Four relatively narrow policy topics hint at the difficulties ahead: small-business relief, education, city and state solvency, and employment.

The Tattersalls December Mares Sale exploded into life on Tuesday evening with seven fillies and mares realizing one million guineas (US$1,335,097) or more and a further 21 selling above 500,000 guineas ($667,548). The turnover on the second day reached a remarkable 42,534,600 guineas ($56,797,280) at an average of 218,126 guineas ($291,247) and a median of […]

The post Seven Top A Million Guineas On Second Day Of Tattersalls December Mares Sale appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

Sackatoga Stable's Tiz the Law was made the 7-5 morning line favorite by veteran oddsmaker Mike Battaglia for Saturday's $300,000 Kentucky Jockey Club (Grade II) – the co-featured event on Saturday's penultimate day of racing at the 2019 Fall Meet. Trained by 2003 Kentucky Derby-winning conditioner Barclay Tagg, the undefeated Grade I winner has gotten […]

The post ‘Big Dreams Like Everyone Else’; Sackatoga, Tagg Take Aim At Second Derby Run appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

Evening Star Tribune Local Twin Cities (Minneapolis/St. Paul) Weather Video Forecast

Prospectus BioScience of Baltimore announced they'll get $8.6 million from the Department of Health and Human Services.

California Literary Review: What coronavirus costs to the Italian cultural heritage.. “Given that Italy’s is generally considered the world’s richest cultural heritage, maintenance of its historic monuments and museum, with exhibits dating from the early Neolithic era through today’s avantgarde, is costly. But with international tourism virtually at the end for an indefinite period because … Continue reading California Literary Review: What coronavirus costs to the Italian cultural heritage.

Channel 3000: 72 got COVID-19 after being at large event. “More than 70 people who tested positive for the coronavirus since an April 24 rally at the Wisconsin state Capitol indicated they had attended a large gathering, but the state Department of Health Services cant’ say if they were at the rally because it is … Continue reading Channel 3000: 72 got COVID-19 after being at large event

An inventive spirit, and some naughtiness, has fueled actor Dean Holt for 25 years at CTC, the only acting job he's ever had.

Trainer Mark Casse believes the performance by Gary Barber's War of Will in the 2018 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1) may have been good enough to win had he gotten a better trip War of Will's fifth-place finish, though, turned to be a blessing in disguise. “He could have easily won the Breeders' Cup. If […]

The post War Of Will Back On Turf For Saturday’s Sunshine Forever Stakes At Gulfstream appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

Will Marble writes: I’m a Ph.D. student in political science at Stanford. Along with colleagues from the Stanford medical school, law school, and elsewhere, we recently completed a white paper evaluating the evidence for and tradeoffs involved with shelter-in-place policies. To our knowledge, our paper contains the widest review of the relevant covid-19 research. It […]

Josh Rushton writes: I’ve been following your blog for a while and checked in today to see if there was a thread on last week’s big-splash Stanford antibody study (the one with the shocking headline that they got 50 positive results in a “random” sample of 3330 antibody tests, suggesting that nearly 2% of the […]

I understand the above quote completely. Life would be so much simpler if my work was just reviewed by my personal friends and by people whose careers are tied to mine. Sure, they’d point out problems, but they’d do it in a nice way, quietly. They’d understand that any mistakes I made would never have […]

Someone who wishes to remain anonymous writes: Here’s a joke we used to tell about someone in econ grad school, a few decades ago. Two economists were walking down the street. The first one says: “Isn’t that a $20 bill?” The second one says: “Can’t be. If it were, somebody would have picked it up […]

Last week we discussed the Santa Clara county study, in which 1.5% of the people tested positive for coronavirus. The authors of the study performed some statistical adjustments and summarized with a range of 2.5% to 4.2% for infection rates in the county as a whole, leading to an estimated infection fatality rate of 0.12% […]

Kevin Lewis pointed me to this article. It seemed kinda familiar, I took a look at the abstract, and I realized . . . I reviewed this article for the journal! Here was my referee report: The paper seems fine to me. I have only two minor comments, both relating to the abstract. 1. I […]

What’s new? The new and shiny reduce_sum facility released with Stan 2.23 is far more user-friendly and makes it easier to scale Stan programs with more CPU cores than it was before. While Stan is awesome for writing models, as the size of the data or complexity of the model increases it can become impractical […]

The University of Washington in Seattle is a big place. It includes the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), which has produced a widely-circulated and widely-criticized coronavirus model. As we’ve discussed, the IHME model is essentially a curve-fitting exercise that makes projections using the second derivative of the time trend on the log scale. […]

Part 1 Andrew Lilley, Gianluca Rinaldi, and Matthew Lilley write: You might be familiar with a recent paper by Correira, Luck, and Verner who argued that cities that enacted non-pharmaceutical interventions earlier / for longer during the Spanish Flu of 1918 had higher subsequent economic growth. The paper has had extensive media coverage – e.g. […]

John Fund writes: [Imperial College epidemiologist Neil] Ferguson was behind the disputed research that sparked the mass culling of eleven million sheep and cattle during the 2001 outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease. He also predicted that up to 150,000 people could die. There were fewer than 200 deaths. . . . In 2002, Ferguson predicted that […]

After getting 80 zillion comments on that last post with all that political content, I wanted to share something that’s purely technical. It’s something Bob Carpenter wrote in a conversation regarding implementing algorithms in Stan: One thing we are doing is having the matrix library return more expression templates rather than copying on return as […]

Ivan Oransky points us to this amusing retraction of a meta-analysis. The problem: “Standard errors were used instead of standard deviations when using data from one of the studies”! Actually, I saw something similar happen in a consulting case once. The other side had a report with estimates and standard errors . . . the […]

Pandemic expected to magnify differences between healthy retailers and those with big financial troubles.

