super_tuesday

Dua Lipa for Bernie? Cher for Biden? Here’s where the celebrities stand on Super Tuesday.

Stars tweeted their support for their candidates of choice leading up to one of the most significant days in the Democratic primary race.




super_tuesday

US 2020: Super Tuesday and Implications for the General Election

Invitation Only Research Event

5 March 2020 - 12:00pm to 1:30pm

Chatham House | 10 St James's Square | London | SW1Y 4LE

Event participants

Dr Lindsay Newman, Senior Research Fellow, US and the Americas Programme, Chatham House
Professor Peter Trubowitz, Professor of International Relations, London School of Economics and Political Science; Associate Fellow, US and the Americas Programme, Chatham House
Amy Pope, Associate Fellow, US and the Americas Programme, Chatham House; Deputy Homeland Security Advisor, US National Security Council, 2015-17
Chair: Dr Leslie Vinjamuri, Director, US and the Americas Programme, Chatham House

The US 2020 election season enters a potentially decisive next phase with the Super Tuesday primaries on 3 March. With these fifteen, simultaneously-held state elections, the Democrats hope to have greater clarity about their party’s likely nominee for the general race against President Donald Trump in November. Concerns around intraparty divisions in the Democratic party between progressives (represented by Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders) and moderates (represented by former Vice President Joe Biden and former mayor Pete Buttigieg) have surrounded the primary races so far, and are unlikely to dissipate even if one candidate emerges from the field on 3 March.

Against this backdrop, Chatham House brings together a panel of experts to discuss the state of the Democratic primary race, implications for the general election, and the Trump campaign’s priorities ahead of its re-election bid. Will the Democratic party resolve its divisions and unite behind a progressive or moderate in light of the Super Tuesday election results? How is Trump positioned to fair against the Democratic candidates left in the race? Did Former Mayor of New York Michael Bloomberg’s primary gamble to focus on Super Tuesday pay off? And what policy priorities are likely to be pursued under either a Trump 2.0 or a Democratic administration?

Event attributes

Chatham House Rule

US and Americas Programme




super_tuesday

US 2020: Super Tuesday and Implications for the General Election

Invitation Only Research Event

5 March 2020 - 12:00pm to 1:30pm

Chatham House | 10 St James's Square | London | SW1Y 4LE

Event participants

Dr Lindsay Newman, Senior Research Fellow, US and the Americas Programme, Chatham House
Professor Peter Trubowitz, Professor of International Relations, London School of Economics and Political Science; Associate Fellow, US and the Americas Programme, Chatham House
Amy Pope, Associate Fellow, US and the Americas Programme, Chatham House; Deputy Homeland Security Advisor, US National Security Council, 2015-17
Chair: Dr Leslie Vinjamuri, Director, US and the Americas Programme, Chatham House

The US 2020 election season enters a potentially decisive next phase with the Super Tuesday primaries on 3 March. With these fifteen, simultaneously-held state elections, the Democrats hope to have greater clarity about their party’s likely nominee for the general race against President Donald Trump in November. Concerns around intraparty divisions in the Democratic party between progressives (represented by Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders) and moderates (represented by former Vice President Joe Biden and former mayor Pete Buttigieg) have surrounded the primary races so far, and are unlikely to dissipate even if one candidate emerges from the field on 3 March.

Against this backdrop, Chatham House brings together a panel of experts to discuss the state of the Democratic primary race, implications for the general election, and the Trump campaign’s priorities ahead of its re-election bid. Will the Democratic party resolve its divisions and unite behind a progressive or moderate in light of the Super Tuesday election results? How is Trump positioned to fair against the Democratic candidates left in the race? Did Former Mayor of New York Michael Bloomberg’s primary gamble to focus on Super Tuesday pay off? And what policy priorities are likely to be pursued under either a Trump 2.0 or a Democratic administration?

Event attributes

Chatham House Rule

US and Americas Programme




super_tuesday

Iain Macwhirter: Super Tuesday will showcase Democrats' dismal failure to take on Donald Trump

Mardi Gras in New Orleans has always had a gothic element. The voodoo culture dates from the African American diaspora, though it’s now mostly for tourists. But this year there was an authentically macabre dimension to Fat Tuesday.




super_tuesday

Time to vote Americans: Super Tuesday is coming to Czech Republic

by Brad McGregor | Prague Daily Monitor

Not only are US citizens living overseas able to vote in all the various US elections, when it comes to Democrats, they are also able to participate in the exciting primary process. Next week, those Americans will get their chance to go to the polls as part the Global Democrats Abroad Primary, which is held alongside 15 other state primaries on Super Tuesday—a day that usually decides the Democrats' nominee.

read more




super_tuesday

Super Tuesday Turned Into a Super Flop

The Syndrome, the villain in the 2004 animated movie “The Incredibles,” is an ordinary guy who has a plan to put an end to superheroes by making everyone a superhero.

