk will describe the work that JISC is doing and relate it to the Institutional Web Manager world. Full Article
esp Gaming & Esports Lounge! (November 14, 2024 12:00pm) By events.umich.edu Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 00:00:24 -0500 Event Begins: Thursday, November 14, 2024 12:00pm Location: Intramural Sports Building Organized By: Maize Pages Student Organizations Recreational Sports, in partnership with Michigan Esports and Alienware, are hosting a drop-in gaming and esports lounge at the Intramural Sports Building from November 12th - 17th! The game lounge will be open at 11am daily for drop-in play for all students and recreational sports members, and will also feature competitive performances from the Michigan Esports team in the evenings! During the week, there will also be giveaways for participants, and lots of product demos for participants to test the latest and greatest gaming equipment! Stop by with some friends and play games together! Full Article Recreational / Games
esp New CO Alarm Response Policy for Ontario in Enbridge Gas Territory By www.achrnews.com Published On :: Mon, 03 Nov 2014 07:15:00 -0500 The Heating, Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Institute of Canada (HRAI) announced that it received a notice from Enbridge indicating a change to its carbon monoxide (CO) alarm response policy that will align Enbridge with industry-established best practices and will trigger the fastest response time possible. Full Article
esp OSCE-supported training course in Tashkent focuses on improving judicial responses to human trafficking By feeds.osce.org Published On :: Mon, 22 Jun 2015 10:12:33 +0000 TASHKENT, 22 June 2015 – A two-day training course on improving judicial responses to human trafficking, organized by the OSCE Project Co-ordinator in Uzbekistan, in co-operation with the Lawyers’ Training Centre under the Uzbek Justice Ministry, was launched today in Tashkent. Some 20 newly-appointed judges from all regions of Uzbekistan will discuss effective ways to use international and national legal tools in dealing with criminal cases on trafficking in human beings as well as relevant good judicial practices and challenges. “The training course is designed to help the judges to assess the implementation of the non-punishment principle for victims while handling the criminal cases,” said Ambassador Gyorgy Szabo, Project Co-ordinator in Uzbekistan. “This kind of training course serves as a platform for the exchange of experience and professional expertise related to Human Rights Protection.” Askar Gafurov, Director of the Lawyers’ Training Centre, said: “The training course is one of the commitments of Uzbekistan to improve the effectiveness of countering human trafficking and to develop a comprehensive victim-support system through expert advice and in service training activities.” The training course is part of the OSCE Project Co-ordinator’ s long-term project to assist Uzbekistan in combating trafficking in human beings.Related StoriesOSCE launches training seminar for Uzbek journalists on human traffickingOSCE-supported training course in Uzbekistan focuses on addressing and preventing human trafficking in the tourism sectorOSCE Project Co-ordinator lights up central Tashkent with 20 solar-powered street lamps Full Article OSCE Project Co-ordinator in Uzbekistan Combating human trafficking Central Asia Press release
esp Criminal justice responses to terrorism in focus at OSCE seminar in Tashkent By feeds.osce.org Published On :: Wed, 02 Dec 2015 09:49:38 +0000 TASHKENT, 2 December 2015 - Effective criminal justice responses to terrorism, based on the rule of law, were the focus of a two-day seminar organized by the OSCE Secretariat’s Action against Terrorism Unit, in co-operation with the OSCE Project Co-ordinator in Uzbekistan, which concluded today in Tashkent. The seminar gathered about 30 representatives of national agencies involved in counter-terrorism and focused on the Global Counterterrorism Forum’s (GCTF) Rabat Memorandum on Good Practices for Effective Counterterrorism Practice in the Criminal Justice Sector. Experts in the field of criminal justice presented good counter-terrorism practices developed in Bosnia and Herzegovina, Germany, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and the United States, as well as the work the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crimes (UNODC) is pursuing in this area. “This two-day seminar is a follow-up to an assessment visit by the United Nations Counter-Terrorism Committee Executive Directorate (UN CTED) in April this year, which the OSCE contributed to,” said the OSCE Project Co-ordinator in Uzbekistan Gyorgy Szabo in his opening remarks. “The seminar aims at promoting internationally recognized good practices that show how to balance rule of law concerns with effectively