19

Diabetes Core Update – April 2019

Diabetes Core Update is a monthly podcast that presents and discusses the latest clinically relevant articles from the American Diabetes Association’s four science and medical journals – Diabetes, Diabetes Care, Clinical Diabetes, and Diabetes Spectrum. Each episode is approximately 20 minutes long and presents 5-6 recently published articles from ADA journals.

Intended for practicing physicians and health care professionals, Diabetes Core Update discusses how the latest research and information published in journals of the American Diabetes Association are relevant to clinical practice and can be applied in a treatment setting.

This issue will review:

  1. Normalization of functional beta cell capacity after weight loss in type 2 diabetes
  2. Screening for glucose intolerance and diabetes in patients with coronary artery disease
  3. Trends Prescribing Preferences for SGLT2 Inhibitors and GLP-1 Receptor Agonists, 2013–2018
  4. Impact of a Telephone Intervention to Improve Diabetes Control on Healthcare Utilization and Cost for Adults in South Bronx, New York –
  5. Efficacy and Safety of Dapagliflozin Plus Saxagliptin Versus Insulin Glargine Over 52 Weeks as Add‐on to Metformin With or Without Sulfonylurea in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes
  6. The Association Between Poor Glycemic Control and Health Care Costs in People With Diabetes

For more information about each of ADA’s science and medical journals, please visit www.diabetesjournals.org.

Presented by:

Neil Skolnik, M.D., Professor of Family and Community Medicine, Sidney Kimmel Medical College, Thomas Jefferson University; Associate Director, Family Medicine Residency Program, Abington Jefferson Health

John J. Russell, M.D., Professor of Family and Community Medicine, Sidney Kimmel Medical College, Thomas Jefferson University; Director, Family Medicine Residency Program, Chair-Department of Family Medicine, Abington Jefferson Health




19

Diabetes Core Update: Covid-19 - Planning Sick Days April 2019

This special issue focuses on Diabetes, Covid-19 and managing patient’s diabetes when they are sick.

Recorded April 1, 2020.

This podcast will cover:

  1. How do we help our patients with diabetes stay safe
  2. Helping patient negotiate safety issues in the workplace
  3. Safety Issues when people do not come in for care
  4. Managing SGLT-2 inhibitors during the pandemic
  5. Home detection and care of DKA
  6. Renewing Medications
  7. Telemedicine Visits

Intended for practicing physicians and health care professionals, Diabetes Core Update discusses how the latest research and information published in journals of the American Diabetes Association are relevant to clinical practice and can be applied in a treatment setting.

Presented by:

Louis Philipson, MD, PhD, ADA Past President, Medicine & Science, University of Chicago

Anne Peters, MD, Diabetologist, University of Southern California




19

Diabetes Core Update: Covid-19 – Inpatient Management of Persons with Diabetes April 2019

This special issue focuses on Diabetes, Covid-19 and Inpatient Management.

Recorded April 3, 2020.

This podcast will cover:

  1. Risk with Diabetes of Covid-19 and Complications of Covid-19
  2. Management of Hyperglycemia during Covid-19 Infection
  3. Sub-cutaneous Insulin for DKA
  4. CGM in the Hospital Setting
  5. Diabetes Education in the Hospital During Covid-19

Intended for practicing physicians and health care professionals, Diabetes Core Update discusses how the latest research and information published in journals of the American Diabetes Association are relevant to clinical practice and can be applied in a treatment setting.

Presented by:

Irl Hirsch, MD, Professor of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle

Guillermo E. Umpierrez, MD, CDE, Professor of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta Georgia




19

Diabetes Core Update: Covid-19 – Deep Dive into Medication Management April 2019

This special issue focuses on Diabetes, Covid-19 and Inpatient Management.

Recorded April 14, 2020.

This podcast will cover:

  1. Inpatient Medication Management for Persons Admitted with Diabetes
  2. Outpatient Medication Management for Persons with Diabetes
    1. Hypoglycemic Medication Management
    2. ACE and ARBs
    3. NSAIDs

Intended for practicing physicians and health care professionals, Diabetes Core Update discusses how the latest research and information published in journals of the American Diabetes Association are relevant to clinical practice and can be applied in a treatment setting.

