Zhenhua Lin, Fang Yao.

Source: The Annals of Statistics, Volume 47, Number 6, 3533--3577.

Abstract:
In this work we develop a novel and foundational framework for analyzing general Riemannian functional data, in particular a new development of tensor Hilbert spaces along curves on a manifold. Such spaces enable us to derive Karhunen–Loève expansion for Riemannian random processes. This framework also features an approach to compare objects from different tensor Hilbert spaces, which paves the way for asymptotic analysis in Riemannian functional data analysis. Built upon intrinsic geometric concepts such as vector field, Levi-Civita connection and parallel transport on Riemannian manifolds, the developed framework applies to not only Euclidean submanifolds but also manifolds without a natural ambient space. As applications of this framework, we develop intrinsic Riemannian functional principal component analysis (iRFPCA) and intrinsic Riemannian functional linear regression (iRFLR) that are distinct from their traditional and ambient counterparts. We also provide estimation procedures for iRFPCA and iRFLR, and investigate their asymptotic properties within the intrinsic geometry. Numerical performance is illustrated by simulated and real examples.

Heng Lian, Kaifeng Zhao, Shaogao Lv.

Source: The Annals of Statistics, Volume 47, Number 5, 2922--2949.

Abstract:
In this paper, we consider the local asymptotics of the nonparametric function in a partially linear model, within the framework of the divide-and-conquer estimation. Unlike the fixed-dimensional setting in which the parametric part does not affect the nonparametric part, the high-dimensional setting makes the issue more complicated. In particular, when a sparsity-inducing penalty such as lasso is used to make the estimation of the linear part feasible, the bias introduced will propagate to the nonparametric part. We propose a novel approach for estimation of the nonparametric function and establish the local asymptotics of the estimator. The result is useful for massive data with possibly different linear coefficients in each subpopulation but common nonparametric function. Some numerical illustrations are also presented.

Michael E. Sobel, Martin A. Lindquist.

Source: The Annals of Applied Statistics, Volume 14, Number 1, 452--472.

Abstract:
Neuroscientists often use functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) to infer effects of treatments on neural activity in brain regions. In a typical fMRI experiment, each subject is observed at several hundred time points. At each point, the blood oxygenation level dependent (BOLD) response is measured at 100,000 or more locations (voxels). Typically, these responses are modeled treating each voxel separately, and no rationale for interpreting associations as effects is given. Building on Sobel and Lindquist ( J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 109 (2014) 967–976), who used potential outcomes to define unit and average effects at each voxel and time point, we define and estimate both “point” and “cumulated” effects for brain regions. Second, we construct a multisubject, multivoxel, multirun whole brain causal model with explicit parameters for regions. We justify estimation using BOLD responses averaged over voxels within regions, making feasible estimation for all regions simultaneously, thereby also facilitating inferences about association between effects in different regions. We apply the model to a study of pain, finding effects in standard pain regions. We also observe more cerebellar activity than observed in previous studies using prevailing methods.

Zhenguo Gao, Pang Du, Ran Jin, John L. Robertson.

Source: The Annals of Applied Statistics, Volume 14, Number 1, 143--159.

Abstract:
Liver procurement experiments with surface-temperature monitoring motivated Gao et al. ( J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 114 (2019) 773–781) to develop a variance change-point detection method under a smoothly-changing mean trend. However, the spotwise change points yielded from their method do not offer immediate information to surgeons since an organ is often transplanted as a whole or in part. We develop a new practical method that can analyze a defined portion of the organ surface at a time. It also provides a novel addition to the developing field of functional data monitoring. Furthermore, numerical challenge emerges for simultaneously modeling the variance functions of 2D locations and the mean function of location and time. The respective sample sizes in the scales of 10,000 and 1,000,000 for modeling these functions make standard spline estimation too costly to be useful. We introduce a multistage subsampling strategy with steps educated by quickly-computable preliminary statistical measures. Extensive simulations show that the new method can efficiently reduce the computational cost and provide reasonable parameter estimates. Application of the new method to our liver surface temperature monitoring data shows its effectiveness in providing accurate status change information for a selected portion of the organ in the experiment.

Ying Chen, J. S. Marron, Jiejie Zhang.

Source: The Annals of Applied Statistics, Volume 13, Number 3, 1590--1616.