preventing and combating terrorism.” Among other topics, the participants discussed the effective co-ordination between domestic government agencies and the importance of international co-operation, particularly when being confronted with terrorism. The seminar also highlighted the need to ensure the protection of sensitive intelligence and law enforcement information in terrorism cases, as well as for adopting incentives for suspects to co-operate with state authorities in the investigation and prosecution of terrorism offenses. All OSCE participating States and Partners for Co-operation have committed to furthering international co-operative efforts in promoting effective and rule of law-based responses of their national criminal justice systems as part of a global strategy to counter terrorism.Related StoriesWinners of OSCE design contest challenge violent extremism with creative cartoons#LetsDoodle: challenging violent extremism with cartoonsOSCE organizes field study in sustainable energy for the OSCE Mediterranean Partner Countries. Full Article Secretariat OSCE Project Co-ordinator in Uzbekistan Combating terrorism Central Asia Press release
esp OSCE Presence helps Albanian police better respond to irregular migration By feeds.osce.org Published On :: Thu, 24 Mar 2016 15:17:46 +0000 Joana Karapataqi, OSCE Presence in Albania The OSCE Presence in Albania on 24 March 2016 launched a series of workshops for the Albanian border and migration police with the aim of raising their capacity to respond to the challenges of irregular migration, particularly in light of the increased migrant flows through the Western Balkans. The first of the workshops, which are being organized in close partnership with the Directorate of the Albanian State Police and the General Directorate of Border and Migration, took place in Korça, where 20 border and migration police were trained on measures to be taken to cope with the situation. The subjects were based on trends as identified by Frontex and EUROPOL, and included migrant routes, the pre-screening of migrants, profiling of possible terrorist fighters, and the detection of criminal offences. The workshop was conducted by experts from the Albanian Europol National Unit and the Albanian Border and Migration Police. The OSCE Presence, together with its Albanian partners, will organize similar workshops in the coming days with the border and migration police in Gjirokastra and in Shkodra. Related StoriesYoung people in Albania say NO to corruptionOSCE Chairperson-in-Office Steinmeier visits Albania, reiterates support for Albanian institutions and its citizensStudents launch exhibition against domestic violence as part of OSCE Presence in Albania campaign Full Article OSCE Presence in Albania Policing South-Eastern Europe News
esp Hurricanes’ Jaylin Alderman, O.J. Frederique Jr. impressive despite disappointing loss By www.orlandosentinel.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 18:54:59 +0000 The Hurricanes' defense struggled in their loss to Georgia Tech, but linebacker Jaylin Alderman and cornerback O.J. Frederique Jr. were two bright spots. Full Article College Sports Latest Headlines Sports Miami Hurricanes
esp Denver Public Schools adds new technology to improve communication during school crisis responses - Denver 7 Colorado News By news.google.com Published On :: Thu, 14 Nov 2024 03:53:39 GMT Denver Public Schools adds new technology to improve communication during school crisis responses Denver 7 Colorado News Full Article
esp Save over $50 on this Nespresso coffee machine and milk frother bundle By mashable.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 09:52:46 +0000 Save 30% on the Nespresso Vertuo Pop+ and milk frother at Amazon. Full Article
esp Stephen King responds to rumor that Elon Musk kicked him off X By mashable.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 13:05:51 +0000 Stephen King has posted on X to respond to the rumor that Elon Musk banned him. Full Article
esp Score up to 50% off espresso machines and craft your favorite drinks at home this winter By mashable.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 17:39:14 +0000 Espresso machines from De'Longhi, Nespresso, Cafe, and more are up to 50% off. Full Article
esp Premios Poder Femenino 2024: Yo Dona homenajea a siete mujeres excepcionales en una noche cargada de esperanza y entusiasmo By www.elmundo.es Published On :: Thu, 14 Nov 2024 02:47:48 +0100 En la Real Academia de Bellas Artes de San Fernando, una edición más de los premios Poder Femenino festejó el éxito de siete mujeres que, con su trabajo y ejemplo, contribuyen "al progreso de toda la humanidad". Leer Full Article Premios YoDona YoDona