Presented by:

Neil Skolnik, M.D., Professor of Family and Community Medicine, Sidney Kimmel Medical College, Thomas Jefferson University, Associate Director, Family Medicine Residency Program, Abington Jefferson Health

Dr. Joshua Neumiller, Vice Chair & Allen I. White Distinguished Associate Professor of Pharmacotherapy at Washington State University




19

Diabetes Core Update: Covid-19 and Diabetes – Considerations for Health Care Professionals - April 2019

Diabetes Core Update: Covid-19 and Diabetes – Considerations for Health Care Professionals - April 2019

This special issue is an audio version of the American Diabetes Associations Covid-19 leadership team discussing a range of issues on Covid-19 and Diabetes.

Recorded March 31, 2020.

Topics include:

  1. Access to medications
  2. Effect on Diabetes Self-management
  3. Can Patients take their own Supplies if they are an inpatient in the hospital – particularly insulin pumps and CGM
  4. Considerations for Specific Hypoglycemic Medications during Inpatient Hospitalization
  5. Differences in Management for Persons with Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes
  6. SGLT-2 inhibitors and GLP-1 Receptor Agonists use During Covid-19 Infection
  7. Diabetes and Cardiovascular Disease during Covid-19
  8. ACEs and ARBs
  9. Stress among Healthcare Professionals

Intended for practicing physicians and health care professionals, Diabetes Core Update discusses how the latest research and information published in journals of the American Diabetes Association are relevant to clinical practice and can be applied in a treatment setting.

Presented by:

Robert Eckel, MD
ADA President, Medicine & Science
University of Colorado

Mary de Groot, PhD
ADA President, Health Care & Education
Indiana University

Irl Hirsch, MD
University of Washington

Anne Peters, MD
University of Southern California    

Louis Philipson, MD, PhD
ADA Past President, Medicine & Science
University of Chicago

Neil Skolnik, MD
Abington Jefferson Health




19

Diabetes Core Update: COVID-19 – Inpatient Management # 2 April 2019

This special issue focuses on Answering Questions about Inpatient Care During Covid 19, a follow-up discussion to the Townhall meeting discussing inpatient care. 

Recorded April 15, 2020.

This podcast will cover:

  1. Subcutaneous Insulin Infusions
  2. CGM use in the inpatient setting
  3. Insulin Infusion pumps in the inpatient setting
  4. Inpatient Glycemic Control - what are the recommendations?
  5. Oral Medications
  6. Hydroxychloroquine adverse effects in persons with diabetes

Intended for practicing physicians and health care professionals, Diabetes Core Update discusses how the latest research and information published in journals of the American Diabetes Association are relevant to clinical practice and can be applied in a treatment setting.

Presented by:

Robert Eckel, MD
ADA President, Medicine & Science

Irl Hirsch, MD
University of Washington

Mary Korytkowski, MD
University of Pittsburgh




19

Diabetes Core Update: COVID-19 – Inpatient Townhall April 2019

This special issue focuses on Answering Questions about Inpatient Care During Covid 19, a follow-up discussion to the Townhall meeting discussing inpatient care. 

Recorded April 7, 2020.

This is a part of the American Diabetes Associations ongoing project providing resources for practicing clinicians on the care of Diabetes during the Covid-19 pandemic.  Todays discussion is an audio version of a webinar recorded on April 17th, 2020 where the panel answered questions submitted during and after the last webinar/townhall a week prior on inpatient management of patients with diabetes with Covid-19.

Presented by:

Shivani Agarwal, MD, MPH
Albert Einstein College of Medicine

Jennifer Clements, PharmD, FCCP, BCPS, CDE, BCACP
American Pharmacists Association

Robert Eckel, MD
ADA President, Medicine & Science

Irl Hirsch, MD
University of Washington

Melanie Mabrey, DNP 
Co-Chair - American Association of Nurse Practitioners - Endocrine Specialty Practice Group

Jane Jeffrie-Seley, DNP, BC-ADM, CDCES
Association of Diabetes Care and Education Specialists 




19

Diabetes Core Update: COVID-19 – Telehealth and COVID-19 , April 2019

This special issue focuses on Telehealth and COVID-19.

Recorded March 31, 2020.

Intended for practicing physicians and health care professionals, Diabetes Core Update discusses how the latest research and information published in journals of the American Diabetes Association are relevant to clinical practice and can be applied in a treatment setting.

Presented by:

Neil Skolnik, MD
Sidney Kimmel Medical College, Thomas Jefferson University

Eric Johnson, MD
University of North Dakota School of Medicine and Health Sciences




19

Diabetes Core Update: COVID-19 – Caring for Ourselves while Caring for Others, April 2019

This special issue focuses on caring for ourselves while caring for others. 

Recorded April 1, 2020.

