TMI Climate Solutions, a manufacturer of advanced air handling, hydronic systems, and custom HVAC solutions, has announced a new subsidiary, TMI Climate Solutions Canada Inc. The company also announced completion of a new 200,000-square-foot manufacturing plant in Pointe-Claire (Montreal), Quebec.

Belimo Americas was the recipient of the Atlantic Canada Mechanical Exhibitors (ACME) Innovation Award for its Belimo Energy Valve™. The Energy Valve is a two-way pressure independent control valve that optimizes, documents, and proves water coil performance.

Enercare Inc. has announced the launch of the Enercare Fresh Start Program, a new corporate social responsibility program designed to help families transitioning between temporary shelters and a home of their own.

GDI Integrated Facility Services Inc. has announced the appointment of Stéphane Lavigne, CPA, as senior vice president and chief financial officer. Lavigne was most recently with IPL Inc., where he was executive vice president and CFO, and president and CEO following the sale of the company.

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Constrafor is stepping up to support local contractors across Florida, North Carolina, and Georgia with a comprehensive Disaster Relief Effort. This initiative, in conjunction with their Early Pay Program (EPP), aims to provide immediate financial support to contractors, enabling them to overcome delays, secure materials, and ensure timely payment for their teams.

Paul Davis Restoration pledges $1 million to the American Red Cross Annual Disaster Giving Program in response to Hurricanes Helene and Milton. This proactive donation ensures the Red Cross is equipped to meet the needs of those affected by disasters across the U.S. Discover how this significant contribution, along with volunteer efforts, supports disaster relief and community resilience. 

Polygon now offers the Humidity Control Unit 8000 (HCU-8000) that combines cooling and desiccant dehumidification technologies in one energy-efficient system.

The FireBird Fury features 750 CFM of airflow for a safe temperature rise and maximum heat circulation. With its integrated 12” inlet and outlet duct connections and included remote thermostat, the Firebird Fury can effectively deliver heat and control temperature even into remote or inaccessible spaces.

The Munters HC-150 and HC-300 desiccant dehumidification units have been inspected, tested and approved for ETL compliance to UL 1995 by Intertek Testing Services. 

The family of moisture meters from General Tools & Instruments features a variety of precision specialty instruments that are affordable, versatile and high-tech.

Both the R125 and the R150 combine Phoenix innovation, technical expertise, and proven durability into their small, portable, chemical resistant roto-mold housings. 

Prochem says that the tool’s advanced design speeds jobs and all at a cost that’s 75% less than a traditional ride-on extractor.

The RM85 is the latest in Ebac’s line of rotational molded polyethylene housing dehumidifiers.

11/19/2024 - 12:00 PM - Venue: Assistance League of Pueblo

11/18/2024 - 6:30 PM - Venue: Pueblo West Library

Today's consumers are much more likely to focus on changing their snacking habits in order to achieve weight loss success.

Companies selling dairy products in Oregon must understand whether they have obligations under the EPR law.

FLSmidth will be the largest customer of the new plant, which will serve as a comprehensive hub for the company’s warehousing and packaging needs, including dangerous-goods-certified solutions.

The data is a day later than normal this week due to the US holiday on Monday.

The numbers via oilprice.com on Twitter:

--

Expectations I had seen centred on:

• Headline crude +0.1 mn barrels
• Distillates +0.2 mn bbls
• Gasoline +0.6 mn

---

This data point is from a privately-conducted survey by the American Petroleum Institute (API).

• It's a survey of oil storage facilities and companies
• The official report is due Wednesday morning US time.

The two reports are quite different.The official government data comes from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)

• Its based on data from the Department of Energy and other government agencies
• Whereas information on total crude oil storage levels and variations from the previous week's levels are both provided by the API report, the EIA report also provides statistics on inputs and outputs from refineries, as well as other significant indicators of the status of the oil market, and storage levels for various grades of crude oil, such as light, medium, and heavy.
• the EIA report is held to be more accurate and comprehensive than the survey from the API

The latest Labour Force report from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, for October 2024.

Employment +15.9k

• expected +25.0k, prior +64.1k

Unemployment Rate 4.1%

• expected 4.1%, prior 4.1%

Participation Rate 67.1%

• expected 67.2%, prior 67.2%

Full Time Employment +9.7k

• prior +51.6k

A slightly softer employment report than we are accustomed to. Not a bad one. But a miss for jobs added, and the participation rate saw a tic knocked off.

More:

• employment to population ratio remained at 64.4%
• underemployment rate decreased to 6.2%
• monthly hours worked increased to 1,972 million.

more to come

The October jobs report from Australia was not as strong as we have become accustomed to:

• Australian October unemployment rate 4.1% (vs. 4.1% expected)

It was not a poor report, just not another blockbuster!

