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Israel’s fury over UN settlement ‘blacklist’ is only the beginning

The United Nations Human Rights office has made public a long-awaited catalogue of 112 companies doing business in Israeli settlements in the West Bank. The blacklist, which was four years in the making and released last Wednesday, sent the Israeli government, members of the U.S. Congress, and the White House into a frenzy. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, in particular,…

       




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Examining the root causes of America’s unsustainable fiscal path

Projected fiscal shortfalls pose an important long-term challenge to U.S. policy makers.  Important though debt and deficits may be, the best current economic analysis suggests that the problem of fiscal imbalance is not as urgent as it appeared to be in the past.  Further- more, this problem must take its place among the many challenges…

       




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Public pension reform in the U.S. presidential campaign

       




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COVID-19 has revealed a flaw in public health systems. Here’s how to fix it.

To be capable of surveilling, preventing, and managing disease outbreaks, public health systems require trustworthy, community-embedded public health workers who are empowered to undertake their tasks as professionals. The world has not invested in this cadre of health workers, despite the lessons from Ebola. In a new paper, my co-authors and I discuss why, and…

       




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U.S. Public Diplomacy For Cuba: Why It's Needed and How to Do It

INTRODUCTION

U.S. public diplomacy with Cuba — or the United States engaging with Cuban public opinion — is an intriguing subject. The principal reason for this is because it has never been tried. There was no attempt before the 1959 Revolution because the United States had no need to convince the Cuban government and people of why the United States mattered to them. In almost every aspect of life it was impossible to conceive of Cuba without the United States. Fidel Castro’s Revolution changed that. And since the Revolution, the Castro regime has carefully molded the United States as the arch enemy of the Cuban people. Successive U.S. administrations have made little effort to banish that impression while U.S. public diplomacy has been largely aimed at the Cuban-American exile community.

The public diplomacy challenge for the United States with Cuba is exciting but also formidable. The Cuban Government has had many years experience of controlling access to information and shackling freedom of expression. The public diplomacy messages that the United States will send will be distorted and blocked. Nevertheless there are growing signs that Cubans on the island are accessing new technologies so information does get through, particularly to residents of the major cities. Expansion of people-to-people exchanges and a lifting of the travel ban on ordinary Americans would greatly assist any public diplomacy campaign. But public diplomacy can start without this and the Cuban government’s capacity to block messages is no argument for not transmitting them.

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Authors

  • Paul Hare
      
 
 




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How school closures during COVID-19 further marginalize vulnerable children in Kenya

On March 15, 2020, the Kenyan government abruptly closed schools and colleges nationwide in response to COVID-19, disrupting nearly 17 million learners countrywide. The social and economic costs will not be borne evenly, however, with devastating consequences for marginalized learners. This is especially the case for girls in rural, marginalized communities like the Maasai, Samburu,…

       




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Webinar: Valuing Black lives and property in America’s Black cities

The deliberate devaluation of Black-majority cities stems from a longstanding legacy of discriminatory policies. The lack of investment in Black homes, family structures, businesses, schools, and voters has had far-reaching, negative economic and social effects. White supremacy and privilege are deeply ingrained into American public policy, and remain pervasive forces that hinder meaningful investment in…

     




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Webinar: Public health and COVID-19 in MENA: Impact, response and outlook

The coronavirus pandemic has exacted a devastating human toll on the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, with over 300,000 confirmed cases and 11,000 deaths to date. It has also pushed the region’s public healthcare systems to their limits, though countries differ greatly in their capacities to test, trace, quarantine, and treat affected individuals. MENA governments…

     




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2004 Brookings Blum Roundtable: America's Role in the Fight Against Global Poverty


Event Information

July 30-31, 2004

On July 30-31, 2004, more than 40 preeminent international leaders from the public, private, and non-profit sectors came together at the Aspen Institute to discuss "America's Role in the Fight Against Global Poverty" and to set out a forward-looking strategy for the United States.

Co-hosted by Richard C. Blum of Blum Capital Partners LP, the Brookings Institution's Poverty and Global Economy Initiative, the Aspen Institute, and Realizing Rights: The Ethical Globalization Initiative, the group's aim was to explore the dilemma of global poverty from different perspectives, to disaggregate the seemingly intractable problem into more manageable challenges, and to identify key elements of an effective U.S. policy agenda.

With roundtable participants hailing from around the world and representing diverse experiences and approaches, the dialogue was as multifaceted as the challenge of poverty itself. Rather than simply summarize conference proceedings, this essay attempts to weave together the thoughtful exchanges, impassioned calls to action, fresh insights, and innovative ideas that characterized the discussion, and to set the stage for ongoing collaboration in the struggle for human dignity.

Helping to define the issues, share and encourage what works, and build the intellectual framework for such an enterprise will be the guiding mission of the Richard C. Blum Roundtable in the years ahead.


View the full report »
View the conference agenda »
View the participant list »

     
 
 




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2005 Brookings Blum Roundtable: The Private Sector in the Fight Against Global Poverty


Event Information

August 3-6, 2005

From August 3 to 6, 2005, fifty preeminent international leaders from the public, private, and nonprofit sectors came together at the Aspen Institute for a roundtable, "The Private Sector in the Fight against Global Poverty."

The roundtable was hosted by Richard C. Blum of Blum Capital Partners and Strobe Talbott and Lael Brainard of the Brookings Institution, with the active support of honorary cochairs Walter Isaacson of the Aspen Institute and Mary Robinson of Realizing Rights: The Ethical Globalization Initiative. By highlighting the power of the market to help achieve social and economic progress in the world's poorest nations, the roundtable's organizers hoped to galvanize the private, public, and nonprofit sectors to move beyond argument and analysis to action. Put simply, as Brookings president Strobe Talbott explained, the roundtable's work was "brainstorming with a purpose."

With experts hailing from around the world and representing diverse sectors and approaches, the dialogue was as multilayered as the challenge of poverty itself. Rather than summarize the conference proceedings, this essay weaves together the thoughtful observations, fresh insights, and innovative ideas that characterized the discussion. A companion volume, Transforming the Development Landscape: The Role of the Private Sector, contains papers by conference participants, providing in-depth analysis of each conference topic.

View the 2005 report » (PDF)
View the conference agenda »
View the list participants »

     
 
 




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2006 Brookings Blum Roundtable: The Tangled Web - The Poverty-Insecurity Nexus


Event Information

Register for the Event

In a world where borders matter less and where seemingly faraway threats can become immediate problems, the fight against poverty is no longer a matter of just doing the right thing – it is a matter of doing the smart thing to ensure security at home and abroad. As seen across the globe, by exhausting institutions, depleting resources, weakening leaders and crushing hope, extreme poverty fuels instability that often leads to armed conflict and can be a breeding ground for terrorists. The reverse is also true: insecurity stemming from conflict and demographic and environmental challenges makes it harder for leaders, institutions and other stakeholders to address poverty. Simply put, poverty is both a cause of insecurity and a product of it.

To explore this tangled web, in August 2006 the Brookings Blum roundtable discussed the challenges and possible solutions with a diverse group of leaders, including policymakers, business executives and academics, and developed recommendations for change.

2006 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Related Materials

2006 Brookings Blum Roundtable Agenda:
  1. Global Poverty, Conflict and Insecurity
  • Susan Rice, The Brookings Institution, "Global Poverty, Weak States and Insecurity"
  • Edward Miguel, University of California, Berkeley, "Global Poverty, Conflict and Insecurity"
  1. Operating in Insecure Environments
  • Jane Nelson, Harvard University, "Operating in Insecure Environments"
  1. Keynote Address: "Achieving Peace in an Inequitable World"
  • James D. Wolfensohn, Chairman of Citigroup International Advisory Board and Former President of the World Bank
  1. The Role of Leadership in Overcoming Poverty & Security in Africa
    Chaired by: Mary Robinson, Realizing Rights: The Ethical Globalization Initiative
  • Robert Rotberg, Harvard University, "The Role of Leadership in Overcoming Poverty & Insecurity in Africa"

Leadership Presentations:

    • Mohammed Ibrahim, Chairman, Celtel International
    • John Kachamila, Former Minister, Mozambique
    • Ketumile Masire, Former President of Botswana
  1. Resource and Environmental Insecurity
  • Colin Kahl, University of Minnesota, "Demography, Environment and Civil Strife"
  • Anthony Nyong, University of Jos, Nigeria, "Resource and Environmental Security"
  1. Keynote Address
  • Kemal Dervis, Administrator, United Nations Development Programme
  1. Youth and Conflict
  • Henrik Urdal, The International Peace Research Institute, "The Demographics of Political Violence: Youth Bulges, Insecurity and Conflict"
  • Marc Sommers, Tufts University, "Embracing The Margins: Working with Youth Amidst War and Insecurity"
  • Jane Nelson, Harvard University, "Operating in Insecure Environments: The Youth Demographic"
  1. Transformational Diplomacy and the Route to Security
  • Jennifer Windsor, Freedom House, "Breaking the Poverty-Insecurity Nexus: Is Democracy the Answer?"

Presentations:

    • Philip Zelikow, United States Department of State
    • Madeleine Albright, 64th Secretary of State
    • Mary K. Bush, Chairman, HELP Commission
    • Lael Brainard, The Global Economy and Development Program, The Brookings Institution
      
 
 




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2007 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Development's Changing Face - New Players, Old Challenges, Fresh Opportunities


Event Information

August 1-3, 2007

Register for the Event
From a bureaucratic backwater in the waning days of the Cold War, the fight against global poverty has become one of the hottest tickets on the global agenda. The cozy, all-of-a-kind club of rich country officials who for decades dominated the development agenda has given way to a profusion of mega philanthropists, new bilaterals such as China, "celanthropists" and super-charged advocacy networks vying to solve the world's toughest problems. While philanthropic foundations and celebrity goodwill ambassadors have been part of the charitable landscape for many years, the explosion in the givers' wealth, the messaging leverage associated with new media and social networking, and the new flows of assistance from developing country donors and diasporas together herald a new era of global action on poverty. The new scale and dynamism of these entrants offer hopeful prospects for this continuing fight, even as the new entrants confront some of the same conundrums that official aid donors have grappled with in the past.

On August 1-3, 2007, the Brookings Blum Roundtable gathered representatives reflective of this dynamic landscape to discuss these trends. Through robust discussion and continuing cross-sector partnerships, the conference hopes to foster lasting and widespread improvements in this new field of development.

2007 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Related Materials

2007 Brookings Blum Roundtable Agenda:

  1. Fighting Global Poverty: Who'll Be Relevant In 2020?
  2. Angelina, Bono, And Me: New Vehicles To Engage The Public
  3. Leveraging Knowledge For Development
  4. Social Enterprise And Private Enterprise
    Chaired by: Mary Robinson, Realizing Rights: The Ethical Globalization Initiative
  5. Africa's Economic Successes: What's Worked And What's Next
    Moderated by: Paul Martin, former Prime Minister of Canada
      Panelists
    • Donald Kaberuka, African Development Bank
    • Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, The Brookings Institution
  6. Effecting Change Through Accountable Channels
  7. Global Impact: Philanthropy Changing Development
  8. Keynote Address
    • Former Vice President Al Gore, Generation Investment Management
      
 
 




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2008 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Development in the Balance - How Will the World’s Poor Cope with Climate Change?


Event Information

August 1-3, 2008

Global poverty and climate change are two of the most pressing challenges for global policymakers today, and require policy prescriptions that address their interrelated issues. Effective climate solutions must empower development by improving livelihoods, health and economic prospects while poverty alleviation must become a central strategy for both mitigating emissions and reducing the poor’s vulnerability to climate change.

2008 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Related Materials

In its fifth annual gathering, led by Lael Brainard and co-chaired by Strobe Talbott and Richard C. Blum, the Brookings Blum Roundtable addressed the challenges of climate change and development and convened leaders from both the development and climate change communities from August 1-3, 2008, to discuss and debate policy ideas that could benefit both fronts. By examining common challenges—accountability, effective deployment of resources, agenda-setting, mobilizing the public and financial resources, and achieving scale and sustainability—the Roundtable established a solid foundation for collaboration among the climate change and development communities and fostered ideas for policy action.

Keynote Sessions

Keynote Panel: “Noble Nobels: Solutions to Save the Planet”

  • Steven Chu, University of California, Berkeley
  • Al Gore, Generation Investment Management; 45th Vice President of the United States

Keynote Panel: Legal Empowerment of the Poor

  • Mary Robinson, Realizing Rights: The Ethical Globalization Initiative
  • Madeline Albright, The Albright Group; Former U.S. Secretary of State

Keynote Panel: “How Do We Achieve Climate Justice?”

  • Kumi Naidoo, CIVICUS and the Global Call to Action Against Poverty
  • Mary Robinson, Realizing Rights: The Ethical Globalization Initiative

      
 
 




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2009 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Climate Crisis, Credit Crisis - Overcoming Obstacles to Build a Climate Resilient World


Event Information

July 30 - August 1, 2009

In the midst of a global economic downturn, the world’s climate change negotiators will descend on Copenhagen in December to craft a post-2012 climate regime. But with the timing and impacts of climate change still uncertain—not to mention the ongoing transitions brought about by globalization and the increased cost of capital investment due to weak financial markets—tensions across countries are evident. Policy-makers must now think creatively to realize their goal of revitalizing the global economy through low carbon growth models.

2009 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Related Materials

In its sixth annual gathering, led by Kemal Derviş and co-chaired by Strobe Talbott and Richard C. Blum, the Brookings Blum Roundtable convened leaders from the climate change and global development communities from July 30 through August 1, 2009 to discuss and debate policy options to stimulate green, pro-poor growth. By examining the challenges and opportunities policymakers face, the roundtable forged sustainable solutions to solve the climate crisis in a way that revitalizes the global economy and lifts the lives of the poor.

