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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, December 2017

Stable growth momentum going forward in the OECD area




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Export and productivity in global value chains – comparative evidence from Latvia and Estonia

This paper investigates the effect of export entry on productivity, employment and wages of Latvian and Estonian firms in the context of global value chain (GVC).




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Making the business environment more supportive of productivity in Belgium

A favourable business environment is crucial to boosting Belgium’s productivity and inclusiveness and to sustain improvements in long-term economic prosperity.




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Norway’s economy, a need to ensure policies can cope with upcoming challenges

In its latest Economic Survey for Norway , the OECD underscores the importance of policy facilitating transition away from oil-related activities and helping businesses seize opportunities from digitalisation and globalisation, through providing i) macroeconomic and financial stability, and ii) improvements to structural-policy settings.




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France: Promoting economic opportunities and well-being in poor neighbourhoods

Thanks to a highly developed welfare state, poverty is moderate on average in France, but – as in other countries – highly concentrated in some neighbourhoods.




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, January 2018

Composite leading indicators continue to point to stable growth momentum in the OECD area




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, February 2018

Stable growth momentum in the OECD area




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How to improve Norway’s transport-infrastructure investment

Norway makes substantial public investment in transport and this has intensified in recent years. There is potentially large economic benefit from such investment, particularly as good transport infrastructure can help Norway’s transition away from oil-related activities.




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Economic expansion offers Israel opportunity to move toward a more inclusive society

The Israeli economy continues to register remarkable performance, with strong growth, low and falling unemployment and sound public finances leading to the 15th consecutive year of economic expansion. Further reforms will be needed to drive down inequality and raise living standards for all Israelis, according to a new report from the OECD.




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Poland: Build on current economic strength to innovate and invest in skills and infrastructure

Poland’s economic growth remains strong. Rising family benefits and a booming jobs market are lifting household income while poverty rates and inequality are falling, says a new OECD report.




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The key to breaking cycle of poverty in Israel lies in education

Inequality and relative poverty in Israel remain high, particularly among Arab-Israelis and Haredim (Ultra-Orthodox).x




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Towards an innovative and inclusive economy in Poland

The Polish economy is in a strong position. Economic growth reached 4.6% on average in 2017 and the OECD expects it to continue at around 4% over 2018/19.




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Child benefits and female labour supply – the case of Poland

In 2016 the Polish government introduced a large new child benefit, called “Family 500+”, with the aim to increase fertility from a low level and reduce child poverty. The benefit is universal for the second and every further child and means-tested for the first child. It more than doubles fiscal support for families, making Poland one of the top spenders in the EU concerning cash transfers for families.




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To fear or not to fear the future of work? Opportunities, disruptions and policy challenges

Rapid technological change – from digitalisation to artificial intelligence, 3D printing and nanomaterials – is transforming the way goods and services are produced and consumed. It will have profound implications for the dynamics of productivity, jobs, investment and trade over the next 10 to 15 years.




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, April 2018

OECD CLIs point to stable growth momentum in the OECD area




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Investment as a transmission mechanism from weak demand to weak supply and the post-crisis productivity slowdown

Current weak labour productivity growth in many OECD countries reflects historically weak contributions from both total factor productivity (TFP) growth and capital deepening.




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Unblocking the productivity potential of local businesses in Ireland

New firm-level analysis undertaken in tandem with the OECD Economic Survey of Ireland 2018 finds that the majority of businesses in Ireland have actually experienced falling productivity since the mid-2000s.




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The Greek economy is recovering. Improving debt sustainability, tackling poverty and boosting investment are vital to sustaining the positive momentum.

Greece’s recovery from deep economic depression is finally gaining traction, according to the OECD. Economic growth has started to pick up led by a rise in exports while labour market reforms have improved competitiveness and are helping to create jobs.




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Boosting export performance in Chile

Chile’s export growth has disappointed over the past two decades. In particular, exports of goods and services - in volume - have only grown at 1.1% annually over 2009-17 and at around 2.0% for non-copper products and services, compared to 4.2% in the average Latin American country.




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, May 2018

OECD CLIs continue to point to stable growth momentum in the OECD area




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Benefit reform for employment and equal opportunity in Finland

The combination of different working-age benefits, childcare costs and income taxation creates complexity, reduces work incentives and holds back employment.




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Tax reform to support growth and employment in Finland

Finland raises a large amount of taxes to finance high-quality public services and redistribute income.




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OECD appoints Laurence Boone as new Chief Economist

OECD appoints Laurence Boone as new Chief Economist




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Un mayor crecimiento, aunque se advierten importantes riesgos

Después de un largo período de débil crecimiento, la economía mundial finalmente está creciendo alrededor del 4%, cercano al promedio histórico de las últimas décadas.




