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How to turn an old playhouse into a chicken coop




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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR Forecast/Advisory Number 10...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 CORRECTED 12 FT SEAS RADII CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS Advisory... THE TROPICAL Storm WARN


000
WTNT21 KNHC 192059 CCA
TCMAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR
FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019
2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019

CORRECTED 12 FT SEAS RADII

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE GULF COAST
OF FLORIDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO TROPICAL CYCLONE COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 84.1W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......210NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 84.1W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 85.0W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 32.3N 81.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 35.0N 76.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 36.8N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 36.8N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 36.5N 65.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N 84.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON NESTOR. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER STEWART





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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Advisory Number 7


000
WTNT34 KNHC 010832
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192019
500 AM AST Fri Nov 01 2019

...REBEKAH BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.6N 29.0W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM N OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Rebekah was located near latitude 40.6 North, longitude 29.0 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east near 20 mph
(31 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and the
post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate this afternoon or
tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Hazard information for the Azores can be found in products issued by
the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) at
https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header
FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/
metarea2.

$$
Forecaster Beven




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Atlantic Tropical Storm Sebastien Tropical Cyclone Update


000
WTNT65 KNHC 231231
TCUAT5

Tropical Storm Sebastien Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202019
830 AM AST Sat Nov 23 2019

...CENTER OF SEBASTIEN FARTHER NORTHEAST THAN PREVIOUSLY
ESTIMATED...

Recent microwave and visible satellite imagery indicate that the
center of Sebastien is moving faster than forecast and is now
located northeast of previous estimates. This will be reflected in
the next advisory issued by 11 AM AST (1500 UTC).


SUMMARY OF 830 AM AST...1230 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.5N 48.5W
ABOUT 1365 MI...2195 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky




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Eastern Pacific Remnants Of Priscilla Discussion Number 4


807
WTPZ44 KNHC 210234
TCDEP4

Remnants Of Priscilla Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192019
1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The rugged terrain of Mexico has taken a toll on Priscilla. Surface
observations indicate that the system no longer has a closed
surface circulation, and therefore this is the last advisory
issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system.

Even though the surface circulation has dissipated, there is
still a fair amount of deep convection associated with the
remnant trough over portions of southwestern and west-central
Mexico. Since the surface trough is expected to linger for another
couple of days over southwestern Mexico, there remains a significant
threat of heavy rains and flash flooding over that region.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/0300Z 20.0N 104.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS
12H 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi





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NHC Atlantic Outlook

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.




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Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone ONE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.

 
 000
 FOPZ11 KNHC 262034
 PWSEP1
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6     
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012020               
 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020                                            
                                                                     
 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR 
 LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
 WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
 




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The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.




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Floatel Delays Charter With Ineos FPS

The assignment was originally planned to start in May 2020.




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Eni's Latest Mexico Well Disappoints

Operations have been completed on the Ehecatl-1 exploration well on Block 7, located in the Sureste Basin Offshore Mexico.




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Black Stone, Aethon Team Up in Haynesville-Bossier Effort

A minimum of four wells will be drilled in the initial program year, which starts in 3Q 2020.




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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone PABLO ICAO Advisory Number 12 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191028/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: PABLO NR: 012 PSN: N4648 W01742 MOV: N 04KT C: 0995HPA MAX WIND: 035KT FCS

 
 000
 FKNT23 KNHC 281439
 TCANT3
  
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER  12
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182019
 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019
  
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191028/1500Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       PABLO
 NR:                       012
 PSN:                      N4648 W01742
 MOV:                      N 04KT
 C:                        0995HPA
 MAX WIND:                 035KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           28/2100Z N4712 W01750
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      035KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          29/0300Z N4740 W01800
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     035KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          29/0900Z N4813 W01811
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     035KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          29/1500Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     ///KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
  
 $$
 




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Halliburton Faces Another Set of Layoffs

The job losses were expected to occur on April 29.




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IOC Wins Approval On Phase 1 Development Plan

Full contract awards are expected shortly for key Phase 1 workstreams.




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Petrobras Plans to Divest Manati Field Stake

Petrobras is the operator with a 35 percent interest.




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BP AGM Venue Not Available

BP has been notified by ExCeL London that the venue will not be available to host the company's annual general meeting this year.




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Regulator Says Texas Quotas on Oil Output Are DOA

He expects a proposal for mandated production cuts is now dead a day before the state will vote on the measure.




