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Covid-19: Home testing programme across England aims to help define way out of lockdown




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Calls to European Domestic Violence Hotlines Soar Amid Lockdowns

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Calls to domestic violence hotlines in Europe are up by as much as three-fifths as alcohol and drug abuse combine with close confinement in coronavirus lockdowns to fuel abuse of the most vulnerable, the World Health Organization has said.






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French Philosopher Latour Urges No Return to Pre-Lockdown Normal

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What if rather than hurrying back to a pre-lockdown "business as usual" to revive economies hammered by the coronavirus pandemic, countries built a new normal where the fight against climate change was paramount?






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Watch: Large flock of migrating birds shows up on Florida weather radar

A Florida TV station's weather radar detected a large mass between the state and Cuba that turned out to be something other than an unseasonable storm -- it was a flock of migrating birds.




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Interlocking Set of Trump Administration Policies at the U.S.-Mexico Border Bars Virtually All from Asylum

Through a set of interlocking policies, the Trump administration has walled off the asylum system at the U.S.-Mexico border, guaranteeing that only a miniscule few can successfully gain protection. While the Migrant Protection Protocols, more commonly known as Remain in Mexico, have been a key part of throttling asylum applications, two newer, far less visible programs hold the potential to complete the job, as this article explores.




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ADA opposes CMS’ Medicaid block grant guidance

The ADA said it believes a new policy from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid could be “detrimental” to the millions of adults who rely on Medicaid for dental care.




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Federal judge declines to block COVID-19 abortion ban in Arkansas

A federal court on Thursday denied a motion to block an Arkansas directive preventing patients from receiving abortion care.




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Supreme Court puts temporary block on release of evidence in Mueller probe

The Supreme Court on Friday granted a Justice Department request to temporarily block release of secret grand jury material from special counsel Robert Mueller's probe to Congress.




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Britons told not to expect big changes in lockdown as death toll passes 31,000

There are no major changes coming to Britain's current coronavirus lockdown orders anytime soon, a government official said Friday as health officials reported 626 more deaths from COVID-19.




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A Race Against the Clock: Meeting Seasonal Labor Needs in the Age of COVID-19

As governments have reacted to the coronavirus pandemic by closing borders, seasonal workers have been kept out, raising a pressing question: who is going to produce the food amid agricultural labor shortages? Policymakers in the Asia Pacific, Europe, and North America have responded by seeking to recruit residents, lengthen stays for already present seasonal workers, and find ways to continue admitting foreign seasonal labor, as this commentary explores.




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Under Lockdown Amid COVID-19 Pandemic, Europe Feels the Pinch from Slowed Intra-EU Labor Mobility

Border closures and lockdowns amid the COVID-19 pandemic have put a chill on intra-EU labor mobility, most immediately with the difficulty for European farmers to gain access to much-needed seasonal workers and for health-care institutions to get care workers. This article explores how these workers, who often face difficult situations, may be more vulnerable now. It also takes on implications for intra-EU labor mobility post-pandemic.




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Unlocking Skills: Successful Initiatives for Integrating Foreign-Trained Immigrant Professionals

Nearly 2 million college-educated immigrants in the United States, more than half coming with academic and professional credentials, are unable to fully utilize their professional skills and instead are stuck in low-skilled work or are unemployed. This report explores a range of programs and policies that are providing cutting-edge career navigation, relicensing, gap filling, and job search assistance to remedy this brain waste.




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Robustness and Locke's Wingless Gentleman

Our ancestors have made decisions under uncertainty ever since they had to stand and fight or run away, eat this root or that berry, sleep in this cave or under that bush. Our species is distinguished by the extent of deliberate thought preceding decision. Nonetheless, the ability to decide in the face of the unknown was born from primal necessity. Betting is one of the oldest ways of deciding under uncertainty. But you bet you that 'bet' is a subtler concept than one might think.

We all know what it means to make a bet, but just to make sure let's quote the Oxford English Dictionary: "To stake or wager (a sum of money, etc.) in support of an affirmation or on the issue of a forecast." The word has been around for quite a while. Shakespeare used the verb in 1600: "Iohn a Gaunt loued him well, and betted much money on his head." (Henry IV, Pt. 2 iii. ii. 44). Drayton used the noun in 1627 (and he wasn't the first): "For a long while it was an euen bet ... Whether proud Warwick, or the Queene should win."

An even bet is a 50-50 chance, an equal probability of each outcome. But betting is not always a matter of chance. Sometimes the meaning is just the opposite. According to the OED 'You bet' or 'You bet you' are slang expressions meaning 'be assured, certainly'. For instance: "'Can you handle this outfit?' 'You bet,' said the scout." (D.L.Sayers, Lord Peter Views Body, iv. 68). Mark Twain wrote "'I'll get you there on time' - and you bet you he did, too." (Roughing It, xx. 152).