esp Radu Lupu, un respeto By www.elmundo.es Published On :: 2015-03-22T09:09:00Z Cuesta trabajo ponerse a escribir para cuestionar a Radu Lupu. Cuesta hacerlo por la devoción al monstruo rumano. Y porque esa misma devoción proviene del perfeccionismo con que Lupu ha construido su carrera, abjurando de los adjetivos interpretativos para centrarse en los sustantivos, buscando una relación esencial con la música, encontrando una respuesta pura, significándose en la expresión y en la emoción sin concesiones al artificio, al mercado, al virtuosismo vacuo. Full Article
esp ¿Cuánto dinero debo cobrar al mes para ser clase media en España? By www.elmundo.es Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 11:29:28 +0100 No hay un consenso entre los expertos sobre el baremo Leer Full Article TresB Dinero
esp Economía y Unespa firman un acuerdo para agilizar la tramitación de expedientes de los afectados de la DANA By www.elmundo.es Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 17:36:45 +0100 El convenio busca proceder con más rapidez en la valoración de los siniestros y e el cobro de las indemnizaciones por parte de los asegurados Leer Full Article DANA economía Ayudas sociales Artículos EL MUNDO
esp Zapatos chinos y ropa casi española en Hebrón By www.elmundo.es Published On :: 2011-07-14T06:05:00Z Un recorrido por la bíblica ciudad de Hebrón proporciona sorpresas, contrastes, moda supuestamente española y mucho producto chino. Full Article
esp Latin Grammy 2024: horario, actuaciones, dónde ver en directo la gala desde España y nominados By www.elmundo.es Published On :: Thu, 14 Nov 2024 10:11:14 +0100 Karol G y Bad Bunny son los artistas que acumulan más nominaciones Leer Full Article DDA Grammy Latin Grammy música Música latina cultura
esp Notre Dame volverá a abrir al público el 8 de diciembre, cinco años después del incendio que la destruyó By www.elmundo.es Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 12:23:15 +0100 El 16 de diciembre volverá la vida ordinaria a uno de los emblemas de París, según el rector del templo parisino Leer Full Article París Notre Dame Incendios Francia cultura
esp España en Twitter By www.elmundo.es Published On :: 2018-07-16T05:53:00Z Mi querida Lorena Parker, conocedora de alguna de mis debilidades, me alertó el sábado del tuit que había colgado el Ministerio de Defensa para loar a su titular. Se trataba de un perfil hagiográfico de Margarita, está linda la mar, publicado en la Vanguardia: "Una amante de la vida sana en Defensa" y el Ministerio retuiteó el halago. En la foto se veía a una sonriente Robles regando dos plantas en la terraza del Ministerio. Full Article
esp La espiral de Podemos By www.elmundo.es Published On :: 2014-11-08T12:20:00Z Es la espiral del silencio: quien no forma parte de los círculos se calla, pero por dignidad. Full Article
esp De hinchas y jueces sin responsabilidad By www.elmundo.es Published On :: 2014-12-07T11:11:00Z La responsabilidad individual se diluye entre la cobardía de quien disfruta de "su estado de pupilo". Full Article
esp Neumáticos, Contaminación, Responsabilidad y Coste By www.elmundo.es Published On :: 2016-05-18T04:52:00Z La responsabilidad, de otros, la porquería, para nosotros. Full Article
esp Las hazañas españolas By www.elmundo.es Published On :: 2016-08-15T03:06:00Z España descubrió, y abandonó. Full Article
esp España se rinde y confía su recuperación al 'ladrillo' By www.elmundo.es Published On :: 2013-10-21T01:08:00Z A falta de una industria potente, España confía su reactivación económica a la inversión extranjera que viene a invertir en el sector inmobiliario Full Article
esp El último imposible de 'El Chino' Méndez después de 100 catástrofes: la búsqueda de Izan y Rubén By www.elmundo.es Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 22:55:59 +0100 A sus 78 años, todavía busca desaparecidos en tragedias. Lleva en el mono las banderas de los 41 países a los que ido a ayudar: estuvo en el 11-S, en el 'tsunami' de Indonesia y en los terremotos de Japón Leer Full Article DANA Artículos Ana María Ortiz
esp Se entrega una semana después de matar a su ex mujer en Pontevedra tras esconderse en el mismo pueblo del crimen By www.elmundo.es Published On :: Thu, 14 Nov 2024 10:07:55 +0100 Los investigadores sospechan que estuvo escondido en zonas de bosque. Él mismo explicó al llamar a la Guardia Civil que no podía soportar la presión de la búsqueda Leer Full Article Guardia Civil Pontevedra Portugal
esp Robles denuncia que Mazón tardó cinco horas en pedir el despliegue de la UME por todo Valencia y la Generalitat lo niega By www.elmundo.es Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 21:19:54 +0100 La ministra de Defensa asegura en el Senado que les movilizaron sólo para Utiel-Requena Leer Full Article Valencia DANA Margarita Robles Carlos Mazón Artículos Marina Pina Artículos Noa de la Torre
esp Artesanía para espantar turistas By www.elmundo.es Published On :: 2015-09-03T19:39:00Z Espero, sinceramente, es que si Obama viene a Cuba, no le muestren la nave en la que miles y miles de turistas se llevan una patética imagen de la creación artística cubana. Full Article