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Permian Drillers Slash Output Themselves

On the same day OPEC-style oil quotas in Texas were pronounced dead on arrival, shale drillers disclosed more supply cuts.




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Louisiana Layoffs, Shut-ins Happening Faster Than Expected

Survey by Louisiana oil and gas industry group shows 23-percent layoff and 77.5-percent well shut-in figures.




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Halliburton Lays Off Additional Staff in Houston

Approximately 984 employees were affected.




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North Dakota Launches Bakken Restart Task Force

The group is carving out ways to secure, strengthen, and stimulate North Dakota's energy future.




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Oil Up as Market Starts to Rebalance

Oil headed for its first back-to-back weekly gain since February.




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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone SEBASTIEN Forecast/Advisory Number 23 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POST-T


000
WTNT25 KNHC 250231
TCMAT5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019
0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 28.9W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 35 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 170SE 190SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 240SE 420SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 28.9W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 30.8W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 43.6N 22.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 170SE 190SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 48.1N 14.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 190SE 190SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.0N 28.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON SEBASTIEN. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE UNDER WMO HEADER
FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
FORECASTER LATTO





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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone REBEKAH Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone REBEKAH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.0 WE

 
 000
 FONT14 KNHC 010832
 PWSAT4
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7   
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192019               
 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH WAS LOCATED    
 NEAR LATITUDE 40.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
 SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                     
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
 




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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone OLGA ICAO Advisory Number 3 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191026/0300Z TCAC: KNHC TC: OLGA NR: 003 PSN: N2748 W09212 MOV: NE 15KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 045KT FCST

 
 000
 FKNT22 KNHC 260251
 TCANT2
  
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER   3
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172019
 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019
  
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191026/0300Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       OLGA
 NR:                       003
 PSN:                      N2748 W09212
 MOV:                      NE 15KT
 C:                        0999HPA
 MAX WIND:                 045KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           26/0900Z N3027 W09100
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      040KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          26/1500Z N3321 W08955
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     035KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          26/2100Z N3627 W08858
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     030KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          27/0300Z N3922 W08715
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     030KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
  
 $$
 




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Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE

 
 000
 FOPZ15 KNHC 171432
 PWSEP5
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11   
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202019               
 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND WAS LOCATED    
 NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
 SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                     
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
 




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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Discussion Number 3


000
WTNT42 KNHC 260253
TCDAT2

Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172019
1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019

Earlier this evening, the last 2 passes through Olga made by an Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft showed that the cyclone
becoming embedded within a cold front. Strong northwesterly flow was
observed within 10 n mi northwest of Olga's center and a sharp
temperature and dew point gradient was measured across the cyclone.
It does not appear that Olga has separated from the front in any
significant way since the plane left. In fact, recent surface
observations suggest that either the front passes through the center
of the cyclone or its circulation has become poorly defined. Based
on all these data, Olga is now classified as post-tropical and this
is the last NHC advisory.

Since Olga is entangled with the front, the winds and seas
associated the front are now considered to be representative of the
overall system. The intensity of the post-tropical cyclone is set at
45 kt based on SFMR winds of 48 kt and flight-level winds of 54 kt
found by the plane behind the front. No substantial change in Olga's
strength is anticipated before it reaches the coast Saturday
morning, and the winds should decrease quickly thereafter. The
post-tropical cyclone is forecast to move quickly up the Mississippi
Valley on Saturday, before turning northeastward toward the Great
Lakes late Saturday or early Sunday. Dissipation is anticipated
before the end of the weekend.

Severe weather, including heavy rain, gusty winds, and isolated
tornadoes will be the primary hazard associated with post-tropical
Olga as it races northward. Coastal flooding is also possible
tonight along portions of the Louisiana coast. For more information
specific to your area, please see products from your local weather
service office at weather.gov.

Key messages:

1. Olga is now a post-tropical cyclone. Detailed information about
hazards related to wind, rainfall, coastal flooding, and tornadoes
can be found in products issued by local National Weather Service
forecast offices, available at weather.gov


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 27.8N 92.2W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 26/1200Z 31.8N 90.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 27/0000Z 38.0N 88.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 27/1200Z 43.5N 83.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky




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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Discussion Number 12


000
WTNT43 KNHC 281440
TCDAT3

Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019
1100 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019

Cold waters of 16C and increasing shear caused the deep convection
near Pablo's center to dissipate early this morning, and the
cyclone now consists of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds and
showers. This lack of deep convection has caused Pablo to now
become post-tropical. A recent ASCAT pass showed an area of 30 to
35 kt winds northwest of the center of Pablo, and the initial
intensity is set to 35 kt based on those data. In addition, the
scatterometer data showed a much larger area of gale-force
winds well to the north of, but not directly associated with
Pablo.

