dan

Recognizing women’s important role in Jordan’s COVID-19 response

Jordan’s quick response to the COVID-19 outbreak has made many Jordanians, including myself, feel safe and proud. The prime minister and his cabinet’s response has been commended globally, as the epicenter in the country has been identified and contained. But at the same time, such accolades have been focused on the males, erasing the important…

       




dan

The Low-Yield Nuclear Warhead: A Dangerous Weapon Based on Bad Strategic Thinking

In the unintuitive world of nuclear weapons strategy, it’s often difficult to identify which decisions can serve to decrease the risk of a devastating nuclear conflict and which might instead increase it. Such complexity stems from the very foundation of the field: Nuclear weapons are widely seen as bombs built never to be used. Historically, granular—even seemingly mundane—decisions about force structure, research efforts, or communicated strategy have confounded planners, sometimes causing the opposite of the intended effect.




dan

My rise as a refugee girl: Why I’m giving back to girls in South Sudan

Being born and growing up in Ibuga refugee camp in Western Uganda, I had never felt the sweetness of my home country nor even what it looked like. As a young girl, I thought the camp was my country, only to learn that it was not. Rather, when I was 8 years old, I learned…

       




dan

Can Sudan’s military be convinced to support democracy?

       




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Africa in the news: SACU-UK trade agreement, Nigeria’s border closures, and Sudan’s transitional government

Southern African Customs Union and Mozambique sign post-Brexit trade agreement with the United Kingdom On Tuesday, the United Kingdom signed an economic partnership agreement with six African countries, including the five-country Southern African Customs Union (SACU) and Mozambique, that would take effect after the U.K.’s official exit from the European Union. SACU includes Botswana, eSwatini,…

       




dan

Why Ethiopia, Egypt, and Sudan should ditch a rushed, Washington-brokered Nile Treaty

The ambitious Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) has been a point of contention among Ethiopia, Egypt, and Sudan in recent years. The GERD is now 70 percent complete and its reservoir expected to start being filled in the rainy season of 2020. The three countries, however, have not yet reached an agreement on the process…

       




dan

Africa in the news: Updates on Togo, Guinea-Bissau, South Sudan, and health challenges

Guinea-Bissau and TOGO election updates Leadership in Guinea-Bissau remains unclear as the results of the December 29 runoff presidential election are being challenged in the country’s supreme court. Late last month, the country’s National Election Commission declared former Prime Minister Umaro Sissoco Embalo of the Movement of Democratic Change the winner with about 54 percent…

       




dan

The Low-Yield Nuclear Warhead: A Dangerous Weapon Based on Bad Strategic Thinking

In the unintuitive world of nuclear weapons strategy, it’s often difficult to identify which decisions can serve to decrease the risk of a devastating nuclear conflict and which might instead increase it. Such complexity stems from the very foundation of the field: Nuclear weapons are widely seen as bombs built never to be used. Historically, granular—even seemingly mundane—decisions about force structure, research efforts, or communicated strategy have confounded planners, sometimes causing the opposite of the intended effect.




dan

The Low-Yield Nuclear Warhead: A Dangerous Weapon Based on Bad Strategic Thinking

In the unintuitive world of nuclear weapons strategy, it’s often difficult to identify which decisions can serve to decrease the risk of a devastating nuclear conflict and which might instead increase it. Such complexity stems from the very foundation of the field: Nuclear weapons are widely seen as bombs built never to be used. Historically, granular—even seemingly mundane—decisions about force structure, research efforts, or communicated strategy have confounded planners, sometimes causing the opposite of the intended effect.




dan

The Low-Yield Nuclear Warhead: A Dangerous Weapon Based on Bad Strategic Thinking

In the unintuitive world of nuclear weapons strategy, it’s often difficult to identify which decisions can serve to decrease the risk of a devastating nuclear conflict and which might instead increase it. Such complexity stems from the very foundation of the field: Nuclear weapons are widely seen as bombs built never to be used. Historically, granular—even seemingly mundane—decisions about force structure, research efforts, or communicated strategy have confounded planners, sometimes causing the opposite of the intended effect.




dan

The problem with militias in Somalia: Almost everyone wants them despite their dangers

Introduction Militia groups have historically been a defining feature of Somalia’s conflict landscape, especially since the ongoing civil war began three decades ago. Communities create or join such groups as a primary response to conditions of insecurity, vulnerability and contestation. Somali powerbrokers, subfederal authorities, the national Government and external interveners have all turned to armed…

