It is now possible to estimate the influence of climate change on some types of extreme events, such as heat waves, drought, and heavy precipitation, says a new report from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.

Weather and environmental forecasts made several weeks to months in advance can someday be as widely used and essential as current predictions of tomorrow’s weather are, but first more research and sustained investment are needed, says a new report from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.

Our ability to observe and predict severe weather events and other disasters has improved markedly over recent decades, yet this progress does not always translate into similar advances in the systems used in such circumstances to protect lives.

NASA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and the United States Geological Survey (USGS) should implement a coordinated approach for their space-based environmental observations to further advance Earth science and applications for the next decade, says a new report by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.

LOS ANGELES, CA - SEPTEMBER 29: Yasiel Puig #66 of the Los Angeles Dodgers walks onto the field to start the game against the Colorado Rockies at Dodger Stadium on September 29, 2013 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Lisa Blumenfeld/Getty Images); Credit: Lisa Blumenfeld/Getty Images

There are 162 games in the regular season of a major league baseball team, and I have watched exactly … hm … none. Spring, summer, autumn, as the Dodgers died and rose from the dead, I wasn’t looking.

But now, like almost everyone else in L.A., I will be cheering them in the playoffs, cheering them to their first World Series game since Michael Dukakis ran for president.

I am that deplorable creature: The fair-weather fan.

I like sports just fine, but my sport is football.

They say baseball is a relaxing game. Boy, is it!  You can eat, doze, eat again, and it’s still the fourth inning. I’ve tried to love baseball, I really have. But the diamond can’t beat the gridiron when it comes to football’s built-in thrill advantage: At any possible second, the football can change hands, the defense becomes the offense … and score!

Just about the best time I ever had at Dodger Stadium was watching the pope round the bases in his Popemobile, when he visited L.A. That was the year before the Dodgers won the World Series for the last time. I hear baseball players are superstitious; maybe it’s time to invite the new pope for a return engagement.

Kitty Felde – now there’s a fan. She’s even written plays about baseball! But she’s way back in the nation’s capital, stuck with the Washington Nationals to root for.

A paradox

It’s a paradox, really. I’ve interviewed the former Dodgers owner, Peter O’Malley, who is a truly wonderful man. I’ve interviewed Carl Erskine, the Dodgers pitcher who goes back to the Brooklyn days, and a sweeter guy you could never meet. I know Roz Wyman, the First Fan, the city councilwoman who worked the magic to bring the Dodgers here from Brooklyn.  I interviewed the McCourts, back when they were still a plural. The L.A. Times once sent me to write about Fernando Valenzuela’s hometown in Mexico, back when El Zurdo started burning up the mound at Chavez Ravine. And I sat with that gift of a man, Vin Scully, at Dodger Stadium, as the team warmed up on the jewel-box beautiful field.

None of that made a true baseball believer of me. Instead, I pine like Juliet for a pro football team. O Dodgers, Dodgers, wherefore art thou the Dodgers, and not the Green Bay Packers?

But I would be thrilled if the Dodgers took the whole baseball enchilada – thrilled, because I am an Angeleno, and the Dodgers are that rare civic institution that ties us all together, even if you don’t know a base hit from base ten.

And that makes me as entitled as the next local to put on my Dodger Blue and holler my heart out, and cheer them all the way to the World Series.

This content is from Southern California Public Radio. View the original story at SCPR.org.

A new study indicates that water management in the Netherlands uses a reliable warning system for extreme weather, which can incorporate wind and coastal surge level forecasts, as well as precipitation forecasts.

The reduction in summer storms in the western Mediterranean could be partly caused by land use change on coasts and mountain slopes, a new study reports. This lack of storms causes water vapour to build up above the region and may lead to heavy rainfall and flooding in central Europe.

The discomfort associated with hot, dry summers in some urban areas can be reduced by planting the most appropriate trees in open city spaces, according to a recent study. The researchers identified the Indian laurel fig as the most effective tree for this purpose in the Greek city of Chania.

New research indicates that large-scale wind farms may influence local weather. It suggests the impact can be minimised by changing the design of the rotors or positioning wind farms in regions with high natural turbulence. These strategies could also make the farms more productive.

Following extreme weather events, many countries are unable to afford the costs of providing relief to communities and repairing infrastructure, a new study suggests. The researchers estimate that providing relief on a global scale for events which recur every 10 to 50 years would cost US$3.3 billion (€2.37 billion) annually.

Preliminary findings from a mass participation study have indicated a link between weather conditions - specifically rain and lack of sunshine - and chronic pain.

read more

Land use changes over the last century in the Mediterranean area may be sparking shifts in weather patterns locally, across Europe, and around the globe, suggests a new study. The findings bring to light new complexities that can be integrated into climate models and predictions.

