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NHC NAVTEX Marine Forecast (New Orleans, LA)


000
FZNT27 KNHC 091526
OFFN06

NAVTEX Marine Forecast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1126 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available
through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed
Coastal Waters Forecasts...

.SYNOPSIS...A cold front from extends from the Florida Big Bend
to 28N90W to 25N95W then transitions to a stationary front to
22N98W. A surface trough is ahead of the front in the Bay of
Campeche. The front will move to the central Gulf waters today
and gradually stall through Sun. An area of low pressure is
expected to develop over the SW Gulf today, and track NE toward
South Florida on Sun. The stalled front will then transition
back to a cold front and exit the southeastern Gulf on Mon.
Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms will impact most of
the southern and eastern Gulf waters this weekend.

Northwest Gulf of Mexico

.THIS AFTERNOON...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

North Central and Northeast Gulf of Mexico

.THIS AFTERNOON...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.




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NHC Gulf of Mexico Offshore Waters Forecast


000
FZNT24 KNHC 091521
OFFNT4

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1121 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico

Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.

GMZ001-100330-
Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico
1121 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.SYNOPSIS...A cold front from extends from the Florida Big Bend
to 28N90W to 25N95W then transitions to a stationary front to
22N98W. A surface trough is ahead of the front in the Bay of
Campeche. The front will move to the central Gulf waters today
and gradually stall through Sun. An area of low pressure is
expected to develop over the SW Gulf today, and track NE toward
South Florida on Sun. The stalled front will then transition back
to a cold front and exit the southeastern Gulf on Mon. Numerous
showers and scattered thunderstorms will impact most of the
southern and eastern Gulf waters this weekend.

$$

GMZ011-100330-
NW Gulf including Stetson Bank-
1121 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers
and isolated tstms.
.SUN...E winds 10 kt, shifting to NE to E 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

GMZ013-100330-
N Central Gulf including Flower Garden Banks Marine Sanctuary-
1121 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers
and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

GMZ015-100330-
NE Gulf N of 25N E of 87W-
1121 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...NE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and NE 15 to 20 kt
elsewhere. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and
isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

GMZ017-100330-
W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W-
1121 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt W of 96W, and E 10 kt
elsewhere. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered tstms.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

GMZ019-100330-
Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 87W and 94W-
1121 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt S of 24N, and E 10 to 15 kt
elsewhere. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered tstms.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous showers
and scattered tstms.
.SUN...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

GMZ021-100330-
E Gulf from 22N to 25N E of 87W including Straits of Florida-
1121 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Numerous
showers and scattered tstms.
.SUN...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous
showers and scattered tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.MON...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

GMZ023-100330-
SW Gulf S of 22N W of 94W-
1121 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...NW winds 20 to 25 kt S of 21N W of 95W, and N to NE
10 to 15 kt elsewhere. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered tstms.
.TONIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers
and isolated tstms.
.SUN...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and
isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

GMZ025-100330-
E Bay of Campeche including Campeche Bank-
1121 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Numerous
showers and scattered tstms.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N in the afternoon.
Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

Forecaster Ramos




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Scientists make progress in earthquake forecasting

Team of scientists and engineers head to the heart of earthquake country to learn more about predicting when and where an earthquake will happen — before the



  • Research & Innovations

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We've got the weather forecast for 2050 (and it doesn't look very good)

Weather Channel's futuristic weather report is based on current climate science and was released as part of the U.N. Climate Summit.



  • Climate & Weather

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Forecast for U.S.: Weird but eventful

Six more weeks of winter, eh? The bizarre weather outside is more like spring, with a blizzard in Denver and tornado warnings and watches elsewhere all in the s



  • Climate & Weather

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Nine Built-in Counters/Timers to measure equipment operating cycles and times and forecast maintenance timing

Topics




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Flood forecasting firm Previsico launches nationwide

InsurTech Futures: The firm is looking to partner with commercial and HNW brokers.