This is a part of the American Diabetes Associations ongoing project providing resources for practicing clinicians on the care of Diabetes during the Covid-19 pandemic.  Todays discussion is an audio version of a webinar recorded on April 1, 2020.

Presented by:

Neil Skolnik, M.D.

Abington Jefferson Health

 

Aaron Sutton

Behavioral Health Consultant

Abington Jefferson Health

 




19

Diabetes Core Update: COVID-19 - Empowering Patients with Diabetes During Covid-19 April 2019

This special issue focuses on Empowering Patients with Diabetes During Covid-19

Recorded April 9, 2020.

This podcast will cover:

  1. Defining terms and talking with patients about the epidemiology of COVID-19
  2. How should providers talk with patients about the risk of COVID-19 – The impact of testing
  3. COVID-19 infection and its impact on self-care
  4. Barriers to Problem Solving
  5. Diabetes Self Care Helping to Create a Sense of Normalcy
  6. Self-Care – “Its OK not to be OK” – Acknowledging our feelings
  7. Coping with Stress

Intended for practicing physicians and health care professionals, Diabetes Core Update discusses how the latest research and information published in journals of the American Diabetes Association are relevant to clinical practice and can be applied in a treatment setting.

Presented by:

Mary de Groot, PhD
President, Health Care & Education, ADA

Jane Jeffrie-Seley, DNP, MPH
New York Presbyterian/Weill Cornell Medicine

Jean M. Lawrence, ScD, MPH, MSSA, FACE
Southern California Permanente Medical Group
Kaiser Permanente Research




19

Diabetes Core Update: COVID-19 – Cardiovascular Concerns, April 2019

This special issue focuses on Cardiovascular Concerns with Diabetes an COVID-19. 

Recorded April 19, 2020.

This is a part of the American Diabetes Associations ongoing project providing resources for practicing clinicians on the care of Diabetes during the Covid-19 pandemic.  Todays discussion is an audio version of a webinar recorded on April 19, 2020.

Presented by:

Neil Skolnik, M.D., Professor of Family and Community Medicine, Sidney Kimmel Medical College, Thomas Jefferson University; Associate Director, Family Medicine Residency Program, Abington Jefferson Health

John J. Russell, M.D., Professor of Family and Community Medicine, Sidney Kimmel Medical College, Thomas Jefferson University; Director, Family Medicine Residency Program, Chair-Department of Family Medicine, Abington Jefferson Health




19

Diabetes Core Update: COVID-19 – Older Adults with Diabetes and Covid-19 April 2019

This special issue focuses on Older Adults with Diabetes and Covid-19.

Recorded April 20, 2020.

This podcast will cover:

  1. Risk of COVID-19 in Older Adults
  2. What are the recommendations for glucose control during the pandemic
  3. Telemedicine
  4. Challenges to home care
  5. Long-term care settings

Intended for practicing physicians and health care professionals, Diabetes Core Update discusses how the latest research and information published in journals of the American Diabetes Association are relevant to clinical practice and can be applied in a treatment setting.

Presented by:

Irl Hirsch, MD
University of Washington
 
Elbert Huang, MD, MPH, FACP
University of Chicago
 
Stacie Levine, MD
University of Chicago

 




19

Diabetes Core Update: COVID-19 – Impact on Youth and their Families, May 2019

This special issue focuses on the impact COVID-19 is having on youth with diabetes and their families. 

Recorded April 30, 2020.

This is a part of the American Diabetes Associations ongoing project providing resources for practicing clinicians on the care of Diabetes during the Covid-19 pandemic.  Today’s discussion is an audio version of a webinar recorded on April 30, 2020.

Presented by:

Barry Conrad, MPH, RD, CDE
Stanford Children's Health

Tamara S. Hannon, MD, MS
Indiana University

Marisa Hilliard, PhD
Baylor College of Medicine and Texas Children's Hospital

Cynthia Munoz, PhD, MPH
President-Elect, Helath Care & Education, American Diabetes Association

Jennifer Raymond, MD, MCR
Children's Hospital Los Angelas

 




19

Diabetes Core Update – May 2019

Diabetes Core Update is a monthly podcast that presents and discusses the latest clinically relevant articles from the American Diabetes Association’s four science and medical journals – Diabetes, Diabetes Care, Clinical Diabetes, and Diabetes Spectrum. Each episode is approximately 20 minutes long and presents 5-6 recently published articles from ADA journals.

Intended for practicing physicians and health care professionals, Diabetes Core Update discusses how the latest research and information published in journals of the American Diabetes Association are relevant to clinical practice and can be applied in a treatment setting.