Lunch Briefing: 

“Towards a Global Climate Agreement: Key Insights from Project Catalyst”

    Keynote Sessions:

    “A Blueprint for Transatlantic Climate Cooperation”

      “Compounding Crises: How Can and How Are the Poor Protecting Themselves?”

        “Greening Business: Engaging the Private Sector in Climate Change Solutions”

        • Hal Harvey, ClimateWorks Foundation
        • Thomas Heller, Stanford Law School
        • Moderator: William Antholis, Brookings
        • John Podesta, Center for American Progress
        • Cem Özdemir, German Green Party
        • Moderator: Timothy Wirth, United Nations Foundation
        • Ernest Aryeetey, University of Ghana and Director, Africa Growth Initiative at Brookings
        • Helen Clark, United Nations Development Program
        • Raymond Offenheiser, Oxfam America
        • Moderator: Karen Kornbluh, Center for American Progress
        • Meg McDonald, Alcoa Foundation
        • Jane Nelson, Harvard Kennedy School of Government
        • Glenn Prickett, Conservation International
        • Mark Tercek, the Nature Conservancy
        •       
           
           




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          2010 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Development Assistance Reform for the 21st Century


          Event Information

          August 4-6, 2010

          From high-profile stabilization contexts like Afghanistan to global public health campaigns to a renewed focus on sustainable food security and the looming impacts of climate change, development effectiveness is a central and hotly debated issue. As traditional donors make progress in the international aid effectiveness dialogue, they must increasingly take into account the changing global development landscape and the slew of new actors, including emerging donors, multinational corporations, mega philanthropists, high-profile advocates, and a vocal and energized global public.

          2010 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Related Materials

          The seventh annual Brookings Blum Roundtable, led by Kemal Derviş and co-chaired by Richard C. Blum and Strobe Talbott, convened over 40 exceptional international thought leaders, entrepreneurs and practitioners to explore the relationship between efforts to promote aid effectiveness and the anticipated shape of the global development agenda over the next decade. The roundtable discussions provided an opportunity to look beyond questions of increased resources for anti-poverty services to the effectiveness of different approaches and to systemic issues associated with the delivery of development outcomes. The high-level group of participants explored opportunities for new commitment in engaging the private sector and multilateral actors, as well as the increasingly important role of climate assistance and operations in instable arenas. Over separate meal conversations, Dr. Donald Kaberuka, president of the African Development Bank, and Dr. Rajiv Shah, administrator of the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), reflected on the current and future roles of their organizations, and how they could each act on the suggestions put forward at the roundtable.

                
           
           




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          2011 Brookings Blum Roundtable: From Aid to Global Development Cooperation


          Event Information

          August 3-5, 2011

          Aspen, Colorado

          Register for the Event

          The context for aid is changing. Globalization has spurred economic convergence, upending the twentieth century economic balance and creating a smaller world where both problems and solutions spill across national borders more readily. This has given rise to a legion of new development actors, including emerging economies, NGOs, private businesses, and coordinating networks, who have brought fresh energy and resources to the field while rendering the prospect of genuine donor coordination ever more difficult. Global integration and competition for resources has raised the prominence of global public goods, whose equitable and sustainable provision requires international collective action. Meanwhile, poor countries are demanding a new form of partnership with the international community, built upon the principles of country ownership and mutual accountability.

          2011 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Related Materials

          From G-20 meetings and the upcoming High Level Forum on Aid Effectiveness in Korea to unfolding events in the Middle East and North Africa, leadership from the United States is crucial, placing pressure on the Obama administration to deliver on its promise of far-reaching reforms to U.S. global development efforts. And amidst this shifting global landscape is the issue of effectively communicating the importance of global development cooperation to both a national and global public, at a time when budget pressures are being felt across many of the world’s major economies

          At the eighth annual Brookings Blum Roundtable, co-chaired by Kemal Derviş and Richard C. Blum, 50 thought-leaders in international development came together to discuss a new role for global development cooperation, one that employs inclusive and innovative approaches for tackling contemporary development problems and that leverages the resources of a large field of actors.


          Roundtable Agenda

          Wednesday, August 3, 2011

          Welcome: 8:40 a.m. – 9:00 a.m.
          Open Remarks
          • Richard C. Blum, Blum Capital Partners, LP and Founder of the Blum Center for 
          Developing Economies at Berkeley
          • Mark Suzman, Global Development Program, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
          • Kemal Derviş, Global Economy and Development, Brookings

          Statement of Purpose, Scene Setter, Comments on the Agenda
          • Homi Kharas, Brookings

          Session I: 9:00AM - 10:30AM
          Reframing Development Cooperation
          In almost any discussion of international development, foreign aid takes center stage. But while 
          aid can certainly be a catalyst for development, it does not work in isolation. Participants will 
          discuss the key objectives of development cooperation, consider what measures of development 
          cooperation are most valuable for recipients, and explore an effective balance of roles and 
          responsibilities - including both public and private players - in today’s evolving development 
          landscape.

          Moderator
          • Walter Isaacson, Aspen Institute

          Introductory Remarks
          • Owen Barder, Center for Global Development
          • Donald Kaberuka, African Development Bank Group
          • Ananya Roy, University of California, Berkeley
          • Elizabeth Littlefield, Overseas Private Investment Corporation

          Session II: 10:50AM - 12:20PM
          The G-20's Development Agenda
          Last year’s G-20 meeting in Seoul marked the first time the group formally took up the issue of development. There they announced the Seoul Development Consensus for Shared Growth and the Multi-Year Action Plan for Development: two far-reaching policies which are expected to guide the G20’s future agenda. What is the G-20’s comparative advantage vis-à-vis development, and how can the group’s development efforts be strengthened and supported?

          Moderator
          • Mark Suzman, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation

          Introductory Remarks
          • Alan Hirsch, The Presidency, South Africa
          • Suman Bery, International Growth Centre
          • Homi Kharas, Brookings

          Dinner Program: 6:00PM - 9:00PM
          A Conversation with Al Gore and Mary Robinson

          Topic: "Energy Security and Climate Justice"

          Moderator
          • Kemal Derviş, Global Economy and Development, Brookings


          Thursday, August 4, 2012 

          Session III9:00AM - 10:30AM 
          The Road to Buscan
          In November, participants from over 150 countries, including ministers of developing and developed countries, heads of bilateral and multilateral development institutions, and civil society representatives, will take part in the fourth High Level Forum on Aid Effectiveness in Busan, South Korea. The forum is intended to take account of the development community’s progress in achieving greater impact through aid and to redefine the aid effectiveness agenda to adjust to a changing global landscape. What would constitute success or failure at Busan?

          Moderator
          • Raymond Offenheiser, Oxfam America

          Introductory Remarks
          • J. Brian Atwood, Organisation of Economic Co-operation and Development, 
          Development Assistance Committee 
          • Wonhyuk Lim, Korean Development Institute
          • Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, World Bank 
          • Steven Radelet, U.S. Agency for International Development 

          Session IV: 10:50AM - 12:20PM 
          Lessons from the Middle East on Governance and Aid
          Popular protests across the Middle East against authoritarian regimes have prompted reflection 
          on the role of aid to non-democratic and poorly governed countries. Some critics believe that aid 
          should only be given to relatively well-governed countries where it is more likely to be effective, 
          but for others, this amounts to collective punishment for the people who suffer under such 
          governments. Do aid allocation models need to change and what role can the development 
          community now play in supporting peaceful, democratic reform in the Middle East?

          Moderator
          • Madeleine K. Albright, Albright Stonebridge Group

          Introductory Remarks
          • Ragui Assaad, University of Minnesota
          • Sheila Herrling, Millennium Challenge Corporation
          • Tarik Yousef, Silatech

          Lunch Program: 12:30PM - 2:00PM
          A Conversation with Thomas R. Nides, U.S. Deputy Secretary of State for Management and Resources

          Moderator
          • Richard C. Blum, Blum Capital Partners, LP and Founder of the Blum Center for Developing Economies at Berkeley


          Friday, August 5, 2012 

          Session V: 9:00AM - 10:30AM
          Implementing U.S. Development Reforms 

          The end of 2010 saw the completion of two major policy reviews in Washington concerned with 
          international development: the Presidential Policy Directive on Global Development and the 
          Quadrennial Diplomacy and Development Review. Progress on implementation has been 
          significant in many respects and meager in others. Additionally, despite directives to deliver on 
          many valuable priorities for improvement, essential components of fundamental reform are still 
          in need of address. Casting a shadow across the exercise, or alternatively serving as a spur to 
          focus, the budget environment has soured.

          Moderator
          • Jim Kolbe, German Marshall Fund of the United States

          Introductory Remarks
          • Rajiv Shah, U.S. Agency for International Development
          • Samina Ahmed, International Crisis Group
          • Robert Mosbacher, Jr., Mosbacher Energy Company

          Session VI: 10:50AM - 12:20PM
          Communicating Development Cooperation
          Public interest in and support for aid matter. Yet in many aid giving countries, there is 
          widespread cynicism as to what end aid programs serve and ignorance as to what activities they 
          actually involve. What are the best examples of development efforts which have been 
          communicated successfully and what can we learn from this to shore up support for 
          development cooperation now and in the future?

          Moderator 
          • Liz Schrayer, U.S. Global Leadership Coalition

          Introductory Remarks 
          • Steven Kull, Program on International Policy Attitudes
          • Joshua Bolten, ONE
          • S. Shankar Sastry, University of California, Berkeley
          • Jack Leslie, Weber Shandwick

          Closing Remarks: 12:20PM- 12:30PM
          • Richard C. Blum, Blum Capital Partners, LP and Founder of the Blum Center for 
          Developing Economies at Berkeley
          • Kemal Derviş, Global Economy and Development, Brookings

          Public Event: 4:00PM - 5:30PM
          Brookings and the Aspen Institute present “Development as National Security?”: A Conversation with Rajiv Shah, U.S. Agency for International Development; Sylvia Mathews Burwell, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; Richard J. Danzig, Center for a New American Security; and Susan C. Schwab, University of Maryland.

          Moderator
          • Jessica Tuchman Mathews, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

          Welcome and Introductions
          • Kemal Derviş, Brookings

          Hosts
          • Richard C. Blum and Senator Dianne Feinstein

                
           
           




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          2012 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Innovation and Technology for Development


          Event Information

          August 1-3, 2012

          Aspen, Colorado

          On August 1-3, 2012, Brookings Global Economy and Development hosted the ninth annual Brookings Blum Roundtable on Global Poverty in Aspen, Colorado. The year’s roundtable theme, "Innovation and Technology for Development", brought together global leaders, entrepreneurs and practioners to discuss how technology and innovation can be seized to help solve some of the world's most pressing global development challenges.

          2012 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Related Materials

          Global development challenges are of massive scale: 61 million children out of school and many more failing to learn basic literacy and numeracy skills; 850 million facing hunger; 1 billion living in slums and 1.3 billion without access to electricity. Yet remarkably little is understood about successful strategies for designing scalable solutions, the impediments to reaching scale, or the most appropriate pathways for getting there.

          However, a batch of new technologies offers the promise of a breakthrough by encouraging innovative business models, pushing down transaction costs and disintermediating complex activities. Mobile money could realistically reach over 1 billion poor people in the next decade and directly connect millions of rich individuals with millions of poor people. Real-time data can allow resources to be better targeted and managed. New media can sharpen accountability and reduce waste and overlap.

           

          Roundtable Agenda

          Wednesday, August 1, 2012

          Welcome: 8:40AM - 9:00AM
          Brookings Welcome
          Strobe Talbott, Brookings

          Opening Remarks
          Richard C. Blum, Blum Capital Partners, LP and Founder of the Blum Center for Developing Economies at Berkeley
          Mark Suzman, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation
          Kemal Derviş, Global Economy and Development, Brookings

          Session I: 9:00AM - 10:30AM
          Framing Session: Translating Technological Innovations into Transformational Impact
          In this opening discussion, participants will explore the overarching questions for the roundtable: If the poor can readily be identified and if they have access to financial services and participate in technology-driven communication networks, how does this change the development paradigm? How can effective partnerships be forged to combine the efforts of different international and local actors (businesses, governments, foundations, NGOs, and universities) in propagating solutions? Can scalable technologies raise the profile and potential of new business models, approaches and partnerships?

          Moderator
          Homi Kharas, Brookings

          Introductory Remarks
          • Thomas A. Kalil, White House Office of Science and Technology
          Michael Kubzansky, Monitor Group 
          • Lalitesh Katragadda, Google India
          • Smita Singh, Independent

          Session II: 10:50AM - 12:20PM
          Mobile Money and Mass Payments
          Participants will explore the following questions for the rountable: Is the rapid uptake of mobile money/payment technology throughout the developing world assured and if not, what (or whom) are the impediments? What is required to enable successful mass payments systems that employ mobile money technology? What is the optimal role of government, non-profits and private actors in supporting mobile money services? How can mass payments systems be used to implement national safety nets?

          Moderator
          Gillian Tett, Financial Times

          Introductory Remarks
          Neal Keny-Guyer, Mercy Corps
          Mwangi Kimenyi, Brookings
          Mung Ki Woo, MasterCard Worldwide Group Executive Mobile

          Dinner Program: 7:30PM - 9:15PM
          Aspen Institute Madeleine K. Albright Global Development Lecture


          Featuring
          Rajiv Shah, Administrator, United States Agency for International Development

          Click here to read Rajiv Shah's remarks »


          Thursday, August 2, 2012 

          Session III: 9:00AM - 10:30AM 
          Mass Networks: Leveraging Information from the Crowd
          Participants will explore the following questions for the rountable: What are the most promising examples of using social media, crowdsourcing and “big data” to advance development and humanitarian outcomes? How can traditional foreign assistance make use of virtual networks to support transparency, democratic governance and improved service delivery? How can technologies be used to understand clients, promote beneficiary feedback and learning to fine tune business models in base of the pyramid markets?