esp Gamers, el reality show de los eSports By www.elmundo.es Published On :: 2016-04-14T15:53:00Z MTV España emitirá, desde el próximo 28 de abril, el programa 'Gamers', un programa con formato reality show que mostrará la vida de los integrantes de G2 Vodafone, uno de los mejores equipos nacionales de League of Legends. Full Article
esp Vuelve Diablo, 20 años después By www.elmundo.es Published On :: 2016-11-04T23:03:00Z Blizzard celebra el 20 aniversario del lanzamiento de su mítico juego incluyendo la experiencia original en Diablo III. Esto y mucho más, desde la Blizzcon 2016. Full Article
esp Blinken promete más apoyo a Ucrania antes de que Trump sea investido y avisa a Corea del Norte: su entrada en la guerra "tendrá una respuesta firme" By www.elmundo.es Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 20:28:45 +0100 El secretario de Estados Unidos se reúne con Mark Rutte, y ambos inciden en que el conflicto se ha convertido ya en algo global que afecta "al teatro Euroatlántico, al Indo-Pacífico y a Oriente Próximo" Leer Full Article Artículos Daniel Viaña Guerra Ucrania Rusia Estados Unidos Especial Guerra de Ucrania
esp Tulsi Gabbard, que acusó a Ucrania y a EEUU de tener 30 laboratorios secretos para crear virus, dirigirá el espionaje estadounidense By www.elmundo.es Published On :: Thu, 14 Nov 2024 10:36:43 +0100 Esta simpatizante de Putin no tiene ninguna experiencia en Inteligencia Leer Full Article Estados Unidos Artículos Pablo Pardo
esp España, instrucciones de uso By www.elmundo.es Published On :: 2014-03-31T10:38:00Z con Víctor Moreno, el hombre de la cámara Full Article
esp Javier Habans, un campeón del mundo navarro de ajedrez con 16 años: "Lo tiene todo. Una memoria espectacular, imaginación..." By www.elmundo.es Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 22:01:08 +0100 El pupilo de Jesús de la Villa dispara las expectativas tras imponerse en el Mundial de Florianópolis, donde consiguió nueve puntos en 11 partidas. Leer Full Article deportes ajedrez
esp US Accuses China of Vast Cyber-Espionage Against Telecoms By finance.yahoo.com Published On :: 2024-11-14T07:50:49Z Full Article
esp Trump’s proposed tariffs, especially on China and Mexico, could hit California hard By www.capradio.org Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 16:14:00 GMT By Levi Sumagaysay, CalMatters Welcome to CalMatters, the only nonprofit newsroom devoted solely to covering issues that affect all Californians. Sign up for WhatMatters to receive the latest news and commentary on the most important issues in the Golden State. A range of experts, from Nobel Prize-winning economists to an internet-famous menswear writer, have a message for Americans who voted for Donald Trump based on his promises to bring down prices: This likely won’t go how you want. Some voters cited the cost of living as a factor in their decision to elect Trump to a second term as president. But with inflation actually starting to ease, his proposed tariffs, which the president-elect has called the “most beautiful word in the dictionary,” could actually raise prices again. While some experts don’t think more tariffs are a bad idea, the majority of economists and other experts who spoke with CalMatters echoed 23 Nobel laureates who warned that Trump’s policies would be worse for the economy than the ones proposed by Vice President Kamala Harris. Those economists wrote a letter last month calling Harris’ economic agenda “vastly superior” to Trump’s, and mentioned tariffs as one reason. “His policies, including high tariffs even on goods from our friends and allies and regressive tax cuts for corporations and individuals, will lead to higher prices, larger deficits, and greater inequality,” the economists wrote. Businesses that import goods into the country must pay the tariffs. They tend to pass on their increased costs to consumers, with some executives recently promising to do just that during their earnings calls. So economists largely view tariffs as a tax, especially on the lowest- and middle-income families in the nation. While tariffs could raise prices for all U.S. consumers, California could feel the brunt of the impact in part because of the countries Trump singled out during his campaign: China and Mexico. Those two countries accounted for 40% of the state’s imports in 2023. “The port and logistics complex in Southern California is a very important part of the economy, and directly tied to the countries he threatened,” said Stephen Levy, an economist and director of the Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy, an independent, private research organization in Silicon Valley. Trump imposed tariffs during his first presidential term, and President Joe Biden maintained some of