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Annual Forecast for 2006 : Year of the Yang Red Fire Dog - General Analysis

General Yearly Forecast for the Chinese Lunar Year Yang Red Fire Dog (29.01.2006 to 17.02.2007) that deals with political, economical and general matters. What industries will thrive and what fields will fluctuate ? What type of health problems will dominate and what type of thought forms will get boosted ? Read on ...




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Annual Forecasts & Fengshui Remedies for 2006: Year of the Yang Red Fire Dog - for Rat Sign

If you were born in the Year of Rat or Mouse (1912, 1924, 1936, 1948, 1960, 1972, 1984, 1996) as per Chinese Astrology, know how you will fare in 2006 in your Career/Business, Health, Wealth, Harmony and Love. Be aware of your strengths and be warned of the negative energy that you may have to face, to plan your strategies well ahead. Get to know the Fengshui Enhancers and Cures that can help you, too.




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Annual Forecasts & Fengshui Remedies for 2006 : Year of the Yang Red Fire Dog - for Ox Sign

If you were born in the Year of Ox or Buffalo or Bull or Cow (1913, 1925, 1937, 1949, 1961, 1973, 1985, 1997) as per Chinese Astrology, know how you will fare in 2006 in your Career/Business, Health, Wealth, Harmony and Love. Be aware of your strengths and be warned of the negative energy that you may have to face, to plan your strategies well ahead. Get to know the Fengshui Enhancers and Cures that can help you, too.




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Annual Forecasts & Fengshui Remedies for 2006 : Year of the Yang Red Fire Dog - for Tiger Sign

If you were born in the Year of Tiger (1914, 1926, 1938, 1950, 1962, 1974, 1986, 1998) as per Chinese Astrology, know how you will fare in 2006 in your Career/Business, Health, Wealth, Harmony and Love. Be aware of your strengths and be warned of the negative energy that you may have to face, to plan your strategies well ahead. Get to know the Fengshui Enhancers and Cures that can help you, too.




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Annual Forecasts & Fengshui Remedies for 2006 : Year of the Yang Red Fire Dog - for Rabbit Sign

If you were born in the Year of Rabbit or Hare or Cat (1915, 1927, 1939, 1951, 1963,1975, 1987, 1999) as per Chinese Astrology, know how you will fare in 2006 in your Career/Business, Health, Wealth, Harmony and Love. Be aware of your strengths and be warned of the negative energy that you may have to face, to plan your strategies well ahead. Get to know the Fengshui Enhancers and Cures that can help you, too.




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Annual Forecasts & Fengshui Remedies for 2006 : Year of the Yang Red Fire Dog - for Dragon Sign

If you were born in the Year of Dragon (1904, 1916, 1928, 1940, 1952, 1964, 1976, 1988, 2000) as per Chinese Astrology, know how you will fare in 2006 in your Career/Business, Health, Wealth, Harmony and Love. Be aware of your strengths and be warned of the negative energy that you may have to face, to plan your strategies well ahead. Get to know the Fengshui Enhancers and Cures that can help you, too.




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Annual Forecasts & Fengshui Remedies for 2006 : Year of the Yang Red Fire Dog - for Snake Sign

If you were born in the Year of Snake (1905, 1917, 1929, 1941, 1953, 1965, 1977, 1989, 2001) as per Chinese Astrology, know how you will fare in 2006 in your Career/Business, Health, Wealth, Harmony and Love. Be aware of your strengths and be warned of the negative energy that you may have to face, to plan your strategies well ahead. Get to know the Fengshui Enhancers and Cures that can help you, too.




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Annual Forecasts & Fengshui Remedies for 2006 : Year of the Yang Red Fire Dog - for Horse Sign

If you were born in the Year of Horse (1906, 1918, 1930, 1942, 1954, 1966, 1978, 1990, 2002) as per Chinese Astrology, know how you will fare in 2006 in your Career/Business, Health, Wealth, Harmony and Love. Be aware of your strengths and be warned of the negative energy that you may have to face, to plan your strategies well ahead. Get to know the Fengshui Enhancers and Cures that can help you, too.