          Moderator
          Walter Isaacson, Aspen Institute

          Introductory Remarks
          Anne-Marie Slaughter, Princeton University
          Juliana Rotich, Ushahidi
          • Robert Kirkpatrick, UN Global Pulse Initiative
          Rakesh Rajani, Twaweza

          Session IV: 10:50AM - 12:20PM
          Innovation and Technology for Green Growth
          Participants will explore the following questions for the rountable: How advanced is green growth technology vis-à-vis the scale and urgency of the global climate challenge? What is the role of pricing and intellectual property and push and pull mechanisms in speeding up propagation within developed and developing markets? How can the goal of “sustainable energy for all” be achieved, and is it feasible in all countries?

          Moderator
          Al Gore, The Climate Reality Project

          Introductory Remarks
          Mary Robinson, Mary Robinson Foundation - Climate Justice
          Helen Clark, United Nations Development Programme
          • Arthur Njagi, International Finance Corporation
          Viswanathan Shankar, Standard Chartered Bank

          Lunch Program: 12:30PM - 2:00PM
          Partnering with Academic Research Institutions
          This discussion will explore partnerships between public sector development institutions and academic research institutions to support global development goals. Topics will include the constraints to research; how to make research more relevant to developing country problems; issues around incentives for scientists and universities; and relationships between universities, financiers and implementers.

          Moderator
          • Javier Solana, ESADE

          Panel
          Richard C. Blum, Blum Capital Partners, LP and Founder of the Blum Center for Developing Economies at Berkeley
          Luis Alberto Moreno, Inter-American Development Bank
          Shankar Sastry, University of California, Berkeley
          Alex Deghan, United States Agency for International Development


          Friday, August 3, 2012 

          Session V: 9:00AM - 10:30AM
          Business Solutions and Private Sector Development
          Participants will explore the following questions for the rountable: What role can the new breed of socially conscious private actors (e.g., social enterprises and impact investors) play in overcoming finance and delivery constraints and scaling up development impact? Where is the need for investment finance most acute, and who or what can fill these gaps? How are management approaches evolving to suit base of the pyramid markets? What are the impediments to the adoption or adaptation of scalable technologies by developing country enterprises, and are southern innovations being efficiently spread? What is constraining private sector development in Africa, and is technology a key bottleneck?

          Moderator
          Laura Tyson, University of California, Berkeley

          Introductory Remarks
          Rob Mosbacher, Mosbacher Energy Company
          • Mathews Chikaonda, Press Corporation Limited
          Elizabeth Littlefield, Overseas Private Investment Corporation
          Amy Klement, Omidyar Network

          Session VI: 10:50AM - 12:20PM
          Delivering U.S. Leadership: Role for the Public Sector
          Participants will explore the following questions for the rountable: What is an appropriate role for the U.S. government in promoting technological solutions for development and scaling these up? How should the government leverage new private sector players? What are the best examples of, and lessons learned from, earlier and on-going public private partnerships? How can the U.S. government work more effectively to support local innovation and technology in developing countries?

          Moderator
          Sylvia Burwell, Walmart Foundation

          Introductory Remarks
          • Rajiv Shah, Administrator, United States Agency for International Development
          Sam Worthington, InterAction
          Henrietta Fore, Holsman International

          Closing Remarks: 12:20PM - 12:30PM

           Richard C. Blum, Blum Capital Partners, LP and Founder of the Blum Center for Developing Economies at Berkeley
          Kemal Derviş, Global Economy and Development, Brookings

          Lunch Program: 12:30PM - 2:00PM
          A Conversation with Michael Froman and Thomas Nides
          This conversation will focus on the politics and finance of the US government’s efforts on global development, including its specific initiatives regarding technology and innovation for development.

          Moderator
          Madeleine K. Albright, Albright Stronebridge Group

          Live Webcast Event: 4:00PM - 5:30PM
          Brookings and the Aspen Institute Present: "A Conversation with Former World Bank President Robert Zoellick"

          Global Economy and Development at Brookings and the Aspen Strategy Group will host Robert Zoellick, who recently stepped down as president of the World Bank after serving in that office for the past five years. Mr. Zoellick has held several senior positions in the U.S. Government, including deputy secretary of state and U.S. trade representative under President George W. Bush. This event will be webcast live on the Brookings website. Click here for more details.

          Introduction
          R. Nicholas Burns, Director, Aspen Strategy Group and Professor of the Practice of Diplomacy and International Politics, Harvard Kennedy School of Government

          Moderator
          Strobe Talbott, President, Brookings

                
           
           




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          2013 Brookings Blum Roundtable: The Private Sector in the New Global Development Agenda


          Event Information

          August 4-6, 2013

          Aspen, Colorado

          Lifting an estimated 1.2 billion people from extreme poverty over the next generation will require robust and broadly-shared economic growth throughout the developing world that is sufficient to generate decent jobs for an ever-expanding global labor force. Innovative but affordable solutions must also be found to meet people’s demand for basic needs like food, housing, a quality education and access to energy resources. And major investments will still be required to effectively address global development challenges, such as climate change and child and maternal health.  On all these fronts, the private sector, from small- and medium-sized enterprises to major global corporations, must play a significant and expanded role.

          On August 4-6, 2013, Brookings Global Economy and Development is hosting the tenth annual Brookings Blum Roundtable on Global Poverty in Aspen, Colorado. This year’s roundtable theme, “The Private Sector in the New Global Development Agenda,” brings together global leaders, entrepreneurs, practitioners and public intellectuals to discuss how the contribution of the private sector be enhanced in the push to end poverty over the next generation and how government work more effectively with the private sector to leverage its investments in developing countries. 

          Roundtable Agenda

          Sunday, August 4, 2013

          Welcome: 8:40AM - 9:00AM MST
          Brookings Welcome
          Strobe Talbott, Brookings

          Opening Remarks
          Richard C. Blum, Blum Capital Partners, LP and Founder of 
          the Blum Center for Developing Economies at UC Berkeley
          Julie Sunderland, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation
          Kemal Derviş, Global Economy and Development, Brookings

          Session I: 9:00AM - 10:30AM MST
          Framing Session: Reimagining the Role of the Private Sector
          In this opening discussion, participants will explore the overarching questions for the roundtable: How can the contribution of the private sector be enhanced in the push to end poverty over the next generation? What are the most effective mechanisms for strengthening private sector accountability? How can business practices and norms be encouraged that support sustainable development and job creation? How can business build trust in its contributions to sustainable development?

          Moderator
          Nancy Birdsall, Center for Global Development

          Introductory Remarks
          • Homi Kharas, Brookings Institution
          Viswanathan Shankar, Standard Chartered Bank
          Shannon May, Bridge International Academies


          Session II: 10:50AM - 12:20PM MST
          Private Equity
          Participants will explore the following questions for the roundtable: What are the constraints to higher levels of private equity in the developing world, including in non-traditional sectors? How can early-stage investments be promoted to improve deal flow? How can transaction costs and technical assistance costs be lowered?

          Moderator
          Laura Tyson, University of California, Berkeley

          Introductory Remarks
          Robert van Zwieten, Emerging Markets Private Equity Association
          Runa Alam, Development Partners International
          Vineet Rai, Aavishkaar

          Dinner Program: 6:45PM - 9:15PM MST
          Aspen Institute Madeleine K. Albright Global Development Lecture


          Featuring
          Dr. Paul Farmer, Chief Strategist and Co-Founder, Partners in Health


          Monday, August 5, 2013

          Session III: 9:00AM - 10:30AM MST
          Goods, Services and Jobs for the Poor
          Participants will explore the following questions for the roundtable: In what areas are the most promising emerging business models that serve the poor arising? What are the major obstacles in creating and selling profitable, quality, and beneficial products to the poor and how can they be overcome? What common features distinguish successful and replicable solutions?

          Moderator
          Mary Robinson, Mary Robinson Foundation

          Introductory Remarks
          • Ashish Karamchandani, Monitor Deloitte
          • Chris Locke, GSMA
          • Ajaita Shah, Frontier Markets
          • Hubertus van der Vaart, SEAF


          Session IV: 10:50AM - 12:20PM MST
          Blended Finance
          Participants will explore the following questions for the roundtable: Can standard models of blended finance deliver projects at a large enough scale? How can leverage be measured and incorporated into aid effectiveness measures? Should governments have explicit leverage targets to force change more rapidly and systematically?

          Moderator
          Henrietta Fore, Holsman International

          Introductory Remarks
          Elizabeth Littlefield, OPIC
          • Ewen McDonald, AusAID
          Laurie Spengler, ShoreBank International 

          Tuesday, August 6, 2013 

          Session V: 9:00AM - 10:30AM MST
          Unlocking Female Entrepreneurship
          Participants will explore the following questions for the roundtable: How is the global landscape for female entrepreneurship changing? What types of interventions have the greatest ability to overturn barriers to female entrepreneurship in the developing world? Who, or what institutions, should lead efforts to advance this agenda? Can progress be made without a broader effort to end economic discrimination against women?

          Moderator
          • Smita Singh, Independent

          Introductory Remarks
          Dina Powell, Goldman Sachs
          Carmen Niethammer, IFC
          Randall Kempner, ANDE

          Session VI: 10:50AM - 12:20PM MST
          U.S. Leadership and Resources to Engage The Private Sector
          Participants will explore the following questions for the roundtable: How can U.S. foreign assistance be strengthened to more effectively promote the role of the private sector? How can U.S. diplomacy support private sector development in the emerging economies and multinational enterprises investing in the developing world? What can the US do to promote open innovation platforms?

          Moderator
          George Ingram, Brookings

          Introductory Remarks
          • Sam Worthington, InterAction
          John Podesta, Center for American Progress
          Rajiv Shah, USAID

          Closing Remarks
           Richard C. Blum, Blum Capital Partners, LP and Founder of the Blum Center for Developing Economies at Berkeley
          Kemal Derviş, Global Economy and Development, Brookings

          Public Event: 4:30PM - 6:00PM MST
          Brookings and the Aspen Institute Present: "America's Fiscal Health and its Implications for International Engagement"
          Global Economy and Development at Brookings and the Aspen Institute will host the 66th U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Administrator of the U.S. Agency for International Development Rajiv Shah for a discussion on the current state of the U.S.'s fiscal health and its impact on American diplomatic and development priorities. Moderated by Ambassador Nicholas Burns, Director, Aspen Strategy Group.

          Moderator
          Nicholas Burns, Director, Aspen Strategy Group

          Panelists
          Condoleezza Rice, 66th United States Secretary of State
          Rajiv Shah, Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development

           

          Event Materials

                
           
           




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          2014 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Jump-Starting Inclusive Growth in the Most Difficult Environments


          Event Information

          August 7-9, 2014

          Aspen, Colorado

          The start of the 21st century has been an auspicious period for global economic development. In the 1990s, a mere 13 emerging economies succeeded in growing at a speed at least twice that of the OECD countries, enabling rapid convergence on Western living standards. By the first decade of the 2000s, this number had mushroomed to 83. Accelerated rates of economic growth lay behind many of the recent success stories in global development, not least the fulfilment of the first Millennium Development Goal to halve the global poverty rate, five years ahead of the 2015 deadline. Yet in a number of places, growth has failed to take off, has undergone periodic reversals, or has benefited a few while leaving the majority short-changed.

          On August 7-9, 2014, Brookings Global Economy and Development is hosting the eleventh annual Brookings Blum Roundtable on Global Poverty in Aspen, Colorado. This year’s roundtable theme, “Jump-Starting Inclusive Growth in the Most Difficult Environment,” brings together global leaders, entrepreneurs, practitioners, and public intellectuals to discuss what strategies exist for promoting inclusive economic growth in settings where standard prescriptions are not feasible or sufficient as well as what the comparative advantages are of different actors seeking to improve the prospects for inclusive growth and how can they most effectively collaborate with each other to increase their impact. 

          This event is closed, but you can follow along on Twitter using #Blum2014.



          Roundtable Agenda


          Thursday, August 7, 2014

          Welcome - 3:30-4:00 p.m.:

          • Strobe Talbott, Brookings Institution

          Opening Remarks:

          Session I - 4:00-5:00 p.m.: How Can Multinationals Engage With Governments to Support Economic Development?

          Multinational corporations are increasingly recognized as key partners for governments in development planning. Corporations are brought into discussions at various levels: around individual projects and their impact on affected localities; on sector performance, regulation and competition; and on country-level issues such as the business environment, infrastructure, jobs, and skills.

          What motivations do multinationals have to participate in government engagement? Do discussions work better under formalized and multilateral structures, such as business councils, or on an ad-hoc bilateral basis? How does engagement differ in poor and weakly governed countries?    

          Moderator:

          Introductory Remarks:

          • Jane Nelson, Harvard University
          • Tara Nathan, MasterCard Worldwide
          • The Honorable Amara Konneh, Government of Liberia

          Aspen Institute Madeleine K. Albright Global Development Dinner & Lecture - 7:00-9:30 p.m.:

          The Aspen Institute Madeleine K. Albright Global Development Lecture recognizes an exceptional individual whose vision has provided breakthrough thinking to tackle the challenges of global development.

          Featuring: 


          Friday, August 8, 2014

          Session II - 9:00 - 10:30 a.m.: Managing Risks in Conflict Settings

          Ending extreme poverty over the next generation will require inclusive and sustained growth across the developing world. This is a particularly onerous challenge in fragile and conflict-affected states, which account for a growing share of the world’s poor. There is growing recognition that fast economic recovery, and the jobs that go with it, can serve to shore up peace agreements and help countries successfully transition beyond the immediate post-conflict phase.

          What can be done to support investors and entrepreneurs weighing up the risks and opportunities of starting or expanding business in these settings? What risk-mitigating instruments and strategies work? How can corporations identify, foster and partner with local businesses to support job creation and private sector development?

