atlantic Shark ‘hotspots’ and fishing activities overlap in the North Atlantic Ocean By ec.europa.eu Published On :: Wed, 25 May 2016 10:10:10 GMT Sharks aggregate in ‘hotspots’ in the North Atlantic Ocean and are at risk from overfishing by longliner vessels that target the same areas for fishing, a recent study has concluded. Researchers found that the shark and fishing-fleet ranges overlapped by 80% in the North Atlantic and call for international regulation of shark catches to protect at-risk shark populations. Full Article
atlantic Polar and Atlantic cod share habitat, but not diet By ec.europa.eu Published On :: Tue, 17 Apr 2012 15:07:27 +0100 Despite Atlantic cod and haddock extending further into Arctic waters, a new study reveals there is little competition for food between the invaders and native polar cod. However, it is uncertain whether climate change will increase competition between the species as range expansion of the Atlantic species progresses. Full Article
atlantic Environmental Scenario Planning: what if marine conservation hotspots in NE Atlantic increase under climate change? By ec.europa.eu Published On :: Thu, 19 Mar 2015 9:23:19 GMT Marine biodiversity conservation in the north-east Atlantic needs a combination of more adaptable management strategies and international co-operation, a new study says. This is required to deal with a potential increase in marine conservation hotspots under climate change. Full Article
atlantic Atlantic beaches of Europe reshaped in stormy winter of 2013–2014 By ec.europa.eu Published On :: Thu, 09 Jun 2016 09:01:15 GMT Waves hitting Europe’s Atlantic coast during the winter of 2013–2014 were the most powerful in nearly 70 years, reports a new study. They caused significant coastal erosion and the study found examples of beaches which are now several metres lower. The study’s authors say that coastal planners should consider increasingly stormy conditions in the north-east Atlantic, as predicted by some climate change models. Full Article
atlantic New insights into multi-century phytoplankton decline in North Atlantic predict further decline under climate change By ec.europa.eu Published On :: Thur, 30 January 2020 11:23:19 GMT Phytoplankton are essential to marine food webs and fisheries. However, a new study indicates that their levels have declined in the North Atlantic since the beginning of the 19th century. This coincides with weakening ocean-circulation patterns, partly caused by melting ice caps. If the melting continues, the study warns of a dramatic fall in North Atlantic plankton levels that could have cascading effects across marine food webs, reducing the ocean’s ability to absorb carbon and threatening the supply of seafood for humans. Full Article
atlantic Marine protected areas increase survival of Atlantic cod By ec.europa.eu Published On :: Thu, 08 October 2015 9:23:32 GMT Marine protected areas (MPAs) are widely used to safeguard marine ecosystems across Europe. This study investigated the effect of a partially protected area (PPA) off the coast of Norway on a population of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua). The PPA reduced the number of deaths due to fishing, increased survival and stimulated movement to surrounding areas. The authors say that preventing fishing altogether would increase survival even further and recommend no-take zones in areas where populations are severely reduced. Full Article
atlantic Possible impact of climate change and fish farming on Atlantic salmon By ec.europa.eu Published On :: Thu, 7 Jul 2011 12:02:44 +0100 Urban planning policy has had a powerful influence on the amount of green space in cities, according to a recent UK study. It found that a change in planning policy in 2000 led to a decline in urban green space in nine cities between 2001 and 2006, although the amount of green space in all but one of the cities studied has increased overall since 1991. Full Article
atlantic Sea turtle by catch: Atlantic at-risk areas located By ec.europa.eu Published On :: Thu, 27 Mar 2014 9:23:19 GMT Nine areas in the Atlantic where leatherback turtles are at higher risk of bycatch have been identified in a recent study. To help protect this important species less damaging fishing practices could be used in these areas, the study concludes, and some could be candidates for marine protected status. Full Article
atlantic Ocean acidification — caused by climate change — likely to reduce the survival rate of Atlantic cod larvae By ec.europa.eu Published On :: Thur, 15 Dec 2016 9:23:19 GMT The impact of ocean acidification — caused by increased carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions dissolving in sea water — on Atlantic cod larvae has been assessed in a new study. The researchers estimate that, under scenarios which might be reached at the end of the century, ocean acidification could double the mortality rate of cod larvae, reducing replenishment of juvenile fish into cod fisheries to 24% of previous recruitment. Full Article
atlantic New insights into multi-century phytoplankton decline in North Atlantic predict further decline under climate change By ec.europa.eu Published On :: Thur, 30 January 2020 11:23:19 GMT Rare earth elements (REE) are used to make many low-carbon technologies, including electric vehicles and wind turbines. Mining and processing of REE, which mostly takes place in China, has a reputation for causing environmental damage. A new study presents a method for evaluating the environmental impacts of REE production based on life-cycle assessment (LCA: a way of determining a product's overall impact during some or all of its journey from extraction to end-of-life). The researchers applied the method to a prospective REE mine in Malawi, south-east Africa, to reveal the most environmentally impactful stages of production, and the greenest source of energy. Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 1107 PM EDT FRI SEP 13 2019 .Tropical Storm HUMBERTO CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF TROPICAL Cyclone WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC Advisory FR By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 14 Sep 2019 03:08:15 +0000 000 WTNT84 KNHC 140307 TCVAT4 HUMBERTO WATCH/WARNING ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 1107 PM EDT FRI SEP 13 2019 .TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE COAST...AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD GRIDS. FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-140415- /O.CAN.KNHC.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1107 PM EDT FRI SEP 13 2019 $$ ATTN...WFO...MLB... Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone SEBASTIEN Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone SEBASTIEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 28 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 25 Nov 2019 02:32:11 +0000 000 FONT15 KNHC 250232 PWSAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 28.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PONTA DELGADA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER LATTO Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Tropical Storm Imelda Tropical Cyclone Update By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Tue, 17 Sep 2019 18:27:08 +0000 000 WTNT61 KNHC 171827 TCUAT1 Tropical Storm Imelda Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019 130 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019 ...TROPICAL STORM IMELDA MAKES LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS... ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING WILL SPREAD INLAND... NOAA Doppler radar data and surface observations indicate that Tropical Storm Imelda made landfall near Freeport, Texas at 100 PM CDT with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. A National Ocean Service observing site at Freeport, Texas reported a minimum pressure near 1005 mb (29.68 inches) around the time of landfall. SUMMARY OF 130 PM CDT...1830 UTC...INFORMATION --------------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.0N 95.3W ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM S OF FREEPORT TEXAS ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SW OF GALVESTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES $$ Forecaster Zelinsky/Brown Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019 547 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2019 .Tropical Storm KAREN CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF TROPICAL Cyclone WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC Advisory FROM T By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Wed, 25 Sep 2019 09:48:03 +0000 000 WTNT82 KNHC 250947 TCVAT2 KAREN WATCH/WARNING ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019 547 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2019 .TROPICAL STORM KAREN CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE COAST...AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD GRIDS. PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-251100- /O.