The post-tropical cyclone will move slowly north to northwest over
the next day or so, until it is absorbed by a much larger
mid-latitude low to its west. The gales occurring north of the
Pablo are expected to persist at least until it is absorbed.

Additional information on this system can be found in:

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50
LFPW and on the web at
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/
metarea2.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO header
FQNT21 EGRR and on the web at
metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high-
seas-forecast/.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/1500Z 46.8N 17.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 29/0000Z 47.4N 17.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 29/1200Z 48.5N 18.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Latto




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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone NESTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WES

 
 000
 FONT11 KNHC 192041
 PWSAT1
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10    
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162019               
 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR
 LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
 WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 WALLOPS CDA    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 NORFOLK NAS    34  X   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
  
 NORFOLK VA     34  X   9( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
  
 OCEANA NAS VA  34  X  11(11)   7(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
  
 ELIZABETH CTY  34  X  26(26)   5(31)   X(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)
  
 RALEIGH NC     34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  
 ROCKY MT NC    34  X  15(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
  
 CAPE HATTERAS  34  X  44(44)  15(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
  
 FAYETTEVILLE   34  X  31(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
  
 CHERRY PT NC   34  X  61(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 CHERRY PT NC   50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 NEW RIVER NC   34  X  56(56)   1(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 NEW RIVER NC   50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
  
 MOREHEAD CITY  34  X  60(60)   1(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
  
 SURF CITY NC   34  X  66(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 SURF CITY NC   50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 WILMINGTON NC  34  X  68(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 WILMINGTON NC  50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 BALD HEAD ISL  34  X  64(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 FLORENCE SC    34 23  29(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
  
 COLUMBIA SC    34 27   2(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
  
 LITTLE RIVER   34  5  67(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 LITTLE RIVER   50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  
 MYRTLE BEACH   34 15  59(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 GEORGETOWN SC  34 32  41(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 GEORGETOWN SC  50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  
 CHARLESTON SC  34 66  11(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
 CHARLESTON SC  50  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 BEAUFORT MCAS  34 83   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
 BEAUFORT MCAS  50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 AUGUSTA GA     34 27   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
  
 SAVANNAH GA    34 89   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 SAVANNAH GA    50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
 KINGS BAY GA   34  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
  
 WAYCROSS GA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
  
 TALLAHASSEE FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
  
 ST MARKS FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
  
 BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
 




la

Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone REBEKAH ICAO Advisory Number 7 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191101/0900Z TCAC: KNHC TC: REBEKAH NR: 007 PSN: N4036 W02900 MOV: E 17KT C: 1005HPA MAX WIND: 030KT

 
 000
 FKNT24 KNHC 010832
 TCANT4
 
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER   7
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192019
 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019
 
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191101/0900Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       REBEKAH
 NR:                       007
 PSN:                      N4036 W02900
 MOV:                      E 17KT
 C:                        1005HPA
 MAX WIND:                 030KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           01/1500Z N4019 W02604
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      025KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          01/2100Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     ///KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          02/0300Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     ///KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          02/0900Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     ///KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
 
 ..
 
 




la

NHC Southwest Atlantic & Caribbean Sea Offshore Waters Forecast


000
FZNT23 KNHC 091513
OFFNT3

Offshore Waters Forecast for the SW and Tropical N Atlantic and
Caribbean Sea
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to
22N between 55W and 64W, the SW N Atlantic S of 31N W of 65W
including Bahamas, and the Caribbean Sea.

Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.

AMZ001-100315-
Synopsis for Caribbean Sea and Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to
19N between 55W and 64W
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure N of the area will support fresh to
strong trade winds across the central Caribbean, and gentle to
moderate winds over most of the remainder of the basin through Sun
night. The aerial extent of the strong trades will diminish and
reduce to the south-central Caribbean for the remainder period.

$$

AMZ011-100315-
Caribbean N of 18N W of 85W including Yucatan Basin-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to
4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Numerous showers and
scattered tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ013-100315-
Caribbean N of 18N between 76W and 85W including Cayman Basin-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to
6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous showers and
scattered tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ015-100315-
Caribbean Approaches to the Windward Passage-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to
8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E to SE
swell.
.SUN...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E to SE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N to NE late. Seas
2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less.
.WED...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less.