          Moderator:

          Introductory Remarks:


          Session III - 10:50-12:00 p.m.: Leap-Frogging Technologies

          Weak legal and regulatory frameworks, crime and corruption, deficient infrastructure, and lack of access to finance are common constraints to many developing economies. New leap-frogging technologies offer poor countries the potential to overcome some of these challenges without the cost, capacity or good governance required from traditional solutions. Mobile technology, powered by nearly five billion mobile subscriptions worldwide, provides a platform through which to do business and expand financial services. Off-grid power and the internet offer other examples of how weak infrastructure and missing public goods can be circumvented. Special economic zones and charter cities offer the possibility of forging oases where economic conditions are favorable.

          On what conditions, if any, does successful leap-frogging depend? What type of financing instruments do innovators look for when designing and marketing such technologies? What are the sources of growth in low-income countries and what can they tell us about new growth strategies?

          Moderator:

          Introductory Remarks:


          Session IV - 2:00-3:30 p.m.: Delivering Government Partnerships

          With President Obama’s June 2013 announcement of Power Africa, the U.S. government is demonstrating its new vision for development built on public-private partnerships. Historically, such partnerships have a mixed tracked record.

          How can we make sure that Power Africa, Feed the Future, and similar partnerships deliver to their full potential? What have we learned about structuring effective government-business-donor cooperation?

          Moderator:

          • Dana Hyde, Millennium Challenge Corporation

          Introductory Remarks:


          Saturday, August 9, 2014

          Session V - 9:00-10:30 a.m.: Unlocking Big Deals

          Massive infrastructure gaps in the energy, transport, information and communications technology, water, and urban sectors threaten the long-term competitiveness and prospects for sustainable development across many countries. This realization has spurred interest from countries, donors, regional groups and development finance institutions to devise new ways of overcoming constraints to mega-investment deals, particularly agreements that are cross-border in scope. Identified constraints include a shortage of early-stage project development finance; skilled legal, technology and financial experts; and instruments to attract additional capital from external players like institutional investors and international investment banks.

          How can constraints to big deals be overcome, and what are the ingredients that allow for enduring partnerships to deliver on these projects? Are dedicated pools of financing needed to unlock these deals?

          Moderator:

          Introductory Remarks:

          Session VI - 10:50-12:20 p.m.: Where Can Enclave Projects Take Us?

          Recent discoveries of natural resource wealth in East Africa offer the promise of supercharged growth in one of the world’s poorest regions. A critical challenge is to leverage the capital, skills and knowledge generated from enclave growth to support nascent other industries.

          How can corporations, government, and NGOs support structural transformation away from enclave activities? What sorts of industries present the most feasible small steps away from extractive sector activities?

          Moderator:

          • Smita Singh, Independent 
          Introductory Remarks:

          Closing Remarks:

          Event Materials

                
           
           




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          2015 Brookings Blum Roundtable: Disrupting development with digital technologies


          Event Information

          August 5-7, 2015

          Aspen, Colorado

          The emergence of a new digital economy is changing the ways in which businesses and development organizations engage in emerging and developing countries. Transaction costs have been radically driven down, enabling greater inclusion. And technology is driving efficiency improvements, and permitting rapid scaling-up and transformational change.

          On August 5-7, 2015, Brookings Global Economy and Development is hosting the twelfth annual Brookings Blum Roundtable on Global Poverty in Aspen, Colorado. This year’s roundtable theme, “Disrupting development with digital technologies,” brings together global leaders, entrepreneurs, practitioners, and public intellectuals to discuss three trends in particular have the potential to redefine how global development occurs and how efforts will support it over the next 10 years: (1) the growing adoption of digital payments serving people everywhere with near-frictionless transactions; (2) the spread of internet connectivity and digital literacy; and (3) the harnessing of data to better serve the poor and to generate new knowledge.

          This event is closed, but you can follow along on Twitter using #Blum2015.



          Roundtable Agenda


          Wednesday, August 5, 2015

          Welcome and opening remarks - 8:40-9:00 a.m.:

          Session I - 9:00-10:30 a.m.: Realizing the potential of the digital economy

          The digital revolution presents profound opportunities for global development. By integrating poor people into digital networks, the revolution can redefine what it means to be poor, and forge new pathways to prosperity for both individuals and countries.

          What are the challenges in making the digital revolution fully inclusive and scalable—and how can they be lifted? In a full-fledged digital economy, which constraints facing the poor will diminish and which will remain? What risks does the digital economy pose?

          Moderator:

          Introductory remarks:

          • Michael Faye, GiveDirectly, Segovia Technology
          • Tunde Kehinde, African Courier Express
          • Christina Sass, Andela
          • Tariq Malik, National Database and Registration Authority

          Session II - 10:50 - 12:20 p.m.: Global money

          Between 2011 and 2014, 700 million people started a bank account for the first time, representing a giant step toward the World Bank goal of universal financial inclusion by 2020. Meanwhile, the digitalization of payments, spurred in part by 255 mobile money services across the developing world, is pushing the cost of basic financial transactions down toward zero.

          How will an era of global money transform formal and informal business? Which sectors, product markets, and government services have the most to gain and lose from increased market efficiency? What are the consequences for financial regulation?

          Moderator:

          Introductory remarks:

          • Ruth Goodwin-Groen, Better than Cash Alliance
          • Luis Buenaventura, Rebit.ph, Satoshi Citadel Industries
          • Tayo Oviosu, Paga
          • Loretta Michaels, U.S. Department of the Treasury

          Lunch - 12:30-2:00 p.m.

          Cocktail reception and interview - 5:00-7:00 p.m.:

          During the reception, Richard Blum will lead a short discussion with Walter Isaacson and Ann Mei Chang on the topic “Silicon Valley and Innovation for the Developing World,” followed by questions. Remarks begin at 5:30 and will end at 6:15 p.m.

          Thursday, August 6, 2015

          Session III - 9:00-10:30 a.m.: Global connections

          Numerous ventures are competing today to bring internet connectivity to the furthest corners of the planet, while low-cost, user-centered-designed platforms are expanding the spread of digital literacy. Social media and crowdsourcing offer efficient ways for people to share information, solve problems, and act collectively.

          To what extent can internet connectivity overcome isolation and empower poor communities that are socially, economically, and politically disenfranchised? Do the benefits of global connectivity for the world’s poor rely on issues like net neutrality, and what has been learned from recent battles to uphold this paradigm?

          Moderator:

          Introductory remarks:

          Session IV - 10:50-12:20 p.m.: Global knowledge

          The creation of a universal digital network will provide the poor with greater access to the information they need, and generate new knowledge that can be used to serve poor people more effectively. Digital inclusion can expand possibilities for targeting, verification, and analysis, while big data from biometric registries, satellites, phones, payments, and the internet can unlock insights on individual needs and preferences. In addition, open source platforms and MOOCs have the potential to be powerful accelerators for technology and skill transfer.

          What kinds of new personalized services can be developed using improved capacity for targeting and tailoring? How might the reduction of barriers to information affect social mobility and economic convergence? How should big data be regulated?

          Moderator:

          • Smita Singh, President’s Global Development Council

          Introductory remarks:


          Friday, August 7, 2015

          Session V - 9:00-10:30 a.m.: Opportunities and challenges for business

          The digital economy promises to disrupt many existing markets and generate new business opportunities that employ and serve the poor.

          How can businesses employ digital technologies to expand their presence in poor and emerging countries? According to businesses, what is an effective regulatory framework for the digital economy? To what extent can strong digital infrastructure compensate for deficiencies in physical infrastructure or governance?

          Moderator:

          Introductory Remarks:

          • Jesse Moore, M-KOPA Solar
          • Anup Akkihal, Logistimo
          • V. Shankar, formerly Standard Chartered Bank
          • Barbara Span, Western Union

          Session VI - 10:50-12:20 p.m.: Opportunities and challenges for development cooperation

          The U.S. government sees itself as a leader in harnessing technology for global development. Meanwhile, aid agencies have been identified as a possible target for disintermediation by the digital revolution.

          How can development organizations, both government and non-government, accelerate the digital revolution? How might traditional aid programs be enhanced by employing digital knowledge and technologies? Does U.S. regulatory policy on the digital economy cohere with its global development agenda?

          Moderator:

          Introductory remarks:

          Closing remarks:

          Event Materials

                
           
           




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          On May 4, 2020, Jung H. Pak discussed her recent publication, Becoming Kim Jong Un, with Politics and Prose

          On May 4, 2020, Jung H. Pak discussed her recent publication, “Becoming Kim Jong Un,” with Politics and Prose.

                 




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          Big Data and Sustainable Development: Evidence from the Dakar Metropolitan Area in Senegal


          There is a lot of hope around the potential of Big Data—massive volumes of data (such as cell phone GPS signals, social media posts, online digital pictures and videos, and transaction records of online purchases) that are large and difficult to process with traditional database and software techniques—to help achieve the sustainable development goals. The United Nations even calls for using the ongoing Data Revolution –the explosion in quantity and diversity of Big Data—to make more and better data usable to inform development analysis, monitoring and policymaking: In fact, the United Nations believes that that “Data are the lifeblood of decision-making and the raw material for accountability. Without high-quality data providing the right information on the right things at the right time; designing, monitoring and evaluating effective policies becomes almost impossible.” The U.N. even held a “Data Innovation for Policy Makers” conference in Jakarta, Indonesia in November 2014 to promote use of Big Data in solving development challenges.

          Big Data has already played a role in development: Early uses of it include the detection of influenza epidemics using search engine query data or the estimation of a country’s GDP by using satellite data on night lights. Work is also under way by the World Bank to use Big Data for transport planning in Brazil.

          During the Data for Development session at the recent NetMob conference at MIT, we presented a paper in which we jump on the Big Data bandwagon. In the paper, we use mobile phone data to assess how the opening of a new toll highway in Dakar, Senegal is changing how people commute to work (human mobility) in this metropolitan area. The new toll road is one of the largest investments by the government of Senegal and expectations for its developmental impact are high. In particular, the new infrastructure is expected to increase the flow of goods and people into and out of Dakar, spur urban and rural development outside congested areas, and boost land valuation outside Dakar. Our study is a first step in helping policymakers and other stakeholders benchmark the impact of the toll road against many of these objectives.

          Assessing how the impact of the new toll highway differs by area and how it changes over time can help policymakers benchmark the performance of their investment and better plan the development of urban areas.

          The Dakar Diamniadio Toll Highway

          The Dakar Diamniadio Toll Highway (in red in Figure 1), inaugurated on August 1, 2013 is the first section (32 km or 20 miles) of a broader project to connect the capital, Dakar, through a double three-lane highway to a new airport (Aeroport International Blaise Diagne, AIBD) and a special economic zone, the Dakar Integrated Special Economic Zone (DISEZ) and the rest of the country.

          Note: The numbers indicate the incidence of increased inter cell mobility and were used to calculate the percentage increase in mobility.

          The cost of this large project is estimated to be about $696 million (FCFA 380.2 billion or 22.7 percent of 2014 fiscal revenues, excluding grants) with the government of Senegal having already disbursed $353 million. The project is one of the first toll roads in sub-Saharan Africa (excluding South Africa) structured as a public-private partnership (PPP) and includes multilateral partners such as the World Bank, the French Development Agency, and the African Development Bank.

          In our study, we ask whether the new toll road led to an increase in human mobility and, if so, whether particular geographical areas experienced higher or lower mobility relative to others following its opening.

          Did the Highway Increase Human Mobility?

          Using mobile phone usage data (Big Data), we use statistical analysis in our paper to approximate where people live and where they work. We then estimate how the reduction in travel time following the opening of the toll road changes the way they commute to work.

          As illustrated in the map of Figure 1, we find some interesting trends:

          • Human mobility in the metropolitan Dakar area increased on average by 1.34 percent after the opening of the Dakar Diamniadio Toll Highway. However, this increase masks important disparities across the different sub-areas of the Dakar metropolitan areas. Areas in blue in Figure 1 are those for which mobility increased after the opening of the new road toll while those in red experienced decreased mobility.
          • In particular, the Parcelles Assainies suburban area benefited the most from the toll road with an increase in mobility of 26 percent. The Centre Ville (downtown) area experienced a decrease in mobility of about 20 percent.

          These trends are important and would have been difficult to discover without Big Data. Now, though, researchers need to parse through the various reasons these trends might have occurred. For instance, the Parcelles Assainies area may have benefited the most because of its closer location to the toll road whereas the feeder roads in the downtown area may not have been able to absorb the increase in traffic from the toll road. Or people may have moved from the downtown area to less expensive areas in the suburbs now that the new toll road makes commuting faster.

          The Success of Big Data

          From these preliminary results (our study is work in progress, and we will be improving its methodology), we are encouraged by the fact that our method and use of Big Data has three areas of application for a project such as this:

          Benchmarking: Our method can be used to track how the impact of the Dakar Diamniadio Toll Highway changes over time and for different areas of the Dakar metropolitan areas. This process could be used to study other highways in the future and inform highway development overall.

          Zooming in: Our analysis is a first step towards a more granular study of the different geographic areas within the Dakar suburban metropolitan area, and perhaps inspire similar studies around the continent. In particular, it would be useful to study the socio-economic context within each area to better appreciate the impact of new infrastructure on people’s lives. For instance, in order to move from estimates of human mobility (traffic) to measures of “accessibility,” it will be useful to complement the current analysis with an analysis of land use, a study of job accessibility, and other labor markets information for specific areas. Regarding accessibility, questions of interest include: Who lives in the areas most/least affected? What kind of jobs do they have access to? What type of infrastructure do they have access to? What is their income level? Answers to these questions can be obtained using satellite information for land prices, survey data (including through mobile phones) and data available from the authorities. Regarding urban planning, questions include: Is the toll diverting the traffic to other areas? What happens in those areas? Do they have the appropriate infrastructure to absorb the increase in traffic?

          Zooming out: So far, our analysis is focused on the Dakar metropolitan area, and it would be useful to assess the impact of new infrastructure on mobility between the rest of the country and Dakar. For instance, the analysis can help assess whether the benefits of the toll road spill over to the rest of the country and even differentiate the impact of the toll road on the different regions of the country.