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Annual Forecasts & Fengshui Remedies for 2006 : Year of the Yang Red Fire Dog - for Goat Sign

If you were born in the Year of Goat or Sheep or Ram (1907, 1919, 1931, 1943, 1955, 1967, 1979, 1991, 2003) as per Chinese Astrology, know how you will fare in 2006 in your Career/Business, Health, Wealth, Harmony and Love. Be aware of your strengths and be warned of the negative energy that you may have to face, to plan your strategies well ahead. Get to know the Fengshui Enhancers and Cures that can help you, too.




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Annual Forecasts & Fengshui Remedies for 2006 : Year of the Yang Red Fire Dog - for Monkey Sign

If you were born in the Year of Monkey (1908, 1920, 1932, 1944, 1956, 1968, 1980, 1992, 2004) as per Chinese Astrology, know how you will fare in 2006 in your Career/Business, Health, Wealth, Harmony and Love. Be aware of your strengths andbe warned of the negative energy that you may have to face, to plan your strategies well ahead. Get to know the Fengshui Enhancers and Cures that can help you, too.




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Annual Forecasts & Fengshui Remedies for 2006 : Year of the Yang Red Fire Dog - for Rooster Sign

If you were born in the Year of Rooster or Hen or Cock or Chicken or Phoenix (1909, 1921, 1933, 1945, 1957, 1969, 1981, 1993, 2005) as per Chinese Astrology, know how you will fare in 2006 in your Career/Business, Health, Wealth, Harmony and Love. Be aware of your strengths and be warned of the negative energy that you may have to face, to plan your strategies well ahead. Get to know the Fengshui Enhancers and Cures that can help you, too.




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Annual Forecasts & Fengshui Remedies for 2006 : Year of the Yang Red Fire Dog - for Dog Sign

If you were born in the Year of Dog (1910, 1922, 1934, 1946, 1958, 1970, 1982, 1994, 2006) as per Chinese Astrology, know how you will fare in 2006 in your Career/Business, Health, Wealth, Harmony and Love. Be aware of your strengths and be warned of the negative energy that you may have to face, to plan your strategies well ahead. Get to know the Fengshui Enhancers and Cures that can help you, too.




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Annual Forecasts & Fengshui Remedies for 2006 : Year of the Yang Red Fire Dog - for Pig Sign

If you were born in the Year of Pig or Boar or Hog (1911, 1923, 1935, 1947, 1959, 1971, 1983, 1995) as per Chinese Astrology, know how you will fare in 2006 in your Career/Business, Health, Wealth, Harmony and Love. Be aware of your strengths and be warned of the negative energy that you may have to face, to plan your strategies well ahead. Get to know the Fengshui Enhancers and Cures that can help you, too.




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Pet Car Seat Cover Market in US 2018-2023 Size, Forecast, Risks, Opportunities Till 2023

Key contents of the report include: Market size and Forecast- Segmented By Sales channel (E-retailers and Retail outlets) by Geography (North East, West, Mid-West and South),Market Dynamics, Competitive Landscape and Company Profiles




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A Market Research Report on Class 8 Truck Market in North America - Size, Forecast, Risks, Opportunities Till 2022

Key contents of the report include: Market size and Forecast- Segmented By Application (Linehaul and Vocational), Fuel Type and Country. Market Dynamics-Trends, Drivers and Challenges. Competitive Landscape and Profile of Class 8 Truck OEMs.




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Class 8 Truck ADAS Market in North America 2017-2022 - Size, Forecast, Risks, Opportunities Till 2022

Key contents of the report include-Market size and Forecast Segmented by, Application (Vocational, Long-haul, and Regional haul) and Technology (Collision Mitigation System, LDW, FCC, ACC,ESC and ABS), Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape




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Pebble Mine Keynote Panel, Maritime Economic Forecast Breakfast, and Presentation of Port of Seattle Capital Investment Plan highlight Pacific Marine Expo, Nov. 21 -23 in Seattle

53rd Pacific Marine Expo, the West Coast's largest commercial marine and fishing trade show, set for the CenturyLink Field Event Center Nov. 21 through Nov. 23. Last year's Expo attracted more than 6,000 visitors from 40 states and 24 countries.