This issue will review:

  1. Incidence and Risk Factors for Chronic Kidney Disease in the Community
  2. Efficacy and Safety of Liraglutide 3.0 mg in Individuals With Overweight or Obesity and Type 2 Diabetes Treated With Basal Insulin
  3. Initial Glycemic Control and Care Among Adults Diagnosed With Type 2 Diabetes at a Younger Age
  4. Treatment and prevention of severe hypoglycaemia: Current and new formulations of glucagon – Diabetes Obesity and Metabolism
  5. Long-term Effects of Metformin on Patients With Type 2 Diabetic Kidney Disease
  6. Breakfast skipping is associated with persistently increased arterial stiffness in patients with type 2 diabetes – BMJ Open Diabetes Research and Care

For more information about each of ADA’s science and medical journals, please visit www.diabetesjournals.org.

Presented by:

Neil Skolnik, M.D., Professor of Family and Community Medicine, Sidney Kimmel Medical College, Thomas Jefferson University; Associate Director, Family Medicine Residency Program, Abington Jefferson Health

John J. Russell, M.D., Professor of Family and Community Medicine, Sidney Kimmel Medical College, Thomas Jefferson University; Director, Family Medicine Residency Program, Chair-Department of Family Medicine, Abington Jefferson Health




19

Covid-19: NHS bosses told to assess risk to ethnic minority staff who may be at greater risk




19

Covid-19: Doctors face shortages of vital drugs, gases, and therapeutics, survey finds




19

Covid-19: GPs have a fortnight to start organising weekly care home reviews, says NHS




19

Covid-19: UK advisory panel members are revealed after experts set up new group




19

Covid-19: South Korea relaxes social distancing after the number of new cases drops below 10 a day




19

Covid-19: Lack of capacity led to halting of community testing in March, admits deputy chief medical officer




19

Covid-19: Projections of mortality in the US rise as states open up




19

Covid-19: UK death toll overtakes Italy’s to become worst in Europe




19

Covid-19: Woman with terminal cancer should be released from care home to die with family, says judge




19

Covid-19: Campaigner calls for national guidance to stop DNR orders being made without discussion with patients and families




19

Covid-19: Nightingale hospitals set to shut down after seeing few patients




19

Covid-19: Trump says added deaths are necessary price for reopening US businesses




19

Covid-19: Number of Germans infected could be 10 times higher than official estimates




19

Covid-19: Health needs of sex workers are being sidelined, warn agencies




19

Covid-19: Allow pharmacists to dispense controlled drugs without prescription, urge specialists




19

No immediate COVID-19 real estate hit, say players

Local real estate players say it could take years for the sector to recover from the economic fallout brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. While local estimates were unavailable, the international real estate market is projecting a decline from US$...




19

COVID-19 will not affect roadwork in St Thomas – NWA

The National Works Agency (NWA) has given the assurance that the recent outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic will not affect the roll-out of the highly anticipated Southern Coastal Highway Improvement Project in St Thomas and Portland. In fact, the...




19

Building a solution - UWI Faculty of Engineering answering COVID-19 call

THE FACULTY of Engineering at The University of the West Indies (UWI), Mona campus, is stepping up to the plate in the fight against the new coronavirus (COVID-19) through its final-year projects and commercial arm, Mona-Tech Engineering Services....




19

In a COVID-19 World, Russia Sticks to International Distancing

29 March 2020

Mathieu Boulègue

Research Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Programme
While a global response is needed against the coronavirus crisis, Russia does not see it as in its interests to contribute – and in fact the Kremlin is using the crisis to further destabilise the world.

2020-03-29-Coronavirus-Russia-Moscow

Young woman wearing a face mask in front of St. Basil's Cathedral, Moscow. Photo by ALEXANDER NEMENOV/AFP via Getty Images.

Persistent internet rumours claiming the coronavirus outbreak originated from a secret American pharmaceutical company with the aim of destroying China from within were quickly discredited. Pop culture fans recognised the supposed activities of the Umbrella Corporation as being from the famous Japanese video games series Resident Evil.

However, although fake news, it can likely be attributed to Russian trolls conducting this and other similar activities online, especially when considered within the wider context of how the Russian regime is using this worldwide crisis to further destabilize the West and test its resolve.

Russian trolls never sleep

Russia’s COVID-19 related actions first and foremost take the form of a vast information warfare campaign, with media outlets simultaneously downplaying the threat of the pandemic - ‘it is less dangerous than seasonal flu’ - while stoking fear about what is happening elsewhere in Europe.