       




dan

The problem with militias in Somalia: Almost everyone wants them despite their dangers

Introduction Militia groups have historically been a defining feature of Somalia’s conflict landscape, especially since the ongoing civil war began three decades ago. Communities create or join such groups as a primary response to conditions of insecurity, vulnerability and contestation. Somali powerbrokers, subfederal authorities, the national Government and external interveners have all turned to armed…

       




dan

Africa in the news: Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, COVID-19, and AfCFTA updates

Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan political updates Ethiopia-Eritrea relations continue to thaw, as on Sunday, May 3, Eritrean president Isaias Afwerki, Foreign Minister Osman Saleh, and Presidential Advisor Yemane Ghebreab, visited Ethiopia, where they were received by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. During the two-day diplomatic visit, the leaders discussed bilateral cooperation and regional issues affecting both states,…

       




dan

Ukraine: Six years after the Maidan

February 21 marks the sixth anniversary of the end of Ukraine’s Maidan Revolution. Three months of largely peaceful protests concluded in a spasm of deadly violence. President Victor Yanukovych fled Kyiv and later Ukraine, prompting the Rada (Ukraine’s parliament) to appoint acting leaders pending early elections. Today, Ukraine has made progress toward meeting the aspirations…

       




dan

Pakistan’s dangerous capitulation to the religious right on the coronavirus

Perform your ablutions at home. Bring your own prayer mats, place them six feet apart. Wear masks. Use the provided hand sanitizer. No handshakes or hugs allowed. No talking in the mosque. No one over 50 years old can enter. No children allowed. These guidelines are part of a list of 20 standard operating procedures that Pakistan’s…

       




dan

On December 10, 2019, Tanvi Madan discussed the policy implications of the Silk Road Diplomacy with AIDDATA in New Delhi, India.

On December 10, 2019, Tanvi Madan discussed the policy implications of the Silk Road Diplomacy with AIDDATA in New Delhi, India.

       




dan

Recognizing women’s important role in Jordan’s COVID-19 response

Jordan’s quick response to the COVID-19 outbreak has made many Jordanians, including myself, feel safe and proud. The prime minister and his cabinet’s response has been commended globally, as the epicenter in the country has been identified and contained. But at the same time, such accolades have been focused on the males, erasing the important…

       




dan

Donald Trump's plan to build a wall is really dangerous


The GOP presidential candidate said he would ban immigrants from sending money home to Mexico.

Donald Trump’s proposal to force Mexico to pay for a Wall guarding against the flux of immigrants into the U.S. made news this week, and rightfully so. Trump’s idea would be to curtail the ability of banks, credit unions, and wire transmission companies to send money abroad — a sharp departure from policy and law whose bipartisan aim has been to bring remittances to all countries into the financial mainstream and out from the shadowy illegal word of people moving cash in suitcases.

Encouraging remittances to go through the financial system benefits everyone: it enhances the ability to combat terrorist finance and money-laundering, it reduces crime in both the U.S. and abroad, it increases economic growth in the U.S. and overseas, and it provides for greater competition and market incentives to allow people to keep more of their hard-earned money to use as they see fit. Moving in the opposite direction would be a major mistake.

This is a big issue that affects a lot more people than one might think – more than just sending money to Mexico. In America today, more than 40 million people were born in other countries, a record number. This translates into just more than 1 in 8 Americans, a sharp increase from 1970 when fewer than 1 in 25 Americans were foreign born. Thus, it is not surprising that many people perceive America to have more foreign-born people than any time in their lifetime. However, that is not the case for the lifetime of America. Between the Civil War and the 1920s, America had as high — or higher — share of foreign born as we do today.

Remittances are not a new phenomenon. Most American families likely sent remittances at some point whenever their family first immigrated. My great-grand father sent money back to what is today the Czech Republic so that his wife and their children (including my grandmother) could come and join him and escape what became the Second World War. Today, remittance flows go toward the new generation of American immigrants and the children of those immigrants. More than $120 billion was sent abroad in 2012 according to the Pew Center and while it is true that Mexico received the largest amount at just under $23 billion, the rest of the top 5 countries may surprise you: China ($13 billion), India ($12 billion), Philippines ($10.5 billion), and Nigeria ($6 billion). And old habits remain as Germany ($2.5 billion) and France ($2 billion) are still among the top 15 countries that receive remittances from the United States.