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GENCapital's Andy Murphy to Moderate "2020 Equities Forecast" Panel at Southeast RIA Summit

The event is a Southeast-focused educational networking meeting for Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs) to discuss investment strategy, global trends and best practices.




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DFC Intelligence Forecasts Consumer Video Game Spending to Reach $250 Billion in 2023

Sony PlayStation 5 and Microsoft Project Scarlett Are Major Growth Drivers




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Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For ObsEva SA (NASDAQ:OBSV) After Its First-Quarter Results

Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 30% over the past week following ObsEva SA's (NASDAQ:OBSV) latest...





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Earnings Miss: Consolidated Edison, Inc. Missed EPS By 19% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Consolidated Edison, Inc. (NYSE:ED), given that the company fell...





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Gold Price Forecast – Prices Could Exceed $10,000 This Decade

Each decade has an investment theme that favors one asset class over another. What performed well over the last decade generally underperforms during the next.





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Forecasting Stories 3: Each Time-series Component Sings a Different Song

With time-series decomposition, we were able to infer that the consumers were waiting for the highest sale of the year rather than buying up-front.




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Six Rules for Effective Forecasting

Paul Saffo, technology forecaster and author of the HBR article "Six Rules for Effective Forecasting."




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We Need Economic Forecasters Even Though We Can’t Trust Them

Walter Friedman, director of the Business History Initiative at Harvard Business School, on the pioneers of market prediction.




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Fitch cuts India growth forecast to 5.1% for FY'21 in wake of coronavirus outbreak

In its Global Economic Outlook 2020, Fitch said the number of people affected by coronavirus will keep rising in the coming weeks but that the outbreak will remain contained. However, there are downside risks to this scenario.




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Financial Forecasting: Why it is still about being roughly right than precisely wrong

Paradoxically and fatally, just when risk of a downturn is at its highest, optimism also ends up peaking! So be careful with your forecasts; and even more careful with the forecasts of others.




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RBI's Monetary Policy Report forecasts global recession, says India's growth outlook "drastically altered"

RBI's Monetary Policy Report forecasts global recession, says India's growth outlook "drastically altered"





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Morning forecast: Sunny and chilly

Morning Star Tribune Local Twin Cities (Minneapolis/St. Paul) Weather Video Forecast




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Afternoon forecast: 48, sun, aggressive wind

Afternoon Star Tribune Local Twin Cities (Minneapolis/St. Paul) Weather Video Forecast




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Evening forecast: Low of 35 ahead of cooldown; freezing mark reached in spots

Evening Star Tribune Local Twin Cities (Minneapolis/St. Paul) Weather Video Forecast




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Morning forecast: 61, cloudy, wet weather on the way

Morning Star Tribune Local Twin Cities (Minneapolis/St. Paul) Weather Video Forecast




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Afternoon forecast: 61, wet weather on the way

Afternoon Star Tribune Local Twin Cities (Minneapolis/St. Paul) Weather Video Forecast




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New coronavirus forecasting model

Kostya Medvedovsky writes: I wanted to direct your attention to the University of Texas COVID-19 Modeling Consortium’s new projections. They’re very similar to the IMHE model you’ve covered before, and had some calibration issues. However, per the writeup by Spencer Woody et al., they do three things you may be interested in: They fix an […]




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Calibration and recalibration. And more recalibration. IHME forecasts by publication date

Carlos Ungil writes: The IHME released an update to their model yesterday. Using now a better model and taking into account the relaxation of mitigation measures their forecast for US deaths has almost doubled to 134k (95% uncertainty range 95k-243k). My [Ungil’s] charts of the evolution of forecasts across time can be found here. I […]




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A Clear Picture of Smoke: Bluesky Smoke Forecasting

Over the last several decades, the overall air quality goal in the United States has been to protect public health and clear skies by reducing emissions. At the same time, however, the risk of catastrophic fire has been rising in forests around the country as overly dense trees and understory brush crowd the stands.