          This experience tells us that there are major opportunities in converting Big Data into actionable information, but the impact of Big Data still remains limited. In our case, the use of mobile phone data helped generate timely and relatively inexpensive information on the impact of a large transport infrastructure on human mobility. On the other hand, it is clear that more analysis using socioeconomic data is needed to get to concrete and impactful policy actions. Thus, we think that making such information available to all stakeholders has the potential not only to guide policy action but also to spur it. 

          References

          Atkin, D. and D. Donaldson (2014). Who ’ s Getting Globalized ? The Size and Implications of Intranational Trade Costs . (February).

          Clark, X., D. Dollar, and A. Micco (2004). Port efficiency, maritime transport costs, and bilateral trade. Journal of Development Economics 75(2), 417–450, December.

          Donaldson, D. (2013). Railroads of the Raj: Estimating the Impact of Transportation Infrastructure. forthcoming, American Economic Review.

          Fetzer Thiemo (2014) “Urban Road Construction and Human Commuting: Evidence from Dakar, Senegal.” Mimeo

          Ji, Y. (2011). Understanding Human Mobility Patterns Through Mobile Phone Records : A cross-cultural Study.

          Simini, F., M. C. Gonzalez, A. Maritan, and A.-L. Barab´asi (2012). A universal model for mobility and migration patterns. Nature 484(7392), 96–100, April.

          Tinbergen, J. (1962). Shaping the World Economy; Suggestions for an International Economic Policy.

          Yuan, Y. and M. Raubal (2013). Extracting dynamic urban mobility patterns from mobile phone data.


          Authors

          Image Source: © Normand Blouin / Reuters
               
           
           




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          India’s future growth depends on affordable wireless spectrum


          Mobile devices are making a big difference in the lives of billions of people around the world who use them every day. Internet-enabled smartphones and tablets provide access to information and a channel of communication for users. Building wireless networks to support mobile devices requires large capital investments from wireless carriers who must purchase wireless spectrum and infrastructure. To ensure that mobile services are reliable and affordable, national governments must allocate enough wireless spectrum to commercial carriers to satisfy demand. This is the subject of a new paper from Shamika Ravi and Darrell M. West titled “Spectrum Policy in India."

          A scarce resource

          Mobile devices typically operate on frequencies from 30 kHz to 300 GHz on the radio spectrum. Unless spectrum is allocated efficiently, the scarcity of available frequencies leads to poor quality and high costs for mobile broadband. The growing demand for mobile service in India currently exceeds the amount of spectrum available to wireless carriers. The scarcity of wireless spectrum limits reliable Internet access for mobile subscribers who have no alternative point of access. According to the Cellular Operators Association of India, nearly 60 percent of Internet users only have access through their mobile phones.

          Mobile service in India is relatively expensive for many consumers because the Indian military reserves so much spectrum for their own use. Much of this spectrum goes underutilized, even as commercial carriers plead for more spectrum to be released. When the Indian government does release spectrum, it is typically through auctions with high starting bids. Setting high starting bids for blocks of spectrum can lead to high selling prices that force wireless carriers to take out large loans. Higher prices for spectrum raise costs for consumers and reduce private sector investment in wireless infrastructure. Rather than make spectrum artificially scarce, the Indian government should work with wireless carriers to lower the prices for consumers. 

          Investing in India’s future

          Reliable mobile service has the potential to greatly enhance economic growth in India. Analysis from the Boston Consulting Group found that the India’s mobile sector grew at 12.4 percent annually from 2009-2014; it now accounts for 2.2 percent of India’s gross domestic product. Potential growth comes from filling gaps in educational and health care spending in rural communities. Innovative mobile applications provide a low cost method of sending education and health care resources to underserved rural communities that lack physical infrastructure. In India’s rapidly growing cities, mobile services are seen as a way to improve the quality of government services and promote entrepreneurship. Prime Minister Narendra Modi recently designated 100 “smart cities” that would use technology to overcome the challenges of India’s rapid urbanization.

          India could free up spectrum by adopting the “NATO Band” of spectrum for military uses and auctioning off the remaining spectrum.  The NATO band is used by the militaries of NATO member countries and several of their allies, and it already overlaps with much of the Indian military’s spectrum.  Furthermore, the Indian government must lower the minimum bids at spectrum auctions and lower taxes so that wireless carriers have enough profits to build their networks.  Mobile technologies are rapidly evolving, and each new generation has greater demands for spectrum. Regulators in India will not only have to maintain affordable prices for the current generation of mobile technology, but also anticipate upgrades that will deliver more data at faster speeds.

          Authors

          Image Source: © Krishnendu Halder / Reuters
               
           
           




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          Unpredictable and uninsured: The challenging labor market experiences of nontraditional workers

          As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. labor market has deteriorated from a position of relative strength into an extraordinarily weak condition in just a matter of weeks. Yet even in times of relative strength, millions of Americans struggle in the labor market, and although it is still early in the current downturn,…

                 




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          China and Africa’s debt: Yes to relief, no to blanket forgiveness

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          Webinar: Valuing Black lives and property in America’s Black cities

          The deliberate devaluation of Black-majority cities stems from a longstanding legacy of discriminatory policies. The lack of investment in Black homes, family structures, businesses, schools, and voters has had far-reaching, negative economic and social effects. White supremacy and privilege are deeply ingrained into American public policy, and remain pervasive forces that hinder meaningful investment in…

                 




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          Making apartments more affordable starts with understanding the costs of building them

          During the decade between the Great Recession and the coronavirus pandemic, the U.S. experienced a historically long economic expansion. Demand for rental housing grew steadily over those years, driven by demographic trends and a strong labor market. Yet the supply of new rental housing did not keep up with demand, leading to rent increases that…

                 




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          The problem with militias in Somalia: Almost everyone wants them despite their dangers

          Introduction Militia groups have historically been a defining feature of Somalia’s conflict landscape, especially since the ongoing civil war began three decades ago. Communities create or join such groups as a primary response to conditions of insecurity, vulnerability and contestation. Somali powerbrokers, subfederal authorities, the national Government and external interveners have all turned to armed…

                 




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          Why bank regulators should make their secret ratings public

          The Federal Reserve and the FDIC requested public input on the Uniform Financial Institution Ratings Systems, better known by the CAMELS acronym, that governs how banks are rated by regulators. CAMELS ratings form the backbone of bank regulation and supervision, making them core to financial regulation. They are confidential, having achieved a legal status that…

                 




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          A big problem for the coronavirus economy: The internet doesn’t take cash

          As the U.S. economy physically shuts down, access to digital payments is becoming a necessity. The Internet economy does not take cash. This Covid-19 recession is bringing to the surface a long-standing divide over the cost and accessibility of digital payments. Bridging this divide is key to the response to this pandemic-induced recession. House Speaker…

                 




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          AMLO’s feeble response to COVID-19 in Mexico

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          10 Facts about America's EITC-eligible Tax Filers


          Researchers from the Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program have released new Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) data from the IRS on federal individual income tax filers. The interactive data are available for all ZIP codes, cities, counties, metropolitan areas, states, state legislative districts, and congressional districts in the U.S. Users can also find new MetroTax model estimates of the EITC-eligible population in 2012 based on the latest American Community Survey data.

          From the 2012 MetroTax model, here are 10 facts about EITC-eligible tax filers

          • 71.1 million people live in tax units that are eligible
          • 31.1 million children live in eligible households
          • 72.8% of eligible filers speak English
          • 50.9% are white
          • 36.1% received food stamps at some point in the last year
          • 25.8% are married filing jointly
          • 13.2% have earned a bachelor’s degree or higher
          • The median adjusted gross income is $13,638
          • 12.7% of eligible filers work in the retail trade industry
          • 13.6% work in office and administrative occupations

          Read the blog post by Jane Williams and Elizabeth Kneebone to learn more and also visit the EITC interactive.

          Authors

          • Fred Dews
               
           
           




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          Connecting EITC filers to the Affordable Care Act premium tax credit


               
           
           




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          Who is eligible to claim the new ACA premium tax credit this year? A look at data from 10 states


          Each year millions of low- to moderate-income Americans supplement their income by claiming the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) during tax season. Last year, 1 in 5 taxpayers claimed the credit and earned an average of nearly $2,400.

          This tax season, some of those eligible for the EITC may also be able to claim, for the first time, a new credit created by the Affordable Care Act (ACA) to offset the cost of purchasing health insurance for lower-income Americans. It’s called the ACA premium tax credit.

          To qualify for the ACA premium tax credit, filers need first to have an annual income that falls between 100 and 400 percent of the federal poverty line (between $11,670 and $46,680 for a single-person household in 2014). Beyond the income requirements, however, filers must also be ineligible for other public or private insurance options like Medicaid or an employer-provided plan.

          Why the tax credit overlap matters

          Identifying the Americans eligible for both credits is important because it sheds light on how many still need help paying for health insurance even after the ACA extended coverage options.

          In a recent study of the EITC-eligible population, Elizabeth Kneebone, Jane R. Williams, and Natalie Holmes estimated what share of EITC-eligible filers might also qualify for the ACA premium tax credit this year.

          Below, see a list of the top 10 states with the largest overlap between filers eligible for the EITC and those estimated to qualify for the ACA premium tax credit.* Notably, none of these states has expanded Medicaid coverage to low-income families after the passage of the ACA.

          Nationally, an estimated 7.5 million people (4.2 million “tax units”) are likely eligible for both the ACA premium tax credit and the EITC. Nearly 1.3 million of those tax units are from the following ten states.

          1. Florida

          Overlap: 22.5 percent / 405,924 tax units
          State-based exchange? No Expanded Medicaid coverage? No

          2. Texas

          Overlap: 21.4 percent / 513,061 tax units
          State-based exchange? No Expanded Medicaid coverage? No

          3. South Dakota

          Overlap: 20.5 percent / 15,124 tax units
          State-based exchange? No Expanded Medicaid coverage? No

          4. Georgia

          Overlap: 19.8 percent / 186,020 tax units
          State-based exchange? No Expanded Medicaid coverage? No

          5. Louisiana

          Overlap: 19.6 percent / 86,512 tax units
          State-based exchange? No Expanded Medicaid coverage? No

          6. Idaho

          Overlap: 19.3 percent / 28,855 tax units
          State-based exchange? Yes Expanded Medicaid coverage? No

          7. Montana

          Overlap: 18.9 percent / 18,138 tax units
          State-based exchange? No Expanded Medicaid coverage? No

          8. Wyoming

          Overlap: 18.4 percent / 7,276 tax units
          State-based exchange? No Expanded Medicaid coverage? No

          9. Utah

          Overlap: 18.1 percent / 42,284
          State-based exchange? No (Utah runs a small businesses marketplace, but it relies on the federal government for an individual marketplace) Expanded Medicaid coverage? No

          10. Oklahoma

          Overlap: 18.0% / 63,045 tax units
          State-based exchange? No Expanded Medicaid coverage? No

          * For the purposes of this list, we measured the overlap in “tax units,” not people. One tax unit equals a single tax return. If a family of four together qualifies for the ACA premium tax credit, they would be counted as one tax unit, not four, since they filed jointly with one tax return.

          Authors

          • Delaney Parrish
          Image Source: © Rick Wilking / Reuters
                
           
           




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          Public attitudes on US manufacturing

          The manufacturing sector in United States continues to play a significant role in our nation’s economic life, creating valuable jobs at a time when the economy is undergoing major changes. In the face of rising automation, rapidly evolving technology, and an ongoing trade war, debates surrounding the manufacturing industry, its workforce, and its economic effects…

                 




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          Highlights: How public attitudes are shaping the future of manufacturing

          The manufacturing industry has been a significant part of the U.S. economy for decades, but it now faces critical challenges with the emergence of automation and other technologies. Recently, Governance Studies at Brookings hosted the eighth annual John Hazen White Forum on Public Policy to discuss the future of manufacturing, as well as a new…

                 




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          Strengthen the Millennium Challenge Corporation: Better Results are Possible

          Executive Summary

          The Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) is one of the outstanding innovations of the eight-year presidency of George W. Bush. No other aid agency—foreign or domestic—can match its purposeful mandate, its operational flexibility and its potential muscle.

          In the first year after it became operational in May 2004, however, the MCC made a number of mistakes from which it has not fully recovered. It also had the bad luck of facing an increasingly tight budget environment as its performance improved.

          The MCC may not survive as an independent agency. Critics have advocated closing it down, while many supporters of foreign assistance reform would maintain the MCC program but consolidate it with the Agency for International Development and the President’s Emergency Plan for Aids Relief under a single individual with broad development responsibilities.

          In our assessment, one of the singular achievements of this innovation is the “MCC effect”: steps taken by a number of countries to improve their performance against the MCC’s objective indicators in order to become eligible for an MCC compact.

          We conclude that the MCC is moving steadily to fulfill its potential of being the world's leading "venture capitalist" focused on promoting economic growth in low-income countries. The Obama administration can realize this potential by affirming the MCC's bold mandate, strengthening its leadership, and boosting its annual appropriations to at least $3 billion beginning in FY 2010.

          Policy Brief #167

          A Rough Start

          The Millennium Challenge Corporation started off in the wrong direction in 2004. New leadership a year later put the MCC back on track. Unfortunately, however, the MCC has not been able to recover quickly enough from its early mistakes to compete successfully for funding in the face of increasingly severe government-wide budget constraints. After more than four years of operation, it has not yet achieved “proof of concept.” As a result, its future as an independent agency is in jeopardy.

          The Concept

          In March 2002, six months after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, President George W. Bush announced a commitment to increase U.S. aid to low-income countries by $5 billion per year, representing a jump of 50 percent from the baseline level of official development assistance (ODA).