$$

AMZ017-100315-
Gulf of Honduras-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 17N W of 87W, and E to
SE 15 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Isolated tstms.
.SUN...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...S of 17N W of 87W, NE to E winds 10 kt in the
evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, E winds
10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated
tstms.
.MON...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ019-100315-
Caribbean from 15N to 18N between 80W and 85W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E
swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ021-100315-
Caribbean from 15N to 18N between 72W and 80W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft in
N to NE swell.
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE swell.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ023-100315-
Caribbean N of 15N between 64W and 72W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft in
NE swell.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE
swell.
.MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ025-100315-
Offshore Waters Leeward Islands-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ027-100315-
Tropical N Atlantic from 15N to 19N between 55W and 60W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N
swell.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N
swell.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE swell.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

AMZ029-100315-
W Central Caribbean from 11N to 15N W of 80W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to
7 ft in NE swell.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE
swell.
.MON...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ031-100315-
Caribbean from 11N to 15N between 72W and 80W including Colombia
Basin-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 to 12 ft in
N to NE swell.
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia,
and NE to E 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE
swell.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and
E 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE
swell.
.MON...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE
swell.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ033-100315-
Caribbean S of 15N between 64W and 72W including Venezuela Basin-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft in
N to NE swell.
.TONIGHT...E winds 25 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 20 to
25 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE
swell.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ035-100315-
Offshore Waters Windward Islands including Trinidad and Tobago-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

AMZ037-100315-
Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 15N between 55W and 60W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...NE to E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in
N to NE swell.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE
swell.
.WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N swell.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

AMZ039-100315-
SW Caribbean S of 11N including Approaches to Panama Canal-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...NE winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE
swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE
swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell.
.MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ101-100315-
Synopsis for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.SYNOPSIS...A cold front extending from 31N77W to 29N81W will move
across the waters N of the Bahamas through Sun. Weak low pressure
in the Gulf of Mexico will track NE across south Florida into the
Bahamas Sun through Mon night enhancing winds and generating
numerous showers and thunderstorms. In the wake of the low, a
cold front will move across the northern and central waters
through Mon night, then stall from near 29N65W to central Cuba
late Tue.

$$

AMZ111-100315-
Atlantic from 27N to 31N W of 77W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...N winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and
isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E
swell. Scattered tstms.
.MON...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ113-100315-
Atlantic from 27N to 31N between 70W and 77W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...W winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.SUN...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NW to N late. Seas
3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ115-100315-
Atlantic from 27N to 31N between 65W and 70W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...N of 29N, SW to W winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Elsewhere, SW to W winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N of 29N, W winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NW to N
15 to 20 kt late. Elsewhere, N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to
7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.MON...SE winds 15 to 20 kt, shifting to S to SW in the
afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to W to NW in the
afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ117-100315-
Bahamas including Cay Sal Bank-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Numerous showers and
scattered tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ119-100315-
Atlantic from 22N to 27N E of Bahamas to 70W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...N of 25N, variable winds less than 5 kt in the
afternoon. Elsewhere, SE to S winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N to NE
swell. Numerous showers and scattered tstms.
.MON...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

AMZ121-100315-
Atlantic from 22N to 27N between 65W and 70W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...S winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers
and isolated tstms.
.SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers
and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ123-100315-
Atlantic S of 22N W of 70W including Approaches to the Windward
Passage-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to
5 ft. Isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ125-100315-
Atlantic S of 22N between 65W and 70W including Puerto Rico
Trench-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ127-100315-
Atlantic from 19N to 22N between 55W and 65W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N
swell.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE
swell.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

Forecaster Ramos




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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Discussion Number 7


000
WTNT44 KNHC 010832
TCDAT4

Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192019
500 AM AST Fri Nov 01 2019

Satellite imagery indicates that Rebekah has degenerated to a
remnant low as the circulation remains void of deep convection. In
addition, the system is starting to merge with a weak frontal system
over the northeastern Atlantic. Re-development of deep convection
appears unlikely, and the remnants of Rebekah are expected to
weaken to a trough between 12-24 h.

The initial motion is 095/17, and a slightly faster eastward motion
is expected until the system dissipates.