Syndrome’s evil machinations came to fruition on Tuesday, Feb. 5, 2008.

The political parties permit states to hold their presidential nominating contests as early as the first Tuesday in February, with familiar states such as Iowa and New Hampshire given exemptions. Other states jealous of the attention lavished on those early states plotted to make their primaries or caucuses sooner, sometimes even violating party rules and suffering a penalty as a consequence.

To quote Syndrome, when everyone is a super, no one is a super. And so it was with the Super Tuesday states.

Although not intended, a national primary emerged as 24 states fell over one another in a Keystone Kop spectacle by moving up their primaries and caucuses to Feb. 5.

Some argued that this would be good for the political parties in the general election since only a candidate who could run a national campaign would win the nomination.

Ironically, the candidates acted just like they do in a general election, where they concentrate on the competitive battleground states. On Super Tuesday they decided where they could be competitive, where they could pick up delegates, and targeted their scarce resources to those states.

States that thought they would be relevant found themselves irrelevant safe states that the candidates passed by and simply helped run up delegate totals for their favored candidate.

A year ago, the campaigns were focused on building organizations and cultivating supporters in the early contest states of Iowa and New Hampshire. Some candidate strategies were solely focused on jump-starting their campaigns by winning these early states, and others hoped that decisive wins would quickly seal the nomination. Some of the better-financed campaigns could be forward-looking, but they still would not want to spend time and money on Super Tuesday states unless they were sure they would need to.

By the time the nomination process was whittled down to the remaining players and the campaigns could start their Super Tuesday planning, little time was left to advertise, send direct mail and build volunteer organizations. Even where the campaigns decided they could be competitive, too many states were in play for the campaigns to pour in the same resources they did in Iowa and New Hampshire.

The resulting dynamic had a twofold effect on voter participation in this year of high voter interest.

Lack of competition drove down turnout in states such as New York, where Sens. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) and John McCain (R-Ariz.) were expected to win big victories. Only 19 percent of eligible New Yorkers voted, compared with 53 percent in New Hampshire.

Lack of organization and campaigning drove turnout down across the board, as all primary states combined averaged a turnout rate of 29 percent. Poor organization particularly afflicted the caucuses, which require campaign organizations to mobilize supporters to give up an entire evening. While 16 percent of eligible Iowans attended caucuses, the combined attendance rate for the four states holding caucuses for both political parties was a meager 6 percent.

The silver lining is that continued voter interest buoyed participation where competition and organization failed. Turnout likely would have been much worse if the nominees already had been decided.

As we move forward from Super Tuesday, those states that did not crowd to the front of the line will now find themselves being courted a little more graciously and intensely by the campaigns. This should help increase voter participation. However, the nomination battles are still coming rather fast and furiously, so the campaigns still can’t give the extended engagement they do for the early states. Some campaigns are now facing hard choices as to where they can spend their limited remaining resources. Except for perhaps a few intensely fought competitive states remaining, voter turnout has thus likely peaked in this election cycle.

We expected Super Tuesday to soar into the stratosphere. Instead, it was more of a flop, a cheap imitation of Iowa and New Hampshire. When the dust settles after this primary season and we look back at how the parties nominate their candidates, we will still be searching for a way to have more equitable involvement by voters in all states.

Publication: Roll Call
     
 
 




super_tuesday

What drove Biden’s big wins on Super Tuesday?

Brookings Senior Fellow John Hudak looks at the results of the Super Tuesday presidential primaries and examines the factors that fueled former Vice President Joe Biden's dramatic comeback, why former Mayor Bloomberg's unlimited budget couldn't save his candidacy, and which upcoming states will be the true tests of Biden and Bernie Sanders's competing visions for…

       




super_tuesday

History says Super Tuesday is last thing stock market needs right now

In periods leading up to Super Tuesday primaries that span a dozen states, stocks tends to sell off. That's not good news for a market already being tested by the coronavirus.




super_tuesday

Options trader wins big on a Super Tuesday health-care bet

One options trader won big on Joe Biden's Super Tuesday performance, cashing in on a sizable bullish bet on one health-care name.




super_tuesday

Brad Pitt joins Charlize Theron as he urges people to vote on Super Tuesday

'I vote because I believe in change,' said the ex-husband of Angelina Jolie who has on a white T-shirt and a necklace with her hair smoothed back. Several other actors followed for the video




super_tuesday

Brad Pitt joins Charlize Theron as he urges people to vote on Super Tuesday

'I vote because I believe in change,' said the ex-husband of Angelina Jolie who has on a white T-shirt and a necklace with her hair smoothed back. Several other actors followed for the video




super_tuesday

Joe Biden gets a final poll bounce as 14 states vote for Super Tuesday

Democratic presidential candidates will face their biggest challenge yet as voters from 14 states and American Samoa cast their votes on what in politics is called 'Super Tuesday.'