This money comes in lots of small chunks, which can make sending it expensive. The typical new migrant worker sends money home around 14 times a year, which corresponds to once a month plus Mother’s Day and Christmas. These are usually small sums (less than $300) and represent an extraordinary level of savings given the worker’s income. The money goes through both the formal banking system including banks, credit unions, and wire transmitters who eventually use banks like Western Union and MoneyGram. Some goes through informal means, including “viajeros” who are people that literally carry cash in suitcases on planes that are often breaking the law and outside of the standard anti-money laundering and terrorist finance enforcement system. Why would anyone want to encourage that?

The idea of using this flow of funds to try to implement other policy objectives, such as border control, would be a sharp departure from current practice. The Patriot Act and subsequent federal law governing remittances in financial laws like the Dodd-Frank Act were never intended to be used to threaten to cut off the flow of migrant worker remittances. These laws were intended to track and crack down on the flow of money laundering or support for illegal and terrorist organizations while at the same time providing consumer protections to workers who are sending hard-earned cash back home to their parents, grandparents, and children. In fact, the bipartisan goal of policy concerning remittances has been to encourage the flow of money to come into the official system and to discourage the flow of funds through the underground network.

In 2004, then Federal Reserve Governor Ben Bernanke made clear that, “The Federal Reserve is attempting to support banks’ efforts to better serve immigrant populations, with remittances and other money transfers being a key area of interest.” House Financial Services Chairman Mike Oxley (R-OH) told President Bush’s then-Treasury Secretary John Snow, “Remittances between established and emerging economies foster growth in both types of economies simultaneously. I will be interested in hearing your views on how unnecessary costs can be eliminated in this area.” When Senator Paul S. Sarbanes (D-MD) introduced legislation that became the basis for today’s law that covers remittances, he had the simple goal to “increase transparency, competition and efficiency in the remittance market, while helping to bring more Americans into the financial mainstream.”

The longstanding bipartisan support for bringing remittances into the financial mainstream is based on the fact that most immigrants, regardless of whether they are U.S. citizens, legal residents, or undocumented, send remittances. A system that tried to assert proof of citizenship or legal status upon wiring money overseas would be burdensome, costly, and ineffective at best and if effective, it would simply drive more money into illegal transmission schemes while increasing crime here in the U.S. and abroad. Imagine if an entire community knew that someone would be walking through their immigrant neighborhood with a suitcase full of tens of thousands of dollars in cash.

Thought of another way, if I went to the bank to send money to my mother who lives in France part of the year, how would I prove that I’m a citizen? My driver’s license alone is not proof of legal status. Would I need to bring my passport? What if, like the majority of Americans, (62% according to the State Department) I don’t have a valid passport? Would I have to bring my birth certificate to the local Western Union? I guess the one positive thing from such a system is that it would help stop the email scams asking for money from a Nigerian Prince….

Aaron Klein is a fellow at the Brookings Institution and served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of the US Treasury Department from 2009 to 2012. He also serves as an unpaid member of the Clinton campaign’s Infrastructure Finance Working Group; he has not served as an advisor on any banking or finance issues.

Editor’s note: This piece originally appeared on Fortune.

Authors

Publication: Fortune
     
 
 




dan

Recognizing women’s important role in Jordan’s COVID-19 response

Jordan’s quick response to the COVID-19 outbreak has made many Jordanians, including myself, feel safe and proud. The prime minister and his cabinet’s response has been commended globally, as the epicenter in the country has been identified and contained. But at the same time, such accolades have been focused on the males, erasing the important…

       




dan

To fast or not to fast—that is the coronavirus question for Ramadan

       




dan

Pakistan’s dangerous capitulation to the religious right on the coronavirus

Perform your ablutions at home. Bring your own prayer mats, place them six feet apart. Wear masks. Use the provided hand sanitizer. No handshakes or hugs allowed. No talking in the mosque. No one over 50 years old can enter. No children allowed. These guidelines are part of a list of 20 standard operating procedures that Pakistan’s…

       




dan

Pakistan’s dangerous capitulation to the religious right on the coronavirus

Perform your ablutions at home. Bring your own prayer mats, place them six feet apart. Wear masks. Use the provided hand sanitizer. No handshakes or hugs allowed. No talking in the mosque. No one over 50 years old can enter. No children allowed. These guidelines are part of a list of 20 standard operating procedures that Pakistan’s…

       




dan

Recognizing women’s important role in Jordan’s COVID-19 response

Jordan’s quick response to the COVID-19 outbreak has made many Jordanians, including myself, feel safe and proud. The prime minister and his cabinet’s response has been commended globally, as the epicenter in the country has been identified and contained. But at the same time, such accolades have been focused on the males, erasing the important…