Abstract:
Electricity prices are high dimensional, serially dependent and have seasonal variations. We propose a Warping Functional AutoRegressive (WFAR) model that simultaneously accounts for the cross time-dependence and seasonal variations of the large dimensional data. In particular, electricity price curves are obtained by smoothing over the $24$ discrete hourly prices on each day. In the functional domain, seasonal phase variations are separated from level amplitude changes in a warping process with the Fisher–Rao distance metric, and the aligned (season-adjusted) electricity price curves are modeled in the functional autoregression framework. In a real application, the WFAR model provides superior out-of-sample forecast accuracy in both a normal functioning market, Nord Pool, and an extreme situation, the California market. The forecast performance as well as the relative accuracy improvement are stable for different markets and different time periods.

Jeng-Min Chiou, Yu-Ting Chen, Tailen Hsing.

Source: The Annals of Applied Statistics, Volume 13, Number 3, 1430--1463.

Abstract:
Motivated by the study of road segmentation partitioned by shifts in traffic conditions along a freeway, we introduce a two-stage procedure, Dynamic Segmentation and Backward Elimination (DSBE), for identifying multiple changes in the mean functions for a sequence of functional data. The Dynamic Segmentation procedure searches for all possible changepoints using the derived global optimality criterion coupled with the local strategy of at-most-one-changepoint by dividing the entire sequence into individual subsequences that are recursively adjusted until convergence. Then, the Backward Elimination procedure verifies these changepoints by iteratively testing the unlikely changes to ensure their significance until no more changepoints can be removed. By combining the local strategy with the global optimal changepoint criterion, the DSBE algorithm is conceptually simple and easy to implement and performs better than the binary segmentation-based approach at detecting small multiple changes. The consistency property of the changepoint estimators and the convergence of the algorithm are proved. We apply DSBE to detect changes in traffic streams through real freeway traffic data. The practical performance of DSBE is also investigated through intensive simulation studies for various scenarios.

Piotr Kokoszka, Neda Mohammadi Jouzdani.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 3, 2383--2399.

Abstract:
This paper is concerned with frequency domain theory for functional time series, which are temporally dependent sequences of functions in a Hilbert space. We consider a variance decomposition, which is more suitable for such a data structure than the variance decomposition based on the Karhunen–Loéve expansion. The decomposition we study uses eigenvalues of spectral density operators, which are functional analogs of the spectral density of a stationary scalar time series. We propose estimators of the variance components and derive convergence rates for their mean square error as well as their asymptotic normality. The latter is derived from a frequency domain invariance principle for the estimators of the spectral density operators. This principle is established for a broad class of linear time series models. It is a main contribution of the paper.

Javier Cárcamo, Antonio Cuevas, Luis-Alberto Rodríguez.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 3, 2143--2175.

Abstract:
We show that various functionals related to the supremum of a real function defined on an arbitrary set or a measure space are Hadamard directionally differentiable. We specifically consider the supremum norm, the supremum, the infimum, and the amplitude of a function. The (usually non-linear) derivatives of these maps adopt simple expressions under suitable assumptions on the underlying space. As an application, we improve and extend to the multidimensional case the results in Raghavachari ( Ann. Statist. 1 (1973) 67–73) regarding the limiting distributions of Kolmogorov–Smirnov type statistics under the alternative hypothesis. Similar results are obtained for analogous statistics associated with copulas. We additionally solve an open problem about the Berk–Jones statistic proposed by Jager and Wellner (In A Festschrift for Herman Rubin (2004) 319–331 IMS). Finally, the asymptotic distribution of maximum mean discrepancies over Donsker classes of functions is derived.

O. Collier, L. Comminges, A.B. Tsybakov.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 3, 1989--2020.

Abstract:
We study the problem of estimation of $N_{gamma }( heta )=sum_{i=1}^{d}| heta _{i}|^{gamma }$ for $gamma >0$ and of the $ell _{gamma }$-norm of $ heta $ for $gamma ge 1$ based on the observations $y_{i}= heta _{i}+varepsilon xi _{i}$, $i=1,ldots,d$, where $ heta =( heta _{1},dots , heta _{d})$ are unknown parameters, $varepsilon >0$ is known, and $xi _{i}$ are i.i.d. standard normal random variables. We find the non-asymptotic minimax rate for estimation of these functionals on the class of $s$-sparse vectors $ heta $ and we propose estimators achieving this rate.

Tom Alberts, Firas Rassoul-Agha, Mackenzie Simper.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 3, 1927--1955.