This is the last advisory issued on Rebekah by the National
Hurricane Center. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header
FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/
metarea2. Hazard information for the Azores can be found in regular
products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and
Atmosphere (IPMA) for those islands at
https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/0900Z 40.6N 29.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 01/1800Z 40.2N 24.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven




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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Discussion Number 10


000
WTNT41 KNHC 192041
TCDAT1

Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Discussion Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162019
500 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019

The center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor made landfall along on
St. Vincent Island, Florida, around 1730 UTC. Since then, that
center has moved inland over the Florida Panhandle between
Apalachicola and Tallahassee. However, during the past hour, a new
center appears to have formed farther west along a quasi-occluded
frontal boundary. The earlier 40-45 kt winds over water have moved
inland and weakened, and the initial intensity of 35 kt is based on
a recent wind report of a sustained wind of 33 kt at 5-meters
elevation from NOAA buoy 41008/Gray's Reef, Georgia.

The initial motion estimate is now northeastward or 055/20 kt.
Nestor is forecast to move northeastward over the next 36 hours or
so, followed by a turn toward the east once the cyclone reaches the
North Carolina Outer Banks. On days 2 an 3, upper-level support is
expected to weaken and lift out to the northeast, leaving a
weakening extratropical cyclone Nestor behind. The cyclone should
then dissipate or merge with another frontal system by 96 h offshore
of the U.S. east coast. The new official forecast track is similar
to the previous advisory, and lies close to the center of the
tightly packed model guidance envelope.

Some slight strengthening is expected on Sunday, mainly due to the
robust circulation moving out over the warm waters of the far
western Atlantic where less friction will affect the cyclone. The
official intensity foreast closely follows an average of the 1200
UTC GFS, UKMET, and ECMWF global model intensity forecasts.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on
Nestor. Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

Key Messages:

1. Gale-force winds will gradually develop over the Atlantic waters
and along the coasts northeastern Florida and Georgia tonight, and
spread northward to the Carolinas on Sunday.

2. Isolated flash flooding is possible across the southeastern
United States into Sunday.

3. Wind and coastal flooding hazards along the U.S. East Coast will
be covered by non-tropical watches and warnings issued by local NWS
offices, since the system is expected to lose its tropical
characteristics after it moves inland along the Gulf Coast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/2100Z 30.4N 84.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
12H 20/0600Z 32.3N 81.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 20/1800Z 35.0N 76.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 21/0600Z 36.8N 72.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 21/1800Z 36.8N 68.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 22/1800Z 36.5N 65.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart




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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone OLGA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WIT

 
 000
 FONT12 KNHC 260251
 PWSAT2
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3      
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172019               
 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR  
 LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
 WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 JACKSON MS     34 21  13(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
  
 NEW ORLEANS LA 34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
  
 BATON ROUGE LA 34 83   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
  
 MORGAN CITY LA 34 81   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
  
 ALEXANDRIA LA  34 17   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
  
 LAFAYETTE LA   34 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
  
 NEW IBERIA LA  34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
  
 GFMX 280N 930W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
  
 LAKE CHARLES   34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
  
 CAMERON LA     34 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
  
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER ZELINSKY                                                 
 




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NHC HF Voice Broadcast (Caribbean/SW Atlantic)


000
FZNT31 KNHC 091514
OFFN20

Marine Weather HF Voice Broadcast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1114 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

Marine Weather HF Voice Broadcast for the Tropical N Atlantic
from 07N to 22N between 55W and 64W, the SW N Atlantic S of
31N W of 65W including Bahamas, and the Caribbean Sea.

Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.

Synopsis for Caribbean Sea and Tropical N Atlantic from
07N to 19N between 55W and 64W

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure N of the area will support fresh to
strong trade winds across the central Caribbean, and gentle to
moderate winds over most of the remainder of the basin through
Sun night. The aerial extent of the strong trades will diminish
and reduce to the south-central Caribbean for the remainder
period.