For the domestic audience in Russia, some media are reporting the pandemic marks the collapse of the Western world and liberalism altogether, calling it a form of collective punishment. Other point out how fast liberal democracies have curbed individual and entrepreneurial freedoms in order to slow down the viral outbreak, and seek to diminish the credibility of the Western response to the crisis.

Exploiting the coronavirus crisis in this way is a new low in Russia’s wider political warfare campaign to undermine global governance overall, as these activities are detrimental to people's very safety. For example, in Ukraine, it is thought a Russian-engineered disinformation operation may have caused the outburst of violence in the city of Novi Sanzhary following the arrival of evacuees from China.

In the military realm, fake news has been targeting the US-led multinational exercise DEFENDER-Europe 2020. The Russian leadership criticized the exercise as an offensive ‘anti-Russian scenario’ but then used accompanying propaganda that it could actively facilitate the spread of COVID-19 across Europe because of the arrival and movement of large numbers of troops.

The large-scale drills were planned to involve 18 participating nations and should have taken place across ten European countries from April to May 2020. But the exercise has now been scaled down – as has the Russian disinformation targeting it.

And while the world is pre-occupied with managing COVID-19, Moscow is able to grow bolder in its provocations. Recent air incursions were reported into Irish controlled airspace as well as over the North Sea. Although this practice is - unfortunately - routine as part of Russian constant military sabre-rattling, it does increase the risk of tactical errors and miscalculation.

Self-isolation, Kremlin style

Meanwhile, just when a global response is needed to fight the pandemic, Moscow’s response has been, at best, self-serving. On March 22, Russian military reportedly started sending medical equipment and supplies to Italy. While the nature and the scope of this assistance can be doubted, it still represents a charm offensive for Russia to be brought back in from the cold in Europe - since successive Italian leaderships have been accommodating to the Kremlin. And sending virologists to Italy might also be a useful learning curve for Russia’s regime.

But within Russia itself, Vladimir Putin does have to face the problem that, on top of all the projected social and healthcare costs, the coronavirus is also having negative political consequences. On March 25, the ‘popular vote’ - a mock referendum designed to rubber-stamp Putin’s recent constitutional changes - was pushed back. And the Ministry of Communications has been forced to postpone a major exercise aimed at ensuring the ‘stable and safe operation of Runet’ - namely eliminating vulnerabilities in the Russian ‘sovereign’ internet to potential external threats.

Certainly it would be naive to believe Moscow will put self-interest to one side during this pandemic. ‘International distancing’ is not new for the Kremlin, and Russia has been practising self-isolation since at least 2008 through its own actions, most notably in Georgia and Ukraine.

Its self-perception as a ‘besieged fortress’ is being reinforced by this crisis and Russia will, at the very least, likely come out of the crisis feeling vindicated in its view that internationalism is dying or already dead.

With the health systems of many countries under massive strain, and societal resilience being tested by social distancing, the Kremlin continues to probe for weaknesses, and is also carefully watching other countries’ responses to the crisis in terms of adaptation and mobilization of resources.

COVID-19 provides a major intelligence-gathering opportunity for Moscow to learn how well others can implement wartime-like planning in peacetime. In a rapidly changing world, Russia is still Russia.




19

Virtual Roundtable: Russia in Light of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Invitation Only Research Event

1 April 2020 - 1:00pm to 2:30pm

Event participants

Mathieu Boulegue, Research Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Programme, Chatham House
Nikolai Petrov, Senior Research Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Programme, Chatham House
Ekaterina Schulmann, Associate Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Programme, Chatham House
Chair: James Nixey, Programme Director, Russia and Eurasia, Chatham House

Politically speaking, Russia has been isolating itself from the West for some years now, feeding its citizens a ‘besieged fortress’ mentality. Its uniqueness, however, means its approach to - and outcome from - the COVID-19 pandemic will also be distinctive. 

This webinar will explore how Russia is adapting its internal politics and its international relations to the ‘new normal’ of today. 

Department/project

Anna Morgan

Administrator, Ukraine Forum
+44 (0)20 7389 3274




19

Webinar: OPEC, Falling Oil Prices and COVID-19

Corporate Members Event Webinar

7 April 2020 - 1:00pm to 2:00pm

Online

Event participants

Julian Lee, Oil Strategist, Bloomberg LP London
Dr John Sfakianakis, Associate Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House; Chief Economist and Head of Research, Gulf Research Center
Professor Paul Stevens, Distinguished Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources Programme, Chatham House
Emily Stromquist, Director, Castlereagh Associates
Chair: Dr Sanam Vakil, Deputy Director and Senior Research Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House

In early March, global oil prices fell sharply, hitting lows of under $30 a barrel. Two factors explain this collapse: firstly the decrease in global demand for oil as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and, secondly, the breakdown in OPEC-Russian relations and the subsequent Saudi-Russian price war which has seen both countries move to flood the market with cheap oil.
 