Abstract:
We prove that given any fixed asymptotic velocity, the finite length O’Connell–Yor polymer has an infinite length limit satisfying the law of large numbers with this velocity. By a Markovian property of the quenched polymer this reduces to showing the existence of Busemann functions : almost sure limits of ratios of random point-to-point partition functions. The key ingredients are the Burke property of the O’Connell–Yor polymer and a comparison lemma for the ratios of partition functions. We also show the existence of infinite length limits in the Brownian last passage percolation model.

Ulrike Mayer, Henryk Zähle, Zhou Zhou.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 3, 1891--1911.

Abstract:
We derive a functional weak limit theorem for a local empirical process of a wide class of piece-wise locally stationary (PLS) time series. The latter result is applied to derive the asymptotics of weighted empirical quantiles and weighted V-statistics of non-stationary time series. The class of admissible underlying time series is illustrated by means of PLS linear processes and PLS ARCH processes.

Sébastien Gadat, Sébastien Gerchinovitz, Clément Marteau.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 3, 1797--1831.

Abstract:
We consider the binary supervised classification problem with the Gaussian functional model introduced in ( Math. Methods Statist. 22 (2013) 213–225). Taking advantage of the Gaussian structure, we design a natural plug-in classifier and derive a family of upper bounds on its worst-case excess risk over Sobolev spaces. These bounds are parametrized by a separation distance quantifying the difficulty of the problem, and are proved to be optimal (up to logarithmic factors) through matching minimax lower bounds. Using the recent works of (In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (2014) 3437–3445 Curran Associates) and ( Ann. Statist. 44 (2016) 982–1009), we also derive a logarithmic lower bound showing that the popular $k$-nearest neighbors classifier is far from optimality in this specific functional setting.

Yating Liu, Gilles Pagès.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 2, 1171--1204.

Abstract:
We establish conditions to characterize probability measures by their $L^{p}$-quantization error functions in both $mathbb{R}^{d}$ and Hilbert settings. This characterization is two-fold: static (identity of two distributions) and dynamic (convergence for the $L^{p}$-Wasserstein distance). We first propose a criterion on the quantization level $N$, valid for any norm on $mathbb{R}^{d}$ and any order $p$ based on a geometrical approach involving the Voronoï diagram. Then, we prove that in the $L^{2}$-case on a (separable) Hilbert space, the condition on the level $N$ can be reduced to $N=2$, which is optimal. More quantization based characterization cases in dimension 1 and a discussion of the completeness of a distance defined by the quantization error function can be found at the end of this paper.

Sumit Mukherjee.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 2, 1016--1043.

Abstract:
A sufficient criterion for “non-degeneracy” is given for Exponential Random Graph Models on sparse graphs with sufficient statistics which are functions of the degree sequence. This criterion explains why statistics such as alternating $k$-star are non-degenerate, whereas subgraph counts are degenerate. It is further shown that this criterion is “almost” tight. Existence of consistent estimates is then proved for non-degenerate Exponential Random Graph Models.

Jing Lei.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 1, 767--798.

Abstract:
We provide upper bounds of the expected Wasserstein distance between a probability measure and its empirical version, generalizing recent results for finite dimensional Euclidean spaces and bounded functional spaces. Such a generalization can cover Euclidean spaces with large dimensionality, with the optimal dependence on the dimensionality. Our method also covers the important case of Gaussian processes in separable Hilbert spaces, with rate-optimal upper bounds for functional data distributions whose coordinates decay geometrically or polynomially. Moreover, our bounds of the expected value can be combined with mean-concentration results to yield improved exponential tail probability bounds for the Wasserstein error of empirical measures under Bernstein-type or log Sobolev-type conditions.

Maxim Rabinovich, Aaditya Ramdas, Michael I. Jordan, Martin J. Wainwright.

Source: Bayesian Analysis, Volume 15, Number 2, 505--532.

Abstract:
Slow mixing is the central hurdle is applications of Markov chains, especially those used for Monte Carlo approximations (MCMC). In the setting of Bayesian inference, it is often only of interest to estimate the stationary expectations of a small set of functions, and so the usual definition of mixing based on total variation convergence may be too conservative. Accordingly, we introduce function-specific analogs of mixing times and spectral gaps, and use them to prove Hoeffding-like function-specific concentration inequalities. These results show that it is possible for empirical expectations of functions to concentrate long before the underlying chain has mixed in the classical sense, and we show that the concentration rates we achieve are optimal up to constants. We use our techniques to derive confidence intervals that are sharper than those implied by both classical Markov-chain Hoeffding bounds and Berry-Esseen-corrected central limit theorem (CLT) bounds. For applications that require testing, rather than point estimation, we show similar improvements over recent sequential testing results for MCMC. We conclude by applying our framework to real-data examples of MCMC, providing evidence that our theory is both accurate and relevant to practice.