super_tuesday

Michelle Pfeiffer, Jessica Biel and Laura Dern voted on Super Tuesday

Super Tuesday is in full swing with voters hitting the polls to determine who will be the leading Democratic nominee to take on President Donald Trump during the Presidential elections.




super_tuesday

Donald Trump hails his own Super Tuesday victories in a string of states

President Trump touted his string of Republican primary victories Tuesday night, tweeting his thanks after state after state was called in his favor. 




super_tuesday

Ex-Clinton advisor Carville tells Sanders stop 'lollygaggin around' and drop out after Super Tuesday

James Carville, who advised President Bill Clinton, told Bernie Sanders to stop 'lollgagging around' after the Vermont senator failed to carry key primary states on Super Tuesday.




super_tuesday

Coronavirus fears disrupt Super Tuesday in Texas and California

In Travis County, Texas, home to Austin, many election workers did not show up, with some citing fears of contracting the virus, according to the county clerk's office.




super_tuesday

Super Tuesday: Trump mocks Mike Bloomberg and Elizabeth Warren

Donald Trump skewered his critics and toasted his own success on Twitter as Super Tuesday results rolled in from across the nation, taking particular aim at both Warren and Bloomberg.




super_tuesday

Mike Bloomberg quits 2020 Presidential race after Super Tuesday

Billionaire Bloomberg had just 44 delegates after blowing through as much as $1 billion - while Warren even came third in her own state. Now Biden and Sanders both want a head-to-head race




super_tuesday

Bernie Sanders drops new TV ad 'narrated' by Barack Obama after Joe Biden's Super Tuesday sweep

Bernie Sanders released a new TV ad Wednesday featuring a 'narration' from Barack Obama after Joe Biden's Super Tuesday sweep put the pressure on the Vermont senator's campaign.




super_tuesday

Bernie Sanders faces a must-win Super Tuesday 2 as he hopes for another Michigan surprise

With six new states voting this Tuesday, Bernie Sanders needs some good news out of one of them to grab some of the momentum back from Joe Biden.




super_tuesday

'Tio Bernie' Sanders' thumping Nevada caucus victory could be repeated on Super Tuesday

Bernie Sanders' victory in Nevada was propelled by Latino voters who came out for the democratic socialist in force.




super_tuesday

Bernie Sanders projected to take deep-red state of Texas in Super Tuesday

New polls released Sunday shows Bernie Sanders winning two key Super Tuesday states: Texas and North Carolina, where nearly 340 delegates are up for grabs. 




super_tuesday

Joe Biden gets a final poll bounce as 14 states vote for Super Tuesday

Democratic presidential candidates will face their biggest challenge yet as voters from 14 states and American Samoa cast their votes on what in politics is called 'Super Tuesday.'




super_tuesday

Ex-Clinton advisor Carville tells Sanders stop 'lollygaggin around' and drop out after Super Tuesday

James Carville, who advised President Bill Clinton, told Bernie Sanders to stop 'lollgagging around' after the Vermont senator failed to carry key primary states on Super Tuesday.




super_tuesday

Super Tuesday: Elizabeth Warren fails to even win own state

Elizabeth Warren's campaign for president fell flat on Super Tuesday as she was unable to win even her home state of Massachusetts.




super_tuesday

Bernie Sanders drops new TV ad 'narrated' by Barack Obama after Joe Biden's Super Tuesday sweep

Bernie Sanders released a new TV ad Wednesday featuring a 'narration' from Barack Obama after Joe Biden's Super Tuesday sweep put the pressure on the Vermont senator's campaign.




super_tuesday

Mike Bloomberg quits 2020 Presidential race after Super Tuesday

Billionaire Bloomberg had just 44 delegates after blowing through as much as $1 billion - while Warren even came third in her own state. Now Biden and Sanders both want a head-to-head race




super_tuesday

Bernie Sanders faces a must-win Super Tuesday 2 as he hopes for another Michigan surprise

With six new states voting this Tuesday, Bernie Sanders needs some good news out of one of them to grab some of the momentum back from Joe Biden.




super_tuesday

Joe Biden storms ahead of Bernie Sanders in poll in Arizona on eve of Super Tuesday III

Former vice president Biden now holds a 20 point lead over Sanders in Arizona in a new Monmouth poll as a group of populous states prepares to vote Tuesday.