Against this backdrop, the panellists will reflect on the challenges currently facing OPEC as well as the oil industry as a whole. How are OPEC countries affected by the ever-evolving Covid-19 pandemic? What are the underlying causes behind the Saudi-Russian price war? Is the conflict likely to be resolved soon? And what are the implications of these challenges for the oil industry?

This event is part of a fortnightly series of 'Business in Focus' webinars reflecting on the impact of COVID-19 on areas of particular professional interest for our corporate members and giving circles.

Not a corporate member? Find out more.




19

Virtual Roundtable: The Impact of COVID-19 on the Wider FSU Region

Invitation Only Research Event

21 April 2020 - 10:00am to 11:30am

Event participants

Christopher Davis, Professorial Fellow, Institute of Population Ageing, University of Oxford
Nino Evgenidze, Executive Director, EPRC
Katya Gorchinskaya, Journalist, former CEO of Hromadske.ua
Konstantin Sokulskiy, Head of Governance, UNDP, Kazakhstan
Chair: James Nixey, Programme Director, Russia and Eurasia, Chatham House

COVID-19 has put a serious strain on healthcare and economic systems around the world. This virtual roundtable will explore its impact on Russia, Ukraine, Georgia and Kazakhstan. Through a comparative examination of government and society responses, this event will show how COVID-19 has laid bare the region’s broader social, economic and political challenges.

Department/project

Anna Morgan

Administrator, Ukraine Forum
+44 (0)20 7389 3274




19

Belarusians Left Facing COVID-19 Alone

16 April 2020

Ryhor Astapenia

Robert Bosch Stiftung Academy Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Programme

Anaïs Marin

Associate Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Programme
The way the epidemic is being mismanaged creates a risk of political destabilisation and leaves the country exposed to external influence.

2020-04-16-Belarus-COVID-Football

Playing accordion in front of dummy football fans in Brest, Belarus as the country's championship continues despite the COVID-19 outbreak. Photo by SERGEI GAPON/AFP via Getty Images.

Since the World Health Organisation (WHO) declared COVID-19 a pandemic, few countries have chosen to ignore social distancing recommendations. But, even among those states which have, the Belarusian official response to its epidemic remains unique.

President Aliaksandr Lukashenka’s statements that vodka, sauna and tractors are protecting Belarusians from coronavirus attracted amused attention in international media. Lukashenka also described other societies’ response to COVID-19 as ‘a massive psychosis’.

Although Lukashenka is notorious for his awkward style of public communication, the fact that Belarus is refusing to impose comprehensive confinement measures is of concern. Belarusians continue to work, play football and socialise.

Lukashenka, himself playing ice hockey in front of state cameras, claims it is the best way to stay healthy. Belarusian authorities clearly appear to be in denial – and this could have dire humanitarian consequences.

From denial to half measures

Belarus actually has one of the largest numbers of hospital beds in the world per 1,000 of the population. But in the absence of quarantine measures its health system, already crippled by corruption and embezzlement, is likely to be overwhelmed.

Patients being treated for pneumonia in hospitals have suggested medical staff are uninformed and inadequately equipped. It is claimed doctors are not reporting COVID-19 as the suspected cause of death, either through a lack of testing or for fear of reprisals.

Observers believe the real mortality rate is already well above official figures (40 deaths as of 16 April). Based on an Imperial College London model, between 15,000 and 32,000 people could die under the current mild confinement regime – and such a high death toll would hugely impact the country’s political stability. Citing personal data protection, the Ministry of Health has imposed a total news blackout; the only cluster officially acknowledged so far is the city of Vitsebsk.

Although specific Belarusian cities and some individuals started changing their approach – by extending school vacations or cancelling weddings – such measures remain half-hearted.

Clearly a major reason for such an apparently irresponsible reaction is that Belarus cannot afford a massive lockdown that would freeze its already underdeveloped economy and drive it deeper into recession. Unlike many other nations, Belarus lacks budgetary resources for a sizable stimulus package. But a delayed response might backfire on the economy.