          More remarkable than the size of the commitment was the nature of the commitment. It would not be more of the same. It would be better. It would reward good performance by focusing exclusively on poor countries implementing sound economic development and poverty reduction strategies, as reflected in objective indicators. It would achieve measurable results.

          President Bush’s initial concept did not specify the organizational form of the new program. Instead of putting it under the State Department or Agency for International Development (USAID), President Bush opted for creating a special-purpose government corporation—the Millennium Challenge Corporation—to run the program.

          Conception turned out to be the easy part. It took almost a year for the administration to send legislation proposing the MCC to Congress, and it took another year for the Congress to send authorizing legislation to the president.

          While the purity of the MCC concept was compromised significantly in the process of obtaining enough votes in Congress to establish it, six key elements were preserved: rewarding good performance; country ownership; measurable results; operational efficiency; sufficient scale at the country level to be “transformational”; and global commitments at the rate of $5 billion per year.

          The Record

          Perhaps the biggest mistake in the MCC’s first year of operations was a failure to develop a good working relationship with the U.S. Congress. Some staffing choices gave the impression that the MCC had no interest in the experience and expertise that existed in USAID, the multilateral development banks and NGOs working in low-income countries. In retrospect, a third problem may have been starting compact negotiations with more than a dozen countries instead of building its portfolio of compact countries more slowly and carefully.

          Paul Applegarth resigned as CEO in June 2005 and John Danilovich took over the following October. At that point, compacts had been signed with five countries. Funding problems were already visible. Against the original proposal seeking a combined $4.6 billion for the first two start-up years (reaching the target $5 billion in FY 2006), the budget request added up to only $3.8 billion, Congress authorized only $3.6 billion, and appropriations only reached $2.5 billion.

          For the next three years, FY 2006 – FY 2008, the administration’s budget request for the MCC was straight-lined at $3 billion. Appropriations peaked in FY 2006 at $1.77 billion, and then slipped to $1.75 billion in FY 2007 and $1.482 billion in FY 2008 (after an across-the-board rescission). Thirteen more compacts were signed, bringing the total number of compact countries to 18. In addition, threshold agreements totaling $361 million were being implemented in 14 countries. At the end of FY 2008, cumulative MCC appropriations were $7.5 billion, and cumulative compact commitments were $6.3 billion.

          As the Bush administration winds down and the Obama administration gears up, the MCC is in an awkward situation. It has recovered from its start-up problems and now has significant support in Congress and the development community. The evidence of an “MCC effect” is particularly notable. The compact countries are fans of the program, and other potentially eligible countries appear eager to conclude compacts.

          However, the “measurable results” promised to an impatient Congress have not yet materialized. Since the first compact will not reach the end of its original four year lifespan until July 2009, it is too early to expect such results. Still, enough questions about the effectiveness of the MCC have been raised to strengthen the position of skeptics in the Congress.

          A moment of truth is approaching. Assuming FY 2009 funding remains capped by continuing resolutions at a level no higher than $1.5 billion, the MCC will not be able to conclude more than three compacts averaging $400 million each during this fiscal year. While a strong case can be made for an independent aid agency operating at the rate of $5 billion per year, a rate of $1-$1.5 billion per year for a stand-alone agency is not so easy to justify. Meanwhile, an important coalition of foreign aid advocates sees the change of administration as an opportunity to consolidate a wide range of development and humanitarian assistance programs, including the MCC, into a single agency or cabinet-level department.

          Findings and Recommendations

          Our assessment of the MCC at the end of FY 2008 focuses on six operational issues and ends with a recommendation to the Obama administration. (The full assessment is in our working paper “The Millennium Challenge Corporation: An Opportunity for the Next President.”)

          1. Objective indicators. From the outset, objective indicators of country performance have been at the core of the MCC approach to development assistance. The concept is simple: the MCC will provide funding to countries that excel against performance indicators in three areas: ruling justly, investing in people and providing economic freedom. Selecting countries is not so simple.

          The MCC’s 17 indicators of country performance are state of the art. But they are not embedded in concrete. The MCC has been pushing hard for improvements. A number of the independent providers of these indicators have tightened their procedures and methodology, and others have shortened the time between data collection and dissemination. The publication of updated country “scorecards” on the MCC Web site each year provides an unprecedented level of visibility linking country performance to donor assistance. In general, the MCC’s indicators have met broad approval in the donor community.

          The “MCC effect” has been the most important benefit of these indicators. The MCC’s indicators provide a comprehensive, objective and highly visible system for comparing a country with its peer group and showing where its performance falls short. One academic study found that eligible countries improved their indicators significantly more after the MCC was established than in the pre-MCC period, and that eligible countries improved their indicators significantly faster than developing countries not eligible for compacts.

          The MCC’s objective indicator approach has been very successful. Still, it is important to recognize certain inherent limitations. Four are worth singling out:

          • The majority of the measures used to measure performance are available only with a time lag.
          • The indicators reveal relative performance, not absolute performance. Good performers on the basis of the indicators still face daunting challenges.
          • Even a top performing country is likely to see its ranking slip on one of the indicators at some point during compact implementation. This can create a credibility problem for the program even when the underlying trend is positive.
          • Measuring corruption is especially problematic. The corruption indicator is probably state of the art, but corruption has many elements, and there is no agreement on which weights to assign to each one.

          Recommendation: Retain and continue to refine the objective indicators.

          2. Country selection. Initially, the MCC was limited to funding low-income countries. Since FY 2006, the MCC has been able to commit up to 25 percent of its resources to lower-middle-income countries. For FY 2008, these were countries with annual per capita incomes between $1,736 and $3,595. Together, the two groups included 95 countries.

          The MCC board reviews country scorecards once a year and decides which countries to add to the eligibility list. Selection is not automatic based on the indicators. The board considers a wide range of political, economic and social factors.

          The MCC’s overall track record in selecting countries is good but not brilliant. At the end of FY 2008, there were 18 countries with signed compacts, five threshold countries that had been declared eligible for compacts, and three additional countries declared eligible that were not in the threshold program. The few selections that have been criticized are cases where political factors might have tipped the balance in favor of the country.

          Most of the selected countries have small populations, perhaps because it is easier to be transformational in a small country. Even large countries, however, have poor regions and a case can easily be made that the MCC might have a greater impact by focusing on one poor region in a large country like India or Indonesia than on one entire microstate like Vanuatu.

          Recommendation: As long as the MCC’s funding level remains below $2 billion per year, stick with the current approach to selection but avoid new cases where political factors appear to be overriding performance indicators. At higher funding levels, give greater weight to improvements in absolute performance so that the indicators will not be a constraint to adding countries and enlarging the MCC’s impact.

          3. Compact design. Compact design can be broken down into four elements: preparation, size, content and choice of partner. One of the hallmarks of the MCC approach to development assistance is an exceptional degree of participation by the host country government and civil society. In a relatively short time, the MCC approach to country ownership has set a high standard to which other donor agencies should aspire.

          Compact size is seriously constrained by the statutory five-year limit on the length of a compact and by the prohibition against concurrent compacts. The limit leads to unrealistic expectations: anyone who believes a five-year program can be transformational does not understand development. The inability to have concurrent compacts has led the MCC to bundle together activities that would better be pursued separately. Within these constraints, compact size so far is defensible.

          Regarding content, one early criticism of the MCC centered on its bias toward infrastructure projects. Agriculture and infrastructure were the clear priorities at the outset, based on partner-country priorities. These two sectors still account for more than half of all MCC funding, but attention to other sectors has grown. For example, funding for education was absent from the first 10 compacts, but was present in five of the next eight.

          This evolution may reflect congressional pressure to be active in the social sectors despite evidence that more investment to expand productive capacity and lower costs could have a greater poverty reduction payoff.

          The MCC has also shied away from non-project funding (budget support), which has the advantages of being fast-disbursing, having very low overhead costs and avoiding performance failure by rewarding countries for results recently achieved. Similarly, the MCC has yet to use its considerable ability to leverage funding from private investors, especially for infrastructure projects.

          On partnership, all of the compacts to date have been with national governments even though the MCC has the authority to enter into compacts with regional/municipal authorities and private sector parties such as NGOs. With this narrow focus, the MCC is probably missing some opportunities to have a bigger impact.

          Our major concern is that the design of the 18 compacts concluded so far reflects very little innovation. They can be characterized as collections of the kinds of development interventions that USAID, the World Bank and other donors have been undertaking for decades. Perhaps in the attempt to overcome its early start-up problems and minimize congressional criticism, the MCC has been too risk averse.

          Recommendation: Immediately remove the prohibition against concurrent compacts that is a disincentive to improving performance. Allow the MCC to extend compacts beyond five years when unanticipated complications arise. Provide encouragement from the White House and Congress to be more innovative in compact design.

          4. Compact implementation. No MCC compacts have been completed, so assessment of their impact is premature. One problem is the lag from the date of compact signing to the date of its entry into force, which has lengthened from about three months for the first three compacts to 10 months for the 10th and 11th compacts. This reflects the MCC’s tactical decision to delay entry into force until the legal framework is in place and the implementing organization is up and running. The normal process of tendering for infrastructure projects accounts for some of the slowness, and bad luck has also created recent problems in the form of unanticipated increases in fuel and commodity costs.

          The choice of an appropriate local implementing agency is both difficult and critical to success. The objectives of country ownership and capacity building/institutional development argue for selecting an existing government ministry or agency. Realities on the ground have led the MCC typically to establish a special-purpose organization (“accountable entity” in the MCC’s jargon). In effect, the MCC has promoted strict accountability at the expense of building partner-country capacity.

          The MCC’s approach to monitoring and evaluation is a source of pride, but it could become the program’s Achilles’ heel. The MCC’s recent decision to make public the “economic rate of return” analysis for each new compact puts it at the head of the donor community. Other donor agencies have been unwilling to take this step, except in a more opaque form. A potentially critical problem with the MCC’s approach is latent in the micro performance benchmarks established for each compact. It seems likely that the results will be mixed at the end of most of the compacts. Given the high expectations created for the MCC’s impact, the failure to show superior results could undermine congressional support for the MCC going forward.

          Finally, the MCC has largely lived up to its billing as a lean organization. It is now fully staffed at its ceiling of 300 positions. The MCC’s field offices, established after compact signing, are typically limited to two positions.

          Recommendation: Continue to refine implementation techniques to the point of becoming a pace-setter and develop performance benchmarks that are less likely to generate disappointment.

          5. Threshold Programs. The MCC has committed some $360 million to 16 “threshold” countries. Nearly all of these programs are managed by USAID. Two different visions seem to coexist. One vision is to prepare countries for a compact within a year or two. A second vision is to address a particular “target of opportunity” that will help a country qualify for a compact eventually. It is too soon to say how effective these programs have been under either approach.

          However, the individual projects funded under the threshold programs have been indistinguishable from the typical USAID project involving a contract with an American firm to field a team of expatriate advisors focusing on a particular sector. A fundamental problem with the threshold programs is that they give the impression of trying to boost performance scores by short-term actions rather than rewarding the kind of self-generated progress that is more likely to be sustainable.

          Recommendation: As long as MCC funding remains below $2 billion per year, shift funding of threshold programs to USAID funding. This will help to ensure that the activities being funded are of high value, and encourage USAID to take a more strategic approach to its operations in low-income countries.

          6. Governance. The MCC legislation created a board of directors with five ex officio members and four private sector members. Having private sectors members on the board is one of the great strengths of the MCC, enhancing its objectivity and credibility, helping to ensure bipartisan support, and providing strategic links to the broader development community. By comparison to the boards of other government corporations, the MCC board is small in size and more biased toward public-sector members. Having the secretary of state chair the board weakens the image of the MCC as an agency focused on long-term development.

          Recommendation: Amend the MCC legislation to add four more private sector members to the MCC board, allow the board to elect one of its private sector members as chairman.

          The Existential Issue.

          Although the MCC has not yet lived up to its promise, it still has the potential of offering the biggest bang for the buck among all U.S. development assistance programs. Six features are not only worth keeping but strengthening further: rewarding good performance; using objective indicators to guide the selection of countries; focusing on low-income countries; achieving a high degree of country ownership; avoiding earmarks and time limits on spending authority; and keeping staff small.

          However, the current operating level of less than $2 billion per year is far below the original concept. Retaining a separate agency for such a small program within a much larger bilateral assistance program is questionable. With funding moving toward the pace of $5 billion per year, and with added authority to have concurrent compacts, the MCC can be more innovative and more transformational.

          The MCC has the potential of being the world's leading "venture capitalist" focused on promoting economic growth in low-income countries. As a core component of a foreign policy that relies more on partnership with other countries, the Obama administration can realize this potential by affirming the MCC's bold mandate, strengthening its leadership, and boosting its annual appropriations to at least $3 billion beginning in FY 2010.R. Kent Weaver is a Senior Fellow in Governance Studies at the Brookings Institution and a Professor of Public Policy and Government at Georgetown University. He is the author of the forthcoming book Reforming Social Security: Lessons from Abroad.


          Lex Rieffel is a nonresident senior fellow in Brookings's Global Economy and Development program. He is a former U.S. Treasury official and teaches a graduate course at George Washington University.

          James W. Fox, formerly chief economist for Latin America at USAID, is an economic consultant. 