       




dan

Islamists on Islamism: An interview with Rabih Dandachli, former leader in Lebanon’s Gamaa al-Islamiyya

We continue here Brookings’s ongoing video interview series with Islamist leaders and activists, as part of our Rethinking Political Islam initiative. We asked each participant to discuss the state of his or her movement and reflect on lessons learned from the crises of the Arab Spring era, including the rise of ISIS, the Syrian civil […]

      
 
 




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Des services financiers mobiles en forte progression dans l'UEMOA


La monnaie électronique a émergé dans les pays de l'Union Economique et Monétaire Ouest Africaine, à la faveur de l'adoption, en 2006, d'une Instruction de la Banque Centrale, instaurant un cadre réglementaire souple et incitatif pour l’exercice de cette activité. L'implication des opérateurs de télécommunications dans l'offre de services financiers basés sur la téléphonie mobile a donné,  dès 2009, une nouvelle dimension à cette activité par l'accroissement du nombre des utilisateurs et des volumes de transactions.

Une activité en expansion

A fin septembre 2015, 22 millions de personnes, soit près d'un quart de la population de l'Union, ont souscrit à des services financiers via la téléphonie mobile. Environ 30% de ces abonnés réalisent au moins une opération sur une période de 90 jours.

Près de 500 millions de transactions ont été aussi réalisées au cours des neuf premiers mois de l'année 2015. La valeur cumulée des transactions atteint 5000 milliards de FCFA (8,5 milliards USD) à fin septembre 2015. De septembre 2013 à septembre 2014, cette valeur est passée de 1000 milliards à 2068 milliards de F CFA, soit une hausse de 107%.

Le réseau de distribution des services financiers via la téléphonie mobile suit également cette tendance haussière, en passant de 93 621 points de services en 2014 à plus de 132 658 points de services à fin septembre 2015.


Source: BCEAO

Le contexte socioéconomique de l'Union explique pour une large part, le succès des services de paiement via la téléphonie mobile. En effet, ce mode de prestation des services de transfert ou de paiement se révèle particulièrement adapté pour les personnes n'ayant pas accès au système bancaire classique, tout en offrant l'opportunité à des institutions non bancaires, en contrepartie de dépôt d'espèces, de mettre à la disposition des usagers une monnaie autre que fiduciaire, dont l'encours leur permet d'effectuer des transactions financières diverses.

L'implication croissante des opérateurs de télécommunications

Les partenariats entre les banques et les opérateurs de télécommunications occupent une place dominante sur le marché. En fin 2015, sur les 33 émetteurs de monnaie électronique sous licence, 25 appartenaient aux dits partenariats.

Au titre du modèle non bancaire, sept acteurs non bancaires ont été agréés pour émettre la monnaie électronique en qualité d'Etablissement de Monnaie Electronique (EME).[1]

Source: BCEAO

Un cadre réglementaire rénové

A la faveur de l'expansion des services financiers via la téléphonie mobile et de l'implication croissante des opérateurs de télécommunication, la Banque Centrale a rénové son cadre réglementaire afin de renforcer la sécurité et la qualité des services de paiement adossés à la monnaie électronique. Les principaux axes d'amélioration portent sur:

  • une responsabilisation accrue des émetteurs en clarifiant leurs rôles dans les partenariats avec des prestataires techniques. Ainsi, les activités de prestataire technique sont limitées, sous la responsabilité de l'émetteur, au traitement technique de la monnaie électronique ou à sa distribution. De même, les émetteurs demeurent responsables, de l’intégrité, de la fiabilité, de la sécurité, de la confidentialité et de la traçabilité des transactions réalisées par chacun de leurs distributeurs;

  • une stimulation de la concurrence par la transparence de la tarification avec l'obligation faite aux émetteurs de publier leurs tarifs;

  • la formulation d'exigences spécifiques en matière de gouvernance et de contrôles interne et externe pour les établissements de monnaie électronique, en exigeant l'honorabilité des dirigeants, le respect du secret professionnel et des audits réguliers des infrastructures;

  • une protection accrue des détenteurs de monnaie électronique avec d'une part, le cantonnement des fonds dans  des comptes dédiés, et l'exigence d'une équivalence continue entre l'encours de monnaie électronique et les soldes des comptes de cantonnement et d'autre part, l'obligation de la mise en place d'un mécanisme de recueil et de traitement des réclamations des porteurs de monnaie électronique;

  • le renforcement du dispositif de supervision, par la réduction des délais de reporting des activités des émetteurs à la Banque Centrale, et l'adoption de sanctions pour les infractions aux dispositions réglementaires.

