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Online Campaigning Part 1: Big and Evolving

“Let Target employees spend Thanksgiving with their families,” says Justin Mills from Selah, Washington. “Save Pakistani mother sentenced to death for blasphemy,” implores Emily Clarke from Malmesbury, United Kingdom. Some 100,000 people are supporting Justin’s efforts and 430,000 are backing Emily’s on petition giant Change.org. More than 100 million people are engaged in these and…

       




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Health care priorities for a COVID-19 stimulus bill: Recommendations to the administration, congress, and other federal, state, and local leaders from public health, medical, policy, and legal experts

       




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Brookings Papers on Economic Activity: Fall 2012

Brookings Institution Press 2013 367pp.

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (BPEA) provides academic and business economists, government officials, and members of the financial and business communities with timely research on current economic issues.

Learn more about the BPEA conference series.Contents:

ABOUT THE EDITORS

David H. Romer
Justin Wolfers
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Brookings Papers on Economic Activity : Spring 2013

Brookings Institution Press 2013 350pp.

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (BPEA) provides academic and business economists, government officials, and members of the financial and business communities with timely research on current economic issues.

Contents:

• Inequality Rising and Permanent over Past Two Decades
Jason DeBacker (Middle Tennessee State University), Bradley Heim (Indiana University), Vasia Panousi (Federal Reserve Board), Shanthi Ramnath (U.S. Treasury Department), and Ivan Vidangos (Federal Reserve Board)

• Minimum Balance of 5 Percent Could Prevent Future Money Market Fund Runs
Patrick E. McCabe (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve) and Marco Cipriani, Michael Holscher, and Antoine Martin (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)

• Low-Income, High-Achieving Students Miss Out on Attending Selective Colleges
Caroline M. Hoxby (Stanford University) and Christopher Avery (Harvard Kennedy School of Government)

• Portuguese Economic Slump Caused by the Large Capital Inflows that Came with the Euro 
Ricardo Reis (Columbia University) 

• Family Planning over Past Half-Century Has Had Positive Social and Economic Impacts
Martha J. Bailey, University of Michigan

• Large Gender Gap in Financial Inclusion Worldwide
Asli Demirguc-Kunt and Leora Klapper (World Bank)
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Brookings Papers on Economic Activity: Fall 2013


Brookings Institution Press 2014 350pp.

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (BPEA) provides academic and business economists, government officials, and members of the financial and business communities with timely research on current economic issues.

Contents

• Is This Time Different? The Slowdown in Healthcare Spending
Amitabh Chandra and Jonathan Holmes (Harvard University) and Jonathan Skinner (Dartmouth College)

• Boom, Bust, Recovery: Forensics of the Latvia Crisis
Olivier Blanchard, Mark Griffiths, and Bertrand Gruss (IMF)

• The Impacts of Expanding Access to High-Quality Preschool Education
Elizabeth Cascio (Dartmouth College) and Diane Schanzenbach (Northwestern University)

• Amerisclerosis? The Puzzle of Rising U.S. Unemployment Persistence
Olivier Coibion (University of Texas–Austin), Yuriy Gorodnichenko (University of California–Berkeley), Dmitri Koustas, University of California at Berkeley

• The Decline of the U.S. Labor Share
Michael Elsby (University of Edinburgh), Bart Hobijn (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco), and Aysegul Sahin (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)

• Unseasonal Seasonals?
Jonathan Wright (Johns Hopkins University)

ABOUT THE EDITORS

David H. Romer
Justin Wolfers

Downloads

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Brookings Papers on Economic Activity: Spring 2014


Brookings Institution Press 2014 350pp.

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (BPEA) provides academic and business economists, government officials, and members of the financial and business communities with timely research on current economic issues.