NW Caribbean W of 85W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to less than 10 kt
after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON...Variable winds less than 10 kt, becoming NE less than
10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...E winds less than 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

Caribbean N of 15N between 72W and 85W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft S of 18N,
and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 25 kt S of 18N, and E 10 to 15 kt
elsewhere. Seas 6 to 9 ft S of 18N, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 25 kt S of 18N, and SE 10 to 15 kt
elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft S of 18N, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft S of 18N, and
4 to 6 ft elsewhere.
.MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

Caribbean from 11N to 15N W of 72W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 15 to 25 kt within 90 nm of coast of
Colombia, and E 10 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia,
and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 9 to 12 ft within 90 nm of
coast of Colombia, and 7 to 10 ft elsewhere.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt within 90 nm of coast of
Colombia, and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

SW Caribbean S of 11N

.THIS AFTERNOON...NE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...N winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N winds less than 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to less than
10 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

Caribbean between 64W and 72W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of
Venezuela, and 6 to 9 ft elsewhere.
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 15 to
25 kt elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 6 to 9 ft
elsewhere.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 15 to 25 kt
elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 7 to 10 ft
elsewhere.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 15 to
25 kt elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 6 to 9 ft
elsewhere.
.MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

Offshore Leeward Islands and adjacent ATLC waters from 15N to
19N W of 55W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

Offshore Windward Islands and adjacent ATLC waters from 07N to
15N W of 55W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.

Synopsis for the the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas

.SYNOPSIS...A cold front extending from 31N77W to 29N81W will
move across the waters N of the Bahamas through Sun. Weak low
pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will track NE across south
Florida into the Bahamas Sun through Mon night enhancing winds
and generating numerous showers and thunderstorms. In the wake of
the low, a cold front will move across the northern and central
waters through Mon night, then stall from near 29N65W to central
Cuba late Tue.

ATLC waters from 27N to 31N W of 77W

.THIS AFTERNOON...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...N winds less than 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

ATLC waters from 27N to 31N between 65W and 77W

.THIS AFTERNOON...SW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.

Bahamas N of 22N

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

ATLC waters from 22N to 27N between 65W and the Bahamas

.THIS AFTERNOON...S winds less than 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W of 70W, NE winds less than 10 kt, increasing to
10 to 15 kt after midnight. Elsewhere, SE winds less than 10 kt.
Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

ATLC waters S of 22N W of 65W

.THIS AFTERNOON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...SE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

ATLC waters from 19N to 22N between 55W and 65W

.THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.




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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR ICAO Advisory Number 10 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: NESTOR NR: 010 PSN: N3024 W08406 MOV: NE 20KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 035KT

 
 000
 FKNT21 KNHC 192041
 TCANT1
 
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER  10
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162019
 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019
 
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191019/2100Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       NESTOR
 NR:                       010
 PSN:                      N3024 W08406
 MOV:                      NE 20KT
 C:                        0999HPA
 MAX WIND:                 035KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           20/0300Z N3139 W08218
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      040KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          20/0900Z N3258 W08013
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     040KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          20/1500Z N3419 W07752
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     040KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          20/2100Z N3527 W07531
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     040KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
 
 ..
 
 




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Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E Special Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019 AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITU

 
 000
 FOPZ12 KNHC 161752
 PWSEP2
                                                                     
 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E                              
 SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4                         
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172019               
 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E WAS   
 LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM 
 SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                     
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
 




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NHC NAVTEX Marine Forecast (New Orleans, LA)


000
FZNT27 KNHC 091526
OFFN06

NAVTEX Marine Forecast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1126 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available
through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed
Coastal Waters Forecasts...

.SYNOPSIS...A cold front from extends from the Florida Big Bend
to 28N90W to 25N95W then transitions to a stationary front to
22N98W. A surface trough is ahead of the front in the Bay of
Campeche. The front will move to the central Gulf waters today
and gradually stall through Sun. An area of low pressure is
expected to develop over the SW Gulf today, and track NE toward
South Florida on Sun. The stalled front will then transition
back to a cold front and exit the southeastern Gulf on Mon.
Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms will impact most of
the southern and eastern Gulf waters this weekend.

Northwest Gulf of Mexico

.THIS AFTERNOON...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

North Central and Northeast Gulf of Mexico

.THIS AFTERNOON...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.




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Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone PABLO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone PABLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 17.7 WEST

 
 000
 FONT13 KNHC 281439
 PWSAT3
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12     
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182019               
 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO WAS LOCATED NEAR 
 LATITUDE 46.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 17.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
 WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER LATTO                                                    
 




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Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone OCTAVE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 12

 
 000
 FOPZ13 KNHC 192039
 PWSEP3
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9    
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182019               
 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR
 LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
 WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 10N 125W       34  1   2( 3)   4( 7)   7(14)   1(15)   1(16)   2(18)
  
 15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)
  
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER BERG                                                     
 




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Teen uses Twitter to get into UCLA

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Scott Simon shares 'lesson about grace' from late mom

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BatDad dishes out hilarious superhero justice to everyday kid crimes

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