Cereal fields provide a staple food, but are also home to a wide array of invertebrates. This study analysed over 40 years of data to investigate the effects of extreme weather, climate and pesticide use on invertebrates in cereal fields in southern England. As pesticide use had a greater effect on abundance than temperature or rainfall, the authors also recommend reducing pesticide use.

SUFFOLK – While landfall of Hurricane Florence is imminent along the North Carolina coast, the Virginia Department of Transportation (VDOT) Hampton...

000
AGXX40 KNHC 091920
MIMATS

Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
320 PM EDT Sat May 9 2020

Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A cold front from extends from the Florida Big Bend to 28N90W to
25N95W then transitions to a stationary front to 22N98W. A
surface trough is ahead of the front in the Bay of Campeche. The
front will move to the central Gulf waters today and gradually
stall through Sun. An area of low pressure is expected to
develop over the SW Gulf today, and track NE toward South
Florida on Sun. The stalled front will then transition back to a
cold front and exit the southeastern Gulf on Mon. Numerous
showers and scattered thunderstorms will impact most of the
southern and eastern Gulf waters this weekend.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

High pressure N of the area will support fresh to strong trade
winds across the central Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds
over most of the remainder of the basin through Sun night. The
aerial extent of the strong trades will diminish and reduce to
the south-central Caribbean for the remainder period.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

A cold front extending from 31N77W to 29N81W will move across
the waters N of the Bahamas through Sun. Weak low pressure in
the Gulf of Mexico will track NE across south Florida into the
Bahamas Sun through Mon night enhancing winds and generating
numerous showers and thunderstorms. In the wake of the low, a
cold front will move across the northern and central waters
through Mon night, then stall from near 29N65W to central Cuba
late Tue.

$$

.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.

$$

*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

$$

.Forecaster Ramos. National Hurricane Center.

 
 000
 NOUS42 KNHC 311430
 REPRPD
 WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
 CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
 1030 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2020
 SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
          VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2020
          WSPOD NUMBER.....19-122
 
 I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
     1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
     2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
 
 NOTE:  THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
        DICTATE OTHERWISE.
 
 $$
 WJM
 
 NNNN
 

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 091543
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1503 UTC Sat May 9 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from Panama near 08N78W to 07N122W. The
ITCZ extends from there to 06N140W. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is noted north of 05N east of 90W, from 03N to
11N between 94W and 114W, and from 05N to 07W west of 138W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weak ridge of high pressure extends from 30N128W through the
Revillagigedo Islands to 14N96W. As a result, winds this morning
off of Mexico and in the Gulf of California were only moderate
breeze or weaker. High pressure building over the Gulf of Mexico
will promote strong N gap winds across the Tehuantepec region
late tonight and continue through Mon night. Peak seas should
reach 10-12 ft due to N wind waves and SW swell. Elsewhere
tranquil conditions are expected across the area through at least
Wed night.

Long period SW swell will impact the waters through Monday. An
altimeter pass showed peak seas of 8 to 9 ft south of Mexico
late last night.

Haze and areas of smoke from agricultural fires in Mexico may
reduce visibilities near the coast from the Tehuantepec region to
near Cabo Corrientes.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A flat pressure gradient over the waters is forcing winds of
only fresh breeze or weaker. Winds will remain tranquil during
the next several days.

Large, long period SW swell will continue to impact the offshore
waters of Central America, Ecuador and Colombia through the
weekend before gradually fading. Peak seas observed by an
altimeter pass last night were around 10 ft between the Galapagos
and Ecuador.

Haze and areas of smoke may reduce visibilities near the coasts
of Costa Rica, El Salvador and Guatemala during the next few
days.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A weak ridge of high pressure extends from 30N128W through the
Revillagigedo Islands to 14N96W. The relatively flat pressure
gradient from the ridge to the ITCZ is causing NE trades of
generally moderate breeze or weaker this morning. Peak seas are 8
to 10 ft east of 120W and south of 15N, primarily due to long-
period SW swell.

A weak cold front will reach our NW corner of 30N140W Sun morning
and progress to 30N132W to 24N140W Mon morning, before
dissipating by Tue morning. SW winds ahead and NW winds behind
the front should remain fresh breeze or weaker. A NW swell of 8
to 10 ft will impact the waters north of 25N west of 130W Sun
night through Tue morning. Elsewhere winds should remain tranquil
through at least Wed night.