Contents

  • The Wealthy Hand-to-Mouth
    Greg Kaplan (Princeton University), Giovanni L. Violante (New York University and CEPR), and Justin Weidner (Princeton University)


  • Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Financial Institutions
    Gabriel Chodorow-Reich (Harvard University)


  • The Political Economy of Discretionary Spending: Evidence from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
    Christopher Boone (Columbia University), Arindrajit Dube (University of Massachusetts–Amherst), and Ethan Kaplan (University of Maryland)


  • Are the Long-Term Unemployed on the Margins of the Labor Market?
    Alan B. Krueger, Judd Cramer, and David Cho (Princeton University)


  • Abenomics: Preliminary Analysis and Outlook
    Joshua K. Hausman (University of Michigan) and Johannes F. Wieland (University of California–San Diego)


  • Debt and Incomplete Financial Markets: A Case for Nominal GDP Targeting
    Kevin D. Sheedy

ABOUT THE EDITORS

David H. Romer
Justin Wolfers
Ordering Information:
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Early Childhood Development: A Chinese National Priority and Global Concern for 2015


The Chinese government has recently made early childhood development a national priority, recognizing the social and economic dividends that quality early learning opportunities reap for its human capital in the long term. As the country with the largest population in the world, 100 million children under the age of six in China stand to benefit from increased access to high quality early childhood education.

The quality of education in a country is indicative of its overall development prospects. Over the past two decades – building on the momentum generated by the Education for All and Millennium Development Goals – there have been significant increases in the number of children enrolled in school. Now, with discussions heating up around what the next set of development goals will look like in 2015, it is critical that learning across the education spectrum – from early childhood through adolescence and beyond – is included as a global priority. Starting early helps children enter primary school prepared to learn. High-quality early childhood development opportunities can have long-term impacts on a child’s later success in school.

Last month, the Chinese Ministry of Education, in partnership with the United Nations Children’s Fund, launched its first national early childhood advocacy month to promote early learning for all children. The campaign, which includes national television public service announcements on the benefits of investing early in education, builds on a commitment made by the government in 2010 to increase funding for early childhood education over the next decade. The Chinese government pledged to build new preschool facilities, enhance and scale up teacher training, provide subsidies for rural families for access to early learning opportunities, and increase support for private early childhood education centers.

A new policy guide by the Center for Universal Education outlines recommendations that education stakeholders, including national governments, can take to ensure that all children are in school and learning. These steps include establishing equity-based learning targets for all children, systematically collecting data for tracking progress against these targets, and allocating sufficient resources to education beginning in early childhood. The policy guide, based on a report calling for a Global Compact on Learning, is available in Mandarin, as well as Spanish, PortugueseFrench and, soon, Arabic.

The success of China’s productivity and growth over the last few decades is attributable in part to its commitment to building a robust education system. As international attention mounts around the post-2015 education and development agendas, the priorities of national governments must be a central organizing principle. When national governments take bold steps to prioritize early childhood development, the global community should take its cue and integrate early childhood development into the broader push toward access plus learning. There is an opportunity for the global education community to push toward reaching the Education for All and Millennium Development Goals while ensuring that the post-2015 agendas include a focus on the quality of education, learning and skills development, beginning with the youngest citizens.

Authors

Image Source: Jason Lee / Reuters
      
 
 




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New York Times – Jan 12, 2016

       




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The Guardian – Jan 19, 2016

       




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How historic would a $1 trillion infrastructure program be?

"We're going to rebuild our infrastructure, which will become, by the way, second to none. And we will put millions of our people to work as we rebuild it." From the very first night of his election win, President Trump was clear about his intention to usher in a new era in American infrastructure. Since…

       




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COVID-19 is expanding further into Trump country

The COVID-19 pandemic has already shown a dispersion away from the nation’s most urban and densely populated counties to suburban, somewhat whiter, and less politically Democratic parts of the country.  Yet the group of counties that newly qualify as areas with a high prevalence of COVID-19 cases are even more dispersed, and represent places where…

       




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Which city economies did COVID-19 damage first?

Since the United States first witnessed significant community spread of the coronavirus in March, each week has brought a fresh round of devastating economic news. From skyrocketing unemployment claims to new estimates of contracting GDP in the first quarter of 2020, there has been little respite from the growing awareness that COVID-19 is exacting unprecedented…

       




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American workers’ safety net is broken. The COVID-19 crisis is a chance to fix it.