them. During his campaign this time around, Trump said he intends to impose tariffs of 10% to 20% on all imports, and has mentioned even higher tariffs on goods from China (60%) and Mexico (100% to 200% on cars). Such tariffs could exacerbate California’s already high cost of living and raise the prices of cars, technology and electronic products, medical devices, groceries and more. Also, as the state saw during Trump’s first term — which included a trade war, with countries retaliating with their own tariffs on U.S. exports — California’s agricultural industry is likely to feel the effects. Trump’s proposed tariffs could also have an adverse effect on the state’s ports, which are among the nation’s busiest. And all of those outcomes could have a ripple effect on jobs in the state, including those in agriculture, trade and manufacturing. What the state’s ports expect Trade experts say it’s too early to tell how the state’s ports could be affected, though some of them also said they expect a near-term surge in activity as businesses brace themselves for tariffs by importing more goods now. “Long Beach and Los Angeles are two of the largest ports in the U.S.,” said Jonathan Aronson, a professor of communication and international relations at the University of Southern California, who studies trade and the international political economy. “Their traffic would presumably slow in both directions” if Trump imposes tariffs, Aronson said. Like other experts, though, he wondered if the president-elect is using the threat of tariffs as a negotiating tactic — say, to pressure Mexico into doing more to limit immigration into the United States. The most recent available data for the Port of Los Angeles, which is the busiest in North America and handles nearly 10% of all U.S. imports, shows that trade activity rose nearly 19% at the port in September from the same month a year ago. September imports totaled $27.9 billion, a 20% increase year over year. There’s a chance those numbers could head the opposite direction as a result of tariffs. “Significant increases in tariffs, and the possibility of retaliatory tariffs, could have a significant impact on traffic — and jobs — at the port,” said Phillip Sanfield, a spokesperson. “We’re monitoring developments closely.” The Port of Los Angeles says nearly 1 million California jobs are related to trade at that port. The Port of Long Beach handles about 3% of all U.S. imports and has about 575,000 Southern California jobs tied to trade. Chief Executive Mario Cordero said, through a spokesperson, that he is waiting to see what trade policies Trump actually will adopt: “At this point we expect that strong consumer demand will continue to drive cargo shipments upward in the near term.” The Port of Oakland, whose trade-related jobs at both the airport and seaport number about 98,000, also expects a traffic boost at first. Spokesperson Robert Bernardo: “As a West Coast seaport, our primary trading partner is Asia, and what’s happening right now is that retailers are expecting a short-term shipping surge in advance of new tariffs.” Mike Jacob is the president of the Pacific Merchant Shipping Association, a not-for-profit maritime trade association whose members facilitate trade. They include ocean carriers, marine terminal operators and more. Jacob, too, said he is expecting trade activity to pick up ahead of whatever tariffs Trump imposes: “Given the lack of understanding of the timing, scope and scale (of the tariffs), you’re more likely than not to move cargo earlier.” As a result of tariffs during Trump’s first term, Jacob said there was “a small bump in cargo back in 2019 that resulted in additional impacts on our logistics chain.” He said after that experience, which was then followed by pandemic-related chaos, the industry might be a little more prepared to deal with possible supply-chain disruptions. Possible effects on manufacturing The San Diego Regional Chamber of Commerce is worried about potential tariffs on goods from Mexico. Kenia Zamarripa, a spokesperson for the group, said the CaliBaja region — which includes San Diego and Imperial counties and the Mexican state of Baja California — is interconnected, with a multibillion-dollar supply chain. The region’s logistics facilitate 80% of the trade between California and Mexico, she said. The nation’s top imports from Mexico in September — worth at least $2 billion for each category — were petroleum and coal products, computer equipment and motor vehicle parts, according to the most recent statistics from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Bureau of Economic Analysis. Some specific products that are imported into the U.S. from Mexico through California include the Toyota Tacoma. The truck and its components are made in Baja California and elsewhere in Mexico. “Imagine taxing each component before it goes