sag awards

SAG Awards: Get a sneak peek at the likely Oscars acting winners

A large The Actor statue is placed on stage during 21st Annual SAG Awards Behind The Scenes At The Shrine Auditorium Jan. 23, 2015 in Los Angeles.; Credit: Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images

Mike Roe

Click here for KPCC's Awards Tracker

This Sunday's Screen Actors Guild Awards aren't as high profile as the Academy Awards, or even the Golden Globes, but they serve as one of the best predictors of who's going to take home a gold statue come Oscar night. Here's why.

Who votes for the SAG Awards?

SAG Award nominees are chosen by a committee of about 2,100 of the guild's members, according to awards news site Gold Derby. Then, all of the 111,228 members of the Guild have the chance to vote for their picks.

Meanwhile, the acting nominees for the Academy Awards are chosen by the 1,100 members in the Academy's actors branch, before being voted on by the Academy's full 5,700 members. Those actors are all part of SAG, so you're likely to see a strong correlation most years between the awards, particularly in the acting category.

How often do the SAG Awards predict the Oscar winners?

The SAG Awards have proven to be the best Oscar predictor in the acting category of any other major awards season prize since they began in 1995, both in nominations and winners. Of the 20 nominations and four winners from each shows, the overlap between the SAG Awards (aka "the Actors") and the Academy Awards in the last few years:

  • 2009: 18 nominations; 3 winners
  • 2010: 19 nominations; all 4 winners
  • 2011: 17 nominations; all 4 winners
  • 2012: 16 nominations; 3 winners
  • 2013: 15 nominations; 3 winners
  • 2014: 14 nominations; all 4 winners

This year, 17 nominees crossed over between the awards shows, with the Oscars matching up on all five nominations for best supporting actor and four of the five nominations in the other three acting categories.

Where have the SAG Awards differed from the Oscars?

SAG voters have lined up with the Academy on Best Actor 16 out of 20 times. The last time they differed from the Oscars was 2003, when Johnny Depp won at the SAG Awards for "Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl" before Sean Penn took the statue home at the Oscars for "Mystic River."

For Best Actress, SAG last split from Oscar in 2011, going with Viola Davis for "The Help" over eventual Oscar winner Meryl Streep for "The Iron Lady." They've matched up 14 out of 20 years.

In the supporting categories, the SAG Awards haven't fared as well. They went 12 for 20 in Best Supporting Actor, and 13 for 20 in Best Supporting Actress. That one also has an asterisk — one of those was a tie, so if you don't count that one, they're also only 12 for 20.

What does this all mean for the Oscars?

The SAG Awards remain the ones to watch when it comes to the acting awards — though their Best Ensemble category, the SAG Awards version of Best Picture, doesn't have a particularly strong correlation to the Oscars Best Picture winner. (For that, you'll want to watch for the Producers Guild Awards.)

We're tracking awards season and what experts are predicting; see KPCC's Awards Tracker below or click here to see the full page. You can watch the Screen Actors Guild Awards this Sunday at 5 p.m. Pacific, 8 p.m. Eastern on both TBS and TNT.

Disclosure: Mike Roe, along with other members of KPCC's staff, are members of the Screen Actors Guild as part of their employment with KPCC.

This content is from Southern California Public Radio. View the original story at SCPR.org.




sag awards

Selena Gomez's grand SAG Awards look




sag awards

Jada Pinkett Smith wore vintage to SAG Awards




sag awards

Juno Temple fulfills fashion dream at SAG Awards




sag awards

SAG Awards: Emma Stone, Denzel Washington win

The award function was held at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles.




sag awards

SAG Awards: Get a sneak peek at the likely Oscars acting winners

A large The Actor statue is placed on stage during 21st Annual SAG Awards Behind The Scenes At The Shrine Auditorium Jan. 23, 2015 in Los Angeles.; Credit: Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images

Mike Roe

Click here for KPCC's Awards Tracker

This Sunday's Screen Actors Guild Awards aren't as high profile as the Academy Awards, or even the Golden Globes, but they serve as one of the best predictors of who's going to take home a gold statue come Oscar night. Here's why.