Economic recession has been forecast to amount to at least 10% of GDP. For Lukashenka, who openly challenged conventional wisdom regarding the need for quarantine and isolation, such an economic downturn would harm his confidence rating in the eyes of Belarusian voters, mindful of the state’s mismanagement of the crisis. And it could create doubt within the ruling elite itself, with Lukashenka seeking re-election for a sixth mandate in late August.

Against this backdrop, a radicalization of the opposition-minded part of society is also to be expected, with greater reliance on social networks in the face of official secrecy and disinformation. The expected response of the regime is then likely to be pre-emptive repression. Evidence is emerging that law enforcement agencies have already stepped up judicial and paralegal harassment of dissenters, notably independent journalists and bloggers.

Russia’s initial reluctance to address the coronavirus crisis may also have influenced Belarus. Lukashenka and his administration often react to public health challenges by the Soviet rulebook, reminiscent of the Soviet authorities’ mismanagement of the Chernobyl disaster in 1986.

Russia has unilaterally closed its borders with Belarus and, as bilateral relations continue to deteriorate, this casts further doubt on the viability of the Union State of Belarus and Russia. Pro-Russian media forecast Moscow will be unwilling to alleviate the expected socio-economic crisis, as it continues to reject Minsk’s demands regarding subsidised oil deliveries. Yet the Kremlin might use the crisis as an opportunity to resume its integrationist pressure on Belarus.

China, with which Belarus engaged in a seemingly privileged strategic partnership in the 2010s, was actually the first country to dispatch humanitarian aid to beef up Belarusian capacity to fight the virus.

But Minsk should not expect Beijing to rescue its economy and, unless it commits to more internal reforms, Belarus is not likely to receive much from the EU either. The regime has already applied to the IMF for emergency financial support, but conditions are attached and, even if successful, the funds would amount to no more than $900m.

The government’s decision to take only half measures so far is rooted in the hope COVID-19 is not as bad as foreign experts fear. But, unless the leadership acknowledges the public health crisis and mitigates its economic impact, COVID-19 will accelerate Belarus’s slide back into international self-isolation. If combined with a humanitarian crisis, this will put the Belarusian regime under considerable stress.

This crisis does risk a new ‘Chernobyl moment’ for the authorities, but the population could react more vocally this time. As volunteers self-organise to fight the epidemic, it might become more difficult for the authorities to say that it is efficient in running the country. But the bottom line is Belarus desperately needs money. Whoever steps up to support Belarus financially will also be able to heavily influence its politics.




19

Webinar: Russian Disinformation's Golden Moment: Challenges and Responses in the COVID-19 Era

Invitation Only Research Event

7 May 2020 - 3:00pm to 4:30pm

Event participants

Anneli Ahonen, Head, StratCom East Task Force, European External Action Service
Keir Giles, Senior Consulting Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Programme, Chatham House
Thomas Kent, Adjunct Associate Professor, Harriman Institute, Columbia University; Senior Fellow, the Jamestown Foundation
Chairs:
James Nixey, Programme Director, Russia and Eurasia, Chatham House
Glen Howard, President, The Jamestown Foundation
The COVID-19 pandemic provides the ideal environment for malign influence to thrive as it feeds on fear and a vacuum of authoritative information. What are the current challenges posed by Russian disinformation, and how should Western nations be responding?
 
In this discussion, jointly hosted by the Jamestown Foundation and the Chatham House Russia and Eurasia Programme, the speakers will consider what best practice looks like in safeguarding Western societies against the pernicious effects of disinformation. 
 
This event will be held on the record.

Anna Morgan

Administrator, Ukraine Forum
+44 (0)20 7389 3274




19

Fighting COVID-19 the Ukrainian Way

28 April 2020

Orysia Lutsevych

Research Fellow and Manager, Ukraine Forum, Russia and Eurasia Programme
Coronavirus has exposed vulnerabilities in Ukraine but also activated private sector and citizen engagement in delivering help. This could accelerate social change if a smart response is adopted and political reforms follow.

2020-04-28-Ukraine-COVID-Chernobyl

Girls wearing face masks at the monument to Chernobyl victims in Slavutich during a memorial ceremony amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Photo by SERGEI SUPINSKY/AFP via Getty Images.

Ukrainians are accustomed to crisis. As COVID-19 spread, forest fires were raging in the Chernobyl exclusion zone, turning Kyiv into the most polluted city in the world. The fighting in Donbas continued, claiming the lives of more Ukrainian soldiers, bringing the total to more than 4,000 — and, on top of that, President Zelenskyy overhauled his government. So Ukraine is fighting three battles at the same time — war with Russia, the struggle against its own ineffective system, and now COVID-19.

