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Balance of economic power will shift dramatically over the next 50 years, says OECD

The balance of economic power is expected to shift dramatically over the next half century, with fast-growing emerging-market economies accounting for an ever-increasing share of global output, according to a new OECD report.




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The price of oil – will it start rising again?

Following a sharp drop amidst the global economic crisis and a subsequent recovery, the spot price of crude oil has been broadly stable for the past couple of years. This paper discusses the factors that drive oil demand and supply and, hence, the price of the resource.




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Speeding up reforms will foster more inclusive and greener growth in China

China has made tremendous progress toward achieving inclusive growth, but major reforms are needed to ensure a fourth decade of rapidly converging living standards and a greener economy, according to the OECD’s latest Economic Survey of China.




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Emerging Asia to see healthy medium-term growth but institutional reforms will be critical for future, says the OECD Development Centre

While the outlook for many OECD countries remains subdued, Emerging Asia is set for healthy growth over the medium term. Annual GDP growth for the ASEAN -10, China and India is forecast to average 6.5% over 2015-19. Growth momentum remains robust in the 10 ASEAN countries, with economic growth averaging 5.6% over 2015-19.




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New Zealand economy performing well, but sustaining high levels of growth and well-being will require further reforms

The New Zealand economy has performed well in recent years, but bottlenecks in housing and urban infrastructure, inequalities in living standards and rising environmental pressures all pose challenges for sustaining robust growth and high levels of well-being over the long term, according to the OECD’s latest Economic Survey of New Zealand.




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Governments should target prudent debt levels and fiscal rules will help get there

Governments should set prudent debt targets to ensure that public finances serve to promote economic growth and stability, according to new OECD research.




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Costa Rica: Stronger and more inclusive growth will require new reforms

Costa Rica has made impressive economic, social and environmental progress, but further institutional and policy reforms will be necessary to ensure stronger and more inclusive growth, according to the first-ever OECD Economic Assessment of Costa Rica.




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Lithuania: Achieving stronger and more inclusive growth will require new reforms

Lithuania has made remarkable economic and social progress, but further policy reforms will be necessary to ensure a more productive and inclusive economy, according to the first-ever OECD Economic Assessment of Lithuania.




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Poland: Investment in infrastructure and skills will support higher living standards and greater well-being

Polish economic growth remains solid and unemployment is decreasing, but further investments in infrastructure and skills will be essential to sustain a continuing improvement in living standards, environmental quality and well-being, according to the latest OECD Economic Survey of Poland.




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OECD study finds Britons will be paying a heavy “Brexit tax” for many years if UK leaves EU

A UK exit from the EU would immediately hit confidence and raise uncertainty which would result in GDP being 3% lower by 2020, which equates to £ 2200 per household. The OECD states that such costs are already piling up in a new study released today.




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Funding priority spending will become increasingly challenging in Indonesia

As described in the 2016 OECD Economic Survey of Indonesia, economic growth is expected to pick up over the course of 2016 and into 2017. Despite persistently weak external conditions, confidence is returning, with inflation moderating, a stable rupiah and government investment in infrastructure gathering pace.




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The gig economy will not abolish working 9 to 5

We have always had plumbers, electricians, and lawyers who do temporary work, and are not paid by a household when they are idle. However, do new apps such as Uber or Deliveroo mean the end of the 9 to 5 job, and do these platforms need to be regulated?




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Taking action on climate change will boost economic growth

Integrating measures to tackle climate change into regular economic policy will have a positive impact on economic growth over the medium and long term, according to a new OECD report prepared in the context of the German Presidency of the G20.




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Public investment, tax and education reforms will help bolster inclusive growth in Belgium

A combination of market-based policies and a redistributive welfare state have boosted Belgium’s per-capita GDP to well above the average of OECD countries and raised well-being, according to a new OECD report.




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Will the inflation genie escape the bottle? New evidence on globalisation, competition and inflation

Markets and commentators are speculating that there may be a sustained pick-up in inflation in the United States, after years of subdued price pressures. Along with continued solid US jobs growth and low unemployment, there are tentative signs of higher wage growth and the fiscal stimulus will also boost short-term growth. Global growth is also getting stronger.




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Deeper reforms in Germany will ensure more inclusive and sustainable growth

The German economy is undergoing a robust expansion, with record-low unemployment and real wage gains underpinning domestic demand while strong exports are driving business investment. The strong fiscal position will offer opportunities for funding structural reforms and public investment to meet future challenges, according to a new report from the OECD.




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Deeper reforms in Korea will ensure more inclusive and sustainable growth

Short-term prospects for the Korean economy are good, with an uptick in world trade and fiscal policy driving growth, but productivity remains relatively low and the country faces the most rapid population ageing in the OECD area, according to a new report from the OECD.




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The Czech economy is thriving but labour shortages will limit growth

Growth, driven by both internal and external demand, has been accelerating since 2013 and at 4.6% in 2017 it was more balanced than in previous years. Household consumption is supported by income growth, a declining savings rate as confidence is high, and by rising credit.




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Further reforms will promote a more inclusive and resilient Indonesian economy

A steady economic expansion in Indonesia is boosting living standards, curbing poverty and offering millions of people greater access to public services.