AUD/USD is not a lot changed. Earlier we had Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock sounding not dovish:

• RBA Bullock says rates are restrictive enough, staying there until confident on inflation

Chinese media, Global Times, citing a state media report (CCTV):

• China’s annual production of new energy vehicles surpassed 10 million units on Thursday, info via China Association of Automobile Manufacturers.
• the first country to reach this milestone globally
• output for the whole year is expected to reach 12 million

The US and EU have quickly built walls (tariffs and other imposts) to protect domestic vehicle producers. This is not usually a recipe for thriving industry.

• New York Fed's Williams speaking Thursday - Kugler, Barkin also (Powell too!)
• Australian jobs report recap - "remains in relatively solid health"
• Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Mann is speaking again on Thursday
• People's Bank of China has more work to do to support the yuan
• European Central Bank President Lagarde and VP de Guindos speaking Thursday, Schnabel too
• Federal Reserve Chair Powell is speaking on Thursday
• GBP traders heads up - Bank of England Governor Bailey is speaking late Thursday
• China’s annual production of new energy vehicles surpassed 10 million units on Thursday
• PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1966 (vs. estimate at 7.2326)
• ICYMI: Ex-Mr Yen Kanda said Japan will act appropriately against excess FX movements
• AUD/USD little changed after the October employment report showed a steady jobless rate
• Australian October unemployment rate 4.1% (vs. 4.1% expected)
• UBS maintain a US$2900 target for gold
• RBA Bullock says rates are restrictive enough, staying there until confident on inflation
• USD/JPY above 155 - Citi wary of intervention risk
• Investment bank bullish on Fed rate cuts; inflation concerns linger
• Oil - private survey of inventory shows headline crude oil draw vs build expected
• New Zealand data - FPI -0.9% in October (prior +0.5%)
• Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 13 Nov: US CPI comes out as expected. USD continues rise
• Trade ideas thread - Thursday, 14 November, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas

The continuing US dollar uptrend … continued.

USD/JPY traded, above 156.00, to a high not seen since July. EUR/USD, meanwhile, dropped under 1.0550 to a low not seen in a year. AUD, NZD, GBP, CHF, CAD, yuan all moved lower. As did hapless gold. BTC/USD dropped back from above US$93.5K, but this thing is a beast, it gets a free pass ;-) .

On the data front the release of note was Australia’s job report for October. Job growth slowed down and the unemployment report steadied at 4.1%. It was a solid report without being spectacular. Slowing wage growth (data released yesterday) and a steady job market leaves the Reserve Bank of Australia to focus on bringing inflation down. RBA Governor Bullock spoke during the session. Bullock was not dovish, signalling that rates are restrictive enough but will not be coming down imminently.

The People’s Bank of China once again set the USD/CNY reference rate weaker (stronger for CNY) than estimates indicated.

Noting this, report comes from Japan media (Sankei) via Reuters:

• Japanese government to compile a supplementary budget of about 13.5 trillion yen ($87 billion)
• to fund a stimulus package to help low-income households and offset rising prices
• government would provide 30,000 yen to low-income households that are exempt from residential taxes and 20,000 yen per child for households with families

That makes it a congressional red sweep and the question now is just how much of a majority will they command in the House? The latest NYT projections here show Republicans do have the needed 218 seats claimed for a majority. However, there are still 9 seats yet to be called.

There are some seats such as Iowa 1 and California 45, which are toss ups, that could go to a recount and take a longer time to settle due to the current margins. For some context, here is a list of the more competitive districts as a reference.

But even if you give those two to the Democrats, Republicans will at least snag Alaska 1 to end with 219 seats. That is the bare minimum that they should win with when all is said and done.

The US CPI report yesterday here provided some reason for a push and pull in markets but ultimately, the dollar settled higher as it continues its post-election momentum. It's tough to fight that especially with dollar bulls also seeking out key technical breaks on the charts. And the greenback is once again keeping a little firmer today:

EUR/USD is holding at its lowest levels this year after the break below the April low of 1.0601 overnight. Meanwhile, USD/JPY had a brief brush against 156.00 earlier as it eyes further gains alongside an uptick in Treasury yields.

Elsewhere, GBP/USD is closing in on its August low of 1.2665 while USD/CAD is up to its highest levels since 2020 in a push above 1.4000. It's all about the dollar as it rampages on in the post-election period.

Looking to the session ahead, there isn't anything on the agenda in Europe to shake up that sentiment. All eyes will once again fall on more US data later in the day to perhaps add to the mix. Otherwise, the euphoria from Trump trades is still very much permeating across broader markets with Bitcoin also hoping to firmly clear $90,000 since yesterday.

0800 GMT - Spain October final CPI figures1000 GMT - Eurozone Q3 GDP second estimate1000 GMT - Eurozone September industrial production

That's all for the session ahead. I wish you all the best of days to come and good luck with your trading! Stay safe out there.