So 'bet' is one of those words whose meaning stretches from one idea all the way to its opposite. Drayton's "even bet" between Warwick and the Queen means that he has no idea who will win. In contrast, Twain's "you bet you" is a statement of certainty. In Twain's or Sayers' usage, it's as though uncertainty combines with moral conviction to produce a definite resolution. This is a dialectic in which doubt and determination form decisiveness.

John Locke may have had something like this in mind when he wrote:

"If we will disbelieve everything, because we cannot certainly know all things; we shall do muchwhat as wisely as he, who would not use his legs, but sit still and perish, because he had no wings to fly." (An Essay Concerning Human Understanding, 1706, I.i.5)

The absurdity of Locke's wingless gentleman starving in his chair leads us to believe, and to act, despite our doubts. The moral imperative of survival sweeps aside the paralysis of uncertainty. The consequence of unabated doubt - paralysis - induces doubt's opposite: decisiveness.

But rational creatures must have some method for reasoning around their uncertainties. Locke does not intend for us to simply ignore our ignorance. But if we have no way to place bets - if the odds simply are unknown - then what are we to do? We cannot "sit still and perish".

This is where the strategy of robustness comes in.

'Robust' means 'Strong and hardy; sturdy; healthy'. By implication, something that is robust is 'not easily damaged or broken, resilient'. A statistical test is robust if it yields 'approximately correct results despite the falsity of certain of the assumptions underlying it' or despite errors in the data. (OED)

A decision is robust if its outcome is satisfactory despite error in the information and understanding which justified or motivated the decision. A robust decision is resilient to surprise, immune to ignorance.

It is no coincidence that the colloquial use of the word 'bet' includes concepts of both chance and certainty. A good bet can tolerate large deviation from certainty, large error of information. A good bet is robust to surprise. 'You bet you' does not mean that the world is certain. It means that the outcome is certain to be acceptable, regardless of how the world turns out. The scout will handle the outfit even if there is a rogue in the ranks; Twain will get there on time despite snags and surprises. A good bet is robust to the unknown. You bet you!


An extended and more formal discussion of these issues can be found elsewhere.




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How Phone Counseling May Help Save Lives During the Covid-19 Lockdown

With the covid-19 pandemic now affecting virtually every country on earth, it is understandable that much of the world’s focus has been on protecting people’s physical health. Hand washing and social distancing is important in the fight against the coronavirus. However, it is important to remember that mental health issues may lead to loss of […]




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Lockdown Reading Recommendations for People Who Like to Read About Sex

I know that many of you are bored and horny right now during this lockdown and quarantine period, so allow me to recommend some of my favorite sex books! If you follow me on Instagram, you’ve probably already seen a few of my recommendations, but here’s a more extensive reading list.



  • Featured Books and Films

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Sex and Psychology Podcast: Maintaining a Healthy Intimate Life During Lockdown and Social Distancing

These are unprecedented times. Much of the world is currently living under lockdown conditions and practicing social distancing in order to curb the spread of the COVID-19 coronavirus. So how is this affecting people’s intimate lives? How are our sex lives and relationships holding up, and is there anything we can do to more effectively navigate this complex and challenging situation? For the answers to these questions, I spoke to Dr. Lori Brotto, a Professor at the University of British Columbia, a practicing psychologist, and author of the book Better Sex Through Mindfulness. I asked Dr. Brotto what she has been seeing in her clinical practice since the pandemic began and how it’s different from usual.




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Podcasts on the Science of Sex to Get You Through the Lockdown

During this time of lockdowns and quarantines, I know that many of you are looking for ways to pass the time, so allow me to suggest some entertaining and educational podcasts on the science of sex to help!



  • Sex and Relationships in the Media

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Publication Bias And Lockdown Memories: The Week’s Best Psychology Links

Our weekly round-up of the best psychology coverage from elsewhere on the web




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Judge blocks Tennessee from implementing voucher program




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Judge blocks Tennessee from implementing voucher program




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Judge blocks Tennessee from implementing voucher program




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K12 Inc., Georgia Charter School Locked in Bitter Fight

The Georgia Cyber Academy moved to stop using the company's curriculum and technology, a decision that K12 Inc. says violated an agreement between the two sides.




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The Queen's bed : an intimate history of Elizabeth's court / Anna Whitelock.

Elizabeth I, Queen of England, 1533-1603 -- Sexual behavior.




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The Wooleen way : renewing an Australian resource / David Pollock.

Pollock, David.




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Dr. C. Fred. Pollock.




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Digestion and indigestion : proper and improper feeding in health and disease / by A. Lockhart Gillespie.

Edinburgh : MacNiven & Wallace, 1896.




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The effect of the cold weather in the early part of 1895 on the admission of medical cases into the Royal Edinburgh Infirmary. With a note on some earlier periods of severe weather / by A. Lockhart Gillespie.