The COVID-19 pandemic is forcing some major adjustments to many aspects of our daily lives that will likely remain long after the crisis recedes: virtual learning, telework, and fewer hugs and handshakes, just to name a few. But in addition, let’s hope the crisis also drives a permanent overhaul of the nation’s woefully inadequate worker…

       




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As states reopen, COVID-19 is spreading into even more Trump counties

Even as the COVID-19 pandemic drags on, America has begun to open up for some business and limited social interaction, especially in parts of the country that did not bear the initial brunt of the coronavirus.  However, the number of counties where COVID-19 cases have reached “high-prevalence” status continues to expand. Our tracking of these…

       




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Saban Forum 2015—Israel and the United States: Yesterday, today, and tomorrow


Event Information

December 4-6, 2015

Online Only
Live Webcast



On December 4 to 6, the Center for Middle East Policy at Brookings hosted its 12th annual Saban Forum, titled “Israel and the United States: Yesterday, today, and tomorrow.” The 2015 Saban Forum included webcasts featuring remarks by Israel’s Minister of Defense Moshe Ya’alon, Chairman of the Yesh Atid Party Yair Lapid, National Security Adviser to President George W. Bush Stephen Hadley, Secretary of State John Kerry, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (via video), and former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton. The forum’s webcast sessions focused on the future for Israelis and Palestinians, Iran’s role in the Middle East, spillover from the war in Syria, and the global threat posed by the Islamic State and other violent jihadi groups.

Over the past twelve years, the Saban Forum has become the premier platform for frank dialogue between American and Israeli leaders from government, civil society, business, and the media. As a result, the Saban Forum is a seminal event, generating new ideas and helping shape the future of the U.S.-Israel relationship.

Join the conversation on Twitter using #Saban15

Video

Audio

Transcript

Event Materials

     
 
 




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The First 100 Hours: A Preview of the New Congress and its Agenda

Democrats, who reclaimed a majority in Congress for the first time in 12 years, have planned an ambitious slate of new business in the House of Representatives.House-speaker elect Nancy Pelosi of California has vowed to address key policy areas such as the budget, ethics, minimum wage, homeland security, and higher education in the first 100…

       




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20190506 El Pais Daniel Kaufman

       




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National Public Radio – May 2, 2013

       




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Trans-Atlantic Scorecard – October 2019

Welcome to the fifth edition of the Trans-Atlantic Scorecard, a quarterly evaluation of U.S.-European relations produced by Brookings’s Center on the United States and Europe (CUSE), as part of the Brookings – Robert Bosch Foundation Transatlantic Initiative. To produce the Scorecard, we poll Brookings scholars and other experts on the present state of U.S. relations…

       




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Brookings Trade Forum: 1999

Growing economic integration has become a major concern among policymakers and international institutions in the 1990s. In light of this concern, the practitioners and academics contributing to the Brookings Trade Forum 1999 have focused on key aspects of governing in a global economy. This is the second in the Brookings Institution series of annual volumes…

       




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Brookings Trade Forum: 2001

This annual series provides comprehensive analysis on current and emerging issues of international trade and macroeconomics. Practitioners and academics contribute to each volume, with papers that provide an in-depth look at a particular topic. The fourth edition focuses on the issues and implications of globalization. Contents include: "Holding International Reserves in an Era of High…

       




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The Arab Spring Five Years Later: Vol. 1 & Vol. 2

This two-volume set explores in-depth the economic origins and repercussions of the Arab Spring revolts. Volume 1 of The Arab Spring Five Years Later is based on extensive research conducted by scholars from a variety of backgrounds, including many associated with the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA). The original research papers are gathered in volume…

       




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20191113 Chicago Tribune West

       




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U.S. strategy and strategic culture from 2017

      
 
 




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20180925 WaPo Thomas Wright

      
 
 




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20180927 WaPo Thomas Wright

      
 
 