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 547 AM AST WED SEP 25 2019 $$ ATTN...WFO...SJU... Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Advisory Number 3 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 26 Oct 2019 02:51:08 +0000 000 WTNT32 KNHC 260251 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172019 1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019 ...OLGA BECOMES POST-TROPICAL... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SATURDAY... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.8N 92.2W ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SSE OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal tropical cyclone watches or warnings in effect. Please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service and products from local National Weather Service forecast offices for information on the non-tropical watches and warnings associated with this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga was located near latitude 27.8 North, longitude 92.2 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). Olga is forecast to move quickly northward to north-northeastward on Saturday and then turn northeastward late Saturday or Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of the post-tropical cyclone will move up the Mississippi Valley tomorrow and toward the Great Lakes later this weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected after the cyclone moves over land Saturday morning. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on earlier data from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft and surface observations over the northern Gulf of Mexico is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Gale-force winds associated with Olga and its remnants should spread over portions of the northern Gulf coast tonight and Saturday morning. RAINFALL: The post-tropical cyclone, along with rainfall ahead of the system along and north of the frontal boundary across the Central Gulf coast, is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with maximum totals of 8 inches across the Central Gulf coast into portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley and western Tennessee Valley through Saturday morning. These rains may produce flash flooding across the Central Gulf coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley and western Tennessee Valley. COASTAL FLOODING: Above-normal tides and associated coastal flooding are possible across portions of the northern Gulf coast. Please see products from local National Weather Service forecast offices for additional information. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight into Saturday morning across parts of southeast Louisiana, southern Mississippi, and western Alabama. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Additional information about heavy rainfall and wind gusts can be found in storm summary products issued by the Weather Prediction Center at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc3.html $$ Forecaster Zelinsky Full Article
atlantic NHC Atlantic High Seas Forecast By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Tue, 04 Nov 2014 09:33:06 +0000 000 FZNT02 KNHC 040932 HSFAT2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE NOV 04. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED NOV 05. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 06. .WARNINGS. .NONE. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .ATLC WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 31N56W TO 21N65W THEN STATIONARY TO 19N69W. S OF 29N W OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT E OF BAHAMAS...AND TO 8 FT W OF BAHAMAS. FROM 18N TO 24N E OF 42W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE FROM 15N35W TO 17N55W TO 21N68W TO 26N77W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE...SE AND NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. SHEAR LINE FROM 31N57W TO 24N65W TO 20N71W. TROUGH FROM 25N62W TO 19N62W. BETWEEN SHEAR LINE AND A LINE FROM 31N68W TO 27N80W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT E OF BAHAMAS...HIGHEST FROM 26N TO 27N BETWEEN 64W AND 71W. N OF A LINE FROM 12N35W TO 20N70W AND E OF SHEAR LINE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE...SE AND NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST SHEAR LINE DISSIPATED. LOW PRES NEAR 28N71W 1010 MB WITH TROUGH NE TO 31N67W AND ANOTHER TROUGH FROM LOW TO 21N72W. WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 31N67W TO 26N72W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT...HIGHEST NEAR 27N71W. FROM 25N TO 28N BETWEEN 64W AND 67W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 10N E OF 60W...AND N OF 21N BETWEEN 67W AND 78W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE...SE AND NW SWELL. .CARIBBEAN WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT FROM 18N72W TO 16N78W TO 15N84W. W OF FRONT TO 85W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT TO 30 KT WINDWARD PASSAGE AND APPROACHES. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT S OF 21N. FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 73W AND 81W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. N OF 16N BETWEEN 69W AND 72W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT FROM 18N73W TO 15N79W TO 15N84W. W OF FRONT TO LINE FROM 20N77W TO 18N82W TO 18N86W...INCLUDING GULF OF HONDURAS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS EXCEPT NE 20 TO 25 KT N OF 19N BETWEEN 78W AND 84W. SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 78W AND 81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL. .30 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .GULF OF MEXICO S OF 25N E OF 87W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N E OF 87W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL. .GULF OF MEXICO 48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N93W TO 25N97W. W OF FRONT NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. $$ .FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone REBEKAH Forecast/Advisory Number 7 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.6N 29.0W AT 01/0900 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2019 08:32:06 +0000 000 WTNT24 KNHC 010831 TCMAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.6N 29.0W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 95 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 160SW 110NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.6N 29.0W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.7N 30.2W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 40.2N 24.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.6N 29.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Advisory Number 10 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:41:18 +0000 000 WTNT31 KNHC 192041 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162019 500 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019 ...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.4N 84.1W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NE OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 10 MI...20 KM E OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the Gulf coast of Florida. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no tropical cyclone coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), satellite imagery, NOAA Doppler weather radar data, and surface observations indicate that the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor was located near latitude 30.4 North, longitude 84.1 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Sunday night. On the forecast track, the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor will move across portions of the southeastern United States tonight and Sunday. The cyclone is expected to move offshore of the coast of North Carolina into the western Atlantic by late Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, with some slight strengthening possible Sunday night and Monday when Post-Tropical Nestor moves over the western Atlantic. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km), east of the center over Atlantic waters just offshore the Georgia coast. The NOAA buoy at Gray's Reef, Georgia, recently reported a sustained wind of 38 mph (61 km/h) and a gust to 43 mph (69 km/h) The minimum central pressure based on nearby surface observations is estimated to be 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor is expected to produce additional rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches this weekend across portions of the southeastern United States. WIND: Gale-force winds will develop along portions of the Atlantic coast of the southeastern United States later today and tonight. TORNADOES: A tornado remains possible across parts of the Florida Peninsula and coastal Georgia this afternoon and early evening, with a few tornadoes possible tonight through Sunday morning across the coastal Carolinas. STORM SURGE: Storm surge levels will continue to subside through tonight along the Gulf coast of Florida. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Nestor. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Stewart Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 445 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2019 .Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF TROPICAL Cyclone WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC Advisor By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:45:40 +0000 000 WTNT81 KNHC 192045 TCVAT1 NESTOR WATCH/WARNING ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 445 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2019 .POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE COAST...AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD GRIDS. FLZ027-028-034-118-127-128-134-192145- /O.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 445 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2019 $$ ATTN...WFO...TAE... Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 752 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2019 .Post-Tropical Cyclone DORIAN CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF TROPICAL Cyclone WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC Advisory By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 07 Sep 2019 23:52:47 +0000 000 WTNT85 KNHC 072352 TCVAT5 DORIAN WATCH/WARNING INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 59A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 752 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2019 .POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE COAST...AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD GRIDS. MEZ017-029-030-080100- /O.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 752 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2019 $$ ATTN...WFO...CAR... Full Article
atlantic NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 09 May 2020 17:36:50 +0000 000 AXNT20 KNHC 091736 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1230 PM EDT Sat May 9 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1700 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from 10N14W to 03N24W. The ITCZ extends from 03N24W to 00N38W to 00N50W. Numerous moderate scattered strong convection is noted from 02N-09N between 09W- 22W. Scattered moderate convection is seen within 300 nm of the ITCZ between 32W-50W. GULF OF MEXICO... A cold front extends from Cedar Key Florida to 28N93W to 26N96W, then transitions to a stationary front from 26N96W to the coast of Mexico near 22N98W and inland to beyond 25N101W. As of 1500 UTC, a weak 1014 low is analyzed along the front near 25N96W. Numerous strong convection is over the southwest Gulf of Mexico from 19N-24N between 93.5W-96.5W. Scattered to numerous moderate and isolated strong convection is elsewhere inside the points bounded by 29N96W to 29N90W to 25N92W to 23N86W to 19N97W to 29N96W. A recent ASCAT pass shows strong NE winds over the northern Gulf, north of the cold front and northwest of the surface low near the Texas coast. An area of strong winds are also seen off the NW coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Gentle to moderate winds are over the SE Gulf, as an E-W surface ridge is seen extending along 25N from 73W-88W. The cold front will move S to the central Gulf waters later today and gradually stall through Sun. The weak low pressure over the SW Gulf will track east-northeastward toward South Florida on Sun. The stalled front will then transition back to a cold front and exit the southeastern Gulf on Mon. Numerous showers and thunderstorms will impact most of the southern and eastern Gulf waters through the rest of this weekend. CARIBBEAN SEA... Mid- to upper-level ridging prevails over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea. TPW imagery shows abundant moisture over the western Caribbean. A weak surface trough over Cuba is inducing scattered showers and isolated tstorms north of 20N between 77W-88W. Farther south, troughing extending from the east Pacific over Central America is inducing scattered showers and tstorms from the eastern coast of Honduras to Panama, and extending out offshore to 60 nm from the Caribbean coast of Central America. A recent ASCAT pass shows strong trades between 67W-75W, with fresh trades elsewhere from 10.5N-18N between 63W-79W. Moderate winds are seen elsewhere. High pressure N of the area will support fresh to strong trade winds across the central Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds over most of the remainder of the basin through Sun night. The aerial extent of the strong trades will diminish and will be confined to the south-central Caribbean through the middle of next week. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front has entered the waters east of northern Florida and extends from 32N75W to Daytona Beach Florida to the western Gulf of Mexico. Fresh winds prevail on both sides of the cold front north of 28N between 69W-81W. Strong winds are north of 30N. Only isolated showers are noted with this front. The front will move across the waters N of the Bahamas through Sun. A cold front extends from 32N46W to 28N52W to 25.5N61W. It continues WSW as a stationary front from 25.5N61W to the Bahamas near 23N75W. A surface trough is analyzed from 23N75W across Cuba to 21N83W. Scattered moderate convection is seen over portions of the central and southeastern Bahamas from 22N-24N between 72.5W-76W. Scattered showers and isolated tstorms are elsewhere within 60 nm of the surface trough and stationary front. Isolated showers are along the cold front. A 1025 mb high is centered near 29N37W. A weak surface trough extends across the Canary Islands from 31N14W to 25N23W with isolated showers. Weak low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will track ENE across South Florida into the Bahamas Sun through Mon night, enhancing winds and generating numerous showers and thunderstorms. In the wake of the low, a cold front will move across the waters east of Florida and the northern Bahamas through Mon night, then stall from near 29N65W to central Cuba late Tue. $$ Hagen Full Article
atlantic Atlantic By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 01 Dec 2019 05:11:33 +0000 000 ABNT30 KNHC 010511 TWSAT Monthly Tropical Weather Summary NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EST Sun Dec 1 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: One tropical storm (Sebastien) formed in the Atlantic basin in the month of November, and one subtropical storm (Rebekah) that formed in October was still active when the month began. On average, one tropical storm forms in the basin every other year in the month of November. Overall, the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season featured above normal activity. Eighteen named storms formed, of which six became hurricanes and three became major hurricanes - category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. This compares to the long-term average of twelve named storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. There were also two tropical depressions that did not reach tropical-storm strength. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the combined strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes, activity in the Atlantic basin in 2019 was well above the long-term mean. Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the National Hurricane Center website at www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2019&basin=atl Summary Table Name Dates Max Wind (mph) --------------------------------------------------- STS Andrea 20-21 May 40* H Barry 11-15 Jul 75* TD Three 22-23 Jul 35* TS Chantal 21-23 Aug 40* MH Dorian 24 Aug- 7 Sep 185 TS Erin 26-29 Aug 40* TS Fernand 3- 4 Sep 50 TS Gabrielle 3-10 Sep 60 MH Humberto 13-19 Sep 125 TS Imelda 17-19 Sep 40 H Jerry 17-25 Sep 105 TS Karen 22-27 Sep 45 MH Lorenzo 22 Sep- 2 Oct 160 TS Melissa 11-14 Oct 65 TD Fifteen 14-16 Oct 35* TS Nestor 18-19 Oct 60 TS Olga 25 Oct 40 H Pablo 25-28 Oct 80 STS Rebekah 30 Oct- 1 Nov 45 TS Sebastien 19-24 Nov 55 --------------------------------------------------- * Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete. $$ Hurricane Specialist Unit Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Tropical Storm Karen Tropical Cyclone Update By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 23:59:44 +0000 000 WTNT62 KNHC 222359 TCUAT2 Tropical Storm Karen Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122019 800 PM AST Sun Sep 22 2019 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES... The government of Barbados has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for St. Vincent and the Grenadines. $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Sebastien Discussion Number 23 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 25 Nov 2019 02:32:11 +0000 000 WTNT45 KNHC 250232 TCDAT5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Sebastien Discussion Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202019 1100 PM AST Sun Nov 24 2019 Sebastien has lost its tropical characteristics this evening. The deep convection has decoupled from the low-level circulation, and these features are now separated by a distance of 100 n mi and increasing. Two partial ASCAT passes revealed that the surface low is becoming stretched out, and there is some evidence of a boundary, possibly a front, extending northeast from the center. Furthermore, recent observations from Corbo and Flores islands in the Azores indicated a slight temperature decrease as the center passed by to the north of those islands, suggesting that a weak cold front is associated with the the cyclone. Based on all of these data, there is high confidence that Sebastien has transitioned to an extratropical cyclone. The initial advisory intensity is 50 kt which is based on 47 kt winds sampled by the scatterometer and a subjective intensity estimate from TAFB. Post-tropical cyclone Sebastien is moving northeastward at 35 kt, embedded in the strong flow to the southeast of a mid- to upper- level trough. This motion, and the cyclone's current intensity, is expected to persist for the next day or so, before the cyclone merges with a higher-latitude low. The cyclone will likely bring gusty winds and heavy rains to portions of the Azores through Monday morning. Please see products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and the Atmosphere (IPMA) for more details. Additional information on this system can be found in: High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/0300Z 41.0N 28.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 12H 25/1200Z 43.6N 22.7W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 26/0000Z 48.1N 14.2W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 26/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW $$ Forecaster Latto Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Tropical Storm OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA... ...DAMAGING WINDS STILL OCCURRING INLAND... NOAA Doppler weather radar data indicate that the center of Michael is now moving into south-central Georgia. Tropical storm-force winds continue over central and By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Thu, 11 Oct 2018 04:00:43 +0000 000 WTNT64 KNHC 110400 TCUAT4 Tropical Storm Michael Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018 1200 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...12 AM EDT POSITION UPDATE... ...MICHAEL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA... ...DAMAGING WINDS STILL OCCURRING INLAND... NOAA Doppler weather radar data indicate that the center of Michael is now moving into south-central Georgia. Tropical storm-force winds continue over central and southern Georgia, and are spreading across the coast of southeastern Georgia. This will be the last hourly position update issued by the National Hurricane Center on Michael. The next intermediate advisory will be issued at 2 AM EDT...0600 UTC. SUMMARY OF 1200 AM EDT...0400 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.3N 83.6W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSW OF MACON GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...115 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Sebastien Advisory Number 23 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 25 Nov 2019 02:31:36 +0000 000 WTNT35 KNHC 250231 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Sebastien Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202019 1100 PM AST Sun Nov 24 2019 ...SEBASTIEN NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.0N 28.9W ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM NNW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of the remnants of Sebastien. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Sebastien was located near latitude 41.0 North, longitude 28.9 West. Sebastien is moving toward the northeast near 40 mph (65 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Post-tropical cyclone Sebastien should maintain its intensity before merging with another low during the next day or two. Gale-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND AND RAIN: The cyclone is expected to bring gusty winds and rain to the Azores through Monday morning. Please see products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and the Atmosphere (IPMA) for more information. SURF: Swells generated by Sebastien are expected to affect the Azores during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Sebastien. Additional information on this system can be found in: High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at: www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2 $$ Forecaster Latto Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Hurricane Lorenzo Tropical Cyclone Update By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 29 Sep 2019 02:07:56 +0000 000 WTNT63 KNHC 290207 TCUAT3 Hurricane Lorenzo Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132019 1010 PM AST Sat Sep 28 2019 ...LORENZO STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... Recent satellite data indicate that Lorenzo has continued to rapidly strengthen to an extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds near 160 mph (260 km/h). This increase in intensity will be reflected in the forecast issued at 11 pm AST (0300 UTC). SUMMARY OF 1010 PM AST...0210 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.1N 45.0W ABOUT 1410 MI...2270 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.31 INCHES $$ Forecaster Brown/Latto Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Advisory Number 12 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 28 Oct 2019 14:38:49 +0000 000 WTNT33 KNHC 281438 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019 ...COLD WATERS FINALLY TAKE THEIR TOLL ON PABLO... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...46.8N 17.7W ABOUT 730 MI...1170 KM NE OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo was located near latitude 46.8 North, longitude 17.7 West. Pablo is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7 km/h), and a slow north to northwest motion is expected over the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. The post-tropical cyclone is forecast to dissipate by Tuesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. Gale-force winds, some of which are not directly associated with Pablo, are expected to persist well to the north of the cyclone through at least Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Pablo. Additional information on this system can be found in: High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at: www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2 High Seas Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO header FQNT21 EGRR and on the web at: metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high- seas-forecast/. $$ Forecaster Latto Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone PABLO Forecast/Advisory Number 12 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.8N 17.7W AT 28/1500Z By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 28 Oct 2019 14:38:49 +0000 000 WTNT23 KNHC 281438 TCMAT3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.8N 17.7W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 420SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.8N 17.7W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 46.6N 17.7W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 47.4N 17.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 48.5N 18.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 46.8N 17.