And that is thanks to Beijing disappointing markets once again with a failure to live up to stimulus announcements. It was the case right after the Golden Week holiday and it was the case again on Friday last week. With the drop today, the CSI 300 index closes down by 1.7% to post its lowest close this week.

It's been a rather back and forth last few days but the feeling is that there are hints of exhaustion when it comes to Chinese equities at the moment. That especially since Beijing has not followed up on the rallying momentum prior to the Golden Week holiday.

In the bigger picture, China is a very, very attractive opportunity as valuations are cheap and price levels are low at the moment. And that provides an alluring proposition for any investor, that is if you can ride this wave out. I'm definitely keeping an eye out but I'm not entirely convinced that this is where the turning point is, especially since local authorities have not delivered in recent weeks.

The technical breakout at the end of September is a good starting point but I fear that with a lack of convincing, China stocks might slip back into old habits and slide down again in the weeks ahead. The warning signs are definitely building to say the least: It's not a pretty picture in China

• Prior +1.5%
• HICP +1.8% vs +1.8% y/y prelim
• Prior +1.7%

Core annual inflation was seen at 2.5% on the month, up slightly from 2.4% in September. That just reaffirms a small bump in the works in the disinflation process. But given recent developments, the ECB will still feel comfortable in sticking with rate cuts for now.

• Prior +0.3%
• GDP +0.9% vs +0.9% y/y second estimate
• Prior +0.6%

No changes to the initial estimates as this just reaffirms more modest growth in the euro area in Q3. But this is old news, as the focus is on the outlook next year with Trump tariffs set to come into the picture.

• An 'activist' approach means to cut less until it is clear inflation persistence has been purged
• I would be ready to cut rates in bigger steps when inflation risks have gone

As mentioned, she's arguably the most hawkish member on the policy committee. So, these comments need to be taken with that in consideration. Her comments are also reflected by her bank rate vote last week here, as she was the only member to dissent against the rate cut decision.

UBS remain upbeat on further Federal Reserve interest rate cuts to come. Analysts at the bank acknowledge heightened concerns about inflation in the market, and also trimmed market pricing for cuts ahead.

Ahead of Wednesday's CPI report (Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 13 Nov: US CPI comes out as expected. USD continues rise) UBS points:

• Economic data signals a stronger-than-expected economy. Concerns about inflation remain

• Market expectations lean towards a slower pace of Fed rate cuts

• Fed officials view the current rate as restrictive but are balancing employment and inflation goals. A major inflation surprise would be required to shift policy outlooks.

• The Fed is likely to continue rate cuts, with a potential 25 basis point cut in December and further easing expected in 2025.

And, the data result was not enough to dissuade analysts at UBS from expecting further cuts from the FOMC ahead, referring to the in line CPI print not changing the underlying fundamentals and economy narrative.

***

The latest from FedWatch shows a solid expectation for a 25bp cut on December 18:

Mann spoke Wednesday:

• BOE's Mann: I describe myself as an 'activist' rather than a 'gradualist' on rates
• BOE's Mann: Inflation has definitely not been vanquished

Mann was the sole dissent at the previous BoE meeting, voting to keep the Bank rate on hold.

Speaking again at 1300 GMT / 0800 US Eastern time:

• at the Society of Professional Economists Annual Conference

Also on the speaker circuit is Governor Bailey:

• GBP traders heads up - Bank of England Governor Bailey is speaking late Thursday

The data is here from earlier:

• Australian October unemployment rate 4.1% (vs. 4.1% expected)
• AUD/USD little changed after the October employment report showed a steady jobless rate
  • (ps. AUD/USD has slid a little since this post, broadly stronger USD the culprit)

Westpac with the recap, in brief:

Australian labour market remains in relatively solid health

• employment growth slowing broadly in line with population growth
• average hours holding steady
• few signs that labour demand is capitulating to an extent that warrants concern
• labour market conditions remain somewhat tight ... this is not translating to stronger wage inflation pressures
• On balance, today’s update will see the RBA continue to remain focused on the dynamics around underlying inflation.

***

Speaking of the RBA, we heard from Bullock earlier, not dovish:

• RBA Bullock says rates are restrictive enough, staying there until confident on inflation

***

AUD/USD update:

Times below are GBT / US Eastern time:

1400 / 0900 Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin speaks on the economy in fireside chat before the Real Estate Roundtable

1500 / 1000 Federal Reserve Board Governor Adriana Kugler speaks on "Central Bank Independence and Economic Outlook" before the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association (LACEA) and the Latin American Chapter of the Econometric Society 2024 Meeting

2000 / 1500 Powell, as already noted

2115 / 1615 Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams speaks before the "Intermediating Impact: Making Missing Markets" event hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York

As head of the NY Fed Williams is vice chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and has a permanent vote at the table. .

Non policy-related comments.

Manufacturing