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20180928 FT Thomas Wright

      
 
 




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20181009 WaPo Thomas Wright

      
 
 




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The Arab Spring is 2011, Not 1989

The Arab revolutions are beginning to destroy the cliché of an Arab world incapable of democratic transformation. But another caricature is replacing it: according to the new narrative, the crowds in Cairo, Benghazi or Damascus, mobilized by Facebook and Twitter, are the latest illustration of the spread of Western democratic ideals; and while the “rise…

       




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Peacekeeping and geopolitics in the 21st century

Following the fall of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s, hopes abounded for a peaceful and more stable world with the end of the Cold War. Great-power competition, it seemed, was no longer a threat. Global security efforts were focused on stabilizing smaller conflicts, in part through multinational peacekeeping efforts. Today, the tide seems…

       




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The House moved quickly on a COVID-19 response bill. These 4 takeaways explain what’s likely to happen next.

The House has passed an emergency spending measure supported by President Trump to begin dealing with the health and economic crises caused by the coronavirus. By a vote of 363 to 40 early Saturday morning, every Democrat and roughly three-quarters of Republicans supported the bill to provide temporary paid sick and family medical leave; bolster funding for health, food security and unemployment insurance…

       




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The politics of Congress’s COVID-19 response

In the face of economic and health challenges posed by COVID-19, Congress, an institution often hamstrung by partisanship, quickly passed a series of bills allocating trillions of dollars for economic stimulus and relief. In this episode, Sarah Binder joins David Dollar to discuss the politics behind passing that legislation and lingering uncertainties about its oversight…

       




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The "greatest catastrophe" of the 21st century? Brexit and the dissolution of the U.K.


Twenty-five years ago, in March 1991, shaken by the fall of the Berlin Wall and the rise of nationalist-separatist movements in the Soviet Baltic and Caucasus republics, Mikhail Gorbachev held a historic referendum. He proposed the creation of a new union treaty to save the USSR. The gambit failed. Although a majority of the Soviet population voted yes, some key republics refused to participate. And so began the dissolution of the USSR, the event that current Russian President Vladimir Putin has called the “greatest geopolitical catastrophe” of the 20th century.

Today, in the wake of the referendum on leaving the European Union, British Prime Minister David Cameron seems to have put the United Kingdom on a similar, potentially catastrophic, path. Like the fall of the wall and the collapse of the Soviet Union, the fallout from Brexit could have momentous consequences. The U.K. is of course not the USSR, but there are historic links between Britain and Russia and structural parallels that are worth bearing in mind as the U.K. and the EU work out their divorce, and British leaders figure out what to do next, domestically and internationally.

A quick Russian history recap

The British and Russian empires formed at around the same time and frequently interacted. Queen Elizabeth I was pen pals with Ivan the Terrible. The union of the Scottish and English parliaments in 1707 that set the United Kingdom on its imperial trajectory coincided with the 1709 battle of Poltava, in which Peter the Great ousted the Swedes from the lands of modern Ukraine and began the consolidation of the Russian empire. The Russian imperial and British royal families intermarried, even as they jockeyed for influence in Central Asia and Afghanistan in the 19th century. The last Czar and his wife were respectively a distant cousin and granddaughter of British Queen Victoria. The Irish Easter Uprising and the Russian Revolution were both sparked by problems at home, imperial overstretch, and the shock of the World War I. 

Like the fall of the wall and the collapse of the Soviet Union, the fallout from Brexit could have momentous consequences.

Since the end of the Cold War, the U.K. and Russia have both had difficulty figuring out their post-imperial identities and roles. The U.K. in 2016 looks structurally a lot like the USSR in 1991, and England’s current identity crisis is reminiscent of Russia’s in the 1990s. After Gorbachev’s referendum failed to shore up the union, the Soviet Union was undermined by an attempted coup (in August 1991) and then dismantled by its national elites. In early December 1991, Boris Yeltsin, the flamboyant head of the Russian Federation, holed up in a hut deep in the Belarusian woods with the leaders of Ukraine and Belarus and conspired to replace the USSR with a new Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). With Gorbachev and the Soviet Union gone by the end of December, the hangover set in. Boris Yeltsin was the first to rue the consequences of his actions. The CIS never gained traction as the basis for a new union led by Russia. 