to Mexico and back,” Zamarripa said. She added that the region also leads in producing medical devices, and that the importance of that became apparent during the beginning of the pandemic when “a bunch of companies shut down, not knowing that a little metal piece they were producing was a vital part of a heart monitor, for example.” Mexico’s economy minister, Marcelo Ebrard, said this week that he would hit the U.S. with tariffs if Trump imposes tariffs, though President Claudia Sheinbaum has seemed more open to negotiations. Lance Hastings, chief executive of the California Manufacturers & Technology Association, said he’s well aware of the disruption tariffs can cause. When Trump put tariffs on aluminum and steel imports, aluminum prices rose at least 25%, Hastings said. “I was in the beer industry when it was put in, and we felt it,” he added. Hastings also said the anxiety around Trump’s proposed tariffs stem in part from the fact that “we’re still trying to get the supply chain back to normal” after the pandemic. Because “California is the gateway to Asia, the state would feel the impact of more tariffs first and more than everybody else,” he said. Made in the USA Yet there is a bit of optimism among those who think some tariffs could actually help California manufacturers. Sanjiv Malhotra, founder and CEO of Sparkz, a maker of lithium batteries, said tariffs could benefit his company and the rest of the domestic battery industry amid the increasing popularity of electric vehicles. Sparkz, which will get its materials from West Virginia and make batteries at a plant in Sacramento, “is all U.S.-sourced. Nothing is coming in from China,” Malhotra said. During his campaign, Trump indicated he would try to roll back emission-reduction rules and said he would oppose banning gas-powered vehicles. But Malhotra, who served in the U.S. Energy Department under the first Trump administration, said that as demand for lithium batteries grows, he believes Trump’s incoming administration will understand that they “need to be made here in the U.S. so we are not dependent on China for batteries.” Kate Gordon, CEO of California Forward, a nonprofit organization that focuses on the state’s economy, said that while it’s important to get back some of “what we’ve lost over the past couple of decades” — the nation once led in solar panels — it “needs to happen deliberately and with attention to where we’re really competitive.” “What would be terrible would be tariffs on things where we’re no longer competitive, like parts of the solar supply chain, which have been held by China for a long time,” she said. All that would do is drive up prices, Gordon said. Americans may say they want things to be made in the USA, but they also don’t want to pay higher prices for them, said Derek Guy, a menswear writer based in San Francisco who has covered the clothing industry for more than a decade. A few years ago, Guy wrote about American Apparel, under new ownership, offering U.S. consumers the option of paying a little bit more for clothing made here vs. similar pieces made overseas. “Even based on a few dollars, when someone wasn’t looking over (their) shoulder, people chose the foreign version,” Guy said. “A lot of manufacturing in the U.S. has long shifted toward the higher-end,” Guy said. “The kind of cheaper clothes we’re talking about (what most Americans buy) are made elsewhere.” Tariffs would raise those prices. The price of almonds California’s top agricultural exports include almonds, wine, dairy products, pistachios and other nuts. During Trump’s first term as China imposed retaliatory tariffs on the U.S., California exports of wine, walnuts, oranges and table grapes to China fell, according to the University of California Giannini Foundation of Agricultural Economics. In addition, almond prices sank, with the foundation’s researchers saying prices fell from $2.50 a pound to $1.40 a pound in 2018. That had a negative impact on an industry that generates $4 billion to $5 billion a year and employs about 110,000 people, according to the website of lobbying group Almond Alliance. Amanda Russell, a spokesperson for the Almond Alliance, said in an emailed statement: “In previous trade negotiations, President Trump demonstrated a commitment to supporting agriculture, and we are optimistic about continuing this partnership to address the challenges and opportunities facing our growers and stakeholders.” Besides tariffs, another likely action by Trump that could affect the state’s agriculture industry is mass deportations — a threat that has immigrants and advocates on edge. “I can’t see any benefit to California if he goes through with mass deportation,” said Levy, the economist in Silicon Valley. “Even the threat of deportation will affect the labor pool.” Full Article
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