          Compact, Threshold and Other Eligible Countries, FY 2008

          Country

          Agreement Signed

          Amount
          ($ Million)

          Type

          Comments

          Compact Countries

          Madagascar

          4/18/2005

          $110

          LIC

          Year 3

          Honduras

          6/13/2005

          $215

          LIC

          Year 3

          Cape Verde

          7/4/2005

          $110

          LMIC

          Year 2

          Nicaragua

          7/14/2005

          $175

          LIC

          Year 1

          Georgia

          9/12/2005

          $295

          LIC

          Year 2

          Benin

          2/22/2006

          $307

          LIC

          Year 1

          Armenia

          3/27/2006

          $236

          LMIC

          Year 1

          Vanuatu

          3/29/2006

          $66

          LIC

          Year 2

          Ghana

          8/1/2006

          $547

          LIC

          Year 1

          Mali

          11/13/2006

          $461

          LIC

          Year 1

          El Salvador

          11/29/2006

          $461

          LMIC

          Year 2

          Lesotho

          7/23/2007

          $363

          LIC

          Year 1

          Mozambique

          7/31/2007

          $507

          LIC

          Year 1

          Morocco

          8/3/2007

          $691

          LMIC

          Year 1

          Mongolia

          10/22/2007

          $285

          LIC

          Year 1

          Tanzania

          2/17/2008

          $698

          LIC

          Threshold, Compact year 1

          Burkina Faso

          7/15/2008

          $481

          LIC

          Threshold, Compact not yet in force

          Namibia

          7/28/2008

          $305

          LMIC

          Compact not yet in force

          Countries with Threshold Programs

          Malawi

          9/23/2005

          $21

          LIC

          Compact Eligible,Threshold Signed

          Albania

          4/3/2006

          $14

          LMIC

          Paraguay

          5/8/2006

          $35

          LIC

          Zambia

          5/22/2006

          $23

          LIC

          Philippines

          7/26/2006

          $21

          LIC

          Compact Eligible, Threshold Signed

          Jordan

          10/17/2006

          $25

          LMIC

          Compact Eligible, Threshold Signed

          Indonesia

          11/17/2006

          $55

          LIC

          Ukraine

          12/4/2006

          $45

          LMIC

          Compact Eligible, Threshold Signed

          Moldova

          12/15/2006

          $25

          LIC

          Compact proposed, Threshold Signed

          Kenya

          3/23/2007

          $13

          LIC

          Uganda

          3/29/2007

          $10

          LIC

          Guyana

          8/23/2007

          $7

          LIC

          Yemen

          9/12/2007

          $21

          LIC

          Sao Tome and Principe

          11/9/2007

          $9

          LIC

          Peru

          6/9/2008

          $36

          LMIC

          Other Eligible Countries

          Bolivia

          LIC

          Compact Proposal Received

          Kyrgyz Republic

          LIC

          Threshold Eligible

          Mauritania

          LIC

          Threshold Eligible

          Niger

          LIC

          Threshold Eligible

          Rwanda

          LIC

          Threshold Eligible

          Senegal

          LIC

          Compact Proposal Received

          Timor-Leste

          LIC

          Compact Eligible, Threshold Eligible


          MCC Eligibility Indicators

          Indicator

          Category

          Source

          Civil Liberties

          Ruling Justly

          Freedom House

          Political Rights

          Ruling Justly

          Freedom House

          Voice and Accountability

          Ruling Justly

          World Bank Institute

          Government Effectiveness

          Ruling Justly

          World Bank Institute

          Rule of Law

          Ruling Justly

          World Bank Institute

          Control of Corruption

          Ruling Justly

          World Bank Institute

          Immunization Rates

          Investing in People

          World Health Organization

          Public Expenditure on Health

          Investing in People

          World Health Organization

          Girls' Primary Education Completion Rate

          Investing in People

          UNESCO

          Public Expenditure on Primary Education

          Investing in People

          UNESCO and national sources

          Business Start Up

          Economic Freedom

          IFC

          Inflation

          Economic Freedom

          IMF WEO

          Trade Policy

          Economic Freedom

          Heritage Foundation

          Regulatory Quality

          Economic Freedom

          World Bank Institute

          Fiscal Policy

          Economic Freedom

          national sources, cross-checked
          with IMF WEO

          Natural Resource Management

          Investing in People

          CIESIN/Yale

          Land Rights and Access

          Economic Freedom

          IFAD / IFC


          Countries with Threshold Programs

          Country

          Agreement
          Signed

          Amount
          ($ Million)

          Purpose

          Burkina Faso

          7/22/2005

          12.9

          Increase Girls' primary education




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          Ferguson, Mo. Emblematic of Growing Suburban Poverty


          Nearly a week after the death of 18 year-old Michael Brown in Ferguson, Mo., protests continue in the 21,000-person suburban community on St. Louis’ north side and around the nation.

          Amid the social media and news coverage of the community’s response to the police shooting of the unarmed teenager, a picture of Ferguson and its history has emerged.

          The New York Times and others have described the deep-seated racial tensions and inequalities that have long plagued the St. Louis region, as well as the dramatic demographic transformation of Ferguson from a largely white suburban enclave (it was 85 percent white as recently as 1980) to a predominantly black community (it was 67 percent black by 2008-2012).

          But Ferguson has also been home to dramatic economic changes in recent years. The city’s unemployment rate rose from roughly 7 percent in 2000 to over 13 percent in 2010-12. For those residents who were employed, inflation-adjusted average earnings fell by one-third. The number of households using federal Housing Choice Vouchers climbed from roughly 300 in 2000 to more than 800 by the end of the decade.

          Amid these changes, poverty skyrocketed. Between 2000 and 2010-2012, Ferguson’s poor population doubled. By the end of that period, roughly one in four residents lived below the federal poverty line ($23,492 for a family of four in 2012), and 44 percent fell below twice that level.

          These changes affected neighborhoods throughout Ferguson. At the start of the 2000s, the five census tracts that fall within Ferguson’s border registered poverty rates ranging between 4 and 16 percent. However, by 2008-2012 almost all of Ferguson’s neighborhoods had poverty rates at or above the 20 percent threshold at which the negative effects of concentrated poverty begin to emerge. (One Ferguson tract had a poverty rate of 13.1 percent in 2008-2012, while the remaining tracts fell between 19.8 and 33.3 percent.)

          Census Tract-Level Poverty Rates in St. Louis County, 2000

          Census Tract-Level Poverty Rates in St. Louis County, 2008-2012

          As dramatic as the growth in economic disadvantage has been in this community, Ferguson is not alone.

          Within the nation’s 100 largest metro areas, the number of suburban neighborhoods where more than 20 percent of residents live below the federal poverty line more than doubled between 2000 and 2008-2012. Almost every major metro area saw suburban poverty not only grow during the 2000s but also become more concentrated in high-poverty neighborhoods. By 2008-2012, 38 percent of poor residents in the suburbs lived in neighborhoods with poverty rates of 20 percent or higher. For poor black residents in those communities, the figure was 53 percent.

          Like Ferguson, many of these changing suburban communities are home to out-of-step power structures, where the leadership class, including the police force, does not reflect the rapid demographic changes that have reshaped these places.

          Suburban areas with growing poverty are also frequently characterized by many small, fragmented municipalities; Ferguson is just one of 91 jurisdictions in St. Louis County. This often translates into inadequate resources and capacity to respond to growing needs and can complicate efforts to connect residents with economic opportunities that offer a path out of poverty.

          And as concentrated poverty climbs in communities like Ferguson, they find themselves especially ill-equipped to deal with impacts such as poorer education and health outcomes, and higher crime rates. In an article for Salon, Brittney Cooper writes about the outpouring of anger from the community, “Violence is the effect, not the cause of the concentrated poverty that locks that many poor people up together with no conceivable way out and no productive way to channel their rage at having an existence that is adjacent to the American dream.” 

          None of this means that there are 1,000 Fergusons-in-waiting, but it should underscore the fact that there are a growing number of communities across the country facing similar, if quieter, deep challenges every day.

          A previous version of this post misstated the Ferguson unemployment rate in 2000. It has since been corrected.

          Image Source: Mario Anzuoni / Reuters
                
           
           




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          Troubled waters: What Nigeria can do to improve security, the economy, and human welfare


          Nigeria is facing a confluence of troubles: dramatically reduced oil prices have pummeled a country that depends on oil exports for two-thirds of its national revenues; the Boko Haram insurgency continues to wreak havoc particularly in the north of the country, where suicide bombings (many of which are now carried out by kidnapped girls) have killed hundreds; and corruption remains a drain on the country, which ranked 136th out of 168 countries on Transparency International’s 2015 Corruptions Perceptions Index.

          But amidst this, Nigeria completed its first peaceful transition of power nine months ago—to Muhammadu Buhari, who has since made some progress in reforming the military, sacking corrupt leaders, and injecting energy into the counter-Boko Haram campaign. 

          On February 29, the Africa Security Initiative at Brookings hosted a discussion on the current state of Nigeria, featuring EJ Hogendoorn of the International Crisis Group, Madeline Rose of Mercy Corps, Mausi Segun of Human Rights Watch, and Amadou Sy from Brookings. Brookings’s Mike O’Hanlon moderated the conversation.

          As O’Hanlon argued at the start, Nigeria is one of the most important countries in the world, but appears little in policy debates. Nigeria is sub-Saharan Africa’s largest economy, and security risks emanating in the country can have spillover effects. All of the participants stressed that Nigeria should factor more centrally in conversations about international security, economic development, and humanitarian issues.

          Nigeria’s ups and downs

          O’Hanlon started by framing three overlapping challenges in Nigeria:

          • The struggle against Boko Haram, which is more complicated than a pure terror group, but has also pledged loyalty to ISIS.
          • The question of reform, to include the army, the police, and the entire government.
          • The state of the economy, since Nigerian livelihoods need to be improved if there is any hope to handle the first two situations. 

          Hogendoorn praised the peaceful transition of power to President Buhari, calling it a “stunning achievement” for the country and those who helped from the outside. However, the problems facing Nigeria—namely the insurgency in the Niger Delta, declining oil prices, and corruption and government mismanagement (at state and federal levels)—are large, he said. He argued that declining oil prices and income are impacting the government’s ability to fulfill promises, and that state governments are powerful and difficult to reform. He praised some anti-corruption institutions in Nigeria, as well as a number of effective governors who have changed corruption situation dramatically over a short period of time. But in the end, he said, it comes down to good leadership. The Nigerian people must demand accountability. 

          Rose detailed how things have changed in Nigeria since Mercy Corps became heavily involved in the area in 2012. Mercy Corps’ main missions there include violence reduction, education, and creating opportunity for young girls, as well as humanitarian response. While there has been progress on chronic violence in Nigeria, particularly in the northeast of the country, Rose stressed that there is much to be done. She concluded that there is not enough attention to the human element of the crisis. For example, Rose noted that displacement is common across the Northeast. The displaced are mainly women and children. In the displaced groups, the eldest becomes de facto head of household—sometimes forcing leading adolescent girls to turn to selling sex for food or money for food. Rose called on the government to address this. 

          Segun agreed that the focus needs to change regarding crisis response in Nigeria. In the past, the focus has been almost entirely on a military response. This has not been a workable plan, she said, partly because the “military operates above the law.” The reforms in Nigeria must have a social component, Segun argued. Lack of access to opportunity, economic problems, and desertification of major water bodies have all combined to drive farmers and fisherman from the Northeast and into the heart of the conflict. 

          Sy returned to the importance of economic interests in resolving the crises in Nigeria. He reminded the audience that the country is the largest economy of sub-Saharan Africa, and that is important for the entire continent. Since two-thirds of the government revenue comes from oil, the oil shock has dealt a huge blow. But there is hope for Nigeria, Sy noted. One reason is stimulus via investment outside the oil sector. There has been an increase in infrastructure spending, as well as on human development (namely in education and health). In both cases, he said the biggest issue will be implementation. Sy gave four recommendations to the Nigerian government: 1) increase infrastructure expenditure, 2) make government more lean and cost-effective, 3) increase taxation in non-oil revenue items, and 4) reduce corruption. 

          Overall, the participants expressed cautious hope for Nigeria despite the problems it faces. The government there still has a long list of to-do’s, but there is reason to believe that it is on the right general track.

          Authors

          • Ian Livingston
               
           
           




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          Webinar: Public health and COVID-19 in MENA: Impact, response and outlook

          The coronavirus pandemic has exacted a devastating human toll on the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, with over 300,000 confirmed cases and 11,000 deaths to date. It has also pushed the region’s public healthcare systems to their limits, though countries differ greatly in their capacities to test, trace, quarantine, and treat affected individuals. MENA governments…

                 




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          Mapping racial inequity amid COVID-19 underscores policy discriminations against Black Americans

          A spate of recent news accounts reveals what many experts have feared: Black communities in the U.S. are experiencing some of the highest fatality rates from COVID-19. But without an understanding of the policy contexts that have shaped conditions in Black-majority neighborhoods, one may assume the rapid spread of the coronavirus there is caused by…

                 




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          COVID-19’s recent spread shifts to suburban, whiter, and more Republican-leaning areas

          There is a stereotypical view of the places in America that COVID-19 has affected most: they are broadly urban, comprised predominantly of racial minorities, and strongly vote Democratic. This underlines the public’s perception of what kinds of populations reside in areas highly exposed to the coronavirus, as well as some of the recent political arguments…

                 




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          March Madness and college basketball’s racial bias problem

          The NCAA basketball tournament is one of the most-viewed sporting events in the United States. In 2019, nearly 20 million viewers watched the championship game, and each tournament game (67 total) averaged about 10 million viewers. Over 17 million people completed a March Madness tournament bracket for the 68-team tournament. Among youth, basketball is one…

                 




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          Critical in a public health crisis, COVID-19 has hit local newsrooms hard

          While the coronavirus may be a global pandemic, the public health crisis has revealed the critical role of local news outlets currently working tirelessly to cover the impact of the coronavirus on their communities. These outlets have helped to disseminate essential information from state and local government actors, prevent the spread of misinformation, and report…

                 




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          Destroying trust in the media, science, and government has left America vulnerable to disaster

          For America to minimize the damage from the current pandemic, the media must inform, science must innovate, and our government must administer like never before. Yet decades of politically-motivated attacks discrediting all three institutions, taken to a new level by President Trump, leave the American public in a vulnerable position. Trump has consistently vilified the…

                 




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          Keep independent Israeli action on the table


          While Israeli and Palestinian interests are best served by a negotiated two-state state solution, the peace plan that Sam Bahour proposed in his February post disregards Israel's demographic and security concerns and is tantamount to a Palestinian veto on a negotiated solution. His insistence on the right of return for Palestinian refugees and rejection of security limitations on Palestinian sovereignty in effect asks Israel to become a binational state while creating a militarized Palestinian state alongside it. Bahour rejects the notion of unilateral action, but his case only reinforces my belief that Israel may need to act independently to protect its interests.