The Ukrainians, Belarussians, and everyone else gained new states and new identities and used the CIS as a mechanism for divorce. Russians lost an empire, their geopolitical anchor, and their identity as the first among equals in the USSR. The Russian Federation was a rump state. And although ethnic Russians were 80 percent of the population, the forces of disintegration continued. Tatars, Chechens, and other indigenous peoples of the Russian Federation, with their own histories, seized or agitated for independence. Ethnic Russians were “left behind” in other republics. Historic territories were lost. Instead of presiding over a period of Russian independence, Boris Yeltsin muddled through a decade of economic collapse and political humiliation.

Separating the U.K. from Europe...could be as wrenching as pulling apart the USSR.

Is Britain laying the same trap?

Another Boris, the U.K.’s Boris Johnson, the former mayor of London and main political opponent of David Cameron, risks doing the same if he becomes U.K. prime minister in the next few months. Separating the U.K. from Europe institutionally, politically, and economically could be as wrenching as pulling apart the USSR. People will be left behind—EU citizens in the U.K., U.K. citizens in the EU––and will have to make hard choices about who they are, and where they want to live and work. The British pound has already plummeted. The prognoses for short- to medium-term economic dislocation have ranged from gloomy to dire. The U.K is a multi-ethnic state, with degrees of devolved power to its constituent parts, and deep political divides at the elite and popular levels. Scotland and Northern Ireland, along with Gibraltar (a contested territory with Spain), clearly voted to stay in the European Union. The prospect of a new Scottish referendum on independence, questions about the fate of the Irish peace process, and the format for continuing Gibraltar’s relationship with Spain, will all complicate the EU-U.K. divorce proceedings. 

Like Russia and the Russians, England and the English are in the throes of an identity crisis.

Like Russia and the Russians, England and the English are in the throes of an identity crisis. England is not ethnically homogeneous. In addition to hundreds of thousands of Irish citizens living in England, there are many more English people with Irish as well as Scottish ancestry––David Cameron’s name gives away his Scottish antecedents––as well as those with origins in the colonies of the old British empire. And there are the EU citizens who have drawn so much ire in the Brexit debate. 

As in the case of the USSR and Russia where all roads led (and still lead) to Moscow, London dominates the U.K.’s population, politics, and economics. London is a global city that is as much a magnet for international migration as a center of finance and business. London voted to remain in Europe. The rest of England, London’s far flung, neglected, and resentful hinterland, voted to leave the EU—and perhaps also to leave London. At the end of the divorce process, without careful attention from politicians in London, England could find itself the rump successor state to the United Kingdom. If so, another great imperial state will have consigned itself to the “dust heap of history” by tying its future to a referendum. 

Authors

      
 
 




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17 years after 9/11, people are finally forgetting about terrorism

       




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The places a COVID-19 recession will likely hit hardest

At first blush, it seems like the coronavirus pandemic is shutting down the economy everywhere, equally, with frightening force and totality. In many respects, that’s true: Across the country, consumer spending—which supports 70% of the economy—is crashing in community after community, as people avoid stores, restaurants, movie theaters, offices, and other public places. Already, the…

       




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Stimulus steps the US should take to reduce regional economic damages from the COVID-19 recession

The coronavirus pandemic seems likely to trigger a severe worldwide recession of uncertain length. In addition to responding to the public health needs, policymakers are debating how they can respond with creative new economic policies, which are now urgently needed. One strategy they should consider is both traditional and yet oddly missing from the current…

       




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The robots are ready as the COVID-19 recession spreads

As if American workers don’t have enough to worry about right now, the COVID-19 pandemic is resurfacing concerns about technology’s impact on the future of work. Put simply, any coronavirus-related recession is likely to bring about a spike in labor-replacing automation. What’s the connection between recessions and automation? On its face, the transition to automation may…