Guillaume Kon Kam King, Antonio Canale, Matteo Ruggiero.

Source: Bayesian Analysis, Volume 14, Number 4, 1121--1141.

Abstract:
Motivated by the problem of forecasting demand and offer curves, we introduce a class of nonparametric dynamic models with locally-autoregressive behaviour, and provide a full inferential strategy for forecasting time series of piecewise-constant non-decreasing functions over arbitrary time horizons. The model is induced by a non Markovian system of interacting particles whose evolution is governed by a resampling step and a drift mechanism. The former is based on a global interaction and accounts for the volatility of the functional time series, while the latter is determined by a neighbourhood-based interaction with the past curves and accounts for local trend behaviours, separating these from pure noise. We discuss the implementation of the model for functional forecasting by combining a population Monte Carlo and a semi-automatic learning approach to approximate Bayesian computation which require limited tuning. We validate the inference method with a simulation study, and carry out predictive inference on a real dataset on the Italian natural gas market.

T. Tony Cai.

Source: Statistical Science, Volume 34, Number 4, 635--656.

Abstract:
A wide range of nonparametric function estimation models have been studied individually in the literature. Among them the homoscedastic nonparametric Gaussian regression is arguably the best known and understood. Inspired by the asymptotic equivalence theory, Brown, Cai and Zhou ( Ann. Statist. 36 (2008) 2055–2084; Ann. Statist. 38 (2010) 2005–2046) and Brown et al. ( Probab. Theory Related Fields 146 (2010) 401–433) developed a unified approach to turn a collection of non-Gaussian function estimation models into a standard Gaussian regression and any good Gaussian nonparametric regression method can then be used. These Gaussianization Machines have two key components, binning and transformation. When combined with BlockJS, a wavelet thresholding procedure for Gaussian regression, the procedures are computationally efficient with strong theoretical guarantees. Technical analysis given in Brown, Cai and Zhou ( Ann. Statist. 36 (2008) 2055–2084; Ann. Statist. 38 (2010) 2005–2046) and Brown et al. ( Probab. Theory Related Fields 146 (2010) 401–433) shows that the estimators attain the optimal rate of convergence adaptively over a large set of Besov spaces and across a collection of non-Gaussian function estimation models, including robust nonparametric regression, density estimation, and nonparametric regression in exponential families. The estimators are also spatially adaptive. The Gaussianization Machines significantly extend the flexibility and scope of the theories and methodologies originally developed for the conventional nonparametric Gaussian regression. This article aims to provide a concise account of the Gaussianization Machines developed in Brown, Cai and Zhou ( Ann. Statist. 36 (2008) 2055–2084; Ann. Statist. 38 (2010) 2005–2046), Brown et al. ( Probab. Theory Related Fields 146 (2010) 401–433).

John D. Cahoy
Jan 2, 2008; 28:264-278
Cellular

Christina Zelano
Dec 7, 2016; 36:12448-12467
Systems/Circuits

Carrie J. McAdams
Jan 1, 1999; 19:431-441
Articles

Randy L. Buckner
Feb 11, 2009; 29:1860-1873
Neurobiology of Disease

P Seguela
Feb 1, 1993; 13:596-604
Articles

Geoffrey M. Boynton
Jul 1, 1996; 16:4207-4221
Articles

John D. Cahoy
Jan 2, 2008; 28:264-278
Cellular

Op-ed by Agustín Carstens published in the Financial Times on 29 March 2020.

