Datasets in sleep science present challenges for machine learning algorithms due to differences in recording setups across clinics. We investigate two deep transfer learning strategies for overcoming the channel mismatch problem for cases where two datasets do not contain exactly the same setup leading to degraded performance in single-EEG models. Specifically, we train a baseline model on multivariate polysomnography data and subsequently replace the first two layers to prepare the architecture for single-channel electroencephalography data. Using a fine-tuning strategy, our model yields similar performance to the baseline model (F1=0.682 and F1=0.694, respectively), and was significantly better than a comparable single-channel model. Our results are promising for researchers working with small databases who wish to use deep learning models pre-trained on larger databases.

We analyze risk factors correlated with the initial transmission growth rate of the COVID-19 pandemic. The number of cases follows an early exponential expansion; we chose as a starting point in each country the first day with 30 cases and used 12 days. We looked for linear correlations of the exponents with other variables, using 126 countries. We find a positive correlation with high C.L. with the following variables, with respective $p$-value: low Temperature ($4cdot10^{-7}$), high ratio of old vs.~working-age people ($3cdot10^{-6}$), life expectancy ($8cdot10^{-6}$), number of international tourists ($1cdot10^{-5}$), earlier epidemic starting date ($2cdot10^{-5}$), high level of contact in greeting habits ($6 cdot 10^{-5}$), lung cancer ($6 cdot 10^{-5}$), obesity in males ($1 cdot 10^{-4}$), urbanization ($2cdot10^{-4}$), cancer prevalence ($3 cdot 10^{-4}$), alcohol consumption ($0.0019$), daily smoking prevalence ($0.0036$), UV index ($0.004$, smaller sample, 73 countries), low Vitamin D levels ($p$-value $0.002-0.006$, smaller sample, $sim 50$ countries). There is highly significant correlation also with blood type: positive correlation with RH- ($2cdot10^{-5}$) and A+ ($2cdot10^{-3}$), negative correlation with B+ ($2cdot10^{-4}$). We also find positive correlation with moderate C.L. ($p$-value of $0.02sim0.03$) with: CO$_2$ emissions, type-1 diabetes, low vaccination coverage for Tuberculosis (BCG). Several such variables are correlated with each other and so they likely have common interpretations. We also analyzed the possible existence of a bias: countries with low GDP-per capita, typically located in warm regions, might have less intense testing and we discuss correlation with the above variables.

An important component of every country's COVID-19 response is fast and efficient testing -- to identify and isolate cases, as well as for early detection of local hotspots. For many countries, producing a sufficient number of tests has been a serious limiting factor in their efforts to control COVID-19 infections. Group testing is a well-established mathematical tool, which can provide a serious and rapid improvement to this situation. In this note, we compare several well-established group testing schemes in the context of qPCR testing for COVID-19. We include example calculations, where we indicate which testing architectures yield the greatest efficiency gains in various settings. We find that for identification of individuals with COVID-19, array testing is usually the best choice, while for estimation of COVID-19 prevalence rates in the total population, Gibbs-Gower testing usually provides the most accurate estimates given a fixed and relatively small number of tests. This note is intended as a helpful handbook for labs implementing group testing methods.

Harvested produce crops feed Florida Department of Corrections’ (FDC) more than 87,000 inmates; action saves food costs while reducing COVID-19 related supply chain impacts.

(PRWeb April 20, 2020)

Read the full story at https://www.prweb.com/releases/new_partnerships_emerge_for_covid_19_relief_dade_county_farm_bureau_teams_with_state_leaders_to_launch_farm_to_inmate_program/prweb17052045.htm

Elizabeth Lorenzi, Ricardo Henao, Katherine Heller.

Source: The Annals of Applied Statistics, Volume 13, Number 4, 2637--2661.