       




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COVID-19 is hitting the nation’s largest metros the hardest, making a “restart” of the economy more difficult

The coronavirus pandemic has thrown America into a coast-to-coast lockdown, spurring ubiquitous economic impacts. Data on smartphone movement indicate that virtually all regions of the nation are practicing some degree of social distancing, resulting in less foot traffic and sales for businesses. Meanwhile, last week’s release of unemployment insurance claims confirms that every state is seeing a significant…

       




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How cities and states are responding to COVID-19

As Congress passes multi-trillion dollar support packages in response to the economic and physical shocks of the coronavirus pandemic, what are state and local governments doing to respond? What kinds of economic and other assistance do they need? What will be the enduring impact of this crisis on workers and certain industries? On this episode,…

       




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Will COVID-19 rebalance America’s uneven economic geography? Don’t bet on it.

With the national economy virtually immobilized as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, it might seem like the crisis is going to mute the issue of regional economic divergence and its pattern of booming superstar cities and depressed, left-behind places. But don’t be so sure about that. In fact, the pandemic might intensify the unevenness…

       




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How COVID-19 will change the nation’s long-term economic trends, according to Brookings Metro scholars

Will the coronavirus change everything? While that sentiment feels true to the enormity of the crisis, it likely isn’t quite right, as scholars from the Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program have been exploring since the pandemic began. Instead, the COVID-19 crisis seems poised to accelerate or intensify many economic and metropolitan trends that were already underway, with huge…

       




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The next COVID-19 relief bill must include massive aid to states, especially the hardest-hit areas

Amid rising layoffs and rampant uncertainty during the COVID-19 pandemic, it’s a good thing that Democrats in the House of Representatives say they plan to move quickly to advance the next big coronavirus relief package. Especially important is the fact that Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) seems determined to build the next package around a generous infusion…

       




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The effect of COVID-19 and disease suppression policies on labor markets: A preliminary analysis of the data

World leaders are deliberating when and how to re-open business operations amidst considerable uncertainty as to the economic consequences of the coronavirus. One pressing question is whether or not countries that have remained relatively open have managed to escape at least some of the economic harm, and whether that harm is related to the spread…

       




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What COVID-19 means for America’s child welfare system

The COVID-19 crisis has allowed a revealing look into the shortcomings of the U.S.’s child welfare system. While no institution has proved strong enough to operate effectively and efficiently under the unprecedented circumstances brought on by COVID-19, the crisis has unveiled holes in the child welfare system that call for both immediate and long-term action.…

       




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Students have lost learning due to COVID-19. Here are the economic consequences.

Because of the COVID-19 crisis, the US economy has nearly ground to a halt. Tens of millions of workers are now seeing their jobs and livelihoods disappear—in some cases, permanently. Many businesses will never reopen, especially those that have or had large debts to manage. State and federal lawmakers have responded by pouring trillions of…

       




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Supporting students and promoting economic recovery in the time of COVID-19

COVID-19 has upended, along with everything else, the balance sheets of the nation’s elementary and secondary schools. As soon as school buildings closed, districts faced new costs associated with distance learning, ranging from physically distributing instructional packets and up to three meals a day, to supplying instructional programming for television and distributing Chromebooks and internet…

       




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20171205 Charlotte Observer Katz

       




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20171211 WSJ Katz

       




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What COVID-19 means for international cooperation

Throughout history, crisis and human progress have often gone hand in hand. While the growing COVID-19 pandemic could strengthen nationalism and isolationism and accelerate the retreat from globalization, the outbreak also could spur a new wave of international cooperation of the sort that emerged after World War II. COVID-19 may become not only a huge…

       




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The COVID-19 solidarity test

The COVID-19 crisis represents an unprecedented test of human solidarity. Will the wealthy—or, indeed, all those with stable incomes or savings cushions—embrace measures to support the poor and economically insecure? Will the young, among whom the mortality rate is lower, make sacrifices to protect the old? And will people in rich countries accept resource transfers…