Although the etiology of schizophrenia is still unknown, it is accepted to be a neurodevelopmental disorder that results from the interaction of genetic vulnerabilities and environmental insults. Although schizophrenia's pathophysiology is still unclear, postmortem studies point toward a dysfunction of cortical interneurons as a central element. It has been suggested that alterations in parvalbumin-positive interneurons in schizophrenia are the consequence of a deficient signaling through NMDARs. Animal studies demonstrated that early postnatal ablation of the NMDAR in corticolimbic interneurons induces neurobiochemical, physiological, behavioral, and epidemiological phenotypes related to schizophrenia. Notably, the behavioral abnormalities emerge only after animals complete their maturation during adolescence and are absent if the NMDAR is deleted during adulthood. This suggests that interneuron dysfunction must interact with development to impact on behavior. Here, we assess in vivo how an early NMDAR ablation in corticolimbic interneurons impacts on mPFC and ventral hippocampus functional connectivity before and after adolescence. In juvenile male mice, NMDAR ablation results in several pathophysiological traits, including increased cortical activity and decreased entrainment to local gamma and distal hippocampal theta rhythms. In addition, adult male KO mice showed reduced ventral hippocampus-mPFC-evoked potentials and an augmented low-frequency stimulation LTD of the pathway, suggesting that there is a functional disconnection between both structures in adult KO mice. Our results demonstrate that early genetic abnormalities in interneurons can interact with postnatal development during adolescence, triggering pathophysiological mechanisms related to schizophrenia that exceed those caused by NMDAR interneuron hypofunction alone.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT NMDAR hypofunction in cortical interneurons has been linked to schizophrenia pathophysiology. How a dysfunction of GABAergic cortical interneurons interacts with maturation during adolescence has not been clarified yet. Here, we demonstrate in vivo that early postnatal ablation of the NMDAR in corticolimbic interneurons results in an overactive but desynchronized PFC before adolescence. Final postnatal maturation during this stage outspreads the impact of the genetic manipulation toward a functional disconnection of the ventral hippocampal-prefrontal pathway, probably as a consequence of an exacerbated propensity toward hippocampal-evoked depotentiation plasticity. Our results demonstrate a complex interaction between genetic and developmental factors affecting cortical interneurons and PFC function.

Giving birth triggers a wide repertoire of physiological and behavioral changes in the mother to enable her to feed and care for her offspring. These changes require coordination and are often orchestrated from the CNS, through as of yet poorly understood mechanisms. A neuronal population with a central role in puerperal changes is the tuberoinfundibular dopamine (TIDA) neurons that control release of the pituitary hormone, prolactin, which triggers key maternal adaptations, including lactation and maternal care. Here, we used Ca²⁺ imaging on mice from both sexes and whole-cell recordings on female mouse TIDA neurons in vitro to examine whether they adapt their cellular and network activity according to reproductive state. In the high-prolactin state of lactation, TIDA neurons shift to faster membrane potential oscillations, a reconfiguration that reverses upon weaning. During the estrous cycle, however, which includes a brief, but pronounced, prolactin peak, oscillation frequency remains stable. An increase in the hyperpolarization-activated mixed cation current, I_h, possibly through unmasking as dopamine release drops during nursing, may partially explain the reconfiguration of TIDA rhythms. These findings identify a reversible plasticity in hypothalamic network activity that can serve to adapt the dam for motherhood.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT Motherhood requires profound behavioral and physiological adaptations to enable caring for offspring, but the underlying CNS changes are poorly understood. Here, we show that, during lactation, neuroendocrine dopamine neurons, the "TIDA" cells that control prolactin secretion, reorganize their trademark oscillations to discharge in faster frequencies. Unlike previous studies, which typically have focused on structural and transcriptional changes during pregnancy and lactation, we demonstrate a functional switch in activity and one that, distinct from previously described puerperal modifications, reverses fully on weaning. We further provide evidence that a specific conductance (I_h) contributes to the altered network rhythm. These findings identify a new facet of maternal brain plasticity at the level of membrane properties and consequent ensemble activity.

For visually guided navigation, the use of environmental cues is essential. Particularly, detecting local boundaries that impose limits to locomotion and estimating their location is crucial. In a series of three fMRI experiments, we investigated whether there is a neural coding of navigational distance in the human visual cortex (both female and male). We used virtual reality software to systematically manipulate the distance from a viewer perspective to different types of a boundary. Using a multivoxel pattern classification employing a linear support vector machine, we found that the occipital place area (OPA) is sensitive to the navigational distance restricted by the transparent glass wall. Further, the OPA was sensitive to a non-crossable boundary only, suggesting an importance of the functional constraint of a boundary. Together, we propose the OPA as a perceptual source of external environmental features relevant for navigation.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT One of major goals in cognitive neuroscience has been to understand the nature of visual scene representation in human ventral visual cortex. An aspect of scene perception that has been overlooked despite its ecological importance is the analysis of space for navigation. One of critical computation necessary for navigation is coding of distance to environmental boundaries that impose limit on navigator's movements. This paper reports the first empirical evidence for coding of navigational distance in the human visual cortex and its striking sensitivity to functional constraint of environmental boundaries. Such finding links the paper to previous neurological and behavioral works that emphasized the distance to boundaries as a crucial geometric property for reorientation behavior of children and other animal species.

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