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW...AND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE UK MET OFFICE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT21 EGRR. $$ FORECASTER LATTO Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone OLGA Forecast/Advisory Number 3 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL Cyclone WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIO By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 26 Oct 2019 02:50:41 +0000 000 WTNT22 KNHC 260250 TCMAT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND PRODUCTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR INFORMATION ON THE NON-TROPICAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 92.2W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 120SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 450SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 92.2W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 92.5W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 31.8N 90.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 38.0N 88.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 43.5N 83.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N 92.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR Forecast/Advisory Number 10...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 CORRECTED 12 FT SEAS RADII CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS Advisory... THE TROPICAL Storm WARN By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 21:00:16 +0000 000 WTNT21 KNHC 192059 CCA TCMAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 CORRECTED 12 FT SEAS RADII CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO TROPICAL CYCLONE COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 84.1W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......210NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 84.1W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 85.0W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 32.3N 81.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 35.0N 76.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 36.8N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 36.8N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 36.5N 65.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N 84.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON NESTOR. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Advisory Number 7 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2019 08:32:34 +0000 000 WTNT34 KNHC 010832 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192019 500 AM AST Fri Nov 01 2019 ...REBEKAH BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.6N 29.0W ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM N OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah was located near latitude 40.6 North, longitude 29.0 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east near 20 mph (31 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate this afternoon or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Hazard information for the Azores can be found in products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) at https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Tropical Storm Sebastien Tropical Cyclone Update By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 23 Nov 2019 12:31:08 +0000 000 WTNT65 KNHC 231231 TCUAT5 Tropical Storm Sebastien Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202019 830 AM AST Sat Nov 23 2019 ...CENTER OF SEBASTIEN FARTHER NORTHEAST THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED... Recent microwave and visible satellite imagery indicate that the center of Sebastien is moving faster than forecast and is now located northeast of previous estimates. This will be reflected in the next advisory issued by 11 AM AST (1500 UTC). SUMMARY OF 830 AM AST...1230 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.5N 48.5W ABOUT 1365 MI...2195 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES $$ Forecaster Zelinsky Full Article
atlantic NHC Atlantic Outlook By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 02 Dec 2019 11:32:52 GMT The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. Full Article
atlantic The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 02 Dec 2019 11:32:52 GMT The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone PABLO ICAO Advisory Number 12 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191028/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: PABLO NR: 012 PSN: N4648 W01742 MOV: N 04KT C: 0995HPA MAX WIND: 035KT FCS By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 28 Oct 2019 14:39:17 +0000 000 FKNT23 KNHC 281439 TCANT3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191028/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: PABLO NR: 012 PSN: N4648 W01742 MOV: N 04KT C: 0995HPA MAX WIND: 035KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 28/2100Z N4712 W01750 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 035KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 29/0300Z N4740 W01800 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 035KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 29/0900Z N4813 W01811 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 035KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 29/1500Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: ///KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP $$ Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone SEBASTIEN Forecast/Advisory Number 23 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POST-T By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 25 Nov 2019 02:31:37 +0000 000 WTNT25 KNHC 250231 TCMAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 28.9W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 35 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 170SE 190SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 240SE 420SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 28.9W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 30.8W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 43.6N 22.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 170SE 190SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 48.1N 14.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 190SE 190SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.0N 28.9W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON SEBASTIEN. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW. $$ FORECASTER LATTO Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone REBEKAH Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone REBEKAH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.0 WE By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2019 08:32:34 +0000 000 FONT14 KNHC 010832 PWSAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone OLGA ICAO Advisory Number 3 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191026/0300Z TCAC: KNHC TC: OLGA NR: 003 PSN: N2748 W09212 MOV: NE 15KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 045KT FCST By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 26 Oct 2019 02:51:44 +0000 000 FKNT22 KNHC 260251 TCANT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191026/0300Z TCAC: KNHC TC: OLGA NR: 003 PSN: N2748 W09212 MOV: NE 15KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 045KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 26/0900Z N3027 W09100 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 040KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 26/1500Z N3321 W08955 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 035KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 26/2100Z N3627 W08858 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 030KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 27/0300Z N3922 W08715 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 030KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP $$ Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Discussion Number 3 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 26 Oct 2019 02:53:39 +0000 000 WTNT42 KNHC 260253 TCDAT2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172019 1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019 Earlier this evening, the last 2 passes through Olga made by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft showed that the cyclone becoming embedded within a cold front. Strong northwesterly flow was observed within 10 n mi northwest of Olga's center and a sharp temperature and dew point gradient was measured across the cyclone. It does not appear that Olga has separated from the front in any significant way since the plane left. In