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Brazil closes legal loophole on foreign bribery: OECD hopes this will now translate into stepped up enforcement

Brazil must build on the positive momentum started with its new Corporate Liability Law and its first indictments in one foreign bribery case to investigate and prosecute more proactively foreign bribery.




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New Work Programme will accelerate OECD cooperation with Brazil

The OECD launched today the Programme of Work with Brazil which sets out joint activities for the next two years and will strengthen cooperation between the Organisation and the Brazilian Government.




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Emerging Asia to see healthy medium-term growth but institutional reforms will be critical for future, says the OECD Development Centre

While the outlook for many OECD countries remains subdued, Emerging Asia is set for healthy growth over the medium term. Annual GDP growth for the ASEAN -10, China and India is forecast to average 6.5% over 2015-19. Growth momentum remains robust in the 10 ASEAN countries, with economic growth averaging 5.6% over 2015-19.




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Governments should target prudent debt levels and fiscal rules will help get there

Governments should set prudent debt targets to ensure that public finances serve to promote economic growth and stability, according to new OECD research.




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Japan will need reforms to ease economic blow of a shrinking workforce

Japan must make revitalising growth its number one priority with reforms to boost productivity and encourage more women and older people into jobs to compensate for its rapidly shrinking labour force, according to the OECD.




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Mexico’s future will be decidedly ‘Open’ - Insights blog

Blog post on how Mexico's commitment to open data is helping to bring a broad range of innovative services to citizens.




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Cities will become inequality traps without better housing, transport policies

Governments should rethink city housing, transport and other urban systems to ensure that fast-growing cities do not become inequality traps, according to a new OECD report showing that a majority of cities have higher levels of inequality than the national average.




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New G20/OECD Principles of Corporate Governance will promote trust and improve functioning of financial markets

The G20/OECD Principles of Corporate Governance provide recommendations for national policymakers on shareholder rights, executive remuneration, financial disclosure, the behaviour of institutional investors and how stock markets should function.




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A nudge or a shove? What will it take to push responsible business conduct?

On the occasion of the release of the OECD Due Diligence Guidance on Responsible Business Conduct, the OECD’s Tyler Gillard looks at how governments can encourage international standards of responsible business conduct in business activities and supply chains.




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Will more bicycles really help green growth?

The difficulty of making money out of cycling could hamper its rise




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How far will US polarisation go?

America’s politics has become defined by identity rather than ideology, as a new book highlights




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The pandemic will forever transform how we live

From homeworking to healthcare, Covid-19 has forced society to adapt in ways that should endure




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Ending furlough scheme early will cost jobs, business warns

Rishi Sunak has vowed to avoid ‘cliff edge’ when programme ends next month




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Spies in Disguise — Will Smith and Tom Holland save the planet, if not the movie

Fun though it may be, this collection of out-takes is never quite the sum of its parts




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Will online MBAs boost diversity in business schools?

Ease of access and (sometimes) greater affordability are attracting a broader demographic




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AI in education will help us understand how we think

Robot teachers are the start of an evolving relationship with artificial intelligence




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White men run 98% of finance. Will philanthropy help?

Time wasted is time lost, says the Kresge Foundation as it makes a public pledge




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Half of SMEs in UK will run out of cash in 12 weeks, finds survey

Research by accountancy network reveals 7 in 10 respondents have lost half their revenue




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Live Q&A: Will you apply for a Bounce Back Loan?

Government-backed scheme designed to help smaller UK firms launches on Monday




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Recruiters warn profits will be dented by global political uncertainty

PageGroup and Robert Walters cite Brexit, Sino-US trade war and Hong Kong protests




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How AI will transform recruitment and HR

Wearable tech will measure workers’ true productivity, supercharging capitalism




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Virgin Media and O2’s tie-up will leave customers cold

Deal’s architects say it will improve connectivity, choice and value, but consumers have heard that before




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Lucinda Williams swaps reflection for action in Good Souls Better Angels

New album channels protest music and social comment through Delta blues mythology and psych-rock




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Hayley Williams: Petals for Armor

Paramore frontwoman broadens her sonic palette with solo debut




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UK restaurants warn social distancing will put them out of business

Three quarters of leisure operators say margins too thin to support fewer customers, according to survey




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FT Weekend Quiz: William Blake, ‘Psycho’ and ‘EastEnders’

Our ‘Round on the Links’ quiz tests your ability to draw connections. Thinking caps on!




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Ramadan under coronavirus: ‘It will be bittersweet’

Most mosques shuttered and gatherings banned as Islamic world prepares for holy month




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How map makers will win the 2020 US election

The FT's Alan Smith investigates gerrymandering, using tiddlywinks and a salamander




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The Life of a Song: Will You Love Me Tomorrow

Written for The Shirelles in 1960, Carole King and Gerry Goffin's song nailed the insecurities of a new generation of women. Helen Brown looks at a classic of the female singer-songwriter canon

 

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The Life of a Song: Someday My Prince Will Come

What drew jazz musicians like Miles Davis and Chet Baker to a twinkly tune from Disney's 'Snow White'? And what became of the child star who first sang it? Lilian Pizzichini traces its history  


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What coronavirus will mean for Africa

The continent is facing an humanitarian and economic catastrophe, reports David Pilling