L'offre de services financiers via la téléphonie mobile

L'offre de services financiers via la téléphonie mobile comprend trois catégories de services. Il s'agit des services qui impliquent l'usage des espèces (monnaie fiduciaire), de ceux qui sont effectués en monnaie électronique et des services dits de « deuxième génération ».

Le premier type de services concerne essentiellement les dépôts d'espèces ou rechargements de porte-monnaies électroniques, ainsi que les retraits. Ils représentent 24% des transactions effectuées par les utilisateurs. Les dépôts d'espèces sont prédominants et permettent aux clients d'approvisionner leurs comptes de monnaie électronique.

La monnaie électronique rechargée est utilisée à hauteur de 76%, prioritairement pour les achats de crédit téléphonique, les paiements de factures, l'exécution de transferts de personne à personne, de personne à entreprise et aux Administrations publiques. Les principaux services de paiement dans l'UEMOA sont liés au règlement des factures relatives à la consommation d'eau, d'électricité, l'abonnement à des chaînes de télévision satellitaires, l'achat de marchandises dans les grandes surfaces ou de carburant dans les stations-service.

Des paiements d'impôts et taxes auprès des Administrations publiques et le remboursement des échéances de microcrédit sont également effectués, mais de façon très marginale.

Dans l'UEMOA les services dits de « deuxième génération », à savoir la micro-assurance, la micro-épargne et le micro-crédit, font leur apparition. Leur développement pourrait constituer une opportunité de bancarisation des utilisateurs de ces services.

Enfin, un début d'interopérabilité est mis en œuvre sur la base de conventions bilatérales entre les acteurs, notamment en vue d’offrir des services de paiement transfrontaliers entre les Etats membres de l'Union.

Les défis à relever

L'examen de l’évolution des services financiers via la téléphonie mobile dans l'UEMOA fait ressortir quelques obstacles à un développement plus rapide de ces services financiers au sein de l'UEMOA. Il s'agit de:

  • la faiblesse du taux d'utilisateurs actifs, en raison du coût élevé des services;
  • la méconnaissance des services, du fait d'une éducation financière insuffisante;
  • la faible digitalisation des circuits de paiement des Administrations publiques;
  • l'insuffisance des partenariats entre les émetteurs bancaires et non-bancaires pour le développement d'une offre de services plus inclusifs, dits de « seconde génération »

En collaboration avec toutes les parties prenantes, la Banque Centrale a développé une stratégie d’inclusion financière visant à améliorer l’accès et l’utilisation de divers services financiers personnalisés et aux prix abordables. La mise en place de ces actions, comme décrite dans la stratégie d’inclusion financière conçue par la BCEAO, devrait résoudre les défis mentionnés ci-dessus.

Lire en anglais »


[1] EME: toute personne morale, autre que les banques, les établissements financiers de paiement, les systèmes financiers décentralisés, habilitée à émettre des moyens de paiement sous forme de monnaie électronique et dont les activités se limitent à l'émission et la distribution de monnaie électronique.

Authors

  • Tiémoko Meyliet Koné
      
 
 




dan

Africa in the news: Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, COVID-19, and AfCFTA updates

Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan political updates Ethiopia-Eritrea relations continue to thaw, as on Sunday, May 3, Eritrean president Isaias Afwerki, Foreign Minister Osman Saleh, and Presidential Advisor Yemane Ghebreab, visited Ethiopia, where they were received by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. During the two-day diplomatic visit, the leaders discussed bilateral cooperation and regional issues affecting both states,…

       




dan

The problem with militias in Somalia: Almost everyone wants them despite their dangers

Introduction Militia groups have historically been a defining feature of Somalia’s conflict landscape, especially since the ongoing civil war began three decades ago. Communities create or join such groups as a primary response to conditions of insecurity, vulnerability and contestation. Somali powerbrokers, subfederal authorities, the national Government and external interveners have all turned to armed…

       




dan

Africa in the news: Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, COVID-19, and AfCFTA updates

Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan political updates Ethiopia-Eritrea relations continue to thaw, as on Sunday, May 3, Eritrean president Isaias Afwerki, Foreign Minister Osman Saleh, and Presidential Advisor Yemane Ghebreab, visited Ethiopia, where they were received by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. During the two-day diplomatic visit, the leaders discussed bilateral cooperation and regional issues affecting both states,…