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Network service deregulation and manufacturing exports in Greece

Network sectors (energy, transport and communications) have undergone a process of liberalisation in Greece in more than a decade.




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Miracle or Mirage: What role can trade policies play in tackling global trade imbalances?

Global trade imbalances narrowed in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. They have remained at a lower level but are still of concern to policy makers because of the risks they pose to individual economies, as well as globally.




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, June 2018

Stable growth momentum in the OECD area




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Strengthening innovation in Poland

Poland’s catch up with other OECD country has been largely based on productivity growth resulting from restructuring towards more productive sectors and foreign technology absorption.




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Financing innovative business investment in Poland

Poland’s productivity has grown strongly over the past two decades. However, the public and private capital stock is weak, and investment remains focused on the adoption of existing technologies, which weighs on future productivity gains and innovation.




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The "Family 500+" child allowance and female labour supply in Poland

In 2016 the Polish government introduced a large new child benefit, called "Family 500+", with the aim to increase fertility from a low level and reduce child poverty.




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Costa Rica: Restoring fiscal sustainability and setting the basis for a more growth-friendly and inclusive fiscal policy

Consecutive years of primary deficits have led to mounting public debt of almost 50% of GDP, one of the fastest increases in Latin America over the last decade.




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Structural policies to boost productivity and inclusion in Costa Rica

Owing to past structural reforms, Costa Rica has enjoyed robust GDP growth and productivity levels are gradually converging towards the OECD average.




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, July 2018

Stable growth momentum in the OECD area




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Brexit and Dutch Exports: Fewer glasshouses, more glass towers as agri-food shrinks and finance gains

The Netherlands is likely to be one of the European countries that is going to be significantly affected by the United Kingdom’s planned departure from the European Union (Brexit).




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Structural Policy Indicators Database for Economic Research (SPIDER)

Structural Policy Indicators Database for Economic Research (SPIDER)




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The quantification of structural reforms: Introducing country-specific policy effects

This paper presents country-specific effects of structural reforms. It discusses how sizeable and interesting country-specific effects can be identified in a panel setting by conditioning the impact of individual policies on their own level or on the stance of other policies and institutions.




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Canada has high levels of well-being and solid growth but trade tensions and housing market pose risks while inclusiveness could be improved

Canada is one of the OECD economies delivering the best outcomes for its citizens, especially in regards to self-reported well-being, personal security and health status. Canada is also undertaking several programmes to foster inclusive growth – with respect to childcare benefits, gender equality and social housing.




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Stabilisation policies to strengthen Euro area resilience

The euro area sovereign debt crisis highlighted important weaknesses in the euro area design. Fiscal policy did not build sufficient buffers before the crisis, which forced some countries to tighten fiscal policy too rapidly during the downturn to restore market confidence in sovereign borrowing.




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Sovereign defaults: Evidence on the importance of government effectiveness

This paper provides robust empirical evidence that government effectiveness is a key determinant of sovereign defaults.




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Who are the beneficiaries of the structural funds and the cohesion fund and how does the cohesion policy impact firm-level performance?

This paper exploits a new database that is unique in its scale and scope containing detailed information on over two million projects carried out by one million firms that benefited from the European Regional Development Fund, the European Social Fund and the Cohesion Fund in 25 EU member countries during the multi-annual financial framework 2007-2013.




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, August 2018

Tentative signs of easing growth momentum in the OECD area




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Sectoral and regional distribution of export shocks: What do two hundred thousand UK firm observations say?

This study explores the impact of export shocks on firms and re-aggregates results to derive distributional effects on sectors and regions.




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OECD Blockchain Policy Forum

4-5 September 2018, Paris - The OECD Blockchain Policy Forum on "Distributed Ledgers: Opportunities and Challenges" was the first major international conference to take stock of blockchain’s impacts across the full range of government activities and public priorities.




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, September 2018

Easing growth momentum in the OECD area




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Generating employment, raising incomes and addressing poverty in Greece

Employment is pivotal to strengthening Greece’s economic recovery, increasing social welfare and redressing poverty.




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, October 2018

OECD CLIS continue to point to easing growth momentum in the OECD area




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If potential output estimates are too cyclical, then OECD estimates have an edge

To assess the cyclical position of an economy, macroeconomists use a concept called potential output, which measures the economy’s production rate that is consistent with stable inflation at the target.




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Resource curse in oil exporting countries

This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the "resource curse" phenomenon, i.e. the negative impact of oil abundance on long-term economic growth, for a set of oil exporting countries.




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Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, November 2018

CLIs continue to signal easing growth momentum in the OECD area




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To what extent do policies contribute to self-employment?

Using cross-country time series panel regressions for the last two decades, this paper seeks to identify the main policy and institutional factors that explain the share of selfemployment across European countries.