fact, recent surface observations suggest that either the front passes through the center of the cyclone or its circulation has become poorly defined. Based on all these data, Olga is now classified as post-tropical and this is the last NHC advisory. Since Olga is entangled with the front, the winds and seas associated the front are now considered to be representative of the overall system. The intensity of the post-tropical cyclone is set at 45 kt based on SFMR winds of 48 kt and flight-level winds of 54 kt found by the plane behind the front. No substantial change in Olga's strength is anticipated before it reaches the coast Saturday morning, and the winds should decrease quickly thereafter. The post-tropical cyclone is forecast to move quickly up the Mississippi Valley on Saturday, before turning northeastward toward the Great Lakes late Saturday or early Sunday. Dissipation is anticipated before the end of the weekend. Severe weather, including heavy rain, gusty winds, and isolated tornadoes will be the primary hazard associated with post-tropical Olga as it races northward. Coastal flooding is also possible tonight along portions of the Louisiana coast. For more information specific to your area, please see products from your local weather service office at weather.gov. Key messages: 1. Olga is now a post-tropical cyclone. Detailed information about hazards related to wind, rainfall, coastal flooding, and tornadoes can be found in products issued by local National Weather Service forecast offices, available at weather.gov FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0300Z 27.8N 92.2W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 26/1200Z 31.8N 90.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 27/0000Z 38.0N 88.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 27/1200Z 43.5N 83.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Discussion Number 12 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 28 Oct 2019 14:40:20 +0000 000 WTNT43 KNHC 281440 TCDAT3 Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019 Cold waters of 16C and increasing shear caused the deep convection near Pablo's center to dissipate early this morning, and the cyclone now consists of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds and showers. This lack of deep convection has caused Pablo to now become post-tropical. A recent ASCAT pass showed an area of 30 to 35 kt winds northwest of the center of Pablo, and the initial intensity is set to 35 kt based on those data. In addition, the scatterometer data showed a much larger area of gale-force winds well to the north of, but not directly associated with Pablo. The post-tropical cyclone will move slowly north to northwest over the next day or so, until it is absorbed by a much larger mid-latitude low to its west. The gales occurring north of the Pablo are expected to persist at least until it is absorbed. Additional information on this system can be found in: High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. High Seas Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO header FQNT21 EGRR and on the web at metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high- seas-forecast/. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 46.8N 17.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 29/0000Z 47.4N 17.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 29/1200Z 48.5N 18.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone NESTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WES By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:41:18 +0000 000 FONT11 KNHC 192041 PWSAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NORFOLK VA 34 X 9( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 11(11) 7(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 26(26) 5(31) X(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) RALEIGH NC 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 44(44) 15(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 31(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 61(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) CHERRY PT NC 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 56(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) NEW RIVER NC 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 60(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SURF CITY NC 34 X 66(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) SURF CITY NC 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 68(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) WILMINGTON NC 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 64(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FLORENCE SC 34 23 29(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) COLUMBIA SC 34 27 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) LITTLE RIVER 34 5 67(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) LITTLE RIVER 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 15 59(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GEORGETOWN SC 34 32 41(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 66 11(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) CHARLESTON SC 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 83 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AUGUSTA GA 34 27 X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) SAVANNAH GA 34 89 X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) SAVANNAH GA 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WAYCROSS GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST MARKS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone REBEKAH ICAO Advisory Number 7 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191101/0900Z TCAC: KNHC TC: REBEKAH NR: 007 PSN: N4036 W02900 MOV: E 17KT C: 1005HPA MAX WIND: 030KT By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2019 08:35:44 +0000 000 FKNT24 KNHC 010832 TCANT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191101/0900Z TCAC: KNHC TC: REBEKAH NR: 007 PSN: N4036 W02900 MOV: E 17KT C: 1005HPA MAX WIND: 030KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 01/1500Z N4019 W02604 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 025KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 01/2100Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: ///KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 02/0300Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: ///KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 02/0900Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: ///KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
atlantic NHC Southwest Atlantic & Caribbean Sea Offshore Waters Forecast By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 09 May 2020 15:13:22 +0000 000 FZNT23 KNHC 091513 OFFNT3 Offshore Waters Forecast for the SW and Tropical N Atlantic and Caribbean Sea NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 22N between 55W and 64W, the SW N Atlantic S of 31N W of 65W including Bahamas, and the Caribbean Sea. Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. AMZ001-100315- Synopsis for Caribbean Sea and Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .SYNOPSIS...High pressure N of the area will support fresh to strong trade winds across the central Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds over most of the remainder of the basin through Sun night. The aerial extent of the strong trades will diminish and reduce to the south-central Caribbean for the remainder period. $$ AMZ011-100315- Caribbean N of 18N W of 85W including Yucatan Basin- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ AMZ013-100315- Caribbean N of 18N between 76W and 85W including Cayman Basin- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ AMZ015-100315- Caribbean Approaches to the Windward Passage- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E to SE swell. .SUN...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E to SE swell. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. .MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N to NE late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ AMZ017-100315- Gulf of Honduras- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 17N W of 87W, and E to SE 15 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Isolated tstms. .SUN...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered tstms. .SUN NIGHT...S of 17N W of 87W, NE to E winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ AMZ019-100315- Caribbean from 15N to 18N between 80W and 85W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ AMZ021-100315- Caribbean from 15N to 18N between 72W and 80W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell. .TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell. .SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE swell. .MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ AMZ023-100315- Caribbean N of 15N between 64W and 72W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE swell. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell. .SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE swell. .MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ025-100315- Offshore Waters Leeward Islands- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ027-100315- Tropical N Atlantic from 15N to 19N between 55W and 60W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N swell. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N swell. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE swell. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. $$ AMZ029-100315- W Central Caribbean from 11N to 15N W of 80W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell. .SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell. .SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell. .MON...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ AMZ031-100315- Caribbean from 11N to 15N between 72W and 80W including Colombia Basin- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE swell. .TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and NE to E 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE swell. .SUN...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and E 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE swell. .SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE swell. .MON...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE swell. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ033-100315- Caribbean S of 15N between 64W and 72W including Venezuela Basin- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell. .TONIGHT...E winds 25 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell. .SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N to NE swell. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE swell. .MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ035-100315- Offshore Waters Windward Islands including Trinidad and Tobago- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. $$ AMZ037-100315- Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 15N between 55W and 60W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...NE to E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N to NE swell. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell. .TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell. .WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N swell. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. $$ AMZ039-100315- SW Caribbean S of 11N including Approaches to Panama Canal- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...NE winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. .MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ AMZ101-100315- Synopsis for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .SYNOPSIS...A cold front extending from 31N77W to 29N81W will move across the waters N of the Bahamas through Sun. Weak low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will track NE across south Florida into the Bahamas Sun through Mon night enhancing winds and generating numerous showers and thunderstorms. In the wake of the low, a cold front will move across the northern and central waters through Mon night, then stall from near 29N65W to central Cuba late Tue. $$ AMZ111-100315- Atlantic from 27N to 31N W of 77W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...N winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell. Scattered tstms. .MON...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ113-100315- Atlantic from 27N to 31N between 70W and 77W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...W winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .SUN...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered tstms. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NW to N late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ115-100315- Atlantic from 27N to 31N between 65W and 70W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...N of 29N, SW to W winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Elsewhere, SW to W winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...N of 29N, W winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NW to N 15 to 20 kt late. Elsewhere, N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered tstms. .MON...SE winds 15 to 20 kt, shifting to S to SW in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to W to NW in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ117-100315- Bahamas including Cay Sal Bank- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered tstms. .MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ AMZ119-100315- Atlantic from 22N to 27N E of Bahamas to 70W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...N of 25N, variable winds less than 5 kt in the afternoon. Elsewhere, SE to S winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N to NE swell. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .MON...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. $$ AMZ121-100315- Atlantic from 22N to 27N between 65W and 70W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...S winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ AMZ123-100315- Atlantic S of 22N W of 70W including Approaches to the Windward Passage- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ AMZ125-100315- Atlantic S of 22N between 65W and 70W including Puerto Rico Trench- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ AMZ127-100315- Atlantic from 19N to 22N between 55W and 65W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E to SE winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N swell. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE swell. .WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ Forecaster Ramos Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Discussion Number 7 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2019 08:33:05 +0000 000 WTNT44 KNHC 010832 TCDAT4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192019 500 AM AST Fri Nov 01 2019 Satellite imagery indicates that Rebekah has degenerated to a remnant low as the circulation remains void of deep convection. In addition, the system is starting to merge with a weak frontal system over the northeastern Atlantic. Re-development of deep convection appears unlikely, and the remnants of Rebekah are expected to weaken to a trough between 12-24 h. The initial motion is 095/17, and a slightly faster eastward motion is expected until the system dissipates. This is the last advisory issued on Rebekah by the National Hurricane Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. Hazard information for the Azores can be found in regular products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) for those islands at https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0900Z 40.6N 29.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 01/1800Z 40.2N 24.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Discussion Number 10 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:41:55 +0000 000 WTNT41 KNHC 192041 TCDAT1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Discussion Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162019 500 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019 The center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor made landfall along on St. Vincent Island, Florida, around 1730 UTC. Since then, that center has moved inland over the Florida Panhandle between Apalachicola and Tallahassee. However, during the past hour, a new center appears to have formed farther west along a quasi-occluded frontal boundary. The earlier 40-45 kt winds over water have moved inland and weakened, and the initial intensity of 35 kt is based on a recent wind report of a sustained wind of 33 kt at 5-meters elevation from NOAA buoy 41008/Gray's Reef, Georgia. The initial motion estimate is now northeastward or 055/20 kt. Nestor is forecast to move northeastward over the next 36 hours or so, followed by a turn toward the east once the cyclone reaches the North Carolina Outer Banks. On days 2 an 3, upper-level support is expected to weaken and lift out to the northeast, leaving a weakening extratropical cyclone Nestor behind. The cyclone should then dissipate or merge with another frontal system by 96 h offshore of the U.S. east coast. The new official forecast track is similar to the previous advisory, and lies close to the center of the tightly packed model guidance envelope. Some slight strengthening is expected on Sunday, mainly due to the robust circulation moving out over the warm waters of the far western Atlantic where less friction will affect the cyclone. The official intensity foreast closely follows an average of the 1200 UTC GFS, UKMET, and ECMWF global model intensity forecasts. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Nestor. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. Key Messages: 1. Gale-force winds will gradually develop over the Atlantic waters and along the coasts northeastern Florida and Georgia tonight, and spread northward to the Carolinas on Sunday. 2. Isolated flash flooding is possible across the southeastern United States into Sunday. 3. Wind and coastal flooding hazards along the U.S. East Coast will be covered by non-tropical watches and warnings issued by local NWS offices, since the system is expected to lose its tropical characteristics after it moves inland along the Gulf Coast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 30.4N 84.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 12H 20/0600Z 32.3N 81.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 20/1800Z 35.0N 76.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 21/0600Z 36.8N 72.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 21/1800Z 36.8N 68.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 22/1800Z 36.5N 65.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone OLGA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WIT By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 26 Oct 2019 02:51:07 +0000 000 FONT12 KNHC 260251 PWSAT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT JACKSON MS 34 21 13(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BATON ROUGE LA 34 83 X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) MORGAN CITY LA 34 81 X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 17 X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) LAFAYETTE LA 34 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) NEW IBERIA LA 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) GFMX 280N 930W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LAKE CHARLES 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAMERON LA 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY Full Article
atlantic NHC HF Voice Broadcast (Caribbean/SW Atlantic) By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 09 May 2020 15:14:57 +0000 000 FZNT31 KNHC 091514 OFFN20 Marine Weather HF Voice Broadcast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1114 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 Marine Weather HF Voice Broadcast for the Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 22N between 55W and 64W, the SW N Atlantic S of 31N W of 65W including Bahamas, and the Caribbean Sea. Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. Synopsis for Caribbean Sea and Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W .SYNOPSIS...High pressure N of the area will support fresh to strong trade winds across the central Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds over most of the remainder of the basin through Sun night. The aerial extent of the strong trades will diminish and reduce to the south-central Caribbean for the remainder period. NW Caribbean W of 85W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to less than 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...Variable winds less than 10 kt, becoming NE less than 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...E winds less than 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Caribbean N of 15N between 72W and 85W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft S of 18N, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 25 kt S of 18N, and E 10 to 15 kt elsewhere. Seas 6 to 9 ft S of 18N, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. .SUN...E winds 15 to 25 kt S of 18N, and SE 10 to 15 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft S of 18N, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft S of 18N, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere. .MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Caribbean from 11N to 15N W of 72W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 15 to 25 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and E 10 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .SUN...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 9 to 12 ft within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and 7 to 10 ft elsewhere. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. SW Caribbean S of 11N .THIS AFTERNOON...NE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TONIGHT...NE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...N winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N winds less than 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to less than 10 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Caribbean between 64W and 72W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 6 to 9 ft elsewhere. .TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 6 to 9 ft elsewhere. .SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 7 to 10 ft elsewhere. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 6 to 9 ft elsewhere. .MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Offshore Leeward Islands and adjacent ATLC waters from 15N to 19N W of 55W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Offshore Windward Islands and adjacent ATLC waters from 07N to 15N W of 55W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Synopsis for the the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas .SYNOPSIS...A cold front extending from 31N77W to 29N81W will move across the waters N of the Bahamas through Sun. Weak low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will track NE across south Florida into the Bahamas Sun through Mon night enhancing winds and generating numerous showers and thunderstorms. In the wake of the low, a cold front will move across the northern and central waters through Mon night, then stall from near 29N65W to central Cuba late Tue. ATLC waters from 27N to 31N W of 77W .THIS AFTERNOON...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...N winds less than 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. ATLC waters from 27N to 31N between 65W and 77W .THIS AFTERNOON...SW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Bahamas N of 22N .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. ATLC waters from 22N to 27N between 65W and the Bahamas .THIS AFTERNOON...S winds less than 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...W of 70W, NE winds less than 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Elsewhere, SE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. .TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. ATLC waters S of 22N W of 65W .THIS AFTERNOON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...SE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. ATLC waters from 19N to 22N between 55W and 65W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. .TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR ICAO Advisory Number 10 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: NESTOR NR: 010 PSN: N3024 W08406 MOV: NE 20KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 035KT By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:43:28 +0000 000 FKNT21 KNHC 192041 TCANT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: NESTOR NR: 010 PSN: N3024 W08406 MOV: NE 20KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 035KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 20/0300Z N3139 W08218 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 040KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 20/0900Z N3258 W08013 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 040KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 20/1500Z N3419 W07752 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 040KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 20/2100Z N3527 W07531 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 040KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
atlantic Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone PABLO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone PABLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 17.7 WEST By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 28 Oct 2019 14:39:17 +0000 000 FONT13 KNHC 281439 PWSAT3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 17.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LATTO Full Article