Who votes for the SAG Awards?

SAG Award nominees are chosen by a committee of about 2,100 of the guild's members, according to awards news site Gold Derby. Then, all of the 111,228 members of the Guild have the chance to vote for their picks.

Meanwhile, the acting nominees for the Academy Awards are chosen by the 1,100 members in the Academy's actors branch, before being voted on by the Academy's full 5,700 members. Those actors are all part of SAG, so you're likely to see a strong correlation most years between the awards, particularly in the acting category.

How often do the SAG Awards predict the Oscar winners?

The SAG Awards have proven to be the best Oscar predictor in the acting category of any other major awards season prize since they began in 1995, both in nominations and winners. Of the 20 nominations and four winners from each shows, the overlap between the SAG Awards (aka "the Actors") and the Academy Awards in the last few years:

  • 2009: 18 nominations; 3 winners
  • 2010: 19 nominations; all 4 winners
  • 2011: 17 nominations; all 4 winners
  • 2012: 16 nominations; 3 winners
  • 2013: 15 nominations; 3 winners
  • 2014: 14 nominations; all 4 winners

This year, 17 nominees crossed over between the awards shows, with the Oscars matching up on all five nominations for best supporting actor and four of the five nominations in the other three acting categories.

Where have the SAG Awards differed from the Oscars?

SAG voters have lined up with the Academy on Best Actor 16 out of 20 times. The last time they differed from the Oscars was 2003, when Johnny Depp won at the SAG Awards for "Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl" before Sean Penn took the statue home at the Oscars for "Mystic River."

For Best Actress, SAG last split from Oscar in 2011, going with Viola Davis for "The Help" over eventual Oscar winner Meryl Streep for "The Iron Lady." They've matched up 14 out of 20 years.

In the supporting categories, the SAG Awards haven't fared as well. They went 12 for 20 in Best Supporting Actor, and 13 for 20 in Best Supporting Actress. That one also has an asterisk — one of those was a tie, so if you don't count that one, they're also only 12 for 20.

What does this all mean for the Oscars?

The SAG Awards remain the ones to watch when it comes to the acting awards — though their Best Ensemble category, the SAG Awards version of Best Picture, doesn't have a particularly strong correlation to the Oscars Best Picture winner. (For that, you'll want to watch for the Producers Guild Awards.)

We're tracking awards season and what experts are predicting; see KPCC's Awards Tracker below or click here to see the full page. You can watch the Screen Actors Guild Awards this Sunday at 5 p.m. Pacific, 8 p.m. Eastern on both TBS and TNT.

Disclosure: Mike Roe, along with other members of KPCC's staff, are members of the Screen Actors Guild as part of their employment with KPCC.

This content is from Southern California Public Radio. View the original story at SCPR.org.




sag awards

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sag awards

Scarlett Johansson beams at fiance Colin Jost at the SAG awards

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sag awards

Best celebrity beauty looks at the 2018 SAG Awards

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Sterling K. Brown ruins Armani suit at SAG Awards 

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Millie Bobby Brown's 2018 SAG Awards beauty look

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Dakota Fanning dressed for comfort at LAX after SAG Awards

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Taryn Manning slams stylist over $200 SAG Awards dress

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This Is Us stars 3D-printed their SAG Awards for the 'big kids'

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SAG Awards 2019 nominations: A Star Is Born leads the nods

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Crazy Rich Asians star Harry Shum Jr. breaks the mold in ceremony ahead of SAG Awards

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Megan Mullally named as SAG Awards 2019 host

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Chris Harrison makes debut with Lauren Zima at pre-SAG Awards party

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SAG Awards 2019: Renee Bargh dazzles on the red carpet in LA

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SAG Awards 2019: Lady Gaga, Bradley Cooper and Rami Malek to present