       




dan

Africa in the news: Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, COVID-19, and AfCFTA updates

Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan political updates Ethiopia-Eritrea relations continue to thaw, as on Sunday, May 3, Eritrean president Isaias Afwerki, Foreign Minister Osman Saleh, and Presidential Advisor Yemane Ghebreab, visited Ethiopia, where they were received by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. During the two-day diplomatic visit, the leaders discussed bilateral cooperation and regional issues affecting both states,…

       




dan

Africa in the news: New environmental policies on the continent, Zimbabwe’s IMF stabilization program, and Sudan update

Tanzania, Kenya, and UNECA enact environment-positive policies and programs On Saturday, June 1, Tanzania’s ban on plastic bags went into effect. According to The Citizen, the new law targets the “import, export, manufacturing, sale, storage, supply, and use of plastic carrier bags regardless of their thickness” on the Tanzanian mainland. The law also bans the…

       




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Looking to the Future in Sudan

In this letter to the editor, Roberta Cohen argues that the Obama administration should consult the United States' 2004 internally displaced persons (IDP) policy to help ensure that the human rights of the 27 million IDPs in the world are properly protected.

      
 
 




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The Sudan Referendum: Dangers and Possibilities

Sudan’s north-south civil war was the longest conflict in African history and claimed more than two million lives, and on January 9, 2011, a referendum will take place, allowing the southern Sudanese to vote on whether to remain part of Sudan or to gain independence. On October 13, Foreign Policy at Brookings hosted a discussion of the prospects for the Sudan referendum featuring Rep. Donald Payne (D-NJ).

      
 
 




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Peace in Sudan: Implementing the Comprehensive Peace Agreement

On June 27, the Brookings-Bern Project on Internal Displacement hosted a discussion with representatives from the Sudanese government; Lynn Fredriksson, Africa advocacy director for Amnesty International USA; and Pamela Fierst, a member of the Sudan policy group at the State Department, to examine Sudan’s 2005 peace agreement and to explore the ways in which it has been successfully implemented and the areas in which challenges still exist.

      
 
 




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Searching for Peace and Justice in Sudan: The Role of the International Criminal Court

On September 26, the Brookings-Bern Project on Internal Displacement will host a discussion of the effect of the possible indictment on peace and justice, and potential impact on humanitarian and peacekeeping operations in Darfur and on the ICC itself.

      
 
 




dan

The relationship between Iraq and the US is in danger of collapse. That can’t happen.

Do the United States and Iraq, joined at the hip in tragic and mistake-prone war for most of the past 17 years, have a future together? As Iraq seeks to form a new government, its parliament is on record recommending that U.S. forces be expelled in the aftermath of the early January killing of Iranian terror…

       




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Tanvi Madan on the US-India-China “Fateful Triangle”

       




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On April 8, 2020, Tanvi Madan discussed the implications of the coronavirus pandemic for the Sino-Indo bilateral relations with ORF

On April 8, 2020, Tanvi Madan discussed the implications of the coronavirus pandemic for the Sino-Indo bilateral relations via teleconference with Observer Research Foundation.

       




dan

On April 16, 2020, Tanvi Madan unpacked how India’s relation with China changed under Narendra Modi and Xi Jinping via teleconference with the Asia Society Switzerland

On April 16, 2020, Tanvi Madan unpacked how India's relation with China changed under Narendra Modi and Xi Jinping via teleconference with the Asia Society Switzerland.

       




dan

20200421 TheAtlantic Tanvi Madan

       




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Danger ahead? Taiwan’s politics, China’s ambitions, and US policy

It is a great honor for me to speak today at the Hamilton Lugar School, not only because I worked for Congressman Lee Hamilton for two and a half years, but also because he and Senator Lugar have represented something very important about the politics of U.S. foreign policy. They were in their time two…

       




dan

Africa in the news: Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, COVID-19, and AfCFTA updates

Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan political updates Ethiopia-Eritrea relations continue to thaw, as on Sunday, May 3, Eritrean president Isaias Afwerki, Foreign Minister Osman Saleh, and Presidential Advisor Yemane Ghebreab, visited Ethiopia, where they were received by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. During the two-day diplomatic visit, the leaders discussed bilateral cooperation and regional issues affecting both states,…

       




dan

Transparent Governance in Latin America's Age of Abundance


Editor's note: This blog piece is based on findings from the new book Governance in an Age of Abundance: Experiences from the Extractive Industries in Latin America and the Caribbean, which will be launched at a Brookings public event later today. A Spanish version of this post is available on the Inter-American Development Bank's website. 