Large, long period SW swell will continue to impact the high seas
waters south of 15N and east of 125W through the weekend before
gradually fading. Peak seas observed by an altimeter pass last
night were around 10 ft well west of the Galapagos.

$$
Landsea

000
AXNT20 KNHC 091736
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1230 PM EDT Sat May 9 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N14W to 03N24W. The ITCZ
extends from 03N24W to 00N38W to 00N50W. Numerous moderate
scattered strong convection is noted from 02N-09N between 09W-
22W. Scattered moderate convection is seen within 300 nm of the
ITCZ between 32W-50W.

GULF OF MEXICO...

A cold front extends from Cedar Key Florida to 28N93W to 26N96W,
then transitions to a stationary front from 26N96W to the coast
of Mexico near 22N98W and inland to beyond 25N101W. As of 1500
UTC, a weak 1014 low is analyzed along the front near 25N96W.
Numerous strong convection is over the southwest Gulf of Mexico
from 19N-24N between 93.5W-96.5W. Scattered to numerous moderate
and isolated strong convection is elsewhere inside the points
bounded by 29N96W to 29N90W to 25N92W to 23N86W to 19N97W to
29N96W. A recent ASCAT pass shows strong NE winds over the
northern Gulf, north of the cold front and northwest of the
surface low near the Texas coast.

An area of strong winds are also seen off the NW coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula. Gentle to moderate winds are over the SE
Gulf, as an E-W surface ridge is seen extending along 25N from
73W-88W.

The cold front will move S to the central Gulf waters later
today and gradually stall through Sun. The weak low pressure
over the SW Gulf will track east-northeastward toward South
Florida on Sun. The stalled front will then transition back to a
cold front and exit the southeastern Gulf on Mon. Numerous
showers and thunderstorms will impact most of the southern and
eastern Gulf waters through the rest of this weekend.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Mid- to upper-level ridging prevails over the eastern and
central Caribbean Sea. TPW imagery shows abundant moisture over
the western Caribbean. A weak surface trough over Cuba is
inducing scattered showers and isolated tstorms north of 20N
between 77W-88W.

Farther south, troughing extending from the east Pacific over
Central America is inducing scattered showers and tstorms from
the eastern coast of Honduras to Panama, and extending out
offshore to 60 nm from the Caribbean coast of Central America. A
recent ASCAT pass shows strong trades between 67W-75W, with
fresh trades elsewhere from 10.5N-18N between 63W-79W. Moderate
winds are seen elsewhere.

High pressure N of the area will support fresh to strong trade
winds across the central Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds
over most of the remainder of the basin through Sun night. The
aerial extent of the strong trades will diminish and will be
confined to the south-central Caribbean through the middle of
next week.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front has entered the waters east of northern Florida and
extends from 32N75W to Daytona Beach Florida to the western Gulf
of Mexico. Fresh winds prevail on both sides of the cold front
north of 28N between 69W-81W. Strong winds are north of 30N.
Only isolated showers are noted with this front. The front will
move across the waters N of the Bahamas through Sun.

A cold front extends from 32N46W to 28N52W to 25.5N61W. It
continues WSW as a stationary front from 25.5N61W to the Bahamas
near 23N75W. A surface trough is analyzed from 23N75W across
Cuba to 21N83W. Scattered moderate convection is seen over
portions of the central and southeastern Bahamas from 22N-24N
between 72.5W-76W. Scattered showers and isolated tstorms are
elsewhere within 60 nm of the surface trough and stationary
front. Isolated showers are along the cold front. A 1025 mb high
is centered near 29N37W. A weak surface trough extends across
the Canary Islands from 31N14W to 25N23W with isolated showers.

Weak low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will track ENE across
South Florida into the Bahamas Sun through Mon night, enhancing
winds and generating numerous showers and thunderstorms. In the
wake of the low, a cold front will move across the waters east
of Florida and the northern Bahamas through Mon night, then
stall from near 29N65W to central Cuba late Tue.

$$
Hagen

Equinor ASA became the first major oil company to cut its dividend amid an historic market rout.

000
WTNT64 KNHC 110400
TCUAT4

Tropical Storm Michael Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
1200 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...12 AM EDT POSITION UPDATE...
...MICHAEL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA...
...DAMAGING WINDS STILL OCCURRING INLAND...

NOAA Doppler weather radar data indicate that the center of Michael
is now moving into south-central Georgia. Tropical storm-force
winds continue over central and southern Georgia, and are spreading
across the coast of southeastern Georgia.

This will be the last hourly position update issued by the National
Hurricane Center on Michael. The next intermediate advisory will be
issued at 2 AM EDT...0600 UTC.


SUMMARY OF 1200 AM EDT...0400 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.3N 83.6W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSW OF MACON GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...115 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Beven

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