          The logic behind the Clinton parameters and President Obama’s peace plan was that in return for the creation of a Palestinian state, Palestinian refugees would relinquish their claim to Israel; the hope was that this would allow for the "two states for two peoples" to exist side-by-side. Yet Bahour rejects compromise on the refugee issue as the forfeiture of “basic components of statehood and basic principles of Israeli-Palestinian peace that are enshrined in international law.” Any peace agreement that both establishes a Palestinian state and recognizes the rights of millions of Palestinians to enter Israel would hasten the end of Israel's Jewish identity.

          Israel's interest in the creation of a Palestinian state is also built upon the assumption that a sound agreement would improve its security rather than threaten it. To this end, Israel has called for a demilitarized Palestinian state, and this has been echoed by the United States, France, the Czech Republic, the European Union, and Australia’s Labor Party. Even Mahmoud Abbas accepted the premise of demilitarization, saying, “We don’t need planes or missiles. All we need is a strong police force.” Nevertheless, Bahour’s piece declares any limitations on the sovereignty of Palestine unacceptable. For Israel, a peace deal that grants one’s adversaries access to more deadly weaponry would be absurd.

          Bahour argues that my strategies for reaching a two-state solution are doomed because they do not meet the "mutual interests" of the parties to the conflict, but his plan does not offer incentives for Israel to make peace.

          Bahour argues that my strategies for reaching a two-state solution are doomed because they do not meet the "mutual interests" of the parties to the conflict, but his plan does not offer incentives for Israel to make peace. His proposal not only fails to improve Israel's situation in any tangible sense, but further endangers it. Rejectionist Palestinian positions like Bahour's (and Abbas's recent dismissal of Biden's initiative) would veto the two-state solution as a means to move towards a single binational state. That is precisely why Israel may need to act independently to keep a two-state solution viable.

          Authors

          • Amos Yadlin
               
           
           




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          Financing for a Fairer, More Prosperous Kenya: A Review of the Public Spending Challenges and Options for Selected Arid and Semi-Arid Counties


          INTRODUCTION

          In August, 2010 the government of Kenya adopted a new constitution. This followed a referendum in which an overwhelming majority of Kenyans voted for change. The decisive impetus for reform came from the widespread violence and political crisis that followed the 2007 election. While claims of electoral fraud provided the immediate catalyst for violence, the deeper causes were to be found in the interaction of a highly centralized ‘winner-take-all’ political system with deep social disparities based in part on group identity (Hanson 2008).

          Provisions for equity figure prominently in the new constitution. Backed by a bill of rights that opens the door to legal enforcement, citizenship rights have been strengthened in many areas,including access to basic services. ‘Equitable sharing’ has been introduced as a guiding principle for public spending. National and devolved governments are now constitutionally required to redress social disparities, target disadvantaged areas and provide affirmative action for marginalized groups.

          Translating these provisions into tangible outcomes will not be straightforward. Equity is a principle that would be readily endorsed by most policymakers in Kenya and Kenya’s citizens have provided their own endorsement through the referendum. However, there is an ongoing debate over what the commitment to equity means in practice, as well as over the pace and direction of reform. Much of that debate has centered on the constitutional injunction requiring ‘equitable sharing’ in public spending.

          On most measures of human development, Kenya registers average outcomes considerably above those for sub-Saharan Africa as a region. Yet the national average masks extreme disparities—and the benefits of increased prosperity have been unequally shared.

          There are compelling grounds for a strengthened focus on equity in Kenya. In recent years, the country has maintained a respectable, if less than spectacular, record on economic growth. Social indicators are also on an upward trend. On most measures of human development, Kenya registers average outcomes considerably above those for sub-Saharan Africa as a region. Yet the national average masks extreme disparities—and the benefits of increased prosperity have been unequally shared. Some regions and social groups face levels of deprivation that rank alongside the worst in Africa. Moreover, the deep fault lines running through society are widely perceived as a source of injustice and potential political instability.

          High levels of inequality in Kenya raise wider concerns. There has been a tendency in domestic debates to see ‘equitable sharing’ as a guiding principle for social justice, rather than as a condition for accelerated growth and enhanced economic efficiency. Yet international evidence strongly suggests that extreme inequality—especially in opportunities for education— is profoundly damaging for economic growth. It follows that redistributive public spending has the potential to support growth.

          The current paper focuses on a group of 12 counties located in Kenya’s Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs). They are among the most disadvantaged in the country. Most are characterized by high levels of income poverty, chronic food insecurity and acute deprivation across a wide range of social indicators.

          Nowhere is the deprivation starker than in education. The ASAL counties account for a disproportionately large share of Kenya’s out-of-school children, pointing to problems in access and school retention. Gender disparities in education are among the widest in the country. Learning outcomes for the small number of children who get through primary school are for the most part abysmal, even by the generally low national average standards.

          Unequal public spending patterns have played no small part in creating the disparities that separate the ASAL counties from the rest of Kenya—and ‘equitable sharing’ could play a role in closing the gap. But what would a more equitable approach to public spending look like in practice?

          This paper addresses that question. It looks in some detail at education for two reasons. First, good quality education is itself a powerful motor of enhanced equity. It has the potential to equip children and youth with the skills and competencies that they need to break out of cycles of poverty and to participate more fully in national prosperity. If Kenya is to embark on a more equitable pattern of development, there are strong grounds for prioritizing the creation of more equal opportunities in education. Second, the education sector illustrates many of the wider challenges and debates that Kenya’s policymakers will have to address as they seek to translate constitutional provisions into public spending strategies. In particular, it highlights the importance of weighting for indicators that reflect need in designing formulae for budget allocations.

          Our broad conclusion is that, while Kenya clearly needs to avoid public spending reforms that jeopardize service delivery in wealthier counties, redistributive measures are justified on the grounds of efficiency and equity.

          The paper is organized as follows. Part 1 provides an overview of the approach to equity enshrined in the constitution. While the spirit of the constitution is unequivocal, the letter is open to a vast array of interpretations. We briefly explore the implications of a range of approaches. Our broad conclusion is that, while Kenya clearly needs to avoid public spending reforms that jeopardize service delivery in wealthier counties, redistributive measures are justified on the grounds of efficiency and equity. Although this paper focuses principally on basic services, we caution against approaches that treat equity as a matter of social sector financing to the exclusion of growth-oriented productive investment.

          Part 2 provides an analysis of some key indicators on poverty, health and nutrition. Drawing on household expenditure data, the report locates the 12 ASAL counties in the national league table for the incidence and depth of poverty. Data on health outcomes and access to basic services provide another indicator of the state of human development. While there are some marked variations across counties and indicators, most of the 12 counties register levels of deprivation in poverty and basic health far in excess of those found in other areas.

          Part 3 shifts the focus to education. Over the past decade, Kenya has made considerable progress in improving access to basic education. Enrollment rates in primary education have increased sharply since the elimination of school fees in 2003. Transition rates to secondary school are also rising. The record on learning achievement is less impressive. While Kenya lacks a comprehensive national learning assessment, survey evidence points to systemic problems in education quality. In both access and learning, children in the ASAL counties—especially female children—are at a considerable disadvantage. After setting out the national picture, the paper explores the distinctive problems facing these counties.

          In Part 4 we look beyond Kenya to wider international experience. Many countries have grappled with the challenge of reducing disparities between less-favored and more-favored regions. There are no blueprints on offer. However, there are some useful lessons and guidelines that may be of some relevance to the policy debate in Kenya. The experience of South Africa may be particularly instructive given the weight attached to equity in the post-apartheid constitution.

          Part 5 of the paper explores a range of approaches to financial allocations. Converting constitutional principle into operational practice will require the development of formulae-based approaches. From an equitable financing perspective there is no perfect model. Any formula that is adopted will involve trade-offs between different goals. Policymakers have to determine what weight to attach to different dimensions of equity (for example, gender, income, education and health), the time frame for achieving stated policy goals, and whether to frame targets in terms of outcomes or inputs. These questions go beyond devolved financing. The Kenyan constitution is unequivocal in stipulating that the ‘equitable sharing’ provision applies to all public spending. We therefore undertake a series of formula-based exercises illustrating the allocation patterns that would emerge under different formulae, with specific reference to the 12 ASAL focus counties and to education.

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          Authors

          Image Source: © Thomas Mukoya / Reuters
                
           
           




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          Footloose and Fancy Free: A Field Survey of Walkable Urban Places in the Top 30 U.S. Metropolitan Areas

          Introduction

          The post-World War II era has witnessed the nearly exclusive building of low density suburbia, here termed “drivable sub-urban” development, as the American metropolitan built environment. However, over the past 15 years, there has been a gradual shift in how Americans have created their built environment (defined as the real estate, which is generally privately owned, and the infrastructure that supports real estate, majority publicly owned), as demonstrated by the success of the many downtown revitalizations, new urbanism, and transit-oriented development. This has been the result of the re-introduction and expansion of higher density “walkable urban” places. This new trend is the focus of the recently published book, The Option of Urbanism: Investing in a New American Dream (Island Press, November 2007).

          This field survey attempts to identify the number and location of “regional-serving” walkable urban places in the 30 largest metropolitan areas in the U.S., where 138 million, or 46 percent, of the U.S. population lives. This field survey determines where these walkable urban places are most prevalent on a per capita basis, where they are generally located within the metro area, and the extent to which rail transit service is associated with walkable urban development.

          The first section defines the key concepts used in the survey, providing relevant background information for those who have not read The Option of Urbanism. The second section outlines the methodology. The third section, which is the heart of the report, outlines the findings and conclusions of the survey.

          Watch Interview

          Downloads

               
           
           




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          Walkable Urbanism

          Chris Leinberger discusses his book about the most walkable urban and metro areas in the United States with Nicole Lapin from CNN.

          NICOLE LAPIN: Walkable Urbanism.  Well, it's spreading beyond the boundaries of inner cities and into suburbs as Gen-Xers and empty nesters are searching for communities offering a walkable lifestyle. Well, all of this is according to a brand new book The Option of Urbanism Investing in a New American Dream.  The book was written in conjunction with the survey by the Brookings Institution. Brookings basically compiled a list of the best places for a car-less walkable urban lifestyle. Where you can basically: work, go home, go shopping, go to school, see entertainment all within a walking distance. So joining me now to talk more about this whole idea, the new 'American Dream,' is the author of that book Chris Leinberger. He joins us live from the Brookings Institution. Chris, thank you so much.

          CHRIS LEINBERGER: Why thank you Nicole.

          NICOLE LAPIN: Okay, first of all, let’s talk about this list because I got in my car this morning in Atlanta. I'm assuming Atlanta is not on the list?

          CHRIS LEINBERGER: It's sort of in the middle of the list – it's not towards the top.

          NICOLE LAPIN: Okay, so the top ten, can we start out, what’s number one?

          CHRIS LEINBERGER: Number one is Washington, D.C. – and again we are talking about the metropolitan area.

          NICOLE LAPIN: So, basically the west end, west of downtown, that has changed so much lately.

          CHRIS LEINBERGER: Yes it has, but downtown itself has probably been the most remarkable downtown turnaround in the country. But, then all of the downtown adjacent places like the west end – which was an old industrial section – that's almost now built out. Dupont Circle which was dangerous twenty years ago is now a very elegant place and three or four other places around downtown, so it's not just downtown. 

          Watch the full interview>>

          Authors

          Publication: CNN
               
           
           




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          Walkable Urbanism is Changing City Life

          Ever since World War II, the American dream has encompassed the four-bedroom house with a white picket fence, tucked away in the suburbs. But this dream has gradually turned into a nightmare, with the increase of traffic, congestion and the general inconvenience of being detached from the city. Whereas people once rejoiced in camping trips to escape metropolitan living, we are now, as a culture, magnetized towards it as the appeal for walking more and driving less steadily increases.

          KOJO NNAMDI:Chris you've dubbed this new style of living- "Walkable Urbanism." What is the evidence of a rising demand for it?

          CHRIS LEINBERGER: There's demographic evidence; there's consumer research evidence; but probably the most compelling evidence is the price premium people are willing to pay to live in a walkable urban place, that the survey's show anywhere from a 40% to 200% price premium on a price per square foot basis for a walkable urban place as oppose to a competitive near by drivable suburban place.

          KOJO NNAMDI: So it used to be that a condo or a townhouse was entry level product for people who couldn’t afford a real house, its beginning to be the other way around?

          CHRIS LEINBERGER: In fact in 2003 for the first time in the country's history, condos on a price per square foot basis cost more than single family housing, and that includes all those old condo's that were built to be a alternative to a quote "real house" which was a single family house.  Its fundamentally changed and we've only seen the beginning of this train.

          KOJO NNAMDI: I am intrigued about why people's preferences are indeed changing. In your book you give some of the credit to popular culture. Talk about the difference between the baby boomers- who grew up on 'Leave it Beaver,' the 'Brady Bunch' versus Generation Xer's who watch 'Seinfeld, and 'Sex in the City.'

          CHRIS LEINBERGER: That’s just a reflection of the market reality. Hollywood does more consumer research than any business in the entire economy, and there out there doing focus groups constantly. So there reflecting what’s going on. Baby Boomers when they would see somebody- an image on the screen of some young woman flimsily dressed, walking down a dark street in a city, they would think- 'Oh my God, Hill street blues, and Blade Runner.' And the Gen-Xer's think, 'oh she is going to go to a new art gallery opening right down the street with all her friends.' Whole different perception of what a city life is like.

          KOJO NNAMDI: A generational difference...

            
          Listen to the full interview

          Authors

          Publication: The Kojo Nnamdi Show (WAMU)