The myth of Sisyphus represents in Greek mythology a metaphor for pointless and interminable efforts. Sisyphus was condemned by Zeus to push a huge boulder up a steep hill. Every time he was close to reaching the top, the boulder was made to roll back down the hill and to the starting point, so that Sisyphus had to start all over again, in perpetuity.    

This metaphor may sound familiar to countries rich in natural resources. In many of these countries, citizens have hoped for generations that the revenue derived from extractive industries (oil, gas and mining) would translate into concrete benefits. Instead, rents from extractive industries have frequently been misused, either through wasteful state spending or public and private corruption. In many countries, heavy dependence on revenues from extractive industries has produced economic and political distortions. Also, revenues are all too often centralized at the national level, leaving local communities to wonder about the benefits of hosting extractive industries.

Overcoming the ‘Resource Curse’

The good news is that there are countries that have found a way to overcome the so-called "resource curse." In Norway, for example, the revenue deriving from the extractive industries supports a majority of government investment in education and health, as well as the pension system. While many resource-rich states can make the same claim, what makes Norway unusual is that it has been able to do so while minimizing corruption, mitigating economic distortions and ensuring efficiency in government spending at the same time.  

How did Norway do it? A look at the Natural Resources Governance Index (NRGI), developed by the Natural Resource Governance Institute, provides a possible explanation: by strengthening governance in the extractive sector. This implies establishing a robust legal and regulatory framework, agile mechanisms to promote transparency and disseminate information, effective safeguards and rigorous controls, and an overall institutional environment that is business-friendly and conducive to greater accountability in the public sector. And this is not a phenomenon unique to Norway, but it is replicated in other countries with large extractive sectors, such as Australia, Botswana and Canada.

Extractive Industries in Latin America and the Caribbean

Latin American and the Caribbean are at a crucial juncture in their effort to strengthen governance in the management of natural resources. On the one hand the above-mentioned NRGI, which measures the quality of extractives governance in 58 resource-rich countries, shows that among the eleven world leaders in quality of extractives governance, more than half are countries from the region (Brazil, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Trinidad and Tobago and Peru). This is especially good news if one considers that Latin America and the Caribbean is the main source of metals at a global level, and that it holds the second largest oil reserves in the world. Latin America and the Caribbean are also remarkable because many countries have managed to develop large extractive sectors while at the same time avoiding the secessionist conflicts over extractives that plague resource-rich countries in other regions of the world.

On the other hand, Latin America still has to resolve some important issues. Overall, the region still falls short on rule of law and corruption measures in comparison to OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries. Social conflicts related to the exploitation of natural resources remain a sensitive issue in the region, especially when extractive industries operate in territories where indigenous communities have a significant interest and presence. Citizen demands regarding the control and mitigation of environmental impacts by governments and corporations are increasing, especially in terms of land use and conservation of water resources and forests. And many Latin Americans are increasingly demanding good governance and transparency in state spending.

Transparency is Key to Improving Governance

The recent IDB book Governance in an Age of Abundance: Experiences from the Extractive Industries in Latin America and the Caribbean (IDB, 2014), edited by Juan Cruz Vieyra and Malaika Masson, analyzes these challenges, particularly in light of recent initiatives to strengthen transparency in the governance of natural resources in the region.

The book focuses on two main themes. The first is on how best to improve governance in the extractives sector, especially in a way that promotes inclusive growth and takes into account the concerns of citizens. The key to this is governance mechanisms that include checks and balances to ensure that the needs of local communities are taken into account. The second theme of the book is a focus on evaluating concrete governance proposals, which include improved legislation, licensing arrangements, contracting procedures, and fiscal regimes. Underlying these two themes is a strong argument in favor of strengthened government capacity to produce, use, and disseminate accurate and timely information about the extractive sector.

The book identifies transparency as a key tool to improve the quality of governance in the extractive sector. This is not an easy task, because effective governance of this sector requires states to manage across a complex set of policy domains. Transparency is part of the solution to this problem by making data available to a wider set of stakeholders. This allows for improved coordination inside of government and helps civil society and the private sector to make informed contributions to public policy and hold governments accountable. For example, Colombia, through its Maparegalías initiative, is putting all the information about how money from extractive industry royalties are being spent, community by community, with everything placed online on an interactive map for easy access. But to make the most out of transparency, states need to address shortfalls in human capacity to use newly available data effectively in the public sector. This is particularly true at the sub-national level in many Latin American and Caribbean countries. Ultimately, as transparency improves and governments use data to operate more effectively and efficiently, citizen trust and confidence in the ability of the public sector to manage the wealth produced by extractive industries will improve. 