Abstract:
Nearly a third of all surgeries performed in the United States occur for patients over the age of 65; these older adults experience a higher rate of postoperative morbidity and mortality. To improve the care for these patients, we aim to identify and characterize high risk geriatric patients to send to a specialized perioperative clinic while leveraging the overall surgical population to improve learning. To this end, we develop a hierarchical infinite latent factor model (HIFM) to appropriately account for the covariance structure across subpopulations in data. We propose a novel Hierarchical Dirichlet Process shrinkage prior on the loadings matrix that flexibly captures the underlying structure of our data while sharing information across subpopulations to improve inference and prediction. The stick-breaking construction of the prior assumes an infinite number of factors and allows for each subpopulation to utilize different subsets of the factor space and select the number of factors needed to best explain the variation. We develop the model into a latent factor regression method that excels at prediction and inference of regression coefficients. Simulations validate this strong performance compared to baseline methods. We apply this work to the problem of predicting surgical complications using electronic health record data for geriatric patients and all surgical patients at Duke University Health System (DUHS). The motivating application demonstrates the improved predictive performance when using HIFM in both area under the ROC curve and area under the PR Curve while providing interpretable coefficients that may lead to actionable interventions.

Jorge A. León.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 3, 2436--2462.

Abstract:
Let $B^{H}$ be a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $Hin (0,1/2)$ and $p:mathbb{R} ightarrow mathbb{R}$ a polynomial function. The main purpose of this paper is to introduce a Stratonovich type stochastic integral with respect to $B^{H}$, whose domain includes the process $p(B^{H})$. That is, an integral that allows us to integrate $p(B^{H})$ with respect to $B^{H}$, which does not happen with the symmetric integral given by Russo and Vallois ( Probab. Theory Related Fields 97 (1993) 403–421) in general. Towards this end, we combine the approaches utilized by León and Nualart ( Stochastic Process. Appl. 115 (2005) 481–492), and Russo and Vallois ( Probab. Theory Related Fields 97 (1993) 403–421), whose aims are to extend the domain of the divergence operator for Gaussian processes and to define some stochastic integrals, respectively. Then, we study the relation between this Stratonovich integral and the extension of the divergence operator (see León and Nualart ( Stochastic Process. Appl. 115 (2005) 481–492)), an Itô formula and the existence of a unique solution of some Stratonovich stochastic differential equations. These last results have been analyzed by Alòs, León and Nualart ( Taiwanese J. Math. 5 (2001) 609–632), where the Hurst paramert $H$ belongs to the interval $(1/4,1/2)$.

Ilya Pavlyukevich, Georgiy Shevchenko.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 2, 1381--1409.

Abstract:
In this paper, we study the Stratonovich stochastic differential equation $mathrm{d}X=|X|^{alpha }circ mathrm{d}B$, $alpha in (-1,1)$, which has been introduced by Cherstvy et al. ( New J. Phys. 15 (2013) 083039) in the context of analysis of anomalous diffusions in heterogeneous media. We determine its weak and strong solutions, which are homogeneous strong Markov processes spending zero time at $0$: for $alpha in (0,1)$, these solutions have the form egin{equation*}X_{t}^{ heta }=((1-alpha)B_{t}^{ heta })^{1/(1-alpha )},end{equation*} where $B^{ heta }$ is the $ heta $-skew Brownian motion driven by $B$ and starting at $frac{1}{1-alpha }(X_{0})^{1-alpha }$, $ heta in [-1,1]$, and $(x)^{gamma }=|x|^{gamma }operatorname{sign}x$; for $alpha in (-1,0]$, only the case $ heta =0$ is possible. The central part of the paper consists in the proof of the existence of a quadratic covariation $[f(B^{ heta }),B]$ for a locally square integrable function $f$ and is based on the time-reversion technique for Markovian diffusions.

Members of the future American workforce could see losses of earnings that add up to trillions of dollars, depending on how long coronavirus-related school closures persist.

The post Economists Expect Huge Future Earnings Loss for Students Missing School Due to COVID-19 appeared first on Market Brief.

ACT and the American Federation of Teachers are partnering to provide free resources as educators increasingly switch to distance learning amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

The post ACT and Teachers’ Union Partner to Provide Remote Learning Resources Amid Pandemic appeared first on Market Brief.

State funding for K-12 is likely to fall sharply, though districts could look to protect essentials like distance-learning support and professional development, says school finance expert Mike Griffith.

The post As States’ Budgets Reel During COVID-19, Districts to Feel the Wrath appeared first on Market Brief.

Three children have now died in New York state from a possible complication from the coronavirus involving swollen blood vessels and heart problems, Gov. Andrew Cuomo said Saturday. At least 73 children in New York have been diagnosed with symptoms similar to Kawasaki disease — a rare inflammatory condition in children — and toxic shock syndrome.