London : Kenny & Co, [1895?]




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The electro-motive changes in heart-block / by G. A. Gibson.

London : British Medical Journal, 1906.




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Roman Catholic Students Sue Vermont Over Dual-Enrollment Lockout

A group of Vermont high school students backed by a powerful conservative Christian legal organization is accusing the state of religious discrimination.




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Fruit on a dish and a tureen, with elaborate vessels, rugs, and a bas-relief of grape-pickers. Colour line block by Leighton Brothers after G. Lance.

[London?] : [Illustrated London News?], [between 1850 and 1870?]




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A castle (the Castello Odescalchi di Bracciano?), with a flock of sheep attended by a shepherd. Etching and mezzotint by L. Marvy after Claude Lorraine.

[Paris] : Calcographie du Louvre, Musées Imperiaux, [1849?]




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Exact recovery in block spin Ising models at the critical line

Matthias Löwe, Kristina Schubert.

Source: Electronic Journal of Statistics, Volume 14, Number 1, 1796--1815.

Abstract:
We show how to exactly reconstruct the block structure at the critical line in the so-called Ising block model. This model was recently re-introduced by Berthet, Rigollet and Srivastava in [2]. There the authors show how to exactly reconstruct blocks away from the critical line and they give an upper and a lower bound on the number of observations one needs; thereby they establish a minimax optimal rate (up to constants). Our technique relies on a combination of their methods with fluctuation results obtained in [20]. The latter are extended to the full critical regime. We find that the number of necessary observations depends on whether the interaction parameter between two blocks is positive or negative: In the first case, there are about $Nlog N$ observations required to exactly recover the block structure, while in the latter case $sqrt{N}log N$ observations suffice.




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Rate optimal Chernoff bound and application to community detection in the stochastic block models

Zhixin Zhou, Ping Li.

Source: Electronic Journal of Statistics, Volume 14, Number 1, 1302--1347.

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The Chernoff coefficient is known to be an upper bound of Bayes error probability in classification problem. In this paper, we will develop a rate optimal Chernoff bound on the Bayes error probability. The new bound is not only an upper bound but also a lower bound of Bayes error probability up to a constant factor. Moreover, we will apply this result to community detection in the stochastic block models. As a clustering problem, the optimal misclassification rate of community detection problem can be characterized by our rate optimal Chernoff bound. This can be formalized by deriving a minimax error rate over certain parameter space of stochastic block models, then achieving such an error rate by a feasible algorithm employing multiple steps of EM type updates.




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Consistency and asymptotic normality of Latent Block Model estimators

Vincent Brault, Christine Keribin, Mahendra Mariadassou.

Source: Electronic Journal of Statistics, Volume 14, Number 1, 1234--1268.

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The Latent Block Model (LBM) is a model-based method to cluster simultaneously the $d$ columns and $n$ rows of a data matrix. Parameter estimation in LBM is a difficult and multifaceted problem. Although various estimation strategies have been proposed and are now well understood empirically, theoretical guarantees about their asymptotic behavior is rather sparse and most results are limited to the binary setting. We prove here theoretical guarantees in the valued settings. We show that under some mild conditions on the parameter space, and in an asymptotic regime where $log (d)/n$ and $log (n)/d$ tend to $0$ when $n$ and $d$ tend to infinity, (1) the maximum-likelihood estimate of the complete model (with known labels) is consistent and (2) the log-likelihood ratios are equivalent under the complete and observed (with unknown labels) models. This equivalence allows us to transfer the asymptotic consistency, and under mild conditions, asymptotic normality, to the maximum likelihood estimate under the observed model. Moreover, the variational estimator is also consistent and, under the same conditions, asymptotically normal.




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Weighted Message Passing and Minimum Energy Flow for Heterogeneous Stochastic Block Models with Side Information

We study the misclassification error for community detection in general heterogeneous stochastic block models (SBM) with noisy or partial label information. We establish a connection between the misclassification rate and the notion of minimum energy on the local neighborhood of the SBM. We develop an optimally weighted message passing algorithm to reconstruct labels for SBM based on the minimum energy flow and the eigenvectors of a certain Markov transition matrix. The general SBM considered in this paper allows for unequal-size communities, degree heterogeneity, and different connection probabilities among blocks. We focus on how to optimally weigh the message passing to improve misclassification.




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Optimal rates for community estimation in the weighted stochastic block model

Min Xu, Varun Jog, Po-Ling Loh.

Source: The Annals of Statistics, Volume 48, Number 1, 183--204.