The findings of the book point towards two key challenges for governments related to designing and implementing transparency initiatives:

  1. Governments need to make data more easily available and more accessible to stakeholders. This includes addressing the quality and timeliness of information. It also means improving the ease of use of data, both in terms of the formatting of data and navigability of the platforms that present it.
  2. Governments need to be creative about soliciting feedback from stakeholders in the extractive sector. It is not enough to merely present data to the public. Governments should actively seek out input from citizens. This will ultimately mean investing in public and private capacity to analyze available data so that stakeholders can make informed contributions to governance.

These recommendations present the best way for governments in Latin America and the Caribbean to emerge from the paradoxical Sisyphean trap that resource abundance has all too often posed.

The authors are grateful to Pablo Bachelet, Juan Cruz Vieyra, Francesco De Simone and Martin Walter for their comments. 

Authors

     
 
 




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Fortress Jordan: Putting the Money to Work


Since September of 2014, Jordan has joined other Western and Arab coalition partners in striking Islamic State (IS) positions in Syria, with the country’s King Abdullah framing the war against IS as a “third world war.” How have conflicts on Jordan’s borders and now the country’s direct intervention strained the country’s resources? How have the country’s leaders presented their participation at home and abroad?

In a timely Policy Briefing based on field research, Sultan Barakat and Andrew Leber assess Jordan’s vulnerabilities to regional conflicts and domestic pressures. Despite broad public support for action against IS, they note a growing gap between state and society only exacerbated by adverse events such as the capture and uncertain fate of a downed Jordanian pilot.

Read "Fortress Jordan: Putting the Money to Work"

Ultimately, Barakat and Leber note Jordan’s strategic importance to its allies but caution against it playing a front-line combat role. The authors contend that reducing threats to Jordanian stability lies not in “taking the fight to IS” abroad, but in strengthening Jordanian society at home.

While calling for improved governance in the Kingdom, the authors note reluctance on the part of Jordan’s ruling elites and their allies to promote full-scale political reforms. Barakat and Leber contend that they should therefore channel their fears about regional instability and extremism into productive action on Jordan’s economy. This will entail restructuring aid flows to the country toward productive investment, selectively incorporating Syrian refugees into the workforce, and putting forward a credible vision for the country’s economic future.

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Publication: Brookings Doha Center
Image Source: © Jason Reed / Reuters
     
 
 




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The Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan: Time to reform


The Muslim Brotherhood has faced a great deal of opposition in the Middle East in recent years, with Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates all declaring it to be a terrorist organization. Jordan’s Muslim Brotherhood, which has historically operated as a loyal opposition to the palace, has also come under fire as regional instability has dampened Jordanians’ appetite for protest and reform. While the group still enjoys significant public support, it is facing a number of internal tensions, culminating in its recent split. How can the Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood retain its political clout? Can it play a role in stabilizing and strengthening Jordan?

Read The Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan: Time to reform

In this new Policy Briefing, Neven Bondokji discusses the various reform efforts undertaken by Jordan’s Muslim Brotherhood since 2010, and argues that it urgently needs to see them through. She identifies key challenges, including the division over the Zamzam reform initiative, overlap between the movement and its affiliated political party, the inclusion of women, the ongoing ideological shifts in the movement’s political discourse, and generational tensions. Additionally, Bondokji examines how Jordan’s East Banker-Palestinian fault line is manifested within the Brotherhood.

Bondokji makes a series of recommendations, including that the Muslim Brotherhood ensure the independence of its political party’s leadership and decision-making, actively engage in and disseminate discourse on plural politics and policy debates, and introduce new leaders and styles of communication. She also asserts that Jordan’s government must empower political parties and allow for a more representative parliament. The application of such reforms, Bondokji concludes, would allow Jordan’s Muslim Brotherhood to be an asset in the country’s efforts against destabilizing extremism.

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Publication: Brookings Doha Center
Image Source: © Muhammad Hamed / Reuters
      
 
 




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Jordan has reacted vigorously to the spread of the pandemic virus. The country faces a very difficult challenge in managing the health crisis and the economic impact given its dependence on foreign subsidies and tourism. The regional and global environment is also unfavorable. This week Jordan banned public worshiping in mosques for the holy month of…

       




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20190506 El Pais Daniel Kaufman