The New York City police department (NYPD) is conducting an internal investigation into a May 2 incident involving the violent arrests of multiple people, allegedly members of a group who were not social distancing

The infections and deaths are spread across roughly two farms and 189 meat and processed food factories.

JS Taube
Feb 1, 1990; 10:420-435
Articles

Some of the troubling reports of corporate responses to COVID-19 include forced work in unsafe areas, not enough -- or any -- protection gear, massive layoffs and furloughs, and the sense that a critical mass of well-paid CEOs and politicians don't get that many people live paycheck to paycheck. There are exceptions though, and HP stands out, thanks to HR VP Tracy Keogh and CEO Enrique Lores.

The pandemic may force certain improvements but I'm not sure that it will, because political distractions are doing a rather good job of drawing our focus away from fixing things now. For instance, we should be ramping domestic manufacturing of PPEs and ventilators permanently to prepare for a likely huge fall spike in COVID-19 infections. Still, we aren't.

Far-right groups and individuals in the United States are exploiting the COVID-19 pandemic to promote disinformation, hate, extremism and authoritarianism. "COVID-19 has been seized by far-right groups as an opportunity to call for extreme violence," states a report from ISD, based on a combination of natural language processing, network analysis and ethnographic online research.

Ecosystem services make human life possible by, for example, providing nutritious food and clean water, regulating disease and climate, supporting the pollination of crops and soil formation, and providing recreational, cultural and spiritual benefits. In 2014, the value of ecosystem services was estimated at a staggering US$ 125 trillion.  Ecosystem services, provided by biodiversity, are fundamental to food production and [...]

Some of the most innovative ways being used to improve agricultural practices involve nuclear technology. Nuclear applications in agriculture rely on the use of isotopes and radiation techniques to combat pests and diseases, increase crop production, protect land and water resources, ensure food safety and authenticity, and increase livestock production. FAO and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) have been expanding [...]

As the novel coronavirus disease COVID-19 continues to spread, questions have been raised about the potential impact on food supply and availability and on livelihoods around the globe.

FAO

The COVID-19 pandemic is currently one of the world’s most pressing issues and one that is increasingly shaping government policies. To help provide policy support and information to member [...]

Museum closures and event cancellations abound as officials rush to contain the new coronavirus' spread

But will that keep susceptible populations safe?

The Library Street Collective's "We All Rise" coloring book features drawings by around 30 contemporary artists

If Perseverance doesn’t launch this year, it will have to wait until 2022

Some sites have closed completely, while others are making modifications to promote social distancing

No SARS-CoV-2 infections have yet been detected in our closest living relatives. But there is precedent for viruses jumping from people to other great apes

With no new infections reported in Hubei province in recent days, restrictions are easing up—but experts worry about possible 'second wave' of cases

Titles related to "home-life" subjects—like preserving and canning—have also experienced a boost in sales

The country has shut down its museums and archaeological sites in an effort to slow the spread of coronavirus

Americans have some time before social distancing measures can let up—and every day counts

Thieves pilfered "The Parsonage Garden at Nuenen in Spring 1884" from the Singer Laren in the early hours of Monday morning

The CDC recommends wearing a fabric mask in public where social distancing is difficult, like at the grocery store

Universities, libraries and museums are among the organizations seeking personal stories about the pandemic's effects on daily life

Nadia, a four-year-old Malayan tiger, is the first known animal to test positive for coronavirus in the United States

Called "Social Distancing, Haiku and You," Alan Nakagawa's project will result in a sound collage that interweaves a multitude of voices

Major League Baseball players and team employees to participate in 10,000-person COVID-19 study

'The break in the scientific record is probably unprecedented,' one ecologist says

Fears around the pandemic are causing sleep patterns to change and strange dreams to linger in people’s memories

Beaches in Florida and Thailand have tentatively reported increases in nests, due to decreased human presence. But the trend won’t necessarily persist

In the days before his death, the New York man spoke often of his lost twin and the lessons humanity seemed not to have learned

Researchers are attempting to teach eight dogs to detect the pandemic, which could help quickly screen large numbers of people in public places