Abstract:
Community identification in a network is an important problem in fields such as social science, neuroscience and genetics. Over the past decade, stochastic block models (SBMs) have emerged as a popular statistical framework for this problem. However, SBMs have an important limitation in that they are suited only for networks with unweighted edges; in various scientific applications, disregarding the edge weights may result in a loss of valuable information. We study a weighted generalization of the SBM, in which observations are collected in the form of a weighted adjacency matrix and the weight of each edge is generated independently from an unknown probability density determined by the community membership of its endpoints. We characterize the optimal rate of misclustering error of the weighted SBM in terms of the Renyi divergence of order 1/2 between the weight distributions of within-community and between-community edges, substantially generalizing existing results for unweighted SBMs. Furthermore, we present a computationally tractable algorithm based on discretization that achieves the optimal error rate. Our method is adaptive in the sense that the algorithm, without assuming knowledge of the weight densities, performs as well as the best algorithm that knows the weight densities.




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Local law and Tracy–Widom limit for sparse stochastic block models

Jong Yun Hwang, Ji Oon Lee, Wooseok Yang.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 3, 2400--2435.

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We consider the spectral properties of sparse stochastic block models, where $N$ vertices are partitioned into $K$ balanced communities. Under an assumption that the intra-community probability and inter-community probability are of similar order, we prove a local semicircle law up to the spectral edges, with an explicit formula on the deterministic shift of the spectral edge. We also prove that the fluctuation of the extremal eigenvalues is given by the GOE Tracy–Widom law after rescaling and centering the entries of sparse stochastic block models. Applying the result to sparse stochastic block models, we rigorously prove that there is a large gap between the outliers and the spectral edge without centering.




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Consistent structure estimation of exponential-family random graph models with block structure

Michael Schweinberger.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 2, 1205--1233.

Abstract:
We consider the challenging problem of statistical inference for exponential-family random graph models based on a single observation of a random graph with complex dependence. To facilitate statistical inference, we consider random graphs with additional structure in the form of block structure. We have shown elsewhere that when the block structure is known, it facilitates consistency results for $M$-estimators of canonical and curved exponential-family random graph models with complex dependence, such as transitivity. In practice, the block structure is known in some applications (e.g., multilevel networks), but is unknown in others. When the block structure is unknown, the first and foremost question is whether it can be recovered with high probability based on a single observation of a random graph with complex dependence. The main consistency results of the paper show that it is possible to do so under weak dependence and smoothness conditions. These results confirm that exponential-family random graph models with block structure constitute a promising direction of statistical network analysis.




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Blue growth - unlocking the potential of seas and oceans

Today’s fisheries sector hosts a multibillion dollar industry that is a vital source of food and nutrition, employment, trade, economic wellbeing and recreation. What is blue growth? The concept of a "blue economy" came out of the 2012 Rio+20 Conference and emphasizes conservation and sustainable management, based on the premise that healthy ocean ecosystems are more productive and a must for sustainable [...]




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Notre-Dame Restoration Pauses Amid France's Two-Week Lockdown

Lead decontamination policies enacted in August are now in conflict with measures to prevent spread of COVID-19




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China Plans to Lift Lockdown on Wuhan, Where COVID-19 Was First Detected

With no new infections reported in Hubei province in recent days, restrictions are easing up—but experts worry about possible 'second wave' of cases




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Flamingos in Captivity Pick Favorite Friends Among the Flock

These cliques wear pink every day of the week




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Lockout




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Sask. farmers fear fuel delays after picket line starts at Moose Jaw Co-op cardlock

Some farmers across the province are worried about getting their fuel in time for spring seeding. The Agricultural Producers Association of Saskatchewan says it has been fielding complaints this week about delays at the Co-op cardlock near Moose Jaw.



  • News/Canada/Saskatchewan

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St. John's residents paying more to unblock sewage backups can file claim with city: mayor

Staff halted $100 service over pandemic concerns, forcing homeowners to private plumbers much more, and Danny Breen is urging them to contact the city.



  • News/Canada/Nfld. & Labrador

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Remaining students describe life during lockdown at Laurentian University in Sudbury

Before COVID-19 hit, Hemliss Eloïse Konan had plans for how she'd spend her summer in Sudbury. After finishing her first year at Laurentian University, Konan planned to stay in residence, and get a job for the summer.



  • News/Canada/Sudbury

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When Coronavirus Lockdowns Go Too Far

The closures were necessary. Chasing picnickers and closing paint aisles is petty overreach.




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Neha Bhasin: The lockdown has made me realise how privileged we are; I have seen the state of people in the streets and it’s not pretty

"So there are days when I feel down and out, but I remember the gratitude bit in the back of my head (sic)."



  • IMC News Feed

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India’s lavish weddings go online in virus lockdown – South China Morning Post

India's lavish weddings go online in virus lockdown  South China Morning Post



  • IMC News Feed

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Lonely, bored, and anxious: One senior's life inside a locked-down retirement home

Visits to long-term care homes and some retirement homes across B.C. have been restricted due to the COVID-19 pandemic — and one senior says life inside is very challenging.



  • News/Canada/British Columbia