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‘Warning Bells Going Off’ as NOAA Forecasts Entire Great Barrier Reef at Risk of Coral Bleaching and Death

By Jessica Corbett Common Dreams “This is a wake-up call,” says one Australian marine biologist. “Given sea temperatures usually increase as we get towards March, this is probably conservative.” Delivering yet another “wake-up call” after recent studies have shown that … Continue reading




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‘Warning Bells Going Off’ as NOAA Forecasts Entire Great Barrier Reef at Risk of Coral Bleaching and Death

By Jessica Corbett Common Dreams “This is a wake-up call,” says one Australian marine biologist. “Given sea temperatures usually increase as we get towards March, this is probably conservative.” Delivering yet another “wake-up call” after recent studies have shown that … Continue reading




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Knowledge Enhanced Neural Fashion Trend Forecasting. (arXiv:2005.03297v1 [cs.IR])

Fashion trend forecasting is a crucial task for both academia and industry. Although some efforts have been devoted to tackling this challenging task, they only studied limited fashion elements with highly seasonal or simple patterns, which could hardly reveal the real fashion trends. Towards insightful fashion trend forecasting, this work focuses on investigating fine-grained fashion element trends for specific user groups. We first contribute a large-scale fashion trend dataset (FIT) collected from Instagram with extracted time series fashion element records and user information. Further-more, to effectively model the time series data of fashion elements with rather complex patterns, we propose a Knowledge EnhancedRecurrent Network model (KERN) which takes advantage of the capability of deep recurrent neural networks in modeling time-series data. Moreover, it leverages internal and external knowledge in fashion domain that affects the time-series patterns of fashion element trends. Such incorporation of domain knowledge further enhances the deep learning model in capturing the patterns of specific fashion elements and predicting the future trends. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed KERN model can effectively capture the complicated patterns of objective fashion elements, therefore making preferable fashion trend forecast.




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DFSeer: A Visual Analytics Approach to Facilitate Model Selection for Demand Forecasting. (arXiv:2005.03244v1 [cs.HC])

Selecting an appropriate model to forecast product demand is critical to the manufacturing industry. However, due to the data complexity, market uncertainty and users' demanding requirements for the model, it is challenging for demand analysts to select a proper model. Although existing model selection methods can reduce the manual burden to some extent, they often fail to present model performance details on individual products and reveal the potential risk of the selected model. This paper presents DFSeer, an interactive visualization system to conduct reliable model selection for demand forecasting based on the products with similar historical demand. It supports model comparison and selection with different levels of details. Besides, it shows the difference in model performance on similar products to reveal the risk of model selection and increase users' confidence in choosing a forecasting model. Two case studies and interviews with domain experts demonstrate the effectiveness and usability of DFSeer.




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System and method for forecasting production from a hydrocarbon reservoir

A system and method is taught to substantially automate forecasting for a hydrocarbon producing reservoir through integration of modeling module workflows. A control management module automatically generates static and dynamic offspring models, with static and dynamic modeling software, until a performance objective associated with the forecasting of the reservoir is satisfied. The performance objective can include an experimental design table to determine a sensitivity of a particular parameter or can be directed towards reservoir optimization, i.e., ultimate hydrocarbon recovery, net present value, reservoir percentage yield, reservoir fluid flow rate, or history matching error.




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Computer-implemented systems and methods for testing large scale automatic forecast combinations

Systems and methods are provided for evaluating performance of forecasting models. A plurality of forecasting models may be generated using a set of in-sample data. Two or more forecasting models from the plurality of forecasting models may be selected for use in generating a combined forecast. An ex-ante combined forecast may be generated for an out-of-sample period using the selected two or more forecasting models. The ex-ante combined forecast may then be compared with a set of actual out-of-sample data to evaluate performance of the combined forecast.




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Composite joint filler seal material for joints in precast concrete structures

An apparatus for filling joints in precast concrete structures includes a core that has exceptionally low creep and conforms to ASTM D 1752 made of controlled particle size composites of recycled cellular rubber and plastic materials in the form of a rectangular slab. Holes are drilled through a central area and countersink recesses are formed around the holes. An outer coating of a thermoplastic polyurethane/polyurea elastomer system of a thickness of 0.075 inch covers the slab and countersink recesses. The coated core is abrasion and UV resistant while having the creep characteristics needed to make a dam expansion joint filler.