There is no firm timeline in place for the resumption of racing at Parx, but when it does happen, it's going to look quite different. That's the word from Sal DeBunda, president of the Pennsylvania Thoroughbred Horsemen's Association in a video update posted on the group's Facebook page last week. DeBunda explained that Pennsylvania Gov. […]

The post Parx Has Several Hurdles To Clear Before Racing Can Resume appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

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https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-06-01-award.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-national-park-employee-receives-award-for-excellence-in-workforce-development.htm

Grand Canyon National Park Superintendent Steve Martin has announced that an Environmental Assessment (EA) for Supai Camp Improvements is now available for public review and comment. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/environmental-assessment-for-improvements-at-supai-camp-within-grand-canyon-national-park-available-for-public-review-and-comment.htm

At approximately 10:45 a.m. today, the body of a lone male was discovered outside of the initial Andrew Brunelli search zone by the park’s helicopter. The body is believed to be that of 43 year-old Andrew Brunelli of Clayton, North Carolina. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-09-09_search.htm

Grand Canyon National Park Superintendent Steve Martin has announced that a revised environmental assessment (EA) for the construction of a new Science and Resource Management Facility in the park is now available for public review and comment. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-announces-availability-of-revised-environmental-assessment-for-new-science-and-resource-management-facility-in-grand-canyon-national-park.htm

The National Park Service has released an Abandoned Mine Lands (AML) Closure Plan and Environmental Assessment for projects to correct health and safety hazards associated with abandoned mines in four national park system sites in Arizona. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2010-02-12_mines_ea.htm

Grand Canyon National Park’s greenhouse population of sentry milk-vetch blooming in early March 2010, representing a major landmark in the park’s effort to recover its only federally-listed, endangered plant species. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2010-03-24_smv.htm

A thunderstorm passed over Northern Arizona late last week resulting in three lightning caused fires on the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/14jun10_news3.htm

Vegetation Program to Apply Herbicide within Developed Areas of Grand Canyon National Park https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/vegetation-program-to-apply-herbicide-within-developed-areas-of-grand-canyon-national-park.htm

National Park Service Begins Process to Revise Backcountry Management Plan for Grand Canyon National Park https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-begins-process-to-revise-backcountry-management-plan-for-grand-canyon-national-park.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-5may2011.htm

At approximately 10:45 a.m. today, rangers retrieved the body of a young male from below the South Rim of Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2011-05-06_retrieval.htm

The body of a young man recovered from below the rim on Friday, May 6, in Grand Canyon National Park, has been identified as that of 24-year old Robert Watson of White Plains, New York. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2011-05-20_ident.htm

Grand Canyon National Park concessioner Grand Canyon Railway (owned and operated by Xanterra Parks and Resorts) was recently awarded the National Park Service's Environmental Achievement Award in the Lean, Clean and Green category. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2012-02-21_ea-award.htm

Starting in May and continuing through September, the National Park Service will be applying herbicide to targeted, high priority, invasive plant species as part of an ongoing invasive plant management program in Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2012-04-24_herbicide.htm

On Friday, May 18, 2012, Grand Canyon National Park will celebrate Endangered Species Day in recognition of the national conservation effort to protect our nation’s endangered species and their habitats. Then, on Saturday, May 19, the celebration will continue as the park hosts its 5th annual Celebrate Wildlife Day. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2012-04-25_cwd-esd.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2012-04-27_boey.htm

Grand Canyon National Park concessioner Xanterra South Rim, L.L.C. was recently awarded the National Park Service Director's Environmental Achievement Award in the Building Our Future category. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2012-05-05-xanterra-award.htm

Although Grand Canyon National Park received below-average precipitation this winter, the warm spring caused vegetation in the park to thrive. Now, fine fuels are quickly drying out as winds and temperatures rise, increasing the risk of wildfire. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2012-05-24_fire.htm

A review of the 2007-2011 period of the California condor reintroduction program in northern Arizona and southern Utah is complete. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2012-08-27_condors.htm

Grand Canyon to Celebrate Wildlife Day https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/public-invited-to-grand-canyons-celebrate-wildlife-day-events.htm

Throughout the upcoming field season, National Park Service staff will be applying herbicide to targeted high priority invasive plant species in Grand Canyon National Park’s developed areas. Developed areas of the park have increased levels of human disturbance, which contribute to the high concentration of invasive plants in these areas. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-staff-to-apply-herbicide-within-developed-areas-of-grand-canyon-national-park.htm

Grand Canyon National Park’s longtime volunteer Sjors Horstman recently received a Governor’s Lifetime Achievement Volunteer Service Award – the highest volunteer award in the state of Arizona. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyons-longtime-volunteer-sjors-horstman-receives-governors-lifetime-achievement-volunteer-service-award.htm

On June 23rd, 2013, Grand Canyon National Park will host “President Theodore Roosevelt Salutes the National Park Service.” This special program is a living history portrayal of the 26th President of the United States as performed by Joe Wiegand at 8:30pm, Sunday, June 23rd, 2013 at McKee Amphitheater located on the South Rim behind Park Headquarters near Parking Lot A. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-national-park-presents-living-history-performance-of-president-theodore-roosevelt.htm

Employees of Grand Canyon National Park have been recognized for outstanding achievement and leadership in the promotion of public and employee safety in 2012. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-national-park-employees-receive-several-safety-awards.htm