Every crisis is a reality check — the coronavirus provoked and exposed the strategic vulnerabilities and deep-rooted features of Ukraine’s system of governance. Three trends have come to the fore. First, the inefficiency and paralysis of many state agencies, particularly the lack of coordination between them and the prevalence of vested interests. Second, the reliance of the country’s leaders on large financial-industrial groups (FIGs) to compensate for weak institutional capacity. Third, a strong societal and private sector mobilization to fill the gaps in the dilapidated public health system.

State agencies are rigid and ineffective. Despite the modern Prozorro digital public procurement system, and the government’s allocation of $2.5 million from the early days of the epidemic, the Ministry of Health blocked COVID-related purchases for over a month. This was a tactic by — now ex-minister — Yemets to pressure the state medical procurement agency into appointing a protégé of his as one of its deputy heads.

Lowest testing rate in Europe

Similarly, in some regions, notably Odesa, procurement stalled and orders went to politically connected businesses at higher-than-market prices. Lack of tests and laboratory equipment means Ukraine has administered only 72,000 tests within a population of 42 million to date — the lowest rate in Europe.

Doctors were given orders to ensure they only test patients in hospitals with COVID-19 symptoms and only those arriving from Asia, while ignoring the fact that millions of Ukrainian labour migrants were in Europe. Indeed, the first confirmed case was imported from Italy.

Ukrainian government and public health officials lack information to take informed decisions. There is no accurate electronic database of registered deaths and reporting is lagging behind events. Information on testing availability in the regions is missing.

Thirteen days after the first case of the virus was recorded, Zelenskyy exhorted business tycoons to come to the rescue. Taking a populist tone, Zelenskyy said ‘Ukraine has been feeding you for a long time and it is time that you helped the country’. The tycoons divided the regions among themselves to deliver relief efforts according to the location of their enterprises.

It is believed FIGs have donated around $25 million to procure testing kits, ventilators, personal protective equipment (PPE) and disinfectants. This may sound impressive, but many of those same tycoons actually owe millions to the state, some even billions, and cause serious problems by perpetuating the current rent-seeking system, where public resources benefit those groups resulting in serious social losses.

Reliance on these groups makes Zelenskyy a hostage to their favour in any potential reform efforts. It is a dangerous solution, as these tycoons often obstruct Ukraine’s economic development.

An alternative — and more transformative — trend of public-private partnerships is emerging in some regions. Across Ukraine, hundreds of small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) have led efforts to deliver PPE, support the vulnerable with food supplies, and to procure ventilators for key hospitals.

They have mobilised hundreds of volunteers to deliver assistance and partnered with local non-profits. Fundraising initiatives have begun in Lviv, Odesa, Kyiv and Poltava with donations and expenditure has been posted online for transparency. Companies have repurposed to produce PPE kits and medical equipment. The efforts unfolded quickly and, in some cases, in smooth collaboration with municipal and regional authorities.

Ukraine cannot afford to ‘waste’ this crisis, which could help accelerate healthcare reform, decentralization, modernize governance, and boost citizen empowerment. But for this to happen, the country has to deploy a ‘smart response’.

Such ‘smart response’ means applying a resilience framework that nurtures the agility of the system of governance, ensures a diversity of actors in decision-making, supporting both self-regulation and better coordination. Rather than reaching out to tycoons, Zelenskyy should enter a coalition with true agents of change — SME leaders, volunteers, and mayors who have mobilized effective grassroots action. These actors demand a level playing field with accountable governance and effective state institutions.

Civic COVID-19 response hubs and local authorities should be joined in a network that spans the regions, and connected with the national agencies designing pandemic responses. For a national strategy to be effective, central headquarters should draw information from local communities and manage a ‘team of teams’ in a decentralised fashion.

Ensuring effective public service delivery without compromising integrity and keeping the risk of corruption low should also be a priority of political reform, with volunteers and the private sector ensuring civic oversight of both regional and national funding.

Civic engagement such as this can be transformative as it defies the Soviet legacy of paternalism and expands the belief among citizens that society can work for them. By assisting the relief effort, citizens are gaining valuable insights into quality of public services and participate in holding them to account.

Citizens are also developing a better understanding of the purpose of having effective armed forces, police, border guards and modern hospitals. They are coming to understand the value of taxpayer money and witnessing how corruption erodes institutions.

This survival mobilization — if properly harnessed by the state — could drive transformative change and make Ukraine more resilient, not just against present crises, but future ones too.




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