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sag awards

SAG Awards red carpet: Rachel Bloom strikes a pose in a gold gown

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sag awards

SAG Awards: Crazy Rich Asians' Harry Shum Jr and wife Shelby arrive

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SAG Awards 2019: Joseph Fiennes gazes at wife Maria Dolores Dieguez

The 48-year-old actor showed a touch of class as he opted to don a single-breasted black suit and bow tie, which boasted a velvet lapel.




sag awards

SAG Awards 2019: Hugh Grant's wife Anna Eberstein wows in black mini

The 58-year-old actor was joined by his wife Anna Eberstein, who looked sensational in a thigh-grazing black mini dress as she showed her support on the red carpet.




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Amy Adams hits SAG Awards red carpet and talks downtime on Sharp Objects

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sag awards

SAG Awards: Geoffrey Owens gets standing ovation over Trader Joe's job

Geoffrey Owens said: 'Instead of switching careers like a sane person, I took a job at a local Trader Joe's' at the Screen Actors Guild Awards Sunday in Los Angeles, California.




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SAG Awards: Christian Bale shouts 'Gary Oldman!' as best actress announced

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Alec Baldwin hits the SAG Awards red carpet with wife Hilaria

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Bradley Cooper attends SAG Awards with mother Gloria Campano

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SAG Awards 2019 worst-dressed stars revealed

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SAG Awards: Timothée Chalamet is caught READING during ceremony

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SAG Awards 2019 red carpet: Gemma Chan runs into Richard Madden

The stars appeared to be elated to see one another as they posed for photographers together at Los Angeles' Shrine Auditorium on Sunday, with Richard looking dapper in a classic tuxedo.




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Glenn Close attends SAG Awards wearing grandmother's ring

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SAG Awards 2019: Allen Leech attends with wife Jessica Blair Herman

Allen Leech and wife Jessica Blair Herman put on a loved-up display at the 25th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards.




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Emily Blunt suffers an unfortunate backlash at the SAG Awards 2019

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Robin Wright stuns at 2019 SAG Awards in plunging metallic gown

Robin Wright was among the top showstoppers on the red carpet in a plunging metallic gown for the 2019 SAG Awards




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SAG Awards 2019: Megan Mullally jokes about Emma Stone turning 30

She has a long and successful comedy and acting career and is best known these days for her role on the sitcom Will & Grace.




sag awards

SAG Awards: Rachel Brosnahan and The Marvelous Mrs Maisel cast win big

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SAG Awards 2019: Melissa McCarthy shines in silver sequin gown

Since the start of awards season, the 48-year old actress and her co-star Richard E. Grant have received a number of Best Actress and Best Supporting Actor nominations.




sag awards

RuPaul's Drag Race alum Shangela hits the SAG Awards red carpet

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SAG Awards 2019: The Favourite star Olivia Colman fails to show

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Patricia Arquette thanks Special Counsel during SAG Awards speech

Patricia Arquette, star of Medium and True Romance got up on stage to praise the work of Special Counselor Robert Mueller. She was accepting an award for Escape at Dannemora.




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Eris Baker wore customized Timberland work boots to 2019 SAG awards

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sag awards

SAG Awards: Lady Gaga consoled by fiancé after A Star Is Born snub

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Megan Mullally reveals she bought her own SAG Awards dress

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Lady Gaga stuns on SAG Awards red carpet in Dior gown

Lady Gaga attended the Screen Actors Guild Awards this Sunday in a cleavage-baring Dior gown fresh off the catwalk. The haute couture dress debuted at the brand's Paris show Monday.




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SAG Awards: Jane Fonda spots $3M diamond ring as she joins Lily Tomlin on red carpet

Jane Fonda and Lily Tomlin looked like age-defying sisters in sequin ensembles for the SAG Awards in Los Angeles on Sunday.




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SAG Awards: Michael B Jordan and Laura Harrier get flirty backstage

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SAG Awards afterparty: Lupita Nyong'o